ACS-NSQIP has the potential to create an HPB-NSQIP option

International differences in the selection and outcome of minimally invasive and open distal pancreatectomy: A transatlantic analysis

BACKGROUND

The efficacy and safety of minimally invasive distal pancreatectomy have been confirmed by randomized trials, but current patient selection and outcome of minimally invasive distal pancreatectomy in large international cohorts is unknown. This study aimed to compare the use and outcome of minimally invasive distal pancreatectomy in North America, the Netherlands, Germany, and Sweden.

METHODS

All patients in the 4 Global Audits on Pancreatic Surgery Group (GAPASURG) registries who underwent minimally invasive distal pancreatectomy or open distal pancreatectomy during 2014-2020 were included.

RESULTS

Overall, 20,158 distal pancreatectomies were included, of which 7,316 (36%) were minimally invasive distal pancreatectomies. Use of minimally invasive distal pancreatectomy varied from 29% to 54% among registries, of which 13% to 35% were performed robotically. Both the use of minimally invasive distal pancreatectomy and robotic surgery were the highest in the Netherlands. Patients undergoing minimally invasive distal pancreatectomy tended to have a younger age (Germany and Sweden), female sex (North America, Germany), higher body mass index (North America, the Netherlands, Germany), lower comorbidity classification (North America, Germany, Sweden), lower performance status (Germany), and lower rate of pancreatic adenocarcinoma (all). The minimally invasive distal pancreatectomy group had fewer vascular resections (all) and lower rates of severe complications and mortality (North America, Germany). In the multivariable regression analysis, country was associated with severe complications but not with 30-day mortality. Minimally invasive distal pancreatectomy was associated with a lower risk of 30-day mortality compared with open distal pancreatectomy (odds ratio 1.633, 95% CI 1.159-2.300, P = .005).

CONCLUSIONS

Considerable disparities were seen in the use of minimally invasive distal pancreatectomy among 4 transatlantic registries of pancreatic surgery. Overall, minimally invasive distal pancreatectomy was associated with decreased mortality as compared with open distal pancreatectomy. Differences in patient selection among countries could imply that countries are in different stages of the learning curve.

Transatlantic differences in the use and outcome of minimally invasive pancreatoduodenectomy: an international multi-registry analysis

BACKGROUND

Minimally invasive pancreatoduodenectomy (MIPD) has emerged as an alternative to open pancreatoduodenectomy (OPD). However, the extent of variation in the use and outcomes of MIPD in relation to OPD among countries is unclear as international studies using registry data are lacking. This study aimed to investigate the use, patient selection, and outcomes of MIPD and OPD in four transatlantic audits for pancreatic surgery.

METHODS

A post hoc comparative analysis including consecutive patients after MIPD and OPD from four nationwide and multicenter pancreatic surgery audits from North America, Germany, the Netherlands, and Sweden (2014-2020). Patient factors related to MIPD were identified using multivariable logistic regression. Outcome analyses excluded the Swedish audit because < 100 MIPD were performed during the studied period.

RESULTS

Overall, 44,076 patients who underwent pancreatoduodenectomy were included (29,107 North America, 7586 Germany, 4970 the Netherlands, and 2413 Sweden), including 3328 MIPD procedures (8%). The use of MIPD varied widely among countries (absolute largest difference [ALD] 17%, p < 0.001): 7% North America, 4% Germany, 17% the Netherlands, and 0.1% Sweden. Over time, the use of MIPD increased in North America and the Netherlands (p < 0.001), mostly driven by robotic MIPD, but not in Germany (p = 0.297). Patient factors predicting the use of MIPD included country, later year of operation, better performance status, high POPF-risk score, no vascular resection, and non-malignant indication. Conversion rates were higher in laparoscopic MIPD (range 28-45%), compared to robotic MIPD (range 9-37%). In-hospital/30-day mortality differed among North America, Germany, and the Netherlands; MIPD (2%, 7%, 4%; ALD 5%, p < 0.001) and OPD (2%, 5%, 3%; ALD 3%, p < 0.001), similar to major morbidity; MIPD (25%, 42%, 38%, ALD 17%, p < 0.001) and OPD (25%, 31%, 30%, ALD 6%, p < 0.001), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Considerable differences were found in the use and outcome, including conversion and mortality rates, of MIPD and OPD among four transatlantic audits for pancreatic surgery. Our findings highlight the need for international collaboration to optimize treatment standards and patient outcome.

Hepato-pancreato-biliary surgery in West Africa: a timely capacity assessment

BACKGROUND

West Africa has among the highest rates of hepato-pancreato-biliary (HPB) malignancies in the world. Although surgery is critical for treatment, the availability of HPB surgery in Africa is unknown. This cross-sectional study investigated the current HPB surgical capacity of West African hospitals.

METHOD

The Surgeons OverSeas Personnel, Infrastructure, Procedure, Equipment, and Supplies (PIPES) survey was modified to include HPB-specific parameters and quantify capacity. The survey was completed by consultant surgeons from West Africa. A PIPES index was calculated, and a higher score corresponded to greater HPB surgical capacity.

RESULTS

The HPB PIPES survey was completed by 35 institutions from The Gambia, Ghana, Ivory Coast, and Nigeria. Most institutions (94.2%) were tertiary referral centres; five had an HPB-trained surgeon. The most commonly available procedure was an open cholecystectomy (91.4%), followed by gastric bypass (88.6%). Major hepatic resections (14.3%) and the Whipple procedure (17.1%) were rare. ICU capabilities were present at 88.6% of facilities while interventional radiology was present in 25.7%.

CONCLUSIONS

This is the first HPB capacity assessment in Africa. This study showed the limited availability of HPB surgery in West Africa. These results can be used for regional quality improvement initiatives and as a baseline for future capacity assessments.

Outcomes of liver surgery: A decade of mandatory nationwide auditing in the Netherlands

BACKGROUND

In 2013, the nationwide Dutch Hepato Biliary Audit (DHBA) was initiated. The aim of this study was to evaluate changes in indications for and outcomes of liver surgery in the last decade.

METHODS

This nationwide study included all patients who underwent liver surgery for four indications, including colorectal liver metastases (CRLM), hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and intrahepatic- and perihilar cholangiocarcinoma (iCCA - pCCA) between 2014 and 2022. Trends in postoperative outcomes were evaluated separately for each indication using multilevel multivariable logistic regression analyses.

RESULTS

This study included 8057 procedures for CRLM, 838 for HCC, 290 for iCCA, and 300 for pCCA. Over time, these patients had higher risk profiles (more ASA-III patients and more comorbidities). Adjusted mortality decreased over time for CRLM, HCC and iCCA, respectively aOR 0.83, 95%CI 0.75-0.92, P < 0.001; aOR 0.86, 95%CI 0.75-0.99, P = 0.045; aOR 0.40, 95%CI 0.20-0.73, P < 0.001. Failure to rescue (FTR) also decreased for these groups, respectively aOR 0.84, 95%CI 0.76-0.93, P = 0.001; aOR 0.81, 95%CI 0.68-0.97, P = 0.024; aOR 0.29, 95%CI 0.08-0.84, P = 0.021). For iCCA severe complications (aOR 0.65 95%CI 0.43-0.99, P = 0.043) also decreased. No significant outcome differences were observed in pCCA. The number of centres performing liver resections decreased from 26 to 22 between 2014 and 2022, while median annual volumes did not change (40-49, P = 0.66).

CONCLUSION

Over time, postoperative mortality and FTR decreased after liver surgery, despite treating higher-risk patients. The DHBA continues its focus on providing feedback and benchmark results to further enhance outcomes.

The effect of an intraoperative patient-specific, surgery-specific haemodynamic algorithm in improving textbook outcomes for hepatobiliary-pancreatic surgery: a multicentre retrospective study

Background

The concept of a "textbook outcome" is emerging as a metric for ideal surgical outcomes. We aimed to evaluate the impact of an advanced haemodynamic monitoring (AHDM) algorithm on achieving a textbook outcome in patients undergoing hepatobiliary-pancreatic surgery.

Methods

This retrospective, multicentre observational study was conducted across private and public teaching sectors in Victoria, Australia. We studied patients managed by a patient-specific, surgery-specific haemodynamic algorithm or via usual care. The primary outcome was the effect of using a patient-specific, surgery-specific AHDM algorithm for achieving a textbook outcome, with adjustment using propensity score matching. The textbook outcome criteria were defined according to the International Expert Delphi Consensus on Defining Textbook Outcome in Liver Surgery and Nationwide Analysis of a Novel Quality Measure in Pancreatic Surgery.

Results

Of the 780 weighted cases, 477 (61.2%, 95% CI: 57.7%-64.6%) achieved the textbook outcome. Patients in the AHDM group had a higher rate of textbook outcomes [n = 259 (67.8%)] than those in the Usual care group [n = 218 (54.8%); p < 0.001, estimated odds ratio (95% CI) 1.74 (1.30-2.33)]. The AHDM group had a lower rate of surgery-specific complications, severe complications, and a shorter hospital length of stay (LOS) [OR 2.34 (95% CI: 1.30-4.21), 1.79 (95% CI: 1.12-2.85), and 1.83 (95% CI: 1.35-2.46), respectively]. There was no significant difference between the groups for hospital readmission and mortality.

Conclusions

AHDM use was associated with improved outcomes, supporting its integration in hepatobiliary-pancreatic surgery. Prospective trials are warranted to further evaluate the impact of this AHDM algorithm on achieving a textbook impact on long-term outcomes.

