Time trend and age-period-cohort effects on gastric cancer incidence in Zaragoza and Navarre, Spain

Divergent trends in gastric cancer incidence by sex and age in Spain (1990-2019)

OBJECTIVE

To investigate trends in gastric cancer (GC) incidence in Spain from 1990 to 2019, analysing variations by sex and age.

METHOD

GC incidence data from the Global Burden of Disease database and population data from the Spanish National Institute of Statistics were used to calculate age-specific and age-standardized incidence rates (ASIR) with the European population as the reference. Temporal trends by sex and age groups were analyzed using joinpoint regression.

RESULTS

While the total number of cases rose slightly, ASIR showed a consistent annual decrease of 1.8% for both men and women. Both sexes experienced this increase in total cases (women: 4,023 to 4,359; men: 6,243 to 6,591). Men consistently had a higher GC burden compared to women (approximately 2.2:1 ratio). Younger adults (<35 years) of both sexes saw significant decreases in ASIR. However, the joinpoint analysis revealed a recent increase in young men (25-34 years) during the period 2014-2019. Adults aged 35-64 showed a decrease in ASIR for both sexes, with a slightly steeper decline in men. Adults over 65 had a similar decrease in ASIR for both sexes, but the joinpoint analysis suggests different patterns within this age group.

CONCLUSION

Our study reveals a decline in overall age-adjusted GC incidence in Spain. However, the recent rise observed in young men warrants further investigation to understand potential risk factors in this specific population group.

Stagnation in Decreasing Gastric Cancer Incidence and Mortality in Quito: Time Trend Analysis, 1985-2013

Background

Despite the significant global decline in mortality and incidence, gastric cancer (GC) remains a very common cause of illness and death in the Latin American region. This article seeks to describe, in depth, the time trend of incidence and mortality of GC in the city of Quito, from 1985 to 2013.

Methods

Using data from the Quito Cancer Registry, annual sex-specific age-standardized incidence and mortality rates were calculated. The analysis included all types of GC together, as well as by histological subtype. Joinpoint regression analysis was performed to estimate the annual percentage change (EAPC). To evaluate cohort and period effects, Age-Period-Cohort (APC) modeling was performed.

Results

Over time, incidence rate decreased from 30.4 to 18.8 cases in men and from 20.1 to 12.9 cases in women. The mortality rate decreased from 17.5 to 14.4 deaths in men and from 14.2 to 10.9 deaths in women. The incidence trend was composed of a first period (1986-1999) of strong decline (EAPC Men= -2.6, 95% Confidence Interval [CI]: -4.2, -0.9; EAPC Women= -3.2, 95% CI: -4.6, -1.9), followed by a less important decrease in men (EAPC= -0.8, 95% CI:-2.5, 0.9) and a slight increase in women (EAPC= 0.7, 95% CI: -1.4; 2.8). Mortality rates were constantly decreasing in both men (EAPC= -0.5, 95% CI: -0.9, -0.1) and women (EAPC= -0.9, 95% CI: -1.7, -0.1) throughout the period of analysis.

Conclusions

The declines in incidence and mortality rates are stagnating. It is important to take measures to further reduce the high burden of GC.

Age and sex interactions in gastric cancer incidence and mortality trends in Korea

BACKGROUND

The incidence and mortality of gastric cancer have declined rapidly over the past few decades, but reverse trends in the young generation's differential between sexes in some races have been reported in recent years. To investigate whether this divergent trend can be observed in Korea, a country with the highest incidence in the world, age- and sex-specific incidence and mortality trends were evaluated.

METHODS

Gastric cancer incidence data for the years 1999-2010 and mortality data for the years 1983-2012 were obtained from the Korea Central Cancer Registry and National Statistical Office. Annual percentage changes were calculated by age group (20-39, 40-54, 55-69, 70-79) using Joinpoint regression analysis. Furthermore, age-period-cohort analysis was evaluated.

RESULTS

Overall age-standardized gastric cancer incidence in adults aged between 20 and 79 was declining at a nonsignificant average annual percentage change (AAPC) of -0.2 % in males and -0.4 % in females in Korea during 1999-2010. Mortality was steeper at a significant rate of -4.3 and -5.9 % in males and females, respectively. However, age-specific analysis revealed a flat (males 0.2 %, 95 % CI -0.5-0.6) or increasing incidence trend (females 1.7 %, 95 % CI 0.9-2.5) in the 40-54 age group. APC analysis confirmed the decreasing incidence and mortality trend mainly by the cohort effect.

