A new ALBI-based model to predict survival after transarterial chemoembolization for BCLC stage B hepatocellular carcinoma

The utility of albumin-bilirubin score in patients with intrahepatic cholestasis of pregnancy: a retrospective comparative study

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to examine the utility of the albumin-bilirubin score in cases of intrahepatic cholestasis of pregnancy.

METHODS

A total of 413 patients (182 intrahepatic cholestasis of pregnancy, 50 suspected intrahepatic cholestasis of pregnancy, 181 healthy controls) enrolled in this study. Patients with typical pruritus and bile acid levels >10 μmol/L are defined as the intrahepatic cholestasis of pregnancy group. Patients with pruritus have the same pattern as intrahepatic cholestasis of pregnancy, but who are ultimately diagnosed with other dermatoses of pregnancy are defined as suspected intrahepatic cholestasis of pregnancy. Demographic data, laboratory parameters, and albumin-bilirubin scores were compared between three groups. Correlation analysis was performed on the albumin-bilirubin score and bile acid levels. Also, receiver operating curve analyses were performed to evaluate the predictive performance of the albumin-bilirubin score for intrahepatic cholestasis of pregnancy diagnosis.

RESULTS

The albumin-bilirubin score of the intrahepatic cholestasis of pregnancy group was significantly higher than the other groups. A positive, weak correlation was found between the albumin-bilirubin score and bile acid levels in the intrahepatic cholestasis of pregnancy group. The receiver operating curve curve analyses showed albumin-bilirubin score has significant performance for the prediction of intrahepatic cholestasis of pregnancy in all subjects (area under the curve: 0.726, 95%CI 0.679-0.774, p<0.001) (sensitivity: 69%, specificity: 64%). The detection rate for albumin-bilirubin score was calculated as 67.3%. The positive predictive value was 3.95% (CI 2.9-5.3%), and the negative predictive value was 98.9% (CI 98.6-99.2%).

CONCLUSION

This study indicated higher albumin-bilirubin score levels in the intrahepatic cholestasis of pregnancy group and a positive relationship between serum bile acid levels and albumin-bilirubin score. Therefore, albumin-bilirubin score could be a cost-effective liver function test for pregnant women with intrahepatic cholestasis of pregnancy.

Tumor Growth Pattern and Intra- and Peritumoral Radiomics Combined for Prediction of Initial TACE Outcome in Patients with Primary Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Purpose

Non-invasive methods are urgently needed to assess the efficacy of transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) and to identify patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) who may benefit from this procedure. This study, therefore, aimed to investigate the predictive ability of tumor growth patterns and radiomics features from contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (CE-MRI) in predicting tumor response to TACE among patients with HCC.

Patients and Methods

A retrospective study was conducted on 133 patients with HCC who underwent TACE at three centers between January 2015 and April 2023. Enrolled patients were divided into training, testing, and validation cohorts. Rim arterial phase hyperenhancement (Rim APHE), tumor growth patterns, nonperipheral washout, markedly low apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) value, intratumoral arteries, and clinical baseline features were documented for all patients. Radiomics features were extracted from the intratumoral and peritumoral regions across the three phases of CE-MRI. Seven prediction models were developed, and their performances were evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) and decision curve analysis (DCA).

Results

Tumor growth patterns and albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score were significantly correlated with tumor response. Tumor growth patterns also showed a positive correlation with tumor burden (r = 0.634, P = 0.000). The Peritumor (AUC = 0.85, 0.71, and 0.77), Clinics_Peritumor (AUC = 0.86, 0.77, and 0.81), and Tumor_Peritumor (AUC = 0.87, 0.77, and 0.80) models significantly outperformed the Clinics and Tumor models (P < 0.05), while the Clinics_Tumor_Peritumor model (AUC = 0.88, 0.81, and 0.81) outperformed the Clinics (AUC = 0.67, 0.77, and 0.75), Tumor (AUC = 0.78, 0.72, and 0.68), and Clinics_Tumor (AUC = 0.82, 0.83, and 0.78) models (P < 0.05 or 0.053, respectively). The DCA curve demonstrated better predictive performance within a specific threshold probability range for Clinics_Tumor_Peritumor.

Conclusion

Combining tumor growth patterns, intra- and peri-tumoral radiomics features, and ALBI score could be a robust tool for non-invasive and personalized prediction of treatment response to TACE in patients with HCC.

Impact of HCV eradication on recurrence pattern and long-term outcomes in patients with HCV-related hepatocellular carcinoma undergoing radiofrequency ablation

BACKGROUND

The benefits of HCV eradication on distinct recurrence patterns and long-term hepatic outcomes in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) undergoing radiofrequency ablation (RFA) remain uncertain. This study aims to assess the impact of HCV eradication on HCC recurrence patterns and long-term hepatic outcomes after RFA and to identify predictors of recurrence in patients achieving sustained virological response (SVR).

METHODS

We retrospectively enrolled 274 patients receiving RFA for HCV-related HCC, including 73 and 88 patients treated with interferon-based (IFN) and direct-acting antivirals (DAA) therapy, respectively. We analysed factors associated with local tumour progression (LTP), distant recurrence, overall survival, and hepatic decompensation.

RESULTS

SVR was achieved in 49.3% of patients undergoing IFN therapy and 93.2% of patients undergoing DAA therapy. HCV eradication was not associated with LTP but significantly correlated with reduced risk of distant recurrence (by DAA: hazard ratio (HR) = 0.449, p = 0.006), overall survival (by IFN: HR = 0.242, p < 0.001; by DAA: HR = 0.274, p < 0.001) and hepatic decompensation (by IFN: HR = 0.313, p = 0.004; by DAA: HR = 0.281, p < 0.001). The benefits of achieving SVR in terms of overall survival and hepatic decompensation remained significant in subgroups of patients with and without recurrence. Patients with SVR showed a significant decline in FIB-4 score and a higher proportion of ALBI grade improvement. Among SVR patients, the IMbrave050 criteria predicted LTP but not distant recurrence, whereas the FIB-4 score after SVR, rather than the baseline FIB-4, predicted distant recurrence.

CONCLUSIONS

HCV eradication was associated with a significant reduction in distant recurrence, mortality and hepatic decompensation following RFA in patients with HCV-related HCC.

Current research status of transarterial therapies for hepatocellular carcinoma

With continuous advancements in interventional radiology, considerable progress has been made in transarterial therapies for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in recent years, and an increasing number of research papers on transarterial therapies for HCC have been published. In this editorial, we comment on the article by Ma et al published in the recent issue of the World Journal of Gastro intestinal Oncology: "Efficacy and predictive factors of transarterial chemoembolization combined with lenvatinib plus programmed cell death protein-1 inhibition for unresectable HCC". We focus specifically on the current research status and future directions of transarterial therapies. In the future, more studies are needed to determine the optimal transarterial local treatment for HCC. With the emergence of checkpoint immunotherapy modalities, it is expected that the results of trials of transarterial local therapy combined with systemic therapy will bring new hope to HCC patients.

TACE plus lenvatinib and tislelizumab for intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma beyond up-to-11 criteria: a multicenter cohort study

Background

Intermediate-stage (BCLC-B) hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) beyond the up-to-11 criteria represent a significant therapeutic challenge due to high and heterogeneous tumor burden. This study evaluated the effectiveness and safety of transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) in combination with lenvatinib and tislelizumab for these patients.

Methods

In this retrospective cohort study, patients with unresectable intermediate-stage HCC beyond the up-to-11 criteria were enrolled and divided into TACE monotherapy (T), TACE combined with lenvatinib (TL), or TACE plus lenvatinib and tislelizumab (TLT) group based on the first-line treatment, respectively. The primary endpoint was overall survival (OS). The secondary outcomes included progression-free survival (PFS), tumor response according to RESIST1.1 and modified RECIST, and adverse events (AEs).

Results

There were 38, 45, and 66 patients in the T, TL, and TLT groups, respectively. The TLT group exhibited significantly higher ORR and DCR than the other two groups, as assessed by either mRECIST or RECIST 1.1 (all P<0.05). Median PFS and OS were significantly longer in the TLT group compared with the T group (PFS: 8.5 vs. 4.4 months; OS: 31.5 vs. 18.5 months; all P<0.001) and TL group (PFS: 8.5 vs. 5.5 months; OS: 31.5 vs. 20.5 months; all P<0.05). The incidence of TRAEs was slightly higher in the TLT and TL groups than in the T group, while all the toxicities were tolerable. No treatment-related death occurred in all groups.

Conclusions

TACE combined with lenvatinib and tislelizumab significantly improved the survival benefit compared with TACE monotherapy and TACE plus lenvatinib in patients with intermediate-stage HCC beyond the up-to-11 criteria, with an acceptable safety profile.

Appraisal of a newly developed ALBI-sarcopenia score as a prognostic marker in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to evaluate the impact of the combined Albumin-bilirubin (ALBI)/sarcopenia score as a newly developed prognostic model for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), with a focus on its utility in predicting mortality.

METHODS

This prospective study was conducted on HCC patients who were followed for 1 year or until death. Sarcopenia was assessed radiologically by computed tomography at the level of L3. The study consisted of two sets: a development set in which the new ALBI-sarcopenia score was created, comprising 262 HCC patients, followed by an internal validation set with 100 patients.

