Global cancer statistics 2022: GLOBOCAN estimates of incidence and mortality worldwide for 36 cancers in 185 countries

This article presents global cancer statistics by world region for the year 2022 based on updated estimates from the International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC). There were close to 20 million new cases of cancer in the year 2022 (including nonmelanoma skin cancers [NMSCs]) alongside 9.7 million deaths from cancer (including NMSC). The estimates suggest that approximately one in five men or women develop cancer in a lifetime, whereas around one in nine men and one in 12 women die from it. Lung cancer was the most frequently diagnosed cancer in 2022, responsible for almost 2.5 million new cases, or one in eight cancers worldwide (12.4% of all cancers globally), followed by cancers of the female breast (11.6%), colorectum (9.6%), prostate (7.3%), and stomach (4.9%). Lung cancer was also the leading cause of cancer death, with an estimated 1.8 million deaths (18.7%), followed by colorectal (9.3%), liver (7.8%), female breast (6.9%), and stomach (6.8%) cancers. Breast cancer and lung cancer were the most frequent cancers in women and men, respectively (both cases and deaths). Incidence rates (including NMSC) varied from four-fold to five-fold across world regions, from over 500 in Australia/New Zealand (507.9 per 100,000) to under 100 in Western Africa (97.1 per 100,000) among men, and from over 400 in Australia/New Zealand (410.5 per 100,000) to close to 100 in South-Central Asia (103.3 per 100,000) among women. The authors examine the geographic variability across 20 world regions for the 10 leading cancer types, discussing recent trends, the underlying determinants, and the prospects for global cancer prevention and control. With demographics-based predictions indicating that the number of new cases of cancer will reach 35 million by 2050, investments in prevention, including the targeting of key risk factors for cancer (including smoking, overweight and obesity, and infection), could avert millions of future cancer diagnoses and save many lives worldwide, bringing huge economic as well as societal dividends to countries over the forthcoming decades.

Changes in cancer incidence rates by stage during the COVID-19 pandemic in the US

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic led to health care disruptions and declines in cancer diagnoses in the United States. However, the impact of the pandemic on cancer incidence rates by stage at diagnosis and race and ethnicity is unknown. This cross-sectional study calculated delay- and age-adjusted incidence rates, stratified by stage at diagnosis and race and ethnicity, and rate ratios (RRs) comparing changes in year-over-year incidence rates (eg, 2020 vs 2019) from 2016 to 2020 for 22 cancer types based on data obtained from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results 22-registry database. From 2019 to 2020, the incidence of local-stage disease statistically significantly declined for 19 of the 22 cancer types, ranging from 4% (RR = 0.96; 95%CI, 0.93-0.98) for urinary bladder cancer to 18% for colorectal (RR = 0.82; 95%CI, 0.81-0.84) and laryngeal (RR = 0.82; 95%CI, 0.78-0.88) cancers, deviating from pre-COVID stable year-over-year changes. Incidence during the corresponding period also declined for 16 cancer types for regional-stage and six cancer types for distant-stage disease. By race and ethnicity, the decline in local-stage incidence for screening-detectable cancers was generally greater in historically marginalized populations. The decline in cancer incidence rates during the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic occurred mainly for local- and regional-stage diseases across racial and ethnic groups. Whether these declines will lead to increases in advanced-stage disease and mortality rates remain to be investigated with additional data years. Nevertheless, the findings reinforce the importance of strengthening the return to preventive care campaigns and outreach for detecting cancers at early and more treatable stages.

Mediators of Black-White inequities in cardiovascular mortality among survivors of 18 cancers in the USA

BACKGROUND

This study aims to quantify Black-White inequities in cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality among US survivors of 18 adult-onset cancers and the extent to which these inequities are explained by differences in socio-economic and clinical factors.

METHODS

Survivors of cancers diagnosed at ages 20-64 years during 2007-16 were identified from 17 Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results registries. Associations between race and CVD mortality were examined using proportional hazards models. Mediation analyses were performed to quantify the contributions of potential mediators, including socio-economic [health insurance, neighbourhood socio-economic status (nSES), rurality] and clinical (stage, surgery, chemotherapy, radiotherapy) factors.

RESULTS

Among 904 995 survivors, 10 701 CVD deaths occurred (median follow-up, 43 months). Black survivors were more likely than White survivors to die from CVD for all 18 cancers with hazard ratios ranging from 1.30 (95% CI = 1.15-1.47) for lung cancer to 4.04 for brain cancer (95% CI = 2.79-5.83). The total percentage mediations (indirect effects) ranged from 24.8% for brain (95% CI=-5.2-59.6%) to 99.8% for lung (95% CI = 61.0-167%) cancers. Neighbourhood SES was identified as the strongest mediator for 14 cancers with percentage mediations varying from 25.0% for kidney cancer (95% CI = 14.1-36.3%) to 63.5% for lung cancer (95% CI = 36.5-108.7%). Insurance ranked second for 12 cancers with percentage mediations ranging from 12.3% for leukaemia (95% CI = 0.7-46.7%) to 31.3% for thyroid cancer (95% CI = 10.4-82.7%).

CONCLUSIONS

Insurance and nSES explained substantial proportions of the excess CVD mortality among Black survivors. Mitigating the effects of unequal access to care and differing opportunities for healthy living among neighbourhoods could substantially reduce racial inequities in CVD mortality among cancer survivors.

Survival difference between secondary and de novo acute myeloid leukemia by age, antecedent cancer types, and chemotherapy receipt

BACKGROUND

This study compared the survival of persons with secondary acute myeloid leukemia (sAML) to those with de novo AML (dnAML) by age at AML diagnosis, chemotherapy receipt, and cancer type preceding sAML diagnosis.

METHODS

Data from Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results 17 Registries were used, which included 47,704 individuals diagnosed with AML between 2001 and 2018. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression was used to compare AML-specific survival between sAML and dnAML. Trends in 5-year age-standardized relative survival were examined via the Joinpoint survival model.

RESULTS

Overall, individuals with sAML had an 8% higher risk of dying from AML (hazard ratio [HR], 1.08; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.05-1.11) compared to those with dnAML. Disparities widened with younger age at diagnosis, particularly in those who received chemotherapy for AML (HR, 1.14; 95% CI, 1.10-1.19). In persons aged 20-64 years and who received chemotherapy, HRs were greatest for those with antecedent myelodysplastic syndrome (HR, 2.04; 95% CI, 1.83-2.28), ovarian cancer (HR, 1.91; 95% CI, 1.19-3.08), head and neck cancer (HR, 1.55; 95% CI, 1.02-2.36), leukemia (HR, 1.45; 95% CI, 1.12-1.89), and non-Hodgkin lymphoma (HR, 1.42; 95% CI, 1.20-1.69). Among those aged ≥65 years and who received chemotherapy, HRs were highest for those with antecedent cervical cancer (HR, 2.42; 95% CI, 1.15-5.10) and myelodysplastic syndrome (HR, 1.28; 95% CI, 1.19-1.38). The 5-year relative survival improved 0.3% per year for sAML slower than 0.86% per year for dnAML. Consequently, the survival gap widened from 7.2% (95% CI, 5.4%-9.0%) during the period 2001-2003 to 14.3% (95% CI, 12.8%-15.8%) during the period 2012-2014.

CONCLUSIONS

Significant survival disparities exist between sAML and dnAML on the basis of age at diagnosis, chemotherapy receipt, and antecedent cancer, which highlights opportunities to improve outcomes among those diagnosed with sAML.

Annual Report to the Nation on the Status of Cancer, part 2: Early assessment of the COVID-19 pandemic's impact on cancer diagnosis

BACKGROUND

With access to cancer care services limited because of coronavirus disease 2019 control measures, cancer diagnosis and treatment have been delayed. The authors explored changes in the counts of US incident cases by cancer type, age, sex, race, and disease stage in 2020.

METHODS

Data were extracted from selected US population-based cancer registries for diagnosis years 2015-2020 using first-submission data from the North American Association of Central Cancer Registries. After a quality assessment, the monthly numbers of newly diagnosed cancer cases were extracted for six cancer types: colorectal, female breast, lung, pancreas, prostate, and thyroid. The observed numbers of incident cancer cases in 2020 were compared with the estimated numbers by calculating observed-to-expected (O/E) ratios. The expected numbers of incident cases were extrapolated using Joinpoint trend models.

RESULTS

The authors report an O/E ratio <1.0 for major screening-eligible cancer sites, indicating fewer newly diagnosed cases than expected in 2020. The O/E ratios were lowest in April 2020. For every cancer site except pancreas, Asians/Pacific Islanders had the lowest O/E ratio of any race group. O/E ratios were lower for cases diagnosed at localized stages than for cases diagnosed at advanced stages.

CONCLUSIONS

The current analysis provides strong evidence for declines in cancer diagnoses, relative to the expected numbers, between March and May of 2020. The declines correlate with reductions in pathology reports and are greater for cases diagnosed at in situ and localized stage, triggering concerns about potential poor cancer outcomes in the coming years, especially in Asians/Pacific Islanders.

PLAIN LANGUAGE SUMMARY

To help control the spread of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), health care organizations suspended nonessential medical procedures, including preventive cancer screening, during early 2020. Many individuals canceled or postponed cancer screening, potentially delaying cancer diagnosis. This study examines the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the number of newly diagnosed cancer cases in 2020 using first-submission, population-based cancer registry database. The monthly numbers of newly diagnosed cancer cases in 2020 were compared with the expected numbers based on past trends for six cancer sites. April 2020 had the sharpest decrease in cases compared with previous years, most likely because of the COVID-19 pandemic.

The Burden of Lung Cancer in Women Compared With Men in the US

This cross-sectional study examines the incidence rates of lung cancer in women compared with men from 2000 to 2019.

Progress in reducing cancer mortality in the United States by congressional district, 1996-2003 to 2012-2020

BACKGROUND

United States cancer death rates have been steadily declining since the early 1990s, but information on disparities in progress against cancer mortality across congressional districts is lacking. This study examined trends in cancer death rates, overall and for lung, colorectal, female breast, and prostate cancer by congressional district.

METHODS

County level cancer death counts and population data from the National Center for Health Statistics were used to estimate relative change in age-standardized cancer death rates from 1996-2003 to 2012-2020 by sex and congressional district.

RESULTS

From 1996-2003 to 2012-2020, overall cancer death rates declined in every congressional district, with most congressional districts showing a 20%-45% decline among males and a 10%-40% decline among females. In general, the smallest percent of relative declines were found in the Midwest and Appalachia, whereas the largest declines were found in the South along the East Coast and the southern border. As a result, the highest cancer death rates generally shifted from congressional districts across the South in 1996-2003 to districts in the Midwest and central divisions of the South (including Appalachia) in 2012-2020. Death rates for lung, colorectal, female breast, and prostate cancers also declined in almost all congressional districts, although with some variation in relative changes and geographical patterns.

