Population pharmacokinetics of oseltamivir: pediatrics through geriatrics

Considerations when treating influenza infections with oseltamivir

INTRODUCTION

Since the coronavirus disease 2019-mandated social distancing policy has been lifted worldwide, the circulation of influenza is expected to resume. Currently, oseltamivir is approved as the first-line agent for influenza prevention and treatment.

AREAS COVERED

This paper reviews the updated evidence in the pharmacology, resistance mechanisms, clinical pharmacy management, and real-world data on oseltamivir for influenza.

EXPERT OPINION

Oseltamivir is an oral prodrug of oseltamivir carboxylate, an influenza A and B neuraminidase inhibitor. Recently, the therapeutic efficacy of oseltamivir has been demonstrated in several trials. Oseltamivir is generally well-tolerated but may lead to neuropsychiatric events and bleeding. Oseltamivir-resistant influenza virus has been associated with the H275Y mutation in the influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 virus, while most strains are still sensitive to oseltamivir. Dose adjustment for oseltamivir should be based on creatinine clearance and body weight in pediatric patients with renal failure. According to real-world data from Nanfang Hospital, the annual number of patients prescribed oseltamivir declined from 35,711 in 2019 to 8,971 in 2020, with marked increases in 2022 (20,213) and 2023 (18,071). Among the 206 inpatients, children aged < 6 years who were treated with oseltamivir had the shortest duration to defervescence.

An Observational Study on the Pharmacokinetics of Oseltamivir in Lactating Influenza Patients

Influenza infection may lead to serious complications in the postpartum period, therefore, oseltamivir treatment in these patients and their breastfed infants is of great importance. However, the pharmacokinetics of oseltamivir in postpartum lactating women with acute influenza infection, and the consequent infant exposure to oseltamivir are still unknown, and these data would help in assessing risk and the need for dose adjustment in breastfed infants. Six lactating women with influenza-like symptoms, at a standard dose of 75 mg oral oseltamivir twice daily for 5 days, were recruited in this phase IV clinical study during the 2011/2012 H1N1 pandemic seasons. Breast milk/colostrum and venous blood samples were taken at multiple timepoints, maternal urine samples were obtained from total output within the 12-hour observational period following the seventh dose of oseltamivir. Oseltamivir phosphate (OP) reached a maximum 69.5 ± 29.4 ng/mL concentration in breast milk, higher than that found in the plasma, and showed elimination within ~ 8 hours. Oseltamivir carboxylate (active metabolite of OP) showed a lower, nearly steady-state concentration in breast milk during the observational period (maximum plasma concentration (Cmax ) = 38.4 ± 12.9 ng/mL). Based on estimated daily milk consumption of exclusively breastfed infants, their calculated daily exposure is < 0.1% of the infant dose of oseltamivir for treatment of influenza as per marketing authorization. Here, we provide the first maternal breast milk pharmacokinetic data for oral multiple-dose oseltamivir in lactating patients with influenza and showed that its concentration in the breast milk is not sufficient to reach a therapeutic dose for breastfed infants.

Treatment and prevention of influenza in geriatric patients

INTRODUCTION

Older adults are the most vulnerable population to the effects of influenza. These patients have age-related characteristics that make response to both infection and therapeutics different than younger patients.

AREAS COVERED

Influenza vaccination and antiviral therapy are the foundational approaches to preventing and treating influenza in geriatric patients. Older adults should receive one of the three enhanced vaccines before influenza season beings. There are five antivirals used in influenza. Geriatric patients have been under-enrolled in antiviral studies but have been included in small numbers. Oseltamivir has the most abundant evidence, including in the hospital and long-term care (LTC) facilities, and the strongest evidence for reducing mortality and complications. Peramivir offers the shortest time for symptom alleviation, while baloxavir is best tolerated.

EXPERT OPINION

Oseltamivir has the most versatility in preventing and treating influenza in geriatric patients. Parenteral peramivir and zanamivir are second-line alternatives for complicated influenza when oseltamivir cannot be used. Single-dose peramivir and baloxavir are attractive alternatives to oseltamivir in uncomplicated influenza but will not increase in utilization until more evidence is available regarding mortality and complications, particularly in hospitalized and LTC patients. More studies, including comparative trials, are required to elucidate the role in therapy for each therapeutic in the geriatric population.

