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Dicu T, Cucoş A, Botoş M, Burghele B, Florică Ş, Baciu C, Ştefan B, Bălc R. Exploring statistical and machine learning techniques to identify factors influencing indoor radon concentration. THE SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 2023; 905:167024. [PMID: 37709073 DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.167024] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/14/2023] [Accepted: 09/10/2023] [Indexed: 09/16/2023]
Abstract
Radon is a radioactive gas with a carcinogenic effect. The malign effect on human health is, however, mostly influenced by the level of exposure. Dangerous exposure occurs predominantly indoors where the level of indoor radon concentration (IRC) is, in its turn, influenced by several factors. The current study aims to investigate the combined effects of geology, pedology, and house characteristics on the IRC based on 3132 passive radon measurements conducted in Romania. Several techniques for evaluating the impact of predictors on the dependent variable were used, from univariate statistics to artificial neural network and random forest regressor (RFR). The RFR model outperformed the other investigated models in terms of R2 (0.14) and RMSE (0.83) for the radon concentration, as a dependent continuous variable. Using IRC discretized into two classes, based on the median (115 Bq/m3), an AUC-ROC value of 0.61 was obtained for logistic regression and 0.62 for the random forest classifier. The presence of cellar beneath the investigated room, the construction period, the height above the sea level or the floor type are the main predictors determined by the models used.
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Affiliation(s)
- T Dicu
- "Constantin Cosma" Radon Laboratory (LiRaCC), Faculty of Environmental Science and Engineering, "Babeş-Bolyai" University, Fântânele Street, no. 30, Cluj-Napoca, Romania
| | - A Cucoş
- "Constantin Cosma" Radon Laboratory (LiRaCC), Faculty of Environmental Science and Engineering, "Babeş-Bolyai" University, Fântânele Street, no. 30, Cluj-Napoca, Romania.
| | - M Botoş
- Faculty of Civil Engineering, Technical University of Cluj-Napoca, C. Daicoviciu Street, no. 15, Cluj-Napoca, Romania
| | - B Burghele
- SC Radon Action SRL, Str. Mărginaşă 51, 400371 Cluj-Napoca, Romania
| | - Ş Florică
- "Constantin Cosma" Radon Laboratory (LiRaCC), Faculty of Environmental Science and Engineering, "Babeş-Bolyai" University, Fântânele Street, no. 30, Cluj-Napoca, Romania
| | - C Baciu
- "Constantin Cosma" Radon Laboratory (LiRaCC), Faculty of Environmental Science and Engineering, "Babeş-Bolyai" University, Fântânele Street, no. 30, Cluj-Napoca, Romania
| | - B Ştefan
- "Constantin Cosma" Radon Laboratory (LiRaCC), Faculty of Environmental Science and Engineering, "Babeş-Bolyai" University, Fântânele Street, no. 30, Cluj-Napoca, Romania
| | - R Bălc
- "Constantin Cosma" Radon Laboratory (LiRaCC), Faculty of Environmental Science and Engineering, "Babeş-Bolyai" University, Fântânele Street, no. 30, Cluj-Napoca, Romania
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Estimation of lung cancer deaths attributable to indoor radon exposure in upper northern Thailand. Sci Rep 2022; 12:5169. [PMID: 35338199 PMCID: PMC8956686 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-022-09122-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/17/2021] [Accepted: 03/17/2022] [Indexed: 01/09/2023] Open
Abstract
Radon exposure is the second leading cause of lung cancer, after smoking. In upper northern Thailand (UNT), lung cancer incidence was frequently reported by Thailand National Cancer Institute. Besides smoking, radon exposure may also influence the high lung cancer incidence in this region. Indoor radon concentrations were measured in 192 houses in eight provinces of UNT. Indoor radon concentrations ranged from 11 to 405 Bq m−3 and estimated annual effective dose ranged from 0.44 to 12.18 mSv y−1. There were significant differences in indoor radon concentrations between the houses of lung cancer cases and healthy controls (p = 0.033). We estimated that 26% of lung cancer deaths in males and 28% in females were attributable to indoor radon exposure in this region. Other factors influencing indoor radon levels included house characteristics and ventilation. The open window-to-wall ratio was negatively associated with indoor radon levels (B = −0.69, 95% CI −1.37, −0.02) while the bedroom location in the house and building material showed no association. Indoor radon hence induced the fractal proportion of lung cancer deaths in UNT.