Quality of Surgical Care Within the Criminal Justice Health Care System

Importance

Individuals who are incarcerated represent a vulnerable group due to concerns about their ability to provide voluntary and informed consent, and there are considerable legal protections regarding their participation in medical research. Little is known about the quality of surgical care received by this population.

Objective

To evaluate perioperative surgical care provided to patients who are incarcerated within the Texas Department of Criminal Justice (TDCJ) and compare their outcomes with that of the general nonincarcerated population.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This cohort study analyzed data from patients who were incarcerated within the TDCJ and underwent general or vascular surgery at the University of Texas Medical Branch (UTMB) from 2012 to 2021. Case-specific outcomes for a subset of these patients and for patients in the general academic medical center population were obtained from the American College of Surgeons National Quality Improvement Program (ACS-NSQIP) and compared. Additional quality metrics (mortality index, length of stay index, and excess hospital days) from the Vizient Clinical Data Base were analyzed for patients in the incarcerated and nonincarcerated groups who underwent surgery at UTMB in 2020 and 2021 to provide additional recent data. Patient-specific demographics, including age, sex, and comorbidities were not available for analysis within this data set.

Main Outcome and Measures

Perioperative outcomes (30-day morbidity, mortality, and readmission rates) were compared between the incarcerated and nonincarcerated groups using the Fisher exact test.

Results

The sample included data from 6675 patients who were incarcerated and underwent general or vascular surgery at UTMB from 2012 to 2021. The ACS-NSQIP included data (2012-2021) for 2304 patients who were incarcerated and 602 patients who were not and showed that outcomes were comparable between the TDCJ population and that of the general population treated at the academic medical center with regard to 30-day readmission (6.60% vs 5.65%) and mortality (0.91% vs 1.16%). However, 30-day morbidity was significantly higher in the TDCJ population (8.25% vs 5.48%, P = .01). The 2020 and 2021 data from the Vizient Clinical Data Base included 629 patients who were incarcerated and 2614 who were not and showed that the incarcerated and nonincarcerated populations did not differ with regard to 30-day readmission (12.52% vs 11.30%) or morbidity (1.91% vs 2.60%). Although the unadjusted mortality rate was significantly lower in the TDCJ population (1.27% vs 2.68%, P = .04), mortality indexes, which account for case mix index, were similar between the 2 populations (1.17 vs 1.12).

Conclusions and Relevance

Findings of this cohort study suggest that patients who are incarcerated have equivalent rates of mortality and readmission compared with a general academic medical center population. Future studies that focus on elucidating the potential factors associated with perioperative morbidity and exploring long-term surgical outcomes in the incarcerated population are warranted.

A NSQIP-Based Randomized Clinical Trial Evaluating Choice of Prophylactic Antibiotics for Pancreaticoduodenectomy

Surgical site infection is a common complication following pancreaticoduodenectomy and is a major source of postoperative morbidity. Surgical site infection is more common among patients who undergo preoperative biliary instrumentation, likely because of the introduction of intestinal flora into the normally sterile biliary tree. Frequently, bacterial isolates from surgical site infections after pancreaticoduodenectomy demonstrate resistance to the antibiotic agents typically used for surgical prophylaxis, suggesting that broad-spectrum coverage may be beneficial. This chapter summarizes the current evidence regarding surgical site infection following pancreatic surgery and describes the rationale and methodology underlying a multicenter randomized trial evaluating piperacillin-tazobactam compared with cefoxitin for surgical site infection prevention following pancreaticoduodenectomy. As the first U.S. randomized surgical trial to utilize a clinical registry for data collection, this study serves as proof of concept for registry-based clinical trials. The trial has successfully completed patient accrual, and study results are forthcoming.

Development and validation of a novel nomogram to predict postoperative pancreatic fistula after pancreatoduodenectomy using lasso-logistic regression: an international multi-institutional observational study

BACKGROUND

Existing prediction models for clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) after pancreatoduodenectomy (PD) lack discriminatory power or are too complex. This study aimed to develop a simple nomogram that could accurately predict clinically relevant POPF after PD.

METHODS

A high-volume, multicenter cohort of patients who underwent PD from the American College of Surgeons-National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database in the United States during 2014-2017 was used as the model training cohort ( n =3609), and patients who underwent PD from the Pancreatic Center of the National Cancer Center Hospital in China during 2014-2019 were used as the external validation cohort ( n =1347). The study used lasso penalized regression to screen large-scale variables, then logistic regression was performed to screen the variables and build a model. Finally, a prediction nomogram for clinically relevant POPF was established based on the logistic model, and polynomial equations were extracted. The performance of the nomogram was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic curve, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis.

RESULTS

In the training and validation cohorts, there were 16.7% (601/3609) and 16.6% (224/1347) of patients who developed clinically relevant POPF, respectively. After screening using lasso and logistic regression, only six predictors were independently associated with clinically relevant POPF, including two preoperative indicators (weight and pancreatic duct size), one intraoperative indicator (pancreatic texture), and three postoperative indicators (deep surgical site infection, delayed gastric emptying, and pathology). The prediction of the new nomogram was accurate, with an area under the curve of 0.855 (95% CI: 0.702-0.853) in the external validation cohort, and the predictive performance was superior to three previously proposed POPF risk score models (all P <0.001, likelihood ratio test).

CONCLUSIONS

A reliable lasso-logistic method was applied to establish a novel nomogram based on six readily available indicators, achieving a sustained, dynamic, and precise POPF prediction for PD patients. With a limited number of variables and easy clinical application, this new model will enable surgeons to proactively predict, identify, and manage pancreatic fistulas to obtain better outcomes from this daunting postoperative complication.

Ideal Outcome After Pancreatoduodenectomy: A Transatlantic Evaluation of a Harmonized Composite Outcome Measure

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study is to define and assess Ideal Outcome in the national or multicenter registries of North America, Germany, the Netherlands, and Sweden.

BACKGROUND

Assessing outcomes after pancreatoduodenectomy among centers and countries requires a broad evaluation that cannot be captured by a single parameter. Previously, 2 composite outcome measures (textbook outcome and optimal pancreatic surgery) for pancreatoduodenectomy have been described from Europe and the United States. These composites were harmonized into ideal outcome (IO).

METHODS

This analysis is a transatlantic retrospective study (2018-2020) of patients after pancreatoduodenectomy within the registries from North America, Germany, The Netherlands, and Sweden. After 3 consensus meetings, IO for pancreatoduodenectomy was defined as the absence of all 6 parameters: (1) in-hospital mortality, (2) severe complications-Clavien-Dindo ≥3, (3) postoperative pancreatic fistula-International Study Group of Pancreatic Surgery (ISGPS) grade B/C, (4) reoperation, (5) hospital stay >75th percentile, and (6) readmission. Outcomes were evaluated using relative largest difference (RLD) and absolute largest difference (ALD), and multivariate regression models.

RESULTS

Overall, 21,036 patients after pancreatoduodenectomy were included, of whom 11,194 (54%) reached IO. The rate of IO varied between 55% in North America, 53% in Germany, 52% in The Netherlands, and 54% in Sweden (RLD: 1.1, ALD: 3%, P <0.001). Individual components varied with an ALD of 2% length of stay, 4% for in-hospital mortality, 12% severe complications, 10% postoperative pancreatic fistula, 11% reoperation, and 9% readmission. Age, sex, absence of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, body mass index, performance status, American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) score, biliary drainage, absence of vascular resection, and histologic diagnosis were associated with IO. In the subgroup of patients with pancreatic adenocarcinoma, country, and neoadjuvant chemotherapy also was associated with improved IO.

CONCLUSIONS

The newly developed composite outcome measure "Ideal Outcome" can be used for auditing and comparing outcomes after pancreatoduodenectomy. The observed differences can be used to guide collaborative initiatives to further improve the outcomes of pancreatic surgery.

Complications and failure-to-rescue after pancreatectomy and hospital participation in the targeted American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program registry

BACKGROUND

More than 700 hospitals participate in the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program, but most pancreatectomies are performed in 165 centers participating in the pancreas procedure-targeted registry. We hypothesized that these hospitals ("targeted hospitals") might provide more specialized care than those not participating ("standard hospitals").

METHODS

The 2014 to 2019 pancreas-targeted and standard American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program registry were reviewed regarding patient demographics, comorbidities, and perioperative outcomes using standard univariate and multivariable logistic regression analyses. Primary outcomes included 30-day mortality and serious morbidity.

RESULTS

The registry included 30,357 pancreatoduodenectomies (80% in targeted hospitals) and 14,800 distal pancreatectomies (76% in targeted hospitals). Preoperative and intraoperative characteristics of patients treated at targeted versus standard hospitals were comparable. On multivariable analysis, pancreatoduodenectomies performed at targeted hospitals were associated with a 39% decrease in 30-day mortality (odds ratio, 0.61; 95% confidence interval, 0.50-0.75), 17% decrease in serious morbidity (odds ratio, 0.83; 95% confidence interval, 0.77-0.89), and 41% decrease in failure-to-rescue (odds ratio, 0.59; 95% confidence interval, 0.47-0.74). These differences did not apply to distal pancreatectomies. Participation in the targeted registry was associated with higher rates of optimal surgery for both pancreatoduodenectomy (odds ratio, 1.33; 95% confidence interval, 1.25-1.41) and distal pancreatectomy (odds ratio, 1.17; 95% confidence interval, 1.06-1.30).

