Examining changes in the equity of physician distribution in Japan: a specialty-specific longitudinal study

Association between physicians' maldistribution and core clinical competency of resident physicians: a nationwide cross-sectional study

OBJECTIVES

With physician maldistribution recognised as a global issue, Japan implemented the physician uneven distribution (PUD) index as a strategic measure. Currently, there is a lack of objective assessment of core clinical competencies in regions influenced by varying levels of physician distribution. In this study, we objectively assess the core clinical competencies in regions affected by physician maldistribution and explore the relationship between the PUD index and the clinical competencies of resident physicians.

DESIGN, SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS

In this cross-sectional study, we gathered data from the January 2023 General Medicine In-Training Examination (GM-ITE) survey. Participants included postgraduate year 1 and 2 resident physicians in Japanese hospitals mandating the GM-ITE or those who voluntarily took it. The GM-ITE scores of the resident physicians were assessed. The PUD index, a Japanese policy indicator, reflects regional physician disparities. A low PUD index signals a medical supply shortage compared with local demand. The trial registration number is 23-7.

RESULTS

The high and low PUD index groups included 2143 and 1580 participants, respectively. After adjusting for relevant confounders, multivariate linear regression analyses revealed that the low PUD index group had significantly higher GM-ITE scores than the high PUD index group (adjusted coefficient: 1.14; 95% CI 0.62 to 1.65; p<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The study revealed no clinically differences in GM-ITE scores between residents in regions with disparate physician distributions, suggesting that factors beyond PUD may influence clinical competency. This finding prompts a re-evaluation of whether current assessment methodologies or educational frameworks fully support learning across varied community settings.

Influencing physician distribution through education: a qualitative study on retention in Japan's rural hospitals

BACKGROUND

Addressing the shortage of healthcare professionals in rural Japan poses significant challenges. At Sanmu Medical Center, incorporating resident physicians into a general medicine training program has proved effective in retaining them as supervising physicians. This study aims to identify the key factors contributing to the success of such programs.

METHODS

We used a qualitative research design to comprehensively understand the factors contributing to physician retention in regional community hospitals in areas with physician shortages. Interviews were conducted with four experienced physicians, including the center director, who participated in the general or family medicine training programs at Sanmu Medical Center. Using a semi-structured questionnaire, we explored the factors influencing physician retention in community-based hospitals experiencing shortages. Two physicians specializing in community medicine conducted a content analysis under the supervision of three experts in community-oriented medical education and qualitative research. This approach helped compare retention factors perceived by physicians and the center director.

RESULTS

Content analysis revealed 10 categories and 47 subcategories. The analysis revealed that "Educational activity" and "Supervising physicians and guidance system" are crucial for physician retention in rural hospitals in Japan. The study highlighted key educational factors contributing to retention: engagement in educational activities led to personal and professional growth, creating a rewarding experience for the physicians. Furthermore, a structured supervising physician system provided essential guidance and mentorship, improving the educational environment. Diverse learning opportunities and protected learning times were identified as critical for fostering a sustainable commitment among physicians to work in rural settings. These findings contribute to existing literature by detailing how structured educational activities and mentorship programs in rural hospital settings can significantly impact physician retention.

CONCLUSIONS

Community-based medical education programs that focus on diverse clinical settings, mentorship, and a supportive work environment can enhance physician retention in rural areas. By fostering such educational and professional environments, healthcare institutions can address physician maldistribution and improve care quality in underserved communities. Our study offers practical insights that can be replicated or adapted by other rural hospitals facing similar challenges. It offers targeted strategies to address the unique challenges faced by female physicians in rural healthcare settings.

Physician retention and migration in rural clinics designated for areas without physicians in Japan: descriptive epidemiological study using the national physicians' survey

BACKGROUND

In Japan, local governments have rural clinics designated for areas without physicians (RCDA) to secure physicians for rural medical care. Moreover, a medical policy of dispatching physicians between the RCDA and core hospitals for rural areas (CHRA) exists. This study aimed to assess the actual situation of physician migration from RCDAs and those who migrated, and examine the factors associated with their migration.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study used biennial national physicians' survey data from 2012 to 2018. It targeted physicians who worked at RCDAs in 2012 and participated in all four surveys (n = 510). The physicians were divided into two groups. One group consisted of physicians who worked continuously at the RCDA over the four study periods (retained physicians, n = 278), and the other included physicians who migrated to other institutions midway through the study period (migrated physicians, n = 232). We tracked the types of facilities where RCDA physicians worked from 2012 to 2018, also examined the factors associated with their migration.

