A long-term follow-up study on risk factors for hepatocellular carcinoma among Japanese patients with liver cirrhosis

Recent Advances in Anticancer Activity of Novel Plant Extracts and Compounds from Curcuma longa in Hepatocellular Carcinoma

PURPOSE

Among all forms of cancers, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the fifth most common cancer worldwide. There are several treatment options for HCC ranging from loco-regional therapy to surgical treatment. Yet, there is high morbidity and mortality. Recent research focus has shifted towards more effective and less toxic cancer treatment options. Curcumin, the active ingredient in the Curcuma longa plant, has gained widespread attention in recent years because of its multifunctional properties as an antioxidant, anti-inflammatory, antimicrobial, and anticancer agent.

METHODS

A systematic search of PubMed, Embase and Google Scholar was performed for studies reporting incidence of HCC, risk factors associated with cirrhosis and experimental use of curcumin as an anti-cancer agent.

RESULTS

This review exclusively encompasses the anti-cancer properties of curcumin in HCC globally and it's postulated molecular targets of curcumin when used against liver cancers.

CONCLUSIONS

This review is concluded by presenting the current challenges and future perspectives of novel plant extracts derived from C. longa and the treatment options against cancers.

Epidemiology of hepatocellular carcinoma in India

Indian data on epidemiology of HCC is not available. Cancer is not a reportable disease in India and the cancer registries in India are mostly urban. National cancer registry program of the Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR) has been recently expanded to include 21 population based and 6 hospital based cancer registries. The last published registry data by ICMR available in the cancer registry website (www.ncrpindia.org) was in 2008 which provides information on various cancers from 2006 to 2008. The other source of information was the report published by International Agency for Research on Cancer (WHO). According to these available data the age adjusted incidence rate of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in India for men ranges from 0.7 to 7.5 and for women 0.2 to 2.2 per 100,000 population per year. The male:female ratio for HCC in India is 4:1. The age of presentation varies from 40 to 70 years. According to a study conducted by verbal autopsy in 1.1 million homes representing the whole country, the age standardized mortality rate for HCC in India for men is 6.8/100,000 and for women is 5.1/100,000. According to another study the incidence of HCC in cirrhotics in India is 1.6% per year. The unpublished data from various tertiary care centers suggest that the incidence of HCC is increasing in India. There is a need for a multi-centric HCC registry under the aegis of INASL.

Systematic review: Asian patients with chronic hepatitis C infection

BACKGROUND

Chronic hepatitis C (CHC) infection is a risk factor for both the development of end-stage liver disease and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Globally, approximately 170 million people are chronically infected with the hepatitis C virus (HCV), and the majority of these individuals come from the western Pacific and Southeast Asia regions (94.6 million persons combined). CHC is an understudied and underappreciated health problem in many Asian countries and in the US, where Asians represent one of the fastest growing groups of new Americans.

AIM

To perform a systematic review of the current literature on the epidemiology, diagnosis and screening, clinical characteristics and response to anti-viral therapy of Asians with CHC.

METHODS

Using a PubMed search of 'hepatitis C' and 'Asia,' 341 original manuscripts published in peer-reviewed journals were identified, and 99 were selected based on their relevance.

RESULTS

Many Asian CHC patients do not have easily identifiable risk factors and may be underdiagnosed. Rates of HCV infection in Asians on community screening in the US are unexpectedly high, and there is a high prevalence of HCV genotype 6 in Southeast Asia and Southern China. HCV-infected Asians tend to present at older age and may have higher risk of HCC; however, they respond better to anti-viral therapy than non-Asians across all HCV genotypes.

CONCLUSIONS

Given the high HCV endemicity in Asia, lack of identifiable risk factors and favourable treatment response rates in Asians, we advocate the screening for HCV infection of all Asians who come from areas where HCV prevalence is ≥2%.

