Prevalence of multiple sclerosis in the L'Aquila district, central Italy

Systematic literature review and meta-analysis of the prevalence of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis in the USA, Europe, Canada, Australia, and Brazil

Background

Secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (SPMS) is a subtype of multiple sclerosis (MS), which is a chronic neurological disease, characterised by inflammation of the central nervous system. Most of MS patients eventually progress to SPMS. This study estimates the prevalence of SPMS in the United States of America, Europe, Canada, Australia, and Brazil.

Methods

A systematic literature search of the Medline and Embase databases was performed using the OVID™ SP platform to identify MS epidemiological studies published in English from database inception to September 22, 2020. Studies reporting the prevalence of MS and proportion of SPMS patients in the included population were selected. The pooled prevalence of SPMS was calculated based on the proportion of SPMS patients. The Loney quality assessment checklist was used for quality grading. A meta-analysis of the proportions was conducted in RStudio.

Results

A total of 4754 articles were retrieved, and prevalence was calculated from 97 relevant studies. Overall, 86 medium- and high-quality studies were included in the meta-analysis. Most studies were conducted in European countries (84 studies). The estimated pooled prevalence of SPMS was 22.42 (99% confidence interval: 18.30, 26.95)/100,000. The prevalence of SPMS was more in the North European countries, highest in Sweden and lowest in Brazil. A decline in SPMS prevalence was observed since the availability of oral disease-modifying therapies. We also observed a regional variation of higher SPMS prevalence in urban areas compared with rural areas.

Conclusion

High variability was observed in the estimated SPMS prevalence, and the quality of the studies conducted. The influence of latitude and other factors known to affect overall MS prevalence did not fully explain the wide range of inter-country and intra-country variability identified in the results.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12883-022-02820-0.

Geography of hospital admissions for multiple sclerosis in Greece

BACKGROUND

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is the 2^nd most common, disability causing neurological disorder in young adults, known for its differences in prevalence according to geographical position. Data on MS epidemiology is lacking in Greece. In this study, we aimed to examine the pattern of MS related hospital admissions in Greece and analyze their spatial distribution. Data for hospital admissions due to MS was obtained from the Hellenic Statistical Authority (ELSTAT) database and they were available from 1999 to 2012.

METHODS

We used the proportional hospitalization ratio (PHR) which was age and sex adjusted according to hospitalizations of Greek population, in order to calculate the ratio between hospitalizations in each regional unit (RU) and hospitalizations of national population. PHR was calculated for each RU, which is categorized as level 3 based on the Nomenclature of Territorial Units for Statistics (NUTS level 3). The classification of MS was based on International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision (ICD-9), code 340. Descriptive analysis was conducted to understand the epidemiological characteristics and time series analysis was used to investigate the trend of annual PHR's values during the study period. Global spatial autocorrelation analysis was conducted to assess spatial homogeneity of MS across the country. Moreover, local spatial autocorrelation analysis was performed using the LISA statistic to detect any potential clusters of similar values. Finally, multiple linear regression was conducted to examine correlations between PHR and latitude.

RESULTS

Over the 14-year period the number of hospitalizations increased while the proportion of hospitalizations remained higher for females compared to males, as well as for the 25-44 year age group. RUs that appeared to be most affected included Evros with a sex- and age- adjusted PHR of 2.00 (95%CI: 1.89-2.10), Larisa with a PHR of 1.74 (95%CI: 1.67-1.81) and Chios with a PHR of 1.77 (95%CI: 1.60-1.95). The least affected RU was Arkadia with a PHR of 0.29 (95%CI: 0.24-0.36).

CONCLUSION

In this study we present a rise in hospital admissions related to MS over a 14-year period, possibly indicating a parallel rise in incidence. A combinational analysis of the number of hospitalizations along with incidence studies could be further performed to be used to design public health interventions.

The Prevalence of Multiple Sclerosis in the Metropolitan Area of Rome: A Capture-Recapture Analysis

BACKGROUND

Limited data are available on the prevalence of multiple sclerosis (MS) in central Italy. The objective of this study is to estimate MS prevalence in the metropolitan area of Rome.

METHODS

We used the capture-recapture method to calculate prevalence estimates in the study area. The selected prevalence day was December 31, 2015. A total of 1,007 patients, with a definite diagnosis of MS according to the revised McDonald's criteria, were considered for crude, age- and sex-specific prevalence estimation.

RESULTS

The overall crude prevalence rate was 146.2 cases per 100,000 (95% CI 119.9-172.5). A higher prevalence rate was recorded in females (194.1, 95% CI 149.6-238.6) than in males (93.0, 95% CI 67.2-118.8) with a female to male ratio of 1.8. Age-specific prevalence peaked in the 25-34 , 35-44 and 45-54 years class; moreover, it was found to increase up to the 45-54 years age group in females and the 35-44 years age group in males, decreasing thereafter.

CONCLUSION

The results confirm that the metropolitan area of Rome is a high-risk area for MS.

