Contribution of recurrent admissions in children and young people to emergency hospital admissions: retrospective cohort analysis of hospital episode statistics

Emergency Department Use by Young Adults With Chronic Illness Before and During the COVID-19 Pandemic

INTRODUCTION

There was a significant decrease in emergency department encounters during the COVID-19 pandemic. Our large urban emergency department observed decreased encounters and admissions by youths with chronic health conditions. This study aimed to compare the frequency of emergency department encounters for certain young adults before the pandemic and during the COVID-19 pandemic.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study using medical records of patients ages 20 to 26 years from October 2018 to September 2019 and February 2020 to February 2021. Files set for inclusion were those with a primary diagnosis of human immunodeficiency virus, diabetes mellitus, epilepsy, cerebral palsy, sickle cell disease, asthma, and certain psychiatric disorders for potentially preventable health events.

RESULTS

We included 1203 total encounters (853 before the pandemic and 350 during the pandemic), with the total number of subjects included in the study 568 (293 before the pandemic to 239 during the pandemic). During the pandemic, young adults with mental health conditions (53.1%) accounted for most encounters. Encounters requiring hospital admissions increased from 27.4% to 52.5% during the pandemic, primarily among patients with diabetes (41.8% vs 61.1%) and mental health conditions (50% vs 73.3%).

DISCUSSION

The number of young adults with certain chronic health conditions decreased during COVID-19, with encounters for subjects with mental health conditions increasing significantly. The proportion of admissions increased during the pandemic with increases for subjects with mental health disorders and diabetes. The number of frequent users decreased during COVID-19. Future research is needed to understand better the causes for these disparities in young adults with chronic conditions who use the emergency department as a source of care.

Trends in hospital admissions during transition from paediatric to adult services for young people with learning disabilities or autism: Population-based cohort study

Background

Transition from paediatric to adult health care may disrupt continuity of care, and result in unmet health needs. We describe changes in planned and unplanned hospital admission rates before, during and after transition for young people with learning disability (LD), or autism spectrum disorders (ASD) indicated in hospital records, who are likely to have more complex health needs.

Methods

We developed two mutually exclusive cohorts of young people with LD, and with ASD without LD, born between 1990 and 2001 in England using national hospital admission data. We determined the annual rate of change in planned and unplanned hospital admission rates before (age 10–15 years), during (16–18 years) and after (19–24 years) transition to adult care using multilevel negative binomial regression models, accounting for area-level deprivation, sex, birth year and presence of comorbidities.

Findings

The cohorts included 51,291 young people with LD, and 46,270 autistic young people. Admission rates at ages 10–24 years old were higher for young people with LD (54 planned and 25 unplanned admissions per 100 person-years) than for autistic young people (17/100 and 16/100, respectively). For young people with LD, planned admission rates were highest and constant before transition (rate ratio [RR]: 0.99, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.98–0.99), declined by 14% per year of age during (RR: 0.86, 95% CI: 0.85–0.88), and remained constant after transition (RR: 0.99, 95% CI: 0.99–1.00), mainly due to fewer admissions for non-surgical care, including respite care. Unplanned admission rates increased by 3% per year of age before (RR: 1.03, 95% CI: 1.02–1.03), remained constant during (RR: 1.01, 95% CI: 1.00–1.03) and increased by 3% per year after transition (RR: 1.03, 95% CI: 1.02–1.04). For autistic young people, planned admission rates increased before (RR: 1.06, 95% CI: 1.05–1.06), decreased during (RR: 0.95, 95% CI: 0.93–0.97), and increased after transition (RR: 1.05, 95%: 1.04–1.07). Unplanned admission rates increased most rapidly before (RR: 1.16, 95% CI: 1.15–1.17), remained constant during (RR: 1.01, 95% CI: 0.99–1.03), and increased moderately after transition (RR: 1.03, 95% CI: 1.02–1.04).

Interpretation

Decreases in planned admission rates during transition were paralleled by small but consistent increases in unplanned admission rates with age for young people with LD and autistic young people. Decreases in non-surgical planned care during transition could reflect disruptions to continuity of planned/respite care or a shift towards provision of healthcare in primary care and community settings and non-hospital arrangements for respite care.

Funding

National Institute for Health Research Policy Research Programme.

Reductions in hospital care among clinically vulnerable children aged 0-4 years during the COVID-19 pandemic

OBJECTIVE

To quantify reductions in hospital care for clinically vulnerable children during the COVID-19 pandemic.

DESIGN

Birth cohort.

SETTING

National Health Service hospitals in England.

STUDY POPULATION

All children aged <5 years with a birth recorded in hospital administrative data (January 2010-March 2021).

