Prognostic value of admission high-sensitivity troponin in patients with ST-elevation myocardial infarction

Modification of the GRACE Risk Score for Risk Prediction in Patients With Acute Coronary Syndromes

Importance

The Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) risk score, a guideline-recommended risk stratification tool for patients presenting with acute coronary syndromes (ACS), does not consider the extent of myocardial injury.

Objective

To assess the incremental predictive value of a modified GRACE score incorporating high-sensitivity cardiac troponin (hs-cTn) T at presentation, a surrogate of the extent of myocardial injury.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This retrospectively designed longitudinal cohort study examined 3 independent cohorts of 9803 patients with ACS enrolled from September 2009 to December 2017; 2 ACS derivation cohorts (Heidelberg ACS cohort and Newcastle STEMI cohort) and an ACS validation cohort (SPUM-ACS study). The Heidelberg ACS cohort included 2535 and the SPUM-ACS study 4288 consecutive patients presenting with a working diagnosis of ACS. The Newcastle STEMI cohort included 2980 consecutive patients with ST-elevation myocardial infarction treated with primary percutaneous coronary intervention. Data were analyzed from March to June 2023.

Exposures

In-hospital, 30-day, and 1-year mortality risk estimates derived from an updated risk score that incorporates continuous hs-cTn T at presentation (modified GRACE).

Main Outcomes and Measures

The predictive value of continuous hs-cTn T and modified GRACE risk score compared with the original GRACE risk score. Study end points were all-cause mortality during hospitalization and at 30 days and 1 year after the index event.

Results

Of 9450 included patients, 7313 (77.4%) were male, and the mean (SD) age at presentation was 64.2 (12.6) years. Using continuous rather than binary hs-cTn T conferred improved discrimination and reclassification compared with the original GRACE score (in-hospital mortality: area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUC], 0.835 vs 0.741; continuous net reclassification improvement [NRI], 0.208; 30-day mortality: AUC, 0.828 vs 0.740; NRI, 0.312; 1-year mortality: AUC, 0.785 vs 0.778; NRI, 0.078) in the derivation cohort. These findings were confirmed in the validation cohort. In the pooled population of 9450 patients, modified GRACE risk score showed superior performance compared with the original GRACE risk score in terms of reclassification and discrimination for in-hospital mortality end point (AUC, 0.878 vs 0.780; NRI, 0.097), 30-day mortality end point (AUC, 0.858 vs 0.771; NRI, 0.08), and 1-year mortality end point (AUC, 0.813 vs 0.797; NRI, 0.056).

Conclusions and Relevance

In this study, using continuous rather than binary hs-cTn T at presentation, a proxy of the extent of myocardial injury, in the GRACE risk score improved the mortality risk prediction in patients with ACS.

Prognostic Significance of Activated Monocytes in Patients with ST-Elevation Myocardial Infarction

Circulating monocytes have different subsets, including classical (CD14++CD16-), intermediate (CD14++CD16+), and nonclassical (CD14+CD16++), which play different roles in cardiovascular physiology and disease progression. The predictive value of each subset for adverse clinical outcomes in patients with coronary artery disease is not fully understood. We sought to evaluate the prognostic efficacy of each monocyte subset in patients with ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). We recruited 100 patients with STEMI who underwent primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). Blood samples were collected at the time of presentation to the hospital (within 6 h from onset of symptoms, baseline (BL)) and then at 3, 6, 12, and 24 h after presentation. Monocytes were defined as CD45+/HLA-DR+ and then subdivided based on the expression of CD14, CD16, CCR2, CD11b, and CD42. The primary endpoint was a composite of all-cause death, hospitalization for heart failure, stent thrombosis, in-stent restenosis, and recurrent myocardial infarction. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards models, including baseline comorbidities, were performed. The mean age of our cohort was 58.9 years and 25% of our patients were females. Patients with high levels (above the median) of CD14+CD16++ monocytes showed an increased risk for the primary endpoint in comparison to patients with low levels; adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) for CD14+/CD16++ cells was 4.3 (95% confidence interval (95% CI) 1.2-14.8, p = 0.02), for CD14+/CD16++/CCR2+ cells was 3.82 (95% CI 1.06-13.7, p = 0.04), for CD14+/CD16++/CD42b+ cells was 3.37 (95% CI 1.07-10.6, p = 0.03), for CD14+/CD16++/CD11b+ was 5.17 (95% CI 1.4-18.0, p = 0.009), and for CD14+ HLA-DR+ was 7.5 (95% CI 2.0-28.5, p = 0.002). CD14++CD16-, CD14++CD16+, and their CD11b+, CCR2+, and CD42b+ aggregates were not significantly predictive for our composite endpoint. Our study shows that CD14+ CD16++ monocytes and their subsets expressing CCR2, CD42, and CD11b could be important predictors of clinical outcomes in patients with STEMI. Further studies with a larger sample size and different coronary artery disease phenotypes are needed to verify the findings.

