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Ma Z, Zeng H, Luo H, Liu Z, Jiang Y, Aoki Y, Wang W, Itoh Y, Lyu M, Cui Y, Yun SH, Hill EM, Wei S. Slow rupture in a fluid-rich fault zone initiated the 2024 Mw 7.5 Noto earthquake. Science 2024; 385:866-871. [PMID: 38963875 DOI: 10.1126/science.ado5143] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/06/2024] [Accepted: 06/25/2024] [Indexed: 07/06/2024]
Abstract
The 2024 moment magnitude 7.5 Noto Peninsula (Japan) earthquake caused devastation to communities and was generated by a complex rupture process. Using space geodetic and seismic observations, we have shown that the event deformed the peninsula with a peak uplift reaching 5 meters at the west coast. Shallow slip exceeded 10 meters on an offshore fault. Peak stress drop was greater than 10 megapascals. This devastating event began with a slow rupture propagation lasting 15 to 20 seconds near its hypocenter, where seismic swarms had surged since 2020 because of lower-crust fluid supply. The slow start was accompanied by intense high-frequency seismic radiation. These observations suggest a distinct coseismic slip mode reflecting high heterogeneity in fault properties within a fluid-rich fault zone.
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Affiliation(s)
- Zhangfeng Ma
- Earth Observatory of Singapore, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore
| | - Hongyu Zeng
- Earth Observatory of Singapore, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore
- Asian School of the Environment, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore
| | - Haipeng Luo
- Earth Observatory of Singapore, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore
- Department of Earth and Space Sciences, Southern University of Science and Technology, Shenzhen, China
| | - Zemin Liu
- The Institute of Geophysics, China Earthquake Administration, Beijing, China
| | - Yu Jiang
- Earth Observatory of Singapore, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore
| | - Yosuke Aoki
- Earthquake Research Institute, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Weitao Wang
- The Institute of Geophysics, China Earthquake Administration, Beijing, China
| | - Yuji Itoh
- Earthquake Research Institute, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
- Université Grenoble Alpes, Université Savoie Mont Blanc, CNRS, IRD, Université Gustave Eiffel, ISTerre, Grenoble, France
| | - Mingzhe Lyu
- Asian School of the Environment, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore
| | - Yan Cui
- School of Earth Sciences and Engineering, Hohai University, Nanjing, China
| | - Sang-Ho Yun
- Earth Observatory of Singapore, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore
- Asian School of the Environment, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore
- School of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore
| | - Emma M Hill
- Earth Observatory of Singapore, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore
- Asian School of the Environment, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore
| | - Shengji Wei
- Earth Observatory of Singapore, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore
- Asian School of the Environment, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore
- Key Laboratory of Deep Petroleum Intelligent Exploration and Development, Institute of Geology and Geophysics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
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2
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Li J, Kim T, Lapusta N, Biondi E, Zhan Z. The break of earthquake asperities imaged by distributed acoustic sensing. Nature 2023; 620:800-806. [PMID: 37532935 DOI: 10.1038/s41586-023-06227-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/18/2022] [Accepted: 05/16/2023] [Indexed: 08/04/2023]
Abstract
Rupture imaging of megathrust earthquakes with global seismic arrays revealed frequency-dependent rupture signatures1-4, but the role of high-frequency radiators remains unclear3-5. Similar observations of the more abundant crustal earthquakes could provide critical constraints but are rare without ultradense local arrays6,7. Here we use distributed acoustic sensing technology8,9 to image the high-frequency earthquake rupture radiators. By converting a 100-kilometre dark-fibre cable into a 10,000-channel seismic array, we image four high-frequency subevents for the 2021 Antelope Valley, California, moment-magnitude 6.0 earthquake. After comparing our results with long-period moment-release10,11 and dynamic rupture simulations, we suggest that the imaged subevents are due to the breaking of fault asperities-stronger spots or pins on the fault-that substantially modulate the overall rupture behaviour. An otherwise fading rupture propagation could be promoted by the breaking of fault asperities in a cascading sequence. This study highlights how we can use the extensive pre-existing fibre networks12 as high-frequency seismic antennas to systematically investigate the rupture process of regional moderate-sized earthquakes. Coupled with dynamic rupture modelling, it could improve our understanding of earthquake rupture dynamics.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jiaxuan Li
- Seismological Laboratory, Division of Geological and Planetary Sciences, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, USA.
| | - Taeho Kim
- Mechanical and Civil Engineering, Division of Engineering and Applied Science, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, USA
| | - Nadia Lapusta
- Seismological Laboratory, Division of Geological and Planetary Sciences, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, USA
- Mechanical and Civil Engineering, Division of Engineering and Applied Science, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, USA
| | - Ettore Biondi
- Seismological Laboratory, Division of Geological and Planetary Sciences, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, USA
| | - Zhongwen Zhan
- Seismological Laboratory, Division of Geological and Planetary Sciences, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, USA
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3
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Zhang K, Wang Y, Luo Y, Zhao D, Wang M, Yang F, Wu Z. Complex tsunamigenic near-trench seafloor deformation during the 2011 Tohoku-Oki earthquake. Nat Commun 2023; 14:3260. [PMID: 37277348 DOI: 10.1038/s41467-023-38970-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/30/2023] [Accepted: 05/22/2023] [Indexed: 06/07/2023] Open
Abstract
The near-trench coseismic rupture behaviour of the 2011 Tohoku-Oki earthquake remains poorly understood due to the scarcity of near-field observations. Differential bathymetry offers a unique approach to studying offshore coseismic seafloor deformation but has a limited horizontal resolution. Here we use differential bathymetry estimates with improved horizontal resolutions to investigate near-trench coseismic slip behaviours in the 2011 Tohoku-Oki earthquake. In the main rupture region, a velocity-strengthening behaviour in the shallow fault is observed. By contrast, the seafloor uplift decreases towards the trench, but the trend inverts near the backstop interface outcrop, revealing significant off-fault deformation features. Amongst various competing off-fault effects observed, we suggest that inelastic deformation plays a predominant role in near-trench tsunami excitation. Large trench-bleaching rupture is also observed immediately north of 39°, delimiting the northern extent of the main rupture region. Overall, striking spatial heterogeneity of the shallow rupture behaviour is revealed for the region.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kai Zhang
- College of Geodesy and Geomatics, Shandong University of Science and Technology, Qingdao, China
- Key Laboratory of Submarine Geosciences, Second Institute of Oceanography, Ministry of Natural Resources, Hangzhou, China
- Key Laboratory of Ocean Geomatics, Ministry of Natural Resources, Qingdao, China
| | - Yanru Wang
- College of Geodesy and Geomatics, Shandong University of Science and Technology, Qingdao, China
| | - Yu Luo
- College of Geodesy and Geomatics, Shandong University of Science and Technology, Qingdao, China
| | - Dineng Zhao
- Key Laboratory of Submarine Geosciences, Second Institute of Oceanography, Ministry of Natural Resources, Hangzhou, China
- Key Laboratory of Ocean Geomatics, Ministry of Natural Resources, Qingdao, China
| | - Mingwei Wang
- Key Laboratory of Submarine Geosciences, Second Institute of Oceanography, Ministry of Natural Resources, Hangzhou, China
| | - Fanlin Yang
- College of Geodesy and Geomatics, Shandong University of Science and Technology, Qingdao, China.
- Key Laboratory of Ocean Geomatics, Ministry of Natural Resources, Qingdao, China.
| | - Ziyin Wu
- Key Laboratory of Submarine Geosciences, Second Institute of Oceanography, Ministry of Natural Resources, Hangzhou, China.
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Carno LAS, Turner JJ, Martin PG. Modelling 'Type B' ejecta formation reveals reactor Unit 1 conditions during the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Disaster. Sci Rep 2023; 13:3686. [PMID: 36878970 PMCID: PMC9988873 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-023-30903-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/13/2022] [Accepted: 03/03/2023] [Indexed: 03/08/2023] Open
Abstract
For the first time, a model was developed to simulate the cooling of the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant reactor Unit 1-derived, 'Type B' radiocaesium bearing microparticles, distributed into the environment during the 2011 nuclear meltdown. By establishing an analogy between 'Type B' CsMP and volcanic pyroclasts, the presented model simulates the rapid cooling of an effervescent silicate melt fragment upon atmospheric release. The model successfully reproduced the bi-modal distribution of internal void diameters observed in 'Type B' CsMP, however, discrepancies resulted primarily due to the neglection of surface tension and internal void coalescence. The model was subsequently utilised to estimate the temperature within reactor Unit 1 in the instant preceding the hydrogen explosion-between 1900 and 1980 K. Such a model demonstrates the accuracy of the volcanic pyroclast-'Type B' CsMP analogue, and confirms radial variations in cooling rate as the cause of the vesicular texture of Unit 1 ejecta. The presented findings provide scope to further explore the comparison between volcanic pyroclasts and 'Type B' CsMP via experimentation, which will provide a deeper understanding of the specific conditions within reactor Unit 1 during the catastrophic meltdown at the Japanese coastal plant.
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Affiliation(s)
- Lior A S Carno
- HH Wills Physics Laboratory, School of Physics, University of Bristol, Tyndall Avenue, Bristol, BS8 1TL, UK
| | - Jack J Turner
- HH Wills Physics Laboratory, School of Physics, University of Bristol, Tyndall Avenue, Bristol, BS8 1TL, UK
| | - Peter G Martin
- HH Wills Physics Laboratory, Interface Analysis Centre, School of Physics, University of Bristol, Tyndall Avenue, Bristol, BS8 1TL, UK.
