Oral contraceptives and venous thromboembolism: a quantitative discussion of the uncertainties

Therapeutic, prophylactic, untoward, and contraceptive effects of combined oral contraceptives: catholic teaching, natural law, and the principle of double effect when deciding to prescribe and use

Combined oral contraceptives (COC) have been demonstrated to have significant benefits for the treatment and prevention of disease. These medications also are associated with untoward health effects, and they may be directly contraceptive. Prescribers and users must compare and weigh the intended beneficial health effects against foreseeable but unintended possible adverse effects in their decisions to prescribe and use. Additionally, those who intend to abide by Catholic teachings must consider prohibitions against contraception. Ethical judgments concerning both health benefits and contraception are approached in this essay through an overview of the therapeutic, prophylactic, untoward, and contraceptive effects of COC and discussion of magisterial and traditional Catholic teachings from natural law. Discerning through the principle of double effect, proportionate reason, and evidence gathered from the sciences, medical and moral conclusions are drawn that we believe to be fully compliant with good medicine and Catholic teaching.

Comparison of pooled risk estimates for adverse effects from different observational study designs: methodological overview

BACKGROUND

A diverse range of study designs (e.g. case-control or cohort) are used in the evaluation of adverse effects. We aimed to ascertain whether the risk estimates from meta-analyses of case-control studies differ from that of other study designs.

METHODS

Searches were carried out in 10 databases in addition to reference checking, contacting experts, and handsearching key journals and conference proceedings. Studies were included where a pooled relative measure of an adverse effect (odds ratio or risk ratio) from case-control studies could be directly compared with the pooled estimate for the same adverse effect arising from other types of observational studies.

RESULTS

We included 82 meta-analyses. Pooled estimates of harm from the different study designs had 95% confidence intervals that overlapped in 78/82 instances (95%). Of the 23 cases of discrepant findings (significant harm identified in meta-analysis of one type of study design, but not with the other study design), 16 (70%) stemmed from significantly elevated pooled estimates from case-control studies. There was associated evidence of funnel plot asymmetry consistent with higher risk estimates from case-control studies. On average, cohort or cross-sectional studies yielded pooled odds ratios 0.94 (95% CI 0.88-1.00) times lower than that from case-control studies.

INTERPRETATION

Empirical evidence from this overview indicates that meta-analysis of case-control studies tend to give slightly higher estimates of harm as compared to meta-analyses of other observational studies. However it is impossible to rule out potential confounding from differences in drug dose, duration and populations when comparing between study designs.

Oral contraceptives and venous thromboembolism: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

An association between oral contraceptive (OC) use and venous thromboembolism (VTE) has long been recognized. However, no summary estimates of the increase in VTE risk associated with OC use have been available since 1995, and no meta-analyses have evaluated the VTE risk of new preparations containing drospirenone.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of the study was to carry out a meta-analysis to summarize existing evidence on the association between venous VTE and OC use, and to investigate how such an association may vary according to the type of OC, OC user characteristics, study characteristics and biases.

METHODS

Relevant cohort or case-control studies were searched in MEDLINE and other electronic databases up to May 2010, with no language restriction. Data were combined using a generic inverse-variance approach. Meta-regression in addition to stratification was used to explore potential predictors of the summary estimate of risk.

RESULTS

Sixteen cohort and 39 case-control studies were included in at least one comparison. Overall, the odds ratio (OR) of OC users versus non-users was 3.41 (95% CI 2.98, 3.92). This estimate was based upon nine cohort studies evaluating approximately 12 000 000 person-years, and 23 case-control studies including approximately 45 000 women. VTE risk for OC users was significantly lower in studies evaluating 'all VTE cases' than in those evaluating 'idiopathic VTE only' (OR 3.09 and 4.94, respectively). Among the carriers of genetic mutations G20210A and Factor V Leiden (FVL), OC users showed a significantly increased VTE risk compared with non-users (OR 1.63; 95% CI 1.01, 2.65, and OR 1.80; 95% CI 1.20, 2.71, respectively). When the newest OCs containing drospirenone were compared with non-drospirenone-containing OCs (except those containing levonorgestrel only), VTE risk did not significantly increase (OR 1.13; 95% CI 0.94, 1.35).