Clinically Acquired High Sensitivity Cardiac Troponin T is a Poor Predictor of Reduced Left Ventricular Ejection Fraction After ST Elevation Myocardial Infarction: A National Cohort Study-ANZACS-QI 65

OBJECTIVE

Cardiac troponins (cTn) have been used historically to estimate infarct size in ST elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). Within a resource constrained health care environment, cTn could therefore be used for prioritisation of patients for cardiac imaging, in particular echocardiography. We aimed to determine how useful routinely collected cTn would be in predicting significant left ventricular (LV) impairment.

METHODS

All patients in the All New Zealand Acute Coronary Syndrome Quality Improvement (ANZACS-QI) registry with their first episode of STEMI between January 2013 and November 2018, who had high sensitivity troponin T measured, were included. We excluded patients with no left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) assessment, known LV dysfunction, or prior myocardial infarction.

RESULTS

In total, 3,698 patients were included in the analysis. A higher mean hsTnT (admission and peak) was seen in patients with more severely impaired LV function but there was significant overlap in the range of hsTnT between the different LVEF categories. Cardiac troponins demonstrated poor discriminative ability to either predict or exclude significant LV impairment (LVEF <40%). At an optimal cutpoint of 3,405 ng/L, peak hsTnT had a sensitivity of 56.5% (95% confidence interval [CI] 42-62%), a specificity of 65.3% (95% CI 62-79%) and an area under the receiver operating curve of 0.62 (95% CI 0.60-0.64).

CONCLUSION

This is the largest study comparing clinically measured troponin levels and LV function in patients presenting with STEMI. A definite, but weak, association was seen between peak troponin and the degree of LV dysfunction, with significant overlap in troponin levels between levels of myocardial dysfunction. Routinely acquired troponin is not suitable for clinical use as a method of prioritising patients for cardiac imaging.

Association of serum sclerostin and osteoprotegerin levels with the presence, severity and prognosis in patients with acute myocardial infarction

Background

Bone-related proteins (such as sclerostin and osteoprotegerin [OPG]) are involved in the development of atherosclerosis. However, the relationship between bone-related proteins and acute myocardial infarction (AMI) has not been extensively evaluated. The purpose of this study was to assess the association of serum sclerostin and OPG with the presence, severity and prognosis in patients with AMI.

Methods

This study prospectively enrolled 152 patients attacked by acute chest pain. Serum sclerostin and OPG were detected within the first 24 h after AMI diagnosis by ELISA kits. The AMI predictive efficacy of sclerostin and OPG were analyzed by receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve. Univariable and multivariable linear regression analyses were performed to determine the association between bone-related proteins and scores indicating the severity of coronary artery occlusion. Moreover, prognostic values were assessed by Kaplan–Meier curves and Cox regression analysis.

Results

There were 92 patients in AMI group, 60 in non-AMI group. Serum levels of sclerostin and OPG were significantly higher in AMI group than in non-AMI group (all p < 0.001), which showed predictive value for the presence of AMI (all p < 0.001). The area under the ROC curve values of sclerostin and OPG were 0.744 and 0.897, respectively. A multivariable linear regression analysis demonstrated that Ln-transformed sclerostin (β = 0.288, p = 0.009) and Ln-transformed OPG (Ln-OPG: β = 0.295, p = 0.019) levels were associated with GENISINI score, independently of conventional clinical parameters. In addition, Ln-OPG levels were still positively associated with GRACE score after adjustments (β = 0.320, p = 0.001). During a 1-year follow-up, patients above the median of sclerostin levels had higher incidence of major adverse cardiac events (MACE) than those below the median (p = 0.028). It was also observed that the MACE rates were higher in patients above the median of OPG levels, though no statistic importance (p = 0.060). After adjusting conventional risk factors by multivariate Cox regression, Ln-OPG was associated with incident MACE (hazard ratio = 2.188 [95% confidence intervals 1.102–4.344], p = 0.025).

Conclusions

Bone-related proteins could exert a potential role in early risk stratification and prognosis assessment in patients with AMI.