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Hosoya M, Nakano H, Hashimoto K, Ohira T, Sakai A, Shimabukuro M, Yasumura S, Ohto H, Kamiya K. Influence of post-disaster evacuation on childhood obesity and liver dysfunction: The Fukushima Health Management Survey. Pediatr Int 2023; 65:e15663. [PMID: 38009919 DOI: 10.1111/ped.15663] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/02/2023] [Revised: 08/10/2023] [Accepted: 08/23/2023] [Indexed: 11/29/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND After the Great East Japan Earthquake and subsequent Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant accident in 2011, the Fukushima Prefectural Government launched a long-term health management survey for the population of Fukushima. Results of the Comprehensive Health Check (CHC) showed that some children aged 6-15 years, who resided in the evacuation area at the time of the disaster, had obesity, hyperlipidemia, liver dysfunction, and/or renal dysfunction from as early as 2011. The aim of the present study was to determine the long-term trend of obesity and hepatic enzyme abnormalities in Fukushima children. METHODS We evaluated the changes in body mass index standard deviation score (BMI-SDS), aspartate aminotransferase, alanine aminotransferase, and gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase from 2011 to 2018. RESULTS Obesity (BMI-SDS ≥ 2) was significantly associated with hepatobiliary enzyme abnormalities. The mean BMI-SDS was significantly higher in 2011 after the disaster, but then soon showed a gradual decrease. The frequency of obesity did not increase significantly after the disaster. There were no significant differences in the prevalence of hepatobiliary enzyme abnormalities in the children aged 6-15 years of either sex from 2011 to 2018. CONCLUSIONS In the present study, we found that the increase in the mean BMI-SDS after the disaster was temporary, suggesting that the frequency of obesity and liver dysfunction might not have been significantly influenced by the disaster.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mitsuaki Hosoya
- Radiation Medical Science Center for the Fukushima Health Management Survey, Fukushima, Japan
- Department of Pediatrics, Fukushima Medical University School of Medicine, Fukushima, Japan
| | - Hironori Nakano
- Radiation Medical Science Center for the Fukushima Health Management Survey, Fukushima, Japan
- Department of Epidemiology, Fukushima Medical University School of Medicine, Fukushima, Japan
| | - Koichi Hashimoto
- Radiation Medical Science Center for the Fukushima Health Management Survey, Fukushima, Japan
- Department of Pediatrics, Fukushima Medical University School of Medicine, Fukushima, Japan
| | - Tetsuya Ohira
- Radiation Medical Science Center for the Fukushima Health Management Survey, Fukushima, Japan
- Department of Epidemiology, Fukushima Medical University School of Medicine, Fukushima, Japan
| | - Akira Sakai
- Radiation Medical Science Center for the Fukushima Health Management Survey, Fukushima, Japan
- Department of Radiation Life Science, Fukushima Medical University School of Medicine, Fukushima, Japan
| | - Michio Shimabukuro
- Radiation Medical Science Center for the Fukushima Health Management Survey, Fukushima, Japan
- Department of Diabetes, Endocrinology and Metabolism, Fukushima Medical University School of Medicine, Fukushima, Japan
| | - Seiji Yasumura
- Radiation Medical Science Center for the Fukushima Health Management Survey, Fukushima, Japan
- Department of Public Health, Fukushima Medical University School of Medicine, Fukushima, Japan
| | - Hitoshi Ohto
- Radiation Medical Science Center for the Fukushima Health Management Survey, Fukushima, Japan
| | - Kenji Kamiya
- Radiation Medical Science Center for the Fukushima Health Management Survey, Fukushima, Japan
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6
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Kawasaki Y, Nakano H, Hayashi F, Hosoya M, Yasumura S, Ohira T, Satoh H, Suzuki H, Takahashi A, Sakai A, Shimabukuro M, Ohto H, Kamiya K. Obesity and glucose metabolism abnormalities by post-disaster evacuation. Pediatr Int 2023; 65:e15400. [PMID: 36308487 DOI: 10.1111/ped.15400] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/19/2022] [Revised: 09/23/2022] [Accepted: 10/23/2022] [Indexed: 01/06/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The objectives of this study were to determine the longer-term trends in childhood obesity and glucose metabolism abnormalities among residents of Fukushima Prefecture 5 years after the Great East Japan Earthquake. METHODS We evaluated the changes in height, weight, body mass index (BMI), BMI SD score, fasting plasma glucose (FPG) concentration, and hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) among elementary and junior high school residents who had lived in the evacuation zone between 2011 and 2015. RESULTS Of the residents, 11,112 received health checks in 2011, while in 2012, 2013, 2014, and 2015, 5,737, 4522, 4297 and 3405 received health checks, respectively. The mean BMI SD score for all participants in 2011 was 0.149, and this score gradually decreased from 2011 to 2015. FPG levels and HbA1c levels for all participants with a BMI value +2SD or more in 2011 were higher than those in residents with a BMI value of less than +2SD. The frequency of participants with a FPG level of 126 mg/dl or more and the frequency of participants with a HbA1c level of 6.5% or more in 2011 were higher than those in 2012, 2013, and 2015. CONCLUSIONS These results suggest that a number of pediatric residents suffered from obesity and glucose metabolism abnormalities. However, the longer-term observations indicated an improvement in obesity and glucose metabolism abnormalities. There was a strong association observed between obesity and glucose metabolism, thus, it is important to continue with health checks for children with obesity and strive to improve their health.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yukihiko Kawasaki
- Radiation Medical Science Center for the Fukushima Health Management Survey, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima, Japan.,Department of Epidemiology, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima, Japan
| | - Hironori Nakano
- Department of Pediatrics, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima, Japan
| | - Fumikazu Hayashi
- Department of Pediatrics, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima, Japan
| | - Mitsuaki Hosoya
- Radiation Medical Science Center for the Fukushima Health Management Survey, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima, Japan.,Department of Epidemiology, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima, Japan
| | - Seiji Yasumura
- Radiation Medical Science Center for the Fukushima Health Management Survey, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima, Japan.,Department of Public Health, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima, Japan
| | - Tetsuya Ohira
- Radiation Medical Science Center for the Fukushima Health Management Survey, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima, Japan.,Department of Pediatrics, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima, Japan
| | - Hiroaki Satoh
- Radiation Medical Science Center for the Fukushima Health Management Survey, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima, Japan.,Department of Metabolism and Endocrinology, Juntendo University, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Hitoshi Suzuki
- Radiation Medical Science Center for the Fukushima Health Management Survey, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima, Japan.,Department of Cardiology and Hematology, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima, Japan
| | - Atsushi Takahashi
- Radiation Medical Science Center for the Fukushima Health Management Survey, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima, Japan.,Department of Gastroenterology, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima, Japan
| | - Akira Sakai
- Radiation Medical Science Center for the Fukushima Health Management Survey, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima, Japan.,Department of Radiation Life Sciences, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima, Japan
| | - Michio Shimabukuro
- Radiation Medical Science Center for the Fukushima Health Management Survey, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima, Japan.,Department of Metabolism and Endocrinology, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima, Japan
| | - Hitoshi Ohto
- Radiation Medical Science Center for the Fukushima Health Management Survey, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima, Japan
| | - Kenji Kamiya
- Radiation Medical Science Center for the Fukushima Health Management Survey, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima, Japan
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7
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Integrated mechanical environment of pre- and post-rupture fault and asperity origin of the 2011 giant Tohoku-Oki earthquake. Sci Rep 2022; 12:21211. [PMID: 36482173 PMCID: PMC9731991 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-022-25433-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/11/2022] [Accepted: 11/29/2022] [Indexed: 12/13/2022] Open
Abstract
It is a key to know mechanical environment (ME) of pre- and post-rupture fault of giant earthquakes at subduction zones for predicting earthquake and tsunami disaster. However, we know little about its details till now. In this paper, using the inverted stress change three hours before and three hours after the mainshock in the rupture zone of the 2011 Tohoku-Oki Mw 9.0 earthquake, we show a quantitative integrated ME in the rupture zone, including principal stress, pore-fluid pressure and friction strength. We discover from this environment a large asperity composed of two asperities induced by relatively high friction coefficients and relatively lower pore-fluid pressures. The integrate ME quantitatively explained the reasons of the overshoot and relatively lower shear strength of the trench, which caused huge displacement and tsunami at the trench. We suggest that the asperities favor the horst and graben structure system which provides a geology environment for interseismic stress accumulation and thus for breeding the megathrust tsunami earthquake.
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8
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Intermittent lab earthquakes in dynamically weakening fault gouge. Nature 2022; 606:922-929. [PMID: 35650443 DOI: 10.1038/s41586-022-04749-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/16/2021] [Accepted: 04/08/2022] [Indexed: 11/08/2022]
Abstract
Large and destructive earthquakes on mature faults in Earth's crust occur as slip in a layer of a fine granular material-fault gouge-produced by comminution during sliding1,2. A range of insights into the frictional resistance of faults-one of the main factors controlling earthquake nucleation, dynamic propagation and arrest, and hence the destructive ground shaking of earthquakes2,3-has been obtained in experiments with spatially uniform slip imposed in small samples2,4-21. However, how various features of gouge friction combine to determine spontaneous progression of earthquakes is difficult to study in the lab owing to substantial challenges with sample sizes and adequate imaging22. Here, using lab experiments, we show that spontaneously propagating dynamic ruptures navigate a fault region with fine rock gouge through complex, intermittent slip processes with dramatic friction evolution. These include repeated arrest of rupture propagation caused by friction strengthening at lower slip rates and dynamic earthquake re-nucleation enabled by pronounced rapid friction weakening at higher slip rates consistent with flash heating8,12,23. The spontaneous repeated weakening and strengthening of friction in fine rock gouge highlights the fundamental dependence of friction on slip rate and associated processes, such as shear heating, localization and delocalization of shear, and dilation and compaction of the shear layer6,7,9-21. Our findings expand experimental support9,11 of the concept that co-seismic weakening may enable earthquake rupture to break through stable fault regions24,25, with substantial implications for seismic hazard.
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9
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Determining spatio-temporal characteristics of coseismic travelling ionospheric disturbances (CTID) in near real-time. Sci Rep 2021; 11:20783. [PMID: 34675366 PMCID: PMC8531289 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-021-99906-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/01/2021] [Accepted: 09/30/2021] [Indexed: 11/20/2022] Open
Abstract
Earthquakes are known to generate ionospheric disturbances that are commonly referred to as co-seismic travelling ionospheric disturbances (CTID). In this work, for the first time, we present a novel method that enables to automatically detect CTID in ionospheric GNSS-data, and to determine their spatio-temporal characteristics (velocity and azimuth of propagation) in near-real time (NRT), i.e., less than 15 min after an earthquake. The obtained instantaneous velocities allow us to understand the evolution of CTID and to estimate the location of the CTID source in NRT. Furthermore, also for the first time, we developed a concept of real-time travel-time diagrams that aid to verify the correlation with the source and to estimate additionally the propagation speed of the observed CTID. We apply our methods to the Mw7.4 Sanriku earthquake of 09/03/2011 and the Mw9.0 Tohoku earthquake of 11/03/2011, and we make a NRT analysis of the dynamics of CTID driven by these seismic events. We show that the best results are achieved with high-rate 1 Hz data. While the first tests are made on CTID, our method is also applicable for detection and determining of spatio-temporal characteristics of other travelling ionospheric disturbances that often occur in the ionosphere driven by many geophysical phenomena.
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10
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Rundle JB, Stein S, Donnellan A, Turcotte DL, Klein W, Saylor C. Reports on progress in physics the complex dynamics of earthquake fault systems: new approaches to forecasting and nowcasting of earthquakes. REPORTS ON PROGRESS IN PHYSICS. PHYSICAL SOCIETY (GREAT BRITAIN) 2021; 84:076801. [PMID: 33857928 DOI: 10.1088/1361-6633/abf893] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/20/2020] [Accepted: 04/15/2021] [Indexed: 06/12/2023]
Abstract
Charles Richter's observation that 'only fools and charlatans predict earthquakes,' reflects the fact that despite more than 100 years of effort, seismologists remain unable to do so with reliable and accurate results. Meaningful prediction involves specifying the location, time, and size of an earthquake before it occurs to greater precision than expected purely by chance from the known statistics of earthquakes in an area. In this context, 'forecasting' implies a prediction with a specification of a probability of the time, location, and magnitude. Two general approaches have been used. In one, the rate of motion accumulating across faults and the amount of slip in past earthquakes is used to infer where and when future earthquakes will occur and the shaking that would be expected. Because the intervals between earthquakes are highly variable, these long-term forecasts are accurate to no better than a hundred years. They are thus valuable for earthquake hazard mitigation, given the long lives of structures, but have clear limitations. The second approach is to identify potentially observable changes in the Earth that precede earthquakes. Various precursors have been suggested, and may have been real in certain cases, but none have yet proved to be a general feature preceding all earthquakes or to stand out convincingly from the normal variability of the Earth's behavior. However, new types of data, models, and computational power may provide avenues for progress using machine learning that were not previously available. At present, it is unclear whether deterministic earthquake prediction is possible. The frustrations of this search have led to the observation that (echoing Yogi Berra) 'it is difficult to predict earthquakes, especially before they happen.' However, because success would be of enormous societal benefit, the search for methods of earthquake prediction and forecasting will likely continue. In this review, we note that the focus is on anticipating the earthquake rupture before it occurs, rather than characterizing it rapidly just after it occurs. The latter is the domain of earthquake early warning, which we do not treat in detail here, although we include a short discussion in the machine learning section at the end.
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Affiliation(s)
- John B Rundle
- Department of Physics and Astronomy, University of California, Davis, CA 95616, United States of America
- Department of Earth & Planetary Sciences, University of California, Davis, CA 95616, United States of America
- Santa Fe Institute, 1399 Hyde Park Rd, Santa Fe, NM 87501, United States of America
| | - Seth Stein
- Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences and Institute for Policy Research, Northwestern University, Evanston, IL 60208, United States of America
| | - Andrea Donnellan
- Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, 4800 Oak Grove Drive, Pasadena, CA 91109, United States of America
| | - Donald L Turcotte
- Department of Earth & Planetary Sciences, University of California, Davis, CA 95616, United States of America
| | - William Klein
- Department of Physics, Boston University, Boston, MA 02215, United States of America
| | - Cameron Saylor
- Department of Physics and Astronomy, University of California, Davis, CA 95616, United States of America
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11
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Li D, Liu Y. Cascadia megathrust earthquake rupture model constrained by geodetic fault locking. PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS. SERIES A, MATHEMATICAL, PHYSICAL, AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES 2021; 379:20200135. [PMID: 33715408 DOI: 10.1098/rsta.2020.0135] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 11/06/2020] [Indexed: 05/25/2023]
Abstract
Paleo-earthquakes along the Cascadia subduction zone inferred from offshore sediments and Japan coastal tsunami deposits approximated to M9+ and ruptured the entire margin. However, due to the lack of modern megathrust earthquake records and general quiescence of subduction fault seismicity, the potential megathrust rupture scenario and influence of downdip limit of the seismogenic zone are still obscure. In this study, we present a numerical simulation of Cascadia subduction zone earthquake sequences in the laboratory-derived rate-and-state friction framework to investigate the potential influence of the geodetic fault locking on the megathrust sequences. We consider the rate-state friction stability parameter constrained by geodetic fault locking models derived from decadal GPS records, tidal gauge and levelling-derived uplift rate data along the Cascadia margin. We incorporate historical coseismic subsidence inferred from coastal marine sediments to validate our coseismic rupture scenarios. Earthquake rupture pattern is strongly controlled by the downdip width of the seismogenic, velocity-weakening zone and by the earthquake nucleation zone size. In our model, along-strike heterogeneous characteristic slip distance is required to generate margin-wide ruptures that result in reasonable agreement between the synthetic and observed coastal subsidence for the AD 1700 Cascadia Mw∼9.0 megathrust rupture. Our results suggest the geodetically inferred fault locking model can provide a useful constraint on earthquake rupture scenarios in subduction zones. This article is part of the theme issue 'Fracture dynamics of solid materials: from particles to the globe'.