CONCLUSIONS

This meta-analysis confirms that OC use significantly increases VTE risk. The strength of this association, however, varies according to the generation of OC, type of outcome and presence of a genetic mutation, with ORs ranging from 3 to 5.

Thrombotic risk during oral contraceptive use and pregnancy in women with factor V Leiden or prothrombin mutation: a rational approach to contraception

Current guidelines discourage combined oral contraceptive (COC) use in women with hereditary thrombophilic defects. However, qualifying all hereditary thrombophilic defects as similarly strong risk factors might be questioned. Recent studies indicate the risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE) of a factor V Leiden mutation as considerably lower than a deficiency of protein C, protein S, or antithrombin. In a retrospective family cohort, the VTE risk during COC use and pregnancy (including postpartum) was assessed in 798 female relatives with or without a heterozygous, double heterozygous, or homozygous factor V Leiden or prothrombin G20210A mutation. Overall, absolute VTE risk in women with no, single, or combined defects was 0.13 (95% confidence interval 0.08-0.21), 0.35 (0.22-0.53), and 0.94 (0.47-1.67) per 100 person-years, while these were 0.19 (0.07-0.41), 0.49 (0.18-1.07), and 0.86 (0.10-3.11) during COC use, and 0.73 (0.30-1.51), 1.97 (0.94-3.63), and 7.65 (3.08-15.76) during pregnancy. COC use and pregnancy were independent risk factors for VTE, with highest risk during pregnancy postpartum, as demonstrated by adjusted hazard ratios of 16.0 (8.0-32.2) versus 2.2 (1.1-4.0) during COC use. Rather than strictly contraindicating COC use, we advocate that detailed counseling on all contraceptive options, including COCs, addressing the associated risks of both VTE and unintended pregnancy, enabling these women to make an informed choice.

Meta-analyses of adverse effects data derived from randomised controlled trials as compared to observational studies: methodological overview

BACKGROUND

There is considerable debate as to the relative merits of using randomised controlled trial (RCT) data as opposed to observational data in systematic reviews of adverse effects. This meta-analysis of meta-analyses aimed to assess the level of agreement or disagreement in the estimates of harm derived from meta-analysis of RCTs as compared to meta-analysis of observational studies.

METHODS AND FINDINGS

Searches were carried out in ten databases in addition to reference checking, contacting experts, citation searches, and hand-searching key journals, conference proceedings, and Web sites. Studies were included where a pooled relative measure of an adverse effect (odds ratio or risk ratio) from RCTs could be directly compared, using the ratio of odds ratios, with the pooled estimate for the same adverse effect arising from observational studies. Nineteen studies, yielding 58 meta-analyses, were identified for inclusion. The pooled ratio of odds ratios of RCTs compared to observational studies was estimated to be 1.03 (95% confidence interval 0.93-1.15). There was less discrepancy with larger studies. The symmetric funnel plot suggests that there is no consistent difference between risk estimates from meta-analysis of RCT data and those from meta-analysis of observational studies. In almost all instances, the estimates of harm from meta-analyses of the different study designs had 95% confidence intervals that overlapped (54/58, 93%). In terms of statistical significance, in nearly two-thirds (37/58, 64%), the results agreed (both studies showing a significant increase or significant decrease or both showing no significant difference). In only one meta-analysis about one adverse effect was there opposing statistical significance.

CONCLUSIONS

Empirical evidence from this overview indicates that there is no difference on average in the risk estimate of adverse effects of an intervention derived from meta-analyses of RCTs and meta-analyses of observational studies. This suggests that systematic reviews of adverse effects should not be restricted to specific study types. Please see later in the article for the Editors' Summary.

