Cardiac biomarkers for risk stratification in non-massive pulmonary embolism: a multicenter prospective study

The prognostic significance of pro-BNP and heart failure in acute pulmonary embolism: A systematic review

Pulmonary embolism (PE) is the third most common type of cardiovascular disease and carries a high mortality rate of 30% if left untreated. Although it is commonly known that individuals who suffer heart failure (HF) are more likely to experience a pulmonary embolism, little is known concerning the prognostic relationship between acute PE and HF. This study aims to evaluate the prognostic usefulness of heart failure and pro-BNP in pulmonary embolism cases. A scientific literature search, including PubMed, Medline, and Cochrane reviews, was used to assess and evaluate the most pertinent research that has been published. The findings showed that increased N-terminal brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) levels could potentially identify pulmonary embolism patients with worse immediate prognoses and were highly predictive of all-cause death. Important prognostic information can be obtained from NT-proBNP and Heart-type Fatty Acid Binding Proteins (H-FABP) when examining individuals with PE. The heart, distal tubular cells of the renal system, and skeletal muscle are where H-FABP is primarily found, with myocardial cells having the highest concentration. Recent studies have indicated that these biomarkers may also help assess the severity of PE and its long-term risk.

Life expectancy in cancer patients with pulmonary thromboembolism: From clinical prognostic biomarkers and paraclinical investigations to therapeutic approaches (Review)

Pulmonary embolisms (PEs) are obstructions of the pulmonary arteries by thrombi, which are emboli and they most frequently originate from the deep venous system of the inferior limbs. Emboli can also come from the inferior vena cava, abdominal and pelvic veins, or the upper body venous system from the right atrium or ventricle of the heart. Thrombi can form in situ inside pulmonary arteries as well. A cancer patient is at a higher risk for thromboembolic phenomena given both the oncological pathological context and also due to the associated medical or surgical treatment they receive. PE is a high-risk medical emergency that is associated with an increased risk of early mortality, with sudden death occurring in 25% of patients. The long-term presence of this condition can result in thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension. The risk of mortality, both in the acute and long-term, is dependent on the severity of the acute form, the recurrence of the embolism and the associated conditions. The majority of deaths associated with PE can be prevented by early diagnosis. The aim of the present review was to describe the various biological and cellular parameters, together with known paraclinical investigations, to assist in the rapid diagnosis of PE. Mortality in patients with PE and neoplastic conditions may be reduced by initiating anticoagulant treatment as soon as possible. PE may be the first manifestation of an underlying silent malignancy or may represent a complication of an already diagnosed malignancy. Exclusion or confirmation of the diagnosis is of utmost importance to avoid unnecessary anticoagulant treatment associated with a high risk of bleeding or to start immediate anticoagulant treatment if required.

Intervention Versus Medical Management of Pulmonary Embolism

With a multitude of options for pulmonary embolism management, we review the most common diagnostic tools available for assessing risk as well as how each broad risk category is typically treated. Right heart dysfunction is the cornerstone for triage of these patients and should be the focus for decision-making, especially in challenging patients. We aim to provide a modern, clinical perspective for PE management in light of the multitude of intervention options.

Anesthetic management in patients having catheter-based thrombectomy for acute pulmonary embolism: A narrative review

Pulmonary embolism is the third leading cause of cardiovascular death. Novel percutaneous catheter-based thrombectomy techniques are rapidly becoming popular in high-risk pulmonary embolism - especially in the presence of contraindications to thrombolysis. The interventional nature of these procedures and the risk of sudden cardiorespiratory compromise requires the presence of an anesthesiologist. Facilitating catheter-based thrombectomy can be challenging since qualifying patients are often critically ill. The purpose of this narrative review is to provide guidance to anesthesiologists for the assessment and management of patients having catheter-based thrombectomy for acute pulmonary embolism. First, available techniques for catheter-based thrombectomy are reviewed. Then, we discuss definitions and application of common risk stratification tools for pulmonary embolism, and how to assess patients prior to the procedure. An adjudication of risks and benefits of anesthetic strategies for catheter-based thrombectomy follows. Specifically, we give guidance and rationale for use monitored anesthesia care and general anesthesia for these procedures. For both, we review strategies for assessing and mitigating hemodynamic perturbations and right ventricular dysfunction, ranging from basic monitoring to advanced inodilator therapy. Finally, considerations for management of right ventricular failure with mechanical circulatory support are discussed.

Role of serum biomarkers in predicting management strategies for acute pulmonary embolism

Background

Acute pulmonary embolism (APE) is a condition that can be fatal. The severity of the disease influences therapeutic decisions, and mortality varies significantly depending on the condition's severity. Identification of patients with a high mortality risk is crucial. Since inflammation, hemostatic, and coagulation abnormalities are linked to APE, serum biomarkers may be helpful for prognostication.

Aim

To evaluate the significance of serum biomarkers in APE risk assessment and the suitability of these biomarkers for management and decision-making.

Methods

This study involved 60 adult patients with APE who were divided according to risk categorization. It was conducted in Chest, Cardiology and Internal Medicine department, Zagazig University Hospitals from December 2022 to May 2023. Several hematological biomarkers and their significance in APE risk assessment were measured with a comparison with the latest risk stratification methods which include haemodynamic measures and right ventricular (RV) dysfunction echocardiographic markers.

Results

Each risk group involved 20 patients (high, intermediate (10 were intermediate-high and 10 were intermediate-low) and low risk group). They were 34 females and 26 males with the mean ± SD of their age was 59.25 ± 13.06 years. Regarding hematological biomarkers, there were statistically significant differences as regards; lymphocytes, platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR), albumin, blood urea nitrogen (BUN), C-reactive protein (CRP) and D-dimer with highly statistically significant differences as regards; neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR), BUN to albumin (B/A) ratio, troponin I (TnI), and brain natriuretic peptide (BNP). TnI had the highest specificity and predictive value positive (PVP) and BNP had the highest sensitivity and predictive value negative (PVN) in predicting high risk groups. The Lymphocyte and NLR showed the lowest sensitivity and the albumin and B/A ratio had the lowest specificity. Regarding transthoracic echocardiography (TEE); there was a statistically significant increase regarding pulmonary artery systolic pressure (PASP) and a highly statistically significant increase regarding the right ventricle/left ventricle (RV/LV) ratio. There were statistically significant decreases regarding tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion (TAPSE) and peak systolic velocity of tricuspid annulus (S') among risk groups.

Conclusion

APE prognosis can be judged accurately by simultaneously measuring a few biomarkers along with haemodynamic variables and echocardiographic parameters of RV dysfunction.

Impact of Promising Biomarkers on Severity and Outcome of Acute Pulmonary Embolism

Background

Acute pulmonary embolism (APE) is a common clinical condition. Its severity ranges from asymptomatic radiological findings to fatal obstructive shock. The potential circulating biomarkers have been studied to predict APE outcomes. This study aimed to explore their predictive power on prognosis in APE.