R-praziquantel integrated population pharmacokinetics in preschool- and school-aged African children infected with Schistosoma mansoni and S. haematobium and Lao adults infected with Opisthorchis viverrini

Racemic praziquantel (PZQ) is the standard treatment for schistosomiasis and liver fluke infections (opisthorchiasis and clonorchiasis). The development of an optimal pediatric formulation and dose selection would benefit from a population pharmacokinetic (popPK) model. A popPK model was developed for R-PZQ, the active enantiomer of PZQ, in 664 subjects, 493 African children (2-15 years) infected with Schistosoma mansoni and S. haematobium, and 171 Lao adults (15-78 years) infected with Opisthorchis viverrini. Racemate tablets were administered as single doses of 20, 40 and 60 mg/kg in children and 30, 40 and 50 mg/kg in 129 adults, and as 3 × 25 mg/kg apart in 42 adults. Samples collected by the dried-blood-spot technique were assayed by LC-MS/MS. A two-compartment disposition model, with allometric scaling and dual first-order and transit absorption, was developed using Phoenix™ software. Inversely parallel functions of age described the apparent oral bioavailability (BA) and clearance maturation in children and ageing in adults. BA decreased slightly in children with dose increase, and by 35% in adults with multiple dosing. Crushing tablets for preschool-aged children increased the first-order absorption rate by 64%. The mean transit absorption time was 70% higher in children. A popPK model for R-PZQ integrated African children over 2 years of age with schistosomiasis and Lao adults with opisthorchiasis, and should be useful to support dose optimization in children. In vitro hepatic and intestinal metabolism data would help refining and validating the model in younger children as well as in target ethnic pediatric and adult groups.

Dosing regimen optimisation for oseltamivir in immunocompromised paediatric patients with influenza: Extrapolation of efficacy

AIMS

To optimise the dosing regimen of oseltamivir for immunocompromised (IC) paediatric patients (<18 years) with influenza, we used an extrapolation approach alongside clinical data.

METHODS

Efficacy was extrapolated from adult IC patients to paediatric IC patients by leveraging existing efficacy, safety, pharmacokinetic (PK)/pharmacodynamic (PD), and disease-progression models of oseltamivir and oseltamivir carboxylate (OC). Data of IC paediatric patients from two studies (NV25719 and NV20234) were included in the population PK (n = 30), PK/PD analysis (n = 22) and disease modelling approach (n = 36). Simulations were performed to identify the optimal dosing regimen.

RESULTS

Clearance of oseltamivir (CL) and OC (CL_M ) were similar in IC and otherwise-healthy (OwH) patients <10 years, but decreased by 44.4% (95% CI: 26.8-62.0) and 49.1% (95% CI: 34.5-63.8), respectively, in IC patients aged 10-17 years versus OwH patients. There were no notable exposure-response relationships for any of the virologic PD analyses. Thus, no additional benefit was seen with oseltamivir carboxylate exposures higher than achieved with the conventional dose (75 mg twice daily, age- and weight-adjusted for children <13 years). The disease model illustrated that doses above the conventional oseltamivir dose had limited impact on viral kinetics in IC paediatric patients and a prolonged treatment duration of 10 days was favoured to limit potential viral rebound.

CONCLUSION

An oseltamivir dosage recommendation (conventional dose, twice daily for 10 days) was established in IC paediatric patients with influenza, based on extrapolation of efficacy from IC adults, leveraging population PK, PK/PD, and disease modelling, whilst taking resistance and safety data into account.

Pharmacologic effects of oseltamivir in immunocompromised adult patients as assessed by population PK/PD analysis and drug-disease modelling for dosing regimen optimization

Aim

Pharmacologic effects were analysed to determine a dose recommendation for oseltamivir in immunocompromised (IC) adults with influenza.

Methods

Quantitative clinical pharmacology methods were applied to data from 160 adult IC patients (aged 18‐78 years) from two studies (NV20234, 150 patients; NV25118, 10 patients) who received oseltamivir 75‐200 mg twice daily for up to 10 days. An established population‐pharmacokinetic (PK) model with additional effects on oseltamivir and oseltamivir carboxylate (OC) clearance described the PK characteristics of oseltamivir in IC patients versus otherwise healthy (OwH) patients from previous clinical trials. Estimated PK parameters were used to evaluate exposure‐response relationships for virologic endpoints (time to cessation of viral shedding, viral load measures and treatment‐emergent resistance). A drug‐disease model characterized the viral kinetics of influenza accounting for the effect of OC on viral production.