Superficial venous interventions: assessing the risk of DVT

Objectives

Understand the potential consequences of deep vein thrombosis (DVT) in patients undergoing superficial venous interventions, the proper way to assess DVT risk in patients with superficial venous disease and the appropriate management of patients stratified by risk level.

Methods

Review of published literature

Results

Because DVT can have major long-term consequences, DVT risk should be assessed as a routine part of the preprocedure evaluation of venous disease. Chronic venous disease may have multiple contributing factors amenable to treatment in both the superficial and deep venous systems.

Conclusion

Superficial venous interventions should be deferred in patients at particularly high risk for DVT, but may be performed with appropriate countermeasures for DVT prophylaxis in patients at moderate risk.

Sex hormones and thrombosis

There is compelling evidence that use of oral formulations of female hormone replacement and of the combined oral contraceptive induces a prothrombotic state. This translates to an increased thrombotic risk. Within the individual, the absolute risk is determined by the interaction between that induced by hormone use and heritable and acquired risk factors for thrombosis. Knowledge of the accumulating epidemiologic and clinical trial-derived data on this topic is essential for the delivery of evidence-based counseling in the clinical environment and is the subject of this review.

Estrogens, selective estrogen receptor modulators, and a selective estrogen receptor down-regulator inhibit endothelial production of tissue factor pathway inhibitor 1

Background

Hormone therapy, oral contraceptives, and tamoxifen increase the risk of thrombotic disease. These compounds also reduce plasma content of tissue factor pathway inhibitor-1 (TFPI), which is the physiological inhibitor of the tissue factor pathway of coagulation. The current aim was to study if estrogens and estrogen receptor (ER) modulators may inhibit TFPI production in cultured endothelial cells and, if so, identify possible mechanisms involved.

Methods

Human endothelial cell cultures were treated with 17β-estradiol (E2), 17α-ethinylestradiol (EE2), tamoxifen, raloxifene, or fulvestrant. Protein levels of TFPI in cell media and cell lysates were measured by an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay, and TFPI mRNA levels were assessed by quantitative PCR. Expression of ERα was analysed by immunostaining.

Results

All compounds (each in a concentration of 10 nM) reduced TFPI in cell medium, by 34% (E2), 21% (EE2), 16% (tamoxifen), and 28% (raloxifene), respectively, with identical inhibitory effects on cellular TFPI levels. Expression of TFPI mRNA was principally unchanged. Treatment with fulvestrant, which was also associated with down-regulation of secreted TFPI (9% with 10 nM and 26% with 1000 nM), abolished the TFPI-inhibiting effect of raloxifene, but not of the other compounds. Notably, the combination of 1000 nM fulvestrant and 10 nM raloxifene increased TFPI secretion, and, conversely, 10 nM of either tamoxifen or raloxifene seemed to partly (tamoxifen) or fully (raloxifene) counteract the inhibitory effect of 1000 nM fulvestrant. The cells did not express the regular nuclear 66 kDa ERα, but instead a 45 kDa ERα, which was not regulated by estrogens or ER modulators.

Conclusion

E2, EE2, tamoxifen, raloxifene, and fulvestrant inhibited endothelial production of TFPI by a mechanism apparently independent of TFPI transcription.

Fibrinolytic response to exercise in women using third-generation oral contraceptives

The use of oral contraceptives (OC) is associated with an increased risk of thrombosis, suggesting OC exert procoagulant and/or antifibrinolytic effects. Given that physical exercise physiologically leads to an activation of blood coagulation and fibrinolysis, this study tested the hypothesis that OC might compromise the fibrinolytic response to exercise. Fibrinolytic variables were measured in 10 women (24 +/- 2 years) using OC (a formulation containing 30 micro g ethinylestradiol and 150 micro g desogestrel) and in 11 women without OC (mean +/- SD, 27 +/- 3 years) before, during and after a 1-h run on a treadmill at a velocity corresponding to an oxygen demand of 75-80% of maximum (anaerobic threshold). Exercise testing gave rise to considerable increases of tissue-type plasminogen activator antigen by seven-fold to eight-fold in women taking and not taking OC alike. In the presence of unchanged plasma levels of plasminogen activator inhibitor-1, exercise-induced release of tissue-type plasminogen activator led to enhanced plasmin formation with respect to plasmin-antiplasmin complexes, rising by (mean +/- standard error) 701 +/- 77 ng/ml (P < 0.001) in women using OC and by 695 +/- 117 ng/ml (P < 0.001 versus baseline; NS versus OC users) in controls. The fibrinolytic response to intensive physical exercise is preserved in women using OC and is similar to women not using OC.