Development of a prediction model for 10-year risk of hepatocellular carcinoma in middle-aged Japanese: the Japan Public Health Center-based Prospective Study Cohort II

OBJECTIVE

The purpose of the present study was to develop a risk estimation model for the 10-year risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) that could be easily used in a general population to aid in the prevention of HCC.

METHODS

Our prediction model was derived from data obtained on 17,654 Japanese aged 40 to 69 years who participated in health checkups (follow-up: 1993-2006). Cox proportional hazards regression was applied to obtain coefficients for each predictor.

RESULTS

During follow-up, a total of 104 cases of HCC were newly diagnosed. After checking the model fit, we incorporated age, sex, alcohol consumption, body mass index, diabetes, coffee consumption, and hepatitis B and C virus infection into the prediction model. The model showed satisfactory discrimination (Harrell's c-index=0.94) and was well calibrated (the overall observed/expected ratio=1.03, 95% confidence interval=0.83-1.29). We also developed a simple risk scoring system. Those subjects with total scores of 17 or more under this system (score range: -1 to 19) had an estimated 10-year HCC risk of over 90%; those with 4 points or less had an estimated risk of less than 0.1%.

CONCLUSION

We developed a simple 10-year risk prediction model for HCC in the Japanese general population as a public education tool.

Meta-analysis of epidemiologic studies on cigarette smoking and liver cancer

BACKGROUND

Whereas the International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC) Monograph concluded that the evidence for the relationship between cigarette smoking and liver cancer is sufficient, the US Surgeon General's report summarized the data as suggestive but not sufficient.

METHODS

A meta-analysis of previous epidemiologic studies may help to clarify the potential association. We identified 38 cohort studies and 58 case-control studies in a systematic literature search for studies on liver cancer and cigarette smoking. The meta-relative risk (mRR) of liver cancer and dose-response trends were calculated. Tests for heterogeneity, publication bias assessment and influence analyses were performed.

RESULTS

Compared with never smokers, the adjusted mRR was 1.51 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.37-1.67] for current smokers and 1.12 (95% CI 0.78-1.60) for former smokers. The increased liver cancer risk among current smokers appeared to be consistent in strata of different regions, study designs, study sample sizes and publication periods.

CONCLUSION

The results of our meta-analysis show that tobacco smoking is associated with liver cancer development, which supports the conclusion by the IARC Monograph. This conclusion has an important public health message for areas with high smoking prevalence and high liver cancer incidence such as China.

Psychosocial stress and liver disease status

"Psychosocial stress" is an increasingly common concept in the challenging and highly-demanding modern society of today. Organic response to stress implicates two major components of the stress system, namely the hypothalamic-pituitary-adrenal axis and the sympathetic nervous system. Stress is anamnestically reported by patients during the course of disease, usually accompanied by a decline in their overall health status. As the mechanisms involving glucocorticoids and catecholamines have been deciphered, and their actions on immune cell function deeper understood, it has become clear that stress has an impact on hepatic inflammatory response. An increasing number of articles have approached the link between psychosocial stress and the negative evolution of hepatic diseases. This article reviews a number of studies on both human populations and animal models performed in recent years, all linking stress, mainly of psychosocial nature, and the evolution of three important liver-related pathological entities: viral hepatitis, cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma.

Undiagnosed cirrhosis occurs frequently in the elderly and requires periodic follow ups and medical treatments

BACKGROUND

Autopsy examinations frequently reveal undiagnosed cirrhosis, but its characteristics have rarely been addressed in the elderly.

METHODS

From 1597 consecutive autopsies, those of patients with liver cirrhosis were selected and their clinicopathological findings were examined.