RESULTS

The development cohort primarily included males (69.5%), aged 59.6 ± 8.09 years. In patients with sarcopenia, the ALBI score was -2.03 ± 0.42 ( P  < 0.006), the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score was 11.29 ± 2.43 ( P  < 0.001*), and the MELD-sarcopenia score was 21.29 ± 2.43 ( P  < 0.001*). The distribution of barcelona clinic liver cancer (BCLC) staging was as follows: BCLC A 18 (15.9%), BCLC B 63 (55.8%) and BCLC C 32 (28.3%) ( P  < 0.001*), with a notable association with higher mortality ( P  < 0.001). Multivariate analysis identified sarcopenia and ALBI scores as independent predictors of mortality in HCC ( P  < 0.001*). In the development set, the ALBI-sarcopenia score successfully predicted mortality at a cutoff >-11 with an area under a curve of 0.837 (95% CI, 0.784-0.889), while in the validation set, it predicted mortality at a cutoff >-11.55 with an area under a curve of 0.842 (95% CI, 0.753-0.930).

CONCLUSION

The newly introduced ALBI-sarcopenia score has demonstrated superior effectiveness in comparison to MELD-sarcopenia score, overcoming the shortcomings associated MELD score in forecasting outcomes for patients with HCC.

A novel radiomics approach for predicting TACE outcomes in hepatocellular carcinoma patients using deep learning for multi-organ segmentation

Transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) represent the standard of therapy for non-operative hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), while prediction of long term treatment outcomes is a complex and multifactorial task. In this study, we present a novel machine learning approach utilizing radiomics features from multiple organ volumes of interest (VOIs) to predict TACE outcomes for 252 HCC patients. Unlike conventional radiomics models requiring laborious manual segmentation limited to tumoral regions, our approach captures information comprehensively across various VOIs using a fully automated, pretrained deep learning model applied to pre-TACE CT images. Evaluation of radiomics random survival forest models against clinical ones using Cox proportional hazard demonstrated comparable performance in predicting overall survival. However, radiomics outperformed clinical models in predicting progression-free survival. Explainable analysis highlighted the significance of non-tumoral VOI features, with their cumulative importance superior to features from the largest liver tumor. The proposed approach overcomes the limitations of manual VOI segmentation, requires no radiologist input and highlight the clinical relevance of features beyond tumor regions. Our findings suggest the potential of this radiomics models in predicting TACE outcomes, with possible implications for other clinical scenarios.

Chemoembolization as first-line treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma invading segmental portal vein with tumour burden limited to a monosegmental level

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the safety and effectiveness of chemoembolization for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) with portal vein tumour thrombosis (PVTT) confined to a monosegment of the liver.

METHODS

A total of 192 treatment-naive patients who received chemoembolization between March 2008 and January 2023 as a first-line treatment for locally advanced HCC with PVTT limited to a monosegment were retrospectively analysed. Overall survival (OS) and the identification of pretreatment risk factors related to OS were investigated using Cox regression analysis. Complications, radiologic tumour response, and progression-free survival (PFS) following chemoembolization were investigated.

RESULTS

After chemoembolization, the 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS rates were 86%, 48%, and 39%, respectively, and the median OS was 33 months. Multivariable analyses revealed four significant pretreatment risk factors: infiltrative HCC (P = .02; HR, 1.60), beyond the up-to-11 criteria (P = .002; HR, 2.26), Child-Pugh class B (P = .01; HR, 2.35), and serum AFP ≥400 ng/mL (P = .01; HR, 1.69). The major complication rate was 5%. Of the 192 patients, 1 month after chemoembolization, 35% achieved a complete response, 47% achieved a partial response, 11% had stable disease, and 7% showed progressive disease. The median PFS after chemoembolization was 12 months.

CONCLUSIONS

Chemoembolization shows high safety and efficiency, and contributes to improved survival in patients with HCC with PVTT confined to a monosegment. Four risk factors were found to be significantly associated with improved survival rates after chemoembolization in patients with HCC with PVTT confined to a monosegment.

ADVANCES IN KNOWLEDGE

(1) Although systemic therapy with a combination of atezolizumab and bevacizumab (Atezo-Bev) is recommended as the first-line treatment when HCC invades the portal vein, chemoembolization is not infrequently performed in HCC cases in which tumour burden is limited. (2) Our study cohort (n=192) had a median OS of 33 months and a 5% major complication rate following chemoembolization, findings in the range of candidates typically accepted as ideal for chemoembolization. Thus, patients with HCC with PVTT confined to a monosegment may be good candidates for first-line chemoembolization.

Controlling Nutritional Status (CONUT) Score is Associated with Overall Survival in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma Treated with Conventional Transcatheter Arterial Chemoembolization: A Propensity Score Matched Analysis

PURPOSE

This study aims to evaluate the prognostic value of controlling nutritional status (CONUT) score in determining the prognosis of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) treated with conventional transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (cTACE).

METHODS

This study retrospectively analyzed 936 patients who underwent cTACE for HCC between January 2012 and December 2018, and divided them into two groups based on their CONUT score. To balance the bias in baseline characteristics, propensity score matched (PSM) analysis was conducted. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to establish a cumulative survival curve, and the log-rank test was employed to determine differences in overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) among the CONUT score groups. Furthermore, the Cox proportional hazard model was employed to assess the correlation between CONUT score and OS and PFS, whereby hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) were computed.

RESULTS

Before PSM, the median OS for the low (≤ 3) and high (≥ 4) CONUT group (558 vs. 378 patients) was 21.7 and 15.6 months, respectively, and the median PFS was 5.7 and 5 months. Following PSM, both the low and high CONUT score groups comprised 142 patients. The low CONUT score group exhibited a significantly longer OS compared to the high CONUT score group, as determined by the log-rank test (median OS 22.2 vs. 17.0 months, P = 0.014). No significant association was observed between CONUT group and PFS (median PFS 6.4 vs. 4.7 months, log-rank test, P = 0.121). Cox proportional hazard regression analysis revealed that a CONUT score of ≥ 4 was an independent risk factor for OS in patients with HCC who underwent cTACE (HR = 1.361; 95% CI: 1.047-1.771; P = 0.022). These findings were consistent across most subgroup analyses.

CONCLUSION

A high CONUT score has been found to be a prognostic factor for poorer OS in patients with HCC who underwent cTACE.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Level 3, Non-randomized controlled cohort.

A refined prediction model for survival in hepatocellular carcinoma patients treated with transarterial chemoembolization

Background/Aims

Transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) is widely performed as a major treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients, and there is a need to stratify patients for whom the most benefit from the treatment. This study aimed to develop a refined prediction model for overall survival (OS) in patients undergoing TACE as a first-line treatment in a large cohort and validate its performance.

Methods

A total of 2,632 patients with HCC of Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage A or B who underwent TACE between 2008 and 2017 were enrolled. The patients were randomly assigned to a training cohort (n = 1,304) or a validation cohort (n = 1,328). Independent predictors of OS were used to develop a prediction model.

Results

The median age of patients in the entire cohort was 63 years, with the majority having hepatitis B virus (56.6%) and being classified as Child-Pugh class A (82.4%). We developed a new prognostic model, called the TACE-prognostic (TP) score, based on tumor burden (sum of the largest tumor diameter and tumor number), alpha-fetoprotein, and Albumin-Bilirubin grade. Patients were classified into five risk groups according to TP scores, with median survival significantly differentiated in both training and validation cohorts (P < 0.001). The new model consistently outperformed other currently available models in both the training and validation cohorts.

Conclusion

This newly developed TP scoring system has the potential to be a useful tool in identifying ideal candidates of TACE and predicting OS with favorable performance and discrimination. However, further external validation is needed to confirm its effectiveness.

Pseudo-capsulated Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Hepatic Arterial Infusion Chemotherapy Versus Transcatheter Arterial Chemoembolization

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES

The effectiveness and safety of hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy (HAIC) or transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) for cases with single pseudo-capsuled hepatocellular carcinoma (pHCC), as well as their survival outcomes, were investigated.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 196 cases with single pHCC (diameter >5 cm) receiving initial HAIC (n = 92) and TACE (n = 104) were enrolled. The propensity score match (PSM) approach based on Cox models was employed to tune any possible imbalance in treatment assignment. The overall survival (OS), objective response rate (ORR), progression-free survival (PFS), and partial response rate (PRR) of the subjects were investigated using the log-rank test. The independent risk factors for outcomes were investigated by univariate and multivariate analyses, and the results were analyzed using the Cox regression model.

RESULTS

The median follow-up of the subjects was 22.3 months. After PSM, no significant difference was found in the OS of the HAIC and TACE groups (OS, 12.0 vs. 16.8 months; P = .267), while the median PFS of the TACE group was prolonged compared with the HAIC group (PFS, 5.7 vs. 2.8 months; P = .003). Moreover, PRR and ORR of the TACE group were prolonged compared with the HAIC group (PRR, 34.6% vs. 21.7%; P = .046; ORR, 35.6% vs. 21.7%; P = .033). The nomogram model showed high predictive accuracy and significant discrimination.

CONCLUSION

TACE therapy could delay tumor progression compared with HAIC for cases with a single pHCC.

