Charlson comorbidity index scores and in-hospital prognosis of patients with severe acute respiratory infections

Clinical success of anti-infective combination therapy compare to monotherapy in patients with carbapenem-resistant Pseudomonas aeruginosa infection: a 10-years retrospective study

BACKGROUND

Carbapenem-resistant Pseudomonas aeruginosa (CRPA) infection has become a major public health concern. The recommendations for monotherapy and combination therapy in the current guidelines lack sufficient evidence to support them. The primary objective of this study is to determine the effectiveness of anti-Infective combination therapy compared to monotherapy in achieving clinical success in patients with CRPA infection and risk factors of clinical failure of monotherapy.

METHODS

A retrospective study from Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV) was conducted. We included adults with infections caused by CRPA. The outcomes of this study were clinical success, complete clinical success, and 28-day all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

A total of 279 subjects were finally enrolled. The rate of clinical success for combination therapy was higher than that for monotherapy (73.1% versus 60.4%, p=0.028). Compared to clinical failure patients, patients in the clinical success group were more likely to die within 28 days after CRPA was found (48.3% versus 3.6%, p<0.001). In a multivariate logistic regression analysis, monotherapy was found to be significantly correlated with clinical success (OR, 0.559, 95% CI, 0.321-0.976; p = 0.041).

CONCLUSION

Combination therapy is more effective for CRPA infection patients, especially those whose SOFA score is ≥ 2 or whose Charlson comorbidity index is ≥ 6.

Renal safety of zoledronic acid in patients with osteoporosis: a retrospective study

INTRODUCTION

This study aimed to investigate the renal safety of Zoledronic Acid (ZOL) in patients with osteoporosis (OP).

METHODS

A total of 1379 patients (baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate, eGFR ≥ 60 mL/min/1.73 m2) with primary OP who received ZOL from January 2008 to October 2020 at our hospital were retrospectively analyzed. Baseline and the changes in renal function within 1 year following infusions were collected, the incidence of renal impairment (eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 or a > 25% reduction in the eGFR from baseline) was noted and the risk factors were analyzed. Furthermore, the changes in renal function between a 3-year consecutive infusion and a single infusion of ZOL were compared.

RESULTS

Renal impairment occurred in 8.05% of patients, who with a significantly higher age, Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI), smoking history, combination of hypertension or diabetes mellitus and worse renal function indicators (all P < 0.05). Binary logistic regression analysis showed that higher CCI (≥5) or smoking history or the baseline eGFR <90 mL/min/1.73 m2 were the risk factors for renal impairment (all P < 0.05). Patients of 3-year continuous infusion group had a significantly greater drop in the eGFR levels than the single infusion group after 1 year of infusion(s) (P < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

Attention should be given to possible potential renal impairment following ZOL infusion in clinical practice for the management of OP, particularly in patients with higher CCI (≥5) or smoking history or the baseline eGFR <90 mL/min/1.73 m2. Continuous infusion of ZOL exerts a significant impact on renal function when compared to single infusion and intensive monitoring of renal function is necessary.

Mortality and Morbidity of Human Metapneumovirus Infection in the Pre-COVID-19 Era: The Value of the Charlson Comorbidity Index on Outcome Prediction

INTRODUCTION

Human metapneumovirus (HMPV) is an important cause of seasonal respiratory tract infections, mainly in children and immunocompromised adults. The use of the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) to predict outcomes in hospitalized patients has been validated in several settings.

OBJECTIVE

This study aims to describe the clinical characteristics of adult patients with HMPV infection and evaluate the value of the CCI in predicting outcomes in patients with acute HMPV infections requiring hospitalization.

METHOD

This is a single-center case-series study of hospitalized patients with HMPV infection in 2017.

RESULTS

Twenty-two adult patients with a mean age of 65 years were reviewed. The mean CCI was 4.6±2.6. The overall mortality was 22%. An abnormal chest X-ray (CXR) was reported in 15 patients. CCI was not different between survivors and non-survivors. Non-survivors were more likely to have abnormal CXR and a higher fever at the time of diagnosis, required mechanical ventilation, or had other concomitant infections.

CONCLUSION

The average CCI was 4.5, which was not significantly different between survivors and non-survivors. The mortality rate was elevated by 22% and was likely associated with admission to the ICU as well as the presence of another concomitant infection.