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Vukotic P, Stojanovska Z, Antovic N. Developing a method for predicting radon concentrations above a reference level in new montenegrin buildings. JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RADIOACTIVITY 2021; 227:106500. [PMID: 33310605 DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvrad.2020.106500] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/01/2020] [Revised: 07/09/2020] [Accepted: 11/29/2020] [Indexed: 06/12/2023]
Abstract
Dependence of indoor radon concentrations (IRCs) in the ground floors of 1200 buildings across Montenegro on 11 factors was analyzed. A group of 734 buildings, for which none of the analyzed factors was missing, was further analyzed using the logistic regression method, in order to develop a prediction model for IRC occurrence above the national reference level for new buildings (200 Bq/m3). Applying the forward stepwise method, and based on likelihood ratios, five explanatory variables-municipality, type of building, presence of basement, window frames, and period of construction-were selected for including into the final logistic regression model for predicting probability of IRC > 200 Bq/m3. The final model explained 77.1% of the observed IRCs, while the obtained Area under the Curve of 0.8018 classified the model as having a very high predictive ability. Achieving similar values for both the final prediction model and the validation model, for sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy, confirmed the applicability of the developed model.
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Affiliation(s)
- Perko Vukotic
- Montenegrin Academy of Sciences and Arts, 81000, Podgorica, R. Stijovica 5, Montenegro.
| | - Zdenka Stojanovska
- Faculty of Medical Sciences, Goce Delcev University of Stip, 2000, Stip, 10-A Krste Misirkov St, Republic of North Macedonia
| | - Nevenka Antovic
- Faculty of Natural Sciences and Mathematics, University of Montenegro, 81000, Podgorica, Dz. Vasingtona bb, Montenegro
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Dai D, Neal FB, Diem J, Deocampo DM, Stauber C, Dignam T. Confluent impact of housing and geology on indoor radon concentrations in Atlanta, Georgia, United States. THE SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 2019; 668:500-511. [PMID: 30852225 PMCID: PMC6456363 DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.02.257] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/11/2018] [Revised: 02/10/2019] [Accepted: 02/16/2019] [Indexed: 05/03/2023]
Abstract
Radon is a naturally released radioactive carcinogenic gas. To estimate radon exposure, studies have examined various risk factors, but limited information exists pertaining to the confluent impact of housing characteristics and geology. This study evaluated the efficacy of housing and geological characteristics to predict radon risk in DeKalb County, Georgia, USA. Four major types of data were used: (1) three databases of indoor radon concentrations (n = 6757); (2) geologic maps of rock types and fault zones; (3) a database of 402 in situ measurements of gamma emissions, and (4) two databases of housing characteristics. The Getis-Ord method was used to delineate hot spots of radon concentrations. Empirical Bayesian Kriging was used to predict gamma radiation at each radon test site. Chi-square tests, bivariate correlation coefficients, and logistic regression were used to examine the impact of geological and housing factors on radon. The results showed that indoor radon levels were more likely to exceed the action level-4 pCi/L (148 Bq/m3) designated by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency-in fault zones, were significantly positively correlated to gamma readings, but significantly negatively related to the presence of a crawlspace foundation and its combination with a slab. The findings suggest that fault mapping and in situ gamma ray measurements, coupled with analysis of foundation types and delineation of hot spots, may be used to prioritize areas for radon screening.
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Affiliation(s)
- Dajun Dai
- Department of Geosciences, Georgia State University, 38 Peachtree Center Avenue, Atlanta, GA 30303, United States of America.
