Improvement of mortality prediction accuracy in critically ill patients through combination of SOFA and APACHE II score with markers of stress haematopoiesis

Nucleated red blood cells are a late biomarker in predicting intensive care unit mortality in patients with COVID-19 acute respiratory distress syndrome: an observational cohort study

Background

Nucleated red blood cells (nRBC) are precursor cells of the erythropoiesis that are absent from the peripheral blood under physiological conditions. Their presence is associated with adverse outcomes in critically ill patients. This study aimed to evaluate the predictive value of nRBC on mortality in intensive care unit (ICU) patients with COVID-19 acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS).

Material and methods

This retrospective, observational cohort study analyzed data on 206 ICU patients diagnosed with COVID-19 ARDS between March 2020 and March 2022. The primary endpoint was ICU mortality, and secondary endpoints included ICU and hospital stay lengths, ventilation hours, and the time courses of disease severity scores and clinical and laboratory parameters.

Results

Among the included patients, 68.9% tested positive for nRBC at least once during their ICU stay. A maximum nRBC of 105 µl-1 had the highest accuracy in predicting ICU mortality (area under the curve of the receiver operating characteristic [AUCROC] 0.780, p < 0.001, sensitivity 69.0%, specificity 75.5%). Mortality was significantly higher among patients with nRBC >105 µl-1 than ≤105 µl-1 (86.5% vs. 51.3%, p = 0.008). Compared to patients negative for nRBC in their peripheral blood, those positive for nRBC required longer mechanical ventilation (127 [44 - 289] h vs. 517 [255 - 950] h, p < 0.001), ICU stays (12 [8 - 19] vs. 27 [13 - 51] d, p < 0.001), and hospital stays (19 [12 - 29] d vs. 31 [16 - 58] d, p < 0.001). Peak Sepsis-related Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA), Simplified Acute Physiology Score, PaO2/FiO2, interleukin-6, and procalcitonin values were reached before the peak nRBC level. However, the predictive performance of the SOFA (AUCROC 0.842, p < 0.001) was considerably improved when a maximum SOFA score >8 and nRBC >105 µl-1 were combined.

Discussion

nRBC predict ICU mortality and indicate disease severity among patients with COVID-19 ARDS, and they should be considered a clinical alarm signal for a worse outcome. nRBC are a late predictor of ICU mortality compared to other established clinical scoring systems and laboratory parameters but improve the prediction accuracy when combined with the SOFA score.

Hematological parameters: is there a difference between those released by the hematological analyzer and to the customer?

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to compare the hematological parameters released by hematological analyzers with those released in customer reports.

METHODS

We conducted a descriptive study in the laboratories of a medium-sized municipality in the state of Minas Gerais registered in the National Register of Health Establishments. Interviews were conducted using a questionnaire to obtain information regarding the parameters released by the analyzers and those available in the customer's report.

RESULTS

Sixteen laboratories were evaluated, and none of them released all the parameters obtained from the hematological analyzers to customers. The red blood cell distribution width was released in 88% of the laboratories, atypical lymphocytes in 70%, mean platelet volume in 50%, platelet distribution width and platelet count in 20%. No laboratory released information on reticulocytes, fraction of immature reticulocytes and immature granulocytes, nucleated erythrocyte count, immature platelet fraction and reticulocyte hemoglobin, and large platelet rate.

CONCLUSION

All evaluated clinical analysis laboratories had at least one parameter that was not released in the customer's report despite being released by the hematological analyzers. The lack of knowledge on the part of professionals about the clinical importance of each parameter of the complete blood count results in a loss in patient assessment, and it is important to include these parameters in the complete blood count report.

Usefulness of sequential organ failure assessment score on admission to predict the 90-day mortality in patients with exertional heatstroke: An over 10-year intensive care survey

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Despite a growing understanding of exertional heatstroke (EHS), there is a paucity of clinical evidence for risk-stratification of patients with EHS. The objective of this study was to identify an appropriate scoring system for prognostic assessment of EHS.

METHODS

This was a retrospective cohort study of all patients with EHS admitted to intensive care unit (ICU) of the General Hospital of Southern Theatre Command of PLA between October 2008 and May 2019. Inflammatory indices and organ function parameters at admission, the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) scores, Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) scores, and Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score were collected. Risk factors for 90-day mortality were identified using multivariate Cox proportional hazard risk regression model.