MAIN EXPOSURE

Clinical vulnerability defined by a chronic health condition, preterm birth (<37 weeks' gestation) or low birth weight (<2500 g).

MAIN OUTCOMES

Reductions in care defined by predicted hospital contact rates for 2020, estimated from 2015 to 2019, minus observed rates per 1000 child years during the first year of the pandemic (March 2020-2021).

RESULTS

Of 3 813 465 children, 17.7% (one in six) were clinically vulnerable (9.5% born preterm or low birth weight, 10.3% had a chronic condition). Reductions in hospital care during the pandemic were much higher for clinically vulnerable children than peers: respectively, outpatient attendances (314 vs 73 per 1000 child years), planned admissions (55 vs 10) and unplanned admissions (105 vs 79). Clinically vulnerable children accounted for 50.1% of the reduction in outpatient attendances, 55.0% in planned admissions and 32.8% in unplanned hospital admissions. During the pandemic, weekly rates of planned care returned to prepandemic levels for infants with chronic conditions but not older children. Reductions in care differed by ethnic group and level of deprivation. Virtual outpatient attendances increased from 3.2% to 24.8% during the pandemic.

CONCLUSION

One in six clinically vulnerable children accounted for one-third to one half of the reduction in hospital care during the pandemic.

Characteristics of paediatric frequent presenters at emergency departments: A whole-of-population study

AIM

To quantify the frequency of emergency department (ED) presentations and profile the socio-demographic, health and presentation characteristics of paediatric ED frequent presenters.

METHODS

A population-based data linkage study of 55 921 children in the South Australian Early Childhood Data Project aged 0-12 years with 100 976 presentations to public hospital EDs in South Australia. For each child, the total number of recurrent ED presentations during a 364-day period post-index presentation was calculated. Frequent presenters were children who experienced ≥4 recurrent ED presentations. We determined the socio-demographic, health and presentation characteristics by number of recurrent presentations.

RESULTS

Children with ≥4 recurrent presentations (4.4%) accounted for 15.4% of all paediatric ED presentations and 22.5% of subsequent admissions to hospital during the 12-month study period. Compared to children with no recurrent ED presentation, frequent presenters had higher proportions of socio-economic and health disadvantage at birth. One in two (49.3%) frequent presenters had at least one injury presentation and one (21.3%) in five had at least one presentation related to a chronic condition.

CONCLUSIONS

Children with ≥4 presentations do not represent the majority of ED users. Nevertheless, they represent a disproportionate burden accounting for 15% of all paediatric ED presentations in a 12-month period. Frequent presenters were characterised by early socio-economic and health disadvantage, and childhood injury. Strategies targeting social disadvantage and childhood injury may reduce the burden of ED presentations.

Is socioeconomic position associated with bronchiolitis seasonality? A cohort study

BACKGROUND

Understanding differences in the seasonality of bronchiolitis can help to plan the timing of interventions. We quantified the extent to which seasonality in hospital admissions for bronchiolitis is modified by socioeconomic position.

METHODS

Using Hospital Episode Statistics, we followed 3 717 329 infants born in English National Health Service hospitals between 2011 and 2016 for 1 year. We calculated the proportion of all infant admissions due to bronchiolitis and the incidence rate of bronchiolitis admissions per 1000 infant-years, according to year, month, age, socioeconomic position and region. We used harmonic Poisson regression analysis to assess whether socioeconomic position modified bronchiolitis seasonality.

RESULTS

The admission rate for bronchiolitis in England increased from 47.4 (95% CI 46.8 to 47.9) to 58.9 per 1000 infant-years (95% CI 58.3 to 59.5) between 2012 and 2016. We identified some variation in the seasonality of admissions by socioeconomic position: increased deprivation was associated with less seasonal variation and a slightly delayed epidemic peak. At week 50, the risk of admission was 38% greater (incidence rate ratios 1.38; 95% CI 1.35 to 1.41) for infants in the most deprived socioeconomic group compared with the least deprived group.

CONCLUSION

These results do not support the need for differential timing of prophylaxis or vaccination by socioeconomic group but suggest that infants born into socioeconomic deprivation should be considered a priority group for future interventions. Further research is needed to establish if the viral aetiology of bronchiolitis varies by season and socioeconomic group, and to quantify risk factors mediating socioeconomic deprivation and bronchiolitis rates.

Trends in healthcare use in children aged less than 15 years: a population-based cohort study in England from 2007 to 2017

OBJECTIVE

To describe changing use of primary care in relation to use of urgent care and planned hospital services by children aged less than 15 years in England in the decade following major primary care reforms from 2007 to 2017 DESIGN: Population-based retrospective cohort study.