Material and Method

It was a prospective observational study between March 2008 and April 2010. All consecutive patients diagnosed with APE were categorized as massive/high-risk, submassive/moderate-risk, and non-massive/low-risk. Cardiac troponin T (cTnT), myoglobin, N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), heart-type fatty acid-binding protein (H-FABP), growth differentiation factor-15 (GDF-15), and D-dimer levels were measured.

Results

Of these patients, 14 (29.8%), 16 (34.0%), and 17 (36.2%) patients were categorized as low-risk, moderate-risk, and high risk-patients, respectively. There was no significant difference between the patient groups categorized based on the risk stratification in terms of demographic and clinical characteristics. The cTnT, myoglobin, HFABP, and D-dimer levels have also not differed significantly between the groups. There was a significant difference between the groups in respect of NT-proBNP and GDF-15 levels (p=0.009 and p=0.037, respectively). Nine (19.1%) patients had died by the 3rd-month follow-up. Adverse events were seen in 26 (55.3%) patients. GDF-15 had the highest area under the curve (AUC) value for predicting any adverse event (cut-off value=9.3 ng/mL, AUC=0.796, CI (confidence interval) 95%: 0.653-0.899). NT-ProBNP was determined as the best predictor for mortality (cut-off value=229.2 pg/mL, AUC=0.889, CI 95%: 0.756-0.964).

Conclusion

Higher levels of NT-proBNP and GDF-15 were found to be associated with more severe APE, worse outcomes, and mortality.

Additive prognostic value of serum calcium to the ESC risk stratification in patients with acute pulmonary embolism

BACKGROUND

Hypocalcemia has been shown to be involved in the adverse outcomes of acute pulmonary embolism (APE). We aimed to determine the incremental value of adding hypocalcemia, defined as serum calcium level ≤ 2.12 mmol/L, on top of the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) prognostic algorithm, for the prediction of in-hospital mortality in APE patients, which in turn could lead to the optimization of APE management.

METHODS

This study was conducted at West China Hospital of Sichuan University from January 2016 to December 2019. Patients with APE were retrospectively analyzed and divided into 2 groups based on serum calcium levels. Associations between hypocalcemia and adverse outcomes were assessed by Cox analysis. The accuracy of risk stratification for in-hospital mortality was assessed with the addition of serum calcium to the current ESC prognostic algorithm.

RESULTS

Among 803 patients diagnosed with APE, 338 (42.1%) patients had serum calcium levels ≤ 2.12 mmol/L. Hypocalcemia was significantly associated with higher in-hospital and 2-year all-cause mortality compared to the control group. The addition of serum calcium to ESC risk stratification enhanced net reclassification improvement. Low-risk group with serum calcium level > 2.12 mmol/L had a 0% mortality rate, improving the negative predictive value up to 100%, while high-risk group with serum calcium level ≤ 2.12 mmol/L indicated a higher mortality of 25%.

CONCLUSION

Our study identified serum calcium as a novel predictor of mortality in patients with APE. In the future, serum calcium may be added to the commonly used ESC prognostic algorithm for better risk stratification of patients suffering from APE.

Perioperative Management of Incidental Pulmonary Embolisms on Trauma CT Scans: A Narrative Review

Unsuspected pulmonary embolism (PE) may be identified on an initial trauma computed tomography (CT) scan. The clinical importance of these incidental PEs remains to be elucidated. In patients who require surgery, careful management is needed. We sought to investigate the optimal perioperative management of such patients, including the use of pharmacological and mechanical thromboprophylaxis, possible thrombolytic therapy, and inferior vena cava (IVC) filters. A literature search was conducted, and all relevant articles were identified, investigated, and included. Medical guidelines were also consulted where appropriate. Pharmacological thromboprophylaxis is the mainstay of preoperative treatment, and low-molecular-weight heparins, fondaparinux, and unfractionated heparin may all be used. It has been suggested that prophylaxis should be administered as soon as possible after trauma. Such agents may be contraindicated in patients with significant bleeding, and mechanical prophylaxis and inferior vena cava filters may be favoured in these patients. Therapeutic anticoagulation and thrombolytic therapies may be considered but are associated with an increased risk of haemorrhage. Delaying surgery might help to minimise the risk of recurrent venous thromboembolism, and any interruption of prophylaxis must be strategically planned. Recommendations for postoperative care include a continuation of prophylaxis and therapeutic anticoagulation, with follow-up clinical evaluation within six months. Incidental PE is a common finding on trauma CT scans. Although the clinical significance is unknown, careful management of the balance between anticoagulation and bleeding is needed, especially in trauma patients and even more so in trauma patients requiring surgery.

Decreased Haemoglobin Level Measured at Admission Predicts Long Term Mortality after the First Episode of Acute Pulmonary Embolism

Background: Decreased hemoglobin concentration was reported to predict long term prognosis in patients various cardiovascular diseases including congestive heart failure and coronary artery disease. We hypothesized that hemoglobin levels may be useful for post discharge prognostication after the first episode of acute pulmonary embolism. Therefore, the aim of the current study was to evaluate a potential prognostic value of a decreased hemoglobin levels measured at admission due to the first episode of acute PE for post discharge all cause mortality during at least 2 years follow up. Methods: This was a prospective, single-center, follow-up, observational, cohort study of consecutive survivors of the first PE episode. Patients were managed according to ESC current guidelines. After the discharge, all PE survivors were followed for at least 24 months in our outpatient clinic. Results: During 2 years follow-up from the group of 402 consecutive PE survivors 29 (7.2%) patients died. Non-survivors were older than survivors 81 years (40−93) vs. 63 years (18−97) p < 0.001 presented higher sPESI 2 (0−4) vs. 1 (0−5), p < 0.001 driven by a higher frequency of neoplasms (37.9% vs. 16.6%, p < 0.001); and had lower hemoglobin (Hb) level at admission 11.7 g/dL (6−14.8) vs. 13.1 g/dL (3.1−19.3), p < 0.001. Multivariable analysis showed that only Hb and age significantly predicted all cause post-discharge mortality. ROC analysis for all cause mortality showed AUC for hemoglobin 0.688 (95% CI 0.782−0.594), p < 0.001; and for age 0.735 (95% CI 0.651−0.819) p < 0.001. A group of 59 subjects with hemoglobin < 10.5 g/dL showed mortality rate of 16.9% (OR for mortality 4.19 (95% CI 1.82−9.65), p-value < 0.00, while among 79 patients with Hb > 14.3 g/dL only one death was detected. Interestingly, patients in age > 64 years hemoglobin levels < 13.2 g/dL compared to patients in the same age but with >13.2 g/dL showed OR 3.6 with 95% CI 1.3−10.1 p = 0.012 for death after the discharge. Conclusions: Lower haemoglobin measured in the acute phase especially in patients in age above 64 years showed significant impact on the prognosis and clinical outcomes in PE survivors.

