The Risk stratification Of Syncope in the Emergency department (ROSE) pilot study: a comparison of existing syncope guidelines

Establishment and validation of a nomogram for predicting the risk of syncope after craniomaxillofacial surgery

PURPOSE

To explore the influencing factors of syncope in patients after plastic surgery, establish a syncope risk prediction model, and verify its accuracy.

METHODS

A total of 265 patients undergoing craniomaxillofacial surgery were included and divided into a syncope group and non-syncope group. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to screen for risk factors of syncope, and R language was used to establish a risk prediction nomogram of syncope in craniomaxillofacial surgery patients. The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test was used to evaluate the fit of the model, and the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to analyze the predictive value of the model.

RESULTS

Syncope occurred in 87 of 265 patients (32.8%), and no syncope occurred in 178 patients (67.8%). Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed statistical differences in age, orthostatic heart rate, orthostatic diastolic blood pressure, syncope history, weight loss history, and medication history between the 2 groups (P < 0.05). A nomogram was constructed for predicting the risk of syncope after craniomaxillofacial surgery, and the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test proved that the nomogram fitted well (P = 0.431). The results of ROC curve analysis showed that the alignment graph model had high prediction accuracy; the area under the curve was 0.886 (95% confidence interval, 0.8381-0.9332).

CONCLUSION

Evaluating the risk of syncope after craniomaxillofacial surgery is helpful and provides guidance for the formulation of preventive strategies.

A Deceptively Unremarkable Standstill: A Case Report of a Rare Cardiac Electrophysiologic Event

Ventricular standstill is a rare cardiac event associated with a high mortality. It is considered a ventricular fibrillation equivalent. The longer the duration, the poorer the prognosis. It is therefore unusual for an individual to have recurrent episodes of standstill and survive, without morbidity and rapid mortality. Here, we report the unique case of a 67-year-old male, previously diagnosed with heart disease, requiring intervention, who lived with recurrent syncopal episodes for a decade. Though such occurrences have previously been documented, we seek to stress the importance of using clinical tools in assessing what could easily have been passed off as orthostatic in origin.

Appropriate use of transthoracic echocardiography in the investigation of general medicine patients presenting with syncope or presyncope

STUDY PURPOSE

Routine transthoracic echocardiography (TTE) in patients with syncope or presyncope is resource-intensive. We assessed if risk thresholds defined by a validated risk score may identify patients at low risk of cardiac abnormality in whom TTE is unnecessary.

STUDY DESIGN

We conducted a retrospective study of all general medicine patients with syncope/presyncope presenting to a tertiary hospital between July 2016 and September 2020 and who underwent TTE. The Canadian Syncope Risk Score (CSRS) was used to categorise patients as low to very low risk (score -3 to 0) or moderate to high risk (score ≥1) for serious adverse events at 30 days. A cut-point of 0 was used to calculate the sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values (PPV and NPV) for CSRS and the odds ratio (OR) of a clinically significant finding on TTE in patients with CSRS ≥1 compared with all patients.

RESULTS

Among 157 patients, the CSRS categorised 69 (44%) as very low to low risk in whom TTE was normal. In 88 patients deemed moderate to high risk, TTE detected a cardiac abnormality in 24 (27%). A CSRS ≥1 yielded a sensitivity of 100% (95% CI 85.7% to 100%), specificity of 51.1% (95% CI 42.3% to 59.8%), PPV of 26.5% (95% CI 26.3% to 30.1%) and NPV of 100% (95% CI 92.5% to 100%) for cardiac abnormalities and doubled the odds of an abnormality (OR=2.05, 95% CI 1.08 to 3.87, p=0.028).

CONCLUSION

In general medicine patients with syncope/presyncope, using the CSRS to stratify risk of a cardiac abnormality on TTE can almost halve TTE use.

Diagnostic value of cardiac troponin I and N-terminal pro-B-Type Natriuretic Peptide in cardiac syncope

Objective

The study aims to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of Cardiac Troponin I(cTnI) and N-terminal pro-B-Type Natriuretic Peptide (NT-proBNP) for identifying patients with cardiac syncope.

Methods

This is a prospective, single-center cohort study of patients presenting with syncope hospitalized from June 21,2018 to May 30, 2019. The Evaluation of Guidelines in Syncope Study (EGSYS), a syncope-specific diagnostic score, was used for diagnostic comparator.

Results

A total of 118 patients were enrolled (mean age: 69.1 ​± ​12.3 years, 40% female). Compared to patients with reflex, orthostatic, or unexplained syncope, patients adjudicated to have cardiac syncope showed significantly higher cTnI and NT-proBNP plasma concentrations (p ​< ​0.001 for each comparison). The area under the curve (AUC) of cTnI and NT-proBNP were moderate-to-good [0.77–0.78; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.66–0.86], and was similar to that of EGSYS (0.71, 95%CI 0.60–0.80). Incorporation of cTnI and/or NT-proBNP into the existing EGSYS score significantly improved the diagnostic accuracy (EGSYS ​+ ​cTnI: AUC 0.83; 95%CI 0.74–0.90; EGSYS ​+ ​NT-proBNP: AUC 0.81; 95%CI 0.71–0.89; EGSYS ​+ ​cTnI ​+ ​NT-proBNP: AUC 0.83; 95%CI 0.73–0.90).

Conclusions

The cTnI and NT-proBNP levels were significantly higher in patients adjudicated to have cardiac syncope and the addition of both biomarkers to the EGSYS score significantly improved the diagnostic value for cardiac syncope.

•

CTnI and NT-proBNP levels were significantly higher in patients adjudicated to have cardiac syncope.

•

Firstly incorporation of cTnI and NT-proBNP to the EGSYS score, which significantly improved the diagnosis value.

•

Incorporation of both biomarkers to the EGSYS score significantly improved its predictive performance.

Regional variation in outcomes and healthcare resources utilization in, emergency department visits for syncope

BACKGROUND

Management of patients with syncope lacks standardization. We sought to assess regional variation in hospitalization rates and resource utilization of patients with syncope.

METHODS

We identified adults with syncope using the Nationwide Emergency Department Sample from years 2006 to 2014. Demographics and comorbidity characteristics were compared across geographic regions in the US. Multiple regression was conducted to compare outcomes.

