Rising incidence and impact of early-onset colorectal cancer in the Asia-Pacific with higher mortality in females from Southeast Asia: a global burden analysis from 2010 to 2019

Early-onset pancreatic cancer and associated metabolic risk factors in the Middle East and North Africa: A 20-year analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Early-onset pancreatic cancer (EOPC) is associated with poor prognosis and high disease burden. Metabolic risk factors such as diabetes and obesity are considered risk factors of EOPC. Recently, there has been an increasing number of EOPCs worldwide. However, the analysis of EOPC, including its metabolic risk factors, in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region has not been fully addressed.

METHODS

Data from the Global Burden of Disease Study between 2000 and 2019 was used to analyze the prevalence, incidence, deaths and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) associated with EOPC and its metabolic risk factors. The analysis further categorized the data based on countries, income status and sex and examined the annual percentage change (APC).

RESULTS

Approximately 2800 cases, 2400 deaths and 114,000 DALYs were attributable to EOPC in the MENA region. The incidence (APC + 3.42%), death (APC + 0.73%) and DALYs (APC + 3.23%) rates of EOPC increased. In addition, the death and DALY rates of EOPC attributable to obesity and diabetes increased. High and upper-middle-income countries exhibited a higher burden of EOPC than lower-income countries.

CONCLUSION

Over the past two decades, the burden of EOPC and its associated metabolic risk factors has increased. There is an urgent need for region-wide policy development, including screening methods and risk factor reduction, to mitigate the high and rising burden of EOPC in the MENA region.

Performance of the Asia-Pacific Colorectal Screening score in stratifying the risk of advanced colorectal neoplasia: A meta-analysis and systematic review

BACKGROUND AND AIM

This study systematically reviewed and meta-analyzed the performance of the Asia-Pacific Colorectal Screening (APCS) score and its incorporation with the fecal immunochemical test (FIT) in stratifying the risk of advanced colorectal neoplasia (ACN).

METHODS

We systematically searched for relevant articles in 12 electronic databases and registers on October 20, 2021, and updated the search to September 1, 2023. Random-effect models were used to obtain the pooled performance statistics of the APCS score for ACN risk.

RESULTS

From the 101 records screened, 13 eligible studies in the Asia-Pacific region involving 69 762 subjects who had undergone colonoscopy were enrolled. The pooled prevalences of ACN in the average-risk (AR) tier (APCS 0-1), moderate-risk (MR) tier (APCS 2-3), and high-risk (HR) tier (APCS ≥ 4) groups were 0.9%, 3.1%, and 8.1%, respectively. Compared with the combined AR-MR group, the HR group was significantly associated with a higher ACN risk (pooled diagnostic odds ratio: 2.84, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.35-3.45, P < 0.001). The APCS score showed a sensitivity of 0.42 (95% CI: 0.40-0.44) and a specificity of 0.86 (95% CI: 0.85-0.86) for predicting the ACN risk, with a weighted area under the curve of 0.642 (95% CI: 0.610-0.657). The combination of the APCS score and FIT substantially improved ACN risk identification, demonstrating pooled diagnostic odds ratios of 4.02 (95% CI: 2.50-6.49) in the AR-MR groups and 5.44 (95% CI: 1.89-15.63) in the MR-HR groups.

CONCLUSIONS

The APCS score could effectively stratify the ACN risk in the Asia-Pacific population. Incorporating FIT further improves its performance in identifying high-risk subjects who should be prioritized for colonoscopy screenings.

Global epidemiology of early-onset upper gastrointestinal cancer: trend from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

BACKGROUND AND AIM

In recent years, there has been a growing incidence of gastrointestinal cancer in young individuals. Despite its significant morbidity and mortality, research on upper gastrointestinal (UGI) cancer in young populations has been relatively limited. Therefore, studies on the epidemiological changes of this cancer are needed.

METHODS

Using data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019, we examined the incidence, death, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) from UGI cancers in the young, namely, early-onset esophageal cancer (EOEC) and early-onset gastric cancer (EOGC). These results were stratified by sex, geographical region, country, and sociodemographic index.

RESULTS

There was a total of 185 140 cases, 120 289 deaths, and 5.70 million DALYs attributable to early-onset UGI cancers globally. From 2010 to 2019, the global incidence, death, and DALYs rates of early-onset UGI cancers decreased. In contrast, the incidence rates increased in both EOEC (+1.15%) and EOGC (+0.21%) in the Eastern Mediterranean region.

CONCLUSIONS

Over the past decade, the burden of UGI cancer in the young has decreased. However, it has increased in the Eastern Mediterranean region. Further research to elucidate the attributable risk factors in this population is warranted.

Incidence of liver cancer in young adults according to the Global Burden of Disease database 2019

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The worldwide burden of cancer is increasing in younger populations. However, the epidemiology of primary liver cancer remains understudied in young adults compared to other cancer forms.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

This study analyzed data from the Global Burden of Disease study between 2010 and 2019 to assess the age-standardized incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years associated with primary liver cancer in the young (15-49 y), stratified by region, nation, sociodemographic index, and sex. The study found a global estimate of 78,299 primary liver cancer cases, 60,602 deaths, and 2.90 million disability-adjusted life years in the young population. The Western Pacific region exhibited the highest burden in 2019, showing the most significant increase compared to other regions between 2010 and 2019. More than half of the countries worldwide have undergone an increase in primary liver cancer incidence rates in young adults. Around 12.51% of deaths due to primary liver cancer occur in young individuals. Throughout the study period, there was a significant decline in primary liver cancer mortality due to most etiologies, except for metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease-attributable primary liver cancer (annual percentage change + 0.87%, 95% CI: 0.70%-1.05%) and alcohol-attributable primary liver cancer (annual percentage change + 0.21%, 95% CI: 0.01%-0.42%). The limitations of the Global Burden of Disease database include reliance on the quality of primary data and possible underestimation of alcohol consumption.

