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Kvikstad V, Lillesand M, Gudlaugsson E, Mangrud OM, Rewcastle E, Skaland I, Baak JPA, Janssen EAM. Proliferation and immunohistochemistry for p53, CD25 and CK20 in predicting prognosis of non-muscle invasive papillary urothelial carcinomas. PLoS One 2024; 19:e0297141. [PMID: 38277354 PMCID: PMC10817121 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0297141] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/12/2023] [Accepted: 12/28/2023] [Indexed: 01/28/2024] Open
Abstract
Non-muscle invasive papillary urothelial carcinoma is a prevalent disease with a high recurrence tendency. Good prognostic and reproducible biomarkers for tumor recurrence and disease progression are lacking. Currently, WHO grade and tumor stage are essential in risk stratification and treatment decision-making. Here we present the prognostic value of proliferation markers (Ki67, mitotic activity index (MAI) and PPH3) together with p53, CD25 and CK20 immunohistochemistry (IHC). In this population-based retrospective study, 349 primary non-muscle invasive bladder cancers (NMIBC) were available. MAI and PPH3 were calculated manually according to highly standardized previously described methods, Ki-67 by the semi-automated QPRODIT quantification system, p53 and CD25 by the fully automated digital image analysis program Visipharm® and CK20 with the help of the semi-quantitative immunoreactive score (IRS). Survival analyses with log rank test, as well as univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed for all investigated variables. Age and multifocality were the only significant variables for tumor recurrence. All investigated variables, except gender, were significantly associated with stage progression. In multivariate analysis, MAI was the only prognostic variable for stage progression (p<0.001).
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Affiliation(s)
- Vebjørn Kvikstad
- Department of Pathology, Stavanger University Hospital, Stavanger, Norway
- Department of Chemistry, Bioscience and Environmental Engineering, University of Stavanger, Stavanger, Norway
| | - Melinda Lillesand
- Department of Pathology, Stavanger University Hospital, Stavanger, Norway
- Department of Chemistry, Bioscience and Environmental Engineering, University of Stavanger, Stavanger, Norway
| | - Einar Gudlaugsson
- Department of Pathology, Stavanger University Hospital, Stavanger, Norway
| | | | - Emma Rewcastle
- Department of Pathology, Stavanger University Hospital, Stavanger, Norway
- Department of Chemistry, Bioscience and Environmental Engineering, University of Stavanger, Stavanger, Norway
| | - Ivar Skaland
- Department of Pathology, Stavanger University Hospital, Stavanger, Norway
| | - Jan P. A. Baak
- Department of Pathology, Stavanger University Hospital, Stavanger, Norway
- Dr. Med. Jan Baak AS, Tananger, Norway
| | - Emiel A. M. Janssen
- Department of Pathology, Stavanger University Hospital, Stavanger, Norway
- Department of Chemistry, Bioscience and Environmental Engineering, University of Stavanger, Stavanger, Norway
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Lillesand M, Kvikstad V, Mangrud OM, Gudlaugsson E, van Diermen-Hidle B, Skaland I, Baak JPA, Janssen EAM. Mitotic activity index and CD25+ lymphocytes predict risk of stage progression in non-muscle invasive bladder cancer. PLoS One 2020; 15:e0233676. [PMID: 32484812 PMCID: PMC7266352 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0233676] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/20/2019] [Accepted: 05/10/2020] [Indexed: 11/19/2022] Open
Abstract
In urothelial cell type non-muscle invasive urinary bladder carcinoma, TNM stage and WHO grade are widely used to classify patients into low and high‑risk groups for prognostic and therapeutic decision-making. However, stage and grade reproducibility and prediction accuracy are wanting. This may lead to suboptimal treatment. We evaluated whether proliferation features, nuclear area of the epithelial cancer cells and the composition of stromal and tumor infiltrating lymphocytes have independent prognostic value. In 183 primary non-muscle invasive bladder cancer patients with long follow-up (median for stage progression cohort: 119 months, range 5-173; median for tumor recurrence cohort: 82, range 3-165) proliferation features Ki67, PPH3 and Mitotic Activity Index (MAI), Mean Nuclear Area (MNA), lymphocyte subsets (CD8+, CD4+, CD25+) and plasma cells (CD138+) were assessed on consecutive sections. Post-resection instillation treatments (none, mitomycin, BCG) were strictly standardized during the intake period. Risk of recurrence was associated with expression of Ki67 (≤ 39 vs. > 39) and Multifocality (p = 0.01). Patients with low Ki67 had a higher recurrence rate than those with high Ki67. Lymphocyte composition did not predict recurrence. Stage progression was strongly associated with high values for MAI (>15) and CD25+ (>0.2%). In a multivariate analysis the combination of MAI and CD25+ was the single most prognostic feature (p<0.001). Validation of these results in additional, independent studies is warranted.