ACCI could be a poor prognostic indicator for the in-hospital mortality of patients with SFTS

This study aims to evaluate the predictive role of age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index (ACCI) scores for in-hospital prognosis of severe fever in thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS) patients. A total of 192 patients diagnosed with SFTS were selected as the study subjects. Clinical data were retrospectively collected. Receiver operating characteristic curves were used to evaluate the diagnostic value of ACCI for the mortality of SFTS patients, and Cox regression models were used to assess the association between predictive factors and prognosis. The 192 SFTS patients were divided into two groups according to the clinical endpoints (survivors/non-survivors). The results showed that the mortality of the 192 hospitalized SFTS patients was 26.6%. The ACCI score of the survivor group was significantly lower than that of the non-survivor group. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that the increased ACCI score was a significant predictor of poor prognosis in SFTS. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed that SFTS patients with an ACCI >2.5 had shorter mean survival times, indicating a poor prognosis. Our findings suggest that ACCI, as an easy-to-use clinical indicator, may offer a simple and feasible approach for clinicians to determine the severity of SFTS.

Safety profile and outcomes of intraoperative ultrasound-guided remnant cholecystectomy

INTRODUCTION

Subtotal cholecystectomy (STC) is a safe approach in difficult cholecystectomies to prevent bile duct and vascular injury. However, the gallbladder remnant can become symptomatic, necessitating further surgical intervention. This study evaluates the safety profile and perioperative outcomes of remnant cholecystectomy (RC) performed under intraoperative ultrasound guidance.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed the records of all patients that underwent RC under intraoperative ultrasound guidance in 2009 and 2019. Pre-, intra- and postoperative details of patients who underwent RC were obtained from patients' electronic and paper copy records.

RESULTS

Ninety-seven patients underwent STC during the study period. Of this cohort, 16 patients (16.5%) presented with symptomatic gallbladder remnant over a median follow-up period of 14 months (interquartile range [IQR] 2-26). The median age was 64 years (IQR 54-69) with an equal male-to-female distribution. The median body mass index was 31kg/m2 (IQR 28-33). Twelve of 16 patients (75%) then proceeded to elective RC. Intraoperative ultrasound was used in all cases to identify the location of the remnant gallbladder and biliary anatomy. The median operative time was 88min (IQR 80-96), with 67% completed laparoscopically. No patients suffered bile duct injury. The median hospital stay was 3 days (IQR 1-5). During the follow-up period, eight patients (67%) reported symptom resolution.

CONCLUSIONS

RC is a safe operation that can be performed laparoscopically even after previous open subtotal cholecystectomy. We recommend the routine use of intraoperative ultrasound as an adjunct for identifying remnant gallbladder and biliary anatomy in all patients.

Crosswalk between Charlson Comorbidity Index and the American Society of Anesthesiologists Physical Status Score for Geriatric Trauma Assessment

The American Society of Anesthesiologists Physical Status (ASA-PS) grade better risk stratifies geriatric trauma patients, but it is only reported in patients scheduled for surgery. The Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI), however, is available for all patients. This study aims to create a crosswalk from the CCI to ASA-PS. Geriatric trauma cases, aged 55 years and older with both ASA-PS and CCI values (N = 4223), were used for the analysis. We assessed the relationship between CCI and ASA-PS, adjusting for age, sex, marital status, and body mass index. We reported the predicted probabilities and the receiver operating characteristics. A CCI of zero was highly predictive of ASA-PS grade 1 or 2, and a CCI of 1 or higher was highly predictive of ASA-PS grade 3 or 4. Additionally, while a CCI of 3 predicted ASA-PS grade 4, a CCI of 4 and higher exhibited greater accuracy in predicting ASA-PS grade 4. We created a formula that may accurately situate a geriatric trauma patient in the appropriate ASA-PS grade after adjusting for age, sex, marital status, and body mass index. In conclusion, ASA-PS grades can be predicted from CCI, and this may aid in generating more predictive trauma models.

