Predictors of eligibility for long-term care funding for older people in Japan

Developing a battery of physical performance tests to predict functional disability in Japanese older adults: A longitudinal study from the Kasama study

AIM

Preventing functional disability benefits the quality of life of older adults and mitigates the economic burden of an aging society. However, the most effective physical performance tests and optimal cut points for identifying older adults at risk of functional disability remain unclear, and Japan lacks physical function-based assessment tools. We aimed to identify the physical performance tests related to functional disability and to develop a predictive test battery for it.

METHODS

We included 975 older adults (mean 72.8 ± 5.2 years, 55.4% women) in Kasama City, Japan. Functional disability was defined as certification of care level 2 or above based on the long-term care insurance system. Cox proportional hazards analysis examined the association between physical performance tests and incident functional disability.

RESULTS

During a mean follow-up of 8.6 years (maximum 14 years), 236 participants (24.2%) developed functional disability. After adjusting for covariates, higher performances in grip strength, single-leg balance with eyes open (SLB), timed up-and-go (TUG), five-repetition sit-to-stand (5-STS), and 5-m habitual walk were significantly associated with a lower risk of functional disability. In a stepwise model, SLB, TUG, and 5-STS were key predictors of functional disability. Receiver operating characteristic analysis determined optimal cut points of 32.6/32.7 s for SLB, 6.5/6.6 s for TUG, and 7.8/7.9 s for 5-STS. We developed a predictive battery combining these cut points (area under the curve = 0.78).

CONCLUSIONS

The developed battery of physical performance tests predicts future functional disability and is useful for screening older adults at high risk. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2024; 24: 1343-1349.

Association of clinical outcome assessments of mobility capacity and incident disability in community-dwelling older adults - a systematic review and meta-analysis

The objective of the present review is to synthesize all available research on the association between mobility capacity and incident disability in non-disabled older adults. MEDLINE, EMBASE and CINAHL databases were searched without any limits or restrictions until February 2021. Published reports of longitudinal cohort studies that estimated a direct association between baseline mobility capacity, assessed with a standardized outcome assessment, and subsequent development of disability, including initially non-disabled older adults were included. The risk of bias was assessed using the Quality in Prognosis Studies (QUIPS) tool. Random-effect models were used to explore the objective. The certainty of evidence was assessed using the Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development and Evaluations (GRADE) approach. The main outcome measures were the pooled relative risks (RR) per one conventional unit per mobility assessment for incident disability. A total of 40 reports (85,515 participants at baseline) were included. For usual and fast gait speed, the RR per -0.1 m/s was 1.23 (95% CI: 1.18-1.28; 26,638 participants) and 1.28 (95% CI: 1.19-1.38; 8161 participants), respectively. Each point decrease in Short Physical Performance Battery score increased the risk of incident disability by 30% (RR = 1.30, 95% CI: 1.23-1.38; 9183 participants). The RR of incident disability by each second increase in Timed Up and Go test and Chair Rise Test performance was 1.15 (95% CI: 1.09-1.21; 30,426 participants) and 1.07 (95% CI: 1.04-1.10; 9450 participants), respectively. The review concludes that among community-dwelling non-disabled older adults, poor mobility capacity is a potent modifiable risk factor for incident disability. Mobility impairment should be mandated as a quality indicator of health for older people.

Risk Factors of Long-Term Care Insurance Certification in Japan: A Scoping Review

This study aimed to review evidence on future long-term care associated with pre-existing factors among community-dwelling Japanese older adults. We systematically searched cohort and nested case–control studies published between 2000 and 2019 that assessed long-term care certification using the PubMed, CINAHL, and EMBASE databases. The relationship between long-term care insurance information and risk factors was investigated. The protocol was registered with the Open Science Framework. We extracted 91 studies for synthesis, including 84 prospective cohort studies, 1 retrospective cohort study, and 6 nested case–control studies. Certification for long-term care was classified into two endpoints: onset of functional disability and dementia. There were 72 studies that used long-term care certification as a proxy for functional disability, and 22 used long-term care information to indicate the onset of dementia. Common risk factors related to functional disability were physical function, frailty, and oral condition. Motor function and nutritional status were common risk factors for dementia. We found consistent associations between premorbid risk factors and functional disability and dementia. The accumulation of evidence on the incidence of long-term care and associated factors can aid the development of preventive measures. Future studies should aim to integrate this evidence.