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MESH Headings
- Adult
- Aged
- Aged, 80 and over
- Carcinoma, Transitional Cell/genetics
- Carcinoma, Transitional Cell/immunology
- Carcinoma, Transitional Cell/pathology
- Disease Progression
- Disease-Free Survival
- Female
- Follow-Up Studies
- Humans
- Interleukin-2 Receptor alpha Subunit/metabolism
- Kaplan-Meier Estimate
- Ki-67 Antigen/metabolism
- Lymphocytes, Tumor-Infiltrating/immunology
- Lymphocytes, Tumor-Infiltrating/metabolism
- Male
- Middle Aged
- Mitotic Index
- Neoplasm Recurrence, Local/diagnosis
- Neoplasm Recurrence, Local/epidemiology
- Neoplasm Recurrence, Local/genetics
- Neoplasm Recurrence, Local/immunology
- Neoplasm Staging
- Prognosis
- Reproducibility of Results
- Urinary Bladder/pathology
- Urinary Bladder Neoplasms/genetics
- Urinary Bladder Neoplasms/immunology
- Urinary Bladder Neoplasms/mortality
- Urinary Bladder Neoplasms/pathology
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Affiliation(s)
- Melinda Lillesand
- Department of Pathology, Stavanger University Hospital, Stavanger, Norway
- * E-mail:
| | - Vebjørn Kvikstad
- Department of Pathology, Stavanger University Hospital, Stavanger, Norway
- Department of Mathematics and Natural Science, University of Stavanger, Stavanger, Norway
| | | | - Einar Gudlaugsson
- Department of Pathology, Stavanger University Hospital, Stavanger, Norway
| | | | - Ivar Skaland
- Department of Pathology, Stavanger University Hospital, Stavanger, Norway
| | - Jan P. A. Baak
- Department of Pathology, Stavanger University Hospital, Stavanger, Norway
- Jan Baak AS, Tananger, Norway
| | - Emiel A. M. Janssen
- Department of Pathology, Stavanger University Hospital, Stavanger, Norway
- Department of Mathematics and Natural Science, University of Stavanger, Stavanger, Norway
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Bosschieter J, Hentschel AE, Savci-Heijink CD, van der Voorn JP, Rozendaal RL, Vis AN, Zwartkruis EC, Lissenberg-Witte BI, van Moorselaar RJA, Nieuwenhuijzen JA. Objectifying grade in Ta-T1 urothelial carcinomas of the bladder using proliferative and quantitative markers: A multicentre study in 310 bladder tumors. Urol Oncol 2019; 37:530.e1-530.e8. [DOI: 10.1016/j.urolonc.2019.03.002] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/15/2018] [Revised: 03/02/2019] [Accepted: 03/05/2019] [Indexed: 12/17/2022]
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Kwon JE, Cho NH, Choi YJ, Lim SD, Cho YM, Jun SY, Park S, Kim YA, Kim SS, Choe MS, Lee JD, Kang DY, Ro JY, Kim HJ. Level of mitoses in non-muscle invasive papillary urothelial carcinomas (pTa and pT1) at initial bladder biopsy is a simple and powerful predictor of clinical outcome: a multi-center study in South Korea. Diagn Pathol 2017; 12:54. [PMID: 28738880 PMCID: PMC5525253 DOI: 10.1186/s13000-017-0639-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/07/2016] [Accepted: 06/28/2017] [Indexed: 11/10/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Histologic grade is the most important predictor of the clinical outcome of non-muscle invasive (Ta, T1) papillary urothelial carcinoma (NMIPUCa), but its ambiguous criteria diminish its power to predict recurrence/progression for individual patients. We attempted to find an objective and reproducible histologic predictor of NMIPUCa that correlates well with the clinical outcome. METHODS A total of 296 PUCas were collected from the Departments of Surgical Pathology of 11 institutions in South Korea. The clinical outcome was grouped into no event (NE), recurrence (R), and progression (P) categories. All 25 histological parameters were numerically redefined. The clinical pathology of each case was reviewed individually by 11 pathologists from 11 institutions based on the 2004 WHO criteria and afterwards blindly evaluated by two participants, based on our proposed parameters. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed using the R software package. RESULTS The level of mitoses was the most reliable parameter for predicting the clinical outcome. We propose a four-tiered grading system based on mitotic count (> 10/10 high-power fields), nuclear pleomorphism (smallest-to-largest ratio of tumor nuclei >20), presence of divergent histology, and capillary proliferation (> 20 capillary lumina per papillary core). CONCLUSIONS The level of mitoses at the initial bladder biopsy and transurethral resection (TUR) specimen appeared to be an independent predictor of the Ta PUCa outcome. Other parameters include the number of mitoses, nuclear pleomorphism, divergent histology, and capillary proliferation within the fibrovascular core. These findings may improve selection of patients for a therapeutic strategy as compared to previous grading systems.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ji Eun Kwon