RESULTS

Seventy-six patients had liver cirrhosis; 18 of these patients (23.7%) were classified as an "undiagnosed" group and in that they had not been diagnosed as having cirrhosis before death. The remaining 58 patients were classified as a "clinical" group. Compared to the clinical group, the undiagnosed group demonstrated a significantly lower Child-Pugh score (7.1 +/- 1.9 vs 8.6 +/- 2.1; P < 0.01) and infrequent hepatocellular carcinoma (72.4% vs 5.6%; P < 0.0001). The undiagnosed group also demonstrated significantly lower complication rates of hepatic encephalopathy and esophageal varix, and a volume of ascites. The patients in the undiagnosed group were significantly older (79.9 +/- 8.1 vs 74.2 +/- 8.5 years; P < 0.01), and fewer patients died of liver-related causes (17% vs 67.2%; P < 0.0001). The etiology of cirrhosis was unknown in five patients in the undiagnosed group, and seven patients did not show any suggestive symptoms or imaging signs.

CONCLUSION

Liver cirrhosis is often undiagnosed (23.7%) in the elderly. In the undiagnosed group, liver function was preserved and serious complications were infrequent. Because the diagnosis of cirrhosis leads to early identification of hepatocellular carcinoma and good prognosis, detailed examination and periodic follow ups should be performed when liver dysfunction is indicated, even in the elderly.

Alcohol drinking and liver cancer risk: an evaluation based on a systematic review of epidemiologic evidence among the Japanese population

BACKGROUND

Although alcohol consumption has been recognized as a risk factor for primary liver cancer, it will be informative to summarize relevant epidemiologic data in the Japanese who have characteristic environmental determinants (e.g. hepatitis C virus infection) and genetic traits (e.g. presence of poor acetaldehyde metabolizers).

METHODS

We systematically reviewed epidemiologic studies on alcohol drinking and liver cancer among Japanese populations. Original data were obtained through searches of the MEDLINE (PubMed) and Ichushi databases, complemented with manual searches. The evaluation was performed in terms of the magnitude of association ('strong', 'moderate', 'weak' or 'no association') in each study and the strength of evidence ('convincing', 'probable', 'possible' or 'insufficient'), together with biological plausibility as previously assessed by the International Agency for Research on Cancer.

RESULTS

Among 22 cohort studies identified, 14 (64%) reported weak to strong positive associations between alcohol and liver cancer risk, 3 (14%) reported no association and five (23%) reported weak to moderate inverse associations; such inverse associations were found mostly in follow-up studies of patients with chronic liver disease (particularly, cirrhotic patients), yet recent studies on patients with chronic hepatitis C presented fairly consistent positive associations. Of 24 case-control studies identified, 19 (79%) showed weak to strong positive associations, whereas the remainder demonstrated no association (n = 4) or a moderate inverse association (n = 1).

CONCLUSION

We conclude that there is 'convincing' evidence that alcohol drinking increases the risk of primary liver cancer among the Japanese population.

Economic impact of extended treatment with peginterferon alpha-2a and ribavirin for slow hepatitis C virologic responders

It is difficult to achieve a sustained virologic response from antiviral therapy for genotype 1 hepatitis C virus-infected patients without a sufficient virologic response in the early weeks after treatment. However, a recent study has reported on the effectiveness of an extended course of treatment with peginterferon alpha-2a plus ribavirin for slow virologic responders. The aim of this study was to evaluate the economic impact of an extended course of treatment. A Markov cohort model of hepatitis C was designed in order to demonstrate the clinical states, based on the assigned transition probabilities over 30 years. The slow virologic responders treated with an extended 72-week course of therapy could increase by 0.55 the quality-adjusted life years (=15.35-14.80) and reduce the lifetime cost by $2762 (=71 559-69 438) in comparison with those treated by the standard 48-week course. One-way sensitivity analyses did not change the cost-effectiveness. Therefore, the extended 72 weeks of treatment with peginterferon alpha-2a plus ribavirin for slow virologic responders could be cost-effective in comparison with the standard 48 weeks of treatment.

Hepatocarcinogenesis following HCV RNA eradication by interferon in chronic hepatitis patients

OBJECTIVE

Interferon (IFN) therapy reduces the incidence of hepatocarcinogenesis in patients with hepatitis C viral (HCV) infection who achieve a sustained virological response (SVR). The aim of the present study was to determine the rate of hepatocarcinogenesis and the risk factor in sustained virological responders.

