Risk of 16 cancers across the full glycemic spectrum: a population-based cohort study using the UK Biobank

Pancreatic Cancer Risk in Prediabetes: A Systematic Meta-analysis Approach

OBJECTIVES

Pancreatic cancer and prediabetes pose significant public health challenges. Given the lack of strong evidence we performed a meta-analysis to assess the risk of pancreatic cancer in prediabetes.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We performed a thorough search of the major databases over the last 10 years to identify relevant articles. The pooled odds ratio (OR) and hazard ratio (HR) were combined to calculate the effect size (ES).

RESULTS

We analyzed 5 studies including 5,425,111 prediabetic individuals and 16,096,467 normoglycemic population across 5 countries with a median follow-up of 8.5 years. We identified a noteworthy association between prediabetes and pancreatic cancer, reporting an unadjusted ES of 1.36 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.05-1.77, P = 0.02) and an adjusted ES of 1.40 (1.23-1.59, P < 0.01). Subgroup analyses by age revealed variations in risk, with studies involving participants aged 60 and above exhibiting a higher ES (ES 1.83, 95% CI 1.28-2.62, P < 0.01). Geographical differences were also observed, with Japanese studies reporting a higher risk (ES 1.89, 95% CI 1.15-3.10, P < 0.01) compared with those from the United States (ES 1.32, 95% CI 1.13-1.53, P < 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

We identified 40% higher risk of pancreatic cancer in patients with prediabetes than those with normal blood glucose necessitating urgent attention for further research and policy change.

Incidence and risk factors for cancer in people with type 1 diabetes, stratified by stages of diabetic kidney disease: a nationwide Finnish cohort study

Background

Individuals with type 1 diabetes (T1D) have been reported to have increased overall risk of cancer. In addition, individuals with a kidney transplant/transplantation (KT) have markedly increased cancer risk due to chronic use of immunosuppressive agents. However, it has not been elucidated whether the observed excess cancer risk is related to KT or whether diabetic kidney disease (DKD) per se is a risk factor for cancer in individuals with T1D.

Methods

The study included 5035 individuals from the Finnish Diabetic Nephropathy Study (FinnDiane) and 14,061 control individuals without diabetes. We assessed the standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) for cancers in individuals with T1D compared to controls according to DKD status. Cox regression analyses were used to identify potential risk factors for cancer in individuals with type 1 diabetes.

Findings

The SIR for overall cancer for all participants was 1.14 (1.05-1.24), for participants without KT 0.92 (0.83-1.01) and for participants with KT 4.78 (4.02-5.64). Participants without KT had in fact a reduced risk of prostate cancer with a SIR of 0.54 (0.37-0.76), cancer of urinary organs 0.41 (0.21-0.73) and respiratory and intrathoracic organs, 0.62 (0.38-0.97). Participants with KT had on the contrary an increased risk of non-melanoma skin cancer, SIR 14.50 (10.99-18.86), cancer in the lymphoid and hematopoietic tissue 5.38 (2.99-8.96), mouth or pharynx 5.13 (2.08-10.66), melanoma 5.12 [2.38-9.72]) and respiratory and intrathoracic organs 2.77 (1.21-5.49). The risk of thyroid cancer was increased both in participants without KT, SIR 2.14 (1.39-3.16) and with KT 5.30 (1.68-12.78).

Interpretation

The excess overall cancer risk in individuals with type 1 diabetes is only seen in KT recipients and in thyroid cancer. The individuals without KT seem to have a decreased risk of some forms of cancer.

Funding

Folkhälsan Research Foundation, Academy of Finland [316664], Wilhelm and Else Stockmann Foundation, Liv och Hälsa Society, Novo Nordisk Foundation [NNF OC0013659], Finnish Foundation for Cardiovascular Research, Finnish Diabetes Research Foundation, Medical Society of Finland, Sigrid Jusélius Foundation, and Helsinki University Hospital Research Funds [TYH2018207 and TYH 2020305].

Severity of Complications and Duration of Type 2 Diabetes and the Risk of Cancer: A Population-Based Study

BACKGROUND

The literature on the association between diabetes severity and cancer risk is limited and inconclusive. The study aimed to evaluate the association between the adapted Diabetes Complications Severity Index (aDCSI) and the duration of type 2 diabetes and cancer risk.

METHODS

Patients ages 20 years or older with newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes between January 1, 2007, and December 31, 2011, were identified from Taiwan National Health Insurance claims data. Standardized incidence ratios (SIR) were calculated to compare cancer incidence in people with diabetes with that in the general population. Poisson regression was used to examine whether SIRs differed by age, sex, aDSCI, and duration of diabetes.