Carbapenem-resistant Gram-negative pathogens associated with septic shock: a review of 120 cases

This study aimed to evaluate the influencing variables for outcomes in patients with septic shock having culture-proven carbapenem-resistant Gram-negative pathogens. It included 120 patients (mean age 64.29 ± 1.35 years and 58.3% female). The mean Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score during septic shock diagnosis was found to be 11.22 ± 0.43 and 9 ± 0.79 among the patients with mortality and among the survivors, respectively (P = 0.017). The logistic regression analysis showed that empirical treatment as mono Gram-negative bacteria-oriented antibiotic therapy (P = 0.016, odds ratio (OR) = 17.730, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.728-182.691), Charlson Comorbidity Index >2 (P = 0.032, OR = 7.312, 95% CI: 5.7-18.3), and systemic inflammatory response syndrome score 3 or 4 during septic shock diagnosis (P = 0.014, OR = 5.675, 95% CI: 1.424-22.619) were found as independent risk factors for day 30 mortality. Despite early diagnosis and effective management of patients with septic shock, the mortality rates are quite high in CRGNP-infected patients.

Combination of Prehospital NT-proBNP with qSOFA and NEWS to Predict Sepsis and Sepsis-Related Mortality

Background. The aim of this study was to assess the role of prehospital point-of-care N-terminal probrain natriuretic peptide to predict sepsis, septic shock, or in-hospital sepsis-related mortality. Methods. A prospective, emergency medical service-delivered, prognostic, cohort study of adults evacuated by ambulance and admitted to emergency department between January 2020 and May 2021. The discriminative power of the predictive variable was assessed through a prediction model trained using the derivation cohort and evaluated by the area under the curve of the receiver operating characteristic on the validation cohort. Results. A total of 1,360 patients were enrolled with medical disease in the study. The occurrence of sepsis, septic shock, and in-hospital sepsis-related mortality was 6.4% (67 cases), 4.2% (44 cases), and 6.1% (64 cases). Prehospital National Early Warning Score 2 had superior predictive validity than quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment and N-terminal probrain natriuretic peptide for detecting sepsis and septic shock, but N-terminal probrain natriuretic peptide outperformed both scores in in-hospital sepsis-related mortality estimation. Application of N-terminal probrain natriuretic peptide to subgroups of the other two scores improved the identification of sepsis, septic shock, and sepsis-related mortality in the group of patients with low-risk scoring. Conclusions. The incorporation of N-terminal probrain natriuretic peptide in prehospital care combined with already existing scores could improve the identification of sepsis, septic shock, and sepsis-related mortality.

Association of the novel CROW-65 risk score and mortality in hospitalized kidney transplant recipients with COVID-19 : A retrospective observational study

BACKGROUND

Kidney transplant recipients (KTR) are a group of patients with heterogeneous risks for adverse outcomes with COVID-19, but risk stratification tools in this patient group are lacking.

METHODS AND PARTICIPANTS

This retrospective observational, hypothesis-generating study included 49 hospitalized adult KTR patients with COVID-19 at the University Hospital of Split (August 2020 to October 2021) and evaluated the performance of novel risk score CROW-65 (age, Charlson Comorbidity Index [CCI] lactate dehydrogenase to white blood cell [LDH:WBC] ratio, and respiratory rate oxygenation [ROX index]). The primary outcome of the study was 30-day postdischarge all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

A total of 8 fatal events (16.3%) occurred during the study follow-up. When comparing CROW-65 by survival status, it was significantly increased in patients with fatal event (P < 0.001). Using the Cox proportional hazards regression analysis, the CROW-65 risk score showed statistically significant association with mortality (HR 1.11, 95% CI 1.01-1.23, P = 0.027), while receiving operator characteristics (ROC) showed significant discrimination of all-cause mortality with an AUC of 0.85 (95% CI 0.72-0.94, P < 0.001), and satisfactory calibration (χ² 4.91, P = 0.555 and Harrell's C 0.835). Finally, survival Kaplan-Meier analysis confirmed significantly higher cumulative incidence of mortality with increasing risk score tertiles and curve separation after 13 days (P = 0.009).

CONCLUSION

A novel risk score CROW-65 showed significant association with all-cause mortality in KTR yielding important hypothesis-generating findings. Further powered studies should reassess the performance of CROW-65 risk score in this population, including predictability, calibration and discrimination.