Potential utility of physical function measures to improve the risk prediction of functional disability in community-dwelling older Japanese adults: a prospective study

Background

While gait speed, one-leg standing balance, and handgrip strength have been shown to be independent predictors for functional disability, it is unclear whether such simple measures of physical function contribute to improved risk prediction of functional disability in older adults.

Methods

A total of 1,591 adults aged ≥ 65 years and without functional disability at baseline were followed up for up to 7.9 years. Functional disability was identified using the database of Japan’s Long-term Care Insurance System. Maximum gait speed, one-leg standing time, and handgrip strength were measured at baseline. Cox proportional hazard models were used to estimate the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95 % confidence intervals (CIs) for the association of physical function and functional disability incidence. The incremental predictive value of each physical function measure for risk prediction was quantified using the difference in overall C-statistic, category-free net reclassification improvement (NRI), and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) index.

Results

During follow-up (median: 7.8 years), functional disability was identified in 384 participants. All of the physical function measures were inversely associated with the risk of functional disability, independent of potential confounding factors. The multivariable adjusted HRs (95 % CIs) for functional disability per one standard deviation increment of maximum gait speed, one-leg-standing time, and hand grip strength were 0.73 (0.65–0.83), 0.68 (0.59–0.79), and 0.72 (0.59–0.86), respectively. Incorporation of each of maximum gait speed, one-leg-stand time, and hand grip strength into a basic model with other risk factors significantly improved C-statistic from 0.770 (95 % CIs, 0.751–0.794) to 0.778 (0.759–0.803), 0.782 (0.760–0.805), and 0.775 (0.756–0.800), respectively (all p < 0.05). A model including all three measures had the highest C-statistic of 0.787 (0.765–0.810). The improvements in risk prediction were also confirmed by category-free NRI and IDI index.

Conclusions

Adding any of the three measures to a basic model with other known risk factors significantly improved the prediction of functional disability and addition of all three measures provided further improvement of the prediction in older Japanese adults. These data provide robust evidence to support the practical utility of incorporating these simple physical function measures into functional disability risk prediction tools.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12877-021-02415-3.

Factors associated with long-term care certification in older adults: a cross-sectional study based on a nationally representative survey in Japan

Background

Long-term care (LTC) prevention is a pressing concern in ageing societies. To understand the risk factors of LTC, it is vital to consider psychological and social factors in addition to physical factors. Owing to a lack of relevant data, we aimed to investigate the social, physical and psychological factors associated with LTC using large-scale, nationally representative data to identify a high-risk population for LTC in terms of multidimensional frailty.

Methods

We performed a cross-sectional study using anonymised data from the 2013 Comprehensive Survey of Living Conditions conducted by the Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare of Japan. Among the 23,730 eligible people aged 65 years or older and those who were not in hospitals or care facilities during the survey, 1718 stated that they had LTC certification. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to determine the factors associated with LTC certification.

Results

Factors positively associated with LTC certification in the multivariate analyses included older age, the interaction term between sex and age group at age 85–89 years, limb movement difficulties, swollen/heavy feet, incontinence, severe psychological distress (indicated by a Kessler Psychological Distress Scale [K6] score ≥ 13), regular hospital visits for dementia, stroke, Parkinson’s disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, fracture, rheumatoid arthritis, kidney disease, diabetes and osteoporosis. Factors negatively associated with LTC certification included the presence of a spouse, regular hospital visits for hypertension and consulting with friends or acquaintances about worries and stress.

Conclusions

In summary, we identified the physical, psychological and social factors associated with LTC certification using nationally representative data. Our findings highlight the importance of the establishment of multidimensional approaches for LTC prevention in older adults.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12877-021-02308-5.

Association between single limb standing test results and healthcare costs among community-dwelling older adults

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Identifying risks for older adults who will require healthcare resources is critical for the government, healthcare providers, and consumers. The objective of this study was to examine the relationship between the results of the single limb standing (SLS) test and healthcare costs among community-dwelling older adults.

METHODS

We used data obtained from a population-based prospective cohort study of the residents of Tadami town in Fukushima Prefecture, Japan. The participants were above 60 years of age and had undergone annual health check-ups, and data on their healthcare costs over the two-year study period were available. A censored regression model adjusted for potential confounders was used to estimate the mean difference in total healthcare costs between participants who could remain standing on a single limb for at least 30 s and those who could not.

RESULTS

Healthcare costs of participants who passed the SLS test were significantly lower than those who did not. The mean difference between the two groups' healthcare costs was 4064 USD (95 % confidence interval: 2661-5467 USD, p < 0.05). After adjusting for potential confounders, the mean difference between the two groups was smaller (1686 USD) but remained statistically significant (95 % confidence interval: 125-3246 USD, p < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Among community-dwelling older adults, limited static balance (SLS time <30 s) was found to be associated with high healthcare costs in the two years after the SLS test. The SLS test may help identify individuals at high risk of becoming frequent users of healthcare services in the future.

