Accuracy of glycated haemoglobin in screening for pre-diabetes in Asian Indians--a community survey: the Chandigarh Urban Diabetes Study (CUDS)

Diabetes in developing countries

There has been a rapid escalation of type 2 diabetes (T2D) in developing countries, with varied prevalence according to rural vs urban habitat and degree of urbanization. Some ethnic groups (eg, South Asians, other Asians, and Africans), develop diabetes a decade earlier and at a lower body mass index than Whites, have prominent abdominal obesity, and accelerated the conversion from prediabetes to diabetes. The burden of complications, both macro- and microvascular, is substantial, but also varies according to populations. The syndemics of diabetes with HIV or tuberculosis are prevalent in many developing countries and predispose to each other. Screening for diabetes in large populations living in diverse habitats may not be cost-effective, but targeted high-risk screening may have a place. The cost of diagnostic tests and scarcity of health manpower pose substantial hurdles in the diagnosis and monitoring of patients. Efforts for prevention remain rudimentary in most developing countries. The quality of care is largely poor; hence, a substantial number of patients do not achieve treatment goals. This is further amplified by a delay in seeking treatment, "fatalistic attitudes", high cost and non-availability of drugs and insulins. To counter these numerous challenges, a renewed political commitment and mandate for health promotion and disease prevention are urgently needed. Several low-cost innovative approaches have been trialed with encouraging outcomes, including training and deployment of non-medical allied health professionals and the use of mobile phones and telemedicine to deliver simple health messages for the prevention and management of T2D.

Comparison of Hemoglobin A1c with Fasting and 2-h Plasma Glucose Tests for Diagnosis of Diabetes and Prediabetes among High-risk South Indians

BACKGROUND

Glycosylated hemoglobin (HbA1c) has not been evaluated extensively for diabetes and prediabetes diagnosis and short-term variability of fasting plasma glucose (FPG), 2-h PG post-75 g glucose load (2 hPG) and HbA1c has not been studied among Indians.

OBJECTIVES

The study aimed to compare the sensitivity of HbA1c, FPG and 2 hPG for diabetes and prediabetes diagnosis as per the American Diabetes Association criteria, assess short-term variability of three tests and determine optimal HbA1c cutoffs for diabetes and prediabetes diagnosis among high-risk south Indians.

METHODS

This diagnostic accuracy study, conducted at a tertiary care teaching hospital located in South India, enrolled 332 adults at high risk for diabetes and subjected them to testing (FPG, 2 hPG, and HbA1c) twice at 2-3 weeks interval. Sensitivity of three tests for diagnosing diabetes and prediabetes was determined based on the final diagnosis of normoglycemia/prediabetes/diabetes made with six test results for each participant. Optimal HbA1c cutoffs for diabetes and prediabetes were determined based on the final diagnosis of glycemic status made with four test results of FPG and 2 hPG.

RESULTS

FPG, 2 hPG, and HbA1c, at American Diabetes Association recommended values, had sensitivity of 84.4%, 97%, and 93.8% respectively for diabetes diagnosis. HbA1c had lowest short-term variability (CVw = 1.6%). Receiver operating characteristic curve plotted with mean (of two values) HbA1c for each participant showed optimal HbA1c cutoffs of 6.5% for diabetes (area under curve [AUC] =0.990, sensitivity = 95.8%, specificity = 96.2%, accuracy = 95.2%) and 5.9% for prediabetes (AUC = 0.893, sensitivity = 84.3%, specificity = 80%, accuracy = 75.6%) diagnosis respectively. HbA1c <5.6% had 100% negative predictive value to exclude prediabetes/diabetes.

CONCLUSIONS

HbA1c ≥6.5% is a convenient and reliable alternative to plasma glucose tests to diagnose diabetes among high-risk South Indians. HbA1c ≥5.9% is optimal for prediabetes diagnosis and value <5.6% excludes prediabetes/diabetes.Abbreviations used in the manuscript: ADA: American Diabetes Association, AUC: Area under curve, CVw: Within-person coefficient of variation, FPG: Fasting plasma glucose, 2 hPG: Two-hour plasma glucose post-75 g oral glucose load, HbA1c: Glycosylated haemoglobin, IFG: Impaired fasting glucose, IGT: Impaired glucose tolerance, NPV: Negative predictive value, PPV: Positive predictive value; PG: Plasma glucose, ROC: Receiver operating characteristic.

Risk of progression to diabetes from prediabetes defined by HbA1c or fasting plasma glucose criteria in Koreans

AIMS

To examine the abilities of HbA1c and fasting plasma glucose (FPG) criteria predicting 5-year progression rate to diabetes in Korean adults with prediabetes.

METHODS

Participants included 17,971 Koreans (aged 20-79years) who underwent routine medical check-ups at a mean interval of 5.2years (3.1-6.7years). Prediabetes was defined as FPG 5.6-6.9mmol/l or HbA1c 5.7-6.4% (39-46mmol/mol). Incident diabetes was defined as FPG⩾7.0mmol/l, HbA1c⩾6.5% (48mmol/mol), or initiation of antidiabetic medications.

