New-onset atrial fibrillation incidence and associated outcomes in the medical intensive care unit

Does Atrial Fibrillation Deteriorate the Prognosis in Patients With Septic or Cardiogenic Shock?

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with increased risk of mortality in various clinical conditions. However, the prognostic role of preexisting and new-onset AF in critically ill patients, such as patients with septic or cardiogenic shock remains unclear. This study investigates the prognostic impact of preexisting and new-onset AF on 30-day all-cause mortality in patients with septic or cardiogenic shock. Consecutive patients with sepsis, or septic or cardiogenic shock were enrolled in 2 prospective, monocentric registries from 2019 to 2021. Statistical analyses included Kaplan-Meier, multivariable logistic, and Cox proportional regression analyses. In total, 644 patients were included (cardiogenic shock: n = 273; sepsis/septic shock: n = 361). The prevalence of AF was 41% (29% with preexisting AF, 12% with new-onset AF). Within the entire study cohort, neither preexisting AF (log-rank p = 0.542; hazard ratio [HR] 1.075, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.848 to 1.363, p = 0.551) nor new-onset AF (log-rank p = 0.782, HR = 0.957, 95% CI 0.683 to 1.340, p = 0.797) were associated with 30-day all-cause mortality compared with non-AF. In patients with AF, ventricular rates >120 beats/min compared with ≤120 beats/min were shown to increase the risk of reaching the primary end point in AF patients with cardiogenic shock (log-rank p = 0.006, HR 1.886, 95% CI 1.164 to 3.057, p = 0.010). Furthermore, logistic regression analyses suggested increased age was the only predictor of new-onset AF (odds ratio 1.042, 95% CI 1.018 to 1.066, p = 0.001). In conclusion, neither the presence of preexisting AF nor the occurrence of new-onset AF was associated with the risk of 30-day all-cause mortality in consecutive patients admitted with cardiogenic shock.