Translational applications of computational modelling for patients with cardiac arrhythmias

Computational modeling of cardiac electrophysiology and arrhythmogenesis: toward clinical translation

The complexity of cardiac electrophysiology, involving dynamic changes in numerous components across multiple spatial (from ion channel to organ) and temporal (from milliseconds to days) scales, makes an intuitive or empirical analysis of cardiac arrhythmogenesis challenging. Multiscale mechanistic computational models of cardiac electrophysiology provide precise control over individual parameters, and their reproducibility enables a thorough assessment of arrhythmia mechanisms. This review provides a comprehensive analysis of models of cardiac electrophysiology and arrhythmias, from the single cell to the organ level, and how they can be leveraged to better understand rhythm disorders in cardiac disease and to improve heart patient care. Key issues related to model development based on experimental data are discussed, and major families of human cardiomyocyte models and their applications are highlighted. An overview of organ-level computational modeling of cardiac electrophysiology and its clinical applications in personalized arrhythmia risk assessment and patient-specific therapy of atrial and ventricular arrhythmias is provided. The advancements presented here highlight how patient-specific computational models of the heart reconstructed from patient data have achieved success in predicting risk of sudden cardiac death and guiding optimal treatments of heart rhythm disorders. Finally, an outlook toward potential future advances, including the combination of mechanistic modeling and machine learning/artificial intelligence, is provided. As the field of cardiology is embarking on a journey toward precision medicine, personalized modeling of the heart is expected to become a key technology to guide pharmaceutical therapy, deployment of devices, and surgical interventions.

Systematic in-silico evaluation of fibrosis effects on re-entrant wave dynamics in atrial tissue

Despite the key role of fibrosis in atrial fibrillation (AF), the effects of different spatial distributions and textures of fibrosis on wave propagation mechanisms in AF are not fully understood. To clarify these aspects, we performed a systematic computational study to assess fibrosis effects on the characteristics and stability of re-entrant waves in electrically-remodelled atrial tissues. A stochastic algorithm, which generated fibrotic distributions with controlled overall amount, average size, and orientation of fibrosis elements, was implemented on a monolayer spheric atrial model. 245 simulations were run at changing fibrosis parameters. The emerging propagation patterns were quantified in terms of rate, regularity, and coupling by frequency-domain analysis of correspondent synthetic bipolar electrograms. At the increase of fibrosis amount, the rate of reentrant waves significantly decreased and higher levels of regularity and coupling were observed (p < 0.0001). Higher spatial variability and pattern stochasticity over repetitions was observed for larger amount of fibrosis, especially in the presence of patchy and compact fibrosis. Overall, propagation slowing and organization led to higher stability of re-entrant waves. These results strengthen the evidence that the amount and spatial distribution of fibrosis concur in dictating re-entry dynamics in remodeled tissue and represent key factors in AF maintenance.

Computational Modeling and Simulation of the Fibrotic Human Atria

Patient-specific modeling of atrial electrical activity enables the execution of simulations that can provide mechanistic insights and provide novel solutions to vexing clinical problems. The geometry and fibrotic remodeling of the heart can be reconstructed from clinical-grade medical scans and used to inform personalized models with detail incorporated at the cell- and tissue-scale to represent changes in image-identified diseased regions. Here, we provide a rubric for the reconstruction of realistic atrial models from pre-segmented 3D renderings of the left atrium with fibrotic tissue regions delineated, which are the output from clinical-grade systems for quantifying fibrosis. We then provide a roadmap for using those models to carry out patient-specific characterization of the fibrotic substrate in terms of its potential to harbor reentrant drivers via cardiac electrophysiology simulations.

Comparing Inducibility of Re-Entrant Arrhythmia in Patient-Specific Computational Models to Clinical Atrial Fibrillation Phenotypes

BACKGROUND

Computational models of fibrosis-mediated, re-entrant left atrial (LA) arrhythmia can identify possible substrate for persistent atrial fibrillation (AF) ablation. Contemporary models use a 1-size-fits-all approach to represent electrophysiological properties, limiting agreement between simulations and patient outcomes.

OBJECTIVES

The goal of this study was to test the hypothesis that conduction velocity (ϴ) modulation in persistent AF models can improve simulation agreement with clinical arrhythmias.

METHODS

Patients with persistent AF (n = 37) underwent ablation and were followed up for ≥2 years to determine post-ablation outcomes: AF, atrial flutter (AFL), or no recurrence. Patient-specific LA models (n = 74) were constructed using pre-ablation and ≥90 days' post-ablation magnetic resonance imaging data. Simulated pacing gauged in silico arrhythmia inducibility due to AF-like rotors or AFL-like macro re-entrant tachycardias. A physiologically plausible range of ϴ values (±10 or 20% vs. baseline) was tested, and model/clinical agreement was assessed.

