Biomarkers and outcomes in hospitalised patients with COVID-19: a prospective registry

Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic Surveillance of Visceral Leishmaniasis in Brazil: An Ecological Study

The aim of the study was to assess the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the notification of new VL cases in Brazil in 2020. It is an ecological and time-series study (2015-2020) with spatial analysis techniques, whose units of analysis were the 5570 Brazilian municipalities. The study population consisted of all new cases of VL recorded between 2015 and 2020. The P-score was calculated to estimate the percentage variation in new VL cases. Global and local univariate Moran's Indices and retrospective space-time scan statistics were used in spatial and space-time analyses, respectively. It was expected that there would be 3627 new cases of VL in Brazil in 2020, but 1932 cases were reported (-46.73%). All Brazilian regions presented a negative percentage variation in the registration of new VL cases, with the Southeast (-54.70%), North (-49.97%), and Northeast (-44.22%) standing out. There was spatial dependence of the disease nationwide in both periods, before and during the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic. There was a significant reduction in the incidence of new VL cases in Brazil during the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic. These findings reinforce the need for better preparedness of the health system, especially in situations of new epidemics.

Association between serum C-reactive protein (CRP) and Omicron variant COVID-19 pneumonia in cancer patients: A multicenter cross-sectional study at the end of 2022 in China

Cancer patients with COVID-19 have a higher infection rate and mortality rate than non-cancer patients. However, there are few studies on the correlation between the serum C-reactive protein (CRP) and cancer patients with COVID-19. This study aims to investigate the association between serum CRP and the incidence of COVID-19 pneumonia in cancer patients at the end of 2022 in China. This cross-sectional study with a retrospective cohort between December 2022 and February 2023 assessed cancer patients complicated with COVID-19 infection in 2 Chinese institutions. Logistic regression analyses were used to compute Odds ratio (OR) and 95%CIs for the association between serum CRP and the incidence of COVID-19 pneumonia in cancer patients. A total of 213 cancer patients with COVID-19 were enrolled. Eighty-six patients (40.4%) developed COVID-19 pneumonia, among which 23 patients (10.8%) progressed to severe cases. Univariate Logistic regression showed that high CRP levels were found to be an unfavorable predictor of COVID-19 outcomes (OR = 17.9, 95%CI: 7.3, 43.6; P < .001). In the multivariate analysis, high CRP levels were associated with a higher incidence rate of COVID-19 pneumonia (OR = 9.8, 95%CI: 2.2, 43.8; P = .003). In the multivariate logistic regression model and smooth curve fitting, we found a correlation between CRP and COVID-19 pneumonia. The serum CRP was associated with the incidence of Omicron variant COVID- 19 pneumonia in cancer patients. Hence, cancer patients with high CRP level maybe need for timely computer tomography examination and more aggressive treatment.

Persistence is key: unresolved immune dysfunction is lethal in both COVID-19 and non-COVID-19 sepsis

Introduction

Severe COVID-19 and non-COVID-19 pulmonary sepsis share pathophysiological, immunological, and clinical features, suggesting that severe COVID-19 is a form of viral sepsis. Our objective was to identify shared gene expression trajectories strongly associated with eventual mortality between severe COVID-19 patients and contemporaneous non-COVID-19 sepsis patients in the intensive care unit (ICU) for potential therapeutic implications.

Methods

Whole blood was drawn from 20 COVID-19 patients and 22 non-COVID-19 adult sepsis patients at two timepoints: ICU admission and approximately a week later. RNA-Seq was performed on whole blood to identify differentially expressed genes and significantly enriched pathways. Using systems biology methods, drug candidates targeting key genes in the pathophysiology of COVID-19 and sepsis were identified.

Results

When compared to survivors, non-survivors (irrespective of COVID-19 status) had 3.6-fold more "persistent" genes (genes that stayed up/downregulated at both timepoints) (4,289 vs. 1,186 genes); these included persistently downregulated genes in T-cell signaling and persistently upregulated genes in select innate immune and metabolic pathways, indicating unresolved immune dysfunction in non-survivors, while resolution of these processes occurred in survivors. These findings of persistence were further confirmed using two publicly available datasets of COVID-19 and sepsis patients. Systems biology methods identified multiple immunomodulatory drug candidates that could target this persistent immune dysfunction, which could be repurposed for possible therapeutic use in both COVID-19 and sepsis.

Discussion

Transcriptional evidence of persistent immune dysfunction was associated with 28-day mortality in both COVID-19 and non-COVID-19 septic patients. These findings highlight the opportunity for mitigating common mechanisms of immune dysfunction with immunomodulatory therapies for both diseases.

Shock index in the emergency department as a predictor for mortality in COVID-19 patients: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

The shock index (SI) ratio serves as a straightforward predictor to identify patients who are either at risk of or experiencing shock. COVID-19 patients with shock face increased mortality risk and reduced chances of recovery. This review aims to determine the role of SI in the emergency department (ED) to predict COVID-19 patient outcomes.

Methods

The systematic search was conducted in PubMed, ProQuest, Scopus, and ScienceDirect on June 16, 2023. We included observational studies evaluating SI in ED and COVID-19 patient outcomes. Random-effect meta-analysis was done to generate odds ratios of SI as the predictor of intensive care unit (ICU) admission and mortality. The sensitivity and specificity of SI in predicting these outcomes were also pooled, and a summary receiver operating characteristics (sROC) curve was generated.

Results

A total of eight studies involving 4557 participants were included in the pooled analysis. High SI was found to be associated with an increased risk of ICU admission (OR 5.81 [95%CI: 1.18-28.58], p = 0.03). Regarding mortality, high SI was linked to higher rates of in-hospital (OR 7.45 [95%CI: 2.44-22.74], p = 0.0004), within 30-day (OR 7.34 [95%CI: 5.27-10.21], p < 0.00001), and overall (OR 7.52 [95%CI: 3.72-15.19], p < 0.00001) mortality. The sensitivity and specificity of SI for predicting ICU admission were 76.2% [95%CI: 54.6%-89.5%] and 64.3% [95%CI: 19.6%-93.0%], respectively. In terms of overall mortality, the sensitivity and specificity were 54.0% (95%CI: 34.3%-72.6%) and 85.9% (95%CI: 75.8%-92.3%), respectively, with only subtle changes for in-hospital and within 30-day mortality. Adjustment of SI cut-off to >0.7 yielded improved sensitivity (95%CI: 78.0% [59.7%-89.4%]) and specificity (95%CI: 76.8% [41.7%-93.9%]) in predicting overall mortality.

Conclusion

SI in emergency room may be a simple and useful triage instrument for predicting ICU admission and mortality in COVID-19 patients. Future well-conducted studies are still needed to corroborate the findings of this study.