CONCLUSION

Mortality and failure-to-rescue rates after pancreatoduodenectomy in targeted hospitals were nearly half of rates in standard American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program hospitals. Further research should delineate factors underlying this effect and highlight opportunities for improvement.

Transatlantic registries for minimally invasive liver surgery: towards harmonization

BACKGROUND

Several registries focus on patients undergoing minimally invasive liver surgery (MILS). This study compared transatlantic registries focusing on the variables collected and differences in baseline characteristics, indications, and treatment in patients undergoing MILS. Furthermore, key variables were identified.

METHODS

The five registries for liver surgery from North America (ACS-NSQIP), Italy, Norway, the Netherlands, and Europe were compared. A set of key variables were established by consensus expert opinion and compared between the registries. Anonymized data of all MILS procedures were collected (January 2014-December 2019). To summarize differences for all patient characteristics, treatment, and outcome, the relative and absolute largest differences (RLD, ALD) between the smallest and largest outcome per variable among the registries are presented.

RESULTS

In total, 13,571 patients after MILS were included. Both 30- and 90-day mortality after MILS were below 1.1% in all registries. The largest differences in baseline characteristics were seen in ASA grade 3-4 (RLD 3.0, ALD 46.1%) and the presence of liver cirrhosis (RLD 6.4, ALD 21.2%). The largest difference in treatment was the use of neoadjuvant chemotherapy (RLD 4.3, ALD 20.6%). The number of variables collected per registry varied from 28 to 303. From the 46 key variables, 34 were missing in at least one of the registries.

CONCLUSION

Despite considerable variation in baseline characteristics, indications, and treatment of patients undergoing MILS in the five transatlantic registries, overall mortality after MILS was consistently below 1.1%. The registries should be harmonized to facilitate future collaborative research on MILS for which the identified 46 key variables will be instrumental.

Thirty-Day Stroke and Mortality After Carotid Revascularization Among Octogenarians with Symptomatic Carotid Stenosis: Real-World Evidence from a National Surgical Quality Registry

BACKGROUND

The outcomes of carotid revascularization among octogenarians are not well studied. We present analyses of 30-day stroke and mortality of patients aged ≥80 years using real-world data from a national surgical quality registry.

METHODS

The National Surgical Quality Improvement Program targeted data set for carotid endarterectomy (CEA) and carotid angioplasty and stenting (CAS) was queried for patients aged ≥80 years undergoing CEA and CAS between 2012 and 2019.

RESULTS

A total of 122 and 3013 patients aged ≥80 years with symptomatic carotid stenosis undergoing CAS and CEA, respectively, were identified. Patients with CAS were more likely to be older than 90 years (P = 0.006) and have diabetes (P = 0.036), were more likely to have high-risk anatomy (P < 0.001), but had lower American Society of Anesthesiologists score (P < 0.001). An ipsilateral stroke had been experienced by 43.6% of patients with CAS and 44.7% of patients with CEA. The rate of 30-day composite outcome was 6.4% in the CAS group and 4.5% in the CEA group (P = 0.326). The f 30-day mortality was significantly higher for CAS (5.6% vs. 1.7%, P = 0.001); however, the difference between the cohorts was not significant (CAS, 2.4% vs. CEA, 3.4%, P = 0.555). On multivariable analysis, CEA was associated with significantly lower odds of mortality (odds ratio [OR], 0.32; P = 0.0145). Symptom presentation other than ipsilateral stroke was associated with significantly decreased odds of 30-day outcome (amaurosis fugax/transient monocular blindness, OR, 0.39, P = 0.004; transient ischemic attack, OR, 0.57, P = 0.003), whereas higher age had significantly increased odds (OR, 1.95; P = 0.0172).

CONCLUSIONS

Real-world analyses from a surgical quality registry show that CEA may be associated with lower odds of mortality compared with CAS among octogenarians.

Increased Morbidity and Mortality After Hepatectomy for Colorectal Liver Metastases in Frail Patients is Largely Driven by Worse Outcomes After Minor Hepatectomy: It's Not "Just a Wedge"

BACKGROUND

Frailty is associated with postoperative mortality, but its significance after hepatectomy for colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) is poorly defined. This study evaluated the impact of frailty after hepatectomy for CRLM.

METHODS

The study identified 8477 patients in National Surgical Quality Improvement Program databases from 2014 to 2019 and stratified them by frailty score using the risk analysis index as very frail (>90th percentile), frail (75th-90th percentile), or non-frail (< 75th percentile). Multivariate regression models determined the impact of frailty on perioperative outcomes, including by the extent of hepatectomy.

RESULTS

The procedures performed were 2752 major hepatectomies (left hepatectomy, right hepatectomy, trisectionectomy) and 5725 minor hepatectomies (≤2 segments) for 870 (10.3%) very frail, 1680 (19.8%) frail, and 5927 (69.9%) non-frail patients. Postoperatively, the very frail and frail patients experienced more complications (very frail [41.8%], frail [35.1%], non-frail [31.0%]), which resulted in a longer hospital stay (very-frail [5.7 days], frail [5.8 days], non-frail [5.1 days]), a higher 30-day mortality (very-frail [2.2%], frail [1.3%], non-frail [0.5%]), and more discharges to a facility (very frail [6.8%], frail [3.7%], non-frail [2.6%]) (p < 0.05) although they underwent similarly extensive (major vs. minor) hepatectomies. In the multivariate analysis, frailty was independently associated with complications (very-frail [odds ratio {OR}, 1.70], frail [OR, 1.25]) and 30-day mortality (very-frail [OR, 4.24], frail [OR, 2.41]) (p < 0.05). After minor hepatectomy, the very frail and frail patients had significantly higher rates of complications and 30-day mortality than the non-frail patients, and in the multivariate analysis, frailty was independently associated with complications (very frail [OR, 1.97], frail [OR, 1.27]) and 30-day mortality (very frail [OR, 6.76], frail [OR, 3.47]) (p < 0.05) after minor hepatectomy.

CONCLUSIONS

Frailty predicted significantly poorer outcomes after hepatectomy for CRLM, even after only a minor hepatectomy.

Registry-based randomized clinical trials in surgery: Working with ACS-NSQIP and the AHPBA to conduct pragmatic trials

Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) represent the gold standard for evidence in clinical medicine because of their ability to account for the effects of unmeasured confounders and selection bias by indication. However, their complexity and immense costs limit their application, and thus the availability of high-quality data to guide clinical care. Registry-based RCTs are a type of pragmatic trial that leverages existing registries as a platform for data collection, providing a low-cost alternative for randomized studies. Herein, we describe the tenets of registry RCTs and the development of the first AHPBA/ACS-NSQIP-based registry trial.

Influence of Preoperative and Postoperative Factors on Prolonged Length of Stay and Readmission after Minimally Invasive Radical Prostatectomy

BACKGROUND

The mean length of stay (LOS) following minimally invasive radical prostatectomy (MI-RP) is less than 2 days. Our main objective was to utilize the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program Database (NSQIP) to evaluate preoperative factors that may contribute to prolonged hospital stay and readmission.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Utilizing the NSQIP database, records for surgery with the Current Procedural Terminology (CPT) code 55866 (prostatectomy) between 2007 and 2017 were evaluated. Chi-square and t-tests were used to assess the effects of preoperative factors on prolonged LOS and rates of hospital readmission within 30 days. Odds ratios, p-values, and confidence intervals were determined using multivariable logistic regression.

RESULTS

40,764 patients underwent MI-RP between 2007 and 2017. Of these, 11.7% reported a LOS of more than 2 days, while 3.9% of patients were readmitted to the hospital within 30 days. Preoperative congestive heart failure within 30 days of surgery was shown to be strongly associated with both prolonged LOS (OR = 6.16) and readmission (OR = 3.28). Bleeding requiring transfusion was demonstrated to be the most significant postoperative factor for prolonged LOS (OR= 23.9), while unplanned intubation was shown to be the most significant postoperative factor for readmission (OR=57.1). BMI over 30 was associated with both prolonged LOS and increase in readmission.

CONCLUSIONS

Upon NSQIP database analysis, cardiopulmonary factors and BMI were demonstrated to have negative impacts on postoperative quality indicators. Patients with comorbidities should be counselled preoperatively concerning their individual risk factors. Mitigation of these factors is important in ensuring optimal outcomes.

Machine Learning Prediction of Length of Stay in Adult Spinal Deformity Patients Undergoing Posterior Spine Fusion Surgery

(1) Background: Length of stay (LOS) is a commonly reported metric used to assess surgical success, patient outcomes, and economic impact. The focus of this study is to use a variety of machine learning algorithms to reliably predict whether a patient undergoing posterior spinal fusion surgery treatment for Adult Spine Deformity (ASD) will experience a prolonged LOS. (2) Methods: Patients undergoing treatment for ASD with posterior spinal fusion surgery were selected from the American College of Surgeon's NSQIP dataset. Prolonged LOS was defined as a LOS greater than or equal to 9 days. Data was analyzed with the Logistic Regression, Decision Tree, Random Forest, XGBoost, and Gradient Boosting functions in Python with the Sci-Kit learn package. Prediction accuracy and area under the curve (AUC) were calculated. (3) Results: 1281 posterior patients were analyzed. The five algorithms had prediction accuracies between 68% and 83% for posterior cases (AUC: 0.566-0.821). Multivariable regression indicated that increased Work Relative Value Units (RVU), elevated American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) class, and longer operating times were linked to longer LOS. (4) Conclusions: Machine learning algorithms can predict if patients will experience an increased LOS following ASD surgery. Therefore, medical resources can be more appropriately allocated towards patients who are at risk of prolonged LOS.