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Affiliation(s)
- Duo Li
- Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Munich University, Theresienstrasse 41, 80333 Munich, Germany
| | - Yajing Liu
- Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences McGill University, 3450 University Street, Montréal, Québec, Canada
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12
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Tracing woody-organic tsunami deposits of the 2011 Tohoku-oki event in Misawa (Japan). Sci Rep 2021; 11:8947. [PMID: 33903640 PMCID: PMC8076248 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-021-88199-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/21/2020] [Accepted: 04/09/2021] [Indexed: 11/16/2022] Open
Abstract
With a minimum of three reported waves, the 2011 Tohoku-oki tsunami’s destructive force caused massive damage along the northern Japanese Aomori coast. At Misawa the coastal control area was inundated up to 550 m inland and sandy sediment remnants can be traced to c. 350 m (c. 61–63% of the maximum inundation) from the shoreline. Linking the discovery of floatable plastic objects within a woody and organic layer to our analytical data lead to the detection of a yet undocumented woody-organic tsunami deposit first appearing on top of the sandy deposit but then reaching even further inland (approx. 69–72% of the max. inundation). By this observation our understanding of the documented part of the tsunami inundation may be improved. As a consequence, sand sheets of historic and paleo-tsunamis represent minimum estimates for the coastal inundation and underestimation may be reduced by addressing the woody and organic fraction of a tsunami’s inundation.
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13
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Lyubushin A. Low-Frequency Seismic Noise Properties in the Japanese Islands. ENTROPY (BASEL, SWITZERLAND) 2021; 23:474. [PMID: 33923624 PMCID: PMC8073826 DOI: 10.3390/e23040474] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/16/2021] [Revised: 04/13/2021] [Accepted: 04/15/2021] [Indexed: 11/17/2022]
Abstract
The records of seismic noise in Japan for the period of 1997-2020, which includes the Tohoku seismic catastrophe on 11 March 2011, are considered. The following properties of noise are analyzed: The wavelet-based Donoho-Johnston index, the singularity spectrum support width, and the entropy of the wavelet coefficients. The question of whether precursors of strong earthquakes can be formulated on their basis is investigated. Attention is paid to the time interval after the Tohoku mega-earthquake to the trends in the mean properties of low-frequency seismic noise, which reflect the constant simplification of the statistical structure of seismic vibrations. Estimates of two-dimensional probability densities of extreme values are presented, which highlight the places in which extreme values of seismic noise properties are most often realized. The estimates of the probability densities of extreme values coincide with each other and have a maximum in the region: 30° N ≤ Lat ≤ 34° N, 136° E ≤ Lon≤ 140° E. The main conclusions of the conducted studies are that the preparation of a strong earthquake is accompanied by a simplification of the structure of seismic noise. It is shown that bursts of coherence between the time series of the day length and the noise properties within annual time window precede bursts of released seismic energy. The value of the lag in the release of seismic energy relative to bursts of coherence is about 1.5 years, which can be used to declare a time interval of high seismic hazard after reaching the peak of coherence.
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Affiliation(s)
- Alexey Lyubushin
- Institute of Physics of the Earth, Russian Academy of Sciences, 123242 Moscow, Russia
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14
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Jiang J, Bock Y, Klein E. Coevolving early afterslip and aftershock signatures of a San Andreas fault rupture. SCIENCE ADVANCES 2021; 7:7/15/eabc1606. [PMID: 33837071 PMCID: PMC8034852 DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.abc1606] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/26/2020] [Accepted: 02/23/2021] [Indexed: 05/26/2023]
Abstract
Large earthquakes often lead to transient deformation and enhanced seismic activity, with their fastest evolution occurring at the early, ephemeral post-rupture period. Here, we investigate this elusive phase using geophysical observations from the 2004 moment magnitude 6.0 Parkfield, California, earthquake. We image continuously evolving afterslip, along with aftershocks, on the San Andreas fault over a minutes-to-days postseismic time span. Our results reveal a multistage scenario, including immediate onset of afterslip following tens-of-seconds-long coseismic shaking, short-lived slip reversals within minutes, expanding afterslip within hours, and slip migration between subparallel fault strands within days. The early afterslip and associated stress changes appear synchronized with local aftershock rates, with increasing afterslip often preceding larger aftershocks, suggesting the control of afterslip on fine-scale aftershock behavior. We interpret complex shallow processes as dynamic signatures of a three-dimensional fault-zone structure. These findings highlight important roles of aseismic source processes and structural factors in seismicity evolution, offering potential prospects for improving aftershock forecasts.
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Affiliation(s)
- Junle Jiang
- School of Geosciences, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK, USA.
| | - Yehuda Bock
- Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
| | - Emilie Klein
- Laboratoire de Géologie, Département de Géosciences, ENS, CNRS, UMR 8538, PSL Research University, France
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15
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Zhan Z, Cantono M, Kamalov V, Mecozzi A, Müller R, Yin S, Castellanos JC. Optical polarization-based seismic and water wave sensing on transoceanic cables. Science 2021; 371:931-936. [PMID: 33632843 DOI: 10.1126/science.abe6648] [Citation(s) in RCA: 26] [Impact Index Per Article: 8.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/13/2020] [Accepted: 01/11/2021] [Indexed: 11/02/2022]
Abstract
Seafloor geophysical instrumentation is challenging to deploy and maintain but critical for studying submarine earthquakes and Earth's interior. Emerging fiber-optic sensing technologies that can leverage submarine telecommunication cables present an opportunity to fill the data gap. We successfully sensed seismic and water waves over a 10,000-kilometer-long submarine cable connecting Los Angeles, California, and Valparaiso, Chile, by monitoring the polarization of regular optical telecommunication channels. We detected multiple moderate-to-large earthquakes along the cable in the 10-millihertz to 5-hertz band. We also recorded pressure signals from ocean swells in the primary microseism band, implying the potential for tsunami sensing. Our method, because it does not require specialized equipment, laser sources, or dedicated fibers, is highly scalable for converting global submarine cables into continuous real-time earthquake and tsunami observatories.
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Affiliation(s)
- Zhongwen Zhan
- Seismological Laboratory, Division of Geological and Planetary Sciences, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, USA.
| | | | | | - Antonio Mecozzi
- Department of Physical and Chemical Sciences, University of L'Aquila, Coppito, Italy
| | | | | | - Jorge C Castellanos
- Seismological Laboratory, Division of Geological and Planetary Sciences, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, USA
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16
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Structural and compositional characteristics of Fukushima release particulate material from Units 1 and 3 elucidates release mechanisms, accident chronology and future decommissioning strategy. Sci Rep 2020; 10:22056. [PMID: 33328563 PMCID: PMC7744541 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-020-79169-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/22/2020] [Accepted: 12/04/2020] [Indexed: 12/01/2022] Open
Abstract
The structural form and elemental distribution of material originating from different Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant reactors (Units 1 and 3) is hereby examined to elucidate their contrasting release dynamics and the current in-reactor conditions to influence future decommissioning challenges. Complimentary computed X-ray absorption tomography and X-ray fluorescence data show that the two suites of Si-based material sourced from the different reactor Units have contrasting internal structure and compositional distribution. The known event and condition chronology correlate with the observed internal and external structures of the particulates examined, which suggest that Unit 1 ejecta material sustained a greater degree of melting than that likely derived from reactor Unit 3. In particular, we attribute the near-spherical shape of Unit 1 ejecta and their internal voids to there being sufficient time for surface tension to round these objects before the hot (and so relatively low viscosity) silicate melt cooled to form glass. In contrast, a more complex internal form associated with the sub-mm particulates invoked to originate from Unit 3 suggest a lower peak temperature, over a longer duration. Using volcanic analogues, we consider the structural form of this material and how it relates to its environmental particulate stability and the bulk removal of residual materials from the damaged reactors. We conclude that the brittle and angular Unit 3 particulate are more susceptible to further fragmentation and particulate generation hazard than the round, higher-strength, more homogenous Unit 1 material.
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17
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Illuminating the physics of dynamic friction through laboratory earthquakes on thrust faults. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 2020; 117:21095-21100. [PMID: 32817539 DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2004590117] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/18/2022] Open
Abstract
Large, destructive earthquakes often propagate along thrust faults including megathrusts. The asymmetric interaction of thrust earthquake ruptures with the free surface leads to sudden variations in fault-normal stress, which affect fault friction. Here, we present full-field experimental measurements of displacements, particle velocities, and stresses that characterize the rupture interaction with the free surface, including the large normal stress reductions. We take advantage of these measurements to investigate the dependence of dynamic friction on transient changes in normal stress, demonstrate that the shear frictional resistance exhibits a significant lag in response to such normal stress variations, and identify a predictive frictional formulation that captures this effect. Properly accounting for this delay is important for simulations of fault slip, ground motion, and associated tsunami excitation.
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18
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Martin P, Alhaddad O, Verbelen Y, Satou Y, Igarashi Y, Scott TB. Project IPAD, a database to catalogue the analysis of Fukushima Daiichi accident fragmental release material. Sci Data 2020; 7:282. [PMID: 32859938 PMCID: PMC7455553 DOI: 10.1038/s41597-020-00626-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/27/2020] [Accepted: 08/06/2020] [Indexed: 11/15/2022] Open
Abstract
The 2011 accident at Japan's Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant released a considerable inventory of radioactive material into the local and global environments. While the vast majority of this contamination was in the form of gaseous and aerosol species, of which a large component was distributed out over the neighbouring Pacific Ocean (where it was subsequently deposited), a substantial portion of the radioactive release was in particulate form and was deposited across Fukushima Prefecture. To provide an underpinning understanding of the dynamics of this catastrophic accident, alongside assisting in the off-site remediation and eventual reactor decommissioning activities, the 'International Particle Analysis Database', or 'IPAD', was established to serve as an interactive repository for the continually expanding analysis dataset of the sub-mm ejecta particulate. In addition to a fully interrogatable database of analysis results for registered users (exploiting multiple search methods), the database also comprises an open-access front-end for members of the public to engage with the multi-national analysis activities by exploring a streamlined version of the data.
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Affiliation(s)
- Peter Martin
- School of Physics, University of Bristol, Tyndall Avenue, Bristol, BS8 1TL, UK.
| | - Omran Alhaddad
- School of Computer Science, University of Bristol, Merchant Venturers Building, Bristol, BS8 1UB, UK
| | - Yannick Verbelen
- School of Physics, University of Bristol, Tyndall Avenue, Bristol, BS8 1TL, UK
| | - Yukihiko Satou
- Collaborative Laboratories for Advanced Decommissioning Science, Japan Atomic Energy Agency, Tomioka-Machi, Futaba-gun, Fukushima, 979-1151, Japan
| | - Yasuhito Igarashi
- Institute for Integrated Radiation and Nuclear Science, Kyoto University, Kumatori-cho, Sennan-gun, Osaka, 590-0494, Japan
| | - Thomas B Scott
- School of Physics, University of Bristol, Tyndall Avenue, Bristol, BS8 1TL, UK
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19
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Ramírez-Herrera MT, Corona N, Cerny J, Castillo-Aja R, Melgar D, Lagos M, Goguitchaichvili A, Machain ML, Vazquez-Caamal ML, Ortuño M, Caballero M, Solano-Hernandez EA, Ruiz-Fernández AC. Sand deposits reveal great earthquakes and tsunamis at Mexican Pacific Coast. Sci Rep 2020; 10:11452. [PMID: 32651547 PMCID: PMC7351727 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-020-68237-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/21/2020] [Accepted: 06/22/2020] [Indexed: 11/11/2022] Open
Abstract
Globally, instrumentally based assessments of tsunamigenic potential of subduction zones have underestimated the magnitude and frequency of great events because of their short time record. Historical and sediment records of large earthquakes and tsunamis have expanded the temporal data and estimated size of these events. Instrumental records suggests that the Mexican Subduction earthquakes produce relatively small tsunamis, however historical records and now geologic evidence suggest that great earthquakes and tsunamis have whipped the Pacific coast of Mexico in the past. The sediment marks of centuries old-tsunamis validate historical records and indicate that large tsunamigenic earthquakes have shaken the Guerrero-Oaxaca region in southern Mexico and had an impact on a bigger stretch of the coast than previously suspected. We present the first geologic evidence of great tsunamis near the trench of a subduction zone previously underestimated as potential source for great earthquakes and tsunamis. Two sandy tsunami deposits extend over 1.5 km inland of the coast. The youngest tsunami deposit is associated with the 1787 great earthquake, M 8.6, producing a giant tsunami that poured over the coast flooding 500 km alongshore the Mexican Pacific coast and up to 6 km inland. The oldest event from a less historically documented event occurred in 1537. The 1787 earthquake, and tsunami and a probable predecessor in 1537, suggest a plausible recurrence interval of 250 years. We prove that the common believe that great tsunamis do not occur on the Mexican Pacific coast cannot be sustained.