CONCLUSIONS

The differential pattern between males and females in different age groups suggests a possible effect of detection by screening practice or a signal of the change in epidemiological factors in the incidence and mortality of gastric cancer that warrants further studies.

Gastric cancer review

Gastric cancer is an aggressive disease that continues to have a daunting impact on global health. Despite an overall decline in incidence over the last several decades, gastric cancer remains the fourth most common type of cancer and is the second leading cause of cancer-related death worldwide. This review aims to discuss the global distribution of the disease and the trend of decreasing incidence of disease, delineate the different pathologic subtypes and their immunohistochemical (IHC) staining patterns and molecular signatures and mutations, explore the role of the pathogen H. pylori in tumorgenesis, discuss the increasing incidence of the disease in the young, western populations and define the role of biologic agents in the treatment of the disease.

Evolutionary History of the Helicobacter pylori Genome: Implications for Gastric Carcinogenesis

The genome of the bacterium Helicobacter pylori has evolved over the millennia since its migration out of Africa along with its human host approximately 60,000 years ago. Human migrations, after thousands of years of permanent settlement in those lands, resulted in seven prototypes of genetic populations of H. pylori with distinct geographical distributions. In all continents, present day isolates of H. pylori have molecular markers that reflect population migrations. The colonization of the Americas as well as the slave trade introduced European and African strains to the New World. The relationship between H. pylori genome and gastric cancer rates is linked to the presence of the cagA gene, but the knowledge on this subject is incomplete because other genes may be involved in certain populations. A new situation for Homo sapiens is the absence of H. pylori colonization in certain, mostly affluent, populations, apparently brought about by improved home sanitation and widespread use of antibiotics during the last decades. The disappearance of H. pylori from the human microbiota may be linked to emerging epidemics of esophageal adenocarcinoma, some allergic diseases such as asthma and some autoimmune disorders.

Trends of stomach cancer mortality in Eastern Asia in 1950-2004: comparative study of Japan, Hong Kong and Singapore using age, period and cohort analysis

To characterize the temporal trends of stomach cancer mortality in Eastern Asia and to better interpret the causes of the trends, we performed age, period and cohort analysis (APC analysis) on the mortality rates in Japan, Hong Kong and Singapore during 1950-2004, as well as the rates in the US as a control population. For the APC analysis, Holford's approach was used to avoid the identification problem. Age-standardized mortality rates (ASMR) decreased consistently in all four areas during the observation period in both males and females. Japan had the highest ASMR in both sexes, followed by Singapore, Hong Kong and the US, but the differences in ASMR among the four areas diminished with time. The results of APC analysis suggested that the decreasing mortality rates in Eastern Asia were caused by the combination of decreasing cohort effect since the end of the 1800s and decreasing period effect from the 1950s. The US showed similar results, but its decreases in the period and cohort effect preceded those of Eastern Asia. Possible causes for the decrease in the cohort effect include improvement in the socioeconomic conditions during childhood and a decrease in the prevalence of H. pylori infection, while possible causes for the decrease in the period effect include a decrease in dietary salt intake and improvements in cancer detection and treatment. These findings may help us to predict future changes in the mortality rates of stomach cancer.

Características clinicopatológicas de la dispepsia no investigada en España

INTRODUCTION

Most patients with uninvestigated dyspepsia are diagnosed with functional dyspepsia. Various types of Helicobacter pylori gastritis have been described, each of which is associated with a distinct natural history of the infection (i.e. a different risk of ulcer or gastric cancer).

OBJECTIVE

To determine the clinical and pathological characteristics of patients with uninvestigated dyspepsia in our area and the prevalence of the distinct types of H. pylori gastritis among patients with functional dyspepsia.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Ninety-eight patients (47 men and 51 women, mean age 35.8+/-13 years) with uninvestigated dyspepsia were included in this study. All the patients completed the Dyspepsia-Related Health Scale and all patients underwent gastroscopy with biopsy and the C13-urea breath test.