Flexible biochemical sensors for point-of-care management of diseases: a review

Health problems have been widely concerned by all mankind. Real-time monitoring of disease-related biomarkers can feedback the physiological status of human body in time, which is very helpful to the diseases management of healthcare. However, conventional non-flexible/rigid biochemical sensors possess low fit and comfort with the human body, hence hindering the accurate and comfortable long-time health monitoring. Flexible and stretchable materials make it possible for sensors to be continuously attached to the human body with good fit, and more precise and higher quality results can be obtained. Thus, tremendous attention has been paid to flexible biochemical sensors in point-of-care (POC) for real-time monitoring the entire disease process. Here, recent progress on flexible biochemical sensors for management of various diseases, focusing on chronic and communicable diseases, is reviewed, and the detection principle and performance of these flexible biochemical sensors are discussed. Finally, some directions and challenges are proposed for further development of flexible biochemical sensors.

Ruscogenin alleviates deep venous thrombosis and pulmonary embolism induced by inferior vena cava stenosis inhibiting MEK/ERK/Egr-1/TF signaling pathway in mice

BACKGROUND

Ruscogenin (RUS) has anti-inflammatory and antithrombotic effects, while its potential effects on deep venous thrombosis (DVT) and pulmonary embolism (PE) remain unclear.

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to elucidate the effects of RUS on DVT and PE induced by the inferior vena cava stenosis (IVCS) model and investigate the underlying mechanism.

METHODS

Male C57/BL6 mice were used to explore whether IVCS model could be complicated with deep venous thrombosis and pulmonary embolism. Then, Effects of RUS on DVT and PE related inflammatory factors and coagulation were examined using H&E staining, ELISA, and real-time PCR. Western blot analysis was used to examine the effects of RUS on MEK/ERK/Egr-1/TF signaling pathway in PE.

RESULTS

IVCS model induced DVT and complied with PE 48 h after surgery. Administration of RUS (0.01, 0.1, 1 mg/kg) inhibited DVT, decreased biomarker D-Dimer, cardiac troponin I, N-Terminal probrain natriuretic peptide in plasma to ameliorate PE induced by IVCS model. Meanwhile, RUS reduced tissue factor and fibrinogen content of lung tissue, inhibited P-selectin and C-reactive protein activity in plasma, and suppressed the expressions of interleukin-6 and interleukin-1β in mice. Furthermore, RUS suppressed the phosphorylation of ERK1/2 and MEK1/2, decreasing the expressions of Egr-1 and TF in the lung.

CONCLUSION

IVCS model contributed to the development of DVT and PE in mice and was associated with increased inflammation. RUS showed therapeutic effects by inhibiting inflammation as well as suppressing the activation of MEK/ERK/Egr-1/TF signaling pathway.

The safety and efficacy of systemic versus catheter-based therapies: application of a prognostic model by a pulmonary embolism response team

The decision by pulmonary embolism response teams (PERTs) to utilize anticoagulation (AC) with or without systemic thrombolysis (ST) or catheter-directed therapies (CDT) for pulmonary embolism (PE) is a balance between the desire for a positive outcome and safety. Our primary aim was to develop a predictive model of in-hospital mortality for patients with high- or intermediate-risk PE managed by PERT while externally validating this model. Our secondary aim was to compare the relative safety and efficacy of ST and CDT in this cohort. Consecutive patients hospitalized between June 2014 and January 2020 at the Cleveland Clinic Foundation and The University of Rochester with acute high- or intermediate-risk PE managed by PERT were retrospectively evaluated. Groups were stratified by treatment strategy. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality, and secondary outcome was major bleeding. A logistic regression model to predict the primary outcome was built using the derivation cohort, with 100-fold bootstrapping for internal validation. External validation was performed and the area under the receiver operating curve (AUC) was calculated. Of 549 included patients, 421 received AC alone, 71 received ST, and 64 received CDT. Predictors of major bleeding include ESC risk category, PESI score, hypoxia, hemodynamic instability, and serum lactate. CDT trended towards lower mortality but with an increased risk of bleeding relative to ST (OR = 0.42; 95% CI [0.15, 1.17] and OR = 2.14; 95% CI [0.9, 5.06] respectively). In the multivariable logistic regression model in the derivation institution cohort, predictors of in-hospital mortality were age, cancer, hemodynamic instability requiring vasopressors, and elevated NT-proBNP (AUC = 0.86). This model was validated using the validation institution cohort (AUC = 0.88). We report an externally-validated model for predicting in-hospital mortality in patients with PE managed by PERT. The decision by PERT to initiate CDT or ST for these patients had no impact on mortality or major bleeding, yet the long-term efficacy of these interventions needs to be elucidated.

Impact of atrial fibrillation/flutter on the in-hospital mortality of surgical patients - Results from the German nationwide cohort

BACKGROUND

To investigate the impact of atrial fibrillation/flutter (AF) on adverse in-hospital outcomes in hospitalized surgical patients.

METHODS

The nationwide German inpatient sample of the years 2005-2018 was used for this analysis. Surgical patients were stratified by AF and compared. Logistic regression models were used to investigate the impact of AF on in-hospital outcomes.

RESULTS

In total, 96,589,627 hospitalizations with surgery were included in the present analysis in Germany (2005-2018). Among these, 6,680,261 were additionally coded with AF (6.9%). In-hospital death rate was substantially higher in surgical patients with AF (6.3%) than without (1.1%). Proportion of surgical patients with AF increased from 4.8% in 2005 to 8.9% in 2018, whereas in-hospital mortality decreased from 7.6% to 5.6%. For further analysis of the year 2014, 7,043,514 hospitalized surgical patients (54.5% females, 31.6% aged ≥0 years) were included in the analysis. Of these, 546,019 patients (7.8%) were diagnosed with AF. Overall, 1.4% of the surgical patients and 5.8% of the surgical patients with AF died in-hospital. Surgical patients with coded AF were in median 20 years older (57.0 [37.0-72.0] vs. 77.0 [72.0-83.0] years, P < 0.001), had more often comorbidities such as heart failure (31.3% vs. 3.8%, P < 0.001). All-cause death (RR 6.14 (95%CI 6.05-6.22), P < 0.001) occurred more often in patients with AF than without. AF was an important predictor for in-hospital death (OR 1.58 [95%CI 1.56-1.61], P < 0.001) independent of age, sex and comorbidities.

CONCLUSIONS

The proportion of AF increased from 2005 to 2018 in surgical patients. AF was an independent risk factor for in-hospital death in these patients.

