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Lally J, Ajnakina O, Stubbs B, Cullinane M, Murphy KC, Gaughran F, Murray RM. Remission and recovery from first-episode psychosis in adults: systematic review and meta-analysis of long-term outcome studies. Br J Psychiatry 2017; 211:350-358. [PMID: 28982659 DOI: 10.1192/bjp.bp.117.201475] [Citation(s) in RCA: 213] [Impact Index Per Article: 30.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/20/2017] [Revised: 06/06/2017] [Accepted: 06/10/2017] [Indexed: 01/17/2023]
Abstract
BackgroundRemission and recovery rates for people with first-episode psychosis (FEP) remain uncertain.AimsTo assess pooled prevalence rates of remission and recovery in FEP and to investigate potential moderators.MethodWe conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to assess pooled prevalence rates of remission and recovery in FEP in longitudinal studies with more than 1 year of follow-up data, and conducted meta-regression analyses to investigate potential moderators.ResultsSeventy-nine studies were included representing 19072 patients with FEP. The pooled rate of remission among 12301 individuals with FEP was 58% (60 studies, mean follow-up 5.5 years). Higher remission rates were moderated by studies from more recent years. The pooled prevalence of recovery among 9642 individuals with FEP was 38% (35 studies, mean follow-up 7.2 years). Recovery rates were higher in North America than in other regions.ConclusionsRemission and recovery rates in FEP may be more favourable than previously thought. We observed stability of recovery rates after the first 2 years, suggesting that a progressive deteriorating course of illness is not typical. Although remission rates have improved over time recovery rates have not, raising questions about the effectiveness of services in achieving improved recovery.
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Affiliation(s)
- John Lally
- John Lally, MB MSc MRCPsych, Department of Psychosis Studies, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience (IoPPN), King's College London, London, UK, and Department of Psychiatry, Royal College of Surgeons in Ireland, Dublin, Ireland, and Department of Psychiatry, School of Medicine and Medical Sciences, University College Dublin, St Vincent's University Hospital, Dublin, Ireland; Olesya Ajnakina, MSc PhD, Department of Psychosis Studies, IoPPN, King's College London, London, UK; Brendon Stubbs, MSc MCSP PhD, Health Service and Population Research Department, IoPPN, King's College London, and Physiotherapy Department, South London and Maudsley National Health Service (NHS) Foundation Trust, London, UK; Michael Cullinane, MB MRCPsych, Young Adult Mental Health Services, St Fintan's Hospital, Portlaoise, Ireland; Kieran C. Murphy, MMedSci PhD FRCPI FRCPsych, Department of Psychiatry, Royal College of Surgeons in Ireland, Dublin, Ireland; Fiona Gaughran, MD FRCPI FRCP FRCPsych, National Psychosis Service, South London and Maudsley NHS Foundation Trust, IoPPN, Kings College London, and Collaboration for Leadership in Applied Health Research and Care, South London Psychosis Research Team, London, UK; Robin M. Murray, MD DSc FRCP FRCPsych FMedSci FRS, IoPPN, King's College London, and National Psychosis Service, South London and Maudsley NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK
| | - Olesya Ajnakina
- John Lally, MB MSc MRCPsych, Department of Psychosis Studies, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience (IoPPN), King's College London, London, UK, and Department of Psychiatry, Royal College of Surgeons in Ireland, Dublin, Ireland, and Department of Psychiatry, School of Medicine and Medical Sciences, University College Dublin, St Vincent's University Hospital, Dublin, Ireland; Olesya Ajnakina, MSc PhD, Department of Psychosis Studies, IoPPN, King's College London, London, UK; Brendon Stubbs, MSc MCSP PhD, Health Service and Population Research Department, IoPPN, King's College London, and Physiotherapy Department, South London and Maudsley National Health Service (NHS) Foundation Trust, London, UK; Michael Cullinane, MB MRCPsych, Young Adult Mental Health Services, St Fintan's Hospital, Portlaoise, Ireland; Kieran C. Murphy, MMedSci PhD FRCPI FRCPsych, Department of Psychiatry, Royal College of Surgeons in Ireland, Dublin, Ireland; Fiona Gaughran, MD FRCPI FRCP FRCPsych, National Psychosis Service, South London and Maudsley NHS Foundation Trust, IoPPN, Kings College London, and Collaboration for Leadership in Applied Health Research and Care, South London Psychosis Research Team, London, UK; Robin M. Murray, MD DSc FRCP FRCPsych FMedSci FRS, IoPPN, King's College London, and National Psychosis Service, South London and Maudsley NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK
| | - Brendon Stubbs
- John Lally, MB MSc MRCPsych, Department of Psychosis Studies, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience (IoPPN), King's College London, London, UK, and Department of Psychiatry, Royal College of Surgeons in Ireland, Dublin, Ireland, and Department of Psychiatry, School of Medicine and Medical Sciences, University College Dublin, St Vincent's University Hospital, Dublin, Ireland; Olesya Ajnakina, MSc PhD, Department of Psychosis Studies, IoPPN, King's College London, London, UK; Brendon Stubbs, MSc MCSP PhD, Health Service and Population Research Department, IoPPN, King's College London, and Physiotherapy Department, South London and Maudsley National Health Service (NHS) Foundation Trust, London, UK; Michael Cullinane, MB MRCPsych, Young Adult Mental Health Services, St Fintan's Hospital, Portlaoise, Ireland; Kieran C. Murphy, MMedSci PhD FRCPI FRCPsych, Department of Psychiatry, Royal College of Surgeons in Ireland, Dublin, Ireland; Fiona Gaughran, MD FRCPI FRCP FRCPsych, National Psychosis Service, South London and Maudsley NHS Foundation Trust, IoPPN, Kings College London, and Collaboration for Leadership in Applied Health Research and Care, South London Psychosis Research Team, London, UK; Robin M. Murray, MD DSc FRCP FRCPsych FMedSci FRS, IoPPN, King's College London, and National Psychosis Service, South London and Maudsley NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK
| | - Michael Cullinane
- John Lally, MB MSc MRCPsych, Department of Psychosis Studies, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience (IoPPN), King's College London, London, UK, and Department of Psychiatry, Royal College of Surgeons in Ireland, Dublin, Ireland, and Department of Psychiatry, School of Medicine and Medical Sciences, University College Dublin, St Vincent's University Hospital, Dublin, Ireland; Olesya Ajnakina, MSc PhD, Department of Psychosis Studies, IoPPN, King's College London, London, UK; Brendon Stubbs, MSc MCSP PhD, Health Service and Population Research Department, IoPPN, King's College London, and Physiotherapy Department, South London and Maudsley National Health Service (NHS) Foundation Trust, London, UK; Michael Cullinane, MB MRCPsych, Young Adult Mental Health Services, St Fintan's Hospital, Portlaoise, Ireland; Kieran C. Murphy, MMedSci PhD FRCPI FRCPsych, Department of Psychiatry, Royal College of Surgeons in Ireland, Dublin, Ireland; Fiona Gaughran, MD FRCPI FRCP FRCPsych, National Psychosis Service, South London and Maudsley NHS Foundation Trust, IoPPN, Kings College London, and Collaboration for Leadership in Applied Health Research and Care, South London Psychosis Research Team, London, UK; Robin M. Murray, MD DSc FRCP FRCPsych FMedSci FRS, IoPPN, King's College London, and National Psychosis Service, South London and Maudsley NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK
| | - Kieran C Murphy
- John Lally, MB MSc MRCPsych, Department of Psychosis Studies, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience (IoPPN), King's College London, London, UK, and Department of Psychiatry, Royal College of Surgeons in Ireland, Dublin, Ireland, and Department of Psychiatry, School of Medicine and Medical Sciences, University College Dublin, St Vincent's University Hospital, Dublin, Ireland; Olesya Ajnakina, MSc PhD, Department of Psychosis Studies, IoPPN, King's College London, London, UK; Brendon Stubbs, MSc MCSP PhD, Health Service and Population Research Department, IoPPN, King's College London, and Physiotherapy Department, South London and Maudsley National Health Service (NHS) Foundation Trust, London, UK; Michael Cullinane, MB MRCPsych, Young Adult Mental Health Services, St Fintan's Hospital, Portlaoise, Ireland; Kieran C. Murphy, MMedSci PhD FRCPI FRCPsych, Department of Psychiatry, Royal College of Surgeons in Ireland, Dublin, Ireland; Fiona Gaughran, MD FRCPI FRCP FRCPsych, National Psychosis Service, South London and Maudsley NHS Foundation Trust, IoPPN, Kings College London, and Collaboration for Leadership in Applied Health Research and Care, South London Psychosis Research Team, London, UK; Robin M. Murray, MD DSc FRCP FRCPsych FMedSci FRS, IoPPN, King's College London, and National Psychosis Service, South London and Maudsley NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK
| | - Fiona Gaughran