- Department of Pathology, Ajou University school of Medicine, Suwon, South Korea
| | - Nam Hoon Cho
- Department of Pathology, Yonsei Medical College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea
| | - Yeong-Jin Choi
- Department of Pathology, Seoul St Mary's Hospital, The Catholic University, Seoul, South Korea
| | - So Dug Lim
- Department of Pathology, Konkuk University Medical center, Konkuk University School of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea
| | - Yong Mee Cho
- Department of Pathology, Asan Medical Center, Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea
| | - Sun Young Jun
- Department of Pathology, Inchun St. Mary's Hospital, The Catholic University, Incheon, South Korea
| | - Sanghui Park
- Department of Pathology, College of Medicine, Ewha Womens University, Seoul, South Korea
| | - Young A Kim
- Department of Pathology, SMG-SNU Boramae Medical Center, Seoul, South Korea
| | - Sung-Sun Kim
- Departments of Pathology, Chonnam National University Medical school, Gwangju, South Korea
| | - Mi Sun Choe
- Department of Pathology, Keimyung University School of Medicine, Daegu, South Korea
| | - Jung-Dong Lee
- Office of Biostatistics, Ajou University, School of Medicine, Suwon, South Korea
| | - Dae Yong Kang
- Office of Biostatistics, Ajou University, School of Medicine, Suwon, South Korea
| | - Jae Y Ro
- Department of Pathology, Houston Methodist Hospital, Weill Medical College of Cornell University, New York, USA
| | - Hyun-Jung Kim
- Department of Pathology, Inje University Sanggye Paik Hospital, 1342, Dongilro, Nowon-gu, Seoul, South Korea.
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Sangwan M, Singh S, Kumar S, Chabbra S, Sen R, Rana P, Malik S, Singh S, Lamba R. Role of morphometry and proliferative parameters in grading of urothelial neoplasms. Cent European J Urol 2015; 68:37-44. [PMID: 25914836 PMCID: PMC4408385 DOI: 10.5173/ceju.2015.01.447] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/04/2014] [Revised: 09/11/2014] [Accepted: 12/13/2014] [Indexed: 12/31/2022] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Mean nuclear area of 10 nuclei (MNA-10), mitotic activity index (MAI) and Ki-67 are highly reproducible and can be routinely used as adjuncts to histopathological grading in classifying tumors. Assays of these biomarkers are non-invasive, rapid, easy to perform, more objective and accurate, with high sensitivity and specificity, and correlate well with tumor grade. MATERIAL AND METHODS This study was conducted at the Department of Pathology PGIMS, Rohtak on 50 cases, of which 25 cases were high-grade, 15 low-grade, 6 Papillary Urothelial Neoplasm of Low Malignant Potentialand 4 reactive lesions as per the 2004 ISUP/WHO classification. MNA-10, MAI and Ki-67 immunoquantitation were performed on stained sections. RESULTS The age of the patients varied from 35 to 87 years. Male: female ratio was 3.5:1. The mean MNA-10 (μm(2)) for High Grade Malignant Potential was 104.52 ±25.64 μm(2), which was significantly higher than in PUNLMP (47.64 ±10.23) and LMP (51.57 ±15.66). MAI (/10 HPF) showed an increasing trend from reactive lesions to HMP, with a mean of (3 ±1.16)/10 HPF to (21.36 ±5.31)/10 HPF respectively. Ki-67 labelling index, a proliferative marker, revealed increasing trend lowest with reactive lesions (10 ±2.83%) and highest in high grade tumors (65.96 ±14.44). Spearman's correlation showed maximum correlation between MAI and Ki-67 and the increasing grade of tumor. CONCLUSIONS MNA-10 in combination with Ki-67 and MAI was found to be stronger than MNA-10 alone. MAI has high reproducibility in differentiating low and high grade, with simple assessment in paraffin embedded sections allowing adequate histopathological analysis and visualization of proliferating cells simultaneously. This multivariate grading model should be applied in routine grading to overcome interobserver variability and to increase reproducibility of grading.