RESULTS

A total of 756,547 patients were included, with a median follow-up of 8.8 years. Excluding the first year after diagnosis, the SIR for overall cancer was 1.18 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.17-1.19]. Higher aDCSI was associated with increased SIRs for overall [SIR ratio 1.03 (1.02-1.03) per point increase], head and neck (1.03; 1.01-1.04), liver (1.04; 1.03-1.05), pancreas (1.03; 1.00-1.05), kidney (1.13; 1.10-1.15), and leukemia (1.09; 1.06-1.13). There was no association between aDCSI and colorectal, extrahepatic biliary tract, uterus and thyroid cancer, and a negative association with breast cancer (0.97; 0.95-0.98). Type 2 diabetes duration was associated with increased SIRs for overall [1.01 (1.00-1.02) per year increase], head and neck (1.03; 1.01-1.05), and liver cancer (1.04; 1.02-1.05).

CONCLUSIONS

The heterogeneity in the association between diabetes severity and diabetes-related cancers suggests diverse underlying connections.

IMPACT

Adopting distinct approaches in further research and prevention strategies for different kinds of diabetes-related cancers is important.

Metabolic dysfunction-associated profiles and subsequent site-specific risk of obesity-related cancers among Chinese patients with diabetes: a retrospective cohort study

OBJECTIVES

To compare metabolic dysfunction-associated profiles between patients with diabetes who developed different obesity-related site-specific cancers and those who remained free of cancer during follow-up.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study.

SETTING

Public general outpatient clinics in Hong Kong.

PARTICIPANTS

Patients with diabetes without a history of malignancy (n=391 921).

PRIMARY OUTCOME MEASURES

The outcomes of interest were diagnosis of site-specific cancers (colon and rectum, liver, pancreas, bladder, kidney and stomach) during follow-up. Cox proportional hazards regression was applied to assess the associations between metabolic dysfunction and other clinical factors with each site-specific cancer.

RESULTS

Each 0.1 increase in waist-to-hip ratio was associated with an 11%-35% elevated risk of colorectal, bladder and liver cancers. Each 1% increase in glycated haemoglobin was linked to a 4%-9% higher risk of liver and pancreatic cancers. While low-density lipoprotein cholesterol and triglycerides were inversely associated with the risk of liver and pancreatic cancers, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol was negatively associated with pancreatic, gastric and kidney cancers, but positively associated with liver cancer. Furthermore, liver cirrhosis was linked to a 56% increased risk of pancreatic cancer. No significant association between hypertension and cancer risk was found.

CONCLUSIONS

Metabolic dysfunction-associated profiles contribute to different obesity-related cancer outcomes differentially among patients with diabetes. This study may provide evidence to help identify cancer prevention targets during routine diabetes care.

Associations of glycosylated hemoglobin, pre-diabetes, and type 2 diabetes with incident lung cancer: A large prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

The association of pre-diabetes and type 2 diabetes (T2D) with incident lung cancer is uncertain, and the incident risk across the glycemic spectrum is unclear. We aimed to explore the associations of glycosylated hemoglobin (HbA1c), pre-diabetes, and T2D with incident lung cancer in a large prospective cohort.

METHODS

Leveraging a total of 210,779 cancer-free adults recruited in the UK Biobank between 2006 and 2010. We performed multivariable Cox proportional hazards models and restricted cubic spline methods to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) for the associations of HbA1c, pre-diabetes, and T2D with incident lung cancer.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 11.06 years, 1738 incident lung cancer cases were ascertained. The incidence of lung cancer was 20% higher among people with diabetes (HR: 1.20, 95% CI: 1.02 to 1.42) and 38% higher among people with pre-diabetes (HR: 1.38, 95% CI: 1.15 to 1.65). After dividing people with diabetes by whether taking antidiabetic medications, the incidence was 28% higher among people with diabetes without medications (HR: 1.28, 95% CI: 1.02 to 1.61) and 15% higher among people with diabetes with medications (HR: 1.15, 95% CI: 0.93 to 1.41). The increased risk of incident lung cancer for each standard deviation (6.45 mmol/mol) increase in HbA1c was more pronounced across HbA1c values of 32-42 mmol/mol (HR: 1.37, 95% CI: 1.18 to 1.59). The risk was more pronounced among participants <60 years.

CONCLUSIONS

Pre-diabetes and T2D are associated with an increased incidence of lung cancer. The increased risk of incident lung cancer is more pronounced across HbA1c values of 32-42 mmol/mol, which are currently considered normal values.

Association between prediabetes and breast cancer: a comprehensive meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Breast cancer accounts for up to 30% of cancer cases in women in the US. Diabetes mellitus has been recognized as a risk factor for breast cancer. Some studies have suggested that prediabetes may also be associated with breast cancer whereas other studies have shown no or an inverse association; thus, we conducted a meta-analysis to assess the risk of breast cancer in prediabetes.