Predicting falls from behavioral and psychological symptoms of dementia in older people residing in facilities

AIM

The aim of the present study was to examine whether behavioral and psychological symptoms of dementia at the time of admission could be a predictor of falls in older people with dementia residing in geriatric health service facilities.

METHODS

Three geriatric health services facilities located in Fukushima Prefecture, Japan, were the targeted facilities. Of the 305 people admitted between May 2013 and November 2014, 242 (74 men, 168 women) who scored ≤20 points on the Hasegawa Dementia Scale-Revised were targeted for analysis. A total of 15 items from the Long-term Care Certification Questionnaire Group 4 were used to assess behavioral and psychological symptoms of dementia, and were compared by the presence or absence of falls.

RESULTS

Of the 242 participants, 153 were non-fallers and 89 were fallers. After adjusting for sex, age, Revised Hasegawa Dementia Scale-Revised, degree of care (which showed a significant relationship with falls in univariate analysis), activities of daily living and history of falls, the influence of behavioral and psychological symptoms of dementia on falls was examined, and showed a significant association with falls and a significant increase of hazard ratio for the behavioral symptoms "wandering" 2.23 (95% confidence interval 1.35-3.68) and "agitation" 1.94 (95% confidence interval 1.24-3.04).

CONCLUSIONS

Because the risk of falling is high for residents who at the time of admission have the behavioral and psychological symptoms of dementia of "wandering" and "agitation," it is necessary to predict the possibility of falling at an early stage, monitor the residents and adjust the environment. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2018; 18: 1573-1577.

Comorbidity of chronic kidney disease, diabetes and lower glycated hemoglobin predicts support/care-need certification in community-dwelling older adults

AIM

Chronic kidney disease (CKD), diabetes and lower glycated hemoglobin (HbA_1c ) range in diabetes patients are associated with higher mortality. We investigated whether these conditions were associated with the risk of loss of independence in community-dwelling older adults.

METHODS

We analyzed 1078 older adults with no history of support/care-need certification in Long-Term Care Insurance aged 65-94 years. Associations of baseline CKD, diabetes, and lower HbA_1c range of <6.0% in the diabetes patients, at baseline health checkup with risk of later certification and/or death for 5 years were estimated using the Cox proportional hazards regression model.

RESULTS

The prevalence of both CKD and diabetes in the total population increased with age, due to a net increase in the coexistence of CKD and diabetes. The prevalence of the lower HbA_1c range also increased with age in participants with the coexistence. During 5 years, 135 certifications and 53 deaths occurred. After adjustment, patients with comorbidity of the triad of CKD, diabetes and the lower HbA_1c range had significantly higher hazard ratios (HR) for certification (HR 3.52, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.91-6.48, P < 0.001) and for death (HR 3.79, 95% CI 1.46-9.85, P = 0.006) compared with those without CKD and diabetes. The harmful impact of the lower HbA_1c range on later certification compared with higher HbA_1c range of ≥6.0% was maintained in diabetes patients with use of antidiabetic agents and CKD (HR 2.40, 95% CI 1.06-6.45, P = 0.036).

CONCLUSIONS

Excessive HbA_1c reduction might cause discontinuance of disability-free survival in community-dwelling older diabetes patients with CKD. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2018; 18: 521-529.

Multidimensional factors associated with the loss of independence: A population-based longitudinal study

AIM

To clarify the factors associated with loss of independence multidimensionally over a 3-year period among community-dwelling older adults.

METHODS

The survey was exclusively carried out by the local government for people aged >65 years who were independent at baseline living in H-City, a mid-sized urban city in Japan. The participants completed a self-administered postal questionnaire, and we obtained data regarding their loss of independence from administrative records 3 years later.

RESULTS

A total of 22 328 participants completed the follow up (baseline mean age 71.6 years). At follow up, 998 (4.3%) participants were categorized as dependent, with 606 requiring partial support in toileting, bathing and so on (mild loss of independence), and 392 requiring complete support (severe loss). Factors independently associated with mild loss of independence after 3 years for both men and women were advanced age, low physical function, low nutritional status, low cognitive function and high depression risk. In contrast, factors independently associated with severe loss of independence were advanced age, low physical function and high depression risk in men, and advanced age, and low physical and cognitive function in women.