METHODS

We used linked data from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink to study children's primary care consultations and use of hospital care including emergency department (ED) visits, emergency and elective admissions to hospital and outpatient visits to specialists.

RESULTS

Between 1 April 2007 and 31 March 2017, there were 7 604 024 general practitioner (GP) consultations, 981 684 ED visits, 287 719 emergency hospital admissions, 2 253 533 outpatient visits and 194 034 elective admissions among 1 484 455 children aged less than 15 years. Age-standardised GP consultation rates fell (-1.0%/year) to 1864 per 1000 child-years in 2017 in all age bands except infants rising by 1%/year to 6722 per 1000/child-years in 2017. ED visit rates increased by 1.6%/year to 369 per 1000 child-years in 2017, with steeper rises of 3.9%/year in infants (780 per 1000 child-years in 2017). Emergency hospital admission rates rose steadily by 3%/year to 86 per 1000 child-years and outpatient visit rates rose to 724 per 1000 child-years in 2017.

CONCLUSIONS

Over the past decade since National Health Service primary care reforms, GP consultation rates have fallen for all children, except for infants. Children's use of hospital urgent and outpatient care has risen in all ages, especially infants. These changes signify the need for better access and provision of specialist and community-based support for families with young children.

Socio-demographic patterns in hospital admissions and accident and emergency attendances among young people using linkage to NHS Hospital Episode Statistics: results from the Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children

Background

In England emergency hospital admissions among children are increasing and the under 25s are the most frequent attenders of A&E departments. Children of lower socio-economic status (SES) have poorer health outcomes and higher hospital admission rates. NHS Hospital Episode Statistics (HES) are increasingly being used for research but lack detailed data on individual characteristics such as SES. We report the results of an Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children (ALSPAC) study that linked the data of 3,189 consenting participants to HES. We describe rates of hospital admission, emergency readmissions, and A&E attendances and examine socio-demographic correlates of these.

Methods

Subjects were singletons and twins enrolled in ALSPAC who had provided consent for linkage to their health records by the study cut-off date (31.02.12). Linkage was carried out by the Health and Social Care Information Centre (now NHS Digital). We examined rates of admissions between birth and age 20 and A&E attendances between 14 and 20 years. Socio-demographic information collected in ALSPAC questionnaires during pregnancy were used to examine factors associated with admissions, emergency readmissions (an emergency admission within 30 days of discharge) and A&E attendances.

Results

Excluding birth records, we found at least one admission for 1,792/3,189 (56.2%) participants and 4,305 admissions in total. Admission rates were highest in the first year of life. Among males, admissions declined until about age 5 and then remained relatively stable; conversely, among females, they increased sharply from the age of 15. ICD 10 chapters for diseases of the digestive system and injury and poisoning accounted for the largest proportions of admissions (15.8 and 14.5%, respectively). Tooth decay was the highest single cause of admission for those aged 5–9 years. Overall, 1,518/3,189 (47.6%) of participants attended A&E at least once, with a total of 3,613 attendances between age 14 and 20 years. Individuals from more deprived backgrounds had higher rates of admissions, readmissions and A&E attendances.

Conclusions

Linkage between cohort studies such as ALSPAC and HES data provides unique opportunities for detailed insights into socio-demographic and other determinants of hospital activity, which can inform secondary care demand management in the NHS.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1186/s12913-019-3922-7) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Unwarranted clinical variation in the care of children and young people hospitalised for injury: a population-based cohort study

INTRODUCTION

Injury is a leading cause of death and disability among children and young people. Recovery may be negatively affected by unwarranted clinical variation such as representation to an emergency department (ED), readmission to a hospital, and mortality. The aim of this study was to examine unwarranted clinical variation across providers of care of children and young people who were hospitalised for injury in New South Wales (NSW).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Retrospective population-based cohort study using linked ED, hospital, and mortality data of all children and young people aged ≤25 years who were injured and hospitalised during 1 January 2010-30 June 2014 in NSW. Unwarranted clinical variation across providers was examined using three indicators. That is, for each hospital that treated ≥100 cases per year, risk standardised ratios were calculated with 95% and 99.8% confidence limits using the number of observed and expected events of (1) representations to ED within 72 h, (2) unplanned readmissions to hospital within 28 days, and (3) all-cause mortality within 30 days.

RESULTS

There were 189,990 injury-related hospitalisations of children and young people. Of these, 4.4% represented to an ED, 8.7% were readmitted to hospital, and 0.2% died. Of the 45 public hospitals that treated ≥100 cases per year, higher than expected rates of ED representations, hospital readmissions, and mortality were observed in eleven, six, and two hospitals, respectively.