| | - Fredrick B Neal
- Department of Geosciences, Georgia State University, 38 Peachtree Center Avenue, Atlanta, GA 30303, United States of America; Critigen LLC, 7555 East Hampden Avenue, Suite 415, Denver, CO 80231, United States of America
| | - Jeremy Diem
- Department of Geosciences, Georgia State University, 38 Peachtree Center Avenue, Atlanta, GA 30303, United States of America
| | - Daniel M Deocampo
- Department of Geosciences, Georgia State University, 38 Peachtree Center Avenue, Atlanta, GA 30303, United States of America
| | - Christine Stauber
- School of Public Health, Georgia State University, 140 Decatur Street, Atlanta, GA 30303, United States of America
| | - Timothy Dignam
- Division of Environmental Health Science and Practice, National Center for Environmental Health, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, 30341, United States of America
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Ali MYM, Hanafiah MM, Khan MF. Potential factors that impact the radon level and the prediction of ambient dose equivalent rates of indoor microenvironments. THE SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 2018; 626:1-10. [PMID: 29331833 DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.01.080] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/19/2017] [Revised: 12/11/2017] [Accepted: 01/08/2018] [Indexed: 06/07/2023]
Abstract
This study aimed to measure the equilibrium equivalent radon (EECRn) concentration in an old building (Building-1) and a new building (Building-2) with mechanical ventilation and a natural ventilation system, respectively. Both buildings were located at the campus of University Kebangsaan Malaysia. The concentration of indoor radon was measured at 25 sampling stations using a radon detector model DOSEman PRO. The sampling was conducted for 8 h to represent daily working hours. A correlation of the radon concentration was made with the annual inhalation dose of the occupants at the indoor stations. The equilibrium factor and the annual effective dose on the lung cancer risks of each occupant were calculated at each sampling station. The average equilibrium equivalent radon measured in Building-1 and Building-2 was 2.33 ± 0.99 and 3.17 ± 1.74 Bqm-3, respectively. The equilibrium factor for Building 1 ranged from 0.1053 to 0.2273, and it ranged from 0.1031 to 0.16 for Building 2. The average annual inhalation doses recorded at Building-1 and Building-2 were 0.014 ± 0.005 mSv y-1 and 0.020 ± 0.013 mSv y-1, respectively. The annual effective dose for Building-1 was 0.034 ± 0.012 mSv y-1, and it was 0.048 ± 0.031 mSv y-1 for Building-2. The values of equilibrium equivalent radon concentration for both buildings were below the standard recommended by the International Commission on Radiological Protection (ICRP). However, people may have different radon tolerance levels. Therefore, the inhalation of the radon concentration can pose a deleterious health effect for people in an indoor environment.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mohamed Yasreen Mohamed Ali
- School of Environmental and Natural Resource Sciences, Faculty of Science and Technology, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, 43600 UKM Bangi, Selangor, Malaysia
| | - Marlia M Hanafiah
- School of Environmental and Natural Resource Sciences, Faculty of Science and Technology, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, 43600 UKM Bangi, Selangor, Malaysia.
| | - Md Firoz Khan
- Centre for Tropical Climate Change System, Institute of Climate Change, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, 43600 Bangi, Selangor, Malaysia
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Rizo Maestre C, Echarri Iribarren V. The Radon Gas in Underground Buildings in Clay Soils. The Plaza Balmis Shelter as a Paradigm. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2018; 15:ijerph15051004. [PMID: 29772780 PMCID: PMC5982043 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph15051004] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/12/2018] [Revised: 05/03/2018] [Accepted: 05/15/2018] [Indexed: 01/26/2023]
Abstract
In healthy buildings, it is considered essential to quantify air quality. One of the most fashionable indicators is radon gas. To determine the presence of this element, which is harmful to health, in the environment, the composition of the soil is studied. The presence of radon gas within a building depends both on the terrain in which it is located and on the composition of the materials of which it is composed, and not as was previously believed, only by the composition of the soil (whether granitic or not). Many countries are currently studying this phenomenon, including Spain where the building regulations regarding the accumulation of radon gas, do not list in their technical codes, the maximum dose that can a building can hold so that it is not harmful to people and the measures to correct excessive accumulation. Therefore, once the possible existence of radon in any underground building has been verified, regardless of the characteristics of the soil, the importance of defining and unifying the regulations on different levels of radon in all architectural constructions is evident. Medical and health science agencies, including the World Health Organization, consider that radon gas is a very harmful element for people. This element, in its gaseous state, is radioactive and it is present in almost soils in which buildings are implanted. Granitic type soils present higher levels of radon gas. Non-granitic soils have traditionally been considered to have very low radon levels. However, this paper demonstrates the relevant presence of radon in non-granitic soils, specifically in clayey soils, by providing the results of research carried out in the underground air raid shelter at Balmis Square in Alicante (Spain). The results of the measurements of radon accumulation in the Plaza Balmis shelter are five times higher than those obtained in a similar ungrounded building. This research addresses the constructive typology of an under-ground building and the radon presence in its interior obtained using rigorous measurement techniques.