PATIENTS AND METHOD

The study subjects were 1,193 patients with HCV-related chronic liver disease and IFN- or IFN plus ribavirin-induced SVR. The age, male/female ratio, and liver fibrosis stage [(F0-F3)/LC] were 15-83 years, 808/385, and 1106/41, respectively. Patients were followed-up for 8.3 years (range, 0 to 19.0 years) and the incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma was recorded.

RESULTS

Hepatocellular carcinogenesis was detected in 23 patients during the follow-up. The crude rates of hepatocarcinogenesis at 5, 10, and 15 years were 1.5%, 2.4% and 4.1%, respectively. Multivariate analysis identified cirrhosis, male sex and age older than 50 years as determinants of hepatocarcinogenesis with hazard ratios of 12.9 (p<0.001), 6.45 (p=0.012), and 20.2 (p=0.004), respectively.

CONCLUSION

Long-term follow-up of patients with chronic HCV infection is necessary even in those who show SVR, especially in male elderly patients with cirrhosis.

The cost-effectiveness of the new protocol reflecting rapid virologic response to peginterferon alpha-2b and ribavirin for chronic hepatitis C

OBJECTIVE

Recent studies have reported the effectiveness of shorter courses of treatment with peginterferon alpha-2b plus ribavirin for patients with chronic hepatitis C, who achieved a rapid virologic response (RVR), defined as undetectable hepatitis C virus (HCV-) RNA at week 4. The aim of this study was to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of the new protocol for treatment, from the perspective of RVR.

METHODS

A cost-effectiveness analysis based on the rate of sustained virologic response was performed. A Markov cohort model of hepatitis C was constructed to demonstrate the clinical states on the basis of the assigned transition probabilities over 30 years. The treatment strategies were classified into five subgroups taking into consideration the viral genotypes, viral load, and RVR. The lifetime costs and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) were compared between the new and standard protocols for treatment.

RESULTS

Genotype 1-infected patients in the new protocol for treatment compared with the standard one could prolong QALYs by 0.33 and reduce lifetime cost by euro 5993. Genotype 2 or 3-infected patients in the new protocol for treatment compared with the standard one could prolong QALYs by 0.02 and reduce lifetime cost by euro2851.

CONCLUSION

Treatment strategies that consider viral load and RVR for patients with a low viral load infected with genotype 1 and those infected with genotype 2 or 3 are more cost-effective compared with the standard protocol for treatment.

Colchicine delays the development of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with hepatitis virus-related liver cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a malignant neoplasm associated with liver cirrhosis, with an annual incidence of 3% to 9%, which is one of the main causes of death in patients with cirrhosis. Viral hepatitis is associated with an increased risk of HCC, probably due to an inflammatory reaction. Colchicine is an antiinflammatory agent that inhibits the formation of intracellular microtubules, affecting mitosis and fibrogenesis. Diverse clinical studies have failed to demonstrate the benefit of colchicine over the progression of fibrosis in patients with liver cirrhosis; nevertheless, to the authors' knowledge there are no studies that evaluate its effect in the development of HCC.

METHODS

The effect of the administration of colchicine on the development of HCC was evaluated in 186 patients with hepatitis virus-related liver cirrhosis in a retrospective cohort study. The minimum follow-up time was 3 years (median, 84 months +/- 2.8 months). One hundred sixteen patients received treatment with colchicine. The characteristics of both groups were similar.

RESULTS

The percentage of patients who developed HCC was significantly smaller in the colchicine group when compared with the noncolchicine group (9% vs. 29%; P = .001). On multivariate analysis, an alpha-fetoprotein level > or = 5 ng/dL (P = .03), a platelet count < 100,000 at diagnosis (P = .05), alanine aminotransferase > or = 52 IU (P = .006), and a lack of treatment with colchicine (P = .0001) were found to be associated with an earlier development of HCC. The average time for the development of HCC was 222 months +/- 15 months and 150 months +/- 12 months in the patients who received and who did not receive colchicine, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The results suggest that treatment with colchicine prevents and delays the development of HCC in patients with hepatitis virus-related cirrhosis. The protective mechanisms of colchicine over the development of HCC could be related to antiinflammatory properties and inhibition of mitosis. Prospective studies to confirm this observation with a greater number of patients and long-term follow-up may be indicated.