CONCLUSIONS

Progress in reducing cancer death rates during the past 25 years considerably vary by congressional district, underscoring the need for strengthening existing and implementing new public health policies for broad and equitable application of proven interventions such as raising tax on tobacco and Medicaid expansion.

Racial and Ethnic Disparities in Survival Among People With Second Primary Cancer in the US

Importance

Comprehensive data for racial and ethnic disparities after second primary cancers (SPCs) are lacking despite the growing burden of SPCs.

Objective

To quantify racial and ethnic disparities in survival among persons with SPCs.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This population-based, retrospective cohort study used data from 18 Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results registries in the US for persons diagnosed with the most common SPCs at age 20 years or older from January 1, 2000, to December 31, 2013 (with follow-up through December 31, 2018). Data were analyzed between January and April 2023.

Exposure

Race and ethnicity (Hispanic, non-Hispanic Asian or Pacific Islander, non-Hispanic Black, and non-Hispanic White).

Main Outcomes and Measures

The main outcomes were 5-year relative survival and cause-specific survival. Cause-specific hazard ratios (HRs) were calculated for death from cancer or cardiovascular disease (CVD) in each racial and ethnic minority population compared with the White population overall and stratified by SPC type, with adjustment for sex, year and age at SPC diagnosis, and prior cancer type and stage (baseline model) and additionally for county attributes (household income, urbanicity), SPC characteristics (stage, subtype), and treatment.

Results

Among 230 370 persons with SPCs (58.4% male), 4.5% were Asian or Pacific Islander, 9.6% were Black, 6.4% were Hispanic, and 79.5% were White. A total of 109 757 cancer-related deaths (47.6%) and 18 283 CVD-related deaths (7.9%) occurred during a median follow-up of 54 months (IQR, 12-93 months). In baseline models, compared with the White population, the risk of cancer-related death overall was higher in the Black (HR, 1.21; 95% CI, 1.18-1.23) and Hispanic (HR, 1.10; 95% CI, 1.07-1.13) populations but lower in the Asian or Pacific Islander population (HR, 0.93; 95% CI, 0.90-0.96). When stratified by 13 SPC types, the risk of cancer-related death was higher for 10 SPCs in the Black population, with the highest HR for uterine cancer (HR, 1.87; 95% CI, 1.63-2.15), and for 7 SPCs in the Hispanic population, most notably for melanoma (HR, 1.46; 95% CI, 1.21-1.76). For CVD-related death, the overall HR was higher in the Black population (HR, 1.41; 95% CI, 1.34-1.49), with elevated risks evident for 11 SPCs, but lower in the Asian or Pacific Islander (HR, 0.75; 95% CI, 0.69-0.81) and Hispanic (HR, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.84-0.96) populations than in the White population. After further adjustments for county attributes and SPC characteristics and treatment, HRs were reduced for cancer-related death and for CVD-related death and associations in the same direction remained.

Conclusions and Relevance

In this cohort study of SPC survivors, the Black population had the highest risk of both death from cancer and death from CVD, and the Hispanic population had a higher risk of death from cancer than the White population. Attenuations in HRs after adjustment for potentially modifiable factors highlight opportunities to reduce survival disparities among persons with multiple primary cancers.

Recent Mortality Patterns and Time Trends for the Major Cancers in 47 Countries Worldwide

BACKGROUND

Most prior studies have reported cancer mortality trends across countries for specific cancer types. Herein, we examine recent patterns and trends in cancer mortality rates for the eight common forms of cancer in 47 countries across five continents (except Africa) based on the World Health Organization mortality database.

METHODS

Rates were age-standardized to the 1966 Segi-Doll world population, and trends in the age-standardized rates for the most recent 10 years of data were examined using Joinpoint regression.

RESULTS

Cancer-specific mortality rates vary substantially across countries, with rates of infection-related (cervix and stomach) and tobacco-related cancers (lung and esophagus) varying by 10-fold. Recent mortality rates for all major cancers decreased in most of the studied countries except lung cancer in females and liver cancer in males, where increasing rates were observed in most countries. Rates decreased or stabilized in all countries for lung cancer in men and stomach cancer in both sexes.

CONCLUSIONS

The findings reinforce the importance of implementing and strengthening resource-stratified and targeted cancer prevention and control programs in all parts of the world to further reduce or halt the rising cancer burden.

IMPACT

The results may inform cancer prevention and treatment strategies and in so doing, reduce the marked global cancer disparities observed today.

Disparities and Trends in Genitourinary Cancer Incidence and Mortality in the USA

BACKGROUND

Previous studies have reported on incidence and mortality patterns for individual genitourinary cancers in the USA. However, these studies addressed individual cancer types rather than genitourinary cancers overall.

OBJECTIVE

To comprehensively examine disparities and trends in the incidence and mortality for the four major genitourinary cancers (bladder, kidney, prostate, and testis) in the USA.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

We obtained incidence data from the National Cancer Institute 22-registry Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database and the US Cancer Statistics database (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention) and mortality data from the National Center for Health Statistics to examine cross-sectional and temporal trends in incidence and death rates stratified by sex, race/ethnicity, and county.

OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

Age-adjusted incidence and death rates were calculated using SEER*Stat software. Temporal trends were analyzed using Joinpoint regression for a two-sided significance level of p < 0.05.

RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS

Incidence and mortality rates for bladder and kidney cancers were two to four times higher for men than for women. Among non-Hispanic White individuals, the highest incidence rates were found in the Northeast for bladder cancer and in Appalachia for kidney cancer, whereas the highest death rates for prostate cancer were found in the West. Incidence rates increased for cancers of the kidney and testis and for advanced-stage prostate cancer in almost all racial/ethnic populations and for bladder cancer in the American Indian/Alaska Native population. Death rates increased for testicular cancer in the Hispanic population and stabilized for prostate cancer among White and Asian American/Pacific Islander men after a steady decline since the early 1990s. Study limitations include misclassification of race/ethnicity on medical records and death certificates.

CONCLUSIONS

We found persistent sociodemographic disparities and unfavorable trends in incidence or mortality for all four major genitourinary cancers. Future studies should elucidate the reasons for these patterns.

PATIENT SUMMARY

In the USA, rates of cancer cases are increasing for kidney, testis, and advanced-stage prostate cancers in the overall population, and for bladder cancer in the American Indian/Alaska Native population. Differences in the rates by sex and race/ethnicity remain.

State Variation in Racial and Ethnic Disparities in Incidence of Triple-Negative Breast Cancer Among US Women

Importance

There are few data on state variation in racial and ethnic disparities in incidence of triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) in the US, limiting the ability to inform state-level health policy developments toward breast cancer equity.

Objective

To quantify between and within racial and ethnic disparities in TNBC incidence rates (IRs) among US women across states.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This cohort study using population-based cancer registry data included data for all women with TNBC diagnosed from January 1, 2015, to December 31, 2019, identified in the US Cancer Statistics Public Use Research Database. Data were analyzed from July through November 2022.

Exposures

State and race and ethnicity (Hispanic, non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, non-Hispanic Asian or Pacific Islander, non-Hispanic Black, or non-Hispanic White) abstracted from medical records.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The main outcomes were diagnosis of TNBC, age-standardized IR per 100 000 women, state-specific incidence rate ratios (IRRs) using the rate among White women in each state as a reference for between-population disparities, and state-specific IRRs using the race and ethnicity-specific national rate as a reference for within-population disparities.

Results

The study included data for 133 579 women; 768 (0.6%) were American Indian or Alaska Native; 4969 (3.7%), Asian or Pacific Islander; 28 710 (21.5%), Black; 12 937 (9.7%), Hispanic; and 86 195 (64.5%), White. The TNBC IR was highest among Black women (25.2 per 100 000 women), followed by White (12.9 per 100 000 women), American Indian or Alaska Native (11.2 per 100 000 women), Hispanic (11.1 per 100 000 women), and Asian or Pacific Islander (9.0 per 100 000 women) women. Racial and ethnic group-specific and state-specific rates substantially varied, ranging from less than 7 per 100 000 women among Asian or Pacific Islander women in Oregon and Pennsylvania to greater than 29 per 100 000 women among Black women in Delaware, Missouri, Louisiana, and Mississippi. Compared with White women, IRRs were statistically significantly higher in 38 of 38 states among Black women, ranging from 1.38 (95% CI, 1.10-1.70; IR, 17.4 per 100 000 women) in Colorado to 2.32 (95% CI, 1.90-2.81; IR, 32.0 per 100 000 women) in Delaware; lower in 22 of 22 states among Asian or Pacific Islander women, varying from 0.50 (95% CI, 0.34-0.70; IR, 5.7 per 100 000 women) in Oregon to 0.82 (95% CI, 0.75-0.90; IR, 10.5 per 100 000 women) in New York; and did not differ among Hispanic and American Indian or Alaska Native women in 22 of 35 states and 5 of 8 states, respectively. State variations within each racial and ethnic population were smaller but still substantial. For example, among White women, compared with the national rate, IRRs varied from 0.72 (95% CI, 0.66-0.78; IR, 9.2 per 100 000 women) in Utah to 1.18 (95% CI, 1.11-1.25; IR, 15.2 per 100 000 women) in Iowa, 1.15 (95% CI, 1.07-1.24; IR, 14.8 per 100 000 women) in Mississippi, and 1.15 (95% CI, 1.07-1.24; IR, 14.8 per 100 000 women) in West Virginia.

Conclusions and Relevance

In this cohort study, there were substantial state variations in racial and ethnic disparities in TNBC incidence, with Black women in Delaware, Missouri, Louisiana, and Mississippi having the highest rates among all states and racial and ethnic populations. The findings suggest that more research is needed to identify factors contributing to the substantial geographic variations in racial and ethnic disparities in TNBC incidence to develop effective preventive measures and that social determinants of health contribute to the geographic disparities in TNBC risk.

Abstract 4379: Survival among adults diagnosed with secondary acute myeloid leukemia

Background: The burden of second primary cancers including secondary acute myeloid leukemia (sAML) is increasing in the United States; however, limited data exist regarding survival among individuals with sAML. This study aims to examine survival differences between sAML and AML arising de novo (dnAML) in relation to antecedent cancer types and the receipt of prior cancer treatment.

Methods: Individuals aged ≥20 years and diagnosed with sAML or dnAML between 2001 and 2018 and followed for vital status through 2019 were identified from Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results 17 database, covering 27% of the US population. The differences in AML-specific survival between individuals with sAML and dnAML were examined using multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression. Trends in five-year age-standardized relative survival from 2001-2014 were assessed using Joinpoint survival model for sAML and dnAML, separately.