RESULTS

189 patients (all male) were finally included, with a median age of 21.0 years (IQR 19.0-27.0), median APACHE II score of 11.0 (IQR 8.0-16.0), median SOFA score of 3.0 (IQR 2.0-6.0), and median GCS score of 12.0 (IQR 7.0-14.0). There were 166 survivors (87.8%) and 23 non-survivors (12.2%). Compared with survivor group, non-survivors had higher incidence of severe organ damage, including rhabdomyolysis (46.1% vs 63.6%), disseminated intravascular coagulation (25.6% vs 90.0%), acute liver injury (69.4% vs 95.7%), and acute kidney injury (36.6% vs 95.7%). Multivariate Cox risk regression model showed that SOFA score was an independent risk factor for 90-day mortality, with an optimal cutoff score of 7.5.

CONCLUSIONS

SOFA score may be a clinically useful predictor of death in EHS. Prospective studies are required to confirm the effectiveness of SOFA score and the optimal cutoff level.

Prognostic Value of Nucleated RBCs for Patients With Suspected Sepsis in the Emergency Department: A Single-Center Prospective Cohort Study

Supplemental Digital Content is available in the text.

OBJECTIVES:

Increase of nucleated RBCs in peripheral blood has been shown to be predictive of mortality in ICU patients. The aim of this study was to explore the prognostic value of nucleated RBCs in the first blood sample taken at admission to the emergency department from patients with suspected sepsis.

DESIGN:

Single-center prospective cohort study.

SETTING:

Emergency department.

PATIENTS:

One-thousand two-hundred thirty-one consecutive adult patients with suspected sepsis were included in a prospective quality register-based cohort study. Inclusion criteria were as follows: patients received in rapid response team with blood cultures taken and immediate antibiotics given in the emergency department.

Intervention:

Not applicable.

MEASUREMENT AND MAIN RESULTS:

Nucleated RBCs, Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score, Quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment, Charlson Comorbidity Index, and commonly used laboratory tests measured in the emergency department were compared with 30-day mortality. Nvaucleated RBC counts were divided into five groups, called “Nucleated RBC score,” according to nucleated RBC count levels and analyzed with logistic regression together with the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score and Charlson Comorbidity Index. Of the 262 patients with nucleated RBCs equal to or higher than the detection limit (0.01 × 10⁹/L), 26% died within 30 days, compared with 12% of the 969 patients with nucleated RBCs below the detection limit (p < 0.0001). Mortality was significantly higher for each increase in Nucleated RBC score, except from score 2 to 3, and was 62% in the highest group. In multivariate logistic regression, odds ratios for 30-day mortality were as follows: Nucleated RBC score: 1.33 (95% CI, 1.13–1.56), Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score: 1.32 (1.29–1.56), and Charlson Comorbidity Index: 1.17 (1.09–1.25).

CONCLUSIONS:

Most patients with suspected sepsis in emergency department had undetectable nucleated RBCs at admission to the emergency department. However, increased nucleated RBCs significantly predicted 30-day mortality. Nucleated RBCs may provide additional prognostic information to Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score and other laboratory tests.

Prognostic impacts of peripheral blood erythroblasts after single-unit cord blood transplantation

INTRODUCTION

The appearance of erythroblasts (EBLs) in peripheral blood occurs in a variety of serious conditions and has been associated with mortality in critically ill patients. However, the incidence, risk factor, and outcomes of EBLs after cord blood transplantation (CBT) remain unclear.

METHODS

We have investigated the impact of EBLs on transplant outcomes on 225 adult patients who underwent single-unit CBT at our single institute.

RESULTS

The cumulative incidences of EBL ≥200 × 10⁶ /L and EBL ≥1000 × 10⁶ /L at 60 days after CBT were 17% and 4%, respectively, detected after a median of 35 days and 36.5 days. Multivariate analysis using erythroblastosis as time-dependent covariates demonstrated the significant association of EBL ≥1000 × 10⁶ /L, but not EBL ≥200 × 10⁶ /L, with the development of grade III-IV acute graft-versus-host disease (GVHD, hazard ratio [HR]: 18.56; P < .001), higher nonrelapse mortality (HR: 13.38; P < .001), and overall mortality (HR: 4.97; P = .001).

CONCLUSION

These data suggested that higher levels of EBLs were recognized as a significant risk factor for severe acute GVHD and mortality after single-unit CBT. Higher levels of EBLs may serve as a surrogate marker for poor single CBT outcomes.