Translational research on drug development and biomarker discovery for hepatocellular carcinoma

Translational research plays a key role in drug development and biomarker discovery for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, unique challenges exist in this field because of the limited availability of human tumor samples from surgery, the lack of homogenous oncogenic driver mutations, and the paucity of adequate experimental models. In this review, we provide insights into these challenges and review recent advancements, with a particular focus on the two main agents currently used as mainstream therapies for HCC: anti-angiogenic agents and immunotherapy. First, we examine the pre-clinical and clinical studies to highlight the challenges of determining the optimal therapeutic combinations with biologically effective dosage for HCC. Second, we discuss biomarker studies focusing on anti-PD1/anti-PD-L1-based combination therapy. Finally, we discuss the progress made in our collective understanding of tumor immunology and in multi-omics analysis technology, which enhance our understanding of the mechanisms underlying immunotherapy, characterize different patient subgroups, and facilitate the development of novel combination approaches to improve treatment efficacy. In summary, this review provides a comprehensive overview of efforts in translational research aiming at advancing our understanding of and improving the treatment of HCC.

Management of Intermediate-Stage Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Systemic Versus Locoregional Therapy

Intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) comprises a heterogeneous group of patients with varying levels of tumor burden. Transarterial chemoembolization was traditionally the mainstay of treatment for intermediate-stage HCC for almost 2 decades. New and emerging treatment options have revolutionized HCC therapy, allowing for broader application to patients with intermediate- and advanced-stage disease. Accordingly, new guidelines acknowledge these options, and intermediate stage HCC can now be treated with surgical, locoregional or systemic therapies, or a combination thereof. Patients will continue to benefit from the development of complex treatment strategies in a multidisciplinary setting to optimize individual outcomes.

Transcatheter Arterial Chemoembolization for Treatment-Naive Hepatocellular Carcinoma Has Different Treatment Effects Depending on Central or Peripheral Tumor Location

Introduction

The purpose of this study was to evaluate the treatment efficacy of transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) for treatment-naive hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) according to tumor location and burden.

Methods

Between 2010 and 2019, consecutive patients who underwent TACE as the first treatment were enrolled. Tumors were classified into two categories based on their location, as central or peripheral tumors. Tumors in the central zone, which is within 1 cm of the main trunk or the first branch of the portal vein, were classified as central tumors, while those located in the peripheral zone were classified as peripheral tumors. Patients were grouped according to the HCC location and up-to-7 criteria. Patients with central tumors were classified into the central arm and those with only peripheral tumors were classified into the peripheral arm. Patients within and beyond the up-to-7 criteria were classified into the up-to-7 in and up-to-7 out-groups, respectively. Local recurrence-free survival (LRFS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were compared per nodule (central tumor vs. peripheral tumor) and per patient (central arm vs. peripheral arm), respectively. The prognostic factors of LRFS and PFS were analyzed by univariate and multivariate analyses.

Results

A total of 174 treatment-naive patients with 352 HCCs were retrospectively enrolled. Ninety-six patients and 130 lesions were selected by propensity score matching. Median LRFS was longer for peripheral tumors than central tumors (not reached vs. 3.3 months, p < 0.001). Median PFS was 17.1 months (8.3-24.9) in the peripheral arm and up-to-7 in, 7.0 months (3.3-12.7) in the peripheral arm and up-to-7 out, 8.4 months (4.0-12.6) in the central arm and up-to-7 in, and 3.0 months (1.2-4.9) in the central arm and up-to-7 out-groups. The peripheral arm and up-to-7 in-groups had significantly longer PFS than the other three groups (p = 0.013, p = 0.015, p < 0.001, respectively). Multivariate analysis confirmed that the central zone and central arm were associated with high adjusted hazard ratios for tumor recurrence or death (2.87, p < 0.001; 2.89, p < 0.001, respectively).

Conclusion

Treatment-naive HCCs in the peripheral zone had a longer LRFS and PFS following TACE compared to those in the central zone.

A new model to estimate duration of survival in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma with BCLC intermediate stage

It is difficult to determine whether an individual therapy contributes to the elongation of survival because of the difficulty of organizing clinical research in patients who receive multiple treatments in HCC. We aimed to establish a new model of survival prediction in patients with intermediate stage HCC to establish standards in the recent and coming multi-MTA era. This analysis was prepared using a data set of 753 patients diagnosed HCC prior to 2017. Multiple regression analysis showed age, naïve or recurrence, the size of the largest tumor nodule, the number of nodules, total bilirubin, albumin and α-fetoprotein as independent predictors of survival. A Weibull model had the best fit and, based on these predictors, we established a new predicted survival model. The survival duration can be predicted the proposed model; EXP (4.02580 + (- 0.0086253) × age + (- 0.34667) × (naïve/recurrence) + (- 0.034962) × (number of nodules) + (- 0.079447) × (the size of the largest nodule) + (- 0.21696) × (total bilirubin) + 0.27912 × (albumin) + (- 0.00014741) × (α-fetoprotein)) × (- natural logarithm(0.5))^0.67250. This model is useful for the planning and evaluating the efficacy of recent sequential therapies in multi-MTA era.

The current landscape of therapies for hepatocellular carcinoma

Globally, primary liver cancer is the third leading cause of cancer-related deaths, with approximately 830 000 deaths worldwide in 2020, accounting for 8.3% of total deaths from all cancer types (1). This disease disproportionately affects those in countries with low or medium Human Development Index scores in Eastern Asia, South-Eastern Asia, and Northern and Western Africa (2). Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), the most common type of primary liver cancer, often develops in the background of chronic liver disease, caused by hepatitis B or C virus, non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), or other diseases that cause cirrhosis. Prognosis can vary dramatically based on number, size, and location of tumors. Hepatic synthetic dysfunction and performance status (PS) also impact survival. The Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) staging system best accounts for these variations, providing a reliable prognostic stratification. Therapeutic considerations of this complex disease necessitate a multidisciplinary approach and can range from curative-intent surgical resection, liver transplantation or image-guided ablation to more complex liver-directed therapies like transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) and systemic therapy. Recent advances in the understanding of the tumor biology and microenvironment have brought new advances and approvals for systemic therapeutic agents, often utilizing immunotherapy or VEGF-targeted agents to modulate the immune response. This review will discuss the current landscape in the treatments available for early, intermediate, and advanced stage HCC.

Predicting the outcomes of hepatocellular carcinoma downstaging with the use of clinical and radiomics features

BACKGROUND

Downstaging of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) makes it possible for patients beyond the criteria to have the chance of liver transplantation (LT) and improved outcomes. Thus, a procedure to predict the prognosis of the treatment is an urgent requisite. The present study aimed to construct a comprehensive framework with clinical information and radiomics features to accurately predict the prognosis of downstaging treatment.

METHODS

Specifically, three-dimensional (3D) tumor segmentation from contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CT) is employed to extract spatial information of the lesions. Then, the radiomics features within the segmented region are calculated. Combining radiomics features and clinical data prompts the development of feature selection to enhance the robustness and generalizability of the model. Finally, we adopt the support vector machine (SVM) algorithm to establish a classification model for predicting HCC downstaging outcomes.

RESULTS

Herein, a comparative study was conducted on three different models: a radiomics features-based model (R model), a clinical features-based model (C model), and a joint radiomics clinical features-based model (R-C model). The average accuracy of the three models was 0.712, 0.792, and 0.844, and the average area under the receiver-operating characteristic (AUROC) of the three models was 0.775, 0.804, and 0.877, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The novel and practical R-C model accurately predicted the downstaging outcomes, which could be utilized to guide the HCC downstaging toward LT treatment.

Validation of the ALBI-TAE model and comparison of seven scoring systems for predicting survival outcome in patients with intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma undergoing chemoembolization

BACKGROUND

The ALBI-TAE model was recently proposed as a scoring system to select suitable patients with intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) for transarterial chemoembolization (TACE). However, this scoring system has not been externally validated. Therefore, we validated this score and compared it with six scoring systems in terms of prognostication.

METHODS

We retrospectively enrolled 480 patients with intermediate-stage HCC who underwent TACE at a tertiary care center between January 2008 and December 2019. Seven scores, which included the ALBI-TAE model, Bolondi's subclassification, HAP score, mHAP-II score, tumor burden score, six-and-twelve score, and seven-eleven criteria, were calculated and a head-to-head comparison was made in terms of prognostic power using Harrell's C-index. Prognostic factors associated with survival were analyzed.

RESULTS

ALBI-TAE group A had the longest median overall survival (OS) of 40.80 months, followed by ALBI-TAE groups B, C, and D of 20.14 months, 10.58 months, and 7.54 months, respectively, with significant differences (P < 0.001). Among the seven scores, the ALBI-TAE model had the best predictive performance (Harrell's C-index 0.633) in differentiating OS in intermediate-stage HCC patients. Moreover, the ALBI-TAE model was identified as an independent prognostic factor for survival outcome in multivariate analysis.

CONCLUSION

Our study confirmed the value of the ALBI-TAE model with excellent prognostic discriminatory power in intermediate-stage HCC patients. The ALBI-TAE model is a simple and valuable predictive tool to identify patients with good prognosis who can get the most benefit from TACE.