Results: A total of 7,306 individuals diagnosed with sAML and 40,398 individuals with dnAML were included. During a median follow-up of 6 months, 78% of individuals with sAML died from AML compared to 71% of those with dnAML. In multivariable models, the risk of AML-specific mortality was 8% higher in individuals diagnosed with sAML than in those diagnosed with dnAML (hazard ratio [HR]=1.08, 95%CI=1.05-1.11), with the elevated risk more pronounced among those with younger ages at diagnosis (HR20-54 years=1.60, 95%CI=1.46-1.75 versus HR65+ years=0.99, 95%CI=0.96-1.03; Pinteraction&lt;0.0001) and those who received chemotherapy (HRchemotherapy yes=1.14, 95%CI=1.10-1.19 versus HRchemotherapy no/unknown=0.95, 95%CI=0.90-0.99; Pinteraction=0.0004). Subgroup analysis by antecedent cancer types showed that HRs substantially varied ranging from 0.74 (95%CI=0.57-0.95) for individuals with a history of thyroid cancer to 1.78 (95%CI=1.04-3.07) for those with a history of soft tissue sarcomas. Further subgroup analysis by the receipt of chemotherapy for antecedent cancers showed that the elevated risk was generally restricted to individuals with a history of chemotherapy receipt with some variations by cancer types. Five-year relative survival significantly increased from 2001 to 2014 for both sAML and dnAML; though the increase was slower for sAML (annual percent change [APC]=0.30%, 95% CI 0.20-0.40) compared with dnAML (APC=0.77%, 95%CI=0.69-0.84). Likewise, five-year survival for the most contemporary period (2010-2018) was substantially lower for sAML (9.8%, 95%CI=9.3-10.3) than for dnAML (22.8%, 95%CI=22.3-23.2).

Conclusion: Individuals with sAML had in general worse AML cause-specific survival compared with their dnAML counterparts, with the differences most pronounced among those diagnosed at younger ages and who received chemotherapy. The findings may inform targeted treatment and survivorship recommendations for cancer survivors who develop sAML.

Citation Format: Ephrem Sedeta, Ahmedin Jemal, Lauren Nisotel, Hyuna Sung. Survival among adults diagnosed with secondary acute myeloid leukemia. [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2023; Part 1 (Regular and Invited Abstracts); 2023 Apr 14-19; Orlando, FL. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2023;83(7_Suppl):Abstract nr 4379.

Abstract P4-03-24: State variation in racial and ethnic disparities in triple-negative breast cancer rates: NPCR-SEER incidence data, 2015-2019

Background: Triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) (i.e., estrogen receptor-negative, progesterone receptor-negative, and human epidermal growth factor receptor type 2-negative) is an aggressive subtype of breast cancer, more frequently diagnosed among non-Hispanic Black women than other racial/ethnic groups in the United States. TNBC risk also varies by location, but limited data exist for state-level variation in the racial/ethnic disparities in TNBC risk. Methods: Data for TNBC diagnosed at all ages during 2015-2019 were obtained from the National Program of Cancer Registries and Surveillance, Epidemiology & End Results for racial/ethnic groups classified as non-Hispanic American Indian/Alaska Native (AIAN), non-Hispanic Asian or Pacific Islander (API), non-Hispanic Black (Black), Hispanic, or non-Hispanic White (White). State-specific incidence rates were available for 8, 23, and 36 states for AIAN, API, and Hispanic women, respectively, and 38 states and Washington, D.C. for Black women and 50 states and Washington, D.C. (hereafter referred to collectively as “states”) for White women. State-specific rates were compared within and between racial/ethnic groups using incidence rate ratios (IRR). Results: Nationally, the age-standardized incidence rate of TNBC was the highest among Black women (25.1 per 100,000), followed by White (12.9 per 100,000), AIAN (11.1 per 100,000), Hispanic (11.1 per 100,000), and API (9.0 per 100,000) women. The highest state-specific rates were found among Black women in Delaware, Missouri, and Louisiana (&gt;30 per 100,000) and the lowest rates were among API women in Oregon and Pennsylvania (&lt; 7 per 100,000). State variations within a population were relatively larger among AIAN (2.8-fold) and Hispanic (2.3-fold) women, and smaller among White women (1.65-fold). Compared with White women, Black women had a higher rate of TNBC in all 39/39 states with the greatest IRRs in Delaware (2.31, 95%CI=1.90-2.81), Missouri (2.28, 95%CI=2.08-2.50), and Louisiana (2.20, 95%CI=2.02-2.38) and the lowest IRRs in Minnesota (1.38, 95%CI=1.12-1.68) and Colorado (1.38, 95%CI=1.12-1.68). In contrast, API women had a lower rate than White women in 22/23 states, except for Nevada, with the lowest IRR in Oregon (0.50, 95%CI=0.34-0.70) and the highest IRR in New York (0.82, 95%CI=0.75-0.90). The rate among Hispanic compared with White women did not differ statistically significantly in 23/36 states but was lower in 12/36 states, with the lowest IRR in Ohio (0.57, 95%CI=0.43-0.74), and higher in Massachusetts (1.21, 95%CI=1.04-1.39). The rate among AIAN compared with White women did not differ in 5/8 states but was lower in Arizona (0.53, 95%CI=0.38-0.73) and North Carolina (0.68, 95%CI=0.46-0.96), and higher in Oklahoma (1.30, 95%CI=1.09-1.54). Conclusions: State variations in TNBC incidence rates both within and between populations are substantial, signifying the important role of potentially modifiable risk factors in determining the risk of TNBC by state and race/ethnicity. This finding highlights the need for more research to identify factors contributing to these variations to develop more effective preventive measures. Meanwhile, to mitigate the impact of the disproportionate burden of TNBC across states and racial/ethnic groups, universal access to screening modalities and timely, guideline-concordant treatments is essential.

Citation Format: Hyuna Sung, Daniel Wiese, Ismail Jatoi, Ahmedin Jemal. State variation in racial and ethnic disparities in triple-negative breast cancer rates: NPCR-SEER incidence data, 2015-2019 [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2022 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2022 Dec 6-10; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2023;83(5 Suppl):Abstract nr P4-03-24.

Annual report to the nation on the status of cancer, part 1: National cancer statistics

BACKGROUND

The American Cancer Society, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, the National Cancer Institute, and the North American Association of Central Cancer Registries collaborate to provide annual updates on cancer occurrence and trends in the United States.

METHODS

Data on new cancer diagnoses during 2001-2018 were obtained from the North American Association of Central Cancer Registries' Cancer in North America Incidence file, which is comprised of data from Centers for Disease Control and Prevention-funded and National Cancer Institute-funded, population-based cancer registry programs. Data on cancer deaths during 2001-2019 were obtained from the National Center for Health Statistics' National Vital Statistics System. Five-year average incidence and death rates along with trends for all cancers combined and for the leading cancer types are reported by sex, racial/ethnic group, and age.

RESULTS

Overall cancer incidence rates were 497 per 100,000 among males (ranging from 306 among Asian/Pacific Islander males to 544 among Black males) and 431 per 100,000 among females (ranging from 309 among Asian/Pacific Islander females to 473 among American Indian/Alaska Native females) during 2014-2018. The trend during the corresponding period was stable among males and increased 0.2% on average per year among females, with differing trends by sex, racial/ethnic group, and cancer type. Among males, incidence rates increased for three cancers (including pancreas and kidney), were stable for seven cancers (including prostate), and decreased for eight (including lung and larynx) of the 18 most common cancers considered in this analysis. Among females, incidence rates increased for seven cancers (including melanoma, liver, and breast), were stable for four cancers (including uterus), and decreased for seven (including thyroid and ovary) of the 18 most common cancers. Overall cancer death rates decreased by 2.3% per year among males and by 1.9% per year among females during 2015-2019, with the sex-specific declining trend reflected in every major racial/ethnic group. During 2015-2019, death rates decreased for 11 of the 19 most common cancers among males and for 14 of the 20 most common cancers among females, with the steepest declines (>4% per year) reported for lung cancer and melanoma. Five-year survival for adenocarcinoma and neuroendocrine pancreatic cancer improved between 2001 and 2018; however, overall incidence (2001-2018) and mortality (2001-2019) continued to increase for this site. Among children (younger than 15 years), recent trends were stable for incidence and decreased for mortality; and among, adolescents and young adults (aged 15-39 years), recent trends increased for incidence and declined for mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Cancer death rates continued to decline overall, for children, and for adolescents and young adults, and treatment advances have led to accelerated declines in death rates for several sites, such as lung and melanoma. The increases in incidence rates for several common cancers in part reflect changes in risk factors, screening test use, and diagnostic practice. Racial/ethnic differences exist in cancer incidence and mortality, highlighting the need to understand and address inequities. Population-based incidence and mortality data inform prevention, early detection, and treatment efforts to help reduce the cancer burden in the United States.

Breast Cancer Statistics, 2022

This article is the American Cancer Society's update on female breast cancer statistics in the United States, including population-based data on incidence, mortality, survival, and mammography screening. Breast cancer incidence rates have risen in most of the past four decades; during the most recent data years (2010-2019), the rate increased by 0.5% annually, largely driven by localized-stage and hormone receptor-positive disease. In contrast, breast cancer mortality rates have declined steadily since their peak in 1989, albeit at a slower pace in recent years (1.3% annually from 2011 to 2020) than in the previous decade (1.9% annually from 2002 to 2011). In total, the death rate dropped by 43% during 1989-2020, translating to 460,000 fewer breast cancer deaths during that time. The death rate declined similarly for women of all racial/ethnic groups except American Indians/Alaska Natives, among whom the rates were stable. However, despite a lower incidence rate in Black versus White women (127.8 vs. 133.7 per 100,000), the racial disparity in breast cancer mortality remained unwavering, with the death rate 40% higher in Black women overall (27.6 vs. 19.7 deaths per 100,000 in 2016-2020) and two-fold higher among adult women younger than 50 years (12.1 vs. 6.5 deaths per 100,000). Black women have the lowest 5-year relative survival of any racial/ethnic group for every molecular subtype and stage of disease (except stage I), with the largest Black-White gaps in absolute terms for hormone receptor-positive/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative disease (88% vs. 96%), hormone receptor-negative/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-positive disease (78% vs. 86%), and stage III disease (64% vs. 77%). Progress against breast cancer mortality could be accelerated by mitigating racial disparities through increased access to high-quality screening and treatment via nationwide Medicaid expansion and partnerships between community stakeholders, advocacy organizations, and health systems.