Results

Oseltamivir clearance was 32.5% lower (95% confidence interval [CI], 26.1‐38.8) and OC clearance was 33.7% lower (95% CI, 23.2‐44.1) in IC versus OwH patients. No notable exposure‐response relationships were identified for exposures higher than those achieved after conventional dose oseltamivir 75 mg, which appeared to be close to the maximum effect of oseltamivir. Simulations of the drug‐disease model predicted that initiating treatment within 48 hours of symptom onset had maximum impact, and a treatment duration of 10 days was favourable over 3‐5 days to limit viral rebound.

Conclusions

Our findings support the use of conventional‐dose oseltamivir 75 mg twice daily for 10 days in the treatment of IC adult patients with influenza.

Mechanistic Population Pharmacokinetic Model of Oseltamivir and Oseltamivir Carboxylate Accounting for Physiological Changes to Predict Exposures in Neonates and Infants

A mechanistic population‐pharmacokinetic model was developed to predict oseltamivir exposures in neonates and infants accounting for physiological changes during the first 2 years of life. The model included data from 13 studies, comprising 436 subjects with normal renal function (317 pediatric subjects (≥ 38 weeks postmenstrual age (PMA), ≥ 13 days old) and 119 adult subjects < 40 years). Concentration–time profiles of oseltamivir and its active metabolite, oseltamivir carboxylate (OC), were characterized by a four‐compartment model, with absorption described by three additional compartments. Renal maturational changes were implemented by description of OC clearance with allometric function of weight and Hill function of PMA. Clearance of OC increased with weight up to 43 kg (allometric coefficient 0.75). Half the adult OC clearance was reached at a PMA of 45.6 weeks (95% confidence interval (CI) 41.6–49.6) with a Hill coefficient of 2.35 (95% CI 1.67–3.04). The model supports the European Union/United States‐approved 3 mg/kg twice‐daily oseltamivir dose for infants < 1 year (PMA ≥ 38 weeks) and allows prediction of exposures in preterm neonates.

Route of Oseltamivir Administration Affects Metabolite Concentrations in Critically Ill Children

We performed a prospective cohort study to investigate oseltamivir administration in critically ill children. We found that enteric tube administration of oseltamivir resulted in lower concentrations of its active metabolite compared with oral delivery. These findings could have significant clinical implications, and more studies are required to better understand the effects of administration route on potential lower systemic metabolite exposure.

Pharmacokinetics of MHAA4549A, an Anti-Influenza A Monoclonal Antibody, in Healthy Subjects Challenged with Influenza A Virus in a Phase IIa Randomized Trial

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

MHAA4549A, a human anti-influenza immunoglobulin (Ig) G1 monoclonal antibody, is being developed to treat patients hospitalized for influenza A infection. This study examined the pharmacokinetics (PKs) of MHAA4549A in a phase IIa, randomized, double-blind, dose-ranging trial in healthy volunteers challenged with influenza A virus.

METHODS

Serum PK data were collected from 60 subjects in three single-dose groups (400, 1200, or 3600 mg) who received MHAA4549A intravenously 24-36 h after inoculation with the influenza A virus. Nasopharyngeal swab MHAA4549A concentration data were collected on days 1-8, and all subjects, including the placebo group, received 75 mg oseltamivir twice daily from days 7 to 11. Plasma samples were collected 4 h postdose on day 8 for oseltamivir and its active metabolite oseltamivir carboxylate (OC) (all subjects, n = 100), including subjects treated with oseltamivir alone and placebo. Noncompartmental analysis was performed for both nasal and serum PKs.

RESULTS

MHAA4549A showed dose-proportional serum PKs with a long terminal half-life (approximately 21.9-24.6 days) and slow clearance (approximately 152-240 mL/day); however, nasopharyngeal swab PKs were not dose proportional. No differences in mean plasma concentrations of oseltamivir and OC at 4 h postdose on day 8 were observed between the MHAA4549A treatment and placebo groups. No subjects who received MHAA4549A developed anti-drug antibodies.

CONCLUSION

MHAA4549A serum PKs were consistent with that of a human IgG1antibody without known endogenous targets. MHAA4549A showed nonlinear PKs in nasopharyngeal swab samples, which will guide future dose selection to achieve the high drug concentrations needed at the site of action for efficacy. These data demonstrate no PK interactions between MHAA4549A and oseltamivir, and support flat dosing.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov identifier, NCT01980966.