RESULTS

Among physicians from RCDAs who migrated to other institutions (n = 151) between 2012 and 2014, many migrated to hospitals (n = 87/151, 57.6%), and some migrated to CHRA (n = 35/87, 40.2%). Physicians in their 40s (Hazard ratio 0.32 [95% CI 0.19-0.55]), 50s (0.20 [0.11-0.35]), and over 60 years (0.33 [0.20-0.56]) were more likely to remain at RCDAs. Changes in their area of practice (1.82 [1.34-2.45]) and an increase in the number of board certifications held by physicians between 2012 and 2018 (1.50 [1.09-2.06]) were associated with migration.

CONCLUSIONS

Many migrating physicians choose to work at hospitals after migrating from RCDAs. It was seemed that the physician dispatch system between RCDA and CHRA has been a measure to secure physicians in rural areas. Young age, obtaining board certification, and changes in areas of practice were associated with physician migration from RCDAs.

Are Doctors Equally Distributed Throughout the World?

Background

As the vital and scarce resource of the health system, physicians are responsible for treating patients and saving lives and the equitable distribution of physicians among the whole population is a prerequisite to achieving health for all. We aimed to investigate inequality in physician distribution in the world using the Gini coefficient.

Methods

This descriptive-analytical study was conducted in 2021. The number of physicians and the population of countries were obtained from the WHO and United Nations (UN) databases. The Gini coefficient was calculated in three different modes and the distribution of physicians among countries in various Human Development Index (HDI) groups was determined using the physician ratio per 10,000 population.

Results

There were generally more than 13 million doctors in the world. About 43% of the world's physicians were available to 20% of the world's population in very high HDI countries, and 12% of the population had access to about 1% of physicians in low HDI countries. An average of 19.5 physicians are distributed per 10,000 population worldwide. The Gini coefficient between the four groups of HDI countries was 0.55, and that of all countries in the world was 0.640.

Conclusion

There was a shortage and inequality in the distribution of physicians worldwide. Governments should eliminate inequality in the distribution of the medical workforce, in particular physicians, by redoubling their efforts and accurate planning.

Optimal allocation of physicians improves accessibility and workload disparities in stroke care

BACKGROUND

Inequalities in access to stroke care and the workload of physicians have been a challenge in recent times. This may be resolved by allocating physicians suitable for the expected demand. Therefore, this study analyzes whether reallocation using an optimization model reduces disparities in spatial access to healthcare and excessive workload.

METHODS

This study targeted neuroendovascular specialists and primary stroke centers in Japan and employed an optimization model for reallocating neuroendovascular specialists to reduce the disparity in spatial accessibility to stroke treatment and workload for neuroendovascular specialists in Japan. A two-step floating catchment area method and an inverted two-step floating catchment area method were used to estimate the spatial accessibility and workload of neuroendovascular specialists as a potential crowdedness index. Quadratic programming has been proposed for the reallocation of neuroendovascular specialists.

RESULTS

The reallocation of neuroendovascular specialists reduced the disparity in spatial accessibility and the potential crowdedness index. The standard deviation (SD) of the demand-weighted spatial accessibility index improved from 125.625 to 97.625. Simultaneously, the weighted median spatial accessibility index increased from 2.811 to 3.929. Additionally, the SD of the potential crowdedness index for estimating workload disparity decreased from 10,040.36 to 5934.275 after optimization. The sensitivity analysis also showed a similar trend of reducing disparities.

CONCLUSIONS

The reallocation of neuroendovascular specialists reduced regional disparities in spatial accessibility to healthcare, potential crowdedness index, and disparities between facilities. Our findings contribute to planning health policies to realize equity throughout the healthcare system.

Association between regional quota program in medical schools and practical clinical competency based on General Medicine In-Training Examination score: a nationwide cross-sectional study of resident physicians in Japan

PURPOSE

A regional quota program (RQP) was introduced in Japan to ameliorate the urban-rural imbalance of physicians. Despite concerns about the low learning abilities of RQP graduates, the relationship between the RQP and practical clinical competency after initiating clinical residency has not been evaluated.

METHODS

We conducted a nationwide cross-sectional study to assess the association between the RQP and practical clinical competency based on General Medicine In-Training Examination (GM-ITE) scores. We compared the overall and category GM-ITE results between RQP graduates and other resident physicians. The relationship between the RQP and scores was examined using multilevel linear regression analysis.