Weight Loss Following Hepatopancreatobiliary Surgery. How Much is Too Much? A Retrospective Cohort Study

Background & Aims. Postoperative weight loss is common following hepato-pancreato-biliary (HPB) surgical resections; however, the extent of weight loss and the association with poor outcomes have not been well described. We assessed the average percentage of weight loss and risk factors associated with sustained postoperative weight loss. Materials and Methods. We enrolled patients undergoing major HPB surgical resections from 2011-2016 at a single institution. We evaluated percent change in weight postoperatively, incidence of complications, and nutritional clinical markers at 1, 3, and 6 months postoperatively compared to preoperative baseline. We used multiple logistic regression to evaluate factors associated with significant weight loss (>10% from baseline) at 3 months from surgery. Results. Among 262 patients undergoing HPB surgery, liver surgery patients lost 2.5% of baseline weight at 3 months postoperatively but regained baseline weight by 6 months. Pancreatic surgery patients lost 7.7% at 3 months and were unable to recover their baseline weights at 6 months. Forty-three (16%) patients had major postoperative complications including abdominal abscess (5.3%) and anastomotic leak (3.8%). Patients who experienced major postoperative complications had a greater percentage weight loss at 3 months compared to those without major complications: median 11% (interquartile range (IQR): 7%-15%) vs 4% (IQR: 0%-8%), P < .001. In the multivariable analysis, major postoperative complications were associated with significant weight loss at 3 months (OR 3.39, 95% CI 1.38-8.33). Conclusions. Due to the association of weight loss and major postoperative complications, patients who experience significant weight loss (>10% from baseline) may benefit from nutritional assessment for dietary intervention.

Failure to Rescue After Pancreatoduodenectomy: A Transatlantic Analysis

OBJECTIVE

This analysis aimed to compare failure to rescue (FTR) after pancreatoduodenectomy across the Atlantic.

SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA

FTR, or mortality after development of a major complication, is a quality metric originally created to compare hospital results. FTR has been studied in North American and Northern European patients undergoing pancreatoduodenectomy (PD). However, a direct comparison of FTR after PD between North America and Northern Europe has not been performed.

METHODS

Patients who underwent PD in North America, the Netherlands, Sweden and Germany (GAPASURG dataset) were identified from their respective registries (2014-17). Patients who developed a major complication defined as Clavien-Dindo ≥3 or developed a grade B/C postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) were included. Preoperative, intraoperative, and postoperative variables were compared between patients with and without FTR. Variables significant on univariable analysis were entered into a logistic regression for FTR.

RESULTS

Major complications occurred in 6188 of 22,983 patients (26.9%) after PD, and 504 (8.1%) patients had FTR. North American and Northern European patients with complications differed, and rates of FTR were lower in North America (5.4% vs 12%, P < 0.001). Fourteen factors from univariable analysis contributing to differences in patients who developed FTR were included in a logistic regression. On multivariable analysis, factors independently associated with FTR were age, American Society of Anesthesiology ≥3, Northern Europe, POPF, organ failure, life-threatening complication, nonradiologic intervention, and reoperation.

CONCLUSIONS

Older patients with severe systemic diseases are more difficult to rescue. Failure to rescue is more common in Northern Europe than North America. In stable patients, management of complications by interventional radiology is preferred over reoperation.

The Impact of Chronic Liver Disease on Postoperative Outcomes and Resource Utilization

BACKGROUND

Multiple studies have shown high rates of postoperative morbidity and mortality in individuals with chronic liver disease (CLD). However, analyses from comparisons with individuals without CLD are not available. Such analyses might provide opportunities to improve outcomes.

METHODS

Data from The National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP) from 2008 to 2011 were analyzed comparing CLD patients undergoing non-liver surgery propensity matched to those without CLD. Patients with CLD were stratified by Model of End Stage Liver Disease (MELD) scores <15 and ≥15. Primary outcome was all cause mortality, and secondary outcomes were composite and individual morbidity, hospital length of stay, readmission, reoperation, and discharge destination. Odds ratios (OR) were calculated, and length of hospital stay was estimated using Poisson regression.

RESULTS

There were 6,209 patients with CLD (4,013 with low MELD, 2,196 with high MELD) matched to 18,627 patients without. Patients with CLD had 1.8- and 3.3-times higher odds of mortality (95% CI 1.6-2.1 for Low MELD (10.6%), 2.9-3.8 for high MELD (35.2%), and 1.8- and 2.2-times higher odds of any morbidity (1.6-1.9 and 1.9-2.4). Complications specific to CLD were increased based on MELD specifically coma (OR 1.6, 0.9-2.9 for Low MELD, 2.2, 1.5-3.2 for High MELD), renal failure (OR 1.4, 1.1-1.8 and 2.4, 2.0-2.9), and bleeding (OR 1.7, 1.5-1.9 and 2.0, 1.8-2.3). They also had a 20% and 80% longer length of stay, 2.2- and 3.4-times higher odds of being discharged somewhere other than home, 1.7- and 1.6-times higher odds of readmission, and 1.5- and 1.6-times higher odds of reoperation.

CONCLUSION

Patients with CLD have significantly higher odds of mortality and morbidity, which is increased with a higher MELD. Interventions that decrease those morbidities are needed and have the potential to decrease mortality and resource utilization.

Performance of the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement calculator for early postoperative outcomes following bile duct repair hepaticojejunostomy

PURPOSE

A Roux-en-Y hepaticojejunostomy (HJ) is the preferred method for repairing bile duct injuries (BDIs). The American College of Surgeons (ACS) established the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP) online risk calculator to predict risks for morbidity and mortality. The objective of the study is to assess the use of the ACS NSQIP calculator for patients undergoing HJ for BDI repairs outside the NSQIP cohort.

METHODS

An IRB-approved retrospective study of Bismuth-Strasberg type E BDI HJ (2008-2020) was performed. Clinical data was introduced in the NSQIP calculator, and morbidity and mortality were determined. Perioperative risk factors were obtained. Comparisons of postoperative complications and NSQIP-predicted complication rate were carried out.

RESULTS

Eighty-two patients were included (age: 42.2 ± 15.7 years; 81% female; BMI 27.1 ± 4.4 kg/m2). The most common injury was E4 (36.3%). A total of 40.2% patients had a 30-day complication. Mortality was 2.4%. Preoperative sepsis and high body mass index (p = 0.01) were significantly related to complications (p = 0.01) (univariate analysis). Older age (p = 0.01) and higher ASA class (p = 0.02) were significantly related to mortality (univariate analysis). None was statistically significant in multivariate analysis. Comparison between morbidity and mortality and the calculated NSQIP was not statistically significant. Postoperative mortality had a statistically significant trend (C-value = 0.72, p = 0.055).

CONCLUSION

Preoperative sepsis, high body mass index, age, and ASA classification were associated with worse outcomes in HJ BDI repair. The ACS NSQIP calculator did not have a good performance in a population outside the NSQIP data. Further larger studies will need to corroborate these results.

A NSQIP-based randomized clinical trial evaluating choice of prophylactic antibiotics for pancreaticoduodenectomy

Surgical site infection after pancreaticoduodenectomy is often caused by pathogens resistant to standard prophylactic antibiotics, suggesting that broad-spectrum antibiotics may be more effective prophylactic agents. This article describes the rationale and methodology underlying a multicenter randomized trial evaluating piperacillin-tazobactam compared with cefoxitin for surgical site infection prevention following pancreaticoduodenectomy. As the first US randomized surgical trial to utilize a clinical registry for data collection, this study serves as proof of concept for registry-based clinical trials.

The use and clinical outcome of total pancreatectomy in the United States, Germany, the Netherlands, and Sweden

BACKGROUND

Total pancreatectomy has high morbidity and mortality and differences among countries are currently unknown. This study compared the use and postoperative outcomes of total pancreatectomy among 4 Western countries.

METHODS

Patients who underwent one-stage total pancreatectomy were included from registries in the United States, Germany, the Netherlands, and Sweden (2014-2018). Use of total pancreatectomy was assessed by calculating the ratio total pancreatectomy to pancreatoduodenectomy. Primary outcomes were major morbidity (Clavien Dindo ≥3) and in-hospital mortality. Predictors for the primary outcomes were assessed in multivariable logistic regression analyses. Sensitivity analysis assessed the impact of volume (low-volume <40 or high-volume ≥40 pancreatoduodenectomies annually; data available for the Netherlands and Germany).

RESULTS

In total, 1,579 patients underwent one-stage total pancreatectomy. The relative use of total pancreatectomy to pancreatoduodenectomy varied up to fivefold (United States 0.03, Germany 0.15, the Netherlands 0.03, and Sweden 0.15; P < .001). Both the indication and several baseline characteristics differed significantly among countries. Major morbidity occurred in 423 patients (26.8%) and differed (22.3%, 34.9%, 38.3%, and 15.9%, respectively; P < .001). In-hospital mortality occurred in 85 patients (5.4%) and also differed (1.8%, 10.2%, 10.8%, 1.9%, respectively; P < .001). Country, age ≥75, and vascular resection were predictors for in-hospital mortality. In-hospital mortality was lower in high-volume centers in the Netherlands (4.9% vs 23.1%; P = .002), but not in Germany (9.8% vs 10.6%; P = .733).