Evidence-based risk factors for postoperative deep vein thrombosis

BACKGROUND

Deep vein thrombosis (DVT) is a common postoperative complication that is associated with significant morbidity and mortality. Thromboprophylaxis has been shown to be underused. In the absence of prophylaxis, rates as high as 50% have been reported following orthopaedic surgery, and 25% following general surgery. Many risk factors have been suggested but there is often little evidence to support these claims.

METHODS

A systematic review was performed to determine the evidence base behind each suggested risk factor, and, where sufficient data were available, a random-effects meta-analysis was performed.

RESULTS

There is evidence to support a significant association between increased age, obesity, a past history of thromboembolism, varicose veins, the oral contraceptive pill, malignancy, Factor V Leiden gene mutation, general anaesthesia and orthopaedic surgery, with higher rates of postoperative DVT, although there remain some variables within the study designs that may lead to overestimation of effect. There is no evidence to support the suggested risk factors of hormone replacement therapy, gender, ethnicity or race, chemotherapy, other thrombophilias, cardiovascular factors, smoking and blood type.

CONCLUSIONS

An accurate knowledge of evidence-based risk factors is important in predicting and preventing postoperative DVT, and can be incorporated into a decision support system for appropriate thromboprophylaxis use.

Epidemiology of acute deep vein thrombosis

Although the factors leading to venous thrombosis have been known for over a century, Virchow's initial model of thrombosis has been extensively refined. Activated coagulation is now recognized to be of primary importance in venous thrombogenesis; the concept of venous injury has been expanded to include molecular changes in the endothelium; and stasis has been redefined as a largely permissive factor. Furthermore, it is now clear that venous thrombi undergo a dynamic evolution beginning early after their formation. The natural history of acute deep venous thrombosis (DVT) is a balance between recurrent thrombotic events and processes that restore the venous lumen, both of which have important implications for the development of complications. Although pulmonary embolism (PE) is clearly the most life threatening complication of acute DVT, the long term socio-economic consequences of the post thrombotic syndrome (PTS) have perhaps been underemphasized in clinical trials. The development of post-thrombotic manifestations is related to both residual venous obstruction and valvular incompetence. Recognition of the factors contributing to a poor outcome, including recurrent thrombotic events, the rate of recanalization, the global extent of venous reflux, and the anatomic distribution of reflux and obstruction is important, as there may be therapeutic alternatives to alter the natural history of acute DVT. The treatment alternatives will continue to expand with the introduction of new therapeutic drugs, for both systemic and catheter-directed therapy, and mechanical thrombectomy devices. The primary care physician is challenged with the task of correctly evaluating deep vein thrombosis and providing his patient with access to the most clinically appropriate, and cost-effective, diagnostic and management options available. This article will review the epidemiology of DVT, its risk factors and major complications.

Estrogens, progestogens and thrombosis

Hundreds of millions of women worldwide use either oral contraceptives or postmenopausal hormone replacement. The use of oral contraceptives leads to an increased risk of venous thrombosis, of myocardial infarction, of stroke and of peripheral artery disease, the risks of which are highest during the first year of use. Women with coagulation abnormalities have a higher risk of venous thrombosis when they use oral contraceptives (or postmenopausal hormones) than women without these abnormalities. The risk of venous thrombosis is also higher for preparations containing desogestrel or gestodene (third-generation progestogens) than for those containing levonorgestrel (second-generation progestogens). A previous thrombosis as well as obesity also increase the risk of oral contraceptive-related thrombosis. Hormone replacement therapy increases the risk of venous thrombosis, and has no beneficial, and possibly even a detrimental, effect on the risk of arterial disease. The risk of arterial disease in oral contraceptive users and users of hormone replacement therapy is at most weakly affected by the presence of prothrombotic abnormalities.