Cost-utility analysis of antiviral use under pandemic influenza using a novel approach - linking pharmacology, epidemiology and heath economics

Simulation models are used widely in pharmacology, epidemiology and health economics (HEs). However, there have been no attempts to incorporate models from these disciplines into a single integrated model. Accordingly, we explored this linkage to evaluate the epidemiological and economic impact of oseltamivir dose optimisation in supporting pandemic influenza planning in the USA. An HE decision analytic model was linked to a pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamics (PK/PD) - dynamic transmission model simulating the impact of pandemic influenza with low virulence and low transmissibility and, high virulence and high transmissibility. The cost-utility analysis was from the payer and societal perspectives, comparing oseltamivir 75 and 150 mg twice daily (BID) to no treatment over a 1-year time horizon. Model parameters were derived from published studies. Outcomes were measured as cost per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained. Sensitivity analyses were performed to examine the integrated model's robustness. Under both pandemic scenarios, compared to no treatment, the use of oseltamivir 75 or 150 mg BID led to a significant reduction of influenza episodes and influenza-related deaths, translating to substantial savings of QALYs. Overall drug costs were offset by the reduction of both direct and indirect costs, making these two interventions cost-saving from both perspectives. The results were sensitive to the proportion of inpatient presentation at the emergency visit and patients' quality of life. Integrating PK/PD-EPI/HE models is achievable. Whilst further refinement of this novel linkage model to more closely mimic the reality is needed, the current study has generated useful insights to support influenza pandemic planning.

Interdisciplinary pharmacometrics linking oseltamivir pharmacology, influenza epidemiology and health economics to inform antiviral use in pandemics

AIMS

A modular interdisciplinary platform was developed to investigate the economic impact of oseltamivir treatment by dosage regimen under simulated influenza pandemic scenarios.

METHODS

The pharmacology module consisted of a pharmacokinetic distribution of oseltamivir carboxylate daily area under the concentration-time curve at steady state (simulated for 75 mg and 150 mg twice daily regimens for 5 days) and a pharmacodynamic distribution of viral shedding duration obtained from phase II influenza inoculation data. The epidemiological module comprised a susceptible, exposed, infected, recovered (SEIR) model to which drug effect on the basic reproductive number (R₀ ), a measure of transmissibility, was linked by reduction of viral shedding duration. The number of infected patients per population of 100 000 susceptible individuals was simulated for a series of pandemic scenarios, varying oseltamivir dose, R₀ (1.9 vs. 2.7), and drug uptake (25%, 50%, and 80%). The number of infected patients for each scenario was entered into the health economics module, a decision analytic model populated with branch probabilities, disease utility, costs of hospitalized patients developing complications, and case-fatality rates. Change in quality-adjusted life years was determined relative to base case.

RESULTS

Oseltamivir 75 mg relative to no treatment reduced the median number of infected patients, increased change in quality-adjusted life years by deaths averted, and was cost-saving under all scenarios; 150 mg relative to 75 mg was not cost effective in low transmissibility scenarios but was cost saving in high transmissibility scenarios.

CONCLUSION

This methodological study demonstrates proof of concept that the disciplines of pharmacology, disease epidemiology and health economics can be linked in a single quantitative framework.

Population pharmacokinetics of oseltamivir and oseltamivir carboxylate in obese and non-obese volunteers

AIMS

The aims of the present study were to compare the pharmacokinetics of oseltamivir and its active antiviral metabolite oseltamivir carboxylate in obese and non-obese individuals and to determine the effect of obesity on the pharmacokinetic properties of oseltamivir and oseltamivir carboxylate.

METHODS

The population pharmacokinetic properties of oseltamivir and oseltamivir carboxylate were evaluated in 12 obese [body mass index (BMI) ≥30 kg m(-2) ) and 12 non-obese (BMI <30 kg m(-2) ) Thai adult volunteers receiving a standard dose of 75 mg and a double dose of 150 mg in a randomized sequence. Concentration-time data were collected and analysed using nonlinear mixed-effects modelling.

RESULTS

The pharmacokinetics of oseltamivir and oseltamivir carboxylate were described simultaneously by first-order absorption, with a one-compartment disposition model for oseltamivir, followed by a metabolism compartment and a one-compartment disposition model for oseltamivir carboxylate. Creatinine clearance was a significant predictor of oseltamivir carboxylate clearance {3.84% increase for each 10 ml min(-1) increase in creatinine clearance [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.178%, 8.02%]}. Obese individuals had an approximately 25% (95% CI 24%, 28%) higher oseltamivir clearance, 20% higher oseltamivir volume of distribution (95% CI 19%, 23%) and 10% higher oseltamivir carboxylate clearance (95% CI 9%, 11%) compared with non-obese individuals. However, these altered pharmacokinetic properties were small and did not change the overall exposure to oseltamivir carboxylate.