RESULTS

At baseline, the prevalence of prediabetes was 30.6% (n=5495) by FPG and 20.4% (n=3664) by HbA1c criteria. The 5-year progression rate to diabetes was significantly higher in prediabetes identified by HbA1c than by FPG tests (14.7% vs. 10.4%, P<0.001). Of individuals diagnosed with prediabetes by only one test, those by HbA1c alone had a higher risk of progression to diabetes than those diagnosed by FPG alone (6.0% vs. 3.9%, P<0.001). Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis showed that area under the curve was greater for HbA1c (0.855, 95% CI 0.840-0.870) than for FPG (0.830, 0.813-0.846) (P=0.016). After adjustment for conventional risk factors, the odds ratio (OR) of developing diabetes was higher in participants with prediabetes identified by HbA1c (OR 9.91, 8.24-11.9) than by FPG (OR 7.29, 5.97-8.89) (P=0.026).

CONCLUSIONS

Although fewer individuals with prediabetes were identified by HbA1c than by FPG criteria, the ability to predict progression to diabetes was stronger for HbA1c than for FPG in Koreans.

Performance of HbA1c for the prediction of diabetes in a rural community in Korea

AIM

To investigate the performance of HbA1c in predicting incident diabetes among Korean adults with normal fasting glucose and impaired fasting glucose levels.

METHODS

This study used data from the Korean Genome Epidemiology Study-Kangwha Study. A prospective analysis was carried out on 2079 people (820 men and 1259 women) who completed follow-up examinations up until 2013. Diabetes was defined as fasting blood glucose level ≥ 7.0 mmol/l, HbA1c level ≥ 48 mmol/mol (6.5%), or current treatment for diabetes. Areas under the receiver-operating characteristic curves were used to assess the different performances of HbA1c , glucose and insulin in predicting diabetes.

RESULTS

The median follow-up time was 3.97 years, during which 7.7% of men and 6.3% of women developed incident diabetes. The areas under the receiver-operating curves (95% CI) for diabetes prediction were 0.740 (0.692-0.787) for HbA1c , 0.716 (0.667-0.764) for glucose and 0.598 (0.549-0.648) for insulin. HbA1c showed better predictive power in people with impaired fasting glucose (area under the curve 0.753, 95% CI 0.685-0.821) than in those with normal glucose (area under the curve 0.648, 95% CI 0.577-0.719). An HbA1c threshold of 40 mmol/mol (5.8%) was found to have the highest predictive value for diabetes, with a relative risk of 6.30 (95% CI 3.49-11.35) in men and 3.52 (95% CI 2.06-6.03) in women after adjusting for age, waist circumference, triglycerides, hypertension, family history of diabetes, smoking, alcohol intake, exercise and baseline glucose level.

CONCLUSIONS

HbA1c can be used to identify people at high risk for the development of diabetes, especially in those with impaired fasting glucose levels.

Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Response Rates and Diagnostic Yield of Screening for Type 2 Diabetes and Those at High Risk of Diabetes

Background

Screening for type 2 diabetes (T2DM) and individuals at risk of diabetes has been advocated, yet information on the response rate and diagnostic yield of different screening strategies are lacking.

Methods

Studies (from 1998 to March/2015) were identified through Medline, Embase and the Cochrane library and included if they used oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) and WHO-1998 diagnostic criteria for screening in a community setting. Studies were one-step strategy if participants were invited directly for OGTT and two, three/four step if participants were screened at one or more levels prior to invitation to OGTT. The response rate and diagnostic yield were pooled using Bayesian random-effect meta-analyses.

Findings

47 studies (422754 participants); 29 one-step, 11 two-step and seven three/four-step were identified. Pooled response rate (95% Credible Interval) for invitation to OGTT was 65.5% (53.7, 75.6), 63.1% (44.0, 76.8), and 85.4% (76.4, 93.3) in one, two and three/four-step studies respectively. T2DM yield was 6.6% (5.3, 7.8), 13.1% (4.3, 30.9) and 27.9% (8.6, 66.3) for one, two and three/four-step strategies respectively. The number needed to invite to the OGTT to detect one case of T2DM was 15, 7.6 and 3.6 in one, two, and three/four-step strategies. In two step strategies, there was no difference between the response or yield rates whether the first step was blood test or risk-score. There was evidence of substantial heterogeneity in rates across study populations but this was not explained by the method of invitation, study location (rural versus urban) and developmental index of the country in which the study was performed.

Conclusions

Irrespective of the invitation method, developmental status of the countries and or rural/urban location, using a multi-step strategy increases the initial response rate to the invitation to screening for diabetes and reduces the number needed to have the final diagnostic test (OGTT in this study) for a definite diagnosis.