Long-term mortality after massive, submassive, and low-risk pulmonary embolism

Guidelines for management of normotensive patients with acute pulmonary embolism (PE) emphasize further risk stratification on the basis of right ventricular (RV) size and biomarkers of RV injury or strain; however, the prognostic importance of these factors on long-term mortality is not known. We performed a retrospective cohort study of subjects diagnosed with acute PE from 2010 to 2015 at a tertiary care academic medical center. The severity of initial PE presentation was categorized into three groups: massive, submassive, and low-risk PE. The primary endpoint of all-cause mortality was ascertained using the Centers for Disease Control National Death Index (CDC NDI). A total of 183 subjects were studied and their median follow-up was 4.1 years. The median age was 65 years. The 30-day mortality rate was 7.7% and the overall mortality rate through the end of follow-up was 40.4%. The overall mortality rates for massive, submassive, and low-risk PE were 71.4%, 44.5%, and 28.1%, respectively (p < 0.001). Landmark analysis using a 30-day cutpoint demonstrated that subjects presenting with submassive PE compared with low-risk PE had increased mortality during both the short- and the long-term periods. The most frequent causes of death were malignancy, cardiac disease, respiratory disease, and PE. Independent predictors of all-cause mortality were cancer at baseline, age, white blood cell count, diabetes mellitus, liver disease, female sex, and initial presentation with massive PE. In conclusion, the diagnosis of acute PE was associated with substantial long-term mortality. The severity of initial PE presentation was associated with both short- and long-term mortality.

C-reactive protein level predicts 30-day mortality and bleeding in patients with venous thromboembolism: A prospective single-center study

AIMS

The association of on-admission CRP and early adverse outcomes in acute venous thromboembolism (VTE) has not been investigated. We hypothesized that increased on-admission CRP levels would correlate with adverse outcomes in patients with acute VTE.

METHOD

In this prospective observational study, consecutive patients with acute VTE were enrolled and CRP levels were measured within the first 24h after diagnosis. Mortality, bleeding and recurrence were recorded during a 30-day follow-up.

RESULTS

586 patients were included. Higher CRP levels were found in patients with mortality (7.5 vs 4.0mg/dL; p=0.01) and bleeding (7.8 vs 3.9mg/dL; p=0.03). Multivariable logistic regression showed that CRP levels >5mg/dL were associated with higher mortality (OR 6.25; 95% CI, 2.1-18.6) and bleeding (OR 2.7; CI 95% 1.3-5.7). These results were independent to ESC risk score and simplified PESI score for mortality prediction. The predictive capacity of CRP showed an area under the ROC curve - AUC - of .7 (CI 95% .56-.85) for mortality and .65 (CI 95% .54-.75) for bleeding. The prognostic capacity of the ESC risk score and simplified PESI score was improved after adding the CRP cutoff of 5mg/dL (AUC of .87 CI 95% .79-.95).

CONCLUSION

Our findings suggest that on-admission CRP level may be a simple, widely available and valuable biomarker to identify high-risk VTE patients for early mortality and bleeding. CRP ≥5mg/dL was independently associated with 30-day VTE related death and bleeding.

High-sensitive cardiac troponin T as a marker of hemorrhagic complications in elderly patients anticoagulated for non-massive pulmonary embolism

BACKGROUND

Recent data have raised concerns about the risk/benefit ratio of thrombolysis in non-high risk pulmonary embolism patients due to increased serious bleeding events. Whether cardiac biomarkers could be of help for bleeding risk stratification in this setting remains elusive.

OBJECTIVES

To determine the prognostic accuracy of hs-cTnT, NT-proBNP, RIETE and PESI score for the occurrence of clinically relevant bleeding (CRB) in elderly patients under conventional anticoagulation therapy for non-massive pulmonary embolism (NMPE).

METHODS

We evaluated 230 elderly patients with available blood sample taken within one day from diagnosis. The primary study endpoint was CRB at 1, 3 and 24 months. Prognostic accuracies and associations were determined using C-statistics and subhazard ratios (SHR), respectively.

RESULTS

hs-cTnT displayed the highest discriminatory power at 1 month (C-statistics: 0.77, 95% CI: 0.68-0.88) which remained stable over time. Although C-statistics comparison indicated that hs-cTnT was not statistically superior to RIETE score (0.77 vs 0.67, p = 0.11), adding hs-cTnT to RIETE score significantly improved the C-statistics from 0.67 to 0.78 (p = 0.02). SHRs indicated that for each hs-cTnT log-unit increase, there was a 58% increase in the risk of CRB independently of the RIETE score (adjusted SHR: 1.58, 95% CI: 1.31-1.92). At the pre-specified cut-off of 14 ng/l, the negative predictive value of hs-cTnT was 96.9% (95% CI: 91.4-99.0) and 94.9 (95%CI: 88.6-97.8) at 1 and 3 months, respectively.

CONCLUSION

In elderly, hs-cTnT provides incremental prognostic information over the RIETE score and could represent a valuable tool to identify NMPE patients at low risk of bleeding.

Biomarker combinations for diagnosis and prognosis in multicenter studies: Principles and methods

Many investigators are interested in combining biomarkers to predict a binary outcome or detect underlying disease. This endeavor is complicated by the fact that many biomarker studies involve data from multiple centers. Depending upon the relationship between center, the biomarkers, and the target of prediction, care must be taken when constructing and evaluating combinations of biomarkers. We introduce a taxonomy to describe the role of center and consider how a biomarker combination should be constructed and evaluated. We show that ignoring center, which is frequently done by clinical researchers, is often not appropriate. The limited statistical literature proposes using random intercept logistic regression models, an approach that we demonstrate is generally inadequate and may be misleading. We instead propose using fixed intercept logistic regression, which appropriately accounts for center without relying on untenable assumptions. After constructing the biomarker combination, we recommend using performance measures that account for the multicenter nature of the data, namely the center-adjusted area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. We apply these methods to data from a multicenter study of acute kidney injury after cardiac surgery. Appropriately accounting for center, both in construction and evaluation, may increase the likelihood of identifying clinically useful biomarker combinations.

Incidence and Impact of Hypoalbuminaemia on Outcomes Following Acute Pulmonary Embolism

BACKGROUND

Clinical features and outcomes of patients with hypoalbuminaemia in acute pulmonary embolism (PE) have never been studied. The present study investigated the incidence and determined the prognostic significance of hypoalbuminaemia in patients with confirmed acute PE.

METHODS

From a dedicated tertiary-referral centre database involving 1,426 consecutive patients admitted with confirmed PE (2000-2012), 1,032 patients had serum albumin assessed on admission (day-1). Patients were stratified into hypoalbuminaemia (<35 g/L) or normal serum albumin (≥35 g/L). Multivariable logistic and Cox proportional-hazards regression methods were used to assess 30-day and 90-day all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

Hypoalbuminaemia was present in 160 (15.5%) patients at day-1 and was associated with higher mean (±SD) heart rate (94.4 ± 21.8 vs 87.8 ± 21.5 bpm), lower systolic blood pressure (131.0 ± 24.7 vs 142.3 ± 24.7 mmHg), lower arterial oxyhaemoglobin saturation (93.3 ± 6.1% vs 95.6 ± 4.0%), lower day-1 serum sodium (137.0 ± 4.7 vs 138.8 ± 3.8 mmol/L) and haemoglobin levels (114.4 ± 20.7 vs 131.5 ± 18.7 g/L). Patients with hypoalbuminaemia had higher incidence of malignancy (44.4% vs 18.8%) and chronic renal disease (9.4% vs 5.2%), and at admission were less likely to be taking aspirin/clopidogrel (19.3% vs 27.7%) and more likely to be using enoxaparin (6.7% vs 3.0%). During a mean follow-up of 5.0 ± 4.0 years, patients with hypoalbuminaemia had higher 30-day (16.3% vs 3.6%) and 90-day (26.3% vs 6.2%) mortality. Multivariable analyses showed hypoalbuminaemia independently predicted both 30-day (odds ratio 2.57, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.03-6.41) and 90-day (hazard ratio 2.42 95% CI 1.38-4.22) mortality.