CONCLUSIONS

The results confirmed that a dose adjustment for oseltamivir in obese individuals is not necessary on the basis of its pharmacokinetics.

Pharmacokinetics and safety of oseltamivir in patients with end-stage renal disease treated with automated peritoneal dialysis

AIMS

Patients with end-stage renal disease (ESRD) are at increased risk of developing complications associated with influenza infection. Oseltamivir is indicated for influenza treatment in ESRD patients, but the disposition is poorly understood in this patient population. This study aimed to characterize the pharmacokinetics and tolerability of oseltamivir in automated peritoneal dialysis (APD) and construct a pharmacokinetic model to assist with optimized dosing.

METHODS

Ten adults with ESRD were prescribed an aggressive APD regimen consisting of three continuous cycler-assisted peritoneal dialysis (CCPD) sessions during the day and two continuous ambulatory (CAPD) sessions overnight. Oseltamivir was administered as a single 75 mg dose, immediately before APD treatment.

RESULTS

Oseltamivir was rapidly eliminated via first-pass metabolism, with most of the dose (Fraction metabolized = 0.964) reaching the circulation as the active metabolite, oseltamivir carboxylate. This metabolite was cleared slowly and was quantifiable throughout the sampling interval. The disposition of oseltamivir and oseltamivir carboxylate was described by a two- and a one-compartment model, respectively. Metabolite clearance by CCPD [0.32 l h(-1)  (70 kg)(-1) ] was 1.9-fold faster than via CAPD [0.17 l h(-1)  (70 kg)(-1) ], with renal elimination being dominant in patients with residual urine production. Model simulations showed that a single 75 mg dose attained target exposures in patients with negligible or low urine clearance. However, higher doses are recommended for further investigation in patients with high residual renal function. In all patients, oseltamivir was well tolerated.

CONCLUSIONS

In APD patients with anuria or low residual renal elimination, a single 75 mg dose of oseltamivir produced exposures at the upper end of the safety margin.

Investigating clinically adequate concentrations of oseltamivir carboxylate in end-stage renal disease patients undergoing hemodialysis using a population pharmacokinetic approach

End-stage renal disease (ESRD) patients receiving hemodialysis (HD) are at heightened risk for influenza, but the optimal oseltamivir dosage regimen for treating or preventing influenza in this high-risk population is still uncertain. Pharmacokinetic data for 24 adults with ESRD were pooled from a single-dose and a multiple-dose study to develop a population pharmacokinetic model using nonlinear mixed-effects modeling. The final model comprised five compartments, two each to describe the systemic pharmacokinetics of oseltamivir phosphate and its metabolite, oseltamivir carboxylate (OC), and a delay compartment to describe oseltamivir metabolism. Estimated OC clearance in the model was markedly faster during HD sessions (7.43 liters/min) than at other times (0.19 liter/min). Model simulations showed that 30 mg oseltamivir given after every HD session is the most suitable regimen for influenza treatment, producing trough OC concentrations above the median value achieved with the 75-mg twice-daily regimen in patients with normal renal function and peak concentrations below the highest oseltamivir exposures known to be well tolerated (median exposures after twice-daily dosing of 450 mg). Administration of the first dose following diagnosis of influenza need not wait until after the next HD session: addition of a single 30-mg dose during the 12 h before the next HD session raises OC exposures quickly without posing any safety risk. Further simulation showed that 30 mg oseltamivir given after every other HD session is the most suitable regimen for influenza prophylaxis.

Population pharmacokinetics of oseltamivir in non-pregnant and pregnant women

AIMS

Physiological changes in pregnancy are expected to alter the pharmacokinetics of various drugs. The objective of this study was to evaluate systematically the pharmacokinetics of oseltamivir (OS), a drug used in the treatment of influenza during pregnancy.

METHODS

A multicentre steady-state pharmacokinetic study of OS was performed in 35 non-pregnant and 29 pregnant women. Plasma concentration-time profiles were analyzed using both non-compartmental and population pharmacokinetic modelling (pop PK) and simulation approaches. A one compartment population pharmacokinetic model with first order absorption and elimination adequately described the pharmacokinetics of OS.