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Affiliation(s)
- María-Teresa Ramírez-Herrera
- Laboratorio de Tsunamis y Paleosismología, Instituto de Geografía, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Mexico, Mexico.
| | - Néstor Corona
- COLMICH, Centro de Estudios de Geografía Humana, Michoacán, México.,Laboratorio de Tsunamis y Paleosismología, UNAM, Mexico, México
| | - Jan Cerny
- Laboratorio de Tsunamis y Paleosismología, Instituto de Geografía, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Mexico, Mexico
| | - Rocío Castillo-Aja
- Depto. de Geografía y Ord. Territorial, CUCSH. Universidad de Guadalajara, Mexico, México
| | - Diego Melgar
- Department of Earth Sciences, University of Oregon, Oregon, USA
| | - Marcelo Lagos
- Instituto de Geografía, Laboratorio de Tsunamis, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile
| | - Avto Goguitchaichvili
- Instituto de Geofísica, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Unidad Michoacán, Mexico, México
| | - María Luisa Machain
- Instituto de Ciencias del Mar y Limnología, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Mexico, Mexico
| | | | - María Ortuño
- Ciencias de La Tierra, Universidad de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Margarita Caballero
- Instituto de Geofísica, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Unidad Michoacán, Mexico, México
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20
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Kawasaki Y, Nakano H, Hosoya M, Yasumura S, Ohira T, Satoh H, Suzuki H, Sakai A, Ohtsuru A, Takahashi A, Kobashi G, Kamiya K. Influence of post-disaster evacuation on childhood obesity and hyperlipidemia. Pediatr Int 2020; 62:669-676. [PMID: 31961051 DOI: 10.1111/ped.14162] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/26/2019] [Revised: 12/22/2019] [Accepted: 01/15/2020] [Indexed: 12/01/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The objectives of this study were to determine the longer-term trends in childhood obesity and hyperlipidemia among residents of Fukushima Prefecture 5 years after the Great East Japan Earthquake. METHODS We evaluated the changes in height, weight, body mass index (BMI) standard deviation score (BMI-SDS), low-density lipoprotein-cholesterol (LDL-CHO), high-density lipoprotein-cholesterol (HDL-CHO), and triglyceride (TG) in residents aged 7-15 years who had lived in the evacuation zone between 2011 and 2015. RESULTS (i) the mean BMI SDS in all residents in 2011 was 0.113, and the mean BMI-SDS in all residents gradually decreased from 2011 to 2015; (ii) serum LDL-CHO levels and TG levels in all residents with a BMI value ≧ 2SD in 2011 were higher than those in residents with a BMI value <2SD; (iii) the frequency of residents with an LDL-CHO level ≥ 140 mg/dl in 2012, 2013, and 2014 did not decrease in comparison with that in 2011, whereas the frequency of residents with an LDL-CHO level of ≥ 140 mg/dl in 2015 was lower than that in 2011. The frequency of residents with a TG level ≥ 120 mg/dl increased over the 5 years. CONCLUSIONS These results suggest that a number of pediatric residents suffered from obesity and hyperlipidemia. Furthermore, the long-term observation indicated an improvement in obesity, although the improvement in lipid abnormalities was delayed compared with that in obesity. Thus, it is necessary to continue with health checks for these residents with obesity and/or hyperlipidemia.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yukihiko Kawasaki
- Radiation Medical Science Center for the Fukushima Health Management Survey, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima, Japan.,Departments of, Department of, Pediatrics, Sapporo Medical University School of Medicine, Sapporo, Japan
| | - Hironori Nakano
- Department of, Epidemiology, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima, Japan
| | - Mitsuaki Hosoya
- Radiation Medical Science Center for the Fukushima Health Management Survey, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima, Japan
| | - Seiji Yasumura
- Radiation Medical Science Center for the Fukushima Health Management Survey, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima, Japan.,Department of, Public Health, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima, Japan
| | - Tetsuya Ohira
- Radiation Medical Science Center for the Fukushima Health Management Survey, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima, Japan.,Department of, Epidemiology, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima, Japan
| | - Hiroaki Satoh
- Radiation Medical Science Center for the Fukushima Health Management Survey, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima, Japan.,Department of, Metabolism and Endocrinology, Juntendo University, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Hitoshi Suzuki
- Radiation Medical Science Center for the Fukushima Health Management Survey, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima, Japan.,Department of, Cardiology and Hematology, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima, Japan
| | - Akira Sakai
- Radiation Medical Science Center for the Fukushima Health Management Survey, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima, Japan.,Department of, Radiation Life Sciences, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima, Japan
| | - Akira Ohtsuru
- Radiation Medical Science Center for the Fukushima Health Management Survey, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima, Japan.,Department of, Radiation Health Management, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima, Japan
| | - Atsushi Takahashi
- Radiation Medical Science Center for the Fukushima Health Management Survey, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima, Japan.,Department of, Gastroenterology and Rheumatology, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima, Japan
| | - Gen Kobashi
- Department of Public Health, Dokkyo Medical University, Tochigi, Japan
| | - Kenji Kamiya
- Radiation Medical Science Center for the Fukushima Health Management Survey, Fukushima Medical University, Fukushima, Japan
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21
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Tomography of the source zone of the great 2011 Tohoku earthquake. Nat Commun 2020; 11:1163. [PMID: 32127532 PMCID: PMC7054414 DOI: 10.1038/s41467-020-14745-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 25] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/10/2019] [Accepted: 01/28/2020] [Indexed: 11/24/2022] Open
Abstract
The mechanism and rupture process of the giant 2011 Tohoku-oki earthquake (Mw 9.0) are still poorly understood due to lack of permanent near-field observations. Using seismic arrival times recorded by dense seismograph networks on land and at ocean floor, we determine a detailed seismic tomography model of the megathrust zone beneath the Tohoku forearc. Our results show that the coseismic slip of the 2011 Tohoku-oki earthquake initiated at a boundary between a down-dip high-velocity anomaly and an up-dip low-velocity anomaly. The slow anomaly at shallow depths near the Japan trench may reflect low-rigidity materials that are close to the free surface, resulting in large slip and weak high-frequency radiation. Our new tomographic model can account for not only large slip near the trench but also weak high-frequency radiation from the shallow rupture areas. Using data recorded by a new seafloor seismic network, the authors reveal the detailed 3D structure of the source zone of the great 2011 Tohoku-oki earthquake, which sheds new light on the mechanism of the great earthquake and tsunami.
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22
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Martin PG, Jones CP, Cipiccia S, Batey DJ, Hallam KR, Satou Y, Griffiths I, Rau C, Richards DA, Sueki K, Ishii T, Scott TB. Compositional and structural analysis of Fukushima-derived particulates using high-resolution x-ray imaging and synchrotron characterisation techniques. Sci Rep 2020; 10:1636. [PMID: 32005927 PMCID: PMC6994464 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-020-58545-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/06/2019] [Accepted: 01/16/2020] [Indexed: 11/24/2022] Open
Abstract
Both the three-dimensional internal structure and elemental distribution of near-field radioactive fallout particulate material released during the March 2011 accident at the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant is analysed using combined high-resolution laboratory and synchrotron radiation x-ray techniques. Results from this study allow for the proposition of the likely formation mechanism of the particles, as well as the potential risks associated with their existence in the environment, and the likely implications for future planned reactor decommissioning. A suite of particles is analyzed from a locality 2 km from the north-western perimeter of the site – north of the primary contaminant plume in an area formerly attributed to being contaminated by fallout from reactor Unit 1. The particles are shown to exhibit significant structural similarities; being amorphous with a textured exterior, and containing inclusions of contrasting compositions, as well as an extensive internal void volume – bimodal in its size distribution. A heterogeneous distribution of the various elemental constituents is observed inside a representative particle, which also exhibited a Fukushima-derived radiocesium (134Cs, 135Cs and 137Cs) signature with negligible natural Cs. We consider the structure and composition of the particle to suggest it formed from materials associated with the reactor Unit 1 building explosion, with debris fragments embedded into the particles surface. Such a high void ratio, comparable to geological pumice, suggests such material formed during a rapid depressurisation and is potentially susceptible to fragmentation through attrition.
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Affiliation(s)
- Peter G Martin
- Interface Analysis Centre, School of Physics, University of Bristol, Bristol, BS8 1TL, UK.
| | - Christopher P Jones
- Interface Analysis Centre, School of Physics, University of Bristol, Bristol, BS8 1TL, UK
| | - Silvia Cipiccia
- Diamond Light Source, Harwell Science and Innovation Campus, Didcot, Oxfordshire, OX11 0DE, UK
| | - Darren J Batey
- Diamond Light Source, Harwell Science and Innovation Campus, Didcot, Oxfordshire, OX11 0DE, UK
| | - Keith R Hallam
- Interface Analysis Centre, School of Physics, University of Bristol, Bristol, BS8 1TL, UK
| | - Yukihiko Satou
- Collaborative Laboratories for Advanced Decommissioning Science (CLADS), Japan Atomic Energy Agency (JAEA), Tomioka-Machi, Futaba-gun, Fukushima, 979-1151, Japan
| | - Ian Griffiths
- Department of Materials, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX1 3PH, UK
| | - Christoph Rau
- Diamond Light Source, Harwell Science and Innovation Campus, Didcot, Oxfordshire, OX11 0DE, UK
| | - David A Richards
- School of Geographical Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, BS8 1SS, UK
| | - Keisuke Sueki
- Faculty of Pure and Applied Sciences, University of Tsukuba, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, 305-8571, Japan
| | - Tatsuya Ishii
- Faculty of Pure and Applied Sciences, University of Tsukuba, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, 305-8571, Japan
| | - Thomas B Scott
- Interface Analysis Centre, School of Physics, University of Bristol, Bristol, BS8 1TL, UK
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23
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Coastal Boulder Deposits of the Neogene World: A Synopsis. JOURNAL OF MARINE SCIENCE AND ENGINEERING 2019. [DOI: 10.3390/jmse7120446] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/16/2022]
Abstract
Modern geoscience research pays significant attention to Quaternary coastal boulder deposits, although the evidence from the earlier geologic periods can be of great importance. The undertaken compilation of the literature permits to indicate 21 articles devoted to such deposits of Neogene age. These are chiefly case studies. Such an insufficiency of investigations may be linked to poor preservation potential of coastal boulder deposits and methodological difficulties. Equal attention has been paid by geoscientists to Miocene and Pliocene deposits. Taking into account the much shorter duration of the Pliocene, an overemphasis of boulders of this age becomes evident. Hypothetically, this can be explained by more favorable conditions for boulder formation, including a larger number of hurricanes due to the Pliocene warming. Geographically, the studies of the Neogene coastal boulder deposits have been undertaken in different parts of the world, but generally in those locations where rocky shores occur nowadays. The relevance of these deposits to storms and tsunamis, rocky shores and deltas, gravity processes, and volcanism has been discussed; however, some other mechanisms of boulder production, transportation, and accumulation (e.g., linked to seismicity and weathering) have been missed.
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24
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Muto J, Moore JDP, Barbot S, Iinuma T, Ohta Y, Iwamori H. Coupled afterslip and transient mantle flow after the 2011 Tohoku earthquake. SCIENCE ADVANCES 2019; 5:eaaw1164. [PMID: 31579819 PMCID: PMC6760927 DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.aaw1164] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/19/2018] [Accepted: 09/03/2019] [Indexed: 06/10/2023]
Abstract
Modeling of postseismic deformation following great earthquakes has revealed the viscous structure of the mantle and the frictional properties of the fault interface. However, for giant megathrust events, viscoelastic flow and afterslip mechanically interplay with each other during the postseismic period. We explore the role of afterslip and viscoelastic relaxation and their interaction in the aftermath of the 2011 M w (moment magnitude) 9.0 Tohoku earthquake based on a detailed model analysis of the postseismic deformation with laterally varying, experimentally constrained, rock rheology. Mechanical coupling between viscoelastic relaxation and afterslip notably modifies both the afterslip distribution and surface deformation. Thus, we highlight the importance of addressing mechanical coupling for long-term studies of postseismic relaxation, especially in the context of the geodynamics of the Japan trench across the seismic cycle.
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Affiliation(s)
- J. Muto
- Department of Earth Science, Tohoku University, Sendai, Japan
| | - J. D. P. Moore
- Earth Observatory of Singapore, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore, Singapore
| | - S. Barbot
- Earth Observatory of Singapore, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore, Singapore
- Department of Earth Sciences, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA
| | - T. Iinuma
- Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Yokohama, Japan
| | - Y. Ohta
- Department of Geophysics, Tohoku University, Sendai, Japan
| | - H. Iwamori
- Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Yokosuka, Japan
- Earthquake Research Institute, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
- Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Tokyo Institute of Technology, Tokyo, Japan
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25
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Masoudi P, Le Coz M, Cazala C, Saito K. Spatial properties of soil analyses and airborne measurements for reconnaissance of soil contamination by 137Cs after Fukushima nuclear accident in 2011. JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RADIOACTIVITY 2019; 202:74-84. [PMID: 30832960 DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvrad.2018.11.014] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/27/2018] [Revised: 11/12/2018] [Accepted: 11/24/2018] [Indexed: 06/09/2023]
Abstract
Following Fukushima nuclear disaster, several data gathering campaigns surveyed the radionuclide propagation in the environment. However, the acquired datasets do not have the same sampling dimension. For example, the airborne measurements are some sort of averaging over a circular field of view, beneath the sensor; while the soil analyses are much more punctual. The objective of this work is to compare the soil samples and an airborne survey to investigate whether these two datasets reflect the same spatial patterns or not. This is prerequisite for combining the multiresolution data to create and update the contamination map in a post-accidental situation. The analyses were performed on square tiles of 20 km side to study large- and small-dimension variations in 137Cs deposition. The former was modelled by fitting a plane (called trend) to the georeferenced data points; and the latter was modelled by computing the difference (called residual) between the trend and the initial data. Dip direction and dip angle of trends as well as minimum spatial correlation distance and anisotropy of residuals were computed for both the soil and airborne datasets and compared. Dip directions are compatible in 73% of the tiles and dip angles are generally close. Anisotropy directions are compatible in 49% of the tiles and minimum spatial correlation distances are significantly more marked for the airborne dataset. The soil samples and airborne measurements are therefore more in agreement in large-dimension (trend) rather than in small-dimension (residual) variations. More generally, both the datasets allow highlighting the main contamination plumes distinguishable because of high concentration values. The airborne dataset yet appears to be more powerful to quantify spatial correlations, which could be linked to the contamination mechanisms.