CONCLUSION

Hypoalbuminaemia is an independent predictor of mortality following PE and may improve risk stratification of patients in risk prediction models.

d-Dimer Assessment Improves the Simplified Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index for In-Hospital Risk Stratification in Acute Pulmonary Embolism

d-dimer (DD) levels are used in the diagnostic workup of suspected acute pulmonary embolism (APE), but data on DD for early risk stratification in APE are limited. In this post hoc analysis of a prospective observational study of 270 consecutive patients, we aimed to optimize the discriminant capacity of the simplified pulmonary embolism severity index (sPESI), an APE risk assessment score currently used, by combining it with DD for in-hospital adverse event prediction. We found that DD levels were higher in patients with complicated versus benign clinical course 7.2 mg/L (25th-75th percentile: 4.5-27.7 mg/L) versus 5.1 mg/L (25th-75th percentile: 2.1-11.2 mg/L), P = .004. The area under the curve of DD for serious adverse event (SAE) was 0.672, P = .003. d-dimer =1.35 mg/L showed 100% negative predictive value for SAE and identified 11 sPESI ≥1 patients with a benign clinical course, detecting the 1 patient with SAE from sPESI = 0. d-dimer >15 mg/L showed heart rate for SAE 3.04 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1-9). A stratification model which with sPESI + DD >1.35 mg/L demonstrated improved prognostic value when compared to sPESI alone (net reclassification improvement: 0.085, P = .04). d-dimer have prognostic value, values <1.35 mg/L identify patients with a favorable outcome, improving the prognostic potential of sPESI, while DD >15 mg/L is an independent predictor of SAE.

D-Dimer and thrombus burden in acute pulmonary embolism

BACKGROUND

Thrombus burden in pulmonary embolism (PE) is associated with higher D-Dimer-levels and poorer prognosis. We aimed to investigate i) the influence of right ventricular dysfunction (RVD), deep venous thrombosis (DVT), and high-risk PE-status on D-Dimer-levels and ii) effectiveness of D-Dimer to predict RVD in normotensive PE patients.

METHODS

Overall, 161 PE patients were analyzed retrospectively, classified in 5 subgroups of thrombus burden according to clinical indications and compared regarding D-Dimer-levels. Linear regression models were computed to investigate the association between D-Dimer and the groups. In hemodynamically stable PE patients, a ROC curve was calculated to assess the effectiveness of D-Dimer for predicting RVD.

RESULTS

Overall, 161 patients (60.9% females, 54.0% aged >70 years) were included in this analysis. The D-Dimer-level was associated with group-category in a univariate linear regression model (β 0.050 (95%CI 0.002-0.099), P = .043). After adjustment for age, sex, cancer, and pneumonia in a multivariate model we observed an association between D-Dimer and group-category with borderline significance (β 0.047 (95%CI 0.002-0.096), P = .058). The Kruskal-Wallis test demonstrated that D-Dimer increased significantly with higher group-category. In 129 normotensive patients, patients with RVD had significantly higher D-Dimer values compared to those without (1.73 (1.11/3.48) vs 1.17 (0.65/2.90) mg/l, P = .049). A ROC curve showed an AUC of 0.61, gender non-specific, with calculated optimal cut-off of 1.18 mg/l. Multi-variate logistic regression model confirmed an association between D-Dimer >1.18 mg/l and RVD (OR2.721 (95%CI 1.196-6.190), P = .017).

CONCLUSIONS

Thrombus burden in PE is related to elevated D-Dimer levels, and D-Dimer values >1.18 mg/l were predictive for RVD in normotensive patients. D-Dimer levels were influenced by DVT, but not by cancer, pneumonia, age, or renal impairment.

NT-pro-BNP levels in patients with acute pulmonary embolism are correlated to right but not left ventricular volume and function

N-terminal pro-Brain Natriuretic Peptide (NT-pro-BNP) is primarily secreted by left ventricular (LV) stretch and wall tension. Notably, NT-pro-BNP is a prognostic marker in acute pulmonary embolism (PE), which primarily stresses the right ventricle (RV). We sought to evaluate the relative contribution of the RV to NT-pro-BNP levels during PE. A posthoc analysis of an observational prospective outcome study in 113 consecutive patients with computed tomography (CT)-proven PE and 226 patients in whom PE was clinically suspected but ruled out by CT. In all patients RV and LV function was established by assessing ECG-triggered-CT measured ventricular end-diastolic-volumes and ejection fraction (EF). NT-pro-BNP was assessed in all patients. The correlation between RV and LV end-diastolic-volumes and systolic function was evaluated by multiple linear regression corrected for known con-founders. In the PE cohort increased RVEF (β-coefficient (95% confidence interval [CI]) –0.044 (± –0.011); p<0.001) and higher RV enddiastolic-volume (β-coefficient 0.005 (± 0.001); p<0.001) were significantly correlated to NT-pro-BNP, while no correlation was found with LVEF ( β-coefficient 0.005 (± 0.010); p=0.587) and LV end-diastolic-volume (β-coefficient –0.003 (± 0.002); p=0.074). In control patients without PE we found a strong correlation between NT-pro-BNP levels and LVEF ( β-coefficient –0.027 (± –0.006); p<0.001) although not LV enddiastolic-volume (β-coefficient 0.001 (± 0.001); p=0.418). RVEF (β-co-efficient –0.002 (± –0.006); p=0.802) and RV end-diastolic-volume (β-coefficient <0.001 (± 0.001); p=0.730) were not correlated in patients without PE. In PE patients, lower RVEF and higher RV end-diastolic-volume were significantly correlated to NT-pro-BNP levels as compared to control patients without PE. These observations provide patho-physiological ground for the well-known prognostic value of NT-pro-BNP in acute PE.

Update on the risk stratification of acute symptomatic pulmonary thromboembolism

Early mortality in patients with pulmonary thromboembolism (PTE) varies from 2% in normotensive patients to 30% in patients with cardiogenic shock. The current risk stratification for symptomatic PTE includes 4 patient groups, and the recommended therapeutic strategies are based on this stratification. Patients who have haemodynamic instability are considered at high risk. Fibrinolytic treatment is recommended for these patients. In normotensive patients, risk stratification helps differentiate between those of low risk, intermediate-low risk and intermediate-high risk. There is currently insufficient evidence on the benefit of intensive monitoring and fibrinolytic treatment in patients with intermediate-high risk. For low-risk patients, standard anticoagulation is indicated. Early discharge with outpatient management may be considered, although its benefit has still not been firmly established.