CONCLUSION

Considerable differences in the use of total pancreatectomy, patient characteristics, and postoperative outcome were noted among 4 Western countries with better outcomes in the United States and Sweden. These large, yet unexplained, differences require further research to ultimately improve patient outcome.

Quality performance indicators for hepato-pancreatico-biliary procedures: a systematic review

BACKGROUND

This systematic review was undertaken to define and summarize existing, proposed quality performance indicators (QPI) for hepato-pancreatico-biliary (HPB) procedures.

METHODS

A systematic literature review identified studies reporting on quality indicators for cholecystectomy, hepatectomy, pancreatectomy and complex biliary surgical procedures. The databases searched were MEDLINE, EMBASE, PubMed, and SCOPUS, with all literature available until the search date of 1 May 2020 included. The reference lists of all included papers, as well as related review articles, were manually searched to identify further relevant studies.

RESULTS

Forty-five publications report quality indicators for pancreatectomy (n = 22), hepatectomy (n = 7), HPB resections in general (n = 12), and cholecystectomy (n = 6). No publications proposed QPI for complex biliary surgery. The 45 papers used national audit (n = 18), consensus methodology (n = 5), state-wide audit (n = 3), unit audit (n = 9), review methodology (n = 9), and survey methodology (n = 1). Sixty-one QPI were reported for pancreatectomy, 22 reported for hepatectomy, and 14 reported for HPB resections in general, in domains of infrastructure, provider, and documentation. Fourteen infrastructure and provider-based QPI were reported for cholecystectomy.

CONCLUSIONS

There are few internationally agreed QPI for HPB procedures that allow global comparison of provider performance and that set aspirational goals for patient care and experience.

Predicting Postoperative Mortality After Metastatic Intraspinal Neoplasm Excision: Development of a Machine-Learning Approach

OBJECTIVE

Mortality following surgical resection of spinal tumors is a devastating outcome. Naïve Bayes machine learning algorithms may be leveraged in surgical planning to predict mortality. In this investigation, we use a Naïve Bayes classification algorithm to predict mortality following spinal tumor excision within 30 days of surgery.

METHODS

Patients who underwent laminectomies between 2006 and 2018 for excisions of intraspinal neoplasms were selected from the National Surgical Quality Initiative Program. Naïve Bayes classifier analysis was conducted in Python. The area under the receiver operating curve (AUC) was calculated to evaluate the classifier's ability to predict mortality within 30 days of surgery. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed in R to identify risk factors for 30-day postoperative mortality.

RESULTS

In total, 2094 spine tumor surgery patients were included in the study. The 30-day mortality rate was 5.16%. The classifier yielded an AUC of 0.898, which exceeds the predictive capacity of the National Surgical Quality Initiative Program mortality probability calculator's AUC of 0.722 (P < 0.0001). The multivariable regression indicated that smoking history, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, disseminated cancer, bleeding disorder history, dyspnea, and low albumin levels were strongly associated with 30-day mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

The Naïve Bayes classifier may be used to predict 30-day mortality for patients undergoing spine tumor excisions, with an increasing degree of accuracy as the model better performs by learning continuously from the input patient data. Patient outcomes can be improved by identifying high-risk populations early using the algorithm and applying that data to inform preoperative decision making, as well as patient selection and education.

Assessment of the American College of Surgeons surgical risk calculator of outcomes after hepatectomy for liver tumors: Results from a cohort of 950 patients

BACKGROUND

The American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program's (ACS-NSQIP) calculator has been endorsed to counsel patients regarding complications. The aim of this study was to assess its ability to predict outcomes after hepatectomy.

METHODS

Outcomes generated by the ACS-NSQIP were recorded in a consecutive cohort of patients. By using established classifications of complications, post-hepatectomy insufficiency and bile leak, the calculator was tested by the comparison of expected versus observed rates of events. The performance of the calculator was tested by using c-statistic and Brier score.

RESULTS

950 patients who underwent hepatectomy between January 2014 and June 2019 were included. Predicted rates were significantly lower than actual rates: the mean ACS-NSQIP morbidity was 17.97% ± 8.4 vs. actual 37.01% ± 0.56 (P < 0.001); the mean ACS-NSQIP mortality was 0.91% ± 1.48 vs. actual 1.76% ± 0.11 (P < 0.001). Predicted length of stay (LOS) was significantly shorter: mean ACS-NSQIP was 5.81 ± 1.66 days vs. actual 10.91 ± 4.6 days (P < 0.001). Post-hepatectomy liver insufficiency and bile leak were recorded in 6.8% and 11.9% of patients, respectively. These events were not expressed by the calculator. C-statistic and Brier scores showed low performance of the calculator.

CONCLUSION

The calculator underestimates the risks of complications, mortality and LOS after hepatectomy. Refinements of the ACS-NSQIP model that account for organ-specific risks should be considered.

Risk of complication at the time of laparoscopic hysterectomy: a prediction model built from the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database

BACKGROUND

Although laparoscopic hysterectomy is well established as a favorable mode of hysterectomy owing to decreased perioperative complications, there is still room for improvement in quality of care. Previous studies have described laparoscopic hysterectomy risk, but there is currently no tool for predicting risk of complication at the time of laparoscopic hysterectomy.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to create a prediction model for complications at the time of laparoscopic hysterectomy for benign conditions.

STUDY DESIGN

This is a retrospective cohort study that included patients who underwent laparoscopic hysterectomy for benign indications between 2014 and 2017 in US hospitals contributing to the American College of Surgeons - National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database. Data about patient baseline characteristics, perioperative complications (intraoperative complications, readmission, reoperation, need for transfusion, operative time greater than 4 hours, or postoperative medical complication), and uterine weight at the time of pathologic examination were collected retrospectively. Postoperative uterine weight was used as a proxy for preoperative uterine weight estimate. The sample was randomly divided into 2 patient populations, one for deriving the model and the other to validate the model.

RESULTS

A total of 33,123 women met the inclusion criteria. The rate of composite complication was 14.1%. Complication rates were similar in the derivation and validation cohorts (14.1% [2306 of 14,051] vs 13.9% [2289 of 14,107], P=.7207). The logistic regression risk prediction tool for hysterectomy complication identified 7 variables predictive of complication: history of laparotomy (21% increased odds of complication), age (2% increased odds of complication per year of life), body mass index (0.2% increased odds of complication per each unit increase in body mass index), parity (7% increased odds of complication per delivery), race (when compared with white women, black women had 34% increased odds and women of other races had 18% increased odds of complication), and American Society of Anesthesiologists score (when compared with American Society of Anesthesiologists 1, American Society of Anesthesiologists 2 had 31% increased odds, American Society of Anesthesiologists 3 had 62% increased odds, and American Society of Anesthesiologists 4 had 172% increased odds of complication). Predicted preoperative uterine weight also had a statistically significant nonlinear relationship with odds of complication. The c-statistics for the derivation and validation cohorts were 0.62 and 0.62, respectively. The model is well calibrated for women at all levels of risk.

CONCLUSION

The laparoscopic hysterectomy complication predictor model is a tool for predicting complications in patients planning to undergo hysterectomy.

Transatlantic registries of pancreatic surgery in the United States of America, Germany, the Netherlands, and Sweden: Comparing design, variables, patients, treatment strategies, and outcomes

BACKGROUND

Registries of pancreatic surgery have become increasingly popular as they facilitate both quality improvement and clinical research. We aimed to compare registries for design, variables collected, patient characteristics, treatment strategies, clinical outcomes, and pathology.

METHODS

Registered variables and outcomes of pancreatoduodenectomy (2014-2017) in 4 nationwide or multicenter pancreatic surgery registries from the United States of America (American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program), Germany (Deutsche Gesellschaft für Allgemein- und Viszeralchirurgie - Studien-, Dokumentations- und Qualitätszentrum), the Netherlands (Dutch Pancreatic Cancer Audit), and Sweden (Swedish National Pancreatic and Periampullary Cancer Registry) were compared. A core registry set of 55 parameters was identified and evaluated using relative and absolute largest differences between extremes (smallest versus largest).

RESULTS

Overall, 22,983 pancreatoduodenectomies were included (15,224, 3,558, 2,795, and 1,406 in the United States of America, Germany, the Netherlands, and Sweden). Design of the registries varied because 20 out of 55 (36.4%) core parameters were not available in 1 or more registries. Preoperative chemotherapy in patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma was administered in 27.6%, 4.9%, 7.0%, and 3.4% (relative largest difference 8.1, absolute largest difference 24.2%, P < .001). Minimally invasive surgery was performed in 7.8%, 4.5%, 13.5%, and unknown (relative largest difference 3.0, absolute largest difference 9.0%, P < .001). Median length of stay was 8.0, 16.0, 12.0, and 11.0 days (relative largest difference 2.0, absolute largest difference 8.0, P < .001). Reoperation was performed in 5.7%, 17.1%, 8.7%, and 11.2% (relative largest difference 3.0, absolute largest difference 11.4%, P < .001). In-hospital mortality was 1.3%, 4.7%, 3.6%, and 2.7% (relative largest difference 3.6, absolute largest difference 3.4%, P < .001).