Racial differences in cardiovascular disease mortality among cancer survivors

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Background: Cancer survivors have an elevated risk of death from cardiovascular disease (CVD). Whether the risk differs by race/ethnicity and cancer type has not been fully explored in the U.S. Methods: Data from survivors of top 23 cancers diagnosed at ages 20 to 64 years during 2000-2018 were obtained from 17 Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results registries. Risks for CVD death among survivors relative to the general population were calculated using standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) in each racial/ethnic group: Non-Hispanic White (NHW), Non-Hispanic Black (NHB), Hispanic, Non-Hispanic Asian or Pacific Islander (API), and Non-Hispanic American Indian (AI). Among survivors, the risks were compared by race/ethnicity using cause-specific proportional hazards models for competing risks, controlling for year of diagnosis, age at diagnosis, sex, stage (when appropriate), and the first course of treatment receipt (surgery, radiotherapy, chemotherapy). Results: Among 2,806,515 survivors (NHW, 68%; NHB, 13%; Hispanic, 12%; API, 7%; AI, 0.5%), 57,883 CVD deaths occurred during 6.4 person-years of mean follow-up (32 per 10,000). Cancer survivors overall were at increased risk of CVD death compared to their general population counterpart with an SMR of 1.76 among API (95% CI = 1.69-1.84; 8.7 excess deaths per 10,000), 1.49 among AI (95% CI = 1.33-1.68; 11.9 excess deaths per 10,000), 1.46 among Hispanic (95% CI = 1.41-1.50; 7.4 excess deaths per 10,000), 1.30 among NHB (95% CI = 1281-1.33; 14.9 excess deaths per 10,000), and 1.13 among NHW (95% CI = 1.12-1.14; 3.4 excess deaths per 10,000) survivors. Compared with NHW survivors, the adjusted hazard of CVD death was statistically significantly higher among NHB survivors for 23/23 cancers and among AI survivors for 9/18 cancers but was statistically significantly lower among Hispanic survivors for 5/23 cancers and among API survivors for 10/23 cancers, with no significant difference otherwise. The highest hazards ratios (HRs) were among NHB survivors of melanoma (HR = 3.19, 95% CI = 2.11-4.83); breast (HR = 2.73, 95% CI = 2.57-2.89); pancreatic (HR = 2.63, 95% CI = 2.19-3.16); and testicular (HR = 2.59, 95% CI = 1.62-4.14) cancers, whereas the lowest HRs were among API survivors of head and neck (HR = 0.53, 95% CI = 0.44-0.63) and cervical (HR = 0.57, 95% CI = 0.41-0.80) cancers and Hispanic survivors of cervical cancer (HR = 0.59, 95% CI = 0.46-0.75). Conclusions: The risk of CVD death differs considerably among cancer survivors by race/ethnicity and cancer types, highlighting the need for targeted prevention and surveillance in primary care. Future studies are needed to identify factors that contribute to this variation in order to inform efforts towards mitigating risk.

Subsequent primary cancer risk among five-year survivors of adolescent and young adult cancers

BACKGROUND

A comprehensive examination of the incidence and mortality of subsequent primary cancers (SPCs) among adolescent and young adult (AYA) cancer survivors in the US is lacking.

METHODS

Cancer incidence and mortality among 170,404 ≥ 5-year cancer survivors aged 15-39 years at first primary cancer diagnosis during 1975-2013 in 9 Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results registries were compared to those in the general population using standardized incidence ratio (SIR), absolute excess incidence (AEI), standardized mortality ratio (SMR), and absolute excess mortality (AEM).

RESULTS

During a mean follow-up of 14.6 years, 13,420 SPC cases and 5,008 SPC deaths occurred among survivors (excluding the same-site as index cancer), corresponding to 25% higher incidence (95%CI = 1.23-1.27; AEI = 10.8 per 10,000) and 84% higher mortality (95%CI = 1.79-1.89; AEM = 9.2 per 10,000) than that in the general population. Overall SPC risk was statistically significantly higher for 20 of 29 index cancers for incidence and 26 for mortality, with the highest SIR among female Hodgkin lymphoma survivors (SIR = 3.05, 95%CI = 2.88-3.24; AEI = 73.0 per 10,000) and the highest SMR among small intestine cancer survivors (SMR = 6.97, 95%CI = 4.80-9.79; AEM = 64.1 per 10,000). Type-specific SPC risks varied substantially by index cancers; however, SPCs of the female breast, lung, and colorectum combined constituted 36% of all SPC cases and 39% of all SPC deaths, with lung cancer alone representing 11% and 24% of all cases and deaths, respectively.

CONCLUSION

AYA cancer survivors are almost twice as likely to die from a new primary cancer as the general population, highlighting the need for primary care clinicians to prioritize cancer prevention and targeted surveillance strategies in these individuals.

Associations of Genetic Ancestry with Terminal Duct Lobular Unit Involution among Healthy Women

Reduced age-related terminal duct lobular unit (TDLU) involution has been linked to increased breast cancer risk and triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC). Associations of TDLU involution levels with race and ethnicity remain incompletely explored. Herein, we examined associations between genetic ancestry and TDLU involution in normal breast tissue donated by 2,014 healthy women in the US. Women of African ancestry were more likely than European women to have increased TDLU counts (odds ratio [OR]trend=1.36; 95% CI = 1.07-1.74), acini counts/TDLU (OR = 1.47; 95% CI = 1.06-2.03), and median TDLU span (ORtrend=1.44; 95% CI = 1.08-1.91), indicating lower involution; whereas East Asian descendants were associated with decreased TDLU counts (ORtrend=0.52; 95% CI = 0.35-0.78) after controlling for potential confounders. These associations are consistent with the racial variations in incidence rates of TNBC in the US and suggest opportunities for future work examining whether TDLU involution may mediate the racial differences in subtype-specific breast cancer risk.

Annual Report to the Nation on the Status of Cancer, Part 1: National Cancer Statistics

BACKGROUND

The American Cancer Society, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Cancer Institute, and North American Association of Central Cancer Registries collaborate to provide annual updates on cancer incidence and mortality and trends by cancer type, sex, age group, and racial/ethnic group in the United States. In this report, we also examine trends in stage-specific survival for melanoma of the skin (melanoma).

METHODS

Incidence data for all cancers from 2001 through 2017 and survival data for melanoma cases diagnosed during 2001-2014 and followed-up through 2016 were obtained from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention- and National Cancer Institute-funded population-based cancer registry programs compiled by the North American Association of Central Cancer Registries. Data on cancer deaths from 2001 to 2018 were obtained from the National Center for Health Statistics' National Vital Statistics System. Trends in age-standardized incidence and death rates and 2-year relative survival were estimated by joinpoint analysis, and trends in incidence and mortality were expressed as average annual percent change (AAPC) during the most recent 5 years (2013-2017 for incidence and 2014-2018 for mortality).

RESULTS

Overall cancer incidence rates (per 100 000 population) for all ages during 2013-2017 were 487.4 among males and 422.4 among females. During this period, incidence rates remained stable among males but slightly increased in females (AAPC = 0.2%, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.1% to 0.2%). Overall cancer death rates (per 100 000 population) during 2014-2018 were 185.5 among males and 133.5 among females. During this period, overall death rates decreased in both males (AAPC = -2.2%, 95% CI = -2.5% to -1.9%) and females (AAPC = -1.7%, 95% CI = -2.1% to -1.4%); death rates decreased for 11 of the 19 most common cancers among males and for 14 of the 20 most common cancers among females, but increased for 5 cancers in each sex. During 2014-2018, the declines in death rates accelerated for lung cancer and melanoma, slowed down for colorectal and female breast cancers, and leveled off for prostate cancer. Among children younger than age 15 years and adolescents and young adults aged 15-39 years, cancer death rates continued to decrease in contrast to the increasing incidence rates. Two-year relative survival for distant-stage skin melanoma was stable for those diagnosed during 2001-2009 but increased by 3.1% (95% CI = 2.8% to 3.5%) per year for those diagnosed during 2009-2014, with comparable trends among males and females.

CONCLUSIONS

Cancer death rates in the United States continue to decline overall and for many cancer types, with the decline accelerated for lung cancer and melanoma. For several other major cancers, however, death rates continue to increase or previous declines in rates have slowed or ceased. Moreover, overall incidence rates continue to increase among females, children, and adolescents and young adults. These findings inform efforts related to prevention, early detection, and treatment and for broad and equitable implementation of effective interventions, especially among under resourced populations.

Annual Report to the Nation on the Status of Cancer, Part 2: Patient Economic Burden Associated With Cancer Care

BACKGROUND

The American Cancer Society, National Cancer Institute, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and North American Association of Central Cancer Registries provide annual information about cancer occurrence and trends in the United States. Part 1 of this annual report focuses on national cancer statistics. This study is part 2, which quantifies patient economic burden associated with cancer care.

METHODS

We used complementary data sources, linked Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results-Medicare, and the Medical Expenditure Panel Survey to develop comprehensive estimates of patient economic burden, including out-of-pocket and patient time costs, associated with cancer care. The 2000-2013 Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results-Medicare data were used to estimate net patient out-of-pocket costs among adults aged 65 years and older for the initial, continuing, and end-of-life phases of care for all cancer sites combined and separately for the 21 most common cancer sites. The 2008-2017 Medical Expenditure Panel Survey data were used to calculate out-of-pocket costs and time costs associated with cancer among adults aged 18-64 years and 65 years and older.

RESULTS

Across all cancer sites, annualized net out-of-pocket costs for medical services and prescriptions drugs covered through a pharmacy benefit among adults aged 65 years and older were highest in the initial ($2200 and $243, respectively) and end-of-life phases ($3823 and $448, respectively) and lowest in the continuing phase ($466 and $127, respectively), with substantial variation by cancer site. Out-of-pocket costs were generally higher for patients diagnosed with later-stage disease. Net annual time costs associated with cancer were $304.3 (95% confidence interval = $257.9 to $350.9) and $279.1 (95% confidence interval = $215.1 to $343.3) for adults aged 18-64 years and ≥65 years, respectively, with higher time costs among more recently diagnosed survivors. National patient economic burden, including out-of-pocket and time costs, associated with cancer care was projected to be $21.1 billion in 2019.

CONCLUSIONS

This comprehensive study found that the patient economic burden associated with cancer care is substantial in the United States at the national and patient levels.

Quantitative Mammographic Density Measurements and Molecular Subtypes in Chinese Women With Breast Cancer

Background

Studies investigating associations between mammographic density (MD) and breast cancer subtypes have generated mixed results. We previously showed that having extremely dense breasts was associated with the human epidermal growth factor receptor-2 (HER2)-enriched subtype in Chinese breast cancer patients.

Methods

In this study, we reevaluated the MD-subtype association in 1549 Chinese breast cancer patients, using VolparaDensity software to obtain quantitative MD measures. All statistical tests were 2-sided.

Results

Compared with women with luminal A tumors, women with luminal B/HER2- (odds ratio [OR] = 1.20, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.04 to 1.38; P = .01), luminal B/HER2+ (OR = 1.22, 95% CI = 1.03 to 1.46; P = .03), and HER2-enriched tumors (OR = 1.30, 95% CI = 1.06 to 1.59; P = .01) had higher fibroglandular dense volume. These associations were stronger in patients with smaller tumors (<2 cm). In contrast, the triple-negative subtype was associated with lower nondense volume (OR = 0.82, 95% CI = 0.68 to 0.99; P = .04), and the association was only seen among older women (age 50 years or older).