Prevalence of multiple sclerosis in the Lazio region, Italy: use of an algorithm based on health information systems

Compared with other areas of the country, very limited data are available on multiple sclerosis (MS) prevalence in Central Italy. We aimed to estimate MS prevalence in the Lazio region and its geographical distribution using regional health information systems (HIS). To identify MS cases we used data from drug prescription, hospital discharge and ticket exemption registries. Crude, age- and gender-specific prevalence estimates on December 31, 2011 were calculated. To compare MS prevalence between different areas within the region, we calculated age- and gender-adjusted prevalence and prevalence ratios using a multivariate Poisson regression model. Crude prevalence rate was 130.5/100,000 (95 % CI 127.5–133.5): 89.7/100,000 for males and 167.9/100,000 for females. The overall prevalence rate standardized to the European Standard Population was 119.6/100,000 (95 % CI 116.8–122.4). We observed significant differences in MS prevalence within the region, with estimates ranging from 96.3 (95 % CI 86.4–107.3) for Latina to 169.6 (95 % CI 147.6–194.9) for Rieti. Most districts close to the coast showed lower prevalence estimates compared to those situated in the eastern mountainous area of the region. In conclusion, this study produced a MS prevalence estimate at regional level using population-based health administrative databases. Our results showed the Lazio region is a high-risk area for MS, although with an uneven geographical distribution. While some limitations must be considered including possible prevalence underestimation, HIS represent a valuable source of information to measure the burden of SM, useful for epidemiological surveillance and healthcare planning.

Incidence and prevalence of multiple sclerosis in Europe: a systematic review

BACKGROUND

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is the most common cause of neurological disability in young adults worldwide and approximately half of those affected are in Europe. The assessment of differential incidence and prevalence across populations can reveal spatial, temporal and demographic patterns which are important for identifying genetic and environmental factors contributing to MS. However, study methodologies vary and the quality of the methods can influence the estimates. This study aimed to systematically review European studies of incidence and prevalence of MS and to provide a quantitative assessment of their methodological quality.

METHODS

A comprehensive literature search was performed to obtain all original population-based studies of MS incidence and prevalence in European populations conducted and published between January 1985 and January 2011. Only peer-reviewed full-text articles published in English or French were included. All abstracts were screened for eligibility and two trained reviewers abstracted the data and graded the quality of each study using a tool specifically designed for this study.

RESULTS

There were 123 studies that met the inclusion criteria. The study estimates were highly heterogeneous, even within regions or countries. Quality was generally higher in the more recent studies, which also tended to use current diagnostic criteria. Prevalence and incidence estimates tended to be higher in the more recent studies and were higher in the Nordic countries and in northern regions of the British Isles. With rare exceptions, prevalence and incidence estimates were higher in women with ratios as high as 3:1. Few studies examined ethnicity. Epidemiological data at the national level was uncommon and there were marked geographical disparities in available data, with large areas of Europe unrepresented and other regions well-represented in the literature. Only 37% of the studies provided standardized estimates.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite the breadth of the literature on the epidemiology of MS in Europe, inter-study comparisons are hampered by the lack of standardization. Further research should focus on regions not yet studied and the evaluation of ethnic differences in MS prevalence and incidence. National-level studies using current diagnostic criteria, validated case definitions and similar age- and sex-standardization would allow better geographical comparisons.

Geomagnetic disturbances may be environmental risk factor for multiple sclerosis: an ecological study of 111 locations in 24 countries

BACKGROUND

We noticed that a hypothesis based on the effect of geomagnetic disturbances (GMD) has the ability to explain special features of multiple sclerosis (MS). Areas around geomagnetic 60 degree latitude (GM60L) experience the greatest amount of GMD. The easiest way to evaluate our hypothesis was to test the association of MS prevalence (MSP) with angular distance to geomagnetic 60 degree latitude (AMAG60) and compare it with the known association of MS with geographical latitude (GL). We did the same with angular distance to geographic 60 degree latitude (AGRAPH60) as a control.

METHODS

English written papers with MSP keywords, done in Europe (EUR), North America (NA) or Australasia (AUS) were retrieved from the PubMed. Geomagnetic coordinates were determined for each location and AMAG60 was calculated as absolute value of numerical difference between its geomagnetic latitude from GM60L. By an ecological study with using meta-regression analyses, the relationship of MSP with GL, AMAG60 and AGRAPH60 were evaluated separately. MSP data were weighted by square root of number of prevalent cases. Models were compared by their adjusted R square (AR2) and standard error of estimate (SEE).

RESULTS

111 MSP data were entered in the study. In each continent, AMAG60 had the best correlation with MSP, the largest AR2 (0.47, 0.42 and 0.84 for EUR, NA and AUS, respectively) and the least SEE. Merging both hemispheres data, AMAG60 explained 56% of MSP variations with the least SEE (R = 0.75, AR2 = 0.56, SEE = 57), while GL explained 17% (R = 0.41, AR2 = 0.17, SEE = 78.5) and AGRAPH60 explained 12% of that variations with the highest SEE (R = 0.35, AR2 = 0.12, SEE = 80.5).