CONCLUSION

The rates of ED representations, hospital readmissions, and mortality among children and young people hospitalised for injury in NSW were similar to the rates reported in other countries. However, unwarranted clinical variation across public hospitals was observed for all three indicators. These findings suggest that by improving routine follow-up support services post-discharge for children and young people and their families, it may be possible to reduce unwarranted clinical variation and improve health outcomes.

Impact of preventive primary care on children's unplanned hospital admissions: a population-based birth cohort study of UK children 2000-2013

BACKGROUND

Universal health coverage (UHC) aims to improve child health through preventive primary care and vaccine coverage. Yet, in many developed countries with UHC, unplanned and ambulatory care sensitive (ACS) hospital admissions in childhood continue to rise. We investigated the relation between preventive primary care and risk of unplanned and ACS admission in children in a high-income country with UHC.

METHODS

We followed 319,780 children registered from birth with 363 English practices in Clinical Practice Research Datalink linked to Hospital Episodes Statistics, born between January 2000 and March 2013. We used Cox regression estimating adjusted hazard ratios (HR) to examine subsequent risk of unplanned and ACS hospital admissions in children who received preventive primary care (development checks and vaccinations), compared with those who did not.

RESULTS

Overall, 98% of children had complete vaccinations and 87% had development checks. Unplanned admission rates were 259, 105 and 42 per 1000 child-years in infants (aged < 1 year), preschool (1-4 years) and primary school (5-9 years) children, respectively. Lack of preventive care was associated with more unplanned admissions. Infants with incomplete vaccination had increased risk for all unplanned admissions (HR 1.89, 1.79-2.00) and vaccine-preventable admissions (HR 4.41, 2.59-7.49). Infants lacking development checks had higher risk for unplanned admission (HR 4.63, 4.55-4.71). These associations persisted across childhood. Children who had higher consulting rates with primary care providers also had higher risk of unplanned admission (preschool children: HR 1.17, 1.17-1.17). One third of all unplanned admissions (62,154/183,530) were for ACS infectious illness. Children with chronic ACS conditions, asthma, diabetes or epilepsy had increased risk of unplanned admission (HR 1.90, 1.77-2.04, HR 11.43, 8.48-15.39, and HR 4.82, 3.93-5.91, respectively). These associations were modified in children who consulted more in primary care.

CONCLUSIONS

A high uptake of preventive primary care from birth is associated with fewer unplanned and ACS admissions in children. However, the clustering of poor health, a lack of preventive care uptake, and social deprivation puts some children with comorbid conditions at very high risk of admission. Strengthening immunisation coverage and preventive primary care in countries with poor UHC could potentially significantly reduce the health burden from hospital admission in children.

Emergency admissions and long-term conditions during transition from paediatric to adult care: a cross-sectional study using Hospital Episode Statistics data

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether changes in emergency admission rates during transition from paediatric to adult hospital services differed in children and young people (CYP) with and without underlying long-term conditions (LTCs).

DESIGN

Cross-sectional study.

SETTING

Emergency admissions between 2009 and 2011 recorded in the Hospital Episode Statistics Admitted Patient Care data in England.

PARTICIPANTS

763 199 CYP aged 10-24 years with and without underlying LTCs (LTCs were defined using the International Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision codes recorded in the past 5 years).

PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES

We calculated emergency admission rates before (10-15 years) and after transition (19-24 years), stratified by gender, LTC and primary diagnosis. We used negative binomial regression to estimate adjusted incidence rate ratios (IRRs).

RESULTS

We included 1 109 978 emergency admissions, of which 63.2% were in children with LTCs. The emergency admission rate increased across the age of transition for all CYP, more so for those with LTCs (IRRLTC: 1.55, 99% CI 1.47 to 1.63), compared with those without (IRRnoLTC: 1.21, 99% CI 1.18 to 1.23). The rates increased most rapidly for CYP with mental health problems, MEDReG (metabolic, endocrine, digestive, renal, genitourinary) disorders, and multiple LTCs (both genders) and respiratory disorders (female only). Small or no increased rates were found for CYP without LTCs and for those with cancer or cardiovascular disease. Increases in length of stay were driven by long admissions (10+ days) for a minority (1%) of CYP with mental health problems and potentially psychosomatic symptoms. Non-specific symptoms related to abdominal pain (girls only), gastrointestinal and respiratory problems were the most frequent primary diagnoses.

CONCLUSIONS

The increased rates and duration of emergency admissions and predominance of non-specific admission diagnoses during transition in CYP with underlying LTCs may reflect unmet physical or mental health needs.