Clinical features of hepatitis C virus-related hepatocellular carcinoma and their association with alpha-fetoprotein and protein induced by vitamin K absence or antagonist-II

PURPOSE

We investigated the differences in clinical features between alpha-fetoprotein (AFP)-predominant hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and protein induced by vitamin K absence or antagonist-II (PIVKA-II)-predominant HCC, especially regarding host factors thought to contribute to hepatocarcinogenesis in chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection.

METHODS

HCV-related HCC patients (n=306) were divided into four groups according to median AFP (48.1 ng/ml) and PIVKA-II (60 mAU/ml). Host factors, tumor factors, survival, and risk factors affecting survival were compared.

RESULTS

Aspartate aminotransferase (AST; IU/L), alanine aminotransferase (ALT; IU/L), and platelet count (x 10(4)/ml) were, respectively, 81, 67, and 8.2 in AFP-predominant HCC (group A; n=66) vs. 50, 42, and 11.4 in PIVKA-II-predominant HCC (group P; n=52). Tumor sizes (mm) in groups A and P were 20 and 37, respectively. Significant differences were evident. Survival was identical between the two groups. Factors affecting survival were total bilirubin, portal tumor thrombus and number of nodule in group A, and albumin and tumor distribution in group P.

CONCLUSIONS

PIVKA-II-predominant HCC had a milder hepatitis and a better-preserved platelet count compared with AFP-predominant HCC. Considering the strong relation between hepatocarcinogenesis and hepatic inflammation with chronic HCV infection, these differences indicate that hepatocarcinogenic mechanisms in PIVKA-II-predominant HCC may differ from those in AFP-predominant HCC.

Cigarette smoking and liver cancer risk: an evaluation based on a systematic review of epidemiologic evidence among Japanese

BACKGROUND

Emerging epidemiologic data suggest that cigarette smoking may increase the risk of primary liver cancer. We evaluated this association based on a systematic review of epidemiologic evidence among Japanese populations.

METHODS

Original data were obtained from MEDLINE searches using PubMed, complemented with manual searches. The evaluation was performed in terms of the magnitude of association ('strong', 'moderate', 'weak' or 'no association') in each study and the strength of evidence ('convincing', 'probable', 'possible' or 'insufficient'), together with biological plausibility as previously done by the International Agency for Research on Cancer.

RESULTS

A total of 12 cohort studies and 11 case-control studies were identified. Nine cohort studies (two with adjustment for hepatitis B and C virus infections and seven without it) reported weak to strong positive associations between smoking and liver cancer, with dose-response relationships shown in three studies. Five case-controls studies (three with the virus adjustment and two without it) demonstrated such positive associations, with a dose-response relationship shown in only one study, while in six case-control studies, the observed associations were judged to be of the lowest magnitude or inverse due to the lack of any dose-response relationship.

CONCLUSION

We conclude that cigarette smoking 'probably' increases the risk of primary liver cancer among the Japanese. Potential confounding by hepatitis virus infection and virus-smoking interactions need to be addressed in future studies.

Assessment of KL-6 as a tumor marker in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

AIM: To investigate the clinical significance of KL-6 as a tumor marker of HCC in two different ethnic groups with chronic liver disease consecutively encountered at outpatient clinics.

METHODS: Serum KL-6 was measured by the sandwich enzyme immunoassay method using the KL-6 antibody (Ab) as both the capture and tracer Ab according to the manufacturer’s instructions (Eisai, Tokyo, Japan). Assessment of alpha fetoprotein (AFP) and protein induced vitamin K deficiency or absence (PIVKA-II) was performed in both groups using commercially available kits.