Prognostic Significance of Serum Albumin Level and Albumin-Based Mono- and Combination Biomarkers in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the predominant form of primary liver cancer. Although many surgical and nonsurgical therapeutic options have been established for treating HCC, the overall prognosis for HCC patients receiving different treatment modalities remains inadequate, which causes HCC to remain among the most life-threatening human cancers worldwide. Therefore, it is vitally important and urgently needed to develop valuable and independent prognostic biomarkers for the early prediction of poor prognosis in HCC patients, allowing more time for more timely and appropriate treatment to improve the survival of patients. As the most abundant protein in plasma, human serum albumin (ALB) is predominantly expressed by the liver and exhibits a wide variety of essential biological functions. It has been well recognized that serum ALB level is a significant independent biomarker for a broad spectrum of human diseases including cancer. Moreover, ALB has been commonly used as a potent biomaterial and therapeutic agent in clinical settings for the treatment of various human diseases. This review provides a comprehensive summary of the evidence from the up-to-date published literature to underscore the prognostic significance of serum ALB level and various ALB-based mono- and combination biomarkers in the prediction of the prognosis of HCC patients after treatment with different surgical, locoregional, and systemic therapies.

A Novel Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio and Sarcopenia Based TACE-Predict Model of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients

Purpose

Transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) was commonly applied in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients across BCLC A-C stages with heterogeneous outcomes in real-world practice. We aimed to develop a neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and sarcopenia-based prognostic nomogram to estimate the prognosis of HCC patients after TACE treatment.

Patients and Methods

Between June 2013 and December 2019, a total of 364 HCC patients who underwent TACE were included and randomly assigned to the training (n=255) and the validation cohort (n=109). Sarcopenia was diagnosed based on the third lumbar vertebra skeletal muscle mass index (L3-SMI). The multivariate Cox proportional risk model was used to generate a nomogram.

Results

NLR ≥4.0, sarcopenia, alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) ≥200 ng/mL, albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade 2 or 3, number of lesions (≥2), and maximum size of the lesion (≥5 cm) were independent predictors for overall survival (OS) (P < 0.05). The calibration curve shows that the predicted results agree well with the observed results. The time-dependent areas under the receiver-operating characteristic curves for OS at 1, 2, and 3 years predicted by the nomogram were 0.818/0.827, 0.742/0.823, and 0.748/0.836 in both training and validation cohorts. Nomogram can divide patients into low-, medium- and high-risk groups based on predictor factors. The C-indexes of the nomogram for OS were 0.782/0.728 in the training and validation cohorts, outperforming other currently available models.

Conclusion

A novel nomogram based on NLR and sarcopenia may be useful to predict the prognosis of HCC patients who underwent TACE across BCLC A-C stage patients.

Clinical Effect of Lenvatinib Re-Administration after Transcatheter Arterial Chemoembolization in Patients with Intermediate Stage Hepatocellular Carcinoma

The present study clarified the prognosis of intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients who received lenvatinib (LEN) followed by transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) on demand. We retrospectively evaluated 88 intermediate-stage HCC patients who received LEN. The median age was 74 (range: 47-92) years old, 67 patients were male, and 82 were classified as Child-Pugh A. LEN was administered until disease progression or discontinuation due to adverse events (AEs). The mean duration of LEN treatment was 7.0 months. The response and disease control rates were 51.1% and 89.8%, respectively. The median progression-free survival and overall survival (OS) after the initiation of LEN were 6.8 months and 29.9 months, respectively. The OS in patients for whom LEN was re-administered after TACE (TACE-LEN) was better than that in patients who received other therapies (e.g., only TACE, TACE-other therapy, or only other therapy) even with propensity score matching (p = 0.008). A Cox proportional hazard analysis showed that TACE-LEN was most strongly associated with the OS (hazard ratio: 0.083, 95% confidence interval: 0.019-0.362, p = 0.001). LEN was administered for approximately 11.1 months after TACE. In intermediate-stage HCC patients who can tolerate LEN without discontinuation due to AEs, TACE-LEN may prolong the prognosis.

Application and Impact of Antiviral Therapy for Patients with HBV-Related Hepatocellular Carcinoma Receiving Sorafenib and Lenvatinib Treatment

Overall survival (OS) in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has improved in the era of multi-line sequential therapy. The application of antiviral therapy and its impact on survival for patients with HBV-related HCC needs to be reassessed. The aim of this study was to evaluate the application and impact of antiviral therapy on survival for patients with HBV-related HCC receiving tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI) therapy. Patients with advanced HBV-related HCC treated with sorafenib or lenvatinib as first-line therapy with (n = 377) and without (n = 182) nucleos(t)ide analogue (NUC) therapy were retrospectively enrolled. Prognostic factors of OS were evaluated. Secular trends in the increased application of NUC therapy and improved survival were observed in the last decade. The HBV reactivation rate in patients without NUC therapy was 6.6%. By multivariate analysis, baseline low HBV viral load, achieving undetectable HBV DNA after TKI therapy, and ability to receive second-line therapy were found to be independent predictors of OS. In subgroup patients with NUC therapy, starting NUC before TKI was associated with a better OS. In conclusion, the application of antiviral therapy for patients with HBV-related HCC receiving TKI therapy has increased over time. Achieving complete virological suppression may contribute to a better OS in patients with advanced HBV-related HCC.

Modified Albumin-Bilirubin Model for Stratifying Survival in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma Receiving Anticancer Therapy

Albumin−bilirubin (ALBI) grade is an objective and reproducible model for evaluating overall survival (OS) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, the original ALBI grade was established for patients with Child−Pugh classes A−C. HCC patients with Child−Pugh class C or poor performance status (Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage D) usually receive hospice care. Thus, optimized cutoffs for the ALBI grade for stratifying OS in HCC patients receiving anticancer therapy are pertinent for accurate prognostication. This study retrospectively enrolled 2116 patients with BCLC stages A−C HCC after the exclusion of those ineligible for receiving anticancer therapy. The modified ALBI (mALBI) grades were: an ALBI score ≤−3.02 for mALBI grade 1, an ALBI score >−3.02 to ≤−2.08 for mALBI grade 2, and an ALBI score >−2.08 for mALBI grade 3. The original ALBI and mALBI grades were independent predictors of OS in all the enrolled patients and those receiving transarterial chemoembolization. In patients receiving curative therapy (radiofrequency ablation and surgical resection), the mALBI grade (grade 2 vs. 1 and grade 3 vs. 2) was an independent predictor of OS. Original ALBI grade 2 vs. 1 was an independent predictor of OS but not ALBI grade 3 vs. 2. The mALBI model can differentiate between patients with early, intermediate, or advanced HCC who received anticancer therapy into three prognostic groups. External validation of the proposed mALBI grade is warranted.

The ALBI score: From liver function in patients with HCC to a general measure of liver function

The (albumin-bilirubin) ‘ALBI’ score is an index of ‘liver function’ that was recently developed to assess prognosis in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma, irrespective of the degree of underlying liver fibrosis. Other measures of liver function, such as model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) and Child-Pugh score, which were introduced for specific clinical scenarios, have seen their use extended to other areas of hepatology. In the case of ALBI, its application has been increasingly extended to chronic liver disease in general and in some instances to non-liver diseases where it has proven remarkably accurate in terms of prognosis. With respect to chronic liver disease, numerous publications have shown that ALBI is highly prognostic in patients with all types and stages of chronic liver disease. Outside of liver disease, ALBI has been reported as being of prognostic value in conditions ranging from chronic heart failure to brain tumours. Whilst in several of these reports, explanations for the relationship of liver function to a clinical condition have been proposed, it has to be acknowledged that the specificity of ALBI for liver function has not been clearly demonstrated. Nonetheless, and similar to the MELD and Child-Pugh scores, the lack of any mechanistic basis for ALBI’s clinical utility does not preclude it from being clinically useful in certain situations. Why albumin and bilirubin levels, or a combination thereof, are prognostic in so many different diseases should be studied in the future.

Lenvatinib plus transarterial chemoembolization with or without immune checkpoint inhibitors for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma: A review

Lenvatinib plus transarterial chemoembolization (TACE)have become the first choice for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) that are unsuitable for TACE. Sorafenib plus TACE therapy for patients with portal vein tumor thrombus (PVTT) achieved positive results. However, Lenvatinib plus TACE appeared to achieve a more advantageous result for these patients based on the phase 3 REFLECT trial. Both TACE and lenvatinib therapy have immune-stimulating effects, so would lenvatinib plus TACE and immune checkpoint inhibitors be an advantageous therapy for unresectable HCC (uHCC)? Thirteen articles from PubMed were explored to determine the efficacy and safety of lenvatinib plus TACE with or without PD-1 inhibitors therapy. Most of the adverse events (AEs) were manageable. Lenvatinib plus TACE therapy was superior to lenvatinib monotherapy with intermediate stage HCC especially beyond up-to-seven criterion and was superior to TACE monotherapy in patients with uHCC or sorafenib plus TACE therapy in patients with PVTT. Objective response rates (ORRs) of 53.1%–75%, median progression free survival (PFS) of 6.15–11.6 months, and median overall survival (OS) of 14.5–18.97 months were achieved in the lenvatinib plus TACE group. Levatinib plus TACE and PD-1 inhibitors achieved ORRs of 46.7% –80.6%, median PFS of 7.3–13.3 months, and median OS of 16.9–24 months. Control studies also confirmed the triple therapy was superior to lenvatinib plus TACE in patients with uHCC. Overall, the triple therapy is a promising treatment for patients with uHCC, including main PVTT and extrahepatic metastasis. Lenvatinib plus TACE therapy was also preferable for intermediate stage HCC beyond up-to-seven criterion and for patients with PVTT.

ALBI grade for outcome prediction in patients affected by hepatocellular carcinoma treated with transarterial radioembolization

Introduction and aim

Diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) often occurs when the disease is unresectable and therapeutic options are limited. The extent of disease and liver function according to Child-Pugh (C-P) classification are the main prognostic factors guiding clinicians in the management of HCC. The integration of albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade is emerging to assess liver function on account of its objectivity and reproducibility. Our aim was to investigate the value of the ALBI grade in predicting the outcome in patients treated with transarterial radioembolization (TARE).

Methods

We retrospectively enrolled patients with advanced and unresectable HCC treated with TARE in our institution. All patients underwent a preliminary dosimetric study before Yttrium-90 resin microsphere TARE. Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC), C-P, and ALBI scores were established at the time of TARE. Overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), and survival after TARE were assessed with the Kaplan-Meier method. Survival analyses were stratified according to ALBI grade, C-P, and BCLC classification. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional regression models determined the association between prognostic factors and clinical outcomes.

Results

In total, 72 patients were included in the study, showing an OS of 51 months. The ALBI grade identified groups of patients with different prognoses both in the whole cohort and within the C-P classes, especially between ALBI 1 and ALBI 2. This result is confirmed also within BCLC classes. In treatment naïve patients, the ALBI grade was not able to predict outcomes, whereas the presence and degree of portal vein thrombosis (PVT) significantly affected prognosis.

Conclusions

The ALBI grade provided a more accurate prognostic stratification than the C-P classification in patients with intermediate and advanced HCC treated with TARE. However, the outcome of HCC is affected not only by liver function but also by disease-related characteristics, such as disease burden and degree of PVT. Including the ALBI grade in clinical guidelines may improve the management of patients affected by HCC.

An ALBI- and Ascites-Based Model to Predict Survival for BCLC Stage B Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Background

We aimed to develop a predictive model constituted with the ALBI grade, the ascites, and tumor burden related parameters in patients with BCLC stage B HCC.

Methods

Patients diagnosed as the BCLC stage B HCC were collected from a retrospective database. Construction and validation of the predictive model were performed based on multivariate Cox regression analysis. Predictive accuracy, discrimination (c-index), and fitness performance (calibration curve) of the model were compared with the other eight models. The decision curve analysis (DCA) was used to evaluate the clinical utility.

Results

A total of 1773 patients diagnosed as BCLC stage B HCC between 2007 and 2016 were included in the present study. The ALBI-AS grade, the AFP level, and the 8-and-14 grade were used for the development of a prognostic prediction model after multivariate analysis. The area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUROC) for overall survival at 1, 2, and 3 years predicted by the present model were 0.73, 0.69, and 0.67 in the training cohort. The concordance index (c-index) and the Aiken information criterion (AIC) were 0.68 and 6216.3, respectively. In the internal and external validation cohorts, the present model still revealed excellent predictive accuracy, discrimination, and fitness performance. Then the ALBI-AS based model was evaluated to be superior to other prognostic models with the highest AUROC, c-index, and lowest AIC values. Moreover, DCA also demonstrated that the present model was clinically beneficial.

Conclusion

The ALBI-AS grade is a novel predictor of survival for patients with BCLC stage B HCC.

Validation and prognostic value of EZ-ALBI score in patients with intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma treated with trans-arterial chemoembolization

Background

Heterogeneity of liver function and tumor burden in intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) results in different outcomes after transarterial chemoembolization (TACE). Easy albumin-bilirubin (EZ-ALBI), a simplified albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score, has recently been proposed as a new prognostic score for HCC. This study aimed to validate the EZ-ALBI score and evaluate the impact of dynamic changes in patients with intermediate-stage HCC undergoing TACE.

Methods

All patients with HCC treated with TACE at King Chulalongkorn Memorial Hospital, Bangkok, Thailand, between January 2015 and December 2019 were prospectively enrolled. Intermediate-stage HCC was defined as Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage B or unresectable single HCC with size > 5 cm in BCLC stage A. EZ-ALBI and ALBI scores were calculated and stratified into three different grades. Overall survival (OS) and prognostic factors were assessed using the Kaplan–Meier curve and Cox proportional hazard model. Decision analysis curves were used to evaluate the clinical utility of the predictive scores.

Results

Among 672 patients with HCC treated with TACE, 166 patients with intermediate-stage HCC who met the eligibility criteria were enrolled. The median OS of all patients in the cohort was 21 months. A good correlation between the EZ-ALBI and ALBI scores was observed (correlation coefficient 1.000, p < 0.001). The baseline EZ-ALBI grades 1, 2, and 3 were 24.5%, 70%, and 5.5%, respectively. EZ-ALBI grade can stratify patients with significantly different prognoses (p = 0.002). Baseline EZ-ALBI grade 2, 3, and serum alpha-fetoprotein > 20 ng/ml were significantly associated with OS [hazard ratio (HR) 2.20 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.24–3.88, p = 0.007), 3.26 (95% CI 1.24–8.57, p = 0.016), and 1.77 (95% CI 1.10–2.84, p = 0.018), respectively]. Following TACE, 42 (29.6%) patients had a worsening EZ-ALBI grade. However, the EZ-ALBI grade migration was not significantly correlated with OS. EZ-ALBI and ALBI score provided improved discriminatory ability (Harrell’s concordance index 0.599 and 0.602, respectively) and better net benefit compared with Child-Turcotte-Pugh and Model for End-stage Liver Disease scores.

Conclusions

The baseline EZ-ALBI score demonstrated good predictive performance for survival and a strong correlation with conventional ALBI scores. Both the EZ-ALBI and ALBI scores outperformed other prognostic models in patients with intermediate-stage HCC receiving TACE. However, the dynamic change in the EZ-ALBI grade after TACE was not associated with postprocedural survival.

Determinants of Survival and Post-Progression Outcomes by Sorafenib–Regorafenib Sequencing for Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma

The predictors of response and survival in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) receiving regorafenib remain unclear. This study aimed to delineate the determinants of response and survival after regorafenib and evaluate post-progression treatment and outcomes. We retrospectively enrolled 108 patients with unresectable HCC receiving regorafenib after sorafenib failure. Progression-free survival (PFS), overall survival (OS), post-progression survival (PPS) and post-progression treatments were evaluated. The median PFS, OS and PPS were 3.1, 13.1 and 10.3 months, respectively. Achieving disease control by prior sorafenib, early AFP reduction and hand-foot skin reaction (HFSR) were associated with significantly better radiologic responses. By multivariate analysis, the time to progression on prior sorafenib, HFSR and early AFP reduction were associated with PFS; ALBI grade, portal vein invasion, HFSR and early AFP reduction were associated with OS. ALBI grade at disease progression, main portal vein invasion, high tumor burden and next-line therapy were associated with PPS. The median PPS was 12 months in patients who received next-line therapy, and the PPS was comparable between patients who received next-line targeted agents and immunotherapy. In conclusion, survival outcomes of regorafenib for HCC have improved in the era of multi-line sequential therapy. Preserved liver function and next-line therapy are important prognostic factors after regorafenib failure.

Lenvatinib plus pembrolizumab for systemic therapy-naïve and -experienced unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma

Background

Lenvatinib combined with pembrolizumab showed a promising result in an early phase study for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The efficacy and safety of lenvatinib plus pembrolizumab for patients with unresectable HCC (uHCC) beyond the first-line setting were unclear.

Methods

Seventy-one consecutive patients who received lenvatinib plus pembrolizumab for uHCC were prospectively enrolled. Effect of lenvatinib combinations on Albumin-Bilirubin (ALBI) score and factors associated with progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were analyzed.

Results

Of the 71 cases, 58 (81.7%) were in BCLC C. There were 44 (62%) for the first-line systemic treatment, and 27 (38%) had experienced targeted therapy or nivolumab treatment. The objective response rate and disease control rate (DCR) were 34.1% and 84.1% for the first-line setting, and 18.5% and 70.4% for systemic therapy-experienced cases (Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors version 1.1, RECIST v1.1), respectively. The mean ALBI score was stable during the treatment course. After a median of 9.3 months of follow-up, the median PFS was 9.3 months versus 4.4 months, and the median OS was not estimable yet versus 12 months for Child–Pugh A versus B patients, respectively. Prior nivolumab failure was the only significant factor associated with poorer PFS (HR = 3.253, p = 0.004). Child–Pugh class B (HR = 2.646, p = 0.039) and prior nivolumab failure (HR = 3.340, p = 0.014) were independent factors for poorer OS in multivariate analysis.

Conclusions

A high DCR was observed by lenvatinib/pembrolizumab combination without adverse effect on ALBI score for systemic therapy-naïve and -experienced uHCC. Suboptimal response to prior nivolumab-failed patients requires further exploration.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s00262-022-03185-6.