Preventability of Early Versus Late Hospital Readmissions in a National Cohort of General Medicine Patients

Background

Many experts believe that hospitals with more frequent readmissions provide lower-quality care, but little is known about how the preventability of readmissions might change over the postdischarge time frame.

Objective

To determine whether readmissions within 7 days of discharge differ from those between 8 and 30 days after discharge with respect to preventability.

Design

Prospective cohort study.

Setting

10 academic medical centers in the United States.

Patients

822 adults readmitted to a general medicine service.

Measurements

For each readmission, 2 site-specific physician adjudicators used a structured survey instrument to determine whether it was preventable and measured other characteristics.

Results

Overall, 36.2% of early readmissions versus 23.0% of late readmissions were preventable (median risk difference, 13.0 percentage points [interquartile range, 5.5 to 26.4 percentage points]). Hospitals were identified as better locations for preventing early readmissions (47.2% vs. 25.5%; median risk difference, 22.8 percentage points [interquartile range, 17.9 to 31.8 percentage points]), whereas outpatient clinics (15.2% vs. 6.6%; median risk difference, 10.0 percentage points [interquartile range, 4.6 to 12.2 percentage points]) and home (19.4% vs. 14.0%; median risk difference, 5.6 percentage points [interquartile range, -6.1 to 17.1 percentage points]) were better for preventing late readmissions.

Limitation

Physician adjudicators were not blinded to readmission timing, community hospitals were not included in the study, and readmissions to nonstudy hospitals were not included in the results.

Conclusion

Early readmissions were more likely to be preventable and amenable to hospital-based interventions. Late readmissions were less likely to be preventable and were more amenable to ambulatory and home-based interventions.

Primary Funding Source

Association of American Medical Colleges.

Preventability of early vs. late readmissions in an academic medical center

Background

It is unclear if the 30-day unplanned hospital readmission rate is a plausible accountability metric.

Objective

Compare preventability of hospital readmissions, between an early period [0–7 days post-discharge] and a late period [8–30 days post-discharge]. Compare causes of readmission, and frequency of markers of clinical instability 24h prior to discharge between early and late readmissions.

Design, setting, patients

120 patient readmissions in an academic medical center between 1/1/2009-12/31/2010

Measures

Sum-score based on a standard algorithm that assesses preventability of each readmission based on blinded hospitalist review; average causation score for seven types of adverse events; rates of markers of clinical instability within 24h prior to discharge.

Results

Readmissions were significantly more preventable in the early compared to the late period [median preventability sum score 8.5 vs. 8.0, p = 0.03]. There were significantly more management errors as causative events for the readmission in the early compared to the late period [mean causation score [scale 1–6, 6 most causal] 2.0 vs. 1.5, p = 0.04], and these errors were significantly more preventable in the early compared to the late period [mean preventability score 1.9 vs 1.5, p = 0.03]. Patients readmitted in the early period were significantly more likely to have mental status changes documented 24h prior to hospital discharge than patients readmitted in the late period [12% vs. 0%, p = 0.01].

Conclusions

Readmissions occurring in the early period were significantly more preventable. Early readmissions were associated with more management errors, and mental status changes 24h prior to discharge. Seven-day readmissions may be a better accountability measure.

Who comes back with what: a retrospective database study on reasons for emergency readmission to hospital in children and young people in England

OBJECTIVE

To determine the proportion of children and young people (CYP) in England who are readmitted for the same condition.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study.

SETTING

National administrative hospital data (Hospital Episode Statistics).

PARTICIPANTS

CYP (0-year-olds to 24-year-olds) discharged after an emergency admission to the National Health Service in England in 2009/2010.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Coded primary diagnosis classified in six broad groups indicating reason for admission (infection, chronic condition, injury, perinatal related or pregnancy related, sign or symptom or other). We grouped readmissions as ≤30 days or between 31 days and 2 years after the index discharge. We used multivariable logistic regression to determine factors at the index admission that were predictive of readmission within 30 days.

RESULTS

9% of CYP were readmitted within 30 days. Half of the 30-day readmissions and 40% of the recurrent admissions between 30 days and 2 years had the same primary diagnosis group as the original admission. These proportions were consistent across age, sex and diagnostic groups, except for infants and young women with pregnancy-related problems (15-24 years) who were more likely to be readmitted for the same primary diagnostic group. CYP with underlying chronic conditions were readmitted within 30 days twice as often (OR: 1.93, 95% CI 1.89 to 1.99) compared with CYP without chronic conditions.

CONCLUSIONS

Financial penalties for readmission are expected to incentivise more effective care of the original problem, thereby avoiding readmission. Our findings, that half of children come back with different problems, do not support this presumption.