RESULTS: A significantly higher mean serum KL-6 (556±467 U/L) was found in HCC in comparison with non-HCC groups either with (391±176 U/L; P<0.001) or without (361±161 U/L; P<0.001) liver cirrhosis (LC). Serum KL-6 level did not correlate with either AFP or PIVKA-II serU/Levels. Using receiver operating curve analysis for KL-6 as a predictor for HCC showed that the area under the curve was 0.574 (95%CI = 0.50-0.64) and the KL-6 level that gave the best sensitivity (61%) was found to be 334 U/L but according to the manufacturer’s instructions; a cut-off point of 500 U/L was used that showed the highest specificity (80%) in comparison with AFP and PIVKA-II (78% vs 72% respectively). Combining the values of the three markers improved specificity of AFP for HCC diagnosis from 78% for AFP alone; 93% for AFP plus PIVKA-II to 99% for both plus KL-6 value (P<0.001). Mean serum alkaline phosphatase level was significantly higher in KL-6 positive (564±475) in comparison with KL-6 negative (505±469) HCC patients (P = 0.021), but such a difference was not found among non-HCC corresponding groups.

CONCLUSION: KL-6 is suggested as a tumor for HCC. Its positivity may reflect HCC-associated cholestasis and/or local tumor invasion.

The prevalence of hepatitis C virus infection in Texas: implications for future health care

Chronic hepatitis C is often asymptomatic and undiagnosed yet can progress to liver failure or hepatocellular carcinoma. This study determined the prevalence of hepatitis C in Texas and estimated the progression of disease in this cohort. National Health and Nutrition Evaluation Survey III data on the national prevalence of an antibody to the hepatitis C virus were extrapolated to Texas using census data weighted for local characteristics. A Markov model estimated the progression of liver disease. Results showed that 387,395 Texans (1.79%) are infected with the hepatitis C virus. County prevalence varied from 1.25% to 2.63%, with higher rates concentrated along the US-Mexico border. However, most cases of infection were located near major Texas cities. The number of infected persons will decline in the future. However, the proportion of cases progressing to cirrhosis will increase, resulting in more complications such as liver failure and hepatocellular carcinoma. Thus, chronic hepatitis C is common in Texas and will result in an increase in complications of cirrhosis in coming years. The disease will tax health care facilities and transplant units in the state.

Role of ethnicity in risk for hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with chronic hepatitis C and cirrhosis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

In the United States, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is more common among Asians and African Americans than Caucasians, with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection accounting for up to half of the patients. Our study examined ethnicity as a potential risk factor for HCC among patients with chronic hepatitis C.

METHODS

We conducted a case-control study of 464 patients with chronic hepatitis C and cirrhosis (207 cancer patients and 257 controls) using medical records and pathology records at 4 medical centers. We estimated odds ratios with 95% confidence intervals by using conditional logistic regression on case-control sets, matched within study centers and study period on sex and age groups (< or =45, 46-55, 56-65, >65 yr). To control for potential confounding caused by severity of cirrhosis and residual confounding caused by age, we also included Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) scores and age (continuous variable) in all regression analyses.

RESULTS

Compared with Caucasians, the cancer risk was increased significantly among Asians (adjusted odds ratio, 4.3; 95% confidence interval, 2.1-9.0 for men, and 4.6; 1.2-18.5 for women) and somewhat increased among African-American men (adjusted odds ratio, 2.4; 95% confidence interval, 0.9-6.3).

CONCLUSIONS

This study suggests that, among patients with chronic hepatitis C and cirrhosis, liver cancer risk is increased 4-fold in Asians and may be doubled in African-American men, compared with Caucasians. These results need confirmation in larger studies from racially diverse populations, but, if confirmed, these results point to high-risk populations that should be targeted for screening and preventive efforts.