RESULTS

Fourteen patients had organic causes of dyspepsia and 78 had functional dyspepsia. Fifty-one patients with functional dyspepsia (65%) had H. pylori infection; of these, 27 had pangastritis, 21 had antrum-predominant gastritis, 2 had multifocal atrophic gastritis and 1 had normal gastric mucosa. Among uninfected patients, 2 had multifocal atrophic gastritis.

CONCLUSIONS

The prevalence of functional dyspepsia in this series was 85%. Twenty-seven percent of patients with functional dyspepsia had a combination of H. pylori infection and antrum-predominant gastritis, the type of gastritis predisposing to duodenal ulcer. Only 5% of the patients had multifocal atrophic gastritis, which is associated with a high risk of gastric cancer.

[Mortality of gastric cancer in Catalonia, Spain: geographical distribution and time trends from 1986 to 2000]

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

The aims of this study are to describe the time trends and the changes in the spatial distribution of stomach cancer mortality by gender, in Catalonia, Spain, in the period 1986-2000.

MATERIAL AND METHOD

The mortality data comes from the Mortality Register for Catalonia at the Health Department and the population data from the Institute of Statistics for Catalonia. To analyze time trends, a Poisson regression model was adjusted for each gender. To analyze the geographical distribution, a Bayesian hierarchical model was used.

RESULTS

During the period 1986-2000 the number of deaths from stomach cancer was 8,627 for males and 5,831 for females. During this period the estimated decrease in mortality was 3.13% for males and 3.91% for females. The spatial analysis showed the lowest mortality risk areas along the coast while the mortality risk increased toward the zones in the interior. This geographical pattern is very similar for both sexes but in the lasts years of the period it has been fading.

CONCLUSIONS

The time trends and the geographical pattern of stomach cancer mortality in Catalonia is similar for both sexes and it is consistent with the trends observed in other developed countries. This suggests a relationship with improved food habits and a better accessibility to health care in the areas of higher risk.

Trends in gastric cancer incidence in a well-defined French population by time period and birth cohort

Epidemiological studies have shown a marked decline in gastric cancer incidence and opposite patterns between proximal and distal sites among different populations. Little is known about trends by histological type. The aim of this study was to analyse the change in gastric cancer incidence patterns by investigating the role of temporal components as determinants of such trends in the population of the Côte d'Or area (France) registered between 1976 and 1995. Gastric cancer incidence decreased over time. There was a decrease in incidence rates for distal cancers (-3.5% P < 0.001 per year in men and -4.6% P < 0.01 in women). In contrast, there was a non-significant increase of proximal cancer incidence in men and in women. Rates of adenocarcinomas decreased, whereas the incidence rates of undifferentiated carcinomas and of other histological types remained quite stable. There was a decrease in cumulative risk throughout the studied cohorts, whereas risk for proximal cancer remained stable and decreased slightly for distal localization. For adenocarcinomas, earlier birth cohorts showed a slight decrease in rates, whereas there was an increase for recent cohorts. Subsite and histological-specific analysis, in revealing different time trends in incidence, suggest, at least partly, different aetiologies for gastric cancer, and future aetiological studies must distinguish proximal and distal cancers.

[Time trends in cancer incidence in Navarra and Zaragoza, spain]

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

The knowledge of time-related changes occurring in cancer incidence and mortality is an essential element for cancer control. This paper aims to describe the time trends of the more important cancer sites in Navarra and Zaragoza.

METHODS

The influence of age, diagnosis period and birth cohort on the observed time trend cancer incidence in Navarre and Zaragoza was assessed using a log-linear model. Results are showed graphically, for the different tumour sites by sex and each registry.

RESULTS

Among males, a considerable rise in the incidence of lung cancer (5% per year), prostate cancer (> 2% per year) and non-Hodgkin's lymphomas was found. Among females, the highest increases corresponded to non-Hodgkin's lymphomas, with a yearly rise greater than 7%, and ovarian cancer (4% per year). Breast cancer in women increased in both registries (3.5% per year in Navarre and 0.9% per year in Zaragoza), part of the increment in Navarra being explained by a higher case detection rate. Finally, the incidence of colorectal, bladder and kidney cancer rose more than a 3% per year in both registries and sexes. For most types of tumours, cancer risk increased with subsequent generations.

CONCLUSION

The substantial cancer increment observed points out the inefficacy of primary prevention policies, the importance of studying cancer incidence for long time periods and the need to increase the population coverage of Spanish cancer registries.