Feasibility of reaching world health organization targets for hepatitis C and the cost-effectiveness of alternative strategies

High real-world effectiveness of 12-week elbasvir/grazoprevir without resistance testing in the treatment of patients with HCV genotype 1a infection in Norway

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The recommended treatment duration of hepatitis C virus (HCV) genotype 1a (GT1a) infection with elbasvir/grazoprevir (EBR/GZR) in the presence of a high baseline viral load and resistance associated substitutions (RAS) is 16 weeks with ribavirin added. The objective of this study was to evaluate the real-world effectiveness of 12 weeks of EBR/GZR without ribavirin and regardless of baseline viral load and RAS testing.

METHOD

This retrospective, observational cohort study was performed at five Norwegian hospitals that did not systematically utilize RAS testing. All adult patients with chronic HCV GT1a and compensated liver disease who had received 12 weeks of EBR/GZR without ribavirin and baseline RAS testing, were included. The primary endpoint was sustained virologic response at week 12 (SVR12), or if not available, at week 4 (SVR4).

RESULTS

We included 433 patients and attained SVR data on 388. The mean age was 45.7 years (22-73 years). 67.2% were male. HIV co-infection was present in 3.8% (16/424) and cirrhosis in 4% (17/424). The viral load was >800 000 IU/mL in 55.0% (235/427) of patients. Overall SVR was achieved in 97.2% (377/388). SVR was achieved in 98.3% (169/172) of those with viral load ≤800 000 IU/mL and in 96.2% (202/210) of those with viral load >800 000 IU/mL.

CONCLUSION

We observed high SVR rates among patients with HCV GT1a infection treated with EBR/GZR for 12 weeks without ribavirin, with no regard to baseline viral load and no RAS testing.

A Systematic Review of Simulation Models to Track and Address the Opioid Crisis

The opioid overdose crisis is driven by an intersecting set of social, structural, and economic forces. Simulation models offer a tool to help us understand and address this complex, dynamic, and nonlinear social phenomenon. We conducted a systematic review of the literature on simulation models of opioid use and overdose up to September 2019. We extracted modeling types, target populations, interventions, and findings. Further, we created a database of model parameters used for model calibration, and evaluated study transparency and reproducibility. Of the 1,398 articles screened, we identified 88 eligible articles. The most frequent types of models were compartmental (36%), Markov (20%), system dynamics (16%), and Agent-Based models (16%). Over a third evaluated intervention cost-effectiveness (40%), and another third (39%) focused on treatment and harm reduction services for people with opioid use disorder (OUD). More than half (61%) discussed calibrating their models to empirical data, and 31% discussed validation approaches used in their modeling process. From the 63 studies that provided model parameters, we extracted the data sources on opioid use, OUD, OUD treatment, cessation/relapse, emergency medical services, and mortality parameters. This database offers a tool that future modelers can use to identify potential model inputs and evaluate comparability of their models to prior work. Future applications of simulation models to this field should actively tackle key methodological challenges, including the potential for bias in the choice of parameter inputs, investment in model calibration and validation, and transparency in the assumptions and mechanics of simulation models to facilitate reproducibility.

Prescribing direct-acting antivirals to treat hepatitis C virus in a general practice setting in Australia: 'so why not do it'?

BACKGROUND

The recent implementation of a scheme to provide universal access to direct-acting antiviral (DAA) medication to treat hepatitis C virus (HCV) places Australia in a unique position to reach global HCV elimination goals. To achieve this, increasing the uptake and success of DAA treatment in general practice settings is essential.

AIMS

To explore current enablers and residual barriers to HCV treatment in general practice settings in the post-interferon era from both general practitioner (GP) and patient perspectives.

METHODS

Semi-structured interviews with 11 GP and 27 patients were conducted to draw out both challenges and facilitators particularly relevant to DAA uptake and treatment journeys.

RESULTS

Key enablers for successful treatment identified by this study included peer-led GP support and skill development, utilisation of electronic reminder systems, trusting relationships with patients and engaging with patients' social and family networks. Barriers related to accessible testing facilities and knowledge and confidence with DAA treatment continue to limit GP-led treatment.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite a universal access scheme, barriers to DAA prescription in general practice settings remain. These include access to fibrosis testing and GP confidence in DAA prescription. Strengthening peer-led GP skill development and utilisation of electronic reminder systems may help GP prioritise HCV treatment. Access to fibrosis testing and pathology services with no out-of-pocket costs to patients, particularly in outer-metropolitan areas, should be urgently addressed.

