Clinical outcomes of direct-acting antiviral treatments for patients with hepatitis C after hepatocellular carcinoma are equivalent to interferon treatment

mADRES predicts hepatocellular carcinoma development in patients with hepatitis C virus who achieved sustained virological response

BACKGROUND AND AIM

The study aims to develop a novel predictive model including the fibrosis (FIB)-3 index for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development in patients with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) who achieved sustained virological response (SVR) with direct-acting antiviral (DAA) therapy.

METHODS

This study included 2529 patients in whom HCV was eradicated with DAA therapy. The after DAA recommendation for surveillance (ADRES) score, which is based on sex, FIB-4 index, and α-fetoprotein, was used to predict HCC development. We developed a modified ADRES (mADRES) score, in which the FIB-4 index was replaced by the FIB-3 index, and evaluated its usefulness in predicting HCC development compared with the ADRES score.

RESULTS

In the training set (n = 1770), multivariate analysis with Cox proportional hazards modeling showed that male sex (hazard ratio [HR], 2.11; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.48-3.01), FIB-3 index (HR, 1.36; 95% CI, 1.28-1.45), and α-fetoprotein (HR, 1.05; 95% CI, 1.03-1.07) are independently associated with HCC development. The incidence of HCC differed significantly by ADRES or mADRES score in multiple comparisons. Univariate Cox proportional hazards models showed that compared with the mADRES score 0 group, the HR for HCC development was 2.07 (95% CI, 1.02-4.19) for the mADRES score 1 group, 11.37 (95% CI, 5.80-22.27) for the mADRES score 2 group, and 21.95 (95% CI, 10.17-47.38) for the mADRES score 3 group. Similar results were obtained for mADRES score but not for ADRES score in the validation set (n = 759).

CONCLUSION

The mADRES score is useful for predicting HCC development after SVR.

Improved outcomes of liver resection for hepatitis C-related hepatocellular carcinoma after the introduction of direct-acting antiviral therapy

BACKGROUND

Assess impact of direct-acting antivirals introduction on outcomes after liver resection for hepatocellular carcinoma.

METHODS

391 patients (1991-2021) treated with resection for hepatocellular carcinoma on Hepatitis C background were divided according to receiving Hepatitis C treatment, treatment type, achievement of sustained virological response (SVR), time of resection pre- (Era 1, 1991-2011) and post-direct acting antivirals introduction (Era 2, 2012-2021). Survival was estimated with Kaplan-Meier curves, Cox regression analysis performed to identify survival predictors.

RESULTS

Majority of patients had single lesion (67.8%), diameter >2 cm in 60.6%, no evidence of macroscopic vascular invasion on imaging. Pathology showed vascular invasion in 69.6% of patients, 76.5% microvascular. Recurrence developed in 247 patients (63.2%). 194 patients (49.6%) achieved SVR. Overall survival at 1-, 3-, 5-years was 94.6%, 85.7%, 78.8% for patients who achieved SVR, 80.1%, 48.1%, 29.9% in those who did not (p < 0.001). 220 patients (56.3%) were in Era 1, 171 (43.7%) in Era 2. Survival at 1-, 3-, 5-years was 76.1%, 49%, 36% in Era 1, 94.5%, 82.5%, 70.3% in Era 2 (p < 0.001). SVR was an independent predictor of survival on multiple Cox Regression analysis.

CONCLUSION

While many aspects of HCC management have evolved, SVR following direct-acting antivirals independently improves HCC resection outcomes.

Improved Liver Function After Sustained Virologic Response Enhanced Prognosis in Hepatitis C with Compensated Advanced Liver Fibrosis

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Liver function can be improved in patients with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection who achieved sustained virologic response (SVR) with direct-acting antiviral (DAA) treatment. However, to our knowledge, the impact of liver function improvement after SVR on prognosis has not been investigated.

METHODS

A total of 716 patients with chronic HCV infection and compensated advanced liver fibrosis who began receiving DAA treatment between September 2014 and August 2018 in 25 Japanese hospitals and achieved SVR were enrolled.