Prevalence and mortality of cardiovascular events in patients with hyperthyroidism: a nationwide cohort study in the United States

Background

Little is known about the implications of hyperthyroidism on cardiovascular diseases like myocardial infarctions (MI), ischemic strokes, and hemorrhagic strokes. Previous studies implicate hyperthyroidism as a risk factor for MI and ischemic stroke. Cardiovascular disease is the leading cause of death in the US, and the possibility of hyperthyroidism contributing to this disease burden warrants investigation in a US patient population.

Methods

The National Readmission Database (NRD) from 2010 to 2017 was used to identify adults who had a new-onset diagnosis of MI, ischemic stroke, or hemorrhagic stroke. Risk factors for mortality, prolonged hospital stay, and hospital cost were analyzed with binary logistic regression.

Results

A total of 278,609,748 hospital records were reviewed. Of these, 15,685,461 were hospitalized for adverse cardiovascular events with concomitant hyperthyroidism, roughly 4.5 per 1,000 cases. Patients with MI and hemorrhagic stroke with thyrotoxicosis had a lower mortality rate than euthyroid patients (OR 0.81, 95% CI: 0.78-0.84, P<0.001 and OR 0.72, 95% CI: 0.67-0.77, P<0.001, respectively). Thyrotoxicosis was associated with increased hospital stay (MI: OR 1.35, 95% CI: 1.32-1.38, P<0.001; ischemic: OR 1.38, 95% CI: 1.35-1.41, P<0.001; hemorrhagic: OR 1.33, 95% CI: 1.25-1.40, P<0.001), expenditures in ischemic (OR 1.31, 95% CI: 1.28-1.34, P<0.001) and hemorrhagic stroke patients (OR 1.18, 95% CI: 1.12-1.24, P<0.001).

Conclusions

Patients that experienced MI or hemorrhagic stroke with concomitant thyrotoxicosis were observed to have a lower mortality rate than euthyroid patients but had with an increased length of hospital stay. Patients who had ischemic or hemorrhagic stroke with thyrotoxicosis had a significantly higher hospital cost. The hyperdynamic state underlying hyperthyroidism may be protective in these adverse events. Further studies into these physiological changes are warranted.

Comorbidity-adjusted NEWS predicts mortality in suspected patients with COVID-19 from nursing homes: Multicentre retrospective cohort study

Aims

To assess the prognostic accuracy of comorbidity‐adjusted National Early Warning Score in suspected Coronavirus disease 2019 patients transferred from nursing homes by the Emergency Department.

Design

Multicentre retrospective cohort study.

Methods

Patients transferred by high‐priority ambulances from nursing homes to Emergency Departments with suspected severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 infection, from March 12 to July 31 2020, were considered. Included variables were: clinical covariates (respiratory rate, oxygen saturation, systolic blood pressure, heart rate, temperature, level of consciousness and supplemental oxygen use), the presence of comorbidities and confirmatory analytical diagnosis of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 infection. The primary outcome was a 2‐day mortality rate. The discriminatory capability of the National Early Warning Score was assessed by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve in two different cohorts, the validation and the revalidation, which were randomly selected from the main cohort.

Results

A total of 337 nursing homes, 10 advanced life support units, 51 basic life support units and 8 hospitals in Spain entailing 1,324 patients (median age 87 years) was involved in this study. Two‐day mortality was 11.5% (152 cases), with a positivity rate of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 of 51.2%, 77.7% of hospitalization from whom 1% was of intensive care unit admission. The National Early Warning Score results for the revalidation cohort presented an AUC of 0.771, and of 0.885, 0.778 and 0.730 for the low‐, medium‐ and high‐level groups of comorbidities.

Conclusion

The comorbidity‐adjusted National Early Warning Score provides a good short‐term prognostic criterion, information that can help in the decision‐making process to guide the best strategy for each older adult, under the current pandemic.

Impact

What problem did the study address?

Under the current coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic, targeting older adults at high risk of deterioration in nursing homes remains challenging.

What were the main findings?

Comorbidity‐adjusted National Early Warning Score helps to forecast the risk of clinical deterioration more accurately.

Where and on whom will the research have impact?

A high NEWS, with a low level of comorbidity is associated with optimal predictive performance, making these older adults likely to benefit from continued follow up and potentially hospital referral under the current coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic.