Machine learning method for predicting pacemaker implantation following transcatheter aortic valve replacement

Machine learning for pacemaker implantation prediction after TAVI using multimodal imaging data

Pacemaker implantation (PMI) after transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) is a common complication. While computed tomography (CT) scan data are known predictors of PMI, no machine learning (ML) model integrating CT with clinical, ECG, and transthoracic echocardiography (TTE) data has been proposed. This study investigates the contribution of ML methods to predict PMI after TAVI, with a focus on the role of CT imaging data. A retrospective analysis was conducted on a cohort of 520 patients who underwent TAVI. Recursive feature elimination with SHAP values was used to select key variables from clinical, ECG, TTE, and CT data. Six ML models, including Support Vector Machines (SVM), were trained using these selected variables. The model's performance was evaluated using AUC-ROC, F1 score, and accuracy metrics. The PMI rate was 18.8%. The best-performing model achieved an AUC-ROC of 92.1% ± 4.7, an F1 score of 71.8% ± 9.9, and an accuracy of 87.9% ± 4.7 using 22 variables, 9 of which were CT-based. Membranous septum measurements and their dynamic variations were critical predictors. Our ML model provides robust PMI predictions, enabling personalized risk assessments. The model is implemented online for broad clinical use.

Artificial intelligence in cardiac surgery: A systematic review

BACKGROUND

Artificial intelligence (AI) has emerged as a tool to potentially increase the efficiency and efficacy of cardiovascular care and improve clinical outcomes. This study aims to provide an overview of applications of AI in cardiac surgery.

METHODS

A systematic literature search on AI applications in cardiac surgery from inception to February 2024 was conducted. Articles were then filtered based on the inclusion and exclusion criteria and the risk of bias was assessed. Key findings were then summarized.

RESULTS

A total of 81 studies were found that reported on AI applications in cardiac surgery. There is a rapid rise in studies since 2020. The most popular machine learning technique was random forest (n = 48), followed by support vector machine (n = 33), logistic regression (n = 32), and eXtreme Gradient Boosting (n = 31). Most of the studies were on adult patients, conducted in China, and involved procedures such as valvular surgery (24.7%), heart transplant (9.4%), coronary revascularization (11.8%), congenital heart disease surgery (3.5%), and aortic dissection repair (2.4%). Regarding evaluation outcomes, 35 studies examined the performance, 26 studies examined clinician outcomes, and 20 studies examined patient outcomes.

CONCLUSION

AI was mainly used to predict complications following cardiac surgeries and improve clinicians' decision-making by providing better preoperative risk assessment, stratification, and prognostication. While the application of AI in cardiac surgery has greatly progressed in the last decade, further studies need to be conducted to verify accuracy and ensure safety before use in clinical practice.

Artificial Intelligence-Enabled Electrocardiography Predicts Future Pacemaker Implantation and Adverse Cardiovascular Events

Medical advances prolonging life have led to more permanent pacemaker implants. When pacemaker implantation (PMI) is commonly caused by sick sinus syndrome or conduction disorders, predicting PMI is challenging, as patients often experience related symptoms. This study was designed to create a deep learning model (DLM) for predicting future PMI from ECG data and assess its ability to predict future cardiovascular events. In this study, a DLM was trained on a dataset of 158,471 ECGs from 42,903 academic medical center patients, with additional validation involving 25,640 medical center patients and 26,538 community hospital patients. Primary analysis focused on predicting PMI within 90 days, while all-cause mortality, cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality, and the development of various cardiovascular conditions were addressed with secondary analysis. The study's raw ECG DLM achieved area under the curve (AUC) values of 0.870, 0.878, and 0.883 for PMI prediction within 30, 60, and 90 days, respectively, along with sensitivities exceeding 82.0% and specificities over 81.9% in the internal validation. Significant ECG features included the PR interval, corrected QT interval, heart rate, QRS duration, P-wave axis, T-wave axis, and QRS complex axis. The AI-predicted PMI group had higher risks of PMI after 90 days (hazard ratio [HR]: 7.49, 95% CI: 5.40-10.39), all-cause mortality (HR: 1.91, 95% CI: 1.74-2.10), CVD mortality (HR: 3.53, 95% CI: 2.73-4.57), and new-onset adverse cardiovascular events. External validation confirmed the model's accuracy. Through ECG analyses, our AI DLM can alert clinicians and patients to the possibility of future PMI and related mortality and cardiovascular risks, aiding in timely patient intervention.

How AI and Robotics Will Advance Interventional Radiology: Narrative Review and Future Perspectives

The rapid advancement of artificial intelligence (AI) and robotics has led to significant progress in various medical fields including interventional radiology (IR). This review focuses on the research progress and applications of AI and robotics in IR, including deep learning (DL), machine learning (ML), and convolutional neural networks (CNNs) across specialties such as oncology, neurology, and cardiology, aiming to explore potential directions in future interventional treatments. To ensure the breadth and depth of this review, we implemented a systematic literature search strategy, selecting research published within the last five years. We conducted searches in databases such as PubMed and Google Scholar to find relevant literature. Special emphasis was placed on selecting large-scale studies to ensure the comprehensiveness and reliability of the results. This review summarizes the latest research directions and developments, ultimately analyzing their corresponding potential and limitations. It furnishes essential information and insights for researchers, clinicians, and policymakers, potentially propelling advancements and innovations within the domains of AI and IR. Finally, our findings indicate that although AI and robotics technologies are not yet widely applied in clinical settings, they are evolving across multiple aspects and are expected to significantly improve the processes and efficacy of interventional treatments.

Machine-learning approaches for risk prediction in transcatheter aortic valve implantation: Systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVES

With the expanding integration of artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) into the structural heart domain, numerous ML models have emerged for the prediction of adverse outcomes after transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI). We aim to identify, describe, and critically appraise ML prediction models for adverse outcomes after TAVI. Key objectives consisted in summarizing model performance, evaluating adherence to reporting guidelines, and transparency.

METHODS

We searched PubMed, SCOPUS, and Embase through August 2023. We selected published machine learning models predicting TAVI outcomes. Two reviewers independently screened articles, extracted data, and assessed the study quality according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines. Outcomes included summary C-statistics and model risk of bias assessed with the Prediction Model Risk of Bias Assessment Tool. C-statistics were pooled using a random-effects model.

RESULTS

Twenty-one studies (118,153 patients) employing various ML algorithms (76 models) were included in the systematic review. Predictive ability of models varied: 11.8% inadequate (C-statistic <0.60), 26.3% adequate (C-statistic 0.60-0.70), 31.6% acceptable (C-statistic 0.70-0.80), and 30.3% demonstrated excellent (C-statistic >0.80) performance. Meta-analyses revealed excellent predictive performance for early mortality (C-statistic: 0.81; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.65-0.91), acceptable performance for 1-year mortality (C-statistic: 0.76; 95% CI, 0.67-0.84), and acceptable performance for predicting permanent pacemaker implantation (C-statistic: 0.75; 95% CI, 0.51-0.90).

CONCLUSIONS

ML models for TAVI outcomes exhibit adequate-to-excellent performance, suggesting potential clinical utility. We identified concerns in methodology and transparency, emphasizing the need for improved scientific reporting standards.

Artificial Intelligence in Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement: Its Current Role and Ongoing Challenges

Transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) has emerged as a viable alternative to surgical aortic valve replacement, as accumulating clinical evidence has demonstrated its safety and efficacy. TAVR indications have expanded beyond high-risk or inoperable patients to include intermediate and low-risk patients with severe aortic stenosis. Artificial intelligence (AI) is revolutionizing the field of cardiology, aiding in the interpretation of medical imaging and developing risk models for at-risk individuals and those with cardiac disease. This article explores the growing role of AI in TAVR procedures and assesses its potential impact, with particular focus on its ability to improve patient selection, procedural planning, post-implantation monitoring and contribute to optimized patient outcomes. In addition, current challenges and future directions in AI implementation are highlighted.

Cardiac pacing and lead devices management: 25 years of research at EP Europace journal

AIMS

Cardiac pacing represents a key element in the field of electrophysiology and the treatment of conduction diseases. Since the first issue published in 1999, EP Europace has significantly contributed to the development and dissemination of the research in this area.

METHODS

In the last 25 years, there has been a continuous improvement of technologies and a great expansion of clinical indications making the field of cardiac pacing a fertile ground for research still today. Pacemaker technology has rapidly evolved, from the first external devices with limited longevity, passing through conventional transvenous pacemakers to leadless devices. Constant innovations in pacemaker size, longevity, pacing mode, algorithms, and remote monitoring highlight that the fascinating and exciting journey of cardiac pacing is not over yet.

CONCLUSION

The aim of the present review is to provide the current 'state of the art' on cardiac pacing highlighting the most important contributions from the Journal in the field.

A prediction model for permanent pacemaker implantation after transcatheter aortic valve replacement

BACKGROUND

This study aims to develop a post-procedural risk prediction model for permanent pacemaker implantation (PPMI) in patients treated with transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR).