Dynamic Change of Albumin-Bilirubin Score Is Good Predictive Parameter for Prognosis in Chronic Hepatitis C-hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients Receiving Transarterial Chemoembolization

Background and Aims: The Albumin-Bilirubin (ALBI) grade is a good index for liver function evaluation and is also associated with the outcomes of hepatocellular carcinoma patients receiving TACE. However, the correlation between the dynamic change to the ALBI score and clinical outcome is seldom discussed. Therefore, this study aimed to investigate the application of ALBI grade and dynamic change of ALBI grade (delta ALBI grade) after first TACE for prognosis prediction in HCC patients with chronic hepatitis C infection. Method: From January 2005 to December 2015, newly diagnosed naive chronic hepatitis C-hepatocellular carcinoma (CHC-HCC) patients who were treated with TACE as the initial treatment at the Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Linkou Medical Center, were retrospectively recruited. The pre-treatment host factors, tumor status and noninvasive markers were collected. The Cox regression model was used to identify independent predictors of overall survival and tumor recurrence. Results: Among 613 treatment-naive CHC-HCC patients, 430 patients died after repeated TACE during a median follow-up of 26.9 months. Complete remission after repeated TACE occurred in 46.2% patients, and 208 patients (33.9%) had tumor recurrence, with a median recurrence-free interval of 8.5 months. In Cox regression analysis, ALBI grade II/III (aHR: 1.088, p = 0.035) and increased delta ALBI grade (aHR: 1.456, p = 0.029) were independent predictive factors for tumor recurrence. Furthermore, ALBI grade II/III (aHR: 1.451, p = 0.005) and increased delta ALBI grade during treatment (aHR: 1.436, p = 0.006) were predictive factors for mortality, while achieving complete response after repeated TACE (aHR: 0.373, p < 0.001) and anti-viral therapy (aHR: 0.580, p = 0.002) were protective factors for mortality. Conclusion: Both ALBI and delta ALBI grade are independent parameters to predict survival and tumor recurrence of CHC-HCC patients receiving TACE treatment.

Tumor Burden in Patients With Hepatocellular Carcinoma Undergoing Transarterial Chemoembolization: Head-to-Head Comparison of Current Scoring Systems

Objectives

Recently, several scoring systems for prognosis prediction based on tumor burden have been promoted for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) undergoing transarterial chemoembolization (TACE). This multicenter study aimed to perform the first head-to-head comparison of three scoring systems.

Methods

We retrospectively enrolled 849 treatment-naïve patients with HCC undergoing TACE at six tertiary care centers between 2010 and 2020. The tumor burden score (TBS), the Six-and-Twelve score (SAT), and the Seven-Eleven criteria (SEC) were calculated based on the maximum lesion size and the number of tumor nodes. All scores were compared in univariate and multivariate regression analyses, adjusted for established risk factors.

Results

The median overall survival (OS) times were 33.0, 18.3, and 12.8 months for patients with low, medium, and high TBS, respectively (p<0.001). The median OS times were 30.0, 16.9, and 10.2 months for patients with low, medium, and high SAT, respectively (p<0.001). The median OS times were 27.0, 16.7, and 10.5 for patients with low, medium, and high SEC, respectively (p<0.001). In a multivariate analysis, only the SAT remained an independent prognostic factor. The C-Indexes were 0.54 for the TBS, 0.59 for the SAT, and 0.58 for the SEC.

Conclusion

In a direct head-to-head comparison, the SAT was superior to the TBS and SEC in survival stratification and predictive ability. Therefore, the SAT can be considered when estimating the tumor burden. However, all three scores showed only moderate predictive power. Therefore, tumor burden should only be one component among many in treatment decision making.

Infiltrative Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Transcatheter Arterial Chemoembolization Versus Hepatic Arterial Infusion Chemotherapy

Aims

To compare the effectiveness, safety, and survival outcomes in patients with infiltrative hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) who underwent hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy (HAIC) and transarterial chemoembolization (TACE).

Methods

A total of 160 patients with infiltrative HCCs who underwent initial TACE (n = 68) and HAIC (n = 92) treatment from January 2016 to March 2020. We applied the propensity score matching (PSM) to adjust for potential imbalances. The overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), objective response rate (ORR) and disease control rate (DCR) were compared between two groups. Multivariate analysis was evaluated through the forward stepwise Cox regression model and β coefficients was applied for the nomogram construction.

Results

The median follow-up duration for the study population was 20.8 months. After PSM, the median OS and PFS in the HAIC group were significantly higher than those in the TACE group (OS, 13.3 vs 10.8 months; p = 0.043; PFS, 7.8 vs 4.0 months; p = 0.035) and the ORR and DCR in the HAIC group were significantly higher than those in the TACE group (ORR, 34.8% vs 11.8%; p = 0.001; DCR, 54.3% vs 36.8%; p = 0.028). A nomogram model comprising albumin-bilirubin grade, treatment responses, sessions, and treatment modalities, showed good predictive accuracy and discrimination (training set, concordance index [C-index] of 0.789; validation set, C-index of 0.757), which outperformed other staging systems and conventional indices.

Conclusion

HAIC improve significantly survival compared to TACE in patients with infiltrative HCC. A prospective randomized trial is ongoing to confirm this finding.

Association between contrast enhancement on contrast-enhanced CT and lenvatinib effectiveness in hepatocellular carcinoma

The aim of the present study was to investigate whether the degree of contrast enhancement on contrast-enhanced (CE)-CT can predict the prognosis of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) treated with lenvatinib (LEN). A total of 67 consecutive patients with LEN-treated HCC were retrospectively analysed. In the pretreatment CE-CT, the CT values were measured using a region of interest within the main nodule and the liver parenchyma in the arterial phase, and the macroscopic degree of contrast enhancement of the tumour area was quantified by calculating the enhancement ratio (ER) of the liver parenchyma. The associations of pretreatment ER with progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were then investigated. There were 20, 27 and 20 patients in the ER ≥1.5, 1.0≤ ER <1.5 and ER <1.0 groups, respectively. There was no significant difference in the PFS and OS among the three ER groups (PFS, P=0.63; OS, P=0.455). The ER <1.0 group had significantly more patients with larger tumour diameters, Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage C with extrahepatic metastases, and higher des-γ-carboxy prothrombin values compared with the ER ≥1.0 group, suggesting that ER <1.0 reflected more aggressive types of HCC. The multivariate analysis revealed tumour size and α-fetoprotein as independent predictors of shorter PFS. Albumin-bilirubin grade 2 and BCLC stage C were significant predictors of poor OS, whereas the ER was confirmed as a non-significant predictor of both PFS and OS. Only non-alternating LEN and transarterial therapy (AT) were identified as independent predictors of unfavourable OS in patients with BCLC stage B HCC. Therefore, LEN has a strong therapeutic effect on HCC, regardless of the degree of contrast enhancement. Furthermore, AT may prolong the OS of LEN-treated patients with BCLC stage B HCC, regardless of tumour vascularity.

The Combination of Albumin-Bilirubin Score and Prothrombin Time Is a Useful Tool for Predicting Liver Dysfunction after Transcatheter Arterial Chemoembolization in Child-Pugh Class A Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma within Up-to-Seven Criteria

Mortality and recurrence rates of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) are high. Recent studies show that for patients with HCC beyond up-to-seven criteria, treatment with molecular-targeted agents (MTAs) is recommended because the treatment efficiency of transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) is poor; further, TACE increases decline in liver function. However, the relationship between TACE and liver function decline in patients with HCC within up-to-seven criteria has not been clarified. Hence, we aimed to investigate this relationship. This retrospective observational study included 189 HCC tumors within up-to-seven criteria in 114 Child–Pugh class A patients. Twenty-four (12.7%) tumors were changed from Child–Pugh class A to B after TACE, and 116 (61.4%) tumors exhibited recurrence within 6 months after TACE. Prothrombin time (PT) and albumin–bilirubin (ALBI) score before TACE were significantly associated with liver dysfunction from Child–Pugh class A to B. The combination of PT and ALBI score before TACE had high predictive ability for liver dysfunction from Child–Pugh class A to B after TACE (specificity = 100%, sensitivity = 91.7%). The combined use of pre-TACE PT and ALBI score has a high predictive ability for liver dysfunction after TACE for Child–Pugh class A patients with HCC within up-to-seven criteria.

ALBI grade: Evidence for an improved model for liver functional estimation in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) usually arises in the context of a chronically damaged liver. Liver functional estimation is of paramount importance in clinical decision making. The Child-Pugh score (CPS) can be used to categorise patients into 3 classes (A to C) based on the severity of liver functional impairment according to 5 parameters (albumin, bilirubin, prothrombin time, presence of ascites and hepatic encephalopathy). The albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade has emerged as an alternative, reproducible and objective measure of liver functional reserve in patients with HCC, defining worsening liver impairment across 3 grades (I to III). The ALBI score can identify different subgroups of patients with different prognoses across the diverse Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stages and CP classes, making it an appealing clinical predictor. In patients treated with potentially curative approaches (resection, transplantation, radiofrequency ablation, microwave ablation), ALBI grade has been shown to correlate with survival, tumour relapse, and post-hepatectomy liver failure. ALBI grade also predicts survival, toxicity and post-procedural liver failure in patients treated with transarterial chemoembolisation, radioembolisation, external beam radiotherapy as well as multi-kinase inhibitors (sorafenib, lenvatinib, cabozantinib, regorafenib) and immune checkpoint inhibitor therapy. In this review, we summarise the body of evidence surrounding the role of ALBI grade as a biomarker capable of optimising patient selection and therapeutic sequencing in HCC.