HIPPOCRATES® project: A proof of concept of a collaborative program for hepatitis C virus micro-elimination in a prison setting

BACKGROUND

In the last few years we have witnessed a revolution in the treatment of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. With the introduction of direct-acting antiviral agents (DAAs), sustained virological response (SVR) is achieved in more than 95% of the patients. The focus is now being turned to the global targets set by the World Health Organization, with the aim of achieving HCV elimination by 2030. Prison inmates constitute one of the high-risk groups, and receive treatment less frequently due to several barriers in access to health care.

AIM

To describe the management and follow-up of a cohort of HCV monoinfected patients treated with DAA in the prison setting, where tertial referral liver center specialists locally provide, on-site assessment and treatment for the prisoners.

METHODS

A prospective observational study was conducted from April 2017 to March 2020, which included all HCV monoinfected prison inmates in the largest Northern Portugal prison. Demographic, clinical, and laboratory data, as well as transient elastography measurements, were collected onsite by the medical team and prospectively recorded. Patients were treated with DAA according to international guidelines. The primary endpoint was SVR at post-treatment week 12.

RESULTS

There were 98 monoinfected HCV male inmates (mean age, 42.7 ± 8.6 years) included in the analysis. Injecting drugs or tattooing were reported in 74.5%, with 38.8% of the latter being done in prison. Alcohol consumption of more than 30 g/d was referred in 69.4%. The most prevalent genotype was 1a (54.1%), followed by 3 (27.6%), 4 (9.2%) and 1b (6.1%). Pretreatment fibrosis degree was mild-to-moderate (F0-F2) in 77.6% and severe in 22.4% (F3-F4). Treatment regimens chosen were: 45.9% elbasvir/grazoprevir, 29.6% sofosbuvir/velpatasvir, and 12.2% sofosbuvir/ledispavir and glecaprevir/pibrentasvir. No major adverse events were observed. SVR at post-treatment week 12 was 99%.

CONCLUSION

In a population considered to be both hard-to-access and a cornerstone for HCV elimination, the onsite evaluation and treatment of HCV-infected prisoners, achieved an exceptional highly effective success rate. This type of collaborative program should be considered to be expanded, to support hepatitis C elimination efforts.

Streamlining the screening cascade for active Hepatitis C in Russia: A cost-effectiveness analysis

OBJECTIVE

Screening for hepatitis C in Russia is a complex process that involves several visits and stepwise testing, limiting adherence and substantially reducing the yield in the identification of active infections. We aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of different screening algorithms from a health system perspective.

METHODS

A decision analytic model was applied to a hypothetical adult population eligible to participate in a general screening program for hepatitis C in Russia. The standard pathway (I: Screen for anti-HCV antibodies followed by a nucleic acid test for HCV RNA on antibody positives) was compared to three alternatives (II: Screen for antibodies, a reflexed test for HCV antigen on antibody positives, and RNA on antigen negatives; III: Screen for antibodies, a reflexed test for HCV antigen on antibody positives; IV: Screen for antigen). Each strategy considered a cascade of events (referral, adherence, testing, diagnosis) that must occur for screening to be effective. The primary measure of effectiveness was the number of diagnosed active infections. Calculations followed a health system perspective with costs derived from 2017 reimbursement rates and a willingness-to-pay of 2,000RUB ($82) per diagnosed active infection. Model was tested with deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses.

RESULTS

Non-adherence to screening stages reduced the capture rate of active infections in Strategy I from 79.0% to 40.6%. Strategies II, III, and IV were less affected and identified 69%, 67%, and 104% more infections. Average costs per diagnosed infection were decreased by 41% from 89,599RUB ($3,681) for I to 53,072RUB ($2,180), 53,004RUB ($2,177), and 59,633RUB ($2,450) for II, III, and IV, respectively. With a probability of 97%, Strategy III was most cost-effective with an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio vs. I of -1,373RUB (CI: -5,011RUB to -2,033RUB; $-56; CI: -$206 to -$84). Below a willingness-to-pay of 91,000RUB ($3,738), Strategy IV was not cost-effective. Sensitivity analyses confirmed the robustness of results.