Comparison of PESI, echocardiogram, CTPA, and NT-proBNP as risk stratification tools in patients with acute pulmonary embolism

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study is to prospectively assess the diagnostic accuracy of pulmonary embolism severity index, echocardiogram, computed tomography pulmonary angiogram (CTPA), and N-terminal pro b-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) for predicting adverse events in acute pulmonary embolism patients.

METHODS

Thirty consecutive acute pulmonary embolism patients were included in this study. Combined adverse events consisted of in-hospital death or use of escalation of care including cardiopulmonary resuscitation, mechanical ventilation, vasopressor therapy, or secondary thrombolysis during hospital stay.

RESULTS

The outcomes were met in 30% of patients. Qanadli index (a measure of clot burden on CTPA) and NT-proBNP were significantly higher in patients with adverse events than those without (p=0.005 and p=0.009, respectively). PESI had moderate positive correlation with right ventricular dysfunction (RVD) (r=0.449, p=0.013) but there was no significant difference in PESI between patients with and without adverse events (p=0.7). Receiver operating characteristic analysis indicated that Qanadli index was the best predictor of adverse events with area under the curve (AUC) of 0.807 (95% CI: 0.651-0.963) with a negative predictive value (NPV) of 100% and positive predictive value (PPV) of 47.4% at cut-off value of 19. Right ventricle to left ventricle ratio on CTPA was found to predict RVD with AUC of 0.94 (95% CI: 0.842-1.000), NPV (77.8%), and PPV (95.2%) at cut-off value at 1.15.

CONCLUSION

Qanadli index is more accurate predictor of adverse events than pulmonary embolism severity index, NT-proBNP, and RVD on echocardiogram and CTPA.

Heart-type Fatty Acid Binding Protein in the Assessment of Acute Pulmonary Embolism

OBJECTIVE

To explore the predictive value of heart-type fatty acid binding protein (H-FABP) in the stratification and prognosis of patients with acute pulmonary embolism (APE).

METHODS

According to risk stratification, 69 patients with APE admitted into the emergency department within 24 hours after onset were divided into the following 3 groups: high-risk group, moderate-risk group and low-risk group. H-FABP- and cardiac troponin I (cTNI)-positive rates of all groups were analyzed and compared, and the correlation between major adverse events (death, endotracheal intubation and cardiopulmonary resuscitation) and the cardiac markers (heart rate, arterial partial pressure of oxygen, right ventricular dimension, pulmonary arterial pressure, etc.) during the in-hospital period were statistically analyzed. Then the prognosis (death, embolic pulmonary hypertension, right heart failure and recurrence of APE) at 6 months after onset of APE was followed-up on and compared between groups.

RESULTS

The admission time of high-risk group patients was earlier than non-high-risk group (7.1 ± 2.9 versus 13.5 ± 6.7 versus 15.2 ± 10.7 hours, P = 0.001), had larger right ventricular dimension (33.1 ± 10.4 versus 26.7 ± 7.3 versus 20.5 ± 8.9mm, P = 0.002) and higher pulmonary arterial pressure (45.8 ± 14.6 versus 29.4 ± 13.9 versus 23.1 ± 12.6mmHg, P = 0.001). The major adverse events during in-hospital period, including death, endotracheal intubation and cardiopulmonary resuscitation, were more prevalent in the high-risk group than those in the other 2 risk groups. Further analysis indicated that the positive rate of H-FABP was remarkably higher than cTNI (52/69, 75.4% versus 28/69, 40.6%, P = 0.003). The H-FABP (r = 0.881, P = 0.020) was significantly correlated to the major adverse events; however, this was not so regarding cTNI (r = 0.115, P = 0.059). At 6 months after onset of APE, the follow-up data indicated that cTNI and H-FABP were both significantly correlated with the major adverse events.

CONCLUSIONS

The positive rate of H-FABP was higher than cTNI during the 24 hours after the onset of APE. The H-FABP was significantly correlated to the major adverse events during hospitalization and to the primary prognosis at 6 months after onset of APE.

Comparison of Cardiac and Non-Cardiac Biomarkers for Risk Stratification in Elderly Patients with Non-Massive Pulmonary Embolism

Biomarkers unrelated to myocardial necrosis, such as cystatin C, copeptin, and mid-regional pro-adrenomedullin (MR-proADM), showed promise for cardiovascular risk prediction. Knowing whether they are comparable to cardiac biomarkers such as high-sensitive cardiac-troponin T (hs-cTnT) or N-terminal pro-Brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) in elderly patients with acute non-massive pulmonary embolism (NMPE) remains elusive. This study aims at comparing the prognostic accuracy of cardiac and non-cardiac biomarkers in patients with NMPE aged ≥65 years over time. In the context of the SWITCO65+ cohort, we evaluated 227 elderly patients with an available blood sample taken within one day from diagnosis. The primary study endpoint was defined as PE-related mortality and the secondary endpoint as PE-related complications. The biomarkers’ predictive ability at 1, 3, 12 and 24 months was determined using C-statistics and Cox regression. For both study endpoints, C-statistics (95% confidence interval) were stable over time for all biomarkers, with the highest value for hs-cTnT, ranging between 0.84 (0.68–1.00) and 0.80 (0.70–0.90) for the primary endpoint, and between 0.74 (0.63–0.86) and 0.65 (0.57–0.73) for the secondary endpoint. For both study endpoints, cardiac biomarkers were found to be independently associated with risk, NT-proBNP displaying a negative predictive value of 100%. Among non-cardiac biomarkers, only copeptin and MR-proADM were independent predictors of PE-related mortality but they were not independent predictors of PE-related complications, and displayed lower negative predictive values. In elderly NMPE patients, cardiac biomarkers appear to be valuable prognostic to identify very low-risk individuals.

Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT00973596

Prognostic models in acute pulmonary embolism: a systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

To review the evidence for existing prognostic models in acute pulmonary embolism (PE) and determine how valid and useful they are for predicting patient outcomes.

DESIGN

Systematic review and meta-analysis.

DATA SOURCES

OVID MEDLINE and EMBASE, and The Cochrane Library from inception to July 2014, and sources of grey literature.

ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA

Studies aiming at constructing, validating, updating or studying the impact of prognostic models to predict all-cause death, PE-related death or venous thromboembolic events up to a 3-month follow-up in patients with an acute symptomatic PE.

DATA EXTRACTION

Study characteristics and study quality using prognostic criteria. Studies were selected and data extracted by 2 reviewers.

DATA ANALYSIS

Summary estimates (95% CI) for proportion of risk groups and event rates within risk groups, and accuracy.