Conclusion

Although biological mechanisms remain to be investigated, the associations for the HER2-enriched and luminal B subtypes with increasing MD may partially explain the higher prevalence of luminal B and HER2+ breast cancers previously reported in Asian women.

Clustering and multiple-spreading events of nosocomial severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 infection

Background

There is growing evidence that super-spreading events (SSEs) and multiple-spreading events (MSEs) are a characteristic feature of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection. However, data regarding the possibility of SSEs or MSEs in healthcare settings are limited.

Methods

This study was performed at a tertiary-care hospital in Korea. We analysed the nosocomial COVID-19 cases that occurred in healthcare workers and inpatients and their caregivers between January and 20^th December 2020. Cases with two to four secondary cases were defined as MSEs and those with five or more secondary cases as SSEs.

Findings

We identified 21 nosocomial events (single-case events, N = 12 (57%); MSE + SSE, N = 9 (43%)) involving 65 individuals with COVID-19. Of these 65 individuals, 21 (32%) were infectors. The infectors tended to have a longer duration between symptom onset and diagnostic confirmation than did the non-infectors (median two days vs zero days, P=0.08). Importantly, 12 (18%) individuals were responsible for MSEs and one (2%) for an SSE, which collectively generated 35 (54%) secondary cases.

Conclusion

In a hospital with thorough infection-control measures, approximately 70% of the nosocomial cases of COVID-19 did not generate secondary cases, and one-fifth of the infectors were responsible for SSEs and MSEs, which accounted for approximately half of the total cases. Early case identification, isolation, and extensive contact tracing are important for the prevention of transmission and SSEs.

Subsequent primary cancers among survivors of adolescent and young adult onset cancers in the United States

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Background: Adolescent and young adult (AYA) cancer survivors are at increased risk of subsequent primary cancer (SPC); however, a comprehensive examination of risk patterns across cancer types is lacking in the U.S. Methods: SPC incidence and mortality was calculated among >1-year cancer survivors aged 15 to 39 years at first primary cancer (FPC) diagnosis during 1992-2016 in 12 Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results registries. Rates were expressed as number of cases/deaths per 10,000 person-years and compared with those expected in the general population using standardized incidence (SIR) and standardized mortality ratios (SMR). Results: Among 202,440 survivors of AYA-onset cancers (mean age at FPC diagnosis, 31.8 years; 60.7% women), 6,675 SPC cases (34.3 per 10,000) and 3,786 SPC deaths (19.4 per 10,000) occurred during 1,955,119 person-years of follow-up (mean, 9.7 years), corresponding to an SIR of 1.58 (95%CI = 1.54-1.62) and SMR of 4.19 (95%CI = 4.06-4.33. In men, overall incidence and mortality SPC rates were statistically significantly higher for each of 21 FPC types compared with risks in the general population, except for thyroid cancer mortality. In women, risk was statistically significantly higher for 14/23 FPC types for incidence and 19/23 FPC types for mortality. SIRs were highest in survivors of pancreatic cancer (SIR = 5.68, 95% CI = 2.94-9.93; 84 per 10,000), Kaposi sarcoma (SIR = 5.15, 95%CI = 4.62-5.73; 116 per 10,000) and liver cancer (SIR = 4.97, 95%CI = 2.57-8.68; 68.4 per 10,000) in men, and acute lymphoid leukemia (SIR, 3.27, 95% CI = 2.22-4.64; 49.5 per 10,000), Hodgkin lymphoma (SIR = 2.47, 95% CI = 2.22-2.73; 51.6 per 10,000), and bone sarcoma (SIR = 2.41, 95%CI = 1.80-3.16; 47.6 per 10,000) in women. SMRs were highest in survivors of pancreatic cancer, acute lymphoid leukemia, and stomach cancer in men, and liver cancer, acute lymphoid leukemia, and soft tissue sarcoma in women. Conclusions: Overall and type-specific risk patterns of SPCs among AYA cancer survivors differ considerably across FPC type, highlighting the need for targeted approaches for cancer prevention and surveillance in survivorship care planning.

Risks of subsequent primary cancers among breast cancer survivors according to hormone receptor status

BACKGROUND

This study was aimed at examining the risks of subsequent primary cancers (SPCs) among breast cancer survivors by hormone receptor (HR) status and age at diagnosis.

METHODS

Data from 12 Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results registries were used to identify 431,222 breast cancer survivors (at least 1 year) diagnosed between the ages of 20 and 84 years from 1992 to 2015. Risks of SPCs were measured as the standardized incidence ratio (SIR) and the excess absolute risk (EAR) per 10,000 person-years. Poisson regression was used to test the difference in SIRs by HR status.

RESULTS

In comparison with the general population, the risk of new cancer diagnoses among survivors was 20% higher for those with HR-positive cancers (SIR, 1.20; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.19-1.21; EAR, 23.3/10,000 person-years) and 44% higher for those with HR-negative cancers (SIR, 1.44; 95% CI, 1.41-1.47; EAR, 45.2/10,000 person-years), with the risk difference between HR statuses statistically significant. The higher risk after HR-negative cancer was driven by acute nonlymphocytic leukemia and breast, ovarian, peritoneal, and lung cancers. By age at diagnosis, the total EAR per 10,000 person-years ranged from 15.8 (95% CI, 14.1-17.5; SIR, 1.11) among late-onset (age, 50-84 years) HR-positive survivors to 69.4 (95% CI, 65.1-73.7; SIR, 2.24) among early-onset (age, 20-49 years) HR-negative survivors, with subsequent breast cancer representing 73% to 80% of the total EAR. After breast cancer, the greatest EARs were for ovarian cancer among early-onset HR-negative survivors, lung cancer among early- and late-onset HR-negative survivors, and uterine corpus cancer among late-onset HR-positive survivors.

CONCLUSIONS

Risks of SPCs after breast cancer differ substantially by subtype and age. This suggests that more targeted approaches for cancer prevention and early-detection strategies are needed in survivorship care planning.

Global Cancer Statistics 2020: GLOBOCAN Estimates of Incidence and Mortality Worldwide for 36 Cancers in 185 Countries

This article provides an update on the global cancer burden using the GLOBOCAN 2020 estimates of cancer incidence and mortality produced by the International Agency for Research on Cancer. Worldwide, an estimated 19.3 million new cancer cases (18.1 million excluding nonmelanoma skin cancer) and almost 10.0 million cancer deaths (9.9 million excluding nonmelanoma skin cancer) occurred in 2020. Female breast cancer has surpassed lung cancer as the most commonly diagnosed cancer, with an estimated 2.3 million new cases (11.7%), followed by lung (11.4%), colorectal (10.0 %), prostate (7.3%), and stomach (5.6%) cancers. Lung cancer remained the leading cause of cancer death, with an estimated 1.8 million deaths (18%), followed by colorectal (9.4%), liver (8.3%), stomach (7.7%), and female breast (6.9%) cancers. Overall incidence was from 2-fold to 3-fold higher in transitioned versus transitioning countries for both sexes, whereas mortality varied <2-fold for men and little for women. Death rates for female breast and cervical cancers, however, were considerably higher in transitioning versus transitioned countries (15.0 vs 12.8 per 100,000 and 12.4 vs 5.2 per 100,000, respectively). The global cancer burden is expected to be 28.4 million cases in 2040, a 47% rise from 2020, with a larger increase in transitioning (64% to 95%) versus transitioned (32% to 56%) countries due to demographic changes, although this may be further exacerbated by increasing risk factors associated with globalization and a growing economy. Efforts to build a sustainable infrastructure for the dissemination of cancer prevention measures and provision of cancer care in transitioning countries is critical for global cancer control.

Global Cancer Statistics 2020: GLOBOCAN Estimates of Incidence and Mortality Worldwide for 36 Cancers in 185 Countries

This article provides an update on the global cancer burden using the GLOBOCAN 2020 estimates of cancer incidence and mortality produced by the International Agency for Research on Cancer. Worldwide, an estimated 19.3 million new cancer cases (18.1 million excluding nonmelanoma skin cancer) and almost 10.0 million cancer deaths (9.9 million excluding nonmelanoma skin cancer) occurred in 2020. Female breast cancer has surpassed lung cancer as the most commonly diagnosed cancer, with an estimated 2.3 million new cases (11.7%), followed by lung (11.4%), colorectal (10.0 %), prostate (7.3%), and stomach (5.6%) cancers. Lung cancer remained the leading cause of cancer death, with an estimated 1.8 million deaths (18%), followed by colorectal (9.4%), liver (8.3%), stomach (7.7%), and female breast (6.9%) cancers. Overall incidence was from 2-fold to 3-fold higher in transitioned versus transitioning countries for both sexes, whereas mortality varied <2-fold for men and little for women. Death rates for female breast and cervical cancers, however, were considerably higher in transitioning versus transitioned countries (15.0 vs 12.8 per 100,000 and 12.4 vs 5.2 per 100,000, respectively). The global cancer burden is expected to be 28.4 million cases in 2040, a 47% rise from 2020, with a larger increase in transitioning (64% to 95%) versus transitioned (32% to 56%) countries due to demographic changes, although this may be further exacerbated by increasing risk factors associated with globalization and a growing economy. Efforts to build a sustainable infrastructure for the dissemination of cancer prevention measures and provision of cancer care in transitioning countries is critical for global cancer control.

Global Cancer Statistics 2020: GLOBOCAN Estimates of Incidence and Mortality Worldwide for 36 Cancers in 185 Countries

This article provides an update on the global cancer burden using the GLOBOCAN 2020 estimates of cancer incidence and mortality produced by the International Agency for Research on Cancer. Worldwide, an estimated 19.3 million new cancer cases (18.1 million excluding nonmelanoma skin cancer) and almost 10.0 million cancer deaths (9.9 million excluding nonmelanoma skin cancer) occurred in 2020. Female breast cancer has surpassed lung cancer as the most commonly diagnosed cancer, with an estimated 2.3 million new cases (11.7%), followed by lung (11.4%), colorectal (10.0 %), prostate (7.3%), and stomach (5.6%) cancers. Lung cancer remained the leading cause of cancer death, with an estimated 1.8 million deaths (18%), followed by colorectal (9.4%), liver (8.3%), stomach (7.7%), and female breast (6.9%) cancers. Overall incidence was from 2-fold to 3-fold higher in transitioned versus transitioning countries for both sexes, whereas mortality varied <2-fold for men and little for women. Death rates for female breast and cervical cancers, however, were considerably higher in transitioning versus transitioned countries (15.0 vs 12.8 per 100,000 and 12.4 vs 5.2 per 100,000, respectively). The global cancer burden is expected to be 28.4 million cases in 2040, a 47% rise from 2020, with a larger increase in transitioning (64% to 95%) versus transitioned (32% to 56%) countries due to demographic changes, although this may be further exacerbated by increasing risk factors associated with globalization and a growing economy. Efforts to build a sustainable infrastructure for the dissemination of cancer prevention measures and provision of cancer care in transitioning countries is critical for global cancer control.