- John Lally, MB MSc MRCPsych, Department of Psychosis Studies, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience (IoPPN), King's College London, London, UK, and Department of Psychiatry, Royal College of Surgeons in Ireland, Dublin, Ireland, and Department of Psychiatry, School of Medicine and Medical Sciences, University College Dublin, St Vincent's University Hospital, Dublin, Ireland; Olesya Ajnakina, MSc PhD, Department of Psychosis Studies, IoPPN, King's College London, London, UK; Brendon Stubbs, MSc MCSP PhD, Health Service and Population Research Department, IoPPN, King's College London, and Physiotherapy Department, South London and Maudsley National Health Service (NHS) Foundation Trust, London, UK; Michael Cullinane, MB MRCPsych, Young Adult Mental Health Services, St Fintan's Hospital, Portlaoise, Ireland; Kieran C. Murphy, MMedSci PhD FRCPI FRCPsych, Department of Psychiatry, Royal College of Surgeons in Ireland, Dublin, Ireland; Fiona Gaughran, MD FRCPI FRCP FRCPsych, National Psychosis Service, South London and Maudsley NHS Foundation Trust, IoPPN, Kings College London, and Collaboration for Leadership in Applied Health Research and Care, South London Psychosis Research Team, London, UK; Robin M. Murray, MD DSc FRCP FRCPsych FMedSci FRS, IoPPN, King's College London, and National Psychosis Service, South London and Maudsley NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK
| | - Robin M Murray
- John Lally, MB MSc MRCPsych, Department of Psychosis Studies, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience (IoPPN), King's College London, London, UK, and Department of Psychiatry, Royal College of Surgeons in Ireland, Dublin, Ireland, and Department of Psychiatry, School of Medicine and Medical Sciences, University College Dublin, St Vincent's University Hospital, Dublin, Ireland; Olesya Ajnakina, MSc PhD, Department of Psychosis Studies, IoPPN, King's College London, London, UK; Brendon Stubbs, MSc MCSP PhD, Health Service and Population Research Department, IoPPN, King's College London, and Physiotherapy Department, South London and Maudsley National Health Service (NHS) Foundation Trust, London, UK; Michael Cullinane, MB MRCPsych, Young Adult Mental Health Services, St Fintan's Hospital, Portlaoise, Ireland; Kieran C. Murphy, MMedSci PhD FRCPI FRCPsych, Department of Psychiatry, Royal College of Surgeons in Ireland, Dublin, Ireland; Fiona Gaughran, MD FRCPI FRCP FRCPsych, National Psychosis Service, South London and Maudsley NHS Foundation Trust, IoPPN, Kings College London, and Collaboration for Leadership in Applied Health Research and Care, South London Psychosis Research Team, London, UK; Robin M. Murray, MD DSc FRCP FRCPsych FMedSci FRS, IoPPN, King's College London, and National Psychosis Service, South London and Maudsley NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK
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Ajnakina O, Lally J, Di Forti M, Kolliakou A, Gardner-Sood P, Lopez-Morinigo J, Dazzan P, Pariante CM, Mondelli V, MacCabe J, David AS, Gaughran F, Murray RM, Vassos E. Patterns of illness and care over the 5 years following onset of psychosis in different ethnic groups; the GAP-5 study. Soc Psychiatry Psychiatr Epidemiol 2017; 52:1101-1111. [PMID: 28681264 PMCID: PMC5581822 DOI: 10.1007/s00127-017-1417-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 20] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/30/2016] [Accepted: 06/25/2017] [Indexed: 11/16/2022]
Abstract
PURPOSE Previous research has not provided us with a comprehensive picture of the longitudinal course of psychotic disorders in Black people living in Europe. We sought to investigate clinical outcomes and pattern of care in Black African and Black Caribbean groups compared with White British patients during the first 5 years after first contact with mental health services for psychosis. METHODS 245 FEP cases aged 18-65 who presented to psychiatric services in 2005-2010 in South London (UK). Using the electronic psychiatric clinical notes in the South London and Maudsley NHS Foundation Trust (SLaM), extensive information was collected on three domains-clinical, social, and service use. RESULTS During the 5-year follow-up (mean = 5.1 years, s.d. = 2.4; 1251 person years) after first contact with mental health services, a higher proportion of Black African and Black Caribbean ethnicity had compulsory re-admissions (χ 2 = 17.34, p = 0.002) and instances of police involvement during an admission to a psychiatric unit (χ 2 = 22.82, p < 0.001) compared with White British ethnic group. Patients of Black African and Black Caribbean ethnicity did not differ from the ethnic group in overall functional disability and illness severity, or frequency of remission or recovery during the follow-up period. However, patients of Black ethnicity become increasing socially excluded as their illness progress. CONCLUSIONS The longitudinal trajectory of psychosis in patients of Black ethnicity did not show greater clinical or functional deterioration than white patients. However, their course remains characterised by more compulsion, and longer periods of admission.
