Paediatric dengue shock syndrome and acute respiratory failure: a single-centre retrospective study

Prognostic values of serum lactate-to-bicarbonate ratio and lactate for predicting 28-day in-hospital mortality in children with dengue shock syndrome

This study aimed to assess the clinical utility of blood lactate-to-bicarbonate (L/B) ratio, as a prognostic factor for 28-day in-hospital mortality in children with dengue shock syndrome (DSS), admitted to the pediatric intensive care unit (PICU). This single-center retrospective study was conducted at a tertiary children hospital in southern Vietnam from 2013 to mid-2022. Prognostic models for DSS mortality were developed, using a predefined set of covariates in the first 24 hours of PICU admission. Area under the curves (AUCs), multivariable logistic and Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) regressions, bootstrapping and calibration slope were performed. A total of 492 children with DSS and complete clinical and biomarker data were included in the analysis, and 26 (5.3%) patients died. The predictive values for DSS mortality, regarding lactate showing AUC 0.876 (95% CI, 0.807-0.944), and that of L/B ratio 0.867 (95% CI, 0.80-0.934) (P values of both biomarkers < .001). The optimal cutoff point of the L/B ratio was 0.25, while that of lactate was 4.2 mmol/L. The multivariable model showed significant clinical predictors of DSS fatality including severe bleeding, cumulative amount of fluid infused and vasoactive-inotropic score (>30) in the first 24 hours of PICU admission. Combined with the identified clinical predictors, the L/B ratio yielded higher prognostic values (odds ratio [OR] = 8.66, 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.96-38.3; P < .01) than the lactate-based model (OR = 1.35, 95% CI, 1.15-1.58; P < .001). Both the L/B and lactate models showed similarly good performances. Considering that the L/B ratio has a better prognostic value than the lactate model, it may be considered a potential prognostic biomarker in clinical use for predicting 28-day mortality in PICU-admitted children with DSS.

Frequency, Markers and Costs of Secondary Bacterial Infection in Pediatric Dengue

BACKGROUND

Secondary bacterial infection (SBI) occurs in a proportion of individuals with dengue and results in longer hospitalization, higher mortality, and increased health-related costs. However, the frequency, risk factors and predictive biomarkers of this comorbidity in pediatric dengue is partially known.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective multicenter study in a dengue hyperendemic region of Colombia, analyzing 1597 children from two pediatric cohorts. We included children with confirmed dengue (mild to severe disease) and evaluated the rate of SBI, their clinical characteristics, diagnostic predictors and attention costs. We also assessed the diagnostic performance of plasma interleukin (IL)-6 for detecting SBI in pediatric dengue.

RESULTS

The frequency of SBI in children with dengue with warning signs in cohorts 1 and 2 was 2.4% and 7.3%, respectively, and this rate reached 30.7% and 38.2% in children with severe disease. Staphylococcus aureus and Escherichia coli were the more frequent infectious agents. Increased total leukocytes and C-reactive protein levels, as well as high IL-6 at hospital admission, in children <48 months of age were early indications of SBI in dengue. Higher rates of organ dysfunction, the requirement of a longer hospitalization and a 2.3-fold increase in attention costs were observed in SBI.

CONCLUSIONS

An important proportion of children with dengue course with SBI and exhibit higher morbidity. Elevated leukocytes, C-reactive protein and IL-6 in young children are early markers of SBI. Physicians should identify children with dengue and risk factors for SBI, microbiologically confirm the bacterial infection, and rationally and timely provide antimicrobial therapy.

Severe dengue in the intensive care unit

Dengue fever is considered the most prolific vector-borne disease in the world, with its transmission rate increasing more than eight times in the last two decades. While most cases present mild to moderate symptoms, 5% of patients can develop severe disease. Although the mechanisms are yet not fully comprehended, immune-mediated activation leading to excessive cytokine expression is suggested as a cause of the two main findings in critical patients: increased vascular permeability that may shock and thrombocytopenia, and coagulopathy that can induce hemorrhage. The risk factors of severe disease include previous infection by a different serotype, specific genotypes associated with more efficient replication, certain genetic polymorphisms, and comorbidities such as diabetes, obesity, and cardiovascular disease. The World Health Organization recommends careful monitoring and prompt hospitalization of patients with warning signs or propensity for severe disease to reduce mortality. This review aims to update the diagnosis and management of patients with severe dengue in the intensive care unit.