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Affiliation(s)
- Monika Sangwan
- Pt.B.D. Sharma Institute of Medical Sciences, Rohtak, Haryana, India
| | - Sunita Singh
- Pt.B.D. Sharma Institute of Medical Sciences, Rohtak, Haryana, India
| | - Santosh Kumar
- Pt.B.D. Sharma Institute of Medical Sciences, Rohtak, Haryana, India
| | - Sonia Chabbra
- Pt.B.D. Sharma Institute of Medical Sciences, Rohtak, Haryana, India
| | - Rajeev Sen
- Pt.B.D. Sharma Institute of Medical Sciences, Rohtak, Haryana, India
| | - Praveen Rana
- Govt. Medical College for Women, Khanpur Kalan, Sonipat, Haryana, India
| | - Shivani Malik
- Pt.B.D. Sharma Institute of Medical Sciences, Rohtak, Haryana, India
| | - Sonia Singh
- Pt.B.D. Sharma Institute of Medical Sciences, Rohtak, Haryana, India
| | - Ramesh Lamba
- Community Health Centre, Kiloi, Rohtak, Haryana, India
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Mangrud OM, Gudlaugsson E, Skaland I, Tasdemir I, Dalen I, van Diermen B, Baak JP, Janssen EA. Prognostic comparison of proliferation markers and World Health Organization 1973/2004 grades in urothelial carcinomas of the urinary bladder. Hum Pathol 2014; 45:1496-503. [DOI: 10.1016/j.humpath.2014.03.001] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/16/2013] [Revised: 02/25/2014] [Accepted: 03/09/2014] [Indexed: 01/19/2023]
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Søiland H, Kørner H, Skaland I, Janssen EAM, Gudlaugsson E, Varhaug JE, Baak JPA, Søreide JA. Prognostic relevance of androgen receptor detection in operable breast cancer. J Surg Oncol 2009; 98:551-8. [PMID: 18937259 DOI: 10.1002/jso.21156] [Citation(s) in RCA: 19] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/06/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES Androgen receptor (AR) is relevant for prognostication in breast cancer. Different determination methods and cut-off levels hamper interpretation and comparisons of studies. Long-term prognostic evaluation of different AR assays in patients comprising operable breast cancers is scarce. METHODS AR was evaluated in 120 primary tumors using the dextran-coated charcoal method (charc-AR), and quantitative immunohistochemistry (IHC) on whole sections (WS) and tissue microarrays (TMA). Nuclear and cytoplasmic-AR localization was determined, and the prognostic importance of AR assays was assessed. Comparisons and correlations with the mitotic activity index (MAI), estrogen receptor (ERalpha), progesterone receptor (PR), HER-2, and histological grade (WHO I-III) were made. RESULTS Nuclear-AR in WS, but not charc-AR, strongly correlated with MAI (P = 0.001). However, prognostic information appeared in univariate survival analyses only. Nuclear-AR in TMA was not prognostic. Charc-AR was independent prognostic in node positives both for relapse free survival (RFS) and breast cancer specific survival (BCSS). Both charc-AR and IHC cytoplasmic-AR provided independent prognostic survival information for BCSS in women <55 years. CONCLUSION Methods that can detect AR localized in the cytoplasm yield important prognostic information, and further studies in patients with operable breast cancer are warranted.