High Visceral Adipose Tissue Density Correlates With Unfavorable Outcomes in Patients With Intermediate-Stage Hepatocellular Carcinoma Undergoing Transarterial Chemoembolization

Objectives: This study aimed to evaluate the association between different body composition features with prognostic outcomes of intermediate stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients treated with transarterial chemoembolization (TACE). Methods: The areas and density of skeletal muscle area (SM) and adipose tissue [subcutaneous (SAT); visceral (VAT)] were calculated on the pre-TACE CT scans. Overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) curves were calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method and compared with log-rank test. The discrimination and performance of body composition features were measured by area under time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard analyses were applied to identify the association between body composition parameters and outcomes. Results: A significant prolonged OS and PFS was displayed by Kaplan-Meier curve analysis for HCC patients with VAT HU below -89.1 (25.1 months, 95% CI: 18.1-32.1 vs. 17.6 months, 95% CI: 16.3-18.8, p < 0.0001, 15.4 months, 95% CI: 10.6-20.2 vs. 6.6 months, 95% CI: 4.9-8.3, p < 0.0001, respectively). The 1-, 2-, 3-, and 5-year OS area under the curve (AUC) values of the VAT HU were higher than the other body composition parameters. Meanwhile, it is also found that 3-, 6-, 9-, and 12-month PFS AUC values of VAT HU were the highest among all the parameters. Univariate and multivariate Cox-regression analysis suggested a significant association between VAT density and outcomes (OS, HR: 1.015, 95% CI: 1.004-1.025, p = 0.005, PFS, HR: 1.026, 95% CI: 1.016-1.036, p < 0.0001, respectively). Conclusion: The VAT density could provide prognostic prediction value and may be helpful to stratify the intermediate stage HCC patients.

Effect of Transarterial Chemoembolization on ALBI Grade in Intermediate-Stage Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Criteria for Unsuitable Cases Selection

Transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) is the standard of care for intermediate stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We aimed to identify unsuitable cases who were at risk of ALBI-grade migration by TACE. Consecutive 531 BCLC-B HCC patients undergoing TACE were reviewed, and factors associated with ALBI-grade migration were analyzed. There were 129 (24.3%) patients experienced acute ALBI-grade migration after TACE, and 85 (65.9%) out of the 129 patients had chronic ALBI-grade migration. Incidences of acute ALBI-grade migration were 13.9%, 29.0% for patients within or beyond up-to-7 criteria (p < 0.001) and 20.0%, 36.2% for patients within or beyond up-to-11 criteria (p < 0.001), respectively. HBV infection, tumor size plus tumor number criteria were risk factors associated with acute ALBI-grade migration. Bilobar tumor involvement was the risk factor of chronic ALBI-grade migration in patients with acute ALBI-grade migration. Up-to-eleven (p = 0.007) performed better than up-to-seven (p = 0.146) to differentiate risk of dynamic ALBI score changes. Moreover, ALBI-grade migration to grade 3 has adverse effect on survival. In conclusion, tumor burden beyond up-to-eleven was associated with ALBI-grade migration after TACE, indicating that up-to-eleven can select TACE-unsuitable HCC patients who are at risk of liver function deterioration.

Comparison of 10 noninvasive models for predicting overall survival in patients with intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma

Intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is heterogeneous in terms of tumor size, number, and effects on liver function. Various noninvasive models have been proposed to assess functional hepatic reserve or fibrosis severity in patients with HCC. This study assessed the feasibility of 10 noninvasive models and compared their prognostic ability for patients with intermediate-stage HCC.This study retrospectively enrolled 493 patients with intermediate-stage HCC who received treatment at China Medical University Hospital from January 2012 to November 2018. Demographic data, clinical features, and factors associated with overall survival (OS) were recorded at baseline. Receiver-operating characteristic curve analysis and the DeLong method were respectively employed to evaluate and compare the models' OS prediction performance.Of the 493 patients, 373 (75.7%) were male, and 275 (55.8%) had liver cirrhosis (LC). The median age was 64 years (interquartile range: 55-72). Most patients had tumor volume ≤50% (n = 424, 86.0%), and the maximum tumor size was 6.0 (4.0-8.5) cm. The median α-fetoprotein was 36.25 (6.13-552.91) ng/mL. The patients underwent transarterial chemoembolization (TACE, n = 349) or surgery (n = 144). The median follow-up period was 26.07 (9.77-48.27) months. Across the 10 models, the albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score had the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) (0.644, 95% confidence interval: 0.595-0.693) in all patients. In subgroup analyses, the Lok index, platelet-albumin-bilirubin score, ALBI score, and Lok index had the highest AUROC values in patients without cirrhosis, with cirrhosis, undergoing TACE, and undergoing surgery, respectively. Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that independent predictors of longer OS were ALBI grade 1 in all patients, patients with LC, and patients undergoing TACE and Lok index grade 1 in patients without LC and patients undergoing surgery.Among the 10 noninvasive models, ALBI score exhibited the highest diagnostic value in predicting OS for all patients, patients with cirrhosis, and those undergoing TACE, and Lok index grade exhibited the highest diagnostic value in predicting OS in patients without cirrhosis and those undergoing surgery.

Chemoembolization for Single Large Hepatocellular Carcinoma with Preserved Liver Function: Analysis of Factors Predicting Clinical Outcomes in a 302 Patient Cohort

The purpose of this study was to define the role of transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) in patients with a single large hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and define the patient groups benefiting from TACE. Treatment-naïve patients with preserved liver function who received TACE as the first-line treatment for single large (>5 cm) HCC without macrovascular invasion and extrahepatic metastasis between 2007 and 2019 were retrospectively analyzed. Overall survival, progression-free survival, radiologic tumor response, complications, and predictors of survival were analyzed using multivariate analysis, and then a pretreatment risk-prediction model was created using the four predictive factors of tumor size, tumor type, ALBI grade, and ECOG performance status. Patients with scores of 0 (n = 54), 1-2 (n = 170), and 3-6 (n = 78) according to the model were classified as low-, intermediate-, and high-risk, respectively. The corresponding median OS values were 141, 55, and 28 months, respectively. The percentage of major complications increased as tumor size increased (4-21%). Asymptomatic, nodular HCC patients with a tumor size of 5-7 cm and ALBI grade 1 benefited the most from TACE. By contrast, the value of TACE in the treatment of single huge HCC (>10 cm) with high complication rates remains unclear.

Refining Prognosis in Chemoembolization for Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Immunonutrition and Liver Function

A combination of albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grading and the Prognostic Nutritional Index (PNI) was identified recently as a highly predictive tool for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) undergoing tumor ablation. The present study evaluated this combination in patients undergoing transarterial chemoembolization (TACE). Between 2010 and 2020, 280 treatment-naïve patients were retrospectively identified. The influence of ALBI grade, PNI and the novel ALBI-PNI on the median overall survival (OS) was assessed. In the next step, the prognostic ability of the combined approach was compared to established scoring systems. Both ALBI grade 2-3 and a low PNI were highly predictive for median OS (ALBI grade 1-3: 39.0 vs. 16.3 vs. 5.4 months, p < 0.001; high vs. low PNI: 21.4 vs. 7.5, p < 0.001). The combination of both resulted in a median OS of 39.0, 20.1, 10.3, and 5.4 months (p < 0.001). With a Concordance Index (C-Index) of 0.69, ALBI-PNI outperformed each individual score (ALBI 0.65, PNI 0.64) and was also better than BCLC, HAP, mHAP-II, and the Six-and-Twelve score (C-Indices 0.66, 0.60, 0.59, and 0.55). Thus, the easy-to-calculate ALBI-PNI may be a promising stratification tool for patients with HCC undergoing TACE, reflecting both immunonutritive status and liver function.

Prognostic nomogram predicting survival of patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma after hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy (HAIC) has shown encouraging efficacy in the treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This study aims to establish and validate a novel nomogram to predict individualized survival outcomes for patients with unresectable HCC after HAIC.

METHODS

Between January 2016 and December 2018, 463 patients diagnosed with HCC who initially received HAIC were included in this study (training cohort: n = 308; validation cohort: n = 153). The prognostic nomogram was constructed based on the training cohort using the independent predictors assessed by the multivariate Cox proportional hazards model. The predictive accuracy and discriminative ability of the model were evaluated by the concordance index (C-index), calibration curve and area under the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (tdAUC) curve.

RESULTS

After a median follow-up of 35.4 months, 358 patients had died. Six factors, including C-reactive protein, albumin-bilirubin grade, alpha fetoprotein, extrahepatic metastasis, portal vein invasion and tumor size, were selected to establish the nomogram. In the training cohort, the C-index of the nomogram was 0.710, which was significantly better than that of six conventional staging systems (P < 0.001), and the nomogram had a higher tdAUC over time. The calibration curve showed good agreement between the predicted probability and actual outcome. According to specified values, the nomogram stratified patients into three or four risk groups (P < 0.001). Similar findings could be observed in the validation cohort.