CONCLUSION

Considerable differences exist in the design, variables, patients, treatment strategies, and outcomes in 4 Western registries of pancreatic surgery. The absolute largest differences of 24.3% for the use of preoperative chemotherapy, 9.0% for minimally invasive surgery, 11.4% for reoperation rate, and 3.4% for in-hospital mortality require further study and improvement. This analysis provides 55 core parameters for pancreatic surgery registries.

Patient Factors Lead to Extensive Variation in Outcomes and Cost From Cholecystectomy

BACKGROUND

Cholecystectomy is a common procedure with significantly varied outcomes. We analyzed differences in comorbidities, outcomes, and cost of cholecystectomy by acute care surgery (ACS) versus hepatopancreaticobiliary (HPB) surgery.

STUDY DESIGN

Patients were retrospectively identified between 2008 and 2015. Exclusion criteria included the following: (1) part of another procedure; (2) abdominal trauma; (3) ICU admission; vasopressors.

RESULTS

One hundred and twenty-six ACS and 122 HPB patients were analyzed. The HPB subset had higher burden of comorbid disease and significantly lower projected 10-year survival (87.4% ACS vs 68.5% HPB, P < .0001). Median lengths of stay were longer in HPB patients (2 vs 5 days, P < .0001) as were readmission rates (30-day 5.6% vs 13.1%, P = .040; 90-day 7.9% vs 20.5%, P = .005). Median cost was higher including operative supply cost ($969.42 vs $1920.66, P < .0001) and total cost of care ($7340.66 vs $19 338.05, P < .0001). A predictive scoring system for difficult gallbladders was constructed and a phone application was created.

CONCLUSION

Cholecystectomy in a complicated patient can be difficult with longer hospital stays and higher costs. The utilization of procedure codes to explain disparities is not sufficient. Incorporation of comorbidities needs to be addressed for planning and reimbursement.

Assessing the Feasibility and Effects of Introducing the USA National Surgical Quality Improvement Program on Clinical Outcomes and Cost in Saudi Arabia: An Observational Study

Introduction

This study aimed at introducing a systematic clinical registry to assess the outcomes of surgical performances and the associated costs of surgical complications in hospitals of Saudi Arabia.

Materials and Methods

This was an observational retrospective cohort study. Three large Saudi public hospitals from different regions participated in the study. A systematic sample consisting of 2077 medical records was retrospectively reviewed after being received from the hospitals' surgical wards. The inclusion criteria of the study were inpatients of the surgical cases, patients older than 18 years, and those who underwent major surgery under general anesthesia. The occurrence of adverse events in surgical wards and the direct costs associated with these surgical adverse events were estimated. Results were reported in terms of odds ratio and 95% confidence interval. A value of p < 0.05 was considered statistically significant.

Results

Introducing the systematic clinical registry to assess surgical outcomes and complications across multiple hospital sites is feasible. The findings of the study suggest that some areas are exemplary and others need improvement, such as sepsis cases, renal failure, ventilator use for more than 48 h, urinary tract infection, surgical site infection (SSI), length of stay after colorectal surgery, and rehospitalization. Additional costs from surgical complications in Riyadh only were approximately 0.5 million Saudi Arabian Riyal (127,764.40 USD) during that year. Most of the additional costs were due to sepsis and SSI.

Conclusion

Empirical evidence derived from the idea of introducing a National Surgical Quality Improvement Program might be generally applicable to other countries in the region and worldwide, and can be used to measure surgical adverse events and track interventions over time. As a result, quality improvement initiatives could be identified to be implemented immediately focusing on preventing several surgical adverse events. A future study is needed to explore the underlying factors that contribute to the occurrence of surgical adverse events to be prevented and/or mitigated.

Reporting Methodology of Neurosurgical Studies Utilizing the American College of Surgeons-National Surgical Quality Improvement Program Database: A Systematic Review and Critical Appraisal

BACKGROUND

Use of large databases such as the American College of Surgeons-National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS-NSQIP) has become increasingly common in neurosurgical research.

OBJECTIVE

To perform a critical appraisal and evaluation of the methodological reporting for studies in neurosurgical literature that utilize the ACS-NSQIP database.

METHODS

We queried Ovid MEDLINE, EMBASE, and PubMed databases for all neurosurgical studies utilizing the ACS-NSQIP. We assessed each study according to number of criteria fulfilled with respect to Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (STROBE) Statement, REporting of studies Conducted using Observational Routinely-collected Health Data (RECORD) Statement, and Journal of American Medical Association–Surgical Section (JAMA-Surgery) Checklist. A separate analysis was conducted among papers published in core and noncore journals in neurosurgery according to Bradford's law.

RESULTS

A total of 117 studies were included. Median (interquartile range [IQR]) scores for number of fulfilled criteria for STROBE Statement, RECORD Statement, and JAMA-Surgery Checklist were 20 (IQR:19-21), 9 (IQR:8-9), and 6 (IQR:5-6), respectively. For STROBE Statement, RECORD Statement, and JAMA-Surgery Checklist, item 9 (potential sources of bias), item 13 (supplemental information), and item 9 (missing data/sensitivity analysis) had the highest number of studies with no fulfillment among all studies (56, 68, 50%), respectively. When comparing core journals vs noncore journals, no significant difference was found (STROBE, P = .94; RECORD, P = .24; JAMA-Surgery checklist, P = .60).

CONCLUSION

While we observed an overall satisfactory reporting of methodology, most studies lacked mention of potential sources of bias, data cleaning methods, supplemental information, and external validity. Given the pervasive role of national databases and registries for research and health care policy, the surgical community needs to ensure the credibility and quality of such studies that ultimately aim to improve the value of surgical care delivery to patients.

Predictors of Unplanned Returns to the Operating Room within 30 Days in Neurosurgery: Insights from a National Surgical Registry

BACKGROUND

In the modern, increasingly pay-for-performance era, unplanned return to the operating room (ROR) is gaining attention as a surgical quality metric. However, large-scale data on the appropriateness and usefulness of this measure in neurosurgery are scarce.

OBJECTIVE

To provide a comprehensive description of all RORs after neurosurgical procedures in a national surgical registry and identify factors associated with ROR.

METHODS

We queried the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program multicenter database for patients undergoing neurosurgical procedures during 2012-2016. Multivariable logistic regression was conducted to identify factors associated with 30-day unplanned ROR after the 3 most common inpatient cranial and spinal operations: craniotomy for intra-axial neoplasm, convexity/falx meningioma, or skull base tumors; anterior cervical discectomy and fusion; and posterior lumbar decompression and posterior lumbar fusion.

RESULTS

A total of 193,459 cases were identified, of which 7067 (3.7%) had at least 1 unplanned ROR within 30 days after the index procedure (inpatient, 4.3%; outpatient, 1.5%). Overall, the most common reasons were wound complication/surgical site infection (0.7%), hematoma evacuation (0.6%), and repeat surgery (0.5%). On multivariable analysis, the relative amount of variation in reoperation risk was found to be 1%-24% for demographics, 1%-19% for comorbidities, 1%-6% for preoperative laboratory values, and 4%-58% for operative characteristics.

CONCLUSIONS

These findings may inform stakeholders on the optimal parameters that need to be taken into account when crafting, endorsing, and implementing quality metrics for neurosurgery that aim to assess surgical performance and reward or penalize hospitals and providers.

National Pancreatic Fistula Rates after Minimally Invasive Pancreaticoduodenectomy: A NSQIP Analysis

BACKGROUND

There is a substantial learning curve associated with minimally invasive pancreaticoduodenectomy (MIPD). We sought to determine if national MIPD pancreatic fistula rates are decreasing with time.

STUDY DESIGN

All patients undergoing elective MIPD and accrued into the pancreatectomy-targeted NSQIP database between 2014 and 2017 were included in the study. Trends in MIPD outcomes by year were examined using Cochran-Armitage and Mann-Kendall tests for trend. Multivariable logistic regression was used to assess for an independent association between increasing year of operation and pancreatic fistula.

RESULTS

There were 1,096 patients who underwent MIPD between 2014 and 2017. There was a significant trend toward decreasing pancreatic fistula rates (23.6% vs 19.2% vs 14.9% vs 12.7%, p < 0.01) and clinically relevant pancreatic fistula rates (18.3% vs 15.4% vs 11.1% vs 9.1%, p < 0.01) by increasing year. In multivariable analysis, increasing year of operation was independently protective against pancreatic fistula (odds ratio [OR] 0.76 per year, p < 0.01) and clinically relevant pancreatic fistula (OR 0.73 per year, p < 0.01). Patients without pancreas ducts < 3 mm or soft pancreas gland texture experienced a significant decreasing trend in pancreatic fistula rates (23.7% vs 13.2% vs 10.3% vs 8.0%, p < 0.01) and clinically relevant pancreatic fistula rates (18.3% vs 9.1% vs 5.2% vs 6.0%, p < 0.01), respectively, by increasing year. However, there was not a significant trend in pancreatic fistula rate or clinically relevant fistula rate among patients having either pancreas ducts < 3 mm or soft gland texture.

CONCLUSIONS

National MIPD pancreatic fistula rates are improving with time. A major contributing factor for this finding is better outcomes in patients who are at lower risk of pancreatic fistula, which could be a reflection of evolving minimally invasive anastomotic techniques.

Routine versus difficult cholecystectomy: using predictive analytics to assess patient outcomes

BACKGROUND

The American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program^® (NSQIP) Surgical Risk. Calculator (SRC) estimates postoperative outcomes. The aim of this study was to develop and validate a specific predictive outcomes model for cholecystectomy procedures.