RESULTS

We included 71 studies (44,298 patients). Among them, 17 were model construction studies specific to PE prognosis. The most validated models were the PE Severity Index (PESI) and its simplified version (sPESI). The overall 30-day mortality rate was 2.3% (1.7% to 2.9%) in the low-risk group and 11.4% (9.9% to 13.1%) in the high-risk group for PESI (9 studies), and 1.5% (0.9% to 2.5%) in the low-risk group and 10.7% (8.8% to12.9%) in the high-risk group for sPESI (11 studies). PESI has proved clinically useful in an impact study. Shifting the cut-off or using novel and updated models specifically developed for normotensive PE improves the ability for identifying patients at lower risk for early death or adverse outcome (0.5-1%) and those at higher risk (up to 20-29% of event rate).

CONCLUSIONS

We provide evidence-based information about the validity and utility of the existing prognostic models in acute PE that may be helpful for identifying patients at low risk. Novel models seem attractive for the high-risk normotensive PE but need to be externally validated then be assessed in impact studies.

Association between thyroid dysfunction and venous thromboembolism in the elderly: a prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) and subclinical thyroid dysfunction (SCTD) are both common in elderly patients. SCTD has been related to a hypercoagulable state and an increased thromboembolic risk. However, prospective data on the relationship between SCTD and VTE are lacking.

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the relationship between SCTD and recurrent VTE (rVTE), all-cause mortality, and thrombophilic biomarkers. Patients Elderly patients with VTE were studied.

METHODS

In a prospective multicenter cohort, thyroid hormones and thrombophilic biomarkers were measured 1 year after acute VTE, as both may be influenced by acute thrombosis. We defined subclinical hypothyroidism (SHypo) as elevated thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) levels (4.50-19.99 mIU L(-1) ), and subclinical hyperthyroidism (SHyper) as TSH levels of < 0.45 mIU L(-1) , both with normal free thyroxine levels. Outcomes were incidence of rVTE and overall mortality during follow-up starting after the 1-year blood sampling.

RESULTS

Of 561 participants (58% with anticoagulation), 6% had SHypo and 5% had SHyper. After 20.8 months of mean follow-up, 9% developed rVTE and 10% died. The rVTE incidence rate was 7.2 (95% confidence interval [CI] 2.7-19.2) per 100 patient-years in SHypo participants, 0.0 (95% CI 0.0-7.6) in SHyper participants, and 5.9 (95% CI 4.4-7.8) in euthyroid participants. In multivariate analyses, the sub-hazard ratio for rVTE was 0.00 (95% CI 0.00-0.58) in SHyper participants and 1.50 (95% CI 0.52-4.34) in SHypo participants as compared with euthyroid participants, without increased levels of thrombophilic biomarkers. SHyper (hazard ratio [HR] 0.80, 95% CI 0.23-2.81) and SHypo (HR 0.99, 95% CI 0.30-3.29) were not associated with mortality.

CONCLUSION

In elderly patients, SHyper may be associated with lower rVTE risks. SHypo showed a non-statistically significant pattern of an association with rVTE, without increased mortality or differences in thrombophilic biomarkers.

Postoperative Acute Pulmonary Embolism Following Pulmonary Resections

Postoperative acute pulmonary embolism after pulmonary resections is highly fatal complication. Many literatures have documented cancer to be the highest risk factor for acute pulmonary embolism after pulmonary resections. Early diagnosis of acute pulmonary embolism is highly recommended and computed tomographic pulmonary angiography is the gold standard in diagnosis of acute pulmonary embolism. Anticoagulants and thrombolytic therapy have shown a great success in treatment of acute pulmonary embolism. Surgical therapies (embolectomy and inferior vena cava filter replacement) proved to be lifesaving but many literatures favored medical therapy as the first choice. Prophylaxis pre and post operation is highly recommended, because there were statistical significant results in different studies which supported the use of prophylaxis in prevention of acute pulmonary embolism. Having reviewed satisfactory number of literatures, it is suggested that thoroughly preoperative assessment of patient conditions, determining their risk factors complicating to pulmonary embolism and the use of appropriate prophylaxis measures are the key options to the successful minimization or eradication of acute pulmonary embolism after lung resections.

Management of chemotherapy-induced thromboembolism in breast cancer

Thromboembolic events are common in cancer patients and, apart from contributing to significant morbidity, are regarded as the second leading cause of death in this population. Breast cancer patients are considered low risk for venous thromboembolism; however, the presence of advanced disease and use of chemotherapy and/or other adjunct treatments significantly raises this risk by altering the balance of pro- and anti-coagulant proteins. Low molecular weight heparin is central to the management of venous thromboembolism in this context, whether for prophylaxis, acute management or prevention of recurrences. Risk stratification models need to be incorporated to guide decision making where available.

D-dimer for risk stratification in haemodynamically stable patients with acute pulmonary embolism

PURPOSE

Patients with submassive pulmonary embolism (PE) have a higher short-term mortality than those with low-risk PE. Rapid identification of submassive PE is important for adequate treatment of non-massive PE. We aimed to investigate the utility of D-dimer for the prediction of submassive PE stadium in normotensive PE patients.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Normotensive PE patients were classified into submassive or low-risk PE groups. In addition to the comparison of the groups, area under the curve (AUC) and D-dimer cut-off for the prediction of submassive PE stadium, multi-variate logistic regression for association between D-dimer values above this cut-off and submassive PE stadium were also calculated.

RESULTS

The data of 129 normotensive PE patients (59.7% women, mean age 70.0 years (60.7/81.0)) were analysed retrospectively. Patients with submassive PE were older (75.0 years (61.7/81.0) vs. 66.5 years (55.7/74.2), P=0.026) and more frequently female (63.6% vs. 53.8%, P=0.35). Heart rate (100.0beats/min (85.0/108.0) vs. 80.0beats/min (70.0/96.2), P<0.0001), systolic pulmonary-artery pressure (41.55±16.79mmHg vs. 22.62±14.81mmHg, P<0.0001), and D-dimer (2.00mg/l (1.09/3.98) vs. 1.21mg/l (0.75/1.99), P=0.011) were higher in patients with submassive PE. D-dimer values >1.32mg/l were indicative of submassive PE and shock-index ≥0.7. The effectiveness (AUC) of the test was 0.63 for submassive PE and 0.64 for shock-index ≥0.7. D-dimer values >1.32mg/l were associated with submassive PE stadium (OR 3.81 (95% CI: 1.74-8.35), P=0.00083) as well as with systolic blood pressure (OR 0.98 (95% CI: 0.97-0.99), P=0.033), heart rate (OR 1.02 (95% CI: 1.00-1.04), P=0.023) and shock-index value (OR 15.89 (95% CI: 1.94-130.08), P=0.0099).

CONCLUSIONS

D-dimer values >1.32mg/l are indicative of submassive PE stadium and shock-index ≥0.7. Efficacy of D-dimer for predicting submassive PE stadium was only weak to moderate.

Prognostic Value of Biomarkers in Acute Non-massive Pulmonary Embolism: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Various biomarkers have been evaluated to risk stratify patients with acute pulmonary embolism (PE). We aimed to summarize the available evidence to compare the prognostic value of three most widely studied biomarkers in normotensive patients with acute PE.