Global Cancer Statistics 2020: GLOBOCAN Estimates of Incidence and Mortality Worldwide for 36 Cancers in 185 Countries

This article provides an update on the global cancer burden using the GLOBOCAN 2020 estimates of cancer incidence and mortality produced by the International Agency for Research on Cancer. Worldwide, an estimated 19.3 million new cancer cases (18.1 million excluding nonmelanoma skin cancer) and almost 10.0 million cancer deaths (9.9 million excluding nonmelanoma skin cancer) occurred in 2020. Female breast cancer has surpassed lung cancer as the most commonly diagnosed cancer, with an estimated 2.3 million new cases (11.7%), followed by lung (11.4%), colorectal (10.0 %), prostate (7.3%), and stomach (5.6%) cancers. Lung cancer remained the leading cause of cancer death, with an estimated 1.8 million deaths (18%), followed by colorectal (9.4%), liver (8.3%), stomach (7.7%), and female breast (6.9%) cancers. Overall incidence was from 2-fold to 3-fold higher in transitioned versus transitioning countries for both sexes, whereas mortality varied <2-fold for men and little for women. Death rates for female breast and cervical cancers, however, were considerably higher in transitioning versus transitioned countries (15.0 vs 12.8 per 100,000 and 12.4 vs 5.2 per 100,000, respectively). The global cancer burden is expected to be 28.4 million cases in 2040, a 47% rise from 2020, with a larger increase in transitioning (64% to 95%) versus transitioned (32% to 56%) countries due to demographic changes, although this may be further exacerbated by increasing risk factors associated with globalization and a growing economy. Efforts to build a sustainable infrastructure for the dissemination of cancer prevention measures and provision of cancer care in transitioning countries is critical for global cancer control.

Global Cancer Statistics 2020: GLOBOCAN Estimates of Incidence and Mortality Worldwide for 36 Cancers in 185 Countries

This article provides an update on the global cancer burden using the GLOBOCAN 2020 estimates of cancer incidence and mortality produced by the International Agency for Research on Cancer. Worldwide, an estimated 19.3 million new cancer cases (18.1 million excluding nonmelanoma skin cancer) and almost 10.0 million cancer deaths (9.9 million excluding nonmelanoma skin cancer) occurred in 2020. Female breast cancer has surpassed lung cancer as the most commonly diagnosed cancer, with an estimated 2.3 million new cases (11.7%), followed by lung (11.4%), colorectal (10.0 %), prostate (7.3%), and stomach (5.6%) cancers. Lung cancer remained the leading cause of cancer death, with an estimated 1.8 million deaths (18%), followed by colorectal (9.4%), liver (8.3%), stomach (7.7%), and female breast (6.9%) cancers. Overall incidence was from 2-fold to 3-fold higher in transitioned versus transitioning countries for both sexes, whereas mortality varied <2-fold for men and little for women. Death rates for female breast and cervical cancers, however, were considerably higher in transitioning versus transitioned countries (15.0 vs 12.8 per 100,000 and 12.4 vs 5.2 per 100,000, respectively). The global cancer burden is expected to be 28.4 million cases in 2040, a 47% rise from 2020, with a larger increase in transitioning (64% to 95%) versus transitioned (32% to 56%) countries due to demographic changes, although this may be further exacerbated by increasing risk factors associated with globalization and a growing economy. Efforts to build a sustainable infrastructure for the dissemination of cancer prevention measures and provision of cancer care in transitioning countries is critical for global cancer control.

Global Cancer Statistics 2020: GLOBOCAN Estimates of Incidence and Mortality Worldwide for 36 Cancers in 185 Countries

This article provides an update on the global cancer burden using the GLOBOCAN 2020 estimates of cancer incidence and mortality produced by the International Agency for Research on Cancer. Worldwide, an estimated 19.3 million new cancer cases (18.1 million excluding nonmelanoma skin cancer) and almost 10.0 million cancer deaths (9.9 million excluding nonmelanoma skin cancer) occurred in 2020. Female breast cancer has surpassed lung cancer as the most commonly diagnosed cancer, with an estimated 2.3 million new cases (11.7%), followed by lung (11.4%), colorectal (10.0 %), prostate (7.3%), and stomach (5.6%) cancers. Lung cancer remained the leading cause of cancer death, with an estimated 1.8 million deaths (18%), followed by colorectal (9.4%), liver (8.3%), stomach (7.7%), and female breast (6.9%) cancers. Overall incidence was from 2-fold to 3-fold higher in transitioned versus transitioning countries for both sexes, whereas mortality varied <2-fold for men and little for women. Death rates for female breast and cervical cancers, however, were considerably higher in transitioning versus transitioned countries (15.0 vs 12.8 per 100,000 and 12.4 vs 5.2 per 100,000, respectively). The global cancer burden is expected to be 28.4 million cases in 2040, a 47% rise from 2020, with a larger increase in transitioning (64% to 95%) versus transitioned (32% to 56%) countries due to demographic changes, although this may be further exacerbated by increasing risk factors associated with globalization and a growing economy. Efforts to build a sustainable infrastructure for the dissemination of cancer prevention measures and provision of cancer care in transitioning countries is critical for global cancer control.

Global Cancer Statistics 2020: GLOBOCAN Estimates of Incidence and Mortality Worldwide for 36 Cancers in 185 Countries

This article provides an update on the global cancer burden using the GLOBOCAN 2020 estimates of cancer incidence and mortality produced by the International Agency for Research on Cancer. Worldwide, an estimated 19.3 million new cancer cases (18.1 million excluding nonmelanoma skin cancer) and almost 10.0 million cancer deaths (9.9 million excluding nonmelanoma skin cancer) occurred in 2020. Female breast cancer has surpassed lung cancer as the most commonly diagnosed cancer, with an estimated 2.3 million new cases (11.7%), followed by lung (11.4%), colorectal (10.0 %), prostate (7.3%), and stomach (5.6%) cancers. Lung cancer remained the leading cause of cancer death, with an estimated 1.8 million deaths (18%), followed by colorectal (9.4%), liver (8.3%), stomach (7.7%), and female breast (6.9%) cancers. Overall incidence was from 2-fold to 3-fold higher in transitioned versus transitioning countries for both sexes, whereas mortality varied <2-fold for men and little for women. Death rates for female breast and cervical cancers, however, were considerably higher in transitioning versus transitioned countries (15.0 vs 12.8 per 100,000 and 12.4 vs 5.2 per 100,000, respectively). The global cancer burden is expected to be 28.4 million cases in 2040, a 47% rise from 2020, with a larger increase in transitioning (64% to 95%) versus transitioned (32% to 56%) countries due to demographic changes, although this may be further exacerbated by increasing risk factors associated with globalization and a growing economy. Efforts to build a sustainable infrastructure for the dissemination of cancer prevention measures and provision of cancer care in transitioning countries is critical for global cancer control.

Association of First Primary Cancer With Risk of Subsequent Primary Cancer Among Survivors of Adult-Onset Cancers in the United States

IMPORTANCE

The number of cancer survivors who develop new cancers is projected to increase, but comprehensive data on the risk of subsequent primary cancers (SPCs) among survivors of adult-onset cancers are limited.

OBJECTIVE

To quantify the overall and cancer type-specific risks of SPCs among adult-onset cancer survivors by first primary cancer (FPC) types and sex.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

A retrospective cohort study from 12 Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results registries in the United States, that included 1 537 101 persons aged 20 to 84 years diagnosed with FPCs from 1992-2011 (followed up until December 31, 2017) and who survived at least 5 years.

EXPOSURES

First primary cancer.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Incidence and mortality of SPCs per 10 000 person-years; standardized incidence ratio (SIR) and standardized mortality ratio (SMR) compared with those expected in the general population.

RESULTS

Among 1 537 101 survivors (mean age, 60.4 years; 48.8% women), 156 442 SPC cases and 88 818 SPC deaths occurred during 11 197 890 person-years of follow-up (mean, 7.3 years). Among men, the overall risk of developing any SPCs was statistically significantly higher for 18 of the 30 FPC types, and risk of dying from any SPCs was statistically significantly higher for 27 of 30 FPC types as compared with risks in the general population. Among women, the overall risk of developing any SPCs was statistically significantly higher for 21 of the 31 FPC types, and risk of dying from any SPCs was statistically significantly higher for 28 of 31 FPC types as compared with risks in the general population. The highest overall SIR and SMR were estimated among survivors of laryngeal cancer (SIR, 1.75 [95% CI, 1.68-1.83]; incidence, 373 per 10 000 person-years) and gallbladder cancer (SMR, 3.82 [95% CI, 3.31-4.39]; mortality, 341 per 10 000 person-years) among men, and among survivors of laryngeal cancer (SIR, 2.48 [95% CI, 2.27-2.72]; incidence, 336 per 10 000 person-years; SMR, 4.56 [95% CI, 4.11-5.06]; mortality, 268 per 10 000 person-years) among women. Substantial variation existed in the associations of specific types of FPCs with specific types of SPC risk; however, only a few smoking- or obesity-associated SPCs, such as lung, urinary bladder, oral cavity/pharynx, colorectal, pancreatic, uterine corpus, and liver cancers constituted considerable proportions of the total incidence and mortality, with lung cancer alone accounting for 31% to 33% of mortality from all SPCs.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

Among survivors of adult-onset cancers in the United States, several types of primary cancer were significantly associated with greater risk of developing and dying from an SPC, compared with the general population. Cancers associated with smoking or obesity comprised substantial proportions of overall SPC incidence and mortality among all survivors and highlight the importance of ongoing surveillance and efforts to prevent new cancers among survivors.

Divergent breast cancer incidence trends by hormone receptor status in the state of Sarawak, Malaysia

Recent studies from high-risk countries such as the US, Denmark and Ireland have shown rising incidence rates of hormone receptor (HR)-positive and falling rates of HR-negative breast cancers (BC). However, it remains unclear whether a similar pattern occurs in low-risk countries. Detailed clinical and risk factor data were collected from 2,977 female invasive BC patients (≥20 years) in Sarawak General Hospital, Malaysia, representing 93% of the population. The population-at-risk was obtained from the Department of Statistics Malaysia. Secular trends in age-standardized incidence rates were assessed using estimated average annual percent changes. Associations between established BC risk factors and tumor subtypes defined by HR or joint human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HR/HER2) status were examined by case-case comparisons using logistic regression. From 2006 to 2015, incidence rates increased for HR-positive cancers by 4.46%/year (95% CI = 2.19-6.78) and decreased for HR-negative cancers by 2.29%/year (95% CI = -4.31 to -0.24). When further stratified by HER2, the most contrasting difference in linear trends was observed between HR+/HER2- and HR-/HER2- subtypes. After controlling for potential confounders, cases with excess body weight (OR_{overweight vs. normal} = 0.82; 95% CI = 0.69-0.98; OR_{obese vs. normal} = 0.62; 95% CI = 0.48-0.80), later age at first birth (OR_{≥26 years vs. <23 years} = 0.82; 95% CI = 0.66-1.02), nulliparity (OR_{nulliparous vs. <23 years} = 0.74; 95% CI = 0.59-0.94) and never-breastfeeding (OR_{never vs. ever} = 0.73; 95% CI = 0.55-0.97) were less frequent among HR-negative cases than among HR-positive cases. Diverging incidence trends by HR expression were similar in Sarawak and Western countries, possibly reflecting changes in the prevalence of risk factors with opposing effects by tumor subtypes in low- and high-risk populations.