The natural history of venous thromboembolism: impact on ventilation/perfusion scan reporting

Deep vein thrombosis (DVT) and pulmonary embolism (PE) are separate but related aspects of the same dynamic disease process known as venous thromboembolism (VTE). Recent community studies have shown that VTE is a major health issue for the developed world, with at least 201,000 new cases each year in the United States, comprising 107,000 with DVT and 94,000 with PE. A quarter of PE cases die within 7 days, some so rapidly that treatment or intervention is impossible. Despite the availability of heparin prophylaxis, the annual incidence of VTE has remained constant at 1 event per 1,000 person-years since 1979 but reaches 1 event per 100 person-years for the over-85-year-olds. The most important risk factors for VTE are hemostatic and environmental. The recent discoveries of factor V Leiden, prothrombin 20210A, and high concentrations of factor VIII have highlighted the increasing importance of a genetic predisposition to thrombophilia. Acquired hemostatic factors include pregnancy and the puerperium, oral contraception, hormone-replacement therapy, malignant tumors, and antiphospholipid syndromes. Important environmental risk factors include hospitalization with previous surgery or trauma, confinement in a care facility, neurologic disease or paraplegia after stroke, current or recent central venous catheter or transvenous pacemaker, and long airplane flights. Internists may be confused about the risk of PE after ventilation/perfusion (VQ) imaging. This may well arise from their use of the relative risk of PE after a low-probability category scan rather than the absolute risk obtained by incorporating the PE prevalence for their particular patient in the risk analysis. Ideally, personal communication with an experienced referring physician provides this clinical information for nuclear medicine. Diagnostic tools or checklists can be used as an alternative. A general knowledge of the natural history of VTE will encourage the nuclear medicine physician to provide an appropriate clinical signal to complement VQ categorical analysis. Combination of these 2 dynamic elements of the art and science of VQ scan reporting-the clinical pretest probability of PE and lung scan category-will permit an accurate prediction of the absolute risk of PE posttest.

Female hormones and thrombosis

Exogenous hormones are used by more than a hundred million women worldwide as oral contraceptives or for postmenopausal hormone replacement. Oral contraceptives increase the risk of venous thrombosis, of myocardial infarction, and of stroke. The risk is highest during the first year of use. The venous thrombotic risk of oral contraceptives is high among women with coagulation abnormalities and with so-called third-generation contraceptives (containing desogestrel or gestodene). The risk of myocardial infarction does not appear to depend on coagulation abnormalities or the type of oral contraceptive. Hormone replacement therapy increases the risk of venous thrombosis. This risk is also highest in the first year of use and among women with coagulation abnormalities. The risk becomes very high in women with a previous venous thrombosis. Randomized trials have not confirmed a beneficial effect of postmenopausal hormones on the occurrence of myocardial infarction.

Screening for activated protein C resistance before oral contraceptive treatment: a pilot study

The feasibility and cost-effectiveness of screening women for congenital thrombophilic alterations before oral contraceptive (OC) treatment was investigated. A total of 525 women (mean age 21.9 years, 73% aged < 25 years) were examined before their first OC course. At first screening, completely normal results were recorded in 485 (92.4%) women, the remaining showing single (n = 34) or multiple (n = 6) alterations. At second examination (possible in 37 of 40), activated protein C resistance (APCR) was confirmed in 21 cases (4.0%, 18 with factor V Leiden), protein C, or protein S reduction in 8 (1.5%) and 2 (0.4%) cases, respectively. No cases with antithrombin III deficiency were detected. The global estimated cost ($US) to detect one altered case was: $7795 for protein S, $2696 for antithrombin III (no case found), $1374 for protein C and $433 for APCR. The present study confirms that extensive thrombophilic screening before OC treatment is not currently advisable. APCR assessment, however, seems to have a favorable cost-effectiveness ratio: the alteration is frequent and has a synergistic effect with OC; sensibility and specificity of some methods are good; family history is unreliable to single out possible carriers; finally, carriers can be fully informed of their increased thrombotic risk if treated with OC and can receive thromboprophylaxis during life situations associated with high thrombotic risk (e.g., pregnancy and puerperium).