RESULTS

9,132,176 adults presented with syncope. Syncope in the Northeast (n = 1,831,889) accounted for 20.1% of visits; 22.6% in the Midwest (n = 2,060,940), 38.5% in the South (n = 3,527,814) and 18.7% in the West (n = 1,711,533). Mean age was 56 years with 57.7% being female. The Northeast had the highest risk-adjusted hospitalization rate (24.5%) followed by the South (18.6%, ORadj 0.58; 95% CI 0.52-0.65, p < 0.001), the Midwest (17.2%, ORadj 0.51; 95% CI 0.46-0.58, p < 0.001) and West (15.8%, ORadj 0.45; 95% CI 0.39-0.51, p < 0.001). Risk-adjusted rates of syncope hospitalizations significantly declined from 25.8% (95% CI 24.8%-26.7%) in 2006 to 11.7% (95% CI 11.0%-12.5%) in 2014 (Ptrend < 0.001). The Northeast had the lowest risk-adjusted ED (Emergency Department) service charges per visit ($3320) followed by the Midwest ($4675, IRRadj 1.41; 95% CI 1.30-1.52, p < 0.001), the West ($4814, IRRadj 1.45; 95% CI 1.31-1.60, p < 0.001) and South ($4969, IRRadj 1.50; 95% CI 1.38-1.62, p < 0.001). Service charges increased from $3047/visit (95% CI $2912-$3182) in 2006 to $6267/visit (95% CI $5947-$6586) in 2014 (Ptrend < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Significant regional variability in hospitalization rates and ED service charges exist among patients with syncope. Standardizing practices may be needed to reduce variability.

B-Type Natriuretic Peptides and Cardiac Troponins for Diagnosis and Risk-Stratification of Syncope

BACKGROUND

The utility of BNP (B-type natriuretic peptide), NT-proBNP (N-terminal proBNP), and hs-cTn (high-sensitivity cardiac troponin) concentrations for diagnosis and risk-stratification of syncope is incompletely understood.

METHODS

We evaluated the diagnostic and prognostic accuracy of BNP, NT-proBNP, hs-cTnT, and hs-cTnI concentrations, alone and against those of clinical assessments, in patients >45-years old presenting with syncope to the emergency department in a prospective diagnostic multicenter study. BNP, NT-proBNP, hs-cTnT and hs-cTnI concentrations were measured in a blinded fashion. Cardiac syncope, as adjudicated by 2 physicians based on all information available including cardiac work-up and 1-year follow-up, was the diagnostic end point. EGSYS (Evaluation of Guidelines in Syncope Study), a syncope-specific diagnostic score, served as the diagnostic comparator. Death and major adverse cardiac events at 30 and 720 days were the prognostic end points. Major adverse cardiac events were defined as death, cardiopulmonary resuscitation, life-threatening arrhythmia, implantation of pacemaker/implantable cardioverter defibrillator, acute myocardial infarction, pulmonary embolism, stroke/transient ischemic attack, intracranial bleeding, or valvular surgery. ROSE (Risk Stratification of Syncope in the Emergency Department), OESIL (Osservatorio Epidemiologico della Sincope nel Lazio), SFSR (San Fransisco Syncope Rule), and CSRS (Canadian Syncope Risk Score) served as the prognostic comparators.

RESULTS

Among 1538 patients eligible for diagnostic assessment, cardiac syncope was the adjudicated diagnosis in 234 patients (15.2%). BNP, NT-proBNP, hs-cTnT, and hs-cTnI were significantly higher in cardiac syncope versus other causes (P<0.01). The diagnostic accuracy for cardiac syncope, as quantified by the area under the curve, was 0.77 to 0.78 (95% CI, 0.74-0.81) for all 4 biomarkers, and superior to EGSYS (area under the curve, 0.68 [95%-CI 0.65-0.71], P<0.001). Combining BNP/NT-proBNP with hs-cTnT/hs-cTnI further improved diagnostic accuracy to an area under the curve of 0.81 (P<0.01). BNP, NT-proBNP, hs-cTnT, and hs-cTnI cut-offs, achieving predefined thresholds for sensitivity and specificity (95%), allowed for rule-in or rule-out of ≈30% of all patients. A total of 450 major adverse cardiac events occurred during follow-up. The prognostic accuracy of BNP, NT-proBNP, hs-cTnI, and hs-cTnT for major adverse cardiac events was moderate-to-good (area under the curve, 0.75-0.79), superior to ROSE, OESIL, and SFSR, and inferior to CSRS.

CONCLUSIONS

BNP, NT-proBNP, hs-cTnT, and hs-cTnI concentrations provide useful diagnostic and prognostic information in emergency department patients with syncope.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

URL: https://www.

CLINICALTRIALS

gov. Unique identifier: NCT01548352.

Causes and Predictors of 30-Day Readmission in Patients With Syncope/Collapse: A Nationwide Cohort Study

Background Syncope accounts for 0.6% to 1.5% of hospitalizations in the United States. We sought to determine the causes and predictors of 30-day readmission in patients with syncope. Methods and Results We identified 323 250 encounters with a primary diagnosis of syncope/collapse in the 2013-2014 Nationwide Readmissions Database. We excluded patients younger than 18 years, those discharged in December, those who died during hospitalization, hospital transfers, and those whose length of stay was missing. We used multivariable logistic regression analysis to evaluate the association between baseline characteristics and 30-day readmission. A total of 282 311 syncope admissions were included. The median age was 72 years (interquartile range, 58-83), 53.9% were women, and 9.3% had 30-day readmission. The most common cause of 30-day readmissions was syncope/collapse, followed by cardiac, neurological, and infectious causes. Characteristics associated with 30-day readmissions were age 65 years and older (odds ratio [OR], 0.7; 95% confidence interval [ CI ], 0.6-0.7), female sex (OR, 0.9; 95% CI, 0.8-0.9), congestive heart failure (OR, 1.5; 95% CI, 1.2-1.9), atrial fibrillation/flutter (OR, 1.3; 95% CI, 1.3-1.4), diabetes mellitus (OR, 1.2; 95% CI, 1.2-1.3), coronary artery disease (OR, 1.2; 95% CI, 1.2-1.3), anemia (OR, 1.4; 95% CI, 1.4-1.5), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (OR, 1.4; 95% CI, 1.3-1.4), home with home healthcare disposition (OR, 1.5; 95% CI, 1.5-1.6), leaving against medical advice (OR, 1.7; 95% CI, 1.6-1.9), length of stay of 3 to 5 days (OR, 1.5; 95% CI, 1.4-1.6) or >5 days (OR, 2; 95% CI, 1.8-2), and having private insurance (OR, 0.6; 95% CI, 0.6-0.7). Conclusions The 30-day readmission rate after syncope/collapse was 9.3%. We identified causes and risk factors associated with readmission. Future prospective studies are needed to derive risk-stratification models to reduce the high burden of readmissions.

Analysis of Temporal and Causal Relationship Between Syncope and 30-Day Events in a Cohort of Emergency Department Patients to Identify the True Rate of Short-term Outcomes

BACKGROUND

There are a limited number of studies on the short-term prognosis of syncopal patients, and those available are heterogeneous and often have considered events without a clear relationship with the syncopal episode as serious outcomes.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to identify the incidence of short-term true outcomes of a syncopal episode, only considering those occurring after a reasonable period of time, with a plausible causal relationship with index syncope as well as syncopal recurrences causing major trauma.