Psychosocial Stress, Personality, and the Severity of Chronic Hepatitis C

This cross-sectional study examined the association between the severity of chronic hepatitis C and the type 1 personality, which has been shown by Grossarth-Maticek to be strongly related to the incidence of cancer and mortality. Sixty-nine patients with chronic hepatitis C completed the Stress Inventory, a self-report questionnaire to measure psychosocial stress and personality, and were classified into three groups according to hepatitis severity: group A, chronic hepatitis C with a normal serum alanine aminotransferase level; group B, chronic hepatitis C with an elevated alanine aminotransferase level; and group C, liver cirrhosis. Each of four scales related to the type 1 personality--low sense of control, object dependence of loss, unfulfilled need for acceptance, and altruism--was significantly and positively associated with hepatitis severity. The type 1 score, calculated as the average of these scales, was also strongly related to hepatitis severity (p<0.0001), and adjustment for age, sex, education level, smoking, drinking, and duration brought no attenuation into the association. Chronic psychosocial stress relevant to the type 1 personality may also influence the course of chronic hepatitis C.

Habitual betel quid chewing as a risk factor for cirrhosis: a case-control study

Betel quid chewing, part of traditional Taiwanese culture, is common in 10%-20% of the human population worldwide. In this case-control study we assessed the independent and interactive role of habitual betel quid chewing and chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) and hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection on risk of cirrhosis. Subjects enrolled included 210 pairs of sex- and age-matched cirrhotic patients and healthy controls. Information on risk factors was obtained through serologic examination of hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) and antibodies to hepatitis C virus (anti-HCV), and a standardized personal interview with a structured questionnaire. Univariate analysis indicated that betel quid chewing, HBsAg+, anti-HCV+, alcohol drinking, and smoking are significant risk factors for cirrhosis. Multivariate analysis indicated that betel quid chewing (odds ratio [OR], 3.56), HBsAg (OR 20.37), and anti-HCV (OR 31.43) are independent risk factors for cirrhosis. Most betel quid chewers habitually drink alcohol. Although our analysis indicates that betel quid chewing acts independently from alcohol as a risk factor for cirrhosis, the confounding effect of alcohol cannot be excluded entirely by our study. There was an additive effect of the interaction between betel quid chewing and the presence of either HBsAg or anti-HCV. Moreover, a higher risk of cirrhosis was associated with longer duration of betel quid chewing and greater amount of betel quid consumed (each p for trend <0.0001). In conclusion, betel quid chewing appears to be an independent risk factor for cirrhosis. There is an additive interaction between betel quid chewing and chronic HBV/HCV infection.

Rising incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma: the role of hepatitis B and C; the impact on transplantation and outcomes

Hepatocellular carcinoma caused by hepatitis B and hepatitis C are global scourges but are likely to peak in incidence in the next 2 decades and then decline. Universal vaccination has been effective in stemming the incidence of chronic hepatitis B and early-onset HCC in regions of high endemicity where implemented, but preventive measures in HCV are not yet available. After the attrition of older affected generations, the incidence of HCC will likely decline rapidly. While no vaccine is currently available for hepatitis C, cases are projected to peak and decline because of a marked reduction in transmission as a result of behavioral modification and safeguarding of blood supplies. Until these epidemiologic projections come to pass, management of hepatocellular carcinoma will continue to become a progressively more frequently encountered clinical challenge. Therapy for chronic hepatitis may ameliorate but will not eliminate the development of tumors. The demand for orthotopic liver transplantation will continue to climb, and palliative therapies for non-resectable cases will require studies aimed at optimization of benefit. LDLT may remain an option for high-risk patients affording tumor-free survival for some otherwise terminal patients.

Close association between high serum alanine aminotransferase levels and multicentric hepatocarcinogenesis in patients with hepatitis C virus-associated cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

Multicentric development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a characteristic feature of hepatitis C virus (HCV)-associated cirrhosis (HCV-LC). In this study, the objective was to determine whether the persistent elevation of the serum alanine aminotransferase (ALT) level, which represents the inflammatory necrosis of hepatocytes, is correlated with the multicentric development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with early-stage HCV-LC.