METHODS

We searched PubMed/Medline, EMBASE, Google Scholar, and Scopus to identify studies that reported breast cancer risks in patients having prediabetes compared to normoglycemic patients. Binary random-effects model was used to calculate a pooled odds ratio (OR) with 95% confidence intervals. I2 statistics were used to assess heterogeneity. Leave-one-out sensitivity analysis and subgroup analyses were performed.

RESULTS

We analyzed 7 studies with 24,586 prediabetic and 224,314 normoglycemic individuals (783 and 5739 breast cancer cases, respectively). Unadjusted odds ratio (OR) for breast cancer was 1.45 (95% CI = 1.14, 1.83); adjusted OR was 1.19 (95% CI = 1.07, 1.34) in prediabetes. Subgroup analysis revealed a higher breast cancer risk in individuals aged less than 60 years (OR = 1.86, 95% CI = 1.39, 2.49) than in those aged 60 years or more (OR = 1.07, 95% CI = 0.97, 1.18). Subgroup analysis by median follow-up length indicated a higher risk of breast cancer for follow-ups of less than or equal to 2 years (OR = 2.34, 95% CI = 1.85, 2.95) than in those of over 10 years (OR = 1.1, 95% CI = 0.99, 1.23) and 6 to 10 years (OR = 1.03, 95% CI = 0.88, 1.21).

CONCLUSIONS

In conclusion, individuals with prediabetes have higher risk of developing breast cancer than those with normoglycemia, especially younger prediabetes patients. These individuals may benefit from early identification, monitoring, and interventions to reverse prediabetes.

Protein Advanced Glycation End Products and Their Implications in Pancreatic Cancer

Protein advanced glycation end products (AGE) formed by nonenzymatic glycation can disrupt the normal structure and function of proteins, and stimulate the receptor for AGEs (RAGE), triggering intricate mechanisms that are etiologically related to various chronic diseases, including pancreatic cancer. Many common risk factors of pancreatic cancer are the major sources for the formation of protein AGEs and glycative stress in the human body. Abnormal accumulation of protein AGEs can impair the cellular proteome and promote AGE-RAGE driven pro-inflammatory signaling cascades, leading to increased oxidative stress, protease resistance, protein dysregulation, transcription activity of STAT, NF-κB, and AP-1, aberrant status in ubiquitin-proteasome system and autophagy, as well as other molecular events that are susceptible for the carcinogenic transformation towards the development of neoplasms. Here, we review studies to highlight our understanding in the orchestrated molecular events in bridging the impaired proteome, dysregulated functional networks, and cancer hallmarks initiated upon protein AGE formation and accumulation in pancreatic cancer.

Diet quality and lung cancer incidence in a low-income population in the United States

BACKGROUND

Although tobacco smoking is the leading cause of lung cancer, interest in the relationship of diet quality on risk has been growing.

METHODS

We examined the association between Healthy Eating Index-2010 (HEI-10) at enrollment and lung cancer incidence among 70,802 participants in a predominantly African American and low-income prospective cohort in the southern United States. Outcomes were ascertained through linkages with state cancer registries and the National Death Index (NDI). Hazard ratios by HEI-10 quartiles were assessed using Cox proportional hazard models adjusted for potential confounders.

RESULTS

During ≤16 years of follow-up, 1454 incident lung cancers were identified. The lowest HEI-10 quartile compared to the highest was adversely associated with lung cancer risk (HR: 1.89, 95% CI 1.16-3.07) among male former smokers and female never smokers (HR: 2.58, 95% CI 1.06-6.28).

CONCLUSIONS

Low-quality diet was associated with increased lung cancer risk among male former smokers and female never smokers but cautious interpretation of the findings should be taken due to the small number of lung cancers among never smokers and the possibility of residual confounding by smoking in ever smokers.

Elevated Glycated Haemoglobin (HbA1c) Is Associated with an Increased Risk of Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma: A UK Biobank Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

The role of dysglycaemia as a risk marker for Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is uncertain. We investigated the relationship between glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) and incident PDAC using a retrospective cohort study within the UK Biobank.

METHODS

A study involving 499,804 participants from the UK Biobank study was undertaken. Participants were stratified by diabetes mellitus (DM) status, and then by HbA1c values < 42 mmol/mol, 42-47 mmol/mol, or ≥48 mmol/mol. Cox proportional hazard models were used to describe the association between HbA1c category (with time-varying interactions) and incident PDAC.

RESULTS

PDAC occurred in 1157 participants during 11.6 (10.9-12.3) years follow up [(median (interquartile range)]. In subjects without known DM at baseline, 12 months after recruitment, the adjusted hazard ratios (aHR, 95% CI) for incident PDAC for HbA1c 42-47 mmol/mol compared to HbA1c < 42 mmol/mol (reference group) was 2.10 (1.31-3.37, p = 0.002); and was 8.55 (4.58-15.99, p < 0.001) for HbA1c ≥ 48 mmol/mol. The association between baseline HbA1c and incident PDAC attenuated with increasing duration of time of follow-up to PDAC diagnosis.