METHODS

Patients who underwent cholecystectomy between 2008 and 2016 and were deemed too high risk for acute care general surgery (GS) and had surgery performed by the Division of Hepatopancreatobiliary Surgery (HPB) were identified. Outcomes of the HPB cholecystectomies were matched against cholecystectomies performed by GS. New predictive models for postoperative outcomes were constructed. Area under the curve was used to assess predictive accuracy for both models and internal validation was performed using bootstrap logistic regression.

RESULTS

A total of 169/934 (18%) cholecystectomies were identified as too high risk for GS. These 169 patients were matched with 126 patients who had cholecystectomy performed by GS. For GS and HPB cholecystectomies, the proposed model demonstrated better discriminative ability compared to the SRC based on ROC curves (proposed model: 0.589-0.982; SRC: 0.570-0.836) for each of the predicted outcomes.

CONCLUSION

For patients undergoing cholecystectomy, customized models are superior for predicting individual perioperative risk and allow more accurate, patient-specific delivery of care.

Predictive Power of the NSQIP Risk Calculator for Early Post-Operative Outcomes After Whipple: Experience from a Regional Center in Northern Ontario

BACKGROUND

NSQIP Risk Calculator was developed to allow surgeons to inform their patients about their individual risks for surgery. Its ability to predict complication rates and length of stay (LOS) has made it an appealing tool for both patients and surgeons. However, the NSQIP Risk Calculator has been criticized for its generality and lack of detail towards surgical subspecialties, including the hepatopancreaticobiliary (HPB) surgery. We wish to determine whether the NSQIP Risk Calculator is predictive of post-operative complications and LOS with respect to Whipple's resections for our patient population. As well, we wish to identify strategies to optimize early surgical outcomes in patients with pancreatic cancer.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective review of patients who underwent elective Whipple's procedure for benign or malignant pancreatic head lesions at Health Sciences North (Sudbury, Ontario), a tertiary care center, from February 2014 to August 2016. Comparisons of LOS and post-operative complications between NSQIP-predicted and actual ones were carried out. NSQIP-predicted complications rates were obtained using the NSQIP Risk Calculator through pre-defined preoperative risk factors. Clinical outcomes examined, at 30 days post-operation, included pneumonia, cardiac events, surgical site infection (SSI), urinary tract infection (UTI), venous thromboembolism (VTE), renal failure, readmission, and reoperation for procedural complications. As well, mortality, disposition to nursing or rehabilitation facilities, and LOS were assessed.

RESULTS

A total of 40 patients underwent Whipple's procedure at our center from February 2014 to August 2016. The average age was 68 (50-85), and there were 22 males and 18 females. The majority of patients had independent baseline functional status (39/40) with minimal pre-operative comorbidities. The overall post-operative morbidity was 47.5% (19/40). The rate of serious complication was 17.5% with four Clavien grade II, two grade III, and one grade V complications. One mortality occurred within 30 days after surgery. NSQIP Risk Calculator was predictive for the majority of post-surgical complication types, including pneumonia, SSI, VTE, reoperation, readmission, and disposition to rehabilitation or nursing home. Our center appears to have a higher rate of UTI than NSQIP predicted (O/E = 3.9), as well, the rate of cardiac complication (O/E = 3.1) also appears to be higher at our center. With respect to readmission rates (O/E = 0.6) and renal failure (O/E = 0), NSQIP provided overestimated rates. The average LOS was 11.9 ± 0.9 days, which was not significantly different from the average LOS of 11.5 ± 0.3 days predicted by NSQIP (p = 0.3). Overall, 80% of discharges occurred less than or within 3 days of that predicted by NSQIP.

CONCLUSION

NSQIP Risk Calculator is predictive of post-operative complications and LOS for patients who have undergone Whipple's at our center. A more HPB-focused NSQIP calculator may accurately project post-operative complication in the pre-operative period. Nevertheless, the generic NSQIP has allowed us to examine our existing practice of post-operative care and has paved way to reduce cardiac and urinary complications in the future.

Impact of a goal-directed fluid therapy on length of hospital stay and costs of hepatobiliarypancreatic surgery: a prospective observational study

AIM

The effectiveness of goal-directed fluid therapy (GDFT) algorithms in improving postoperative outcomes has extensively been suggested. Nevertheless, there is a lack of strong evidence regarding both the clinical impact and the cost-effectiveness of the GDFT protocols. The aim of this study is to evaluate the costs of patients undergoing hepatobiliopancreatic surgery when a GDFT protocol is applied. Materials & methods: Consecutive ASA I-III patients undergoing hepatobiliopancreatic surgery were included in this prospective observational study. Depending on device availability, patients were handled either by fluid therapy guided by Vigileo monitor-derived hemodynamic variables (Vigileo-GDFT group) or by standard fluid treatment (standard group). Postoperative length of stay and economic costs were analyzed.

RESULTS

In total, 147 patients were included (71 in the Vigileo-GDFT group and 76 in the standard group). The total hospital length of stay was 13 (median, 1st-3rd quartile, 9-20) days for the Vigileo-GDFT group and 14 (8-21) days for the standard group (p = 0.58); no statistically significant differences between the two groups emerged regarding costs and postoperative complications. In both groups, complications were the main contributor to total cost sustained.

CONCLUSION

The application of a GDFT algorithm did not reduce the total length of hospital stay and the global costs, which were mainly influenced by the number of complications.

Developing and validating a center-specific preoperative prediction calculator for risk of outcomes following major hepatectomy procedures

BACKGROUND

The American College of Surgeons NSQIP^® Surgical Risk Calculator (SRC) was developed to estimate postoperative outcomes. Our goal was to develop and validate an institution-specific risk calculator for patients undergoing major hepatectomy at Carolinas Medical Center (CMC).

METHODS

Outcomes generated by the SRC were recorded for 139 major hepatectomies performed at CMC (2008-2016). Novel predictive models for seven postoperative outcomes were constructed and probabilities calculated. Brier score and area under the curve (AUC) were employed to assess accuracy. Internal validation was performed using bootstrap logistic regression. Logistic regression models were constructed using bivariate and multivariate analyses.

RESULTS

Brier scores showed no significant difference in the predictive ability of the SRC and CMC model. Significant differences in the discriminative ability of the models were identified at the individual level. Both models closely predicted 30-day mortality (SRC AUC: 0.867; CMC AUC: 0.815). The CMC model was a stronger predictor of individual postoperative risk for six of seven outcomes (SRC AUC: 0.531-0.867; CMC AUC: 0.753-0.970).

CONCLUSION

Institution-specific models provide superior outcome predictions of perioperative risk for patients undergoing major hepatectomy. If properly developed and validated, institution-specific models can be used to deliver more accurate, patient-specific care.

Utilizing Big Data in Cancer Care

Clinical research has boomed over the past decade, with the development of multiple clinical datasets that are available for retrospective review. However, data remain incomplete based on fragmented reporting, provider change, and loss of follow-up. New technologies are being developed to assist with this limitation, by joining health care systems' medical records, and tracking Medicare claims files. The future of health care will rely more heavily on these systems, and artificial intelligence to quickly pull relevant clinical and genomic data regarding particular diagnoses, as a means to personalize medicine. This article reviews current advances in management of Big Data.

Predicting morbidity of liver resection

PURPOSE

Multiple models have attempted to predict morbidity of liver resection (LR). This study aims to determine the efficacy of American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS-NSQIP) surgical risk calculator and the Physiological and Operative Severity Score in the enUmeration of Mortality and Morbidity (POSSUM) in predicting post-operative morbidity in patients who underwent LR.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis was conducted on patients who underwent elective LR. Morbidity risk was calculated with the ACS-NSQIP surgical risk calculator and POSSUM equation. Two models were then constructed for both ACS-NSQIP and POSSUM-(1) the original risk probabilities from each scoring system and (2) a model derived from logistic regression of variables. Discrimination, calibration, and overall performance for ACS-NSQIP and POSSUM were compared. Sub-group analysis was performed for both primary and secondary liver malignancies.

RESULTS

Two hundred forty-five patients underwent LR. Two hundred twenty-three (91%) had malignant liver pathologies. The post-operative morbidity, 90-day mortality, and 30-day mortality rate were 38.3%, 3.7%, and 2.4% respectively. ACS-NSQIP showed superior discriminative ability, calibration, and performance to POSSUM (p = 0.03). Hosmer-Lemeshow plot demonstrated better fit of the ACS-NSQIP model than POSSUM in predicting morbidity.

CONCLUSION

In patients undergoing LR, the ACS-NSQIP surgical risk calculator was superior to POSSUM in predicting morbidity risk.

Thirty-day postoperative morbidity and mortality after temporal lobectomy for medically refractory epilepsy

OBJECTIVE

Temporal lobectomy is a well-established treatment modality for the management of medically refractory epilepsy in appropriately selected patients. The aim of this study was to assess 30-day morbidity and mortality after temporal lobectomy in cases registered in a national database.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort analysis was conducted using a multiinstitutional surgical registry compiled between 2006 and 2014. The authors identified patients who underwent anterior temporal lobectomy and/or amygdalohippocampectomy for a primary diagnosis of intractable epilepsy. Univariate and multivariable analyses with regard to patient demographics, comorbidities, operative characteristics, and 30-day outcomes were applied.