CONCLUSIONS

We clarified the variety of factors associated with loss of independence according to its severity, and the strength of those independent associations was different in the whole city longitudinal study. The present study's findings have important clinical implications for the development of better preventive medicine to establish a society of healthy longevity. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2018; 18: 448-455.

Gait Speed rather than Dynapenia Is a Simple Indicator for Complex Care Needs: A Cross-sectional Study Using Minimum Data Set

The impact of dynapenia on the complexity of care for residents of long-term care facilities (LTCF) remains unclear. The present study evaluated associations between dynapenia, care problems and care complexity in 504 residents of Veterans Care Homes (VCHs) in Taiwan. Subjects with dynapenia, defined as low muscle strength (handgrip strength <26 kg), were older adults with lower body mass index (BMI), slow gait speed, and higher numbers of Resident Assessment Protocol (RAP) triggers. After adjusting for age, education, BMI, and Charlson’s comorbidity index (CCI), only age, education, BMI and gait speed were independently associated with higher numbers of RAP triggers, but not dynapenia or handgrip strength (kg). Dividing subjects into groups based on quartiles of gait speed, those with gait speed ≤0.803 m/s were significantly associated with higher complexity of care needs (defined as ≥4 RAP triggers) compared to the reference group (gait speed >1 m/s). Significantly slow gait speed was associated with RAP triggers, including cognitive loss, poor communication ability, rehabilitation needs, urinary incontinence, depressed mood, falls, pressure ulcers, and use of psychotropic drugs. In conclusion, slow gait speed rather than dynapenia is a simple indicator for higher complexity of care needs of older male LTCF residents.

The State of Health in Older Adults in Japan: Trends in Disability, Chronic Medical Conditions and Mortality

Both life expectancy and healthy life expectancy in Japan have been increasing and are among the highest in the world, but the gap between them has also been widening. To examine the recent trends in old age disability, chronic medical conditions and mortality in Japan, we retrospectively analyzed three nationally representative datasets: Comprehensive Survey of Living Conditions (2001–2013), Patient Survey (1996–2011) and Vital Statistics (1995–2010). We obtained the sex- and age-stratified trends in disability rate, treatment rates of nine selected chronic medical conditions (cerebrovascular diseases, joint disorders, fractures, osteoporosis, ischemic heart disease, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, pneumonia and malignant neoplasms), total mortality rate and mortality rates from specific causes (cerebrovascular diseases, heart diseases, pneumonia and malignant neoplasms) in both sexes in four age strata (65–69, 70–74, 75–79, 80–84 years). Disability rates declined significantly in both sexes. Treatment rates of all selected medical conditions also decreased significantly, except for fractures in women and pneumonia. Both total mortality rate and cause-specific mortality rates decreased in both sexes. We concluded that the recent decline in disability rates, treatment rates of chronic medical conditions and mortality rates points toward overall improvement in health conditions in adults over the age of 65 years in Japan. Nonetheless, considering the increase in the number of older adults, the absolute number of older adults with disability or chronic medical conditions will continue to increase and challenge medical and long-term care systems.

Age and sex differences of risk factors of activity limitations in Japanese older adults

AIM

The objective of the present study was to verify how socioeconomic and physical/mental health status would be associated with activity limitations by age and sex among older adults, using nationally representative cross-sectional data in Japan.

METHODS

The present study focused on 8373 older adults aged 65 years or older extracted from the Comprehensive Survey of Living Conditions conducted in 2007 by the Japanese Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare. Univariate and multiple logistic regression analyses and population-attributable risk were applied to validate the relationships of socioeconomic and physical/mental health status with activity limitations among the total population, and by age groups (young-old or old-old) and sex.

RESULTS

Mental health showed the highest odds ratio and population-attributable risk in the total population. In addition, low back pain was associated with activity limitations regardless of age and sex. Other musculoskeletal diseases, such as arthropathy and osteoporosis, were related to activity limitations for women, regardless of age, whereas cardiovascular diseases, including angina pectoris/myocardial infarction and cerebral stroke, were associated with activity limitations for men in any age group. There were no statistically significant correlations between socioeconomic status and activity limitations in any groups.

CONCLUSION

Mental health was the most important factor of activity limitations in Japanese older adults. Furthermore, low back pain regardless of age and sex, other musculoskeletal diseases only for women and cardiovascular diseases mainly for men could also be significant risk factors to activity limitations. Therefore, preventive approaches of activity limitations considering sex differences are important for older adults in Japan. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2015; ●●: ●●-●●.