CONCLUSIONS

Dysglycaemia detected by elevated HbA1c is associated with an increased risk of PDAC. The strength of the association between elevated HbA1c and incident PDAC is inversely proportional to the time from detecting dysglycaemia but remains significant for at least 60 months following HbA1c testing.

Adapted Diabetes Complications Severity Index and Charlson Comorbidity Index in predicting all-cause and cause-specific mortality among patients with type 2 diabetes

INTRODUCTION

Adapted Diabetes Complications Severity Index (aDCSI) is a commonly used severity measure based on the number and severity of diabetes complications using diagnosis codes. The validity of aDCSI in predicting cause-specific mortality has yet to be verified. Additionally, the performance of aDCSI in predicting patient outcomes compared with Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) remains unknown.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

Patients aged 20 years or older with type 2 diabetes prior to January 1, 2008 were identified from the Taiwan National Health Insurance claims data and were followed up until December 15, 2018. Complications for aDCSI including cardiovascular, cerebrovascular and peripheral vascular disease, metabolic disease, nephropathy, retinopathy and neuropathy, along with comorbidities for CCI, were collected. HRs of death were estimated using Cox regression. Model performance was evaluated by concordance index and Akaike information criterion.

RESULTS

1,002,589 patients with type 2 diabetes were enrolled, with a median follow-up of 11.0 years. After adjusting for age and sex, aDCSI (HR 1.21, 95% CI 1.20 to 1.21) and CCI (HR 1.18, 1.17 to 1.18) were associated with all-cause mortality. The HRs of aDCSI for cancer, cardiovascular disease (CVD) and diabetes mortality were 1.04 (1.04 to 1.05), 1.27 (1.27 to 1.28) and 1.28 (1.28 to 1.29), respectively, and the HRs of CCI were 1.10 (1.09 to 1.10), 1.16 (1.16 to 1.17) and 1.17 (1.16 to 1.17), respectively. The model with aDCSI had a better fit for all-cause, CVD and diabetes mortality with C-index of 0.760, 0.794 and 0.781, respectively. Models incorporating both scores had even better performance, but the HR of aDCSI for cancer (0.98, 0.97 to 0.98) and the HRs of CCI for CVD (1.03, 1.02 to 1.03) and diabetes mortality (1.02, 1.02 to 1.03) became neutral. When aDCSI and CCI were considered time-varying scores, the association with mortality was stronger. aDCSI had a strong correlation with mortality even after 8 years (HR 1.18, 1.17 to 1.18).

CONCLUSIONS

The aDCSI predicts all-cause, CVD and diabetes deaths but not cancer deaths better than the CCI. aDCSI is also a good predictor for long-term mortality.

[Diabetes mellitus and cancer: a system of insulin-like growth factors]

Diabetes mellitus and malignant tumors are among the most common and complex diseases. Epidemiological studies have shown a strong relationship between these pathologies. The causality of this relationship has not yet been unambiguously established, but a number of probable biological mechanisms have been proposed to explain it through the effects of hyperglycemia, hyperinsulinemia on the process of oncogenesis. An important role in this is played by the axis of insulin-like growth factors, their receptors and binding proteins (IGF / IGFR / IGFBP). The review provides data on the structural elements of the insulin / IGF / IGFR / IGFBP signaling axis and their internal relationships in diabetes mellitus and in the development of malignant tumors. Significant changes in the axis that occur during the formation of the diabetic environment prepare the background, which, under certain conditions, can lead to the stimulation or inhibition of tumor development. The considered signaling system, playing a significant role in the physiology of normal cells, often functions as a decisive factor in the survival of tumor cells, providing fine context-dependent regulation of many cellular processes associated with oncogenesis. However, despite many years of in-depth studies of the pathogenesis of diabetes mellitus and malignant tumors, the molecular mechanisms of the relationship between these pathologies are still largely unclear, and the internal heterogeneity of pathologies complicates research and interpretation of the results, leaving many questions.

Obesity, Type 2 Diabetes, and Cancer Risk

Obesity and type 2 diabetes have both been associated with increased cancer risk and are becoming increasingly prevalent. Metabolic abnormalities such as insulin resistance and dyslipidemia are associated with both obesity and type 2 diabetes and have been implicated in the obesity-cancer relationship. Multiple mechanisms have been proposed to link obesity and diabetes with cancer progression, including an increase in insulin/IGF-1 signaling, lipid and glucose uptake and metabolism, alterations in the profile of cytokines, chemokines, and adipokines, as well as changes in the adipose tissue directly adjacent to the cancer sites. This review aims to summarize and provide an update on the epidemiological and mechanistic evidence linking obesity and type 2 diabetes with cancer, focusing on the roles of insulin, lipids, and adipose tissue.