RESULTS

Fifteen (41%) patients had a recurrence with AF and 6 (16%) with AFL. Arrhythmia was induced in 1,078 of 5,550 simulations. Using baseline ϴ, model/clinical agreement was 46% (34 of 74 models), improving to 65% (48 of 74) when any possible ϴ value was used (McNemar's test, P = 0.014). ϴ modulation improved model/clinical agreement in both pre-ablation and post-ablation models. Pre-ablation model/clinical agreement was significantly greater for patients with extensive LA fibrosis (>17.2%) and an elevated body mass index (>32.0 kg/m2).

CONCLUSIONS

Simulations in persistent AF models show a 41% relative improvement in model/clinical agreement when ϴ is modulated. Patient-specific calibration of ϴ values could improve model/clinical agreement and model usefulness, especially in patients with higher body mass index or LA fibrosis burden. This could ultimately facilitate better personalized modeling, with immediate clinical implications.

State of the art paper: Cardiac computed tomography of the left atrium in atrial fibrillation

The clinical spectrum of atrial fibrillation means that a patient-individualized approach is required to ensure optimal treatment. Cardiac computed tomography can accurately delineate atrial structure and function and could contribute to a personalized care pathway for atrial fibrillation patients. The imaging modality offers excellent spatial resolution and has been utilised in pre-, peri- and post-procedural care for patients with atrial fibrillation. Advances in temporal resolution, acquisition times and analysis techniques suggest potential expanding roles for cardiac computed tomography in the future management of patients with atrial fibrillation. The aim of the current review is to discuss the use of cardiac computed tomography in atrial fibrillation in pre-, peri- and post-procedural settings. Potential future applications of cardiac computed tomography including atrial wall thickness assessment and epicardial fat volume quantification are discussed together with emerging analysis techniques including computational modelling and machine learning with attention paid to how these developments may contribute to a personalized approach to atrial fibrillation management.

Machine Learning and the Conundrum of Stroke Risk Prediction

Stroke is a leading cause of death worldwide. With escalating healthcare costs, early non-invasive stroke risk stratification is vital. The current paradigm of stroke risk assessment and mitigation is focused on clinical risk factors and comorbidities. Standard algorithms predict risk using regression-based statistical associations, which, while useful and easy to use, have moderate predictive accuracy. This review summarises recent efforts to deploy machine learning (ML) to predict stroke risk and enrich the understanding of the mechanisms underlying stroke. The surveyed body of literature includes studies comparing ML algorithms with conventional statistical models for predicting cardiovascular disease and, in particular, different stroke subtypes. Another avenue of research explored is ML as a means of enriching multiscale computational modelling, which holds great promise for revealing thrombogenesis mechanisms. Overall, ML offers a new approach to stroke risk stratification that accounts for subtle physiologic variants between patients, potentially leading to more reliable and personalised predictions than standard regression-based statistical associations.

Opportunities and challenges in heart rhythm research: Rationale and development of an electrophysiology collaboratory

There are many challenges in the current landscape of electrophysiology (EP) clinical and translational research, including increasing costs and complexity, competing demands, regulatory requirements, and challenges with study implementation. This review seeks to broadly discuss the state of EP research, including challenges and opportunities. Included here are results from a Heart Rhythm Society (HRS) Research Committee member survey detailing HRS members' perspectives regarding both barriers to clinical and translational research and opportunities to address these challenges. We also provide stakeholder perspectives on barriers and opportunities for future EP research, including input from representatives of the U.S. Food and Drug Administration, industry, and research funding institutions that participated in a Research Collaboratory Summit convened by HRS. This review further summarizes the experiences of the heart failure and heart valve communities and how they have approached similar challenges in their own fields. We then explore potential solutions, including various models of research ecosystems designed to identify research challenges and to coordinate ways to address them in a collaborative fashion in order to optimize innovation, increase efficiency of evidence generation, and advance the development of new therapeutic products. The objectives of the proposed collaborative cardiac EP research community are to encourage and support scientific discourse, research efficiency, and evidence generation by exploring collaborative and equitable solutions in which stakeholders within the EP community can interact to address knowledge gaps, innovate, and advance new therapies.

A Review on Atrial Fibrillation (Computer Simulation and Clinical Perspectives)

Atrial fibrillation (AF), a heart condition, has been a well-researched topic for the past few decades. This multidisciplinary field of study deals with signal processing, finite element analysis, mathematical modeling, optimization, and clinical procedure. This article is focused on a comprehensive review of journal articles published in the field of AF. Topics from the age-old fundamental concepts to specialized modern techniques involved in today’s AF research are discussed. It was found that a lot of research articles have already been published in modeling and simulation of AF. In comparison to that, the diagnosis and post-operative procedures for AF patients have not yet been totally understood or explored by the researchers. The simulation and modeling of AF have been investigated by many researchers in this field. Cellular model, tissue model, and geometric model among others have been used to simulate AF. Due to a very complex nature, the causes of AF have not been fully perceived to date, but the simulated results are validated with real-life patient data. Many algorithms have been proposed to detect the source of AF in human atria. There are many ablation strategies for AF patients, but the search for more efficient ablation strategies is still going on. AF management for patients with different stages of AF has been discussed in the literature as well but is somehow limited mostly to the patients with persistent AF. The authors hope that this study helps to find existing research gaps in the analysis and the diagnosis of AF.