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Affiliation(s)
- Håvard Søiland
- Department of Surgery, Stavanger University Hospital, Stavanger, Norway
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Lopez-Beltran A, Requena MJ, Luque RJ, Alvarez-Kindelan J, Quintero A, Blanca AM, Rodriguez ME, Siendones E, Montironi R. Cyclin D3 expression in primary Ta/T1 bladder cancer. J Pathol 2006; 209:106-13. [PMID: 16482499 DOI: 10.1002/path.1952] [Citation(s) in RCA: 32] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/09/2022]
Abstract
Cyclin D3 deregulation has recently been reported in bladder cancer but its prognostic significance remains uncertain. A cohort of 159 patients with stage Ta or T1 primary bladder tumours was investigated to determine the significance of cyclin D3 expression in association with other G1-S phase regulators of the cell cycle (p53, p21Waf1, p27kip1, cyclin D1), including tumour proliferation (ki67-MIB1); its association with conventional clinicopathological parameters; and the relationship between cyclin D3 and loss of heterozygosity (LOH) at the 9p21 (p16INK4a locus) chromosome region. The end point of the study was progression-free survival. Cyclin D3, other G1-S phase regulators, and tumour proliferation were investigated by immunohistochemistry and measured by the grid-counting method. To validate the immunohistochemical expression, cyclin D3 was additionally assessed by western blotting in selected cases. LOH at the 9p21 chromosome region (marker D9S171) was assessed in 125 cases using an AB Prism 310 genetic analyser and a set of microsatellite fluorescence-labelled primers. Cyclin D3 overexpression was related to larger tumour size (>5 cm; p < 0.0001) and high tumour proliferation (>10%; p = 0.025). Mean cyclin D3 expression increased with 2004 WHO grading categories in stage Ta (p = 0.035, ANOVA) and stage T1 (p = 0.047, t test) tumours. Cyclin D3 was not related to other clinicopathological parameters, G1-S phase modulators, or 9p21 LOH. Cox's multivariate analysis selected cyclin D3 as an independent predictor of progression-free survival (p = 0.0012, relative risk (RR) = 5.2366) together with tumour size (p = 0.0115, RR = 4.4442) and cyclin D1 (p = 0.0065, RR = 3.3023). Cyclin D3 expression had the highest risk ratio. Our results suggest that expression of cyclin D3 is relevant to the progression-free survival of patients with Ta/T1 bladder carcinomas.
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Affiliation(s)
- A Lopez-Beltran
- Department of Pathology, Reina Sofia University Hospital and Cordoba University Medical School, Spain
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Lopez-Beltran A, Luque RJ, Alvarez-Kindelan J, Quintero A, Merlo F, Requena MJ, Montironi R. Prognostic factors in survival of patients with stage Ta and T1 bladder urothelial tumors: the role of G1-S modulators (p53, p21Waf1, p27Kip1, cyclin D1, and cyclin D3), proliferation index, and clinicopathologic parameters. Am J Clin Pathol 2004; 122:444-52. [PMID: 15362377 DOI: 10.1309/ltfu-3uum-by09-5hum] [Citation(s) in RCA: 25] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/26/2022] Open
Abstract
We studied 159 cases of superficial (stage Ta or T1) bladder tumors to determine the significance on survival of a subset of regulators of transition from G1 to S phase of the cell cycle (p53, p21Waf1, p27Kip1, cyclin D1, cyclin D3) and tumor proliferation (Ki-67 [MIB-1]). Clinical findings (patient age, sex, tumor size, grade, stage [Ta or T1]) were included in the analysis. Univariate analysis revealed association of tumor size (P = .0353), grade in stage Ta tumors (P = .0074), cyclin D1 expression (P = .0182), and Ki-67 index (P = .0033) with disease-free survival and of tumor size (P = .0005), stage (P = .0494), cyclin D3 expression (P = .0105), and Ki-67 index (P = .0272) with overall survival. Cox multivariate analysis revealed cyclin D1 expression and high proliferation index (disease-free) and tumor size, cyclin D3 expression, and high proliferation index (overall survival) as independent predictors. Results suggest that alterations of the progression from the G1 to S phase of the cell cycle are common in papillary urothelial bladder tumors. High tumor proliferation, expression of cyclins D1 and D3, and tumor size at diagnosis might be relevant predictors of survival in patients with stage Ta and T1 bladder urothelial tumors.