CONCLUSION

The nomogram in this study accurately predicted the OS of patients with unresectable HCC after HAIC.

Redefining Tumor Burden in Patients with Intermediate-Stage Hepatocellular Carcinoma: The Seven-Eleven Criteria

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

For patients with intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), the definition of high tumor burden remains controversial. This study aimed to compare the prognostic value of different criteria of tumor burden in patients with intermediate-stage HCC undergoing transarterial chemoembolization (TACE).

METHODS

From 2007 to 2019, 632 treatment-naive patients with intermediate-stage HCC undergoing TACE were retrospectively enrolled. We compared different criteria of tumor burden in discriminating radiologic response and survival, including up-to-7, up-to-11, 5-7, 7 lesions criteria, and newly proposed 7-11 criteria.

RESULTS

The proportions of patients classified as high tumor burden were varied by different criteria. Among the 5 criteria, 7-11 criteria have the best performance to discriminate complete response (CR) and overall survival (OS) after TACE. In patients with low, intermediate, and high tumor burden classified by 7-11 criteria, the CR rate was 21, 12, and 2.5%, respectively (p < 0.001), and the median OS was 33.1, 22.3, and 11.9 months, respectively (p < 0.001). By multivariate analysis, 7-11 criteria were significantly associated with CR (intermediate vs. high burden, odds ratio = 4.617, p = 0.002; low vs. high burden, odds ratio = 8.675, p < 0.001) and OS (intermediate vs. high burden, hazard ratio = 0.650, p < 0.001; low vs. high burden, hazard ratio = 0.520, p < 0.001). Seven to 11 criteria also had the lowest corrected Akaike information criteria, highest homogeneity value, and highest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve in predicting 1-, 2-, and 3-year mortality among all criteria.

CONCLUSION

Conventional definitions of tumor burden were not optimal for patients with intermediate HCC. The new 7-11 criteria had the best discriminative power in predicting radiologic response and survival in patients with intermediate-stage HCC undergoing TACE.

Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio as a Biomarker Predicting Overall Survival after Chemoembolization for Intermediate-Stage Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Simple Summary

Baseline neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio ≥3 was a robust independent predictor of overall survival after chemoembolization for intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma, with the predictive value verified by cross-validation.

Abstract

The clinical impact of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) in predicting outcomes in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients treated with transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) remain unclear, and additional large-scale studies are required. This retrospective study evaluated outcomes in treatment-naïve patients who received TACE as first-line treatment for intermediate-stage HCC between 2008 and 2017. Patients who underwent TACE before and after 2013 were assigned to the development (n = 495) and validation (n = 436) cohorts, respectively. Multivariable Cox analysis identified six factors predictive of outcome, including NLR, which were used to create models predictive of overall survival (OS) in the development cohort. Risk scores of 0–3, 4–7, and 8–12 were defined as low, intermediate, and high risk, respectively. Median OS times in the low-, medium-, and high-risk groups in the validation cohort were 48.1, 24.3, and 9.7 months, respectively (p < 0.001). Application to the validation cohort of time-dependent ROC curves for models predictive of OS showed AUC values of 0.72 and 0.70 at 3 and 5 years, respectively. Multivariable logistic regression analysis found that NLR ≥ 3 was a significant predictor (odds ratio, 3.4; p < 0.001) of disease progression 6 months after TACE. Higher baseline NLR was predictive of poor prognosis in patients who underwent TACE for intermediate-stage HCC.

A prediction model for overall survival after transarterial chemoembolization for hepatocellular carcinoma invading the hepatic vein or inferior vena cava

OBJECTIVES

An effective therapeutic option has not yet been established for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) invading the hepatic vein (HV) or inferior vena cava (IVC). This study aimed to determine the therapeutic effect of transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) in HCC patients with HV or IVC invasion, and to build a risk prediction model.

METHODS

Data from patients who underwent TACE as a first-line treatment for HCC invading the HV or IVC between 1997 and 2019 were retrospectively evaluated.

RESULTS

Data from 296 patients were included (1997-2006 comprised the training cohort, n = 174; 2007-2019 comprised the validation cohort, n = 122). The median post-TACE survival was 7.3 months and an objective tumor response was achieved in 34.1% of patients. Multivariable Cox analysis of the training cohort identified five pretreatment factors (maximal tumor size > 10 cm, infiltrative HCC, combined portal vein invasion, extrahepatic metastasis, and ECOG performance status 1), which were used to create predictive models for overall survival. Median overall survival times in the validation cohort were 14 and 4.2 months for the low (sum of risk score: 0-3)- and high-risk (sum of risk score: 4-7) groups, respectively (p < 0.001). Time-dependent ROC curves for the predictive models for overall survival applied to the validation cohort showed acceptable AUC values (0.723 and 0.667 at 6 months and 1 year).

CONCLUSIONS

TACE seems effective for selected patients with HCC invading the HV or IVC. The predictive model may help to identify candidates most likely to benefit from TACE.

KEY POINTS

• To develop a risk prediction model for patients with HCC with HV or IVC invasion treated with TACE, five factors were selected from a multivariate Cox regression model for overall survival. • The combination of these factors helped to identify two prognostic categories: low- and high-risk. • The predictive model can help to select candidates who will benefit most from TACE in this patient group.

Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte and Platelet-to-Lymphocyte Ratios as Predictors of Outcomes in Patients With Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma Undergoing Transarterial Chemoembolization Plus Sorafenib

Objectives: To investigate the predictive value of inflammatory biomarkers in patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) for outcomes following the combination treatment of transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) plus sorafenib.

Materials and Methods: A total of 314 (270 male and 44 female) treatment-naïve patients with unresectable HCC treated by TACE plus sorafenib between January 2011 and December 2018 were enrolled in the retrospective study. The primary outcome was overall survival (OS). The secondary outcome was progression-free survival (PFS). Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) were obtained within 3–7 days before the initial TACE and the median value of the NLR and PLR was considered as the cut-off value.

Results: The median value of NLR and PLR was 2.42 and 100, respectively. The median OS and PFS of the entire cohort were 18.7 months (95% CI: 16.8–20.6) and 9.1 months (95% CI: 8.5–9.8), respectively. The low NLR and PLR group showed improved OS and PFS compared with the high NLR and PLR group [21.8 months (95% CI: 15.2–28.5) vs. 15.4 months (95% CI: 12.4–18.3), p < 0.0001; 21.6 months (95% CI: 15.8–27.5) vs. 14.9 months (95% CI: 11.9–17.8), p = 0.00027, respectively]. In addition, the low NLR and PLR group also provided a longer PFS than the high NLR and PLR group [10.4 months (95% CI: 8.9–12.0) vs. 8.1 months (95% CI: 7.1–9.2), p = 0.00022; 10.3 months (95% CI: 8.6–11.9) vs. 8.2 months (95% CI: 7.2–9.2), p < 0.0001, respectively]. High NLR and PLR at baseline were predictive factors of poor OS (p = 0.02 and p = 0.004) and PFS (p = 0.045 and p = 0.005).

Conclusion: This study showed the prognostic value of quantitative inflammatory biomarkers in correlation with OS and PFS in unresectable HCC patients undergoing TACE plus sorafenib treatment.

Albumin-Bilirubin (ALBI) Grade-Based Nomogram for Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma Undergoing Transarterial Chemoembolization

BACKGROUND/AIM

The prognosis of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) undergoing transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) is highly heterogeneous because of variable characteristics of tumor burden and liver dysfunction. We aimed to propose and validate an albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade-based prognostic nomogram for HCC patients undergoing TACE.

METHODS

A total of 1051 patients with HCC undergoing TACE were randomly assigned to derivation (n = 525) and validation (n = 526) set in this retrospective study based on prospective data. The multivariate Cox proportional hazards model in derivation set was used to generate the nomogram. The predictive accuracy of the nomogram was evaluated by discrimination and calibration tests.

RESULTS

In multivariate analysis, presence of ascites, ALBI grade 2-3, serum ɑ-fetoprotein level ≥ 400 ng/mL, total tumor volume ≥ 396 cm³, presence of vascular invasion, and poor performance status were independently associated with decreased survival of patients in the derivation set. Each patient had an individualized score from 0 to 41 by adding up the points from these six prognostic predictors. The nomogram generated from the derivation set had a concordance index of 0.72 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.63-0.82). Discrimination test in the validation set provided a good concordance index 0.72 (95% CI 0.62-0.81), and the calibration plots consistently matched the ideal 45-degree reference line for 3- and 5-year survival prediction.

CONCLUSIONS

The ALBI grade-based prognostic model can well discriminate the survival in HCC patients undergoing TACE. The proposed easy-to-use nomogram may accurately predict the survival at 3 and 5 years for individual HCC patient in the precision medicine era.

Locoregional therapy in hepatocellular carcinoma: when to start and when to stop and when to revisit

With increasing therapeutic options available for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), the timing and sequencing of locoregional and systemic therapy need to be re-examined. This is especially so for patients with intermediate HCC, so as to optimize responses while preserving liver reserves, and in so allowing our patients to achieve the best survival outcomes possible.