RESULTS

There were 4978 other resident physicians and 1119 RQP graduates out of 6097 participants from 593 training hospitals. Being younger; preferring internal, general, or emergency medicine; managing fewer inpatients; and having fewer ER shifts were all characteristics of RQP graduates. In multilevel multivariable linear regression analysis, there was no significant association between RQP graduates and total GM-ITE scores (coefficient: 0.26; 95% confidence interval: -0.09, 0.61; P = .15). The associations of RQP graduates with GM-ITE scores in each category and specialty were not clinically relevant. However, in the same multivariable model, the analysis did reveal that total GM-ITE scores demonstrated strong positive associations with younger age and GM preference, both of which were significantly common in RQP graduates.

CONCLUSION

Practical clinical competency evaluated based on the GM-ITE score showed no clinically relevant differences between RQP graduates and other resident physicians. Key messages What is already known on this topic Many countries offer unique admission processes to medical schools and special undergraduate programs to increase the supply of physicians in rural areas. Concerns have been raised about the motivation, learning capabilities, and academic performance of the program graduates. What this study adds This nationwide cross-sectional study in Japan revealed clinical competency based on the scores from the General Medicine In-Training Examination showed no clinically relevant differences between graduates of regional quota programs and other resident physicians. How this study might affect research, practice, or policy The study provides evidence to support the Japanese regional quota program from the perspective of clinical competency after initiating clinical practice.

Regional assessment of medical care provision system by principal component analysis

Introduction

The Japanese government has promoted policies ensuring standardized medical care across the secondary medical care areas (SMCAs); however, these efforts have not been evaluated, making the current conditions unclear. Multidimensional indicators could identify these differences; thus, this study examined the regional characteristics of the medical care provision system for 21 SMCAs in Hokkaido, Japan, and the changes from 1998 to 2018.

Materials and Methods

This study evaluated the characteristics of SMCAs by principal component analysis using multidimensional data related to the medical care provision system. Factor loadings and principal component scores were calculated, with the characteristics of each SMCA visually expressed using scatter plots. Additionally, data from 1998 to 2018 were analyzed to clarify the changes in SMCAs' characteristics.

Results

The primary and secondary principal components were Medical Resources and Geographical Factors, respectively. The Medical Resources components included the number of hospitals, clinics, and doctors, and an area's population of older adults, accounting for 65.28% of the total variance. The Geographical Factors components included the number of districts without doctors and the population and a land area of these districts, accounting for 23.20% of the variance. The accumulated proportion of variance was 88.47%. From 1998 to 2018, the area with the highest increase in Medical Resources was Sapporo, with numerous initial medical resources (-9.283 to -10.919).

Discussion

Principal component analysis summarized multidimensional indicators and evaluated SMCAs in this regional assessment. This study categorized SMCAs into four quadrants based on Medical Resources and Geographical Factors. Additionally, the difference in principal component scores between 1998 and 2018 emphasized the expanding gap in the medical care provision system among the 21 SMCAs.

Factors related to Japanese internal medicine doctors' retention or migration to rural areas: a nationwide retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Internal medicine (IM) doctors in Japan play the role of primary care physicians; however, the shortage of rural physicians continues. This study aims to elucidate the association of age, sex, board certification, type of work, and main clinical work with the retention or migration of IM doctors to rural areas.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study included 82,363 IM doctors in 2010, extracted from the national census data of medical doctors. The explanatory variables were age, sex, type of work, primary clinical work, and changes in board certification status. The outcome was retention or migration to rural areas. The first tertile of population density (PD) of municipalities defined as rural area. After stratifying the baseline ruralities as rural or non-rural areas, the odds ratios (ORs) of the explanatory variables were calculated using generalized estimation equations. The analyses were also performed after age stratification (<39, 40-59, ≥60 years old).

RESULTS

Among the rural areas, women had a significantly higher OR for retention, but obtaining board certification of IM subspecialties had a significantly lower OR. Among the non-rural areas, physicians who answered that their main work was IM without specific subspecialty and general had a significantly higher OR, but obtaining and maintaining board certification for IM subspecialties had a significantly lower OR for migration to rural areas. After age stratification, the higher OR of women for rural retention was significant only among those aged 40-59 years. Those aged under 40 and 40-59 years in the non-rural areas, who answered that their main work was IM without specific subspecialty had a significantly higher OR for migration to rural areas, and those aged 40-59 years in the rural areas who answered the same had a higher OR for rural retention.

CONCLUSIONS

Obtaining and maintaining board certification of IM subspecialties are possible inhibiting factors for rural work, and IM doctors whose main work involves subspecialties tend to work in non-rural areas. Once rural work begins, more middle-aged female IM doctors continued rural work compared to male doctors.