Global burden and trends in premenopausal and postmenopausal breast cancer: a population-based study

BACKGROUND

Breast cancer has distinct causes, prognoses, and outcomes and effects in patients at premenopausal and postmenopausal ages. We sought to assess the global burden and trends in breast cancer by menopausal status.

METHODS

We did a population-based analysis of global breast cancer incidence and mortality among premenopausal and postmenopausal women. Menopausal status was defined using age as a proxy, whereby breast cancer cases or deaths at age 50 years or older were regarded as postmenopausal. Age-standardised breast cancer incidence and mortality in 2018 were calculated using GLOBOCAN data. Incidence trends for 1998-2012 were assessed in 44 populations from 41 countries using the Cancer in Five Continents plus database, by calculating the annual average percent change.

FINDINGS

Approximately 645 000 premenopausal and 1·4 million postmenopausal breast cancer cases were diagnosed worldwide in 2018, with more than 130 000 and 490 000 deaths occurring in each menopausal group, respectively. Proportionally, countries with a low UNDP human development index (HDI) faced a greater burden of premenopausal breast cancer for both new cases and deaths compared with higher income countries. Countries with a very high HDI had the highest premenopausal and postmenopausal breast cancer incidence (30·6 and 253·6 cases per 100 000, respectively), whereas countries with low and medium HDI had the highest premenopausal and postmenopausal mortality, respectively (8·5 and 53·3 deaths per 100 000, respectively). When examining breast cancer trends, we noted significantly increasing age-standardised incidence rates (ASIRs) for premenopausal breast cancer in 20 of 44 populations and significantly increasing ASIRs for postmenopausal breast cancer in 24 of 44 populations. The growth exclusively at premenopausal ages largely occurred in high-income countries, whereas the increasing postmenopausal breast cancer burden was most notable in countries under transition.

INTERPRETATION

We provide evidence of a rising burden of both premenopausal and postmenopausal breast cancer worldwide. Although early diagnosis and access to treatment remain crucial in low-income and middle-income countries, primary prevention efforts seeking to decrease exposure to known breast cancer risk factors are warranted in all world regions to curb the future breast cancer burden.

FUNDING

None.

Patterns of the risk for subsequent primary cancer among survivors of adult-onset cancers in the United States

12060

Background: The number of cancer survivors who develop new cancers is projected to grow in the US. Few studies, however, have provided a comprehensive overview of the contemporary pattern in the risk of subsequent primary cancer (SPC) among survivors of adult-onset cancers. Herein, we evaluate overall and type-specific risks of SPCs among adult-onset cancer survivors by first primary cancer types and sex. Methods: We assessed the excess risk of SPCs among 1,442,374 persons aged 20-84 years who were diagnosed with first primary cancers from 1992-2010 and survived ≥5 years in the 12 Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results registries. We expressed the risks using excess absolute risk (EAR) per 10,000 person-years and standardized incidence ratio (SIR) by first primary cancer types and sex, compared to those expected in the general population. We also estimated percent contributions of each specific type of SPCs to the total EAR for all first primary cancers combined by sex. Results: The overall risk of SPCs was higher than expected for 24 of the 34 first primary types among male survivors and for 28 of the 35 first primary types among female survivors. The greatest SIR and EAR were estimated after laryngeal cancer in both men (SIR = 1.74, 95%CI = 1.67-1.82; EAR = 159.3, 95%CI = 143.6-175.5) and women (SIR = 2.48, 95% CI = 2.26-2.73; EAR = 202.7; 95%CI = 171.8-236). There were 290 type-specific associations with significantly higher risk of SPC, 36% of which being reciprocal, predominantly among smoking-associated, HPV-associated, and hematologic cancers. The SIRs in men ranged from 1.05 (95%CI = 1.00-1.10; EAR = 1.69) for lung/bronchus cancer after colorectal cancer to 73.9 (95%CI = 58.3-92.3; EAR = 23.3) for anal cancer after Kaposi sarcoma; and in women the SIRs ranged from 1.08 (95%CI = 1.02-1.15; EAR = 0.36) for pancreatic cancer after breast cancer to 19.9 (95%CI = 15.0-26.0; EAR = 39.5) for oral cavity/pharyngeal cancer after laryngeal cancer. For all first primary cancers combined, lung/bronchus cancer comprised the greatest proportion of the total EAR of SPCs, 34.6% in men and 29.1% in women, followed by urinary bladder (11.8%) and oral cavity/pharynx (7.5%) in men and by corpus uterus (12.9%) and colorectum (7.6%) in women. Conclusions: Despite the substantial heterogeneity in the risk of SPCs across the first primary types, only a few cancers comprised a considerable proportion of the total excess risk among survivors. Better understanding of contributing factors to these patterns will inform survivorship care plans and care delivery.

Subtype-Specific Breast Cancer Incidence Rates in Black versus White Men in the United States

Compared with white women, black women have higher incidence rates for triple-negative breast cancer but lower rates for hormone receptor (HR)–positive cancers in the United States. Whether similar racial difference occurs in male breast cancer is unclear. We examined racial differences in incidence rates of breast cancer subtypes defined by HR and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) by sex using nationwide data from 2010 to 2016. Among men, rates were higher in blacks than whites for all subtypes, with the black-to-white incidence rate ratios of 1.41 (95% confidence interval [CI ]= 1.32 to 1.50) for HR+/HER-, 1.65 (95% CI = 1.40 to 1.93) for HR+/HER2+, 2.62 (95% CI = 1.48 to 4.43) for HR-/HER2+, and 2.27 (95% CI = 1.67 to 3.03) for triple-negative subtype. Conversely, among women, rates in blacks were 21% lower for HR+/HER2- and comparable for HR+/HER2+ but 29% and 93% higher for HR-/HER2+ and triple-negative subtypes, respectively. Future studies are needed to identify contributing factors to the dissimilar racial patterns in breast cancer subtype incidence between men and women.

Clinicopathological and epidemiological significance of breast cancer subtype reclassification based on p53 immunohistochemical expression

TP53 mutations are common in breast cancer and are typically associated with more aggressive tumor characteristics, but little is known about the clinicopathological and epidemiological relevance of p53 protein expression, a TP53 mutation surrogate, in breast cancer subtypes. In this study of 7226 Chinese women with invasive breast cancer, we defined breast cancer subtypes using immunohistochemical (IHC) measures of hormone receptors and HER2 in conjunction with histologic grade. p53 expression status was then used to further stratify subtypes into p53-positive and p53-negative. Odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) in case-only logistic regression analyses were used to examine heterogeneity across different subtypes. The frequency of p53 protein expression varied by breast cancer subtype, being lowest in the luminal A-like and highest in the triple-negative and HER2-enriched subtypes (P-value < 0.01). In luminal A-like and B-like/HER2-negative subtypes, p53 positivity was associated with early-onset tumors, high grade, high proliferative index, and basal marker (CK5/6 and EGFR) expression. Further, compared with luminal A-like/p53-negative patients, A-like/p53-positive patients were more likely to be parous [adjusted OR parous vs. nulliparous = 2.67 (1.60, 4.51); P-value < 0.01] and to have breastfed [adjusted OR ever vs. never = 1.38 (1.03, 1.85); P-value = 0.03]. p53 positivity was not associated with examined clinical and risk factors in other tumor subtypes. Overall, these findings suggest that p53 expression, which is readily available in many settings, can be used to identify phenotypes of luminal A-like breast cancer with distinct clinical and epidemiological implications.

Abstract 2905: Clinical features in relation to age at diagnosis in luminal breast cancer patients: A hospital-based case series study in Beijing, China

Background

Breast cancer (BC) is a heterogenous disease that can be classified into various molecular subtypes. Patients with younger age at diagnosis are less likely to develop luminal A cancers. However, a large proportion of early-onset luminal BCs are seen among Asian BC patients. While this may be explained by the increasing exposure to Westernized lifestyle, germline genetics, breast density, or immune factors may also give rise to a distinct age-related biology in Asian BC. We investigated several tumor characteristics in luminal BC patients with respect to age, among women in Beijing, China.

Methods

Subjects in this study were diagnosed with invasive breast cancer and treated at the Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing, between 2008-2016. 7,543 luminal cases (ER+ and/or PR+), were further defined as Luminal A: ER+, PR+, HER2-, low grade (1/2); Luminal B/high grade: ER+ and/or PR+, HER2-, high grade (3); Luminal B/HER2+: ER+ and/or PR+, HER2+. Patients were divided into four age groups: &lt;40 (12.1%), 40-50 (34.2%), 50-60 (32.2%), and 60+ (21.5%) years old. We investigated the associations between age and tumor markers (ER, PR, HER2, KI67, P53, CK5/6, and EGFR) and features (tumor size, lymph node involvement, and histologic grade) using unconditional logistic regression.

Results

The mean age at diagnosis among these cases was 51.5 years (SD=10.8). Compared to older women (60+), patients diagnosed &lt;40 years old were more likely to have lower ER percentage/intensity, to be positive for HER2, P53, and EGFR, to have higher KI67, and luminal B/HER2+ tumors (p-values=&lt;.0001). PR showed a different and interesting pattern among patients in age group 40-50, who had higher values of PR percentage/intensity compared to women 60+ years old. After mutually adjusting for the significant tumor features, the associations for ER [OR&lt;40 vs 60+=0.34 (0.21, 0.55), OR40-50 vs 60+=0.22 (0.15, 0.32), strong vs. weak staining] and PR [OR&lt;40 vs 60+=2.95 (2.00, 4.35), OR40-50 vs 60+=4.22 (3.13, 5.68), strong vs. weak staining], HER2 positivity [OR&lt;40 vs 60+=1.60 (1.15, 2.23)], KI67 [OR&lt;40 vs 60+=1.52 (1.04, 2.21), quartile 4 vs. 1], and lymph nodal involvement [OR&lt;40 vs 60+=1.87 (1.38, 2.51)] remained significant. While younger patients in general were more likely to have luminal B/HER2+ tumors, women in age group 40-50 were less likely to develop luminal B/high grade BC [OR40-50 vs 60+=0.78 (0.63, 0.97)] compared to women 60+ years old.