METHODS

336 patients undergoing TAVR at a single institution were included for model derivation. For primary analysis, multivariate logistic regression model was used to evaluate predictors and a risk score system was devised based on the prediction model. For secondary analysis, a Cox proportion hazard model was performed to assess characteristics associated with the time from TAVR to PPMI. The model was validated internally via bootstrap and externally using an independent cohort.

RESULTS

48 (14.3%) patients in the derivation set had PPMI after TAVR. Prior right bundle branch block (RBBB, OR: 10.46; p < 0.001), pre-procedural aortic valve area (AVA, OR: 1.41; p = 0.004) and post- to pre-procedural AVA ratio (OR: 1.72; p = 0.043) were identified as independent predictors for PPMI. AUC was 0.7 and 0.71 in the derivation and external validation set. Prior RBBB (HR: 5.07; p < 0.001), pre-procedural AVA (HR: 1.33; p = 0.001), post-procedural AVA to prosthetic nominal area ratio (HR: 0.02; p = 0.039) and post- to pre-procedural troponin-T difference (HR: 1.72; p = 0.017) are independently associated with time to PPMI.

CONCLUSIONS

The post-procedural prediction model achieved high discriminative power and accuracy for PPMI. The risk score system was constructed and validated, providing an accessible tool in clinical setting regarding the Chinese population.

Random forest vs. logistic regression: Predicting angiographic in-stent restenosis after second-generation drug-eluting stent implantation

As the rate of percutaneous coronary intervention increases, in-stent restenosis (ISR) has become a burden. Random forest (RF) could be superior to logistic regression (LR) for predicting ISR due to its robustness. We developed an RF model and compared its performance with the LR one for predicting ISR. We retrospectively included 1501 patients (age: 64.0 ± 10.3; male: 76.7%; ISR events: 279) who underwent coronary angiography at 9 to 18 months after implantation of 2nd generation drug-eluting stents. The data were randomly split into a pair of train and test datasets for model development and validation with 50 repeats. The predictive performance was assessed by the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC). The RF models predicted ISR with larger AUC-ROCs of 0.829 ± 0.025 compared to 0.784 ± 0.027 of the LR models. The difference was statistically significant in 29 of the 50 repeats. The RF and LR models had similar sensitivity using the same cutoff threshold, but the specificity was significantly higher in the RF models, reducing 25% of the false positives. By removing the high leverage outliers, the LR models had comparable AUC-ROC to the RF models. Compared to the LR, the RF was more robust and significantly improved the performance for predicting ISR. It could cost-effectively identify patients with high ISR risk and help the clinical decision of coronary stenting.

Predictors for the risk of permanent pacemaker implantation after transcatheter aortic valve replacement: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) is a less invasive treatment than surgery for severe aortic stenosis. However, its use is restricted by the fact that many patients eventually require permanent pacemaker implantation (PPMI). This meta-analysis was performed to identify predictors of post-TAVR PPMI.

METHODS

The PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and Cochrane Library databases were systematically searched. Relevant studies that met the inclusion criteria were included in the pooling analysis after quality assessment.

RESULTS

After pooling 67 studies on post-TAVR PPMI risk in 97,294 patients, balloon-expandable valve use was negatively correlated with PPMI risk compared with self-expandable valve (SEV) use (odds ratio [OR]: 0.44, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.37-0.53). Meta-regression analysis revealed that history of coronary artery bypass grafting and higher Society of Thoracic Surgeons (STS) risk score increased the risk of PPMI with SEV utilization. Patients with pre-existing cardiac conduction abnormalities in 28 pooled studies also had a higher risk of PPMI (OR: 2.33, 95% CI: 1.90-2.86). Right bundle branch block (OR: 5.2, 95% CI: 4.37-6.18) and first-degree atrioventricular block (OR: 1.97, 95% CI: 1.38-2.79) also increased PPMI risk. Although the trans-femoral approach was positively correlated with PPMI risk, the trans-apical pathway showed no statistical difference to the trans-femoral pathway. The approach did not increase PPMI risk in patients with STS scores >8. Patient-prosthesis mismatch did not influence post-TAVR PPMI risk (OR: 0.88, 95% CI: 0.67-1.16). We also analyzed implantation depth and found no difference between patients with PPMI after TAVR and those without.

CONCLUSIONS

SEV selection, pre-existing cardiac conduction abnormality, and trans-femoral pathway selection are positively correlated with PPMI after TAVR. Pre-existing left bundle branch block, patient-prosthesis mismatch, and implantation depth did not affect the risk of PPMI after TAVR.