RESULTS

The systemic exposure of oseltamivir carboxylate (OC, active metabolite of OS) was reduced approximately 30 (19-36)% (P < 0.001) in pregnant women. Pregnancy significantly (P < 0.001) influenced the clearance (CL/F) and volume of distribution (V/F) of OC. Both non-compartmental and population pharmacokinetic approaches documented approximately 45 (23-62)% increase in clearance (CL/F) of OC during pregnancy.

CONCLUSION

Based on the decrease in exposure of the active metabolite, the currently recommended doses of OS may need to be increased modestly in pregnant women in order to achieve comparable exposure with that of non-pregnant women.

Population pharmacokinetic analysis of oseltamivir and oseltamivir carboxylate following intravenous and oral administration to patients with and without renal impairment

This work characterizes the pharmacokinetics (PK) of oseltamivir phosphate (OP) and its active metabolite, oseltamivir carboxylate (OC), and investigates oseltamivir i.v. dosing regimens for treatment of influenza in patients with normal renal function and with various degrees of renal impairment. Initially, data collected from 149 subjects with normal renal function and mild to severe renal impairment who were administered 40-200 mg oseltamivir i.v. were described by a four-compartment model. Two compartments described OP, one compartment described OC and one compartment described OP to OC metabolism. Then, data of 128 subjects administered 20-1,000 mg oseltamivir orally were added. The absorption model included three first-order processes with direct (via first-pass) input in the OC compartment and two (direct and delayed) inputs in the OP compartment. Simulations and PK bridging were used to recommend i.v. dosing regimens. The analysis demonstrated that renal function had a major effect on OC clearance (CL M ) and exposure. CL M for subjects with mild, moderate and severe renal impairment was 18, 50, and 84 % lower than for subjects with normal renal function. Simulations were used to select i.v. dosing regimens that provide OC Cmin coverage and exposures comparable to those achieved in subjects with normal renal function administered 75 mg b.i.d. orally. The oseltamivir dose depended on the degree of renal impairment and was independent of route of administration. Specifically, 75 mg b.i.d. is recommended for subjects with normal renal function or mild renal impairment, 30 mg b.i.d. for subjects with moderate renal impairment, and 30 mg q.d. for subjects with severe renal impairment. Recommended i.v. doses were the same as those recommended for oral administration in corresponding renal impairment groups.

Pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic determinants of oseltamivir efficacy using data from phase 2 inoculation studies

Given the limited understanding about pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic (PK-PD) determinants of oseltamivir efficacy, data from two phase 2 influenza virus inoculation studies were evaluated. Healthy volunteers in studies 1 and 2 were experimentally infected with influenza A/Texas (the concentration of neuraminidase inhibitor which reduced neuraminidase activity by 50% [IC(50)] = 0.18 nM) or B/Yamagata (IC(50) = 16.76 nM), respectively. In study 1, 80 subjects received 20, 100, or 200 mg of oral oseltamivir twice daily (BID), 200 mg oseltamivir once daily, or placebo for 5 days. In study 2, 60 subjects received 75 or 150 mg of oral oseltamivir BID or placebo for 5 days. Oseltamivir carboxylate (OC) (active metabolite) PK was evaluated using individual PK data and a population PK model to derive individual values for area under the concentration-time curve from 0 to 24 h (AUC(0-24)), minimum concentration of OC in plasma (C(min)), and maximum concentration of OC in plasma (C(max)). Exposure-response relationships were evaluated for continuous (area under composite symptom score curve [AUCSC], area under the viral titer curve, and peak viral titer) and time-to-event (alleviation of composite symptom scores and cessation of viral shedding) efficacy endpoints. Univariable analyses suggested the existence of intuitive and highly statistically significant relationships between OC AUC(0-24 )evaluated as a 3-group variable and AUCSC, time to alleviation of composite symptom scores, and time to cessation of viral shedding. The upper OC AUC(0-24) threshold (~14,000 ng · h/ml) was similar among these endpoints. Multivariable analyses failed to demonstrate the influence of study/strain on efficacy endpoints. These results provide the first demonstration of exposure-response relationships for efficacy for oseltamivir against influenza and suggest that OC exposures beyond those achieved with the approved oseltamivir dosing regimen will provide enhanced efficacy. The clinical applicability of these observations requires further investigation.