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Affiliation(s)
- Pedram Masoudi
- Institut de Radioprotection et de Sûreté Nucléaire (IRSN), PSE-ENV/SEDRE, 31 Avenue de la Division Leclerc, 92260, Fontenay-aux-Roses, France
| | - Mathieu Le Coz
- Institut de Radioprotection et de Sûreté Nucléaire (IRSN), PSE-ENV/SEDRE, 31 Avenue de la Division Leclerc, 92260, Fontenay-aux-Roses, France
| | - Charlotte Cazala
- Institut de Radioprotection et de Sûreté Nucléaire (IRSN), PSE-ENV/SEDRE, 31 Avenue de la Division Leclerc, 92260, Fontenay-aux-Roses, France.
| | - Kimiaki Saito
- Japan Atomic Energy Agency, 178-4-4 Wakashiba, Kashiwa, Chiba, 227-0871, Japan
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26
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Makino A, Xu J, Nishimura J, Isogai E. Detection of Clostridium perfringens in tsunami deposits after the Great East Japan Earthquake. Microbiol Immunol 2019; 63:179-185. [PMID: 31045261 DOI: 10.1111/1348-0421.12682] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/17/2019] [Revised: 04/02/2019] [Accepted: 04/09/2019] [Indexed: 11/27/2022]
Abstract
The Great East Japan Earthquake struck off the Tohoku and caused a tsunami in 2011. Most of the microbial characteristics of tsunami-affected soil remain unknown and no published study has shown how a tsunami affects the risk of infection by Clostridium perfringens living in soil. In 2011 and 2015, C. perfringens was assessed in deposits in soil from tsunami-damaged areas and undamaged areas of Miyagi. It was found that the number of C. perfringens was overwhelmingly greater in 2011 than in 2015 in the tsunami-damaged areas. According to real-time PCR, the prevalence C. perfringens organisms (%) was 103 fold greater in the damaged than in the undamaged areas.
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Affiliation(s)
- Asuka Makino
- Laboratory of Animal Microbiology, Graduate School of Agricultural Science, Tohoku University, Sendai, Japan
| | - Jun Xu
- Laboratory of Animal Microbiology, Graduate School of Agricultural Science, Tohoku University, Sendai, Japan
| | - Junko Nishimura
- Department of Life and Environmental Science, Hachinohe Institute of Technology, Hachinohe, Japan.,Cluster of Agricultural Sciences, Fukushima University, Kanayagawa, Fukushima, Japan
| | - Emiko Isogai
- Laboratory of Animal Microbiology, Graduate School of Agricultural Science, Tohoku University, Sendai, Japan
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27
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Megathrust earthquake drives drastic organic carbon supply to the hadal trench. Sci Rep 2019; 9:1553. [PMID: 30733607 PMCID: PMC6367409 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-019-38834-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 17] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/14/2018] [Accepted: 01/08/2019] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
Abstract
The giant 2011 Tohoku-oki earthquake has been inferred to remobilise fine-grained, young surface sediment enriched in organic matter from the slope into the >7 km deep Japan Trench. Yet, this hypothesis and assessment of its significance for the carbon cycle has been hindered by limited data density and resolution in the hadal zone. Here we combine new high-resolution bathymetry data with sub-bottom profiler images and sediment cores taken during 2012–2016 in order to map for the first time the spatial extent of the earthquake-triggered event deposit along the hadal Japan Trench. We quantify a sediment volume of ~0.2 km3 deposited from spatially-widespread remobilisation of young surficial seafloor slope sediments triggered by the 2011 earthquake and its aftershock sequence. The mapped volume and organic carbon content in sediment cores encompassing the 2011 event reveals that this single tectonic event delivered >1 Tg of organic carbon to the hadal trench. This carbon supply is comparable to high carbon fluxes described for other Earth system processes, shedding new light on the impact of large earthquakes on long-term carbon cycling in the deep-sea.
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28
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Astafyeva E, Shults K. Ionospheric GNSS Imagery of Seismic Source: Possibilities, Difficulties, and Challenges. JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH. SPACE PHYSICS 2019; 124:534-543. [PMID: 31008005 PMCID: PMC6472473 DOI: 10.1029/2018ja026107] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/18/2018] [Revised: 11/20/2018] [Accepted: 12/07/2018] [Indexed: 06/09/2023]
Abstract
Up to now, the possibility to obtain images of seismic source from ionospheric Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) measurements (seismo-ionospheric imagery) has only been demonstrated for giant earthquakes with moment magnitude Mw ≥ 9.0. In this work, we discuss difficulties and restrictions of this method, and we apply for the first time the seismo-ionospheric imagery for smaller earthquakes. The latter is done on the example of the Mw7.4 Sanriku-oki earthquake of 9 March 2011. Analysis of 1-Hz data of total electron content (TEC) shows that the first coseismic ionospheric disturbances (CID) occur ~470-480 s after the earthquake as TEC enhancement on the east-northeast from the epicenter. The location of these first CID arrivals corresponds to the location of the coseismic uplift that is known as the source of tsunamis. Our results confirm that despite several difficulties and limitations, high-rate ionospheric GNSS data can be used for determining the seismic source parameters for both giant and smaller/moderate earthquakes. In addition to these seismo-ionospheric applications, we raise several fundamental questions on CID nature and evolution, namely, one of the most challenging queries-can moderate earthquake generate shock-acoustic waves?
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Affiliation(s)
- E. Astafyeva
- Institut de Physique du Globe de Paris, Paris Sorbonne‐Cité, CNRS UMR 7154Paris CedexFrance
| | - K. Shults
- Institut de Physique du Globe de Paris, Paris Sorbonne‐Cité, CNRS UMR 7154Paris CedexFrance
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29
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Suzuki S, Takeishi Y. Molecular mechanisms and clinical features of heart failure. Fukushima J Med Sci 2018; 64:116-124. [PMID: 30344205 DOI: 10.5387/fms.2018-17] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/12/2022] Open
Abstract
Heart failure (HF) is a common disease with high prevalence, mortality in hospitalization and after discharge, readmission rates, and burden on healthcare system. Activation of the inflammatory systems is an important role for HF progression, and pentraxin 3 (PTX3) is one of the inflammatory markers. The plasma PTX3 levels increased with advancing the HF severity, and high levels of plasma PTX3 indicated poor prognosis in HF patients. Moreover, we demonstrated that PTX3 had the crucial role for cardiac remodeling under pressure overload using two different genotypes of mice: PTX3 systemic knockout mice and transgenic mice with cardiac-specific overexpression of PTX3.Diuretics are the essential drug for HF treatment, and we designed multicenter, randomized study for evaluating the efficacy and safety of tolvaptan compared to carperitide. Daily urine volume and serum sodium levels were significantly higher, and cardiovascular events were significantly lower in the tolvaptan group than in the carperitide group. Moreover, we investigated the influence of great earthquake in HF patients, and found out that moving into temporary housing by earthquake might affect the incidence of re-hospitalization due to worsening HF.In this review article, we would introduce our research on HF which has various aspects as described above.
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Affiliation(s)
- Satoshi Suzuki
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Fukushima Medical University.,Cardiology Department, Takeda General Hospital
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30
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Guillas S, Sarri A, Day SJ, Liu X, Dias F. Functional emulation of high resolution tsunami modelling over Cascadia. Ann Appl Stat 2018. [DOI: 10.1214/18-aoas1142] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/19/2022]
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31
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Thomas D, Bagiya MS, Sunil PS, Rolland L, Sunil AS, Mikesell TD, Nayak S, Mangalampalli S, Ramesh DS. Revelation of early detection of co-seismic ionospheric perturbations in GPS-TEC from realistic modelling approach: Case study. Sci Rep 2018; 8:12105. [PMID: 30108250 PMCID: PMC6092341 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-018-30476-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/08/2017] [Accepted: 07/29/2018] [Indexed: 11/16/2022] Open
Abstract
GPS-derived Total Electron Content (TEC) is an integrated quantity; hence it is difficult to relate the detection of ionospheric perturbations in TEC to a precise altitude. As TEC is weighted by the maximum ionospheric density, the corresponding altitude (hmF2) is, generally, assumed as the perturbation detection altitude. To investigate the validity of this assumption in detail, we conduct an accurate analysis of the GPS-TEC measured early ionospheric signatures related to the vertical surface displacement of the Mw 7.4 Sanriku-Oki earthquake (Sanriku-Oki Tohoku foreshock). Using 3D acoustic ray tracing model to describe the evolution of the propagating seismo-acoustic wave in space and time, we demonstrate how to infer the detection altitude of these early signatures in TEC. We determine that the signatures can be detected at altitudes up to ~130 km below the hmF2. This peculiar behaviour is attributed to the satellite line of sight (LOS) geometry and station location with respect to the source, which allows one to sound the co-seismic ionospheric signatures directly above the rupture area. We show that the early onset times correspond to crossing of the LOS with the acoustic wavefront at lower ionospheric altitudes. To support the proposed approach, we further reconstruct the seismo-acoustic induced ionospheric signatures for a moving satellite in the presence of a geomagnetic field. Both the 3D acoustic ray tracing model and the synthetic waveforms from the 3D coupled model substantiate the observed onset time of the ionospheric signatures. Moreover, our simple 3D acoustic ray tracing approach allows one to extend this analysis to azimuths different than that of the station-source line.
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Affiliation(s)
- Dhanya Thomas
- Indian Institute of Geomagnetism, Navi Mumbai, India
| | - Mala S Bagiya
- Indian Institute of Geomagnetism, Navi Mumbai, India.
| | - Poikayil Sukumaran Sunil
- Indian Institute of Geomagnetism, Navi Mumbai, India.,Department of Marine Geology and Geophysics, Cochin University of Science and Technology, Kochi, India
| | - Lucie Rolland
- Université Côte d'Azur, OCA, CNRS, IRD, Géoazur, Sophia-Antipolis, Valbonne, France
| | | | - T Dylan Mikesell
- Environmental Seismology Laboratory, Department of Geosciences, Boise State University, Boise, Idaho, USA
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32
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Wu CK. A game theory approach for assessing risk value and deploying search-and-rescue resources after devastating tsunamis. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH 2018; 162:18-26. [PMID: 29275086 DOI: 10.1016/j.envres.2017.12.008] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/23/2017] [Revised: 11/19/2017] [Accepted: 12/12/2017] [Indexed: 06/07/2023]
Abstract
The current early-warning system and tsunami protection measures tend to fall short because they always underestimate the level of destruction, and it is difficult to predict the level of damage by a devastating tsunami on uncertain targets. As we know, the key to minimizing the total number of fatalities after a disaster is the deployment of search and rescue efforts in the first few hours. However, the resources available to the affected districts for emergency response may be limited. This study proposes two game theoretic models that are designed for search-and-rescue resource allocation. First, the interactions between a compounded disaster and a response agent in the affected district are modelled as a non-cooperative game, after which the risk value is derived for each district from the Nash equilibrium. The risk value represents the threat, vulnerability, and consequence of a specific disaster for the affected district. Second, the risk values for fifteen districts are collected for calculation of each district's Shapley value. Then an acceptable plan for resource deployment among all districts is made based on their expected marginal contribution. The model is verified in a simulation based upon 2011 tsunami data. The experimental results show the proposed approach to be more efficient than the proportional division of rescue resources, for dealing with compounded disaster, and is feasible as a method for planning the mobilization of resources and to improve relief efforts against devastating tsunamis.
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Affiliation(s)
- Cheng-Kuang Wu
- Zhejiang Industry & Trade Vocational College, No. 717, Fudong Road, Wenzhou City, Zhejiang Province, China.
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33
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Hüpers A, Torres ME, Owari S, McNeill LC, Dugan B, Henstock TJ, Milliken KL, Petronotis KE, Backman J, Bourlange S, Chemale F, Chen W, Colson TA, Frederik MCG, Guèrin G, Hamahashi M, House BM, Jeppson TN, Kachovich S, Kenigsberg AR, Kuranaga M, Kutterolf S, Mitchison FL, Mukoyoshi H, Nair N, Pickering KT, Pouderoux HFA, Shan Y, Song I, Vannucchi P, Vrolijk PJ, Yang T, Zhao X. Release of mineral-bound water prior to subduction tied to shallow seismogenic slip off Sumatra. Science 2017; 356:841-844. [PMID: 28546210 DOI: 10.1126/science.aal3429] [Citation(s) in RCA: 50] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/04/2016] [Revised: 12/09/2016] [Accepted: 04/28/2017] [Indexed: 11/02/2022]
Abstract
Plate-boundary fault rupture during the 2004 Sumatra-Andaman subduction earthquake extended closer to the trench than expected, increasing earthquake and tsunami size. International Ocean Discovery Program Expedition 362 sampled incoming sediments offshore northern Sumatra, revealing recent release of fresh water within the deep sediments. Thermal modeling links this freshening to amorphous silica dehydration driven by rapid burial-induced temperature increases in the past 9 million years. Complete dehydration of silicates is expected before plate subduction, contrasting with prevailing models for subduction seismogenesis calling for fluid production during subduction. Shallow slip offshore Sumatra appears driven by diagenetic strengthening of deeply buried fault-forming sediments, contrasting with weakening proposed for the shallow Tohoku-Oki 2011 rupture, but our results are applicable to other thickly sedimented subduction zones including those with limited earthquake records.