RESULTS

A total of 216 patients were included in the study. The median age was 38 years and 46% of patients were male. The median length of stay was 3 days and the 30-day mortality rate was 1.4%. Fourteen patients (6.5%) developed at least one major complication. Return to the operating room was observed in 7 patients (3.2%). Readmission within 30 days and discharge to a location other than home were available for 2011–2014 (n = 155) and occurred in 11% and 10.3% of patients, respectively. Multivariable regression analysis revealed that increasing age was an independent predictor of discharge disposition other than home and that male sex was a significant risk factor for the development of a major complication. Interestingly, the presence of the attending neurosurgeon and a resident during the procedure was significantly associated with decreased odds of prolonged length of stay (i.e., > 75th percentile [5 days]) and discharge to a location other than home.

CONCLUSIONS

Using a multiinstitutional surgical registry, 30-day outcome data after temporal lobectomy for medically intractable epilepsy demonstrates a mortality rate of 1.4%, a major complication rate of 6.5%, and a readmission rate of 11%. Temporal lobectomy is an extremely effective therapy for seizures originating there—however, surgical intervention must be weighed against its morbidity and mortality outcomes.

The impact of unplanned conversion to an open procedure during minimally invasive pancreatectomy

BACKGROUND

Minimally invasive pancreatic resection (MIPR) is being increasingly utilized. Outcomes for patients experiencing unplanned conversion to an open procedure during MIPR have been incompletely assessed. We sought to determine the short-term outcomes and factors associated with unplanned conversion during MIPR.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study using the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program pancreatectomy-targeted data set was conducted. Successful MIPR was compared with unplanned conversion. Propensity matching was used to separately compare unplanned conversion during MIPR with planned open pancreatectomy.

RESULTS

Unplanned conversion occurred in 24.6% of 350 attempted minimally invasive pancreatoduodenectomy (MIPD) and 19.6% of 1174 attempted minimally invasive distal pancreatectomy (MIDP). Conversion was associated with greater overall morbidity and 30-day mortality compared with successful MIPR for both MIPD and MIDP. After matching, unplanned conversion resulted in outcomes equivalent or inferior to open pancreatectomy. Factors significantly associated with unplanned conversion during MIPD included intermediate gland texture, vascular resection, hypertension, disseminated cancer, and chronic steroid use. For MIDP, male sex, hard gland texture, vascular resection, smoking, and recent weight loss were independently associated with conversion. A robotic approach was inversely associated with conversion for MIPD and MIDP.

CONCLUSIONS

Unplanned conversion during MIPR is associated with greater morbidity and 30-day mortality. Conversion resulted in outcomes that, at best, mimicked those of open pancreatectomy. Several risk factors including the need for vascular resection are associated with unplanned conversion and should be acknowledged when planning an operative approach.

Minimally invasive pancreatoduodenectomy: is the incidence of clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula comparable to that after open pancreatoduodenectomy?

BACKGROUND

Studies evaluating the efficacy of minimally invasive approaches to pancreatoduodenectomy (MIS-PD) compared to open pancreatioduodenectomy (OPD) have been limited by selection bias and mixed outcomes.

METHODS

ACS-NSQIP 2014-2015 pancreas procedure-targeted data were used to identify patients undergoing PD. Intention-to-treat analysis was performed.

RESULTS

Of 7907 PD patients, 1277 (16%) underwent MIS-PD: 776 (61%) robotic or laparoscopic PD, 304 (24%) hybrid, and 197 (15%) unplanned conversions. There were no differences in demographics or comorbidities. Patients undergoing MIS-PD were less likely to have pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (30.9% vs 53.9%, P < 0.01) and less likely to have a dilated pancreatic duct (21.8% vs 46.7%, P < 0.01). 30-day morbidity was less for MIS-PD (63.6% vs 76.9%, P < 0.01), due to decreased delayed gastric emptying DGE) in the MIS-PD group (8.6% vs 15.5%, P < 0.01). 30-day mortality, length-of-stay, and readmissions were not significantly different. Patients undergoing MIS-PD had greater rates of CR-POPF (15.3% vs 13.0%, P = 0.03). On adjusted multivariable analysis, MIS-PD was not associated with CR-POPF (OR 1.05, 95% CI 0.87-1.26) but was associated with decreased DGE (OR 0.57, 95% CI 0.46-0.71).

CONCLUSION

MIS-PD has comparable short-term outcomes to open PD. While CR-POPF rates are greater for MIS-PD, this increased risk appears related to case-selection bias and not inherent to the MIS-approach.

Nationwide prospective audit of pancreatic surgery: design, accuracy, and outcomes of the Dutch Pancreatic Cancer Audit

BACKGROUND

Auditing is an important tool to identify practice variation and 'best practices'. The Dutch Pancreatic Cancer Audit is mandatory in all 18 Dutch centers for pancreatic surgery.

METHODS

Performance indicators and case-mix factors were identified by a PubMed search for randomized controlled trials (RCT's) and large series in pancreatic surgery. In addition, data dictionaries of two national audits, three institutional databases, and the Dutch national cancer registry were evaluated. Morbidity, mortality, and length of stay were analyzed of all pancreatic resections registered during the first two audit years. Case ascertainment was cross-checked with the Dutch healthcare inspectorate and key-variables validated in all centers.

RESULTS

Sixteen RCT's and three large series were found. Sixteen indicators and 20 case-mix factors were included in the audit. During 2014-2015, 1785 pancreatic resections were registered including 1345 pancreatoduodenectomies. Overall in-hospital mortality was 3.6%. Following pancreatoduodenectomy, mortality was 4.1%, Clavien-Dindo grade ≥ III morbidity was 29.9%, median (IQR) length of stay 12 (9-18) days, and readmission rate 16.0%. In total 97.2% of >40,000 variables validated were consistent with the medical charts.

CONCLUSIONS

The Dutch Pancreatic Cancer Audit, with high quality data, reports good outcomes of pancreatic surgery on a national level.

Incorporation of Procedure-specific Risk Into the ACS-NSQIP Surgical Risk Calculator Improves the Prediction of Morbidity and Mortality After Pancreatoduodenectomy

OBJECTIVE

This multicenter study sought to evaluate the accuracy of the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program's (ACS-NSQIP) surgical risk calculator for predicting outcomes after pancreatoduodenectomy (PD) and to determine whether incorporating other factors improves its predictive capacity.

BACKGROUND

The ACS-NSQIP surgical risk calculator has been proposed as a decision-support tool to predict complication risk after various operations. Although it considers 21 preoperative factors, it does not include procedure-specific variables, which have demonstrated a strong predictive capacity for the most common and morbid complication after PD - clinically relevant pancreatic fistula (CR-POPF). The validated Fistula Risk Score (FRS) intraoperatively predicts the occurrence of CR-POPF and serious complications after PD.

METHODS

This study of 1480 PDs involved 47 surgeons at 17 high-volume institutions. Patient complication risk was calculated using both the universal calculator and a procedure-specific model that incorporated the FRS and surgeon/institutional factors. The performance of each model was compared using the c-statistic and Brier score.

RESULTS

The FRS was significantly associated with 30-day mortality, 90-day mortality, serious complications, and reoperation (all P < 0.0001). The procedure-specific model outperformed the universal calculator for 30-day mortality (c-statistic: 0.79 vs 0.68; Brier score: 0.020 vs 0.021), 90-day mortality, serious complications, and reoperation. Neither surgeon experience nor institutional volume significantly predicted mortality; however, surgeons with a career PD volume >450 were less likely to have serious complications (P < 0.001) or perform reoperations (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Procedure-specific complication risk influences outcomes after pancreatoduodenectomy; therefore, risk adjustment for performance assessment and comparative research should consider these preoperative and intraoperative factors along with conventional ACS-NSQIP preoperative variables.

Risk-adjusted Outcomes of Clinically Relevant Pancreatic Fistula Following Pancreatoduodenectomy: A Model for Performance Evaluation

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate surgical performance in pancreatoduodenectomy using clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula (CR-POPF) occurrence as a quality indicator.

BACKGROUND

Accurate assessment of surgeon and institutional performance requires (1) standardized definitions for the outcome of interest and (2) a comprehensive risk-adjustment process to control for differences in patient risk.

METHODS

This multinational, retrospective study of 4301 pancreatoduodenectomies involved 55 surgeons at 15 institutions. Risk for CR-POPF was assessed using the previously validated Fistula Risk Score, and pancreatic fistulas were stratified by International Study Group criteria. CR-POPF variability was evaluated and hierarchical regression analysis assessed individual surgeon and institutional performance.

RESULTS

There was considerable variability in both CR-POPF risk and occurrence. Factors increasing the risk for CR-POPF development included increasing Fistula Risk Score (odds ratio 1.49 per point, P < 0.00001) and octreotide (odds ratio 3.30, P < 0.00001). When adjusting for risk, performance outliers were identified at the surgeon and institutional levels. Of the top 10 surgeons (≥15 cases) for nonrisk-adjusted performance, only 6 remained in this high-performing category following risk adjustment.

CONCLUSIONS

This analysis of pancreatic fistulas following pancreatoduodenectomy demonstrates considerable variability in both the risk and occurrence of CR-POPF among surgeons and institutions. Disparities in patient risk between providers reinforce the need for comprehensive, risk-adjusted modeling when assessing performance based on procedure-specific complications. Furthermore, beyond inherent patient risk factors, surgical decision-making influences fistula outcomes.