METHOD

A systematic literature review of database, including Pubmed, EMBASE and Cochrane, was done. Studies were included if those were done on patients with acute PE and serum troponin or brain natriuretic peptide and N-terminal proBNP (BNP/NT-proBNP) or Heart-type fatty acid-binding protein (H-FABP) assay was done. The primary end point was short-term all-cause mortality. The secondary end points were PE-related mortality and serious adverse events.

RESULTS

All three biomarkers were significantly associated with increased risk for short-term all-cause mortality, PE-related mortality and serious adverse events. All-cause mortality: troponin [odds ratio (OR) 4.80; 95% CI 3.25-7.08, I(2) = 54%], BNP or NT-proBNP (OR 7.98; 95% CI 4.34-14.67, I(2) = 0%); PE-related mortality: troponin (OR 3.80; 95% CI 2.74-5.27, I(2) = 0%), BNP or NT-proBNP (OR 7.57; 95% CI 2.89-19.81, I (2) = 0%) and H-FABP (OR 25.97; 95% CI 6.63-101.66, I(2) = 40%). H-FABP has the lowest negative likelihood ratio (NLR) of 0.17 for mortality followed by high-sensitive cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) with NLR of 0.21.

CONCLUSION

None of the biomarker identifies a subgroup of patients who can be managed as an outpatient versus patients who may get benefit from thrombolytics with certainty; however, H-FABP and hs-cTnT showed some promising results and should be investigated further.

Cardiac biomarkers and clinical scores for risk stratification in elderly patients with non-high-risk pulmonary embolism

OBJECTIVE

To determine the prognostic accuracy of cardiac biomarkers alone and in combination with clinical scores in elderly patients with non-high-risk pulmonary embolism (PE).

DESIGN

Ancillary analysis of a Swiss multicentre prospective cohort study.

SUBJECTS

A total of 230 patients aged ≥65 years with non-high-risk PE.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The study end-point was a composite of PE-related complications, defined as PE-related death, recurrent venous thromboembolism or major bleeding during a follow-up of 30 days. The prognostic accuracy of the Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index (PESI), the Geneva Prognostic Score (GPS), the precursor of brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) and high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) was determined using sensitivity, specificity, predictive values, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis, logistic regression and reclassification statistics.

RESULTS

The overall complication rate during follow-up was 8.7%. hs-cTnT achieved the highest prognostic accuracy [area under the ROC curve: 0.75, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.63-0.86, P < 0.001). At the predefined cut-off values, the negative predictive values of the biomarkers were above 95%. For levels above the cut-off, the risk of complications increased fivefold for hs-cTnT [odds ratio (OR): 5.22, 95% CI: 1.49-18.25] and 14-fold for NT-proBNP (OR: 14.21, 95% CI: 1.73-116.93) after adjustment for both clinical scores and renal function. Reclassification statistics indicated that adding hs-cTnT to the GPS or the PESI significantly improved the prognostic accuracy of both clinical scores.

CONCLUSION

In elderly patients with nonmassive PE, NT-proBNP or hs-cTnT could be an adequate alternative to clinical scores for identifying low-risk individuals suitable for outpatient management.

Severe hypoxaemia can predict unfavourable clinical outcomes in individuals with pulmonary embolism aged over 40 years

INTRODUCTION

Acute pulmonary embolism (APE) is an urgent clinical condition that can progress in a wide variety of ways. Therefore, we sought to develop an easy-to-apply algorithm, to be based on readily available clinical indicators, effective in predicting unfavourable outcomes.

METHODS

This was a retrospective cohort study based on systematically collected data in a database. The study included 102 patients with APE who were admitted to a tertiary care hospital. The following outcomes were defined as unfavourable: shock, the need for mechanical ventilation, the use of thrombolytics, and death. Logistic regression analysis was used to explore variables significantly associated with outcome and to calculate post-test probabilities.

RESULTS

The prevalence of unfavourable outcomes was 25.5% (26 of the 102 patients with APE). The risk of an unfavourable outcome was reduced to 7.0% for patients with APE who were aged ≤ 40 years. In patients with APE who were aged > 40 years, the presence of hypoxaemia (i.e. peripheral oxygen saturation < 90%) alone increased the risk of an unfavourable outcome to 57.0%. A recent history of trauma and the presence of pre-existing lung or heart disease were significantly associated with unfavourable outcomes. The inclusion of those variables in the logistic regression model increased the post-test risk of an unfavourable outcome to 65.0%-86.0%.

CONCLUSION

Advanced age (i.e. > 40 years), the presence of hypoxaemia, a recent history of trauma and the presence of pre-existing lung or heart disease are risk factors for unfavourable outcome in patients with APE.

Predictive value of the heart-type fatty acid-binding protein and the Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index in patients with acute pulmonary embolism in the emergency department

OBJECTIVES

Heart-type fatty acid-binding protein (h-FABP), sensitive troponins, natriuretic peptides, and clinical scores such as the Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index (PESI) are candidates for risk stratification of patients with acute pulmonary embolism (PE). The aim was to compare their respective prognostic values to predict an adverse outcome at 1 month.

METHODS

The authors prospectively included 132 consecutive patients with confirmed acute PE. On admission to the emergency department (ED), plasma concentrations of h-FABP, sensitive cardiac troponin I-Ultra (cTnI-Ultra), and brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) were measured and the PESI calculated in all patients. The combined 30-day outcomes of interest were death, cardiac arrest, mechanical ventilation, use of catecholamines, and recurrence of acute PE.

RESULTS

During the first 30 days, 14 (10.6%) patients suffered complications. Among the biomarkers, h-FABP above 6 μg/L was a stronger predictor of an unfavorable outcome (odds ratio [OR] = 17.5, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 4.2 to 73.3) than BNP > 100 pg/mL (OR = 5.7, 95% CI = 1.6 to 20.4) or cTnI-Ultra > 0.05 μg/L (OR = 3.4, 95% CI = 1.1 to 10.9). The PESI classified 83 of 118 patients (70.3%) with favorable outcomes and only one of 14 (7%) with adverse outcomes in low class I or II (OR = 30.8, 95% CI = 3.2 to 299.7). The areas under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves (AUCs) were 0.90 (95% CI = 0.81 to 0.98) for h-FABP, 0.89 (95% CI = 0.82 to 0.96) for PESI, 0.79 (95% CI = 0.67 to 0.90) for BNP, and 0.76 (95% CI = 0.64 to 0.87) for cTnI-Ultra. The combination of h-FABP with PESI was a particularly useful prognostic indicator because none of the 79 patients (59.8%) with h-FABP < 6 ng/mL and PESI class < III had an adverse outcome.

CONCLUSIONS

h-FABP and the PESI are superior to BNP and cTnI-Ultra as markers for risk stratification of patients with acute PE. The high sensitivity of their combination identified a large number of low-risk patients in the ED.