METHODS

Ninety-three consecutive patients with biopsy proven HCV-LC (Child Stage A) who had been followed for > 5 years for the development of HCC were studied. They were subdivided into three groups according to their serum ALT level: Group A included 33 patients with annual average serum ALT levels that were persistently high (> or = 80 IU; high ALT group), Group B included 41 patients with annual average serum ALT levels that were persistently low (< 80 IU; low ALT group), and Group C included 19 unclassified patients. The patients had been studied prospectively with frequent ultrasonography and magnetic resonance imaging or computed tomography (CT) scans for > 5 years. When the development of HCC was suspected, angiography, infusion of lipiodol into the hepatic artery, and lipiodol-CT scans were performed in all patients to determine the number of HCC nodules.

RESULTS

In Group A, 27 patients (81.8%) developed HCC. Seventeen of 27 patients (63.0%) had multiple nodules. In contrast, in Group B, only 12 patients (29.3%) developed HCC, and only 1 of these 12 patients (8.3%) had multiple nodules. There was a significant difference between Groups A and B in the incidence of developing HCC (P < 0.001) and developing multiple nodules (P = 0.006). In addition, among the male patients, the incidence of developing multiple HCC nodules in Group A (12 of 19 patients; 63.2%) was significantly higher (P < 0.05) compared with the incidence in Group B (0 of 6 patients; 0%). The same tendency was observed among the female patients.

CONCLUSIONS

These results showed a close correlation between multicentric hepatocarcinogenesis and sustained necroinflammation of the liver in patients with HCV-LC.

High viral loads, serum alanine aminotransferase and gender are predictive factors for the development of hepatocellular carcinoma from viral compensated liver cirrhosis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The aims of the present study were to determine the occurrence rate of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and to assess the risk factors for the development of HCC in compensated viral liver cirrhosis.

METHODS

Two hundred and thirty-nine cirrhotic patients (65 hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) positive, 165 hepatitis C virus (HCV) antibody positive (anti-HCV), and nine with both HBsAg and anti-HCV positivity) were studied. The Kaplan-Meier method evaluated by a log-rank test was used to estimate the cumulative probability of HCC development. Independent predictors of HCC development were estimated by using the Cox proportional hazard regression analysis.

RESULTS

Dual infection manifested as HBsAg and anti-HCV positive was the highest risk of HCC. Multivariate analysis indicated that anti-HCV positive, HBsAg positive, and lactate dehydrogenase were independent predictors of the development of HCC among individuals with viral cirrhosis. In the HBsAg-positive group, a high-titer of HBV-DNA (more than 3.7 log genome equivalents (LGE)/mL) was most predictive of HCC development. In the anti-HCV-positive group, male gender and a high-titer of HCV-RNA (more than 1.0 Meq/mL) were predictive factors for the development of HCC.

CONCLUSIONS

Individuals with high viral loads should be monitored for the development of HCC. Clinical efforts at eradicating or reducing the viral load may reduce the risk for HCC.

Pathogenesis of hepatocellular carcinoma

The pathogenesis of HCC is poorly understood at present. There is insufficient understanding to propose a robust general model of hepatic carcinogenesis, partly because pathogenic host and environmental factors show significant regional variation, making such generalization difficult. Figure 4 is a model based on data presented in this article. Multiple risk factors for HCC have been identified, including cirrhosis, male gender, increasing patient age, toxins, chronic viral hepatitis, and other specific liver diseases. The understanding of how the individual risk factors result in genetic changes is rudimentary, and there is even less understanding about interactions between risk factors. Future studies should acknowledge the geographic origin of the HCCs studied and consider the effects of cirrhosis, gender, and age. A more rigorous approach to these factors may help explicate the interaction with specific liver diseases so that a comprehensive model of hepatic carcinogenesis can be developed.