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Affiliation(s)
- Andre Hüpers
- MARUM-Center for Marine Environmental Sciences, University of Bremen, Post Office Box 330 440, D-28334 Bremen, Germany.
| | - Marta E Torres
- College of Earth, Ocean and Atmospheric Sciences, Oregon State University, 104 CEOAS Administration Building, Corvallis, OR 97331-5503, USA
| | - Satoko Owari
- Department of Earth Sciences, Chiba University, 1-33 Yayoi-cho, Inage-ku, Chiba City 263-8522, Japan
| | - Lisa C McNeill
- Ocean and Earth Science, National Oceanography Centre Southampton, University of Southampton, Southampton S014 3ZH, UK
| | - Brandon Dugan
- Department of Geophysics, Colorado School of Mines, Golden, CO 80401, USA
| | - Timothy J Henstock
- Ocean and Earth Science, National Oceanography Centre Southampton, University of Southampton, Southampton S014 3ZH, UK
| | - Kitty L Milliken
- Bureau of Economic Geology, 1 University Station, Box X, Austin, TX 78713, USA
| | - Katerina E Petronotis
- International Ocean Discovery Program, Texas A&M University, 1000 Discovery Drive, College Station, TX 77845, USA
| | - Jan Backman
- Department of Geological Sciences, Stockholm University, SE-106 91 Stockholm, Sweden
| | - Sylvain Bourlange
- Laboratoire GeoRessources, CNRS-Université de Lorraine-CREGU, Ecole Nationale Supérieure de Géologie, Rue du Doyen Marcel Roubault, TSA 70605, 54518, Vandoeuvre-lès-Nancy, France
| | - Farid Chemale
- Programa de Pós-Graduação em Geologia, Universidade do Vale do Rio dos Sinos, 93.022-000 São Leopoldo, Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil
| | - Wenhuang Chen
- Key Laboratory of Marginal Sea Geology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, 511 Kehua Street, Tianhe District, Guangzhou 510640, P.R. China
| | - Tobias A Colson
- School of Earth Sciences, University of Western Australia, 35 Stirling Highway, Crawley 6009, Australia
| | - Marina C G Frederik
- Center for Regional Resources Development Technology (PTPSW-TPSA), Agency for the Assessment and Application of Technology (BPPT), Building 820, Earth System Technology (Geostech), Kawasan Puspitek Serpong, South Tangerang, Banten, Indonesia 15314, Indonesia
| | - Gilles Guèrin
- Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, Borehole Research Group, 61 Route 9W, Palisades, NY 10964, USA
| | - Mari Hamahashi
- Geophysics Research Group, Institute of Geology and Geoinformation, Geological Survey of Japan (AIST), AIST Tsukuba Central 7, 1-1-1 Higashi, Tsukuba Ibaraki 305-8567, Japan
| | - Brian M House
- Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California, San Diego, Vaughan Hall 434, 8675 Discovery Way, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA
| | - Tamara N Jeppson
- Department of Geology and Geophysics, University of Wisconsin-Madison, 1215 West Dayton Street, Madison, WI 53706, USA
| | - Sarah Kachovich
- Department of Geography Planning and Environmental Management, Level 4, Building 35, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, QLD, Australia
| | - Abby R Kenigsberg
- Department of Geosciences, Pennsylvania State University, 503 Deike Building, University Park, PA 16802, USA
| | - Mebae Kuranaga
- Graduate School of Science and Engineering, Yamaguchi University, 1677-1 Yoshida, Yamaguchi City 753-8512, Japan
| | - Steffen Kutterolf
- GEOMAR, Helmholtz Center for Ocean Research Kiel, Wischhofstrasse 1-3, Kiel 24148, Germany
| | - Freya L Mitchison
- School of Earth and Ocean Sciences, Cardiff University, Park Place, Cardiff CF10 3XQ, UK
| | - Hideki Mukoyoshi
- Department of Geoscience, Shimane University, 1060 Nishikawatsu-cho, Matsue, Shimane 690-8504, Japan
| | - Nisha Nair
- CLCS/Marine Geophysical Division, National Centre for Antarctic and Ocean Research, Earth System Science Organization, Ministry of Earth Sciences, Government of India, Headland Sada, Vasco-da-Gama, Goa 403804, India
| | | | - Hugo F A Pouderoux
- CNRS, UMR6118 - Geosciences Rennes, University de Rennes I, Campus de Beaulieu, 35042 Rennes Cedex, France
| | - Yehua Shan
- Key Laboratory of Marginal Sea Geology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, 511 Kehua Street, Tianhe District, Guangzhou 510640, P.R. China
| | - Insun Song
- Geologic Environmental Division, Korea Institute of Geoscience and Mineral (KIGAM), 124 Gwahak-ro, Yuseong-gu, Daejeon 34132, Korea
| | - Paola Vannucchi
- Royal Holloway and Bedford New College, Royal Holloway University of London, Queens Building, Egham TW20 0EX, UK
| | | | - Tao Yang
- Institute of Geophysics, China Earthquake Administration, 5 Minzu Daxue Nanlu, Hiadian District, Beijing 100081, P.R. China
| | - Xixi Zhao
- Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, University of California, Santa Cruz, 1156 High Street, Santa Cruz, CA 95064, USA
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Fu J, Wang X, Wei T, Wei M, Shen Y. A Cost-Effective Geodetic Strainmeter Based on Dual Coaxial Cable Bragg Gratings. SENSORS 2017; 17:s17040842. [PMID: 28417925 PMCID: PMC5424719 DOI: 10.3390/s17040842] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/29/2016] [Revised: 03/15/2017] [Accepted: 04/06/2017] [Indexed: 11/16/2022]
Abstract
Observations of surface deformation are essential for understanding a wide range of geophysical problems, including earthquakes, volcanoes, landslides, and glaciers. Current geodetic technologies, such as global positioning system (GPS), interferometric synthetic aperture radar (InSAR), borehole and laser strainmeters, are costly and limited in their temporal or spatial resolutions. Here we present a new type of strainmeters based on the coaxial cable Bragg grating (CCBG) sensing technology that provides cost-effective strain measurements. Two CCBGs are introduced into the geodetic strainmeter: one serves as a sensor to measure the strain applied on it, and the other acts as a reference to detect environmental noises. By integrating the sensor and reference signals in a mixer, the environmental noises are minimized and a lower mixed frequency is obtained. The lower mixed frequency allows for measurements to be taken with a portable spectrum analyzer, rather than an expensive spectrum analyzer or a vector network analyzer (VNA). Analysis of laboratory experiments shows that the strain can be measured by the CCBG sensor, and the portable spectrum analyzer can make measurements with the accuracy similar to the expensive spectrum analyzer, whose relative error to the spectrum analyzer R3272 is less than ±0.4%. The outputs of the geodetic strainmeter show a linear relationship with the strains that the CCBG sensor experienced. The measured sensitivity of the geodetic strainmeter is about -0.082 kHz/με; it can cover a large dynamic measuring range up to 2%, and its nonlinear errors can be less than 5.3%.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jihua Fu
- Key Laboratory of Crustal Dynamics, Institute of Crustal Dynamics, China Earthquake Administration; Beijing 100085, China.
| | - Xu Wang
- Key Laboratory of Crustal Dynamics, Institute of Crustal Dynamics, China Earthquake Administration; Beijing 100085, China.
| | - Tao Wei
- Engineering Department, University of Rhode Island, Kingston, RI 02881, USA.
| | - Meng Wei
- Graduate School of Oceanography, University of Rhode Island, Narragansett, RI 02882, USA.
| | - Yang Shen
- Graduate School of Oceanography, University of Rhode Island, Narragansett, RI 02882, USA.
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35
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Miyata S, Sakata Y, Miura M, Yamauchi T, Onose T, Tsuji K, Abe R, Oikawa T, Kasahara S, Sato M, Nochioka K, Shiroto T, Takahashi J, Shimokawa H. Long-term prognostic impact of the Great East Japan Earthquake in patients with cardiovascular disease - Report from the CHART-2 Study. J Cardiol 2017; 70:286-296. [PMID: 28341543 DOI: 10.1016/j.jjcc.2016.10.018] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/02/2016] [Revised: 10/10/2016] [Accepted: 10/17/2016] [Indexed: 11/19/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND We and others have previously reported that the Great East Japan Earthquake (GEJE) caused a significant but transient increase in cardiovascular diseases and deaths in the disaster area. However, it remains to be examined whether the GEJE had a long-term prognostic influence in large-scale cohort studies. This point is important when analyzing the data before and after the GEJE in the cohort studies in the disaster area. METHODS We examined 8676 patients registered in our Chronic Heart Failure Analysis and Registry in the Tohoku District-2 (CHART-2) Study (N=10,219) between 2006 and 2010 and were alive after March 10, 2011. RESULTS There were 48 GEJE-related deaths, causing a sharp and transient increase in all-cause death within a month after the GEJE. However, after excluding the GEJE-related deaths, the cubic polynomial spline smoothing showed no significant increase in all-cause death, heart failure admission, non-fetal acute myocardial infarction, or non-fetal stroke during the median 3-year follow-up after the GEJE. The extrapolation curves beyond the GEJE, which were obtained by the parametric survival models based on the survival data censored on the GEJE, were not significantly different from the Kaplan-Meier curves estimating the survival functions of deaths and cardiac events during the total follow-up period without considering the impacts of the GEJE. Furthermore, the multivariate Cox proportional hazard model applied to the matched cohort of the baseline data and the data after the GEJE showed no significant differences in the impacts of prognostic factors on all-cause mortality before and after the GEJE. CONCLUSIONS These results indicate that the GEJE had no significant long-term prognostic impact after the earthquake in cardiovascular patients in the disaster area.
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Affiliation(s)
- Satoshi Miyata
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine and Department of Evidence-Based Cardiovascular Medicine, Tohoku University Graduate School of Medicine, Sendai, Japan
| | - Yasuhiko Sakata
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine and Department of Evidence-Based Cardiovascular Medicine, Tohoku University Graduate School of Medicine, Sendai, Japan.