Incorporating Medical Supply and Demand into the Index of Physician Maldistribution Improves the Sensitivity to Healthcare Outcomes

BACKGROUND

Since the association between disparity in physician distribution and specific healthcare outcomes is poorly documented, we aimed to clarify the association between physician maldistribution and cerebrovascular disease (CeVD), a high-priority health outcome in Japan.

METHODS

In this cross-sectional study, we conducted multivariable regression analysis with the Physician Uneven Distribution Index (PUDI), a recently developed and adopted policy index in Japan that uniquely incorporates the gap between medical supply and demand, as the independent variable and CeVD death rate as the dependent variable. Population density, mean annual income, and prevalence of hypertension were used as covariates.

RESULTS

The coefficient of the PUDI for the CeVD death rate was -0.34 (95%CI: -0.49--0.19) before adjusting for covariates and was -0.19 (95%CI: -0.30--0.07) after adjusting. The adjusted R squared of the analysis for the PUDI was 0.71 in the final model. However, the same multivariable regression model showed that the number of physicians per 100,000 people (NPPP) was not associated with the CeVD death rates before or after adjusting for the covariates.

CONCLUSION

Incorporating the gap between the medical supply and demand in physician maldistribution indices could improve the responsiveness of the index for assessing the disparity in healthcare outcomes.

Physician Distribution by Specialty and Practice Setting: Findings in Japan in 2000, 2010 and 2016

As the medical demand is projected to increase along with the population aging in Japan, the geographical distribution of physicians is a significant concern for society and policymakers. To implement effective measures on geographical physician distribution, this study aimed to describe and compare the distribution of physicians by specialty in 2000, 2010 and 2016 in Japan, and examine whether practice setting was associated with distribution. To quantify the geographical physician distribution by specialty, we calculated the Gini coefficients of physicians working at clinics or hospitals in 2000, 2010, and 2016. We used the basic geographic unit for medical care planning in Japan, a secondary medical area, as the study unit. To show the association between the geographical distribution of physicians in each specialty and their practice setting, we categorized specialties into two groups by the proportion of physicians in that specialty working in hospitals, and showed aggregated Lorenz curves for each category. The overall geographical distribution of physicians appeared to improve during the study period, but varied by specialty. Those in specialties, where at least 90% of physicians work in hospitals such as anesthesiologists and radiologists, were more clustered, as shown by the Lorenz curves and the Gini coefficients. Similar distributional differences were also found even when we excluded physicians working in clinics, meaning that the distributional variation could be explained by other factors than the distribution of hospitals. These results suggest that the nature of practice in each specialty strongly affects the geographical distribution of specialists.

The geographical maldistribution of obstetricians and gynecologists in Japan

Background

In Japan, there is a large geographical maldistribution of obstetricians/gynecologists, with a high proportion of females. This study seeks to clarify how the increase in the proportion of female physicians affects the geographical maldistribution of obstetrics/gynecologists.

Methods

Governmental data of the Survey of Physicians, Dentists and Pharmacists between 1996 and 2016 were used. The Gini coefficient was used to measure the geographical maldistribution. We divided obstetricians/gynecologists into four groups based on age and gender: males under 40 years, females under 40 years, males aged 40 years and above, and females aged 40 years and above, and the time trend of the maldistribution and contribution of each group was evaluated.

Results

The maldistribution of obstetricians/gynecologists was found to be worse during the study period, with the Gini coefficient exceeding 0.400 in 2016. The contribution ratios of female physicians to the deterioration of geographical maldistribution have been increasing for those under 40 years and those aged 40 years and above. However, there was a continuous decrease in the Gini coefficient of the two groups.

Conclusions

The increase in the contribution ratio of the female physician groups to the Gini coefficient in obstetrics/gynecology may be due to the increased weight of these groups. The Gini coefficients of the female groups were also found to be on a decline. Although this may be because the working environment for female physicians improved or more female physicians established their practice in previously underserved areas, such a notion needs to be investigated in a follow-up study.

New physician specialty training system impact on distribution of trainees in Japan

OBJECTIVES

The problem of uneven distribution of medical services and inequitable distribution of physicians is drawing much attention worldwide. Revealing how changes in the specialty training system in Japan have affected the distribution of doctors could help us understand this problem. In 2018, a new and standardized specialty training system was implemented by the Japanese Medical Specialty Board, which is recognized by the Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare. The purpose of this study was to investigate how this new system has affected the geographical distribution of doctors commencing specialty training (trainees) and choice of specialty in Japan.