Conclusion

We observed the known associations between younger age at diagnosis and more aggressive tumor features. We also found that patients in the age 40-50 group showed interesting associations with PR and the luminal B/high grade subtype. We intend to replicate these results in other Asian datasets and to explore the age associations with etiologic factors.

Citation Format: Hela Koka, Changyuan Guo, Mustapha Abubakar, Hyuna Sung, Hyuna Sung, Bin Zhuo, Eric Tang, Joseph Deng, Nan Hu, Ning Lu, Xiaohong R. Yang. Clinical features in relation to age at diagnosis in luminal breast cancer patients: A hospital-based case series study in Beijing, China [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2019; 2019 Mar 29-Apr 3; Atlanta, GA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2019;79(13 Suppl):Abstract nr 2905.

Associations between mammographic density and tumor characteristics in Chinese women with breast cancer

PURPOSE

Mammographic density (MD) is a strong risk factor for breast cancer, yet its relationship with tumor characteristics is not well established, particularly in Asian populations.

METHODS

MD was assessed from a total of 2001 Chinese breast cancer patients using Breast Imaging Reporting and Data System (BI-RADS) categories. Molecular subtypes were defined using immunohistochemical status on ER, PR, HER2, and Ki-67, as well as tumor grade. Multinomial logistic regression was used to test associations between MD and molecular subtype (luminal A = reference) adjusting for age, body mass index (BMI), menopausal status, parity, and nodal status.

RESULTS

The mean age at diagnosis was 51.7 years (SD = 10.7) and the average BMI was 24.7 kg/m² (SD = 3.8). The distribution of BI-RADS categories was 7.4% A = almost entirely fat, 24.2% B = scattered fibroglandular dense, 49.4% C = heterogeneously dense, and 19.0% D = extremely dense. Compared to women with BI-RADS = A/B, women with BI-RADS = D were more likely to have HER2-enriched tumors (OR = 1.81, 95% CI 1.08-3.06, p = 0.03), regardless of menopausal status. The association was only observed in women with normal (< 25 kg/m²) BMI (OR = 2.43, 95% CI 1.24-4.76, p < 0.01), but not among overweight/obese women (OR: 0.98, 95% CI 0.38-2.52, p = 0.96).

CONCLUSIONS

Among Chinese women with normal BMI, higher breast density was associated with HER2-enriched tumors. The results may partially explain the higher proportion of HER2+ tumors previously reported in Asian women.

Global patterns in excess body weight and the associated cancer burden

The prevalence of excess body weight and the associated cancer burden have been rising over the past several decades globally. Between 1975 and 2016, the prevalence of excess body weight in adults-defined as a body mass index (BMI) ≥ 25 kg/m² -increased from nearly 21% in men and 24% in women to approximately 40% in both sexes. Notably, the prevalence of obesity (BMI ≥ 30 kg/m² ) quadrupled in men, from 3% to 12%, and more than doubled in women, from 7% to 16%. This change, combined with population growth, resulted in a more than 6-fold increase in the number of obese adults, from 100 to 671 million. The largest absolute increase in obesity occurred among men and boys in high-income Western countries and among women and girls in Central Asia, the Middle East, and North Africa. The simultaneous rise in excess body weight in almost all countries is thought to be driven largely by changes in the global food system, which promotes energy-dense, nutrient-poor foods, alongside reduced opportunities for physical activity. In 2012, excess body weight accounted for approximately 3.9% of all cancers (544,300 cases) with proportion varying from less than 1% in low-income countries to 7% or 8% in some high-income Western countries and in Middle Eastern and Northern African countries. The attributable burden by sex was higher for women (368,500 cases) than for men (175,800 cases). Given the pandemic proportion of excess body weight in high-income countries and the increasing prevalence in low- and middle-income countries, the global cancer burden attributable to this condition is likely to increase in the future. There is emerging consensus on opportunities for obesity control through the multisectoral coordinated implementation of core policy actions to promote an environment conducive to a healthy diet and active living. The rapid increase in both the prevalence of excess body weight and the associated cancer burden highlights the need for a rejuvenated focus on identifying, implementing, and evaluating interventions to prevent and control excess body weight.

Abstract P1-09-12: TP53 expression in relation to clinical and etiologic factors in breast cancer subtypes

TP53 is a well-known tumor suppressor gene and mutations in TP53 are the most frequent genomic event in most cancers including breast cancer. Recent studies have shown that the frequency, spectrum, timing, and clinical implications of TP53 mutations varied in different molecular subtypes of breast cancer. For example, the frequency of TP53 mutations is the highest in basal-like subtype and lowest in luminal A tumors. However, the evaluation of TP53 protein expression, as a surrogate for TP53 mutations, in large studies in the context of tumor subtypes is limited. In addition, the etiologic relevance of TP53 expression is yet to be investigated. The goal of this study is to evaluate the association of clinical and breast cancer risk factors with TP53 expression, measured using immunohistochemistry (IHC), in breast cancer molecular subtypes. The analysis included 7,226 women with invasive breast cancer who were diagnosed and treated in a tertiary hospital in Beijing, China. Subtypes were defined as Luminal A: ER+ and PR+, HER2–, and low grade (grades 1 or 2); luminal B/HER2–: ER+ and/or PR+, HER2–, and high grade (grade 3); luminal B/HER2+: ER+ and/or PR+, HER2+ (regardless of grade); HER2-enriched: ER–, PR–, and HER2+; Triple-negative (TN): ER–, PR–, and HER2–. As expected, positive TP53 staining showed the lowest frequency in the luminal A (46%) and highest in the TN (61%) and HER2-enriched (63%) subtypes (P-value &lt;0.001). Overall and particularly in luminal A patients, positive TP53 staining was associated with higher frequencies of aggressive tumor features such as higher grade, larger tumor size, higher proliferative index, and EGFR expression. Compared with TP53– patients, TP53+ patients were more likely to have younger ages at onset and increased parity, but these associations were largely driven by the luminal A subtype [OR (95% CI) vs nulliparity = 2.67 (1.59, 4.51); 2.63 (1.52, 4.55); 3.68 (2.01, 6.72) for 1, 2, and ≥3 children, respectively (P-trend = 0.006)]. Luminal A/TP53+ patients were also more likely to have breastfed [OR (95% CI) ever vs never = 1.38 (1.03, 1.85)] than luminal A/TP53– patients. These findings suggest that TP53 IHC staining might be used to further refine the classification of luminal A breast cancer into subgroups with distinct clinical and etiologic relevance.

Citation Format: Yang XR, Abubakar M, Guo C, Koka H, Sung H, Guida J, Deng J, Zhou B, Hu N, Lu N. TP53 expression in relation to clinical and etiologic factors in breast cancer subtypes [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2018 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2018 Dec 4-8; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2019;79(4 Suppl):Abstract nr P1-09-12.

Emerging cancer trends among young adults in the USA: analysis of a population-based cancer registry

BACKGROUND

Cancer trends in young adults, often under 50 years, reflect recent changes in carcinogenic exposures, which could foreshadow the future overall disease burden. Previous studies reported an increase in early onset colorectal cancer, which could partly reflect the obesity epidemic. We examined age-specific contemporary incidence trends in the USA for 30 common cancers, including 12 obesity-related cancers.

METHODS

We obtained incidence data for invasive cancers among people aged 25-84 years diagnosed from Jan 1, 1995, to Dec 31, 2014, for 25 population-based state registries in the USA. All patients in the registry were included in the analyses. We considered the 20 most common cancer types and 12 obesity-related cancers (30 cancer types in total). We used age-period-cohort modelling to estimate average annual percentage change in incidence rates by 5-year age group (25-29 years to 80-84 years in 5-year increments) and incidence rate ratios (IRR) by birth cohort (10-year overlapping birth cohorts from 1910-19 to 1980-89 in 5-year increments). No exclusion criteria were applied after including all invasive cancer cases based on age group and diagnosis year.

FINDINGS

From 1995 to 2014 there were 14 672 409 incident cases for 30 types of cancer. Incidence significantly increased for six of 12 obesity-related cancers (multiple myeloma, colorectal, uterine corpus, gallbladder, kidney, and pancreatic cancer) in young adults (25-49 years) with steeper rises in successively younger generations. Annual increases ranged from 1·44% (95% CI -0·60 to 3·53) for multiple myeloma to 6·23% (5·32-7·14) for kidney cancer at age 25-29 years, and ranged from 0·37% (0·03-0·72) for uterine corpus cancer to 2·95% (2·74-3·16) for kidney cancer at age 45-49 years. Compared with people born around 1950, IRRs for those born around 1985 ranged from 1·59 (95% CI 1·14-2·21) for multiple myeloma to 4·91 (4·27-5·65) for kidney cancer. Conversely, incidence in young adults increased in successively younger generations for only two cancers (gastric non-cardia cancer and leukaemia), and decreased for eight of the 18 additional cancers, including smoking and HIV infection-associated cancers.

INTERPRETATION

The risk of developing an obesity-related cancer seems to be increasing in a stepwise manner in successively younger birth cohorts in the USA. Further studies are needed to elucidate exposures responsible for these emerging trends, including excess bodyweight and other risk factors.

FUNDING

Intramural Research Department of the American Cancer Society and the Intramural Research Program of the National Cancer Institute.

The relationship between terminal duct lobular unit features and mammographic density among Chinese breast cancer patients

Extensive mammographic density (MD), a well-established breast cancer risk factor, is a radiological representation of stromal and epithelial breast tissue content. In studies conducted predominantly among Caucasian women, histologic measures of reduced terminal duct lobular unit (TDLU) involution have been correlated with extensive MD, but independently associated with breast cancer risk. We therefore examined associations between TDLU measures and MD among Chinese women, a low-risk population but with high prevalence of dense breasts. Diagnostic pre-treatment digital mammograms were obtained from 144 breast cancer cases at a tertiary hospital in Beijing and scored using the Breast Imaging Reporting and Data System (BI-RADS) density classification. TDLU features were assessed using three standardized measures (count/100 mm² , span [μm], and acini count/TDLU) in benign tissues. Associations between each of TDLU measures and MD were examined using generalized linear models for TDLU count and span and polytomous logistic regression for acini count with adjustment for potential confounders stratified by age. Among women ≥50 years, 63% had dense breasts; cases with dense breasts (BI-RADS, c-d) had greater TDLU count (21.1 [SE = 2.70] vs. 9.0 [SE = 1.83]; p = 0.0004), longer span (480.6 μm [SE = 24.6] vs. 393.8 μm [SE = 31.8]; p = 0.03), and greater acini count (OR_trend = 16.1; 95%CI = 4.08-63.1; p_trend < 0.0001) compared to those with non-dense breasts (BI-RADS, a-b). Among women <50 years, 91% had dense breasts, precluding our ability to detect associations. Our findings are consistent with previously reported associations between extensive MD and reduced TDLU involution, supporting the hypothesis that breast cancer risk associated with extensive MD may be related to the amount of "at-risk" epithelium.