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Affiliation(s)
- Olesya Ajnakina
- Department of Psychosis Studies, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King's College London, 16 De Crespigny Park, London, SE5 8AF, UK.
| | - John Lally
- Department of Psychosis Studies, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King's College London, 16 De Crespigny Park, London, SE5 8AF, UK
- National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Mental Health Biomedical Research Centre at South London and Maudsley NHS Foundation Trust and King's College London, De Crespigny Park, London, SE5 8AF, UK
- Department of Psychiatry, Royal College of Surgeons in Ireland, Beaumont Hospital, 123 St Stephen's Green, Dublin 2, Ireland
| | - Marta Di Forti
- MRC Social, Genetic and Developmental Psychiatry Centre, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King's College London, De Crespigny Park, London, SE5 8AF, UK
| | - Anna Kolliakou
- Department of Psychological Medicine, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King's College London, 16 De Crespigny Park, London, SE5 8AF, UK
| | - Poonam Gardner-Sood
- Department of Psychosis Studies, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King's College London, 16 De Crespigny Park, London, SE5 8AF, UK
| | - Javier Lopez-Morinigo
- Department of Psychosis Studies, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King's College London, 16 De Crespigny Park, London, SE5 8AF, UK
| | - Paola Dazzan
- Department of Psychosis Studies, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King's College London, 16 De Crespigny Park, London, SE5 8AF, UK
- National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Mental Health Biomedical Research Centre at South London and Maudsley NHS Foundation Trust and King's College London, De Crespigny Park, London, SE5 8AF, UK
| | - Carmine M Pariante
- National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Mental Health Biomedical Research Centre at South London and Maudsley NHS Foundation Trust and King's College London, De Crespigny Park, London, SE5 8AF, UK
- Department of Psychological Medicine, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King's College London, 16 De Crespigny Park, London, SE5 8AF, UK
| | - Valeria Mondelli
- National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Mental Health Biomedical Research Centre at South London and Maudsley NHS Foundation Trust and King's College London, De Crespigny Park, London, SE5 8AF, UK
- Department of Psychological Medicine, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King's College London, 16 De Crespigny Park, London, SE5 8AF, UK
| | - James MacCabe
- Department of Psychosis Studies, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King's College London, 16 De Crespigny Park, London, SE5 8AF, UK
- National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Mental Health Biomedical Research Centre at South London and Maudsley NHS Foundation Trust and King's College London, De Crespigny Park, London, SE5 8AF, UK
| | - Anthony S David
- Department of Psychosis Studies, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King's College London, 16 De Crespigny Park, London, SE5 8AF, UK
| | - Fiona Gaughran
- Department of Psychosis Studies, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King's College London, 16 De Crespigny Park, London, SE5 8AF, UK
- National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Mental Health Biomedical Research Centre at South London and Maudsley NHS Foundation Trust and King's College London, De Crespigny Park, London, SE5 8AF, UK
| | - Robin M Murray
- Department of Psychosis Studies, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King's College London, 16 De Crespigny Park, London, SE5 8AF, UK
| | - Evangelos Vassos
- MRC Social, Genetic and Developmental Psychiatry Centre, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology and Neuroscience, King's College London, De Crespigny Park, London, SE5 8AF, UK
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