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Bol MGW, Baak JPA, van Diermen B, Buhr-Wildhagen S, Janssen EAM, Kjellevold KH, Kruse AJ, Mestad O, Øgreid P. Proliferation markers and DNA content analysis in urinary bladder TaT1 urothelial cell carcinomas: identification of subgroups with low and high stage progression risks. J Clin Pathol 2003; 56:447-52. [PMID: 12783972 PMCID: PMC1769973 DOI: 10.1136/jcp.56.6.447] [Citation(s) in RCA: 18] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 11/18/2002] [Indexed: 11/04/2022]
Abstract
AIMS To evaluate whether in situ biomarkers Ki67, mitotic activity index (MAI), p53, mean area of the 10 largest nuclei (MNA10), and whole genome DNA ploidy by flow and image cytometry (FCM and ICM, respectively) have independent prognostic value in urinary bladder urothelial cell carcinomas (UCs). METHODS Ki67 and p53 immunoquantitation was performed in TaT1 consensus diagnosis UCs. MAI and MNA10 were also determined. Single cell suspensions were stained (DAPI for FCM; Feulgen for ICM). There was enough material for all measurements in 171 cases. Kaplan-Meier curves and multivariate survival analysis (Cox) were used to assess the prognostic value of all features (including classic clinicopathological risk factors, such as stage, grade, multicentricity, carcinoma in situ). RESULTS Thirteen (7.6%) patients progressed. Of the classic factors, grade was strongly prognostic in univariate analysis, as were all the biomarkers. In multivariate analysis, the strongest independent combinations for progression were MNA10 (threshold (T) = 170.0 micro m(2)) plus MAI (T = 30), or MNA10 (T = 170.0 micro m(2)) plus Ki67(T = 25.0%). p53 (T = 35.2%) plus Ki67 (T = 25.0%) also predicted progression well, with high hazard ratios, but p53 measurements were not as reproducible as the other features. The prognostic value of the quantitative biomarkers exceeded that of the classic risk factors and DNA ploidy. The sensitivity, specificity, positive, and negative predictive values of MNA10/MAI or MNA10/Ki67 at the thresholds mentioned were 100%, 79%, 57%, and 100%, respectively. These feature combinations were also strongest prognostically in the high risk treatment subgroup. CONCLUSIONS The combined biomarkers MNA10/Ki67 or MNA10/MAI are more accurate and reproducible predictors of stage progression in TaT1 UCs than classic prognostic risk factors and DNA ploidy.
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Affiliation(s)
- M G W Bol
- Department of Pathology, SIR Hospital, 4068 Stavanger, Norway
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Bol MGW, Baak JPA, Rep S, Marx WL, Kruse AJ, Bos SD, Kisman O, Voorhorst FJ. Prognostic value of proliferative activity and nuclear morphometry for progression in TaT1 urothelial cell carcinomas of the urinary bladder. Urology 2002; 60:1124-30. [PMID: 12475695 DOI: 10.1016/s0090-4295(02)01906-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 19] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/27/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES To analyze the predictive power of Ki67 area% (Ki67), mitotic activity index (MAI), p53 area% (p53), and the mean area of the 10 largest nuclei (MNA10) for progression of stage in 195 primary consecutive TaT1 urothelial cell carcinomas of the urinary bladder. METHODS Ki67- and p53-positive versus negative nuclei, MAI, and MNA10 using motorized systematic random sampling morphometry were determined. Kaplan-Meier curves and multivariate survival analysis (Cox model) were used to assess the prognostic value of the quantitative and classic clinicopathologic risk factors (age, sex, stage, grade, carcinoma in situ, multicentricity). RESULTS Thirteen (6.7%) of the 195 patients had progression (0 [0%] of 36 low-risk, 1 [1.1%] of 85 intermediate-risk, and 12 [16.2%] of 74 high-risk patients). In univariate analysis (all variables), the strongest predictors with the highest hazard ratios were Ki67 (threshold 25.0%), MAI (threshold 30), and MNA10 (threshold 170 microm2). In multivariate analysis, the strongest independent combinations for progression--MNA10 (170 microm2) plus MAI (threshold 30) and MNA10 (threshold 170 microm2) plus Ki67 (threshold 25.0%)--overshadowed all other features. p53 was weaker but, combined with Ki67, still predicted progression fairly well. In the total group, the sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values of MNA10-MAI and MNA10-Ki67 at the thresholds mentioned were 100%, 89%, 38%, and 100%, respectively. These feature combinations were also strongest prognostically in the high-risk treatment group. CONCLUSIONS The combined biomarkers MNA10-MAI or MNA10-Ki67 are accurate, well reproducible, and easy to assess progression predictors in all patients with TaT1 urothelial cell carcinomas, as well as in high-risk (bacille Calmette-Guérin-treated) patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Marco G W Bol
- Department of Pathology, SIR Hospital, Stavanger, Norway
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