CONCLUSIONS

Over the past decade, there has been a marked increase in the burden of primary liver cancer, especially that originating from steatotic liver disease. This trend calls for the development of urgent and comprehensive strategies to mitigate this rising burden globally.

The Global Burden of Early-Onset Biliary Tract Cancer: Insight From the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

Backgrounds/objectives

The escalating incidence of early-onset gastrointestinal cancers is becoming a primary global health concern. Biliary tract cancer (BTC) has been relatively understudied in this regard. We conducted an epidemiological study regarding the burden of this condition.

Methods

We utilized data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 to investigate the temporal trends in early-onset BTC (EOBTC), encompassing the estimation of frequencies and age-standardized rates (ASRs) of EOBTC incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), from 2010 to 2019.

Results

EOBTC constituted nearly 7%of all BTC cases worldwide. The incidence rates of EOBTC decreased significantly in most regions, except in the Eastern Mediterranean (annual percentage change +1.04 %), where the incidence is rising. Stratified by the sociodemographic index (SDI), countries with low middle SDI (annual percentage change +0.5 %) show increasing incidence of EOBTC. The ASR of death and DALYs decreased in most regions. The ASR of EOBTC-related death and disability attributable to high body mass index increased in most regions, with the highest increase in Southeast Asia and low, middle SDI strata.

Conclusions

There was a reduction in the burden of EOBTC globally, except for Eastern Mediterranean countries and low-middle SDI countries.

The Global Burden of Alcohol-associated Cirrhosis and Cancer in Young and Middle-aged Adults

Alcohol is a substance that impacts premature mortality and morbidity.1 The liver is invariably subjected to the impact of alcohol, which can result in cirrhosis and cancer. Alcohol also has detrimental effects that extend beyond the liver. While traditionally associated with advanced age, emerging data reported a rising burden of cancers and alcohol-associated liver disease in the young.1-3 Thus, the primary objective was to evaluate the trend of alcohol-associated cirrhosis and cancer in young and middle-aged adults (aged 15-49) utilizing the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2019.4 We chose the age group less than 50 years old based on the definition of early-onset cancer and the inherent selection of the age group in the GBD database.4-6 The detailed methods are provided in the Supplementary Appendix. Briefly, data were sourced from population-based cancer registries, vital registration systems, or verbal autopsy studies. Verbal autopsy is a well-established approach for monitoring health, providing valuable information on mortality patterns and the reasons behind deaths in areas lacking robust medical death certification processes. The researchers employed the Cause of Death Ensemble model to estimate the burden linked to cancer and cirrhosis associated with alcohol use.

The Impact of the Gut Microbiome, Environment, and Diet in Early-Onset Colorectal Cancer Development

Traditionally considered a disease common in the older population, colorectal cancer is increasing in incidence among younger demographics. Evidence suggests that populational- and generational-level shifts in the composition of the human gut microbiome may be tied to the recent trends in gastrointestinal carcinogenesis. This review provides an overview of current research and putative mechanisms behind the rising incidence of colorectal cancer in the younger population, with insight into future interventions that may prevent or reverse the rate of early-onset colorectal carcinoma.

Mortality-to-incidence ratio of early-onset colorectal cancer in high-income Asian and Middle Eastern countries: A systemic analysis of the Global Burden of Diseases Study 2019

BACKGROUND

The incidence of early-onset colorectal cancer (EO-CRC) has been consistently rising leading to a significant cancer burden among younger adults in Asian and Middle Eastern high-income countries. The study aims to investigate the survival outcomes of EO-CRC among high-income Asian and Middle Eastern populations from 1990 to 2019 using the mortality-to-incidence ratio, with a focus on examining the differences in gender.

METHODS

This is a systematic analysis of the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019 study. We include individuals aged 15 to 49 years old in high-income Asian and the Middle Eastern countries. The colorectal cancer mortality-to-incidence ratio (MIR) was calculated for both genders by dividing the age-specific mortality rate per 100,000 for colorectal cancer by the age-specific incidence rate per 100,000 for each nation in the sample for a given year.

RESULTS

An overall decline in male and female MIR was observed from 1990 to 2019 in Asian and Middle Eastern countries. Ten out of thirteen Asian and Middle Eastern countries had a higher female MIR compared to their male counterparts. The global male MIR was found to be significantly higher than that of female (p-value 0.008, coefficient estimate: 1.51). In Middle Eastern countries, Saudi Arabia had a significantly higher female MIR compared to their male counterparts (p < 0.0001, coefficient estimate: 12.65).

CONCLUSION

This research addresses the knowledge gap concerning gender-based differences in EO-CRC survival outcomes in high-income Asian and Middle Eastern countries, providing insights into the factors influencing these disparities in these regions. Policymakers should focus on developing targeted prevention and treatment programs for women, and addressing cultural and social barriers that may prevent women from seeking timely medical care.