CONCLUSIONS

Testing strategies for hepatitis C with HCV antigen on HCV antibody positive cases offer a streamlining opportunity for population screening programs. Those shall increase the chances for detecting active infections and are cost-effective over current practice in Russia.

High rates of early HCV reinfection after DAA treatment in people with recent drug use attended at mobile harm reduction units

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The World Health Organization recently called for the elimination of hepatitis C virus (HCV) and has identified people who inject drugs (PWID) as a key target population. Clinical trials analyzing currently available all-oral regimens have demonstrated a high degree of efficacy in this population, with a relatively low reinfection rate. There is an urgent need to confirm these data in a harm reduction and active consumption setting. The primary aim of this study was to evaluate the HCV reinfection rate in people with recent drug use followed at low-threshold mobile harm reduction units.

METHOD

We included people with recent drug use (smoked or injected heroin/cocaine in the previous 6 months) who received HCV treatment and were attended at two low-threshold mobile harm reduction units over 19 months. Sustained virologic response was assessed 12 weeks after therapy (SVR12). The incidence density of HCV reinfection was defined as the number of reinfections per 100-person years (PY) using person-time of observation and was stratified by drug consumption at initiation of HCV treatment. Cox proportional hazard regression analysis was used to assess factors associated with reinfection.

RESULTS

During the study period, 160 people who used drugs in the past 6 months completed HCV therapy. 122 (73.9%) and 88 (53.3%) reported injecting drug use in the 6 months and 30 days prior to HCV treatment, respectively. The overall SVR12 was 68% in the ITT analysis (reinfection = failure) and 90.7% in the modified intent-to-treat analysis (considering reinfections as response and removing people who were missing SVR data). The cohort at-risk for reinfection (n = 121) included 47 (39.2%) people who initiated HCV treatment with recently reported abstinence. Reinfection was identified in 10 persons (8.3%), and the median time to reinfection was 7.2 (IQR 4.2-18) months. Total follow-up time at-risk was 101.1-PY (median 0.6 years, IQR 0.3-1.3). The overall incidence of reinfection was 9.8 per 100-PY (95% CI 4.7,18.2). The incidence of reinfection was higher amongst those who had injected drugs in the previous 6 months (16.7 [95%CI 8.0; 30.7] per 100-PY) and in the previous 30 days (18.9 [95% CI 8.1; 37.2] per 100-PY). In the adjusted analysis, only injecting drugs use in the month prior to initiation of HCV therapy was associated with reinfection (aHR 8.7, 95%CI 1.0; 73.6; p 0.04).

CONCLUSION

High efficacy of HCV treatment, was found in people with recent drug use attended and followed at low-threshold mobile harm reduction units. The high rate of early HCV reinfections in this setting should promote surveillance for reinfection at 7-month intervals after ending the treatment or earlier.

Systematic review: economic evaluations of HCV screening in the direct-acting antivirals era

BACKGROUND

The World Health Organization estimated that 90% of the infected people need to be diagnosed and 80% need to be treated to reach the aim of hepatitis C virus (HCV) elimination by 2030. For this reason, all possible strategies to detect and treat HCV-infected people need to be carefully evaluated to implement the best one.

AIM

To review and synthesise the economic evaluations of HCV screening programs conducted in the era of direct-acting antiviral agents regimens.

METHODS

A systematic literature review was conducted until April 2018 to provide information on the costs and effectiveness of HCV screenings in direct-acting antiviral agents era. A critical assessment of the quality of economic evaluations retrieved was conducted.

RESULTS

The literature search identified 716 references; 17 of them assessed cost and effectiveness of screening programs and antiviral treatments in different populations: general population (n = 7), drug users (n = 5), high-risk populations (n = 4) and other populations (n = 3). The HCV screening and direct-acting antiviral agents treatment appear to be good value for money, both in general and high-risk populations, if a cost per quality adjusted life years of $50 000 is set as willingness to pay threshold. Some studies showed the value of including lower stage of fibrosis in the treatment selection criteria.

CONCLUSIONS

Several HCV screening strategies plus direct-acting antiviral agents treatments resulted cost-effectiveness in different populations. However, there is still need of country and population-specific evaluations within the different HCV screening and treatment strategies available, in order to assess their cost-effectiveness and sustainability and fully support an evidence-informed policy for HCV elimination.