| | - Masanobu Miura
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine and Department of Evidence-Based Cardiovascular Medicine, Tohoku University Graduate School of Medicine, Sendai, Japan
| | - Takeshi Yamauchi
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine and Department of Evidence-Based Cardiovascular Medicine, Tohoku University Graduate School of Medicine, Sendai, Japan
| | - Takeo Onose
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine and Department of Evidence-Based Cardiovascular Medicine, Tohoku University Graduate School of Medicine, Sendai, Japan
| | - Kanako Tsuji
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine and Department of Evidence-Based Cardiovascular Medicine, Tohoku University Graduate School of Medicine, Sendai, Japan
| | - Ruri Abe
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine and Department of Evidence-Based Cardiovascular Medicine, Tohoku University Graduate School of Medicine, Sendai, Japan
| | - Takuya Oikawa
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine and Department of Evidence-Based Cardiovascular Medicine, Tohoku University Graduate School of Medicine, Sendai, Japan
| | - Shintaro Kasahara
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine and Department of Evidence-Based Cardiovascular Medicine, Tohoku University Graduate School of Medicine, Sendai, Japan
| | - Masayuki Sato
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine and Department of Evidence-Based Cardiovascular Medicine, Tohoku University Graduate School of Medicine, Sendai, Japan
| | - Kotaro Nochioka
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine and Department of Evidence-Based Cardiovascular Medicine, Tohoku University Graduate School of Medicine, Sendai, Japan
| | - Takashi Shiroto
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine and Department of Evidence-Based Cardiovascular Medicine, Tohoku University Graduate School of Medicine, Sendai, Japan
| | - Jun Takahashi
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine and Department of Evidence-Based Cardiovascular Medicine, Tohoku University Graduate School of Medicine, Sendai, Japan
| | - Hiroaki Shimokawa
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine and Department of Evidence-Based Cardiovascular Medicine, Tohoku University Graduate School of Medicine, Sendai, Japan
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36
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Suzuki S, Yoshihisa A, Kanno Y, Watanabe S, Takiguchi M, Miura S, Yokokawa T, Sato T, Oikawa M, Yamaki T, Kunii H, Nakazato K, Suzuki H, Saitoh SI, Takeishi Y. Prognostic Impact of Living in Temporary Housing in Fukushima After the Great East Japan Earthquake. J Card Fail 2017; 23:90-92. [DOI: 10.1016/j.cardfail.2016.10.003] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/27/2016] [Revised: 09/19/2016] [Accepted: 10/10/2016] [Indexed: 11/28/2022]
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37
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Bletery Q, Thomas AM, Rempel AW, Karlstrom L, Sladen A, De Barros L. Mega-earthquakes rupture flat megathrusts. Science 2016; 354:1027-1031. [DOI: 10.1126/science.aag0482] [Citation(s) in RCA: 74] [Impact Index Per Article: 9.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/06/2016] [Accepted: 10/19/2016] [Indexed: 11/02/2022]
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38
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Montagner JP, Juhel K, Barsuglia M, Ampuero JP, Chassande-Mottin E, Harms J, Whiting B, Bernard P, Clévédé E, Lognonné P. Prompt gravity signal induced by the 2011 Tohoku-Oki earthquake. Nat Commun 2016; 7:13349. [PMID: 27874858 PMCID: PMC5121411 DOI: 10.1038/ncomms13349] [Citation(s) in RCA: 18] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/25/2016] [Accepted: 09/26/2016] [Indexed: 11/30/2022] Open
Abstract
Transient gravity changes are expected to occur at all distances during an earthquake rupture, even before the arrival of seismic waves. Here we report on the search of such a prompt gravity signal in data recorded by a superconducting gravimeter and broadband seismometers during the 2011 Mw 9.0 Tohoku-Oki earthquake. During the earthquake rupture, a signal exceeding the background noise is observed with a statistical significance higher than 99% and an amplitude of a fraction of μGal, consistent in sign and order of magnitude with theoretical predictions from a first-order model. While prompt gravity signal detection with state-of-the-art gravimeters and seismometers is challenged by background seismic noise, its robust detection with gravity gradiometers under development could open new directions in earthquake seismology, and overcome fundamental limitations of current earthquake early-warning systems imposed by the propagation speed of seismic waves. Earthquakes have been theorised to produce gravity signals that may arrive before seismic waves, but until now they had not been detected. Montagner et al. have detected prompt gravity signals from the 2011 Tohoku-Oki earthquake thus allowing an early warning of earthquakes before seismic wave arrival.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jean-Paul Montagner
- Laboratoire de Sismologie, Institut de Physique du Globe, UMR/CNRS 7154, 1 rue Jussieu, 75238 Paris, France
| | - Kévin Juhel
- Laboratoire de Sismologie, Institut de Physique du Globe, UMR/CNRS 7154, 1 rue Jussieu, 75238 Paris, France
| | - Matteo Barsuglia
- APC, AstroParticule et Cosmologie, Université Paris Diderot, CNRS/IN2P3, CEA/Irfu, Observatoire de Paris, Sorbonne Paris Cité, 10 Rue Alice Domon et Léonie Duquet, F-75205 Paris Cedex 13, France
| | - Jean Paul Ampuero
- Seismological Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, 1200 E. California Blvd., Pasadena, California 91125, USA
| | - Eric Chassande-Mottin
- APC, AstroParticule et Cosmologie, Université Paris Diderot, CNRS/IN2P3, CEA/Irfu, Observatoire de Paris, Sorbonne Paris Cité, 10 Rue Alice Domon et Léonie Duquet, F-75205 Paris Cedex 13, France
| | - Jan Harms
- National Institute for Nuclear Physics, Sezione Firenze, Via G Sansone 1, Sesto Fiorentino, 50019 and Università degli Studi di Urbino "Carlo Bo", I-61029 Urbino, Italy
| | - Bernard Whiting
- Department of Physics, 2001 Museum Road, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida 32611-8440, USA
| | - Pascal Bernard
- Laboratoire de Sismologie, Institut de Physique du Globe, UMR/CNRS 7154, 1 rue Jussieu, 75238 Paris, France
| | - Eric Clévédé
- Laboratoire de Sismologie, Institut de Physique du Globe, UMR/CNRS 7154, 1 rue Jussieu, 75238 Paris, France
| | - Philippe Lognonné
- Laboratoire de Sismologie, Institut de Physique du Globe, UMR/CNRS 7154, 1 rue Jussieu, 75238 Paris, France
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Lin A, Satsukawa T, Wang M, Mohammadi Asl Z, Fueta R, Nakajima F. RETRACTED: Coseismic rupturing stopped by Aso volcano during the 2016 Mw 7.1 Kumamoto earthquake, Japan. Science 2016; 354:869-874. [PMID: 27856904 DOI: 10.1126/science.aah4629] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/30/2016] [Accepted: 10/07/2016] [Indexed: 08/27/2023]
Abstract
Field investigations and seismic data show that the 16 April 2016 moment magnitude (Mw) 7.1 Kumamoto earthquake produced a ~40-kilometer-long surface rupture zone along the northeast-southwest-striking Hinagu-Futagawa strike-slip fault zone and newly identified faults on the western side of Aso caldera, Kyushu Island, Japan. The coseismic surface ruptures cut Aso caldera, including two volcanic cones inside it, but terminate therein. The data show that northeastward propagation of coseismic rupturing terminated in Aso caldera because of the presence of magma beneath the Aso volcanic cluster. The seismogenic faults of the 2016 Kumamoto earthquake may require reassessment of the volcanic hazard in the vicinity of Aso volcano.
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Affiliation(s)
- A Lin
- Department of Geophysics, Graduate School of Science, Kyoto University, Kyoto 606-8502, Japan
| | - T Satsukawa
- Department of Geophysics, Graduate School of Science, Kyoto University, Kyoto 606-8502, Japan
| | - M Wang
- Department of Geophysics, Graduate School of Science, Kyoto University, Kyoto 606-8502, Japan
| | - Z Mohammadi Asl
- Department of Geophysics, Graduate School of Science, Kyoto University, Kyoto 606-8502, Japan
| | - R Fueta
- Department of Geophysics, Graduate School of Science, Kyoto University, Kyoto 606-8502, Japan
| | - F Nakajima
- CTI Engineering International, Kotou-ku, Tokyo 136-0071, Japan
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40
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Seafloor observations indicate spatial separation of coseismic and postseismic slips in the 2011 Tohoku earthquake. Nat Commun 2016; 7:13506. [PMID: 27853138 PMCID: PMC5118554 DOI: 10.1038/ncomms13506] [Citation(s) in RCA: 64] [Impact Index Per Article: 8.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/04/2016] [Accepted: 10/10/2016] [Indexed: 11/09/2022] Open
Abstract
Large interplate earthquakes are often followed by postseismic slip that is considered to occur in areas surrounding the coseismic ruptures. Such spatial separation is expected from the difference in frictional and material properties in and around the faults. However, even though the 2011 Tohoku Earthquake ruptured a vast area on the plate interface, the estimation of high-resolution slip is usually difficult because of the lack of seafloor geodetic data. Here using the seafloor and terrestrial geodetic data, we investigated the postseismic slip to examine whether it was spatially separated with the coseismic slip by applying a comprehensive finite-element method model to subtract the viscoelastic components from the observed postseismic displacements. The high-resolution co- and postseismic slip distributions clarified the spatial separation, which also agreed with the activities of interplate and repeating earthquakes. These findings suggest that the conventional frictional property model is valid for the source region of gigantic earthquakes.
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Hirata Y, Iwayama K, Aihara K. Possibility of short-term probabilistic forecasts for large earthquakes making good use of the limitations of existing catalogs. Phys Rev E 2016; 94:042217. [PMID: 27841506 DOI: 10.1103/physreve.94.042217] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/27/2016] [Indexed: 11/07/2022]
Abstract
Earthquakes are quite hard to predict. One of the possible reasons can be the fact that the existing catalogs of past earthquakes are limited at most to the order of 100 years, while their characteristic time scale is sometimes greater than that time span. Here we rather use these limitations positively and characterize some large earthquake events as abnormal events that are not included there. When we constructed probabilistic forecasts for large earthquakes in Japan based on similarity and difference to their past patterns-which we call known and unknown abnormalities, respectively-our forecast achieved probabilistic gains of 5.7 and 2.4 against a time-independent model for main shocks with the magnitudes of 7 or above. Moreover, the two abnormal conditions covered 70% of days whose maximum magnitude was 7 or above.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yoshito Hirata
- Institute of Industrial Science, University of Tokyo, 4-6-1 Komaba, Meguro-ku, Tokyo 153-8505, Japan
| | - Koji Iwayama
- Research Institute for Food and Agriculture, Ryukoku Univeristy, Shiga 520-2194, Japan
| | - Kazuyuki Aihara
- Institute of Industrial Science, University of Tokyo, 4-6-1 Komaba, Meguro-ku, Tokyo 153-8505, Japan
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42
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Martin PG, Payton OD, Yamashiki Y, Richards DA, Scott TB. High-resolution radiation mapping to investigate FDNPP derived contaminant migration. JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RADIOACTIVITY 2016; 164:26-35. [PMID: 27395378 DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvrad.2016.06.025] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/07/2016] [Revised: 05/26/2016] [Accepted: 06/28/2016] [Indexed: 06/06/2023]
Abstract
As of March 2016, five years will have passed since the earthquake and ensuing tsunami that crippled the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant on Japan's eastern coast, resulting in the explosive release of significant quantities of radioactive material. Over this period, significant time and resource has been expended on both the study of the contamination as well as its remediation from the affected environments. Presented in this work is a high-spatial resolution foot-based radiation mapping study using gamma-spectrometry at a site in the contaminated Iitate Village; conducted at different times, seventeen months apart. The specific site selected for this work was one in which consistent uniform agriculture was observed across its entire extent. From these surveys, obtained from along the main northwest trending line of the fallout plume, it was possible to determine the rate of reduction in the levels of contamination around the site attributable to the natural decay of the radiocesium, remediation efforts or material transport. Results from the work suggest that neither the natural decay of radiocesium nor its downward migration through the soil horizons were responsible for the decline in measured activity levels across the site, with the mobilisation of contaminant species likely adhered to soil particulate and the subsequent fluvial transport responsible for the measurable reduction in activity. This transport of contaminant via fluvial methods has already well studied implications for the input of contaminant material entering the neighbouring Pacific Ocean, as well as the deposition of material along rivers within previously decontaminated areas.
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Affiliation(s)
- P G Martin
- Interface Analysis Centre, HH Wills Physics Laboratory, University of Bristol, Bristol BS8 1TL, UK.
| | - O D Payton
- Interface Analysis Centre, HH Wills Physics Laboratory, University of Bristol, Bristol BS8 1TL, UK
| | - Y Yamashiki
- Graduate School of Advanced Integrated Studies in Human Survivability, Kyoto University, Kyoto 606-8501, Japan
| | - D A Richards
- School of Geographical Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol BS8 1SS, UK
| | - T B Scott
- Interface Analysis Centre, HH Wills Physics Laboratory, University of Bristol, Bristol BS8 1TL, UK
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43
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Bock Y, Melgar D. Physical applications of GPS geodesy: a review. REPORTS ON PROGRESS IN PHYSICS. PHYSICAL SOCIETY (GREAT BRITAIN) 2016; 79:106801. [PMID: 27552205 DOI: 10.1088/0034-4885/79/10/106801] [Citation(s) in RCA: 22] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/06/2023]
Abstract
Geodesy, the oldest science, has become an important discipline in the geosciences, in large part by enhancing Global Positioning System (GPS) capabilities over the last 35 years well beyond the satellite constellation's original design. The ability of GPS geodesy to estimate 3D positions with millimeter-level precision with respect to a global terrestrial reference frame has contributed to significant advances in geophysics, seismology, atmospheric science, hydrology, and natural hazard science. Monitoring the changes in the positions or trajectories of GPS instruments on the Earth's land and water surfaces, in the atmosphere, or in space, is important for both theory and applications, from an improved understanding of tectonic and magmatic processes to developing systems for mitigating the impact of natural hazards on society and the environment. Besides accurate positioning, all disturbances in the propagation of the transmitted GPS radio signals from satellite to receiver are mined for information, from troposphere and ionosphere delays for weather, climate, and natural hazard applications, to disturbances in the signals due to multipath reflections from the solid ground, water, and ice for environmental applications. We review the relevant concepts of geodetic theory, data analysis, and physical modeling for a myriad of processes at multiple spatial and temporal scales, and discuss the extensive global infrastructure that has been built to support GPS geodesy consisting of thousands of continuously operating stations. We also discuss the integration of heterogeneous and complementary data sets from geodesy, seismology, and geology, focusing on crustal deformation applications and early warning systems for natural hazards.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yehuda Bock
- Cecil H. and Ida M. Green Institute of Geophysics and Planetary Physics, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA
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Bassett D, Sandwell DT, Fialko Y, Watts AB. Upper-plate controls on co-seismic slip in the 2011 magnitude 9.0 Tohoku-oki earthquake. Nature 2016; 531:92-6. [PMID: 26935698 DOI: 10.1038/nature16945] [Citation(s) in RCA: 57] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/26/2015] [Accepted: 12/11/2015] [Indexed: 11/09/2022]
Abstract
The March 2011 Tohoku-oki earthquake was only the second giant (moment magnitude Mw ≥ 9.0) earthquake to occur in the last 50 years and is the most recent to be recorded using modern geophysical techniques. Available data place high-resolution constraints on the kinematics of earthquake rupture, which have challenged prior knowledge about how much a fault can slip in a single earthquake and the seismic potential of a partially coupled megathrust interface. But it is not clear what physical or structural characteristics controlled either the rupture extent or the amplitude of slip in this earthquake. Here we use residual topography and gravity anomalies to constrain the geological structure of the overthrusting (upper) plate offshore northeast Japan. These data reveal an abrupt southwest-northeast-striking boundary in upper-plate structure, across which gravity modelling indicates a south-to-north increase in the density of rocks overlying the megathrust of 150-200 kilograms per cubic metre. We suggest that this boundary represents the offshore continuation of the Median Tectonic Line, which onshore juxtaposes geological terranes composed of granite batholiths (in the north) and accretionary complexes (in the south). The megathrust north of the Median Tectonic Line is interseismically locked, has a history of large earthquakes (18 with Mw > 7 since 1896) and produced peak slip exceeding 40 metres in the Tohoku-oki earthquake. In contrast, the megathrust south of this boundary has higher rates of interseismic creep, has not generated an earthquake with MJ > 7 (local magnitude estimated by the Japan Meteorological Agency) since 1923, and experienced relatively minor (if any) co-seismic slip in 2011. We propose that the structure and frictional properties of the overthrusting plate control megathrust coupling and seismogenic behaviour in northeast Japan.