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Affiliation(s)
- Carlos Rizo Maestre
- Department of Building Construction, University of Alicante, Carretera San Vicente del Raspeig, s/n, 03690 San Vicente del Raspeig, Spain.
| | - Víctor Echarri Iribarren
- Department of Building Construction, University of Alicante, Carretera San Vicente del Raspeig, s/n, 03690 San Vicente del Raspeig, Spain.
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Yoon JY, Lee JD, Joo SW, Kang DR. Indoor radon exposure and lung cancer: a review of ecological studies. Ann Occup Environ Med 2016; 28:15. [PMID: 27019716 PMCID: PMC4807540 DOI: 10.1186/s40557-016-0098-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 34] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/22/2016] [Accepted: 03/02/2016] [Indexed: 11/10/2022] Open
Abstract
Lung cancer has high mortality and incidence rates. The leading causes of lung cancer are smoking and radon exposure. Indeed, the World Health Organization (WHO) has categorized radon as a carcinogenic substance causing lung cancer. Radon is a natural, radioactive substance; it is an inert gas that mainly exists in soil or rock. The gas decays into radioactive particles called radon progeny that can enter the human body through breathing. Upon entering the body, these radioactive elements release α-rays that affect lung tissue, causing lung cancer upon long-term exposure thereto. Epidemiological studies first outlined a high correlation between the incidence rate of lung cancer and exposure to radon progeny among miners in Europe. Thereafter, data and research on radon exposure and lung cancer incidence in homes have continued to accumulate. Many international studies have reported increases in the risk ratio of lung cancer when indoor radon concentrations inside the home are high. Although research into indoor radon concentrations and lung cancer incidence is actively conducted throughout North America and Europe, similar research is lacking in Korea. Recently, however, studies have begun to accumulate and report important data on indoor radon concentrations across the nation. In this study, we aimed to review domestic and foreign research into indoor radon concentrations and to outline correlations between indoor radon concentrations in homes and lung cancer incidence, as reported in ecological studies thereof. Herein, we noted large differences in radon concentrations between and within individual countries. For Korea, we observed tremendous differences in indoor radon concentrations according to region and year of study, even within the same region. In correlation analysis, lung cancer incidence was not found to be higher in areas with high indoor radon concentrations in Korea. Through our review, we identified a need to implement a greater variety of statistical analyses in research on indoor radon concentrations and lung cancer incidence. Also, we suggest that cohort research or patient-control group research into radon exposure and lung cancer incidence that considers smoking and other factors is warranted.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ji Young Yoon
- Department of Humanities and Social Medicine, Ajou University School of Medicine, Suwon, Korea
| | - Jung-Dong Lee
- Office of Biostatistics, Ajou University School of Medicine, Suwon, Korea
| | - So Won Joo
- Department of Humanities and Social Medicine, Ajou University School of Medicine, Suwon, Korea
| | - Dae Ryong Kang
- Department of Humanities and Social Medicine, Ajou University School of Medicine, Suwon, Korea
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Quarto M, Pugliese M, La Verde G, Loffredo F, Roca V. Radon Exposure Assessment and Relative Effective Dose Estimation to Inhabitants of Puglia Region, South Italy. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2015; 12:14948-57. [PMID: 26610543 PMCID: PMC4661690 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph121114948] [Citation(s) in RCA: 32] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/14/2015] [Revised: 11/10/2015] [Accepted: 11/18/2015] [Indexed: 11/29/2022]
Abstract
Indoor radon concentrations were measured in dwellings of the Puglia region in Southern Italy using LR-115 passive detectors. The results show that the radon concentrations varied from 15 ± 2 to 2166 ± 133 Bq/m3 with a geometric mean of 114 Bq/m3 and a geometric standard deviation of 2.3. An analysis on the factors affecting radon concentration such as age of the dwellings, floors, and stories, was performed. The mean effective dose to inhabitants has been calculated and found to be 8.2 mSv/y. Finally, for estimation of cancer risks, the lifetime risk and lung cancer cases per years per million have been calculated.
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Affiliation(s)
- Maria Quarto
- Dipartimento di Fisica, Università di Napoli Federico II, Naples 80126, Italy.
- Istituto Nazionale di Fisica Nucleare (INFN), Sezione di Napoli, Naples, 80126, Italy.
| | - Mariagabriella Pugliese
- Dipartimento di Fisica, Università di Napoli Federico II, Naples 80126, Italy.