RESULTS

The median age was 73 years, and 336 (47%) and 380 (53%) patients had albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade 1 and grade 2, respectively. Improvement to ALBI grade 1 at 1 year after the end of treatment (EOT) was observed in 76% of the patients with baseline ALBI grade 2. Among 380 patients with baseline ALBI grade 2, alanine aminotransferase (ALT) levels ≥ 40 U/L (p < 0.001) and modified ALBI (mALBI) grade 2a (p < 0.001) were significantly associated with improvement to ALBI grade 1 at 1 year after EOT in multivariate analysis. During the median observation period of 51.8 months, 4 and 10 patients with baseline ALBI grade 1 and 2, respectively, died. In patients with baseline ALBI grade 2, only the absence of improvement to ALBI grade 1 at 1 year after EOT was significantly associated with all-cause mortality in univariate analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

Baseline ALT levels and mALBI grade were significantly associated with improvement in liver function after SVR. Patients whose liver function improved after SVR could have better prognosis.

Risk factors for liver-related and non-liver-related mortality following a sustained virological response after direct-acting antiviral treatment for hepatitis C virus infection in a real-world cohort

A direct-acting antiviral (DAA)-induced sustained virological response (SVR) reduces the risk of mortality. However, the risk factors associated with liver-related and non-liver-related mortality following a SVR after DAA treatment are unclear. We assessed the incidence and risk factors of liver-related and non-liver-related mortality in 1180 patients who achieved a SVR after DAA treatment. During the follow-up period after DAA treatment (median duration, 1099 [range: 84-2345] days), 53 (4.5%) patients died: 15 due to liver-related mortality, 25 due to non-liver-related mortality and 13 due to unknown causes. The all-cause, liver-related and non-liver-related mortality rates were 14.9, 4.2 and 7.0/1000 person-years, respectively. In a multivariate analysis, the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after DAA treatment (p = .009; hazard ratio [HR], 31.484), an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) at baseline ≤61.68 ml/min/1.73 m² (p = .015; HR, 6.607), and an α-fetoprotein level post-treatment ≥7.6 ng/ml (p = .041; HR, 18.490) were significantly associated with liver-related mortality. Furthermore, eGFR ≤67.94 ml/min/1.73 m² at baseline (p = .012; HR, 3.407) and albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade ≥ 2 at SVR (p = .024; HR, 3.449) were significantly associated with non-liver-related mortality. Early diagnosis and therapeutic interventions for HCC development after DAA treatment are important to reduce liver-related mortality. The ALBI grade, which reflects the hepatic functional reserve, is a useful predictor of non-liver-related mortality after a SVR induced by DAA treatment. Furthermore, the renal dysfunction caused by metabolic syndrome may affect prognosis even after eliminating hepatitis C virus.

Effect of sofosbuvir and velpatasvir therapy on clinical outcome in hepatitis C virus patients with decompensated cirrhosis

AIM

To determine the impact of direct-acting antiviral therapy on the long-term prognosis of decompensated cirrhotic patients.

METHODS

A total of 37 patients with hepatitis C virus-induced decompensated cirrhosis treated with sofosbuvir and velpatasvir (SOF/VEL group) were prospectively enrolled. For historical control, 65 hepatitis C virus-positive decompensated cirrhotic patients who did not receive direct-acting antiviral therapy were included (control group). The incidence rates of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), decompensated events with hospitalization, and overall survival were compared between both groups.

RESULTS

A total of 41 patients experienced decompensated events during 15.0 months in the control group, and six patients during 21.6 months in the SOF/VEL group. The cumulative incidence rates of decompensated events after 2 years were significantly higher in the control group (53.1%) than in the SOF/VEL group (14.5%; p < 0.001). A total of 27 patients died within 22.0 months in the control group, and three patients died within 25.6 months in the SOF/VEL group. The overall survival rates after 2 years were significantly lower in the control group (67.6%) than in the SOF/VEL group (91.3%; p = 0.010). A total of 13 patients in the control group developed HCC during 15.8 months, and 10 patients during 17.3 months in the SOF/VEL group. The HCC incidence rates after 2 years were 20.3% and 29.6% in the control and SOF/VEL groups, respectively, with no significant difference (p = 0.327).

CONCLUSIONS

SOF/VEL therapy may suppress the development of decompensated events and improve the prognosis in decompensated cirrhotic patients; however, the incidence of HCC remains prevalent in these patients irrespective of SOF/VEL therapy.

Risk of hepatocellular carcinoma after sustained virologic response in hepatitis C virus patients without advanced liver fibrosis

AIM

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after sustained virologic response (SVR) has been observed even in hepatitis C virus (HCV) patients without advanced liver fibrosis. Identifying predictors for HCC incidence in patients without advanced liver fibrosis will enable efficient post-SVR HCC surveillance. This study aimed to develop a scoring system to predict the incidence of HCC after SVR in HCV patients without advanced liver fibrosis.

METHODS

A total of 1682 HCV patients without advanced liver fibrosis (defined as Fibrosis-4 index <3.25) with no history of HCC who initiated direct-acting antiviral treatment between September 2014 and October 2020 at 26 institutions, and achieved SVR24, were included. We divided 1682 patients into training (1122) and validation (560) cohorts.

RESULTS

In the multivariate analysis, baseline age ≥ 65 years (p = 0.030), alanine aminotransferase (ALT) levels at SVR24 ≥ 30 U/l (p = 0.001), and α-fetoprotein (AFP) levels at SVR24 ≥ 5.0 ng/ml (p = 0.001) were independent predictors for HCC incidence in the training cohort. We developed a scoring system to predict HCC incidence after SVR24 using these three factors (1 point was added for each factor). The cumulative HCC incidence rates at 5 years were 7.1% in patients who scored 2 or 3, and no patients developed HCC in those who scored 0 in the validation cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

Our scoring system using the three factors of baseline age, ALT levels at SVR, and AFP levels at SVR is useful for post-SVR HCC surveillance of patients without advanced liver fibrosis.

General evaluation score for predicting the development of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with advanced liver fibrosis associated with hepatitis C virus genotype 1 or 2 after direct‐acting antiviral therapy

Background and Aim

To validate a composite predictive model for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development in patients with advanced liver fibrosis associated with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) who have received direct‐acting antiviral (DAA) therapy and achieved sustained virologic response (SVR).

Methods

This study included 1258 patients with advanced liver fibrosis associated with HCV genotype 1, 2, or both. General evaluation score (GES), which is based on sex, age, fibrosis stage, albumin, and α‐fetoprotein, was used as a composite predictive model.

Results

There were 645 (51.3%) patients in the low‐risk group, 228 (18.1%) in the intermediate‐risk group, and 385 (30.6%) in the high‐risk group based on GES categories. The 12‐, 36‐, and 60‐month cumulative incidence of HCC was 0.7%, 5.3%, and 13.0%, respectively. Multivariable analysis with Cox proportional hazards models showed that male sex (hazard ratio [HR], 1.863; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.204–2.883), F4 fibrosis stage (HR, 3.199; 95% CI, 1.696–6.036), and albumin (HR, 0.489; 95% CI, 0.288–0.828) are independently associated with HCC development. The incidence of HCC differed significantly by GES‐based risk category (P < 0.001). Cox proportional hazards models showed that, with the low‐risk group as the referent, the HR for HCC development was 1.875 (95% CI, 1.000–3.514) in the intermediate‐risk group and 2.819 (95% CI, 1.716–4.630) in the high‐risk group. GES had better predictive ability for HCC development than fibrosis‐4 index according to time‐dependent receiver operating characteristic analysis.

Conclusion

GES is useful for predicting HCC development in patients with advanced liver fibrosis after SVR.

Association between direct-acting antiviral agents in hepatitis C virus treatment and hepatocellular carcinoma occurrence and recurrence: The endless debate

Since direct-acting antiviral agents (DAAs) have been introduced into hepatitis C virus treatment, the sustained viral response (SVR) rate has significantly increased to more than 95%. Scientific evidence supports the idea that SVR after interferon therapy has beneficial effects related to cirrhosis progression, resulting in a reduction in the incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, a significant debate exists related to DAA impact on HCC development. We reviewed the current literature highlighting the controversial data related to DAA association with de novo HCC occurrence or recurrence and possible pathophysiology of HCC related to DAAs. After a review of the published literature, we believe that the current evidence does not confirm or repudiate a higher rate of de novo HCC occurrence or recurrence related to DAA therapy. More trials are needed to determine if there is an association between HCC occurrence or recurrence and DAA or if it is related to preexisting liver cirrhosis.

The impact of background liver disease on the long-term prognosis of very-early-stage HCC after ablation therapy

Background and aim

The long-term prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) treated at a very-early-stage (the Barcelona Clinical Liver Cancer (BCLC) classification stage 0) was unclear, especially in terms of background liver disease.

Methods

This single-center, retrospective study included 302 patients with BCLC stage 0 HCC treated with radiofrequency ablation (RFA) and followed for at least six months. We examined the impact of background liver disease on overall survival and recurrence.

Results

The median age was 72 (range; 36–91) years; the median tumor diameter was 15 (range; 8–20) mm. The etiologies of background liver disease were hepatitis B virus infection (HBV) in 24 cases, hepatitis C virus infection (HCV) in 195 cases, and non-viral (NBNC) in 83 cases. Among the patients with HCV, 63 had achieved sustained virological response (SVR) by antiviral therapy (HCV SVR) before developing HCC (n = 37) or after HCC treatment (n = 26), and 132 had active HCV infection (HCV non-SVR). The median overall survival was 85 (95% CI; 72–98) months, and the median recurrence-free survival was 26 (95% CI; 20–30) months. Active infection with hepatitis C virus negatively contributed to overall survival (HR 2.91, 95% CI 1.31–3.60, p = 0.003) and recurrence-free survival (HR 1.47, 95% CI 1.06–2.05, p = 0.011).

Conclusions

The prognosis of RFA treatment for very early-stage HCC was favorable. Achieving SVR in hepatitis C was important for further prognosis improvement.

Liver-related events after direct-acting antiviral therapy in patients with hepatitis C virus-associated cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

Direct-acting antiviral (DAA) therapy enables a high rate of sustained virologic response (SVR) in patients with hepatitis C virus associated cirrhosis. However, the impact of DAA therapy on liver-related events in patients with cirrhosis is unclear.

METHODS

A total of 350 patients with compensated and decompensated cirrhosis administered DAA therapy at 29 Japanese hospitals were enrolled (Child-Pugh class A [CP-A]: 195 patients, CP-B: 131 patients and CP-C: 24 patients).

RESULTS

The SVR rates of patients with CP-A, CP-B and CP-C were 96.9%, 93.1% and 83.3%, respectively (p = 0.006). Seventy patients developed hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and male sex, previous HCC treatment, platelet counts < 10.0 × 10⁴/µl, alpha-fetoprotein levels ≥ 5.0 ng/ml and CP-C were identified as significant factors in the multivariate analysis. The cumulative HCC occurrence/recurrence rates at 1 year were 6.6%/45.2%. The cumulative rate of decompensated cirrhotic events requiring hospital admission at 1 year was 9.1%. In the multivariate analysis, CP-B and CP-C were identified as significant factors. During the median observation period of 14.9 months, 13 patients died and one patient received liver transplant. The overall survival rates at 1 year were 98.4% in patients with CP-A, 96.4% in those with CP-B and 85.6% in those with CP-C (CP-A vs. CP-B: p = 0.759, CP-A vs. CP-C: p = 0.001 and CP-B vs. CP-C: p = 0.005).

CONCLUSIONS

HCC development and mortality in patients with CP-B were not different from those with CP-A. On the other hand, in patients with CP-C, the development of HCC and decompensated cirrhotic events requiring hospital admission, and death were frequent.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

University Hospital Medical Information Network (UMIN000036150).

A validation study of after direct-acting antivirals recommendation for surveillance score for the development of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with hepatitis C virus infection who had received direct-acting antiviral therapy and achieved sustained virological response

Background and Aim

The pathogenic process underlying the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is not yet clear in patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV) who have received direct-acting antiviral (DAA) therapy and achieved sustained virological response (SVR). This study validated a composite predictive model for HCC in these patients.

Methods

This study included 3058 patients in whom HCV was eradicated with DAA therapy. After DAAs recommendation for surveillance (ADRES) score, which is based on sex, FIB-4 index, and α-fetoprotein, was used as a composite predictive model for HCC development.

Results

The 1-, 3-, and 5-year cumulative incidence rates of HCC were 0.9, 4.5, and 15.2%, respectively. Multivariate analysis with Cox proportional hazards models showed that male sex (hazard ratio [HR], 2.646; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.790-3.911), FIB-4 index >3.25 (HR, 2.891; 95% CI, 1.947-4.293), and α-fetoprotein >5 ng/mL (HR, 2.835; 95% CI, 1.914-4.200) are independently associated with HCC development. The incidence of HCC differed significantly by ADRES score (P < 0.001). Cox proportional hazards models showed that compared to the ADRES score 0 group, the HR for HCC development was 2.947 (95% CI, 1.367-6.354) in the ADRES score 1 group, 9.171 (95% CI, 4.339-19.380) in the ADRES score 2 group, and 20.630 (95% CI, 8.641-49.230) in the ADRES score 3 group. ADRES score had superior predictive power for HCC development compared with the FIB-4 index and α-fetoprotein according to time-dependent receiver operating characteristic analysis.

Conclusion

The ADRES score is useful for predicting HCC development after SVR.

A Novel Standard for Hepatocellular Carcinoma Screening Intensity After Hepatitis C Elimination

Purpose

To investigate long-term incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and the factors associated with HCC occurrence after achieving sustained virological response (SVR) by direct-acting antiviral agent (DAA) treatment for hepatitis C virus (HCV).

Methods

A total of 476 patients (male 227, female 249; median age 68) with chronic HCV infection who were treated with DAAs and achieved SVR were analyzed. The incidence of HCC and factors related to the development of HCC after HCV elimination were evaluated.

Results

The median observation period was 46.4 months. During this period, 40 patients developed HCC. The incidence rates of HCC were 3.7%, 6.0%, 7.1%, 9.3%, and 10.6% at 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5 years post-SVR12, respectively. Multivariate analysis with pre-treatment factors revealed that platelet count, α-fetoprotein, fibrosis-4 (Fib-4) index, and previous HCC history were independent factors that contributed to development of HCC post-SVR following DAA treatment. Of these factors, previous HCC history was the most significant, followed by Fib-4 index. Using these two factors, a novel scoring system was established. The presence of previous HCC history was scored as 2, and then, the absence of previous HCC history was stratified by Fib-4 index (≥3.07, 1; <3.07, 0). The HCC occurrence rate at 5 years was 0.4% in the 0-point group, 6.8% in the 1-point group, and 55.6% in the 2-point group, respectively.

Conclusion

Fib-4 index and previous HCC history were independent predictors for development of HCC after DAA treatment. Patients with these risk factors require careful observation.

Prediction model for hepatocellular carcinoma occurrence in patients with hepatitis C in the era of direct-acting anti-virals

BACKGROUND

Several factors associated with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) occurrence after sustained virological response (SVR) in patients with hepatitis C have been reported. However, few validation studies have been performed in the era of direct-acting anti-virals (DAAs).

AIMS

To develop a prediction model for HCC occurrence after DAA-mediated SVR and validate its usefulness.

METHODS

We analysed 2209 patients with SVR and without a history of HCC who initiated DAA treatment at 24 Japanese hospitals. These patients were divided into a training set (1473 patients) and a validation set (736 patients).

RESULTS

In the training set, multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis showed that the baseline BMI (≥25.0 kg/m² , P = 0.024), baseline fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index (≥3.25, P = 0.001), albumin level at SVR (<4.0 g/dL, P = 0.010) and alpha-foetoprotein level at SVR (≥5.0 ng/mL, P = 0.006) were significantly associated with HCC occurrence. We constructed a prediction model for HCC occurrence with these four factors (2 points were added for the FIB-4 index, and 1 point was added for each of the other three factors). Receiver operating characteristics curve analysis identified a score of 2 as the optimal cut-off value for the prediction model (divided into 0-1 and 2-5). In the validation set, the sensitivity and negative predictive value for HCC occurrence were 87.5% and 99.7%, respectively, at 2 years and 71.4% and 98.0%, respectively, at 3 years.

CONCLUSION

A prediction model combining these four factors contributes to an efficient surveillance strategy for HCC occurrence after DAA-mediated SVR.

Treatment progress and expansion in Japan: From interferon to direct-acting antiviral

Hepatitis C virus (HCV) was first discovered in 1989, and patients infected with HCV were initially treated with interferon (IFN) monotherapy. In the 2000s, pegylated IFN combined with ribavirin was the mainstay of therapy for infected patients, but the sustained virologic response (SVR) rate was less than 50% for patients with HCV genotype 1. To further improve the therapeutic effect, direct-acting antiviral (DAA) was developed, and combination therapy with DAA and IFN has been available since 2011. In addition, IFN-free DAA therapy became available in 2014, and SVR was achieved in more than 95% of patients with chronic hepatitis and compensated cirrhosis. Thus, in just 30 years since the discovery of HCV, we aim to eliminate HCV in almost all patients. However, there are remaining issues to be addressed. Many of the patients who achieved SVR with DAA therapy had advanced liver fibrosis, and it is necessary to verify to what extent DAA therapy improves their prognosis in terms of liver function, hepatocellular carcinoma occurrence, and mortality. Resistance-associated substitutions can cause failure of DAA therapy, and the search for an effective therapy for high-level resistant viruses such as P32 deletion is particularly important. DAA therapy was approved for use in patients with decompensated cirrhosis in Japan in 2019, which is an unmet need so far. It is also important to verify the efficacy and safety in real-world settings. The World Health Organization aims to eliminate HCV by 2030, and Japan must tackle its remaining issues to achieve this goal.

Hepatocellular Carcinoma Recurrence after Hepatitis C Virus Therapy with Direct-Acting Antivirals. A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a major cause of morbidity and mortality among patients with cirrhosis. The risk of HCC recurrence after a complete response among patients treated with direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) has not been fully elucidated yet.

AIM

To assess the risk of HCC recurrence after DAA therapy for hepatitis C virus (HCV).

METHODS

A systematic review across PubMed, Scopus and Scholar up to November 2020, including full-text studies that assessed the pattern of HCC recurrence after DAA therapy for HCV. Random-effect meta-analysis and univariable metaregression were applied to obtain pooled estimates for proportions and relative risk (RR) and variables influential for the outcome, respectively.

RESULTS

Thirty-one studies with 2957 patients were included. Overall, 30% (CI, 26-34%) of the patients with a history of HCC experienced HCC recurrence after DAA therapy, at mean time intervals ranging from 4 to 21 months. This result increased when going from European studies (23%, CI, 17-28%) to US studies (34%, CI, 30-38%), to Egyptian studies (37%, CI, 27-47%), and to Asian studies (33%, CI, 27-40%). Sixty-eight percent (CI, 45-91%) of recurrent HCCs developed within 6 months of follow-up since DAA treatment, among the eight studies providing stratified data. Among the studies providing head-to-head comparisons, the HCC recurrence risk was significantly lower after DAA therapy than IFN (RR, 0.64; CI, 0.51-0.81), and after DAA therapy than no intervention (RR, 0.68; CI, 0.49-0.94).

CONCLUSIONS

The recurrence of HCC after DAA is not negligible, being higher soon after the end of treatment and among non-European countries. DAA therapy seems to reduce the risk of HCC recurrence compared to an IFN regimen and no intervention.