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Affiliation(s)
- Dan Bassett
- Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, California 92093, USA
| | - David T Sandwell
- Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, California 92093, USA
| | - Yuri Fialko
- Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, California 92093, USA
| | - Anthony B Watts
- Department of Earth Sciences, University of Oxford, South Parks Road, Oxford, UK
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Hiraoka S, Machiyama A, Ijichi M, Inoue K, Oshima K, Hattori M, Yoshizawa S, Kogure K, Iwasaki W. Genomic and metagenomic analysis of microbes in a soil environment affected by the 2011 Great East Japan Earthquake tsunami. BMC Genomics 2016; 17:53. [PMID: 26764021 PMCID: PMC4712596 DOI: 10.1186/s12864-016-2380-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 18] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/07/2015] [Accepted: 01/06/2016] [Indexed: 11/10/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The Great East Japan Earthquake of 2011 triggered large tsunami waves, which flooded broad areas of land along the Pacific coast of eastern Japan and changed the soil environment drastically. However, the microbial characteristics of tsunami-affected soil at the genomic level remain largely unknown. In this study, we isolated microbes from a soil sample using general low-nutrient and seawater-based media to investigate microbial characteristics in tsunami-affected soil. RESULTS As expected, a greater proportion of strains isolated from the tsunami-affected soil than the unaffected soil grew in the seawater-based medium. Cultivable strains in both the general low-nutrient and seawater-based media were distributed in the genus Arthrobacter. Most importantly, whole-genome sequencing of four of the isolated Arthrobacter strains revealed independent losses of siderophore-synthesis genes from their genomes. Siderophores are low-molecular-weight, iron-chelating compounds that are secreted for iron uptake; thus, the loss of siderophore-synthesis genes indicates that these strains have adapted to environments with high-iron concentrations. Indeed, chemical analysis confirmed the investigated soil samples to be rich in iron, and culture experiments confirmed weak cultivability of some of these strains in iron-limited media. Furthermore, metagenomic analyses demonstrated over-representation of denitrification-related genes in the tsunami-affected soil sample, as well as the presence of pathogenic and marine-living genera and genes related to salt-tolerance. CONCLUSIONS Collectively, the present results would provide an example of microbial characteristics of soil disturbed by the tsunami, which may give an insight into microbial adaptation to drastic environmental changes. Further analyses on microbial ecology after a tsunami are envisioned to develop a deeper understanding of the recovery processes of terrestrial microbial ecosystems.
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Affiliation(s)
- Satoshi Hiraoka
- Department of Computational Biology and Medical Sciences, Graduate School of Frontier Sciences, the University of Tokyo, Chiba, 277-8568, Japan.
| | - Asako Machiyama
- Department of Biological Sciences, Graduate School of Science, the University of Tokyo, Tokyo, 113-0032, Japan.
| | - Minoru Ijichi
- Atmosphere and Ocean Research Institute, the University of Tokyo, Chiba, 277-8564, Japan.
| | - Kentaro Inoue
- Atmosphere and Ocean Research Institute, the University of Tokyo, Chiba, 277-8564, Japan.
| | - Kenshiro Oshima
- Center for Omics and Bioinformatics, Graduate School of Frontier Sciences, The University of Tokyo, Chiba, 277-8561, Japan.
| | - Masahira Hattori
- Center for Omics and Bioinformatics, Graduate School of Frontier Sciences, The University of Tokyo, Chiba, 277-8561, Japan.
| | - Susumu Yoshizawa
- Atmosphere and Ocean Research Institute, the University of Tokyo, Chiba, 277-8564, Japan.
| | - Kazuhiro Kogure
- Atmosphere and Ocean Research Institute, the University of Tokyo, Chiba, 277-8564, Japan.
| | - Wataru Iwasaki
- Department of Computational Biology and Medical Sciences, Graduate School of Frontier Sciences, the University of Tokyo, Chiba, 277-8568, Japan.
- Department of Biological Sciences, Graduate School of Science, the University of Tokyo, Tokyo, 113-0032, Japan.
- Atmosphere and Ocean Research Institute, the University of Tokyo, Chiba, 277-8564, Japan.
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Abe H, Kobayashi G, Sato-Okoshi W. Ecological Impacts of the Great East Japan Earthquake and Tsunami and the Following Succession on the Subtidal Macrobenthic Community in Onagawa Bay, Northeastern Japan, with Special Reference to the Dominant Taxon, Polychaetes. ECOLOGICAL IMPACTS OF TSUNAMIS ON COASTAL ECOSYSTEMS 2016. [DOI: 10.1007/978-4-431-56448-5_6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/05/2023]
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Abe H, Kobayashi G, Sato-Okoshi W. Impacts of the 2011 tsunami on the subtidal polychaete assemblage and the following recolonization in Onagawa Bay, northeastern Japan. MARINE ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH 2015; 112:86-95. [PMID: 26454517 DOI: 10.1016/j.marenvres.2015.09.011] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/30/2015] [Revised: 09/18/2015] [Accepted: 09/27/2015] [Indexed: 06/05/2023]
Abstract
The ecological impacts of the 2011 Great East Japan Earthquake and tsunami and the following recolonization of the subtidal benthic polychaete community were examined by monthly pre- and post-quake field surveys that were conducted in Onagawa Bay from 2007 to 2013. Before the tsunami, the species composition in this benthic community was constant and was dominated by cirratulid and magelonid polychaetes. The density and biomass of benthic polychaetes drastically decreased after the tsunami, and the polychaete community fluctuated during the 2 years after the natural disaster. Spionid and capitellid polychaetes were dominant at this period. In June 2013, the community entered a new constant stage dominated by maldanids, which is different from the pre-quake community. Ecological impacts due to chemical pollution were suggested in addition to the tsunami disturbance. These overlapping effects and physical, chemical and biological factors affected the recovery and recolonization of the polychaete community after the natural disaster.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hirokazu Abe
- Tohoku National Fisheries Research Institute, Fisheries Research Agency, 3-27-5 Shinhama-cho, Shiogama, Miyagi 985-0001, Japan.
| | - Genki Kobayashi
- Graduate School of Frontier Sciences, The University of Tokyo, Chiba 277-8564, Japan.
| | - Waka Sato-Okoshi
- Graduate School of Agricultural Science, Tohoku University, Sendai 981-8555, Japan.
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Subducting seamounts control interplate coupling and seismic rupture in the 2014 Iquique earthquake area. Nat Commun 2015; 6:8267. [PMID: 26419949 PMCID: PMC4667434 DOI: 10.1038/ncomms9267] [Citation(s) in RCA: 62] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/18/2015] [Accepted: 08/04/2015] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
Abstract
To date, the parameters that determine the rupture area of great subduction zone earthquakes remain contentious. On 1 April 2014, the Mw 8.1 Iquique earthquake ruptured a portion of the well-recognized northern Chile seismic gap but left large highly coupled areas un-ruptured. Marine seismic reflection and swath bathymetric data indicate that structural variations in the subducting Nazca Plate control regional-scale plate-coupling variations, and the limited extent of the 2014 earthquake. Several under-thrusting seamounts correlate to the southward and up-dip arrest of seismic rupture during the 2014 Iquique earthquake, thus supporting a causal link. By fracturing of the overriding plate, the subducting seamounts are likely further responsible for reduced plate-coupling in the shallow subduction zone and in a lowly coupled region around 20.5°S. Our data support that structural variations in the lower plate influence coupling and seismic rupture offshore Northern Chile, whereas the structure of the upper plate plays a minor role. On 1 April 2014 the Mw 8.1 Iquique earthquake seemed to close the well-recognized northern Chile seismic gap, producing only a small rupture. Here, the authors present seismic reflection and multibeam bathymetry data from the area suggesting that seamount subduction played a role in halting the rupture.
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49
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Kawasaki Y, Hosoya M, Yasumura S, Ohira T, Satoh H, Suzuki H, Sakai A, Ohtsuru A, Takahashi A, Ozasa K, Kobashi G, Kamiya K, Yamashita S, Abe M. THE BASIC DATA FOR RESIDENTS AGED 15 YEARS OR YOUNGER WHO RECEIVED A COMPREHENSIVE HEALTH CHECK IN 2011-2012 AS A PART OF THE FUKUSHIMA HEALTH MANAGEMENT SURVEY AFTER THE GREAT EAST JAPAN EARTHQUAKE. Fukushima J Med Sci 2015; 61:101-10. [PMID: 26370684 DOI: 10.5387/fms.2015-13] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/12/2022] Open
Abstract
AIM To assist in the long-term health management of residents and evaluate the health impacts after the Tokyo Electric Power Company's Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant accident in Fukushima Prefecture, the Fukushima prefectural government decided to implement the Fukushima Health Management Survey. This report describes the results for residents aged 15 years or younger who received health checks and evaluates the data obtained from 2011 and 2012. METHODS The target group consisted of residents aged 15 years or younger who had lived in the evacuation zone. The health checks were performed on receipt of an application from any of the residents. The checks, which included the measurements of height, weight, blood pressure, biochemical laboratory findings, and peripheral blood findings, were performed as required. RESULTS 1) A total of 17,934 (64.5%) and 11,780 (43.5%) residents aged 15 years or younger received health checks in 2011 and 2012, respectively. 2) In both years, a number of male and female residents in the 7-15 year age group were found to suffer from obesity, hyperlipidemia, hyperuricemia, or liver dysfunction. Furthermore, pediatric aged 15 years or younger were commonly observed to suffer from hypertension or glucose metabolic abnormalities. 3) A comparison of data from 2012 and 2011 demonstrated that both males and females frequently showed increased body height and decreased body weight in 2012. The prevalence of hypertension, glucose metabolic abnormalities, or high γ-GTP values in males and females in the 7-15 year age group in 2012 was lower than that in 2011. However, the prevalence of hyperuricemia among residents in the 7-15 year age group was higher in 2012 than in 2011. CONCLUSIONS These results suggested that some residents aged 15 years or under who had lived in the evacuation zone had developed obesity, hyperlipidemia, hyperuricemia, liver dysfunction, hypertension, or glucose metabolic abnormalities. Therefore, we think that it is necessary to continue the health checks for these residents in order to ameliorate these lifestyle-related diseases.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yukihiko Kawasaki
- Radiation Medical Science Center for the Fukushima Health Management Survey, Fukushima Medical University
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Minson SE, Brooks BA, Glennie CL, Murray JR, Langbein JO, Owen SE, Heaton TH, Iannucci RA, Hauser DL. Crowdsourced earthquake early warning. SCIENCE ADVANCES 2015; 1:e1500036. [PMID: 26601167 PMCID: PMC4640622 DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.1500036] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/10/2015] [Accepted: 03/06/2015] [Indexed: 05/13/2023]
Abstract
Earthquake early warning (EEW) can reduce harm to people and infrastructure from earthquakes and tsunamis, but it has not been implemented in most high earthquake-risk regions because of prohibitive cost. Common consumer devices such as smartphones contain low-cost versions of the sensors used in EEW. Although less accurate than scientific-grade instruments, these sensors are globally ubiquitous. Through controlled tests of consumer devices, simulation of an M w (moment magnitude) 7 earthquake on California's Hayward fault, and real data from the M w 9 Tohoku-oki earthquake, we demonstrate that EEW could be achieved via crowdsourcing.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sarah E. Minson
- U.S. Geological Survey, Menlo Park, CA 94025, USA
- California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA 91106, USA
| | - Benjamin A. Brooks
- U.S. Geological Survey, Menlo Park, CA 94025, USA
- Corresponding author. E-mail:
| | - Craig L. Glennie
- National Center for Airborne Laser Mapping, University of Houston, Houston, TX 77204, USA
| | | | | | - Susan E. Owen
- Jet Propulsion Laboratory, La Cañada Flintridge, Pasadena, CA 91109, USA
| | | | | | - Darren L. Hauser
- National Center for Airborne Laser Mapping, University of Houston, Houston, TX 77204, USA
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