METHODS

In this retrospective, observational study, we assessed all patients managed in the emergency department (ED) during a 6-month period, with 30 days of follow-up.

RESULTS

The study population consisted of 982 consecutive syncopal patients. We observed short-term serious events, in a broad sense, in 154 patients (15.7%), the most frequent being dysrhythmias (20.8%), cerebrovascular accidents (18.2%), major traumatic injuries (16.2%), death (13%), and myocardial infarction (9.7%). Most of these events (63.6%) could be identified within 72 h, mainly in the ED. Only 19 patients (2.2% of the sample), experienced a true short-term outcome (7 deaths, 1 myocardial infarction, 9 dysrhythmias, 1 major bleeding event, and 1 traumatic syncopal recurrence).

CONCLUSIONS

The incidence of short-term true outcomes of syncope is extremely low. Distinguishing true outcomes from other events has a crucial significance for understanding the real prognostic role of syncope and for planning ED management. Once patients with syncope as a direct consequence of an acute disease needing admission by itself are excluded, most patients with unexplained syncope could be safely discharged after primary evaluation and brief ED monitoring.

[Determination of prognostic value of the OESIL risk score at 6 months in a Colombian cohort with syncope evaluated in the emergency department; first Latin American experience]

OBJECTIVES

To establish the prognostic value, with sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value for the OESIL syncope risk score to predict the presentation of severe outcomes (death, invasive interventions, and readmission) after 6 months of observation in adults who consulted the emergency department due to syncope.

METHODS

Observational, prospective, and multicentre study with enrolment of subjects older than 18 years, who consulted in the emergency department due to syncope. A record was mad of the demographic and clinical information of all patients. The OESIL risk score was calculated, and severe patient outcomes were followed up during a 6 month period using telephone contact.

RESULTS

A total of 161 patients met the inclusion criteria and were followed up for 6 months. A score above or equal to 2 in the risk score, classified as high risk, was present in 72% of the patients. The characteristics of the risk score to predict the combined outcome of mortality, invasive interventions, and readmission for a score above or equal to 2 were 75.7, 30.5, 43.1, and 64.4% for sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

A score above or equal to 2 in the OESIL risk score applied in Colombian population was of limited use to predict the studied severe outcomes. This score will be unable to discriminate between patients that benefit of early admission and further clinical studies.

Trends of hospitalizations for syncope/collapse in the United States from 2004 to 2013-An analysis of national inpatient sample

INTRODUCTION

Syncope/collapse is a common reason for emergency department visits, and approximately 30-40% of these individuals are hospitalized. We examined changes in hospitalization rates, in-hospital mortality, and cost of syncope/collapse-related hospital care in the United States from 2004 to 2013.

METHODS

We used the US Nationwide Inpatient Sample (NIS) from 2004 to 2013 to identify syncope/collapse-related hospitalizations using ICD-9, code 780.2, as the principal discharge diagnosis. Data are presented as mean ± SEM.

RESULTS

From 2004 to 2013, there was a 42% reduction in hospitalizations with a principal discharge diagnosis of syncope/collapse from 54,259 (national estimate 253,591) in 2004 to 31,427 (national estimate 156,820) in 2013 (P < 0.0001). The mean length of hospital stays decreased (2.88 ± 0.04 days in 2004 vs. 2.54 ± 0.02 in 2013; P < 0.0001), while in-hospital mortality did not change (0.28% in 2004 vs. 0.18% in 2013; P  =  0.12). However, mean charges (inflation adjusted) for syncope/collapse-related hospitalization increased by 43.6% from $17,514 in 2004 to $25,160 in 2013 (P < 0.0001). The rates of implantation of permanent pacemakers and implantable cardioverter defibrillator remained low during these hospitalizations, and decreased over time (P for both < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

Hospitalization rates for syncope/collapse have decreased significantly in the US from 2004 to 2013. Despite a modest reduction in length of stay, the cost of syncope/collapse-related hospital care has increased.

Reasons for Hospitalization Among Emergency Department Patients With Syncope

BACKGROUND

Variations in syncope management exist. Our objective was to identify the reasons for consultations and hospitalizations and outcomes among emergency department (ED) syncope patients.

METHODS

We conducted a prospective cohort study to enroll adult syncope patients at five EDs. We collected baseline characteristics, reasons for consultation and hospitalization, and hospital length of stay. Adjudicated 30-day serious adverse events (SAEs) including death, myocardial infarction, arrhythmia, structural heart disease, pulmonary embolism, significant hemorrhage, and procedural intervention. We used descriptive analysis.

RESULTS

From 4,064 enrolled patients (mean ± SD age = 53.1 ± 23.2 years; 55.9% female), 3,255 (80.1%) were discharged directly by the ED physician. Of those with no SAEs identified in the ED (n = 600), 42.8% of referrals and 46.5% of hospitalizations were for suspected arrhythmias, and 71.2% of patients hospitalized for arrhythmias had no cause identified. SAEs among groups were 9.7% in total, 2.5% discharged by ED physician, 3.4% discharged by consultant, 21.7% as inpatient, and 4.8% following discharge from hospital. The median hospital length of stay for suspected arrhythmias was 5 days (interquartile range = 3 to 8 days).

CONCLUSION

Cardiac syncope, particularly suspected arrhythmia, was the major reason for ED referrals and hospitalization. The majority of patients hospitalized for cardiac monitoring had no identified cause. An important number of patients suffered SAEs, particularly arrhythmias, outside the hospital. Development of a risk-stratification tool and out-of-hospital cardiac monitoring strategy should improve patient safety and save substantial resources.

Reliability of Clinical Assessments in Older Adults With Syncope or Near Syncope

OBJECTIVES

Clinical prediction models for risk stratification of older adults with syncope or near syncope may improve resource utilization and management. Predictors considered for inclusion into such models must be reliable. Our primary objective was to evaluate the inter-rater agreement of historical, physical examination, and electrocardiogram (ECG) findings in older adults undergoing emergency department (ED) evaluation for syncope or near syncope. Our secondary objective was to assess the level of agreement between clinicians on the patient's overall risk for death or serious cardiac outcomes.

METHODS

We conducted a cross-sectional study at 11 EDs in adults 60 years of age or older who presented with unexplained syncope or near syncope. We excluded patients with a presumptive cause of syncope (e.g., seizure) or if they were unable or unwilling to follow-up. Evaluations of the patient's past medical history and current medication use were completed by treating provider and trained research associate pairs. Evaluations of the patient's physical examination and ECG interpretation were completed by attending/resident, attending/advanced practice provider, or attending/attending pairs. All evaluations were blinded to the responses from the other rater. We calculated the percent agreement and kappa statistic for binary variables. Inter-rater agreement was considered acceptable if the kappa statistic was 0.6 or higher.

RESULTS

We obtained paired observations from 255 patients; mean (±SD) age was 73 (±9) years, 137 (54%) were male, and 204 (80%) were admitted to the hospital. Acceptable agreement was achieved in 18 of the 21 (86%) past medical history and current medication findings, none of the 10 physical examination variables, and three of the 13 (23%) ECG interpretation variables. There was moderate agreement (Spearman correlation coefficient, r = 0.40) between clinicians on the patient's probability of 30-day death or serious cardiac outcome, although as the probability increased, there was less agreement.

CONCLUSIONS

Acceptable agreement between raters was more commonly achieved with historical rather than physical examination or ECG interpretation variables. Clinicians had moderate agreement in assessing the patient's overall risk for a serious outcome at 30 days. Future development of clinical prediction models in older adults with syncope should account for variability of assessments between raters and consider the use of objective clinical variables.

Development of the Canadian Syncope Risk Score to predict serious adverse events after emergency department assessment of syncope

BACKGROUND

Syncope can be caused by serious conditions not evident during initial evaluation, which can lead to serious adverse events, including death, after disposition from the emergency department. We sought to develop a clinical decision tool to identify adult patients with syncope who are at risk of a serious adverse event within 30 days after disposition from the emergency department.

METHODS

We prospectively enrolled adults (age ≥ 16 yr) with syncope who presented within 24 hours after the event to 1 of 6 large emergency departments from Sept. 29, 2010, to Feb. 27, 2014. We collected standardized variables at index presentation from clinical evaluation and investigations. Adjudicated serious adverse events included death, myocardial infarction, arrhythmia, structural heart disease, pulmonary embolism, serious hemorrhage and procedural interventions within 30 days.

RESULTS

We enrolled 4030 patients with syncope; the mean age was 53.6 years, 55.5% were women, and 9.5% were admitted to hospital. Serious adverse events occurred in 147 (3.6%) of the patients within 30 days after disposition from the emergency department. Of 43 candidate predictors examined, we included 9 in the final model: predisposition to vasovagal syncope, heart disease, any systolic pressure reading in the emergency department < 90 or > 180 mm Hg, troponin level above 99th percentile for the normal population, abnormal QRS axis (< -30° or > 100°), QRS duration longer than 130 ms, QTc interval longer than 480 ms, emergency department diagnosis of cardiac syncope and emergency department diagnosis of vasovagal syncope (C statistic 0.88, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.85-0.90; optimism 0.015; goodness-of-fit p = 0.11). The risk of a serious adverse event within 30 days ranged from 0.4% for a score of -3 to 83.6% for a score of 11. The sensitivity was 99.2% (95% CI 95.9%-100%) for a threshold score of -2 or higher and 97.7% (95% CI 93.5%-99.5%) for a threshold score of -1 or higher.

INTERPRETATION

The Canadian Syncope Risk Score showed good discrimination and calibration for 30-day risk of serious adverse events after disposition from the emergency department. Once validated, the tool will be able to accurately stratify the risk of serious adverse events among patients presenting with syncope, including those at low risk who can be discharged home quickly.

Mapping clinical journeys of Asian patients presenting to the Emergency Department with syncope: Strict adoption of international guidelines does not reduce hospitalisations

BACKGROUND

Limited data exists about management of syncope in Asia. The American College of Emergency Physicians (ACEP) and European Society of Cardiology (ESC) guidelines have defined the high-risk syncope patient. This study aims to determine the effectiveness of managing syncope in an Asian healthcare system and whether strict adherence of international guidelines would reduce hospitalizations.

METHODS

Patients attending the Emergency Department of a Singaporean tertiary hospital with syncope were identified. Clinical journeys of all patients were meticulously mapped by interrogation of a comprehensive electronic medical record system and linkages with national datasets. Primary endpoint was hospitalization. Secondary endpoints were recurrent syncope within 1year and all-cause mortality. Expected admission rates based on application of ACEP/ESC guidelines were calculated.

RESULTS

638 patients (43.8±22.4years, 49.0% male) presented with syncope. 48.9% were hospitalized for 2.9±3.2days. Yields of common investigations ranged from 0 to 11.5% and no diagnosis was reached in 51.5% of patients. Diuretics use (HR 5.1, p=0.01) and prior hospitalization for syncope (HR 6.9, p<0.01) predicted recurrent syncope. Over 2.8 SD 0.3years of follow-up, 40 deaths occurred. 24 patients who died within 12months of presentation were admitted or had a firm diagnosis upon discharge. Application of guidelines did not significantly reduce hospitalisations, with limited agreement which patients warrant admission. (Actual 376, ACEP 354, ESC 391 admissions, p=NS).

CONCLUSIONS

Unstructured management of syncope results in nearly half of patients being admitted and substantial healthcare expenditures, yet with limited diagnostic yield. Strict adoption of ACEP or ESC guidelines does not reduce admissions.

Derivation of a risk scale and quantification of risk factors for serious adverse events in adult emergency department syncope patients

BACKGROUND

Determining the appropriate disposition of emergency department (ED) syncope patients is challenging. Previously developed decision tools have poor diagnostic test characteristics and methodological flaws in their derivation that preclude their use. We sought to develop a scale to risk-stratify adult ED syncope patients at risk for serious adverse events (SAEs) within 30 days.

METHODS

We conducted a medical record review to include syncope patients age ≥ 16 years and excluded patients with ongoing altered mental status, alcohol or illicit drug use, seizure, head injury leading to loss of consciousness, or severe trauma requiring admission. We collected 105 predictor variables (demographics, event characteristics, comorbidities, medications, vital signs, clinical examination findings, emergency medical services and ED electrocardiogram/monitor characteristics, investigations, and disposition variables) and information on the occurrence of predefined SAEs. Univariate and multiple logistic regression analyses were performed.

RESULTS

Among 505 enrolled patient visits, 49 (9.7%) suffered an SAE. Predictors of SAE and their resulting point scores were as follows: age ≥ 75 years (1), shortness of breath (2), lowest ED systolic blood pressure < 80 mm Hg (2), Ottawa Electrocardiographic Criteria present (2), and blood urea nitrogen > 15 mmol/L (3). The final score calculated by addition of the individual scores for each variable (range 0-10) was found to accurately stratify patients into low risk (score < 1, 0% SAE risk), moderate risk (score 1, 3.7% SAE risk), or high risk (score > 1, ≥ 10% SAE risk).

CONCLUSION

We derived a risk scale that accurately predicts SAEs within 30 days in ED syncope patients. If validated, this will be a potentially useful clinical decision tool for emergency physicians, may allow judicious use of health care resources, and may improve patient care and safety.

Validation of EGSYS Score in Prediction of Cardiogenic Syncope

Introduction. Evaluation of Guidelines in Syncope Study (EGSYS) is designed to differentiate between cardiac and noncardiac causes of syncope. The present study aimed to evaluate the accuracy of this predictive model. Methods. In this prospective cross-sectional study, screening performance characteristics of EGSYS-U (univariate) and EGSYS-M (multivariate) in prediction of cardiac syncope were calculated for syncope patients who were referred to the emergency department (ED). Results. 198 patients with mean age of 59.26 ± 19.5 years were evaluated (62.3% male). 115 (58.4%) patients were diagnosed with cardiac syncope. Area under the ROC curve was 0.818 (95% CI: 0.75–0.87) for EGSYS-U and 0.805 (CI 95%: 0.74–0.86) for EGSYS-M (p = 0.53). Best cut-off point for both models was ≥3. Sensitivity and specificity were 86.08% (95% CI: 78.09–91.59) and 68.29% (95% CI: 56.97–77.86) for EGSYS-U and 91.30% (95% CI: 84.20–95.52) and 57.32% (95% CI: 45.92–68.02) for EGSYS-M, respectively. Conclusion. The results of this study demonstrated the acceptable accuracy of EGSYS score in predicting cardiogenic causes of syncope at the ≥3 cut-off point. It seems that using this model in daily practice can help physicians select at risk patients and properly triage them.

Syncope in Patients with Organic Heart Disease

Patients with syncope and organic heart disease remain a small but important subset of those patients who experience transient loss of consciousness. These patients require thoughtful and complete evaluation in an attempt to better understand the mechanism of syncope and its relationship to the underlying disease, and to diagnose and treat both properly. The goal is to reduce the risk of further syncope, to improve long-term outcomes with respect to arrhythmic and total mortality, and to improve patients' quality of life.

The prevalence and prognostic significance of near syncope and syncope: a prospective study of 395 cases in an emergency department (the SPEED study)

BACKGROUND

The prognostic significance of near-syncope has not yet been adequately characterized.

METHOD

We collected prospective data on a consecutive series of patients seen in an emergency department with syncope (brief loss of consciousness, usually with loss of muscle tone) or near-syncope (a feeling that syncope is about to occur, but without actual loss of consciousness or muscle tone). We report on the prevalence, etiology, and prognosis of such events (the SPEED study). Patients were followed up at 30 days and at 6 months after the event.

RESULTS

From 17 July to 31 October 2011, 395 patients were seen in the emergency department for a chief complaint of syncope or near-syncope (3% of all emergency patients). Their median age was 70 years, and 55% were men. 62% had experienced syncope, and 38% near-syncope. The patients with near-syncope were younger than those with syncope ( 63 vs. 72 years, p < 0.014) and were also more commonly male (63% vs. 49%, p = 0.006). The two patient groups did not differ significantly with respect to their measured laboratory values and vital parameters or their accompanying medical conditions. Hospitalizations were more common for syncope than for near-syncope (86% vs. 70%, p < 0.001). Etiologies were similarly distributed in the two patient groups, with the main ones being reflex syncope, orthostatic syncope, cardiac syncope, and syncope of uncertain origin. In all, 123 of 379 patients (32%) had further undesired events within 30 days of the event. Multivariable logistic regression revealed that age, heart rate, and renal dysfunction were independent predictors of undesired events, while the type of syncope was not.

CONCLUSION

Patients with near-syncope do not differ to any large extent from patients with syncope with respect to the features studied. The diagnostic evaluation should be similar for patients in the two groups.

Diagnostic and prognostic value of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T in patients with syncope

OBJECTIVE

We examined the diagnostic and predictive value of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (cTnThs) in patients with syncope.

METHODS

We performed an analysis of consecutive patients with syncope presenting to the emergency department. The primary end point was the accuracy to diagnose a cardiac syncope. In addition, the study explored the prognostic relevance of cTnThs in patients with cardiac and noncardiac syncope.

RESULTS

A total of 360 patients were enrolled (median age, 70.5 years; male, 55.8%; 23.9% aged >80 years). Cardiac syncope was present in 22% of patients, reflex syncope was present in 40% of patients, syncope due to orthostatic hypotension was present in 20% of patients, and unexplained syncope was present in 17.5% of patients. A total of 148 patients (41%) had cTnThs levels above the 99% confidence interval (CI) (cutoff point). The diagnostic accuracy for cTnThs levels to determine the diagnosis of cardiac syncope was quantified by the area under the curve (0.77; CI, 0.72-0.83; P < .001). A comparable area under the curve (0.78; CI, 0.73-0.83; P < .001) was obtained for the predictive value of cTnThs levels within 30 days: Patients with increased cTnThs levels had a 52% likelihood for adverse events, patients with cTnThs levels below the cutoff point had a low risk (negative predictive value, 83.5%). Increased cTnThs levels indicate adverse prognosis in patients with noncardiac causes of syncope, but not in patients with cardiac syncope being a risk factor for adverse outcome by itself.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with syncope presenting to the emergency department have a high proportion of life-threatening conditions. cTnThs levels show a limited diagnostic and predictive accuracy for the identification of patients with syncope at high risk.

Etiology of syncope in hospitalized patients

BACKGROUND

Syncope is a common clinical problem which can be remarkably debilitating and associated with high health care costs. Syncope is a clinical syndrome with many potential causes. The aim of the study was to determine the etiologies of patients with syncope in the emergency department (ED) of a referral and general university hospital.

METHODS

One hundred sixty-five consecutive patients aged more than 18 years old with syncope were admitted to the emergency department of Ayatollah Rouhani Hospital. Initially organized, systematic approach included detailed medical history and structured questionnaires for history taking, physical examination, ECG and cardiac monitoring, cardiology and neurology were done. Advanced diagnostic tests were carried out if the etiology of syncope remained unexplained.

RESULTS

Out of the 165 patients who presented to the ED between February 2012 and February 2013, 124 had definition of syncope. The mean age of male patients was 59.5±19.8, 58. The etiology of syncope was diagnosed in 104 (83%) patients. Neurocardiogenic syncope was found in 36 (29.03%) patients, cardiac arrhythmias in 40 (32.25%) patients, and acute coronary syndrome in 8 (6.45%) patients. There are some infrequent etiologies like intracranial hemorrhage in 5 patients, aortic stenosis in 4 patients, hypertrophic cardiomyopathy and aortic dissection in 3 patients, Brugada and pulmonary embolism in 2 patients and carotid hypersensitivity in one patient.

CONCLUSION

We found that cardiac arrhythmias and neurocardiogenic type are the frequent causes of syncope. In about one-sixth of the patients, no etiology was found. Approximately one-third of patients had traumatic syncope.

Syncope

Syncope is common representing approximately 3% of ED visits and up to 6% of hospital admissions, with a cost close to 2 billion dollars per year. Diagnostic testing is often poorly sensitive and evaluations commonly lack a standardized approach. A mindful and systematic approach can increase sensitivity and improve diagnostic accuracy. A thorough history and physical exam is paramount, as conclusions drawn from the history and exam will guide further assessment. Developing a strategy for the first and, if necessary, subsequent tests will improve the accuracy of identifying the etiology of syncope and reduce cost. Although syncope has a favorable prognosis, identification of patients with structural heart disease is critical, as these patients are at greatest risk for mortality. Several risk scoring systems have been developed to help separate high risk from low risk patients.

Priorities for emergency department syncope research

STUDY OBJECTIVES

There is limited evidence to guide the emergency department (ED) evaluation and management of syncope. The First International Workshop on Syncope Risk Stratification in the Emergency Department identified key research questions and methodological standards essential to advancing the science of ED-based syncope research.

METHODS

We recruited a multinational panel of syncope experts. A preconference survey identified research priorities, which were refined during and after the conference through an iterative review process.

RESULTS

There were 31 participants from 7 countries who represented 10 clinical and methodological specialties. High-priority research recommendations were organized around a conceptual model of ED decisionmaking for syncope, and they address definition, cohort selection, risk stratification, and management.

CONCLUSION

We convened a multispecialty group of syncope experts to identify the most pressing knowledge gaps and defined a high-priority research agenda to improve the care of patients with syncope in the ED.

Syncope risk stratification in the ED

Syncope may be the final common presentation of a number of clinical conditions spanning benign (i.e. neurally-mediated syncope) to life-threatening diseases (i.e. cardiac syncope). Hospitalization rate after a syncopal episode is high. An effective risk stratification is crucial to identify patients at risk of poor prognosis in the short term period to avoid unnecessary hospital admissions. The decision to admit or discharge a syncope patient from the ED is often based on the physician's clinical judgment. In recent years, several prognostic tools (i.e. clinical prediction rules and risk scores) have been developed to provide emergency physicians with accurate guidelines for hospital admission. At present, there are no compelling evidence that prognostic tools perform better than physician's clinical judgment in assessing the short-term outcome of syncope. However, the risk factors characterizing clinical prediction rules and risk scores may be profitably used by emergency doctors in their decision making, specifically whenever a syncope patient has to be discharged from ED or admitted to hospital. Patients with syncope of undetermined etiology, who are characterized by an intermediate-high risk profile after the initial evaluation, should be monitored in the ED. Indeed, data suggest that the 48h following syncope are at the highest risk for major adverse events. A new tool for syncope management is represented by the Syncope Unit in the ED or in an outpatient setting. Syncope Unit may reduce hospitalization and length of hospital stay. However, further studies are needed to clarify whether syncope patients' prognosis can be also improved.

Identifying cardiac syncope based on clinical history: a literature-based model tested in four independent datasets

BACKGROUND

We aimed to develop and test a literature-based model for symptoms that associate with cardiac causes of syncope.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Seven studies (the derivation sample) reporting ≥2 predictors of cardiac syncope were identified (4 Italian, 1 Swiss, 1 Canadian, and 1 from the United States). From these, 10 criteria were identified as diagnostic predictors. The conditional probability of each predictor was calculated by summation of the reported frequencies. A model of conditional probabilities and a priori probabilities of cardiac syncope was constructed. The model was tested in four datasets of patients with syncope (the test sample) from Calgary (n=670; 21% had cardiac syncope), Amsterdam (n=503; 9%), Milan (n=689; 5%) and Rochester (3877; 11%). In the derivation sample ten variables were significantly associated with cardiac syncope: age, gender, structural heart disease, low number of spells, brief or absent prodrome, supine syncope, effort syncope, and absence of nausea, diaphoresis and blurred vision. Fitting the test datasets to the full model gave C-statistics of 0.87 (Calgary), 0.84 (Amsterdam), 0.72 (Milan) and 0.71 (Rochester). Model sensitivity and specificity were 92% and 68% for Calgary, 86% and 67% for Amsterdam, 76% and 59% for Milan, and 73% and 52% for Rochester. A model with 5 variables (age, gender, structural heart disease, low number of spells, and lack of prodromal symptoms) was as accurate as the total set.

CONCLUSION

A simple literature-based Bayesian model of historical criteria can distinguish patients with cardiac syncope from other patients with syncope with moderate accuracy.

Sudden death risk in syncope: the role of the implantable cardioverter defibrillator

Syncope is generally benign but when it is due to an underlying cardiovascular condition, the prognosis can be guarded. Patients with syncope may be at risk of dying suddenly from a ventricular arrhythmia especially if the collapse is caused by a poorly-tolerated, self-terminating, ventricular tachycardia (VT). If a similar VT recurs, and persists, it could initiate cardiac arrest, leading to sudden cardiac death. However, distinguishing which patient with syncope may benefit most from implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD) therapy, which can stop life-threatening and poorly tolerated VT, thereby preventing sudden cardiac death, remains an ongoing challenge. Careful assessment of the patient's underlying cardiovascular conditions, scrupulous attention to historical detail to assess potential causes for syncope, and risk stratification based upon clinical characteristics and short and long-term risks can help. This review focuses on the sudden death risk in patients with syncope and explores the role of the ICD to treat ventricular arrhythmias, prevent symptoms, and prevent death.

Validation of the San Francisco Syncope Rule in two hospital emergency departments in an Asian population

OBJECTIVES

The objective was to externally validate the ability of the San Francisco Syncope Rule (SFSR) to accurately identify patients who will experience a 7-day serious clinical event in an Asian population.

METHODS

This was a prospective cohort study, with a sample of adult patients with syncope and near-syncope enrolled. Patients 12 years old and below and patients with loss of consciousness after head trauma, a witnessed seizure, with known alcohol or illicit drug ingestion, and altered level of consciousness or persistent new neurologic deficits were excluded. The patients were evaluated for the presence of one or more of the five SFSR variables: shortness of breath, history of heart failure, hematocrit <30%, systolic blood pressure <90 mm Hg, and abnormal electrocardiogram (ECG). The patients were followed up by medical record review or telephone interview. Seven-day outcomes were death, arrhythmia, myocardial infarction, acute pulmonary edema, significant structural heart disease, pulmonary embolism, major cardiac procedure, stroke, subarachnoid hemorrhage, major bleeding, and anemia.

RESULTS

A total of 1,250 patients from two centers were recruited. Fifty-six patients were excluded from primary analysis because of incomplete data (n = 55) and/or they were noncontactable for follow-up (n = 32). Of the 1,194 patients analyzed, 138 patients (11.6%) experienced adverse outcomes at 7 days. The rule performed with a sensitivity of 94.2% (95% confidence interval [CI] = 89.0% to 97.0%) and a specificity of 50.8% (95% CI = 47.7% to 53.8%).

CONCLUSIONS

In this study, SFSR rule had a sensitivity of 94.2%. This suggests caution on the strict application of the rule to all patients presenting with syncope. It should only be used as an aide in clinical decision-making in this population.

Patterns and preexisting risk factors of 30-day mortality after a primary discharge diagnosis of syncope or near syncope

OBJECTIVES

The risk of short-term mortality after an emergency department (ED) visit for syncope is poorly understood, resulting in prognostic uncertainty and frequent hospital admission. The authors determined patterns and risk factors for short-term mortality after a diagnosis of syncope or near syncope to aid in medical decision-making.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study was performed of adult members of Kaiser Permanente Southern California seen at 11 EDs from 2002 to 2006 with a primary discharge diagnosis of syncope or near syncope (International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision [ICD-9] 780.2). The outcome was 30-day mortality. Proportional hazards time-to-event regression models were used to identify risk factors.

RESULTS

There were 22,189 participants with 23,951 ED visits, resulting in 307 deaths by 30 days. A relatively lower risk of death was reached within 2 weeks for ages 18 to 59 years, but not until 3 months or more for ages 60 and older. Preexisting comorbidities associated with increased mortality included heart failure (hazard ratio [HR] = 14.3 in ages 18 to 59 years, HR = 3.09 in ages 60 to 79 years, HR = 2.34 in ages 80 years plus; all p < 0.001), diabetes (HR = 1.49, p = 0.002), seizure (HR = 1.65, p = 0.016), and dementia (HR = 1.41, p = 0.034). If the index visit followed one or more visits for syncope in the previous 30 days, it was associated with increased mortality (HR = 1.86, p = 0.024). Absolute risk of death at 30 days was under 0.2% in those under 60 years without heart failure and more than 2.5% across all ages in those with heart failure.

CONCLUSIONS

The low risk of death after an ED visit for syncope or near syncope in patients younger than 60 years old without heart failure may be helpful when deciding who to admit for inpatient evaluation. The presence of one or more comorbidities that predict death and a prior visit for syncope should be considered in clinical decisions and risk stratification tools for patients with syncope. Close clinical follow-up seems advisable in patients 60 years and older due to a prolonged risk of death.

San Francisco Syncope Rule to predict short-term serious outcomes: a systematic review

BACKGROUND

The San Francisco Syncope Rule has been proposed as a clinical decision rule for risk stratification of patients presenting to the emergency department with syncope. It has been validated across various populations and settings. We undertook a systematic review of its accuracy in predicting short-term serious outcomes.

METHODS

We identified studies by means of systematic searches in seven electronic databases from inception to January 2011. We extracted study data in duplicate and used a bivariate random-effects model to assess the predictive accuracy and test characteristics.

RESULTS

We included 12 studies with a total of 5316 patients, of whom 596 (11%) experienced a serious outcome. The prevalence of serious outcomes across the studies varied between 5% and 26%. The pooled estimate of sensitivity of the San Francisco Syncope Rule was 0.87 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.79-0.93), and the pooled estimate of specificity was 0.52 (95% CI 0.43-0.62). There was substantial between-study heterogeneity (resulting in a 95% prediction interval for sensitivity of 0.55-0.98). The probability of a serious outcome given a negative score with the San Francisco Syncope Rule was 5% or lower, and the probability was 2% or lower when the rule was applied only to patients for whom no cause of syncope was identified after initial evaluation in the emergency department. The most common cause of false-negative classification for a serious outcome was cardiac arrhythmia.

INTERPRETATION

The San Francisco Syncope Rule should be applied only for patients in whom no cause of syncope is evident after initial evaluation in the emergency department. Consideration of all available electrocardiograms, as well as arrhythmia monitoring, should be included in application of the San Francisco Syncope Rule. Between-study heterogeneity was likely due to inconsistent classification of arrhythmia.

Etiology of syncope in patients hospitalized with syncope and predictors of mortality and rehospitalization for syncope at 27-month follow-up

The authors investigated the etiologies of syncope and risk factors for mortality and rehospitalization for syncope at 27-month follow-up in 325 consecutive patients, mean age 66 years, hospitalized for syncope. The causes of syncope were diagnosed in 241 patients (74%). Of 325 patients, 13 (4%) were rehospitalized for syncope and 38 (12%) died. Stepwise logistic regression analysis showed that significant independent prognostic factors for rehospitalization for syncope were diabetes (odds ratio [OR], 5.7; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.6-20.4), atrial fibrillation (OR, 4.0; 95% CI, 1.0-15.6), and smoking (OR, 4.6; 95% CI, 1.3-16.8). Stepwise Cox regression analysis showed that significant independent prognostic factors for time to mortality were diabetes (hazard ratio [HR], 2.7; 95% CI, 1.4-5.2), coronary artery bypass graft surgery (HR, 2.9; 95% CI, 1.3-6.5), malignancy history (HR, 2.5; 95% CI, 1.2-5.2), narcotics use (HR, 4.0; 95% CI, 1.7-9.8), smoking (HR, 2.8; 95% CI, 1.4-5.5), atrial fibrillation (HR, 2.4; 95% CI, 1.0-5.4), and volume depletion (HR, 2.8; 95% CI, 1.4-5.8). Copyright © 2011 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. The authors have no funding, financial relationships, or conflicts of interest to disclose.

Accuracy and quality of clinical decision rules for syncope in the emergency department: a systematic review and meta-analysis

STUDY OBJECTIVE

We assess the methodological quality and prognostic accuracy of clinical decision rules in emergency department (ED) syncope patients.

METHODS

We searched 6 electronic databases, reviewed reference lists of included studies, and contacted content experts to identify articles for review. Studies that derived or validated clinical decision rules in ED syncope patients were included. Two reviewers independently screened records for relevance, selected studies for inclusion, assessed study quality, and abstracted data. Random-effects meta-analysis was used to pool diagnostic performance estimates across studies that derived or validated the same clinical decision rule. Between-study heterogeneity was assessed with the I(2) statistic, and subgroup hypotheses were tested with a test of interaction.

RESULTS

We identified 18 eligible studies. Deficiencies in outcome (blinding) and interrater reliability assessment were the most common methodological weaknesses. Meta-analysis of the San Francisco Syncope Rule (sensitivity 86% [95% confidence interval {CI} 83% to 89%]; specificity 49% [95% CI 48% to 51%]) and the Osservatorio Epidemiologico sulla Sincope nel Lazio risk score (sensitivity 95% [95% CI 88% to 98%]; specificity 31% [95% CI 29% to 34%]). Subgroup analysis identified study design (prospective, diagnostic odds ratio 8.82 [95% CI 3.5 to 22] versus retrospective, diagnostic odds ratio 2.45 [95% CI 0.96 to 6.21]) and ECG determination (by evaluating physician, diagnostic odds ratio 25.5 [95% CI 4.41 to 148] versus researcher or cardiologist, diagnostic odds ratio 4 [95% CI 2.15 to 7.55]) as potential explanations for the variability in San Francisco Syncope Rule performance.

CONCLUSION

The methodological quality and prognostic accuracy of clinical decision rules for syncope are limited. Differences in study design and ECG interpretation may account for the variable prognostic performance of the San Francisco Syncope Rule when validated in different practice settings.

The ROSE (risk stratification of syncope in the emergency department) study

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to develop and validate a clinical decision rule (CDR) to predict 1-month serious outcome and all-cause death in patients presenting with syncope to the emergency department.

BACKGROUND

Syncope is a common, potentially serious condition accounting for many hospital admissions.

METHODS

This was a single center, prospective, observational study of adults presenting to the emergency department with syncope. A CDR was devised from 550 patients in a derivation cohort and tested in a validation cohort of a further 550 patients.

RESULTS

One-month serious outcome or all-cause death occurred in 40 (7.3%) patients in the derivation cohort. Independent predictors were brain natriuretic peptide concentration > or =300 pg/ml (odds ratio [OR]: 7.3), positive fecal occult blood (OR: 13.2), hemoglobin < or =90 g/l (OR: 6.7), oxygen saturation < or =94% (OR: 3.0), and Q-wave on the presenting electrocardiogram (OR: 2.8). One-month serious outcome or all-cause death occurred in 39 (7.1%) patients in the validation cohort. The ROSE (Risk stratification Of Syncope in the Emergency department) rule had a sensitivity and specificity of 87.2% and 65.5%, respectively, and a negative predictive value of 98.5%. An elevated B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) concentration alone was a major predictor of serious cardiovascular outcomes (8 of 22 events, 36%) and all-cause deaths (8 of 9 deaths, 89%).

CONCLUSIONS

The ROSE rule has excellent sensitivity and negative predictive value in the identification of high-risk patients with syncope. As a component, BNP seems to be a major predictor of serious cardiovascular outcomes and all-cause death. The ROSE rule and BNP measurement might be valuable risk stratification tools in patients with emergency presentations of syncope and should now be subjected to external validation.

San Francisco Syncope Rule, Osservatorio Epidemiologico sulla Sincope nel Lazio risk score, and clinical judgment in the assessment of short-term outcome of syncope

OBJECTIVE

The study aimed to compare the efficacy of the Osservatorio Epidemiologico sulla Sincope nel Lazio (OESIL) risk score, San Francisco Syncope Rule, and clinical judgment in assessing the short-term prognosis of syncope.

METHODS

We studied 488 patients consecutively seen for syncope at the emergency department of 2 general hospitals between January and July 2004. Sensitivity, specificity, predictive values, and likelihood ratios for short-term (within 10 days) severe outcomes were computed for each decision rule and clinical judgment. Severe outcomes comprised death, major therapeutic procedures, and early readmission to hospital.

RESULTS

Clinical judgment had a sensitivity of 77%, a specificity of 69%, and would have admitted less patients (34%, P < .05 vs decision rules). The OESIL risk score was characterized by a sensitivity of 88% and a specificity of 60% (admission 43%). San Francisco Syncope Rule sensitivity was 81% and specificity was 63% (admission 40%). According to both clinical rules, no discharged patient would have died. With combined OESIL risk score and clinical judgment, the probability of adverse events was 0.7% for patients with both low risk scores, whereas that for both high risk scores was roughly 16%.

CONCLUSION

Because of a relatively low sensitivity, both risk scores were partially lacking in recognizing patients with short-term high-risk syncope. However, the application of the decision rules would have identified all patients who subsequently died, and OESIL risk score and clinical judgment combined seem to improve the decision-making process concerning the identification of high-risk patients who deserve admission.

Predictors of short-term (seven-day) cardiac outcomes after emergency department visit for syncope

Syncope is a common reason for emergency department (ED) visits, and patients are often admitted to exclude syncope of cardiovascular origin. Population-based data on patterns and predictors of cardiac outcomes may improve decision-making. Our objective was to identify patterns and predictors of short-term cardiac outcomes in ED patients with syncope. Administrative data from an integrated health system of 11 Southern California EDs were used to identify cardiac outcomes after ED presentation for syncope from January 1, 2002, to December 31, 2005. Syncope and cause of death were identified by codes from the International Classification of Disease, Ninth Revision. Cardiac outcomes included cardiac death and hospitalization or procedure consistent with ischemic heart disease, valvular disease, or arrhythmia. Predictors of cardiac outcomes were identified through multivariate logistic regression. There were 35,330 adult subjects who accounted for 39,943 ED visits for syncope. Risk of cardiac outcome sharply decreased following the 7 days after syncope. A 7-day cardiac outcome occurred in 893 cases (3%). Positive predictors of 7-day cardiac outcomes included age > or =60 years, male gender, congestive heart failure, ischemic heart disease, cardiac arrhythmia, and valvular heart disease. Negative predictors included dementia, pacemaker, coronary revascularization, and cerebrovascular disease. There was an age-dependent relation between 7-day cardiac outcomes and arrhythmia and valvular disease, with younger patients (<60 years of age) having greater risk of an event compared to their same-age counterparts. In conclusion, ED decision-making should focus on risk of cardiac event in the first 7 days after syncope and special attention should be given to younger patients with cardiac co-morbidities.

Predictors of 30-day serious events in older patients with syncope

STUDY OBJECTIVE

We identify predictors of 30-day serious events after syncope in older adults.

METHODS

We reviewed the medical records of older adults (age > or =60 years) who presented with syncope or near syncope to one of 3 emergency departments (EDs) between 2002 and 2005. Our primary outcome was occurrence of a predefined serious event within 30 days after ED evaluation. We used multivariable logistic regression to identify predictors of 30-day serious events.

RESULTS

Of 3,727 potentially eligible patients, 2,871 (77%) met all eligibility criteria. We excluded an additional 287 patients who received a diagnosis of a serious clinical condition while in the ED. In the final study cohort (n=2,584), we identified 173 (7%) patients who experienced a 30-day serious event. High-risk predictors included age greater than 90 years, male sex, history of an arrhythmia, triage systolic blood pressure greater than 160 mm Hg, abnormal ECG result, and abnormal troponin I level. A low-risk predictor was a complaint of near syncope rather than syncope. A risk score, generated by summing high-risk predictors and subtracting the low-risk predictor, can stratify patients into low- (event rate 2.5%; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.4% to 3.6%), intermediate- (event rate 6.3%; 95% CI 5.1% to 7.5%), and high-risk (event rate 20%; 95% CI 15% to 25%) groups.

CONCLUSION

We identified predictors of 30-day serious events after syncope in adults aged 60 years and greater. A simple score was able to stratify these patients into distinct risk groups and, if externally validated, might have the potential to aid ED decisionmaking.