Blood coagulation and oral contraceptives. A critical review

The use of oral contraceptives is associated with altered plasma concentrations of many components of the coagulation and fibrinolysis system, increased plasma levels of markers indicating in vivo coagulation and fibrinolysis, and a modified response to challenge tests both in vivo and in vitro. None of these effects seems to be specific for users of oral contraceptives and none was found uniformly in all users. The predictive value of each of these effects, or even of certain combinations of tests, for the prediction of venous thrombosis is low. There is no established way to assess the "thrombogenicity" of particular pills. The individual susceptibility, however, to develop venous thrombosis varies considerably. Recently, several congenital abnormalities of the hemostatic system have been found that are associated with an increased risk of venous thrombosis in general. The risk associated with the use of oral contraceptives appears to act synergistically with some of these thrombophilic conditions. Although the prevalence of these congenital predispositions varies among different populations, screening for these conditions is not feasible: negative results would not exclude the occurrence of about two-thirds of oral contraceptives-associated thromboses and positive results are likely to be disregarded because of their poor predictive value. Future research has to evaluate the role of a more targeted screening strategy aiming at women with risk factors such as a positive personal or family history of venous thromboembolism.

Factor V Leiden: should we screen oral contraceptive users and pregnant women?

The factor V Leiden mutation is the most common genetic risk factor for deep vein thrombosis: it is present in about 5% of the white population. The risk of deep vein thrombosis among women who use oral contraceptives is greatly increased by the presence of the mutation. The same seems to be true of the risk of postpartum thrombosis. Several authors have called for all women to be screened before prescription of oral contraceptives and during pregnancy. Such a policy might deny effective contraception to a substantial number of women while preventing only a small number of deaths due to pulmonary emboli. Moreover, in pregnancy the ensuing use of oral anticoagulation prophylaxis might carry a penalty of fatal bleeding that is equal to or exceeds the risk of death due to postpartum thrombosis. It might pay, however, to take a personal and family history of deep vein thrombosis when prescribing oral contraceptives or at a first antenatal visit to detect women from families with a tendency to multiple thrombosis.

Prospective study of exogenous hormones and risk of pulmonary embolism in women

BACKGROUND

Current use of oral contraceptives (OCs) is a well-recognised risk factor for venous thrombosis and consequent pulmonary embolism (PE). Little is known about residual effects of past OC use. Furthermore, few epidemiological studies have assessed the relation between postmenopausal use of hormones and thrombotic disease.

METHODS

In this prospective study information was obtained through questionnaires sent every 2 years (1976-92) to 1125,93 women aged 30-55 in 1976. We excluded women with previously diagnosed cardiovascular disease or cancer in 1976 and at the beginning of each subsequent 2-year follow-up period.

FINDINGS

From self-reports and medical records, we documented 123 cases of primary PE (no identified antecedent cancer, trauma, surgery, or immobilisation). Current users of postmenopausal hormones had an increased risk of primary PE (relative risk adjusted for multiple risk factors 2.1 [95% CI 1.2-3.8]). However, past use showed no relation to PE (1.3 [0.7-2.4]). In current users of OCs the risk of primary PE was about twice that in non-users (2.2 [0.8-5.9]), but this finding was based on only five cases who were current OC users. Users of OCs in the past had no increase in risk of PE (0.8 [0.5-1.2]). These relations were consistent irrespective of cigarette-smoking status.

INTERPRETATION

Primary PE was uncommon in this cohort. The risk was increased by current though not past use of postmenopausal hormones or OCs.