- Istituto Nazionale di Fisica Nucleare (INFN), Sezione di Napoli, Naples, 80126, Italy.
| | - Giuseppe La Verde
- Dipartimento di Fisica, Università di Napoli Federico II, Naples 80126, Italy.
| | - Filomena Loffredo
- Istituto Nazionale di Fisica Nucleare (INFN), Sezione di Napoli, Naples, 80126, Italy.
| | - Vincenzo Roca
- Dipartimento di Fisica, Università di Napoli Federico II, Naples 80126, Italy.
- Istituto Nazionale di Fisica Nucleare (INFN), Sezione di Napoli, Naples, 80126, Italy.
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Borgoni R, De Francesco D, De Bartolo D, Tzavidis N. Hierarchical modeling of indoor radon concentration: how much do geology and building factors matter? JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RADIOACTIVITY 2014; 138:227-237. [PMID: 25261869 DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvrad.2014.08.022] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/19/2014] [Revised: 08/14/2014] [Accepted: 08/31/2014] [Indexed: 06/03/2023]
Abstract
Radon is a natural gas known to be the main contributor to natural background radiation exposure and only second to smoking as major leading cause of lung cancer. The main concern is in indoor environments where the gas tends to accumulate and can reach high concentrations. The primary contributor of this gas into the building is from the soil although architectonic characteristics, such as building materials, can largely affect concentration values. Understanding the factors affecting the concentration in dwellings and workplaces is important both in prevention, when the construction of a new building is being planned, and in mitigation when the amount of Radon detected inside a building is too high. In this paper we investigate how several factors, such as geologic typologies of the soil and a range of building characteristics, impact on indoor concentration focusing, in particular, on how concentration changes as a function of the floor level. Adopting a mixed effects model to account for the hierarchical nature of the data, we also quantify the extent to which such measurable factors manage to explain the variability of indoor radon concentration.
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Affiliation(s)
- Riccardo Borgoni
- Department of Economia, Metodi Quantitativi e Strategie d'Impresa, University of Milano-Bicocca, Building U7, Piazza dell'Ateneo Nuovo 1, 20126 Milano, Italy.
| | | | - Daniela De Bartolo
- Agenzia Regionale per la Protezione dell'Ambiente della Lombardia, Milano, Italy
| | - Nikos Tzavidis
- Southampton Statistical Sciences Research Institute and Department of Social Statistics and Demography, University of Southampton, UK
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Bochicchio F, Žunić ZS, Carpentieri C, Antignani S, Venoso G, Carelli V, Cordedda C, Veselinović N, Tollefsen T, Bossew P. Radon in indoor air of primary schools: a systematic survey to evaluate factors affecting radon concentration levels and their variability. INDOOR AIR 2014; 24:315-326. [PMID: 24118252 DOI: 10.1111/ina.12073] [Citation(s) in RCA: 26] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/21/2013] [Accepted: 10/02/2013] [Indexed: 06/02/2023]
Abstract
UNLABELLED In order to optimize the design of a national survey aimed to evaluate radon exposure of children in schools in Serbia, a pilot study was carried out in all the 334 primary schools of 13 municipalities of Southern Serbia. Based on data from passive measurements, rooms with annual radon concentration >300 Bq/m(3) were found in 5% of schools. The mean annual radon concentration weighted with the number of pupils is 73 Bq/m(3), 39% lower than the unweighted 119 Bq/m(3) average concentration. The actual average concentration when children are in classrooms could be substantially lower. Variability between schools (CV = 65%), between floors (CV = 24%) and between rooms at the same floor (CV = 21%) was analyzed. The impact of school location, floor, and room usage on radon concentration was also assessed (with similar results) by univariate and multivariate analyses. On average, radon concentration in schools within towns is a factor of 0.60 lower than in villages and at higher floors is a factor of 0.68 lower than ground floor. Results can be useful for other countries with similar soil and building characteristics. PRACTICAL IMPLICATIONS On average, radon concentrations are substantially higher in schools in villages than in schools located in towns (double,on average). Annual radon concentrations exceeding 300 Bq/m3 were found in 5% of primary schools (generally on ground floors of schools in villages). The considerable variability of radon concentration observed between and within floors indicates a need to monitor concentrations in several rooms for each floor. A single radon detector for each room can be used provided that the measurement error is considerable lower than variability of radon concentration between rooms.
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Affiliation(s)
- F Bochicchio
- Istituto Superiore di Sanità (Italian National Institute of Health), Rome, Italy
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