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective observational study.

METHODS

The change in the number of trainees between the control period (2012-2014) and 2018 was investigated, taking into account the prefecture and specialty selected. Population, the proportion of residents aged 65 years or older (aging rate), and the total number of overall doctors in each prefecture were considered as the background characteristics of each prefecture. We created a Lorenz curve and calculated the Gini coefficient for the distribution of trainees.

RESULTS

In 2018, the number of trainees per 100,000 population increased to 6.6 nationwide compared with 5.5 during the control period. The number of trainees per 100,000 population in 2018 increased in prefectures with a large population of ≧ 2,000,000, a low aging rate (<27%), and a high doctor density (≧ 250 doctors per 100,000 population). The Gini coefficient showed an increase to 0.226 in 2018 compared with only 0.160 during the control period.

CONCLUSIONS

After the implementation of the new training system, there was an increase in the number of doctors enrolling in specialty programs, and the specialties other than internal medicine and surgery have attracted more trainees. Inequality in the distribution of doctors between urban and rural prefectures worsened. This indicates the need to explore new ways of balancing distribution while maintaining optimal opportunities for specialist training.

Future projection of the physician workforce and its geographical equity in Japan: a cohort-component model

INTRODUCTION

The geographical inequity of physicians is a serious problem in Japan. However, there is little evidence of inequity in the future geographical distribution of physicians, even though the future physician supply at the national level has been estimated. In addition, possible changes in the age and sex distribution of future physicians are unclear. Thus, the purpose of this study is to project the future geographical distribution of physicians and their demographics.

METHODS

We used a cohort-component model with the following assumptions: basic population, future mortality rate, future new registration rate, and future in-migration and out-migration rates. We examined changes in the number of physicians from 2005 to 2035 in secondary medical areas (SMAs) in Japan. To clarify the trends by regional characteristics, SMAs were divided into four groups based on urban or rural status and initial physician supply (lower/higher). The number of physicians was calculated separately by sex and age strata.

RESULTS

From 2005 to 2035, the absolute number of physicians aged 25-64 will decline by 6.1% in rural areas with an initially lower physician supply, but it will increase by 37.0% in urban areas with an initially lower supply. The proportion of aged physicians will increase in all areas, especially in rural ones with an initially lower supply, where it will change from 14.4% to 31.3%. The inequity in the geographical distribution of physicians will expand despite an increase in the number of physicians in rural areas.

CONCLUSIONS

We found that the geographical disparity of physicians will worsen from 2005 to 2035. Furthermore, physicians aged 25-64 will be more concentrated in urban areas, and physicians will age more rapidly in rural places than urban ones. The regional disparity in the physician supply will worsen in the future if new and drastic measures are not taken.

Modeling a Production Function to Evaluate the Effect of Medical Staffing on Antimicrobial Stewardship Performance in China, 2009-2016: Static and Dynamic Panel Data Analyses

Background: Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) is an international problem. Emergence and spread of AMR are strongly associated with overuse or inappropriate use of antimicrobials. Antimicrobial stewardship ensures the appropriate use of antimicrobials, and is an effective approach to control AMR. This study aims to understand the relationship between medical staffing and antimicrobial stewardship performance in China. Methods: A provincial-level panel dataset from 2009 to 2016 is used. A macro production function is used to quantify the relationship. The output, antimicrobial stewardship performance, is measured by changes in methicillin resistance rates of Staphylococcus. aureus (S. aureus) and coagulase-negative staphylococci (CoNS). The labor input is measured by the numbers of infectious diseases physicians, pharmacists, clinical microbiologists, and nurses in hospitals per 100,000 populations, whereas the capital input is represented by the number of hospital beds per 100,000 populations. The technology is captured by the time index. Both static and dynamic panel data approaches are employed. Results: The increasing number of clinical microbiologists is a significant predictor of lower resistance of CoNS according to dynamic models (Coef. = -0.191, -0.351; p = 0.070, 0.004, respectively). However, a larger number of nurses is significantly associated with higher resistance of S. aureus (Coef. = 0.648; p = 0.044). In addition, the numbers of the other two groups of medical professionals exhibit no significant associations with stewardship performance. Conclusions: The study demonstrates the crucial role of clinical microbiologists in antimicrobial stewardship. The predicted increased risk of resistance with the higher number of nurses may be attributable to their lack of related knowledge and their unrecognized functions in antimicrobial stewardship.