Long-term clinical evolution of patients with prolonged disorders of consciousness due to severe anoxic brain injury: A meta-analytic study

Limitation of life sustaining therapy in disorders of consciousness: ethics and practice

Clinical conversations surrounding the continuation or limitation of life-sustaining therapies (LLST) are both challenging and tragically necessary for patients with disorders of consciousness (DoC) following severe brain injury. Divergent cultural, philosophical and religious perspectives contribute to vast heterogeneity in clinical approaches to LLST-as reflected in regional differences and inter-clinician variability. Here we provide an ethical analysis of factors that inform LLST decisions among patients with DoC. We begin by introducing the clinical and ethical challenge and clarifying the distinction between withdrawing and withholding life-sustaining therapy. We then describe relevant factors that influence LLST decision-making including diagnostic and prognostic uncertainty, perception of pain, defining a 'good' outcome, and the role of clinicians. In concluding sections, we explore global variation in LLST practices as they pertain to patients with DoC and examine the impact of cultural and religious perspectives on approaches to LLST. Understanding and respecting the cultural and religious perspectives of patients and surrogates is essential to protecting patient autonomy and advancing goal-concordant care during critical moments of medical decision-making involving patients with DoC.

Development and validation of a nomogram for tracheotomy decannulation in individuals in a persistent vegetative state: A multicentre study

BACKGROUND

Decannulation for people in a persistent vegetative state (PVS) is challenging and relevant predictors of successful decannulation have yet to be identified.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to explore the predictors of tracheostomy decannulation outcomes in individuals in PVS and to develop a nomogram.

METHOD

In 2022, 872 people with tracheostomy in PVS were retrospectively enrolled and their data was randomly divided into a training set and a validation set in a 7:3 ratio. Univariate and multivariate regression analyses were performed on the training set to explore the influencing factors for decannulation and nomogram development. Internal validation was performed using 5-fold cross-validation. External validation was performed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA) on both the training and validation sets.

RESULT

Data from 610 to 262 individuals were used for the training and validation sets, respectively. The multivariate regression analysis found that duration of tracheostomy tube placement≥30 days (Odds Ratio [OR] 0.216, 95 % CI 0.151-0.310), pulmonary infection (OR 0.528, 95 %CI 0.366-0.761), hypoproteinemia (OR 0.669, 95 % CI 0.463-0.967), no passive standing training (OR 0.372, 95 % CI 0.253-0.547), abnormal swallowing reflex (OR 0.276, 95 % CI 0.116-0.656), mechanical ventilation (OR 0.658, 95 % CI 0.461-0.940), intensive care unit (ICU) duration>4 weeks (OR 0.517, 95 % CI 0.332-0.805), duration of endotracheal tube (OR 0.855, 95 % CI 0.803-0.907), older age (OR 0.981, 95 % CI 0.966-0.996) were risk factors for decannulation failure. Conversely, peroral feeding (OR 1.684, 95 % CI 1.178-2.406), passive standing training≥60 min (OR 1.687, 95 % CI 1.072-2.656), private caregiver (OR 1.944, 95 % CI 1.350-2.799) and ICU duration<2 weeks (OR 1.758, 95 % CI 1.173-2.634) were protective factors conducive to successful decannulation. The 5-fold cross-validation revealed a mean area under the curve of 0.744. The ROC curve C-indexes for the training and validation sets were 0.784 and 0.768, respectively, and the model exhibited good stability and accuracy. The DCA revealed a net benefit when the risk threshold was between 0 and 0.4.

CONCLUSION

The nomogram can help adjust the treatment and reduce decannulation failure.

REGISTRATION

Clinical registration is not mandatory for retrospective studies.

Predicting outcome in disorders of consciousness: A mega-analysis

OBJECTIVE

Assessing recovery potential in patients with disorders of consciousness (DoC) is pivotal for guiding clinical and ethical decisions. We conducted a mega-analysis of individual patient data to understand (1) if a time threshold exists, beyond which regaining consciousness is almost impossible, and (2) how recovery varies based on factors such as diagnosis, etiology, age, sex, and neuropsychological status.

METHODS

A systematic literature search revealed a total of 3290 patients. In this sample, we performed a Cox proportional hazards analysis for interval censored data.

RESULTS

We observed a late saturation of probability to regain consciousness in Kaplan-Meier curves, and the annual rate of recovery was remarkably stable, in that approximately 35% of patients regained consciousness per year. Patients in minimally conscious state (MCS) recovered more frequently than patients in unresponsive wakefulness syndrome (UWS). No significant difference was observed between the recovery dynamics of MCS subgroups: MCS+ and MCS-. Patients with hypoxic brain lesions showed worse recovery rate than patients with traumatic brain injury and patients with vascular brain lesions, while the latter two categories did not differ from each other. Male patients had moderately better chance to regain consciousness. While younger UWS patients recovered more frequently than older patients, it was not the case in MCS.

INTERPRETATION

Our findings highlight the necessity for neurologists to exercise caution when making negative predictions in individual cases, challenge traditional beliefs regarding recovery timelines, and underscore the importance of conducting detailed and prolonged assessments to better understand recovery prospects in DoC.

The predictive value of highly malignant EEG patterns after cardiac arrest: evaluation of the ERC-ESICM recommendations

PURPOSE

The 2021 guidelines endorsed by the European Resuscitation Council (ERC) and the European Society of Intensive Care Medicine (ESICM) recommend using highly malignant electroencephalogram (EEG) patterns (HMEP; suppression or burst-suppression) at > 24 h after cardiac arrest (CA) in combination with at least one other concordant predictor to prognosticate poor neurological outcome. We evaluated the prognostic accuracy of HMEP in a large multicentre cohort and investigated the added value of absent EEG reactivity.

METHODS

This is a pre-planned prognostic substudy of the Targeted Temperature Management trial 2. The presence of HMEP and background reactivity to external stimuli on EEG recorded > 24 h after CA was prospectively reported. Poor outcome was measured at 6 months and defined as a modified Rankin Scale score of 4-6. Prognostication was multimodal, and withdrawal of life-sustaining therapy (WLST) was not allowed before 96 h after CA.

RESULTS

845 patients at 59 sites were included. Of these, 579 (69%) had poor outcome, including 304 (36%) with WLST due to poor neurological prognosis. EEG was recorded at a median of 71 h (interquartile range [IQR] 52-93) after CA. HMEP at > 24 h from CA had 50% [95% confidence interval [CI] 46-54] sensitivity and 93% [90-96] specificity to predict poor outcome. Specificity was similar (93%) in 541 patients without WLST. When HMEP were unreactive, specificity improved to 97% [94-99] (p = 0.008).

CONCLUSION

The specificity of the ERC-ESICM-recommended EEG patterns for predicting poor outcome after CA exceeds 90% but is lower than in previous studies, suggesting that large-scale implementation may reduce their accuracy. Combining HMEP with an unreactive EEG background significantly improved specificity. As in other prognostication studies, a self-fulfilling prophecy bias may have contributed to observed results.