CONCLUSIONS

Our results confirmed that AMAG60 is the best describer of MSP variations and has the strongest association with MSP distribution. They clarified that the well-known latitudinal gradient of MSP may be actually a gradient related to GM60L. Moreover, the location of GM60L can elucidate why MSP has parabolic and linear gradient in the north and south hemisphere, respectively. This preliminary evaluation supported that GMD can be the mysterious environmental risk factor for MS. We believe that this hypothesis deserves to be considered for further validation studies.

Multiple sclerosis in Italy: cost-of-illness study

This study estimates the direct costs of multiple sclerosis (MS) in Italy from the perspective of the National Health System. Patients diagnosed with MS for ≥1 year prior to study entry were included in the analysis; neurological disability was assessed using the Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS). Cost variables were analyzed according to: MS phenotype, disease course over the previous year and EDSS rating. A total of 510 patients were included in the analysis. Overall costs were significantly higher for relapsing-remitting MS and secondary progressive MS than for primary progressive MS (P < 0.05). Costs were higher for EDSS scores 0.0-3.5 and 4.0-6.0 than for scores > 6.0 (P < 0.05). The extrapolated data gave an estimated annual direct cost of MS per patient of <euro>18,030. In conclusion, relapsing-remitting MS or secondary progressive MS phenotypes and lower estimated EDSS scores appear to be associated with higher costs.

A quantitative analysis of suspected environmental causes of MS

BACKGROUND

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a disease with purported environmental causes. Consistent correlations have been found in various settings for latitude, smoking exposure, sunlight, and vitamin D deficiency. We analysed the contribution of various environmental factors to the risk of developing MS from a population perspective.

METHODS

We collated global data of MS prevalence from 54 studies over the previous ten years and calculated the degree of risk contributed by latitude, longitude, ultraviolet radiation (from NASA satellite data and formulae for available sunlight hours), population smoking rates (from WHO data), gender, study date, study demographics, and several socioeconomic factors. We report a very significant negative correlation between MS prevalence and available ultraviolet (UV) radiation.

RESULTS

The lack of available UV radiation outweighs other factors by at least 20 fold (p < 10⁻⁸) from single variate regression analysis. Multiple regression analysis revealed that latitude and longitude are also significant factors; smoking may also provide a very minimal role. The eight prevalence studies from Scandinavia produced prevalences that were lower than expected, given their global geospatial positioning.

CONCLUSIONS

The available ultraviolet radiation is a significant environmental factor, more so than all the other factors examined.

Epidemiology of multiple sclerosis in Europe: a review

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a progressive demyelinating and degenerative disease of the CNS with symptoms dependent on the type of the disease and the site of lesions. During the progression of the disease, symptoms become more permanent and progressive disability ensues. MS is a disease characterized by wide variations between patients, thus making categorization difficult. The aim of the current study was to review the existing epidemiological data of MS in Europe published during the last decade (2000-2009), using PubMed. Findings revealed an increasing incidence of MS during the last decade. Recent data indicate that latitude does not play a key role in determining the onset of the disease. MS has a significant impact on the quality of life for most patients over many years. The disease is twice as common in women than in men, and is at its peak in the most economically productive years of life. Pregnancy, postpartum status and vaccines may influence the onset and the course of the disease. Only one of the reviewed papers provides a view of progression from onset to death.

The changing demographic pattern of multiple sclerosis epidemiology

The uneven distribution of multiple sclerosis (MS) across populations can be attributed to differences in genes and the environment and their interaction. Prevalence and incidence surveys could be affected by inaccuracy of diagnosis and ascertainment, and prevalence also depends on survival. These sources of error might play a part in the geographical and temporal variations. Our literature search and meta-regression analyses indicated an almost universal increase in prevalence and incidence of MS over time; they challenge the well accepted theory of a latitudinal gradient of incidence of MS in Europe and North America, while this gradient is still apparent for Australia and New Zealand; and suggest a general, although not ubiquitous, increase in incidence of MS in females. The latter observation should prompt epidemiological studies to focus on changes in lifestyle in females. New insights into gene-environment and gene-gene interactions complicate interpretations of demographic epidemiology and have made obsolete the idea of simple causative associations between genes or the environment and MS.

Prevalence and incidence of multiple sclerosis in Salerno (southern Italy) and its province

Many multiple sclerosis (MS) prevalence studies in Italian northern and central areas, since 1980, have put Italy in a high risk zone; none concerns southern Italy. The MS registry of Salerno Center was reviewed, including the city and 16 towns at different distances (9-149 km) better connected to our Center. Population screened: 259 681 persons (Salerno = 136 678; province = 123 003). Prevalence day was December 31, 2005. Data on 186 patients were collected of which 55 were males, 131 females; crude total prevalence = 71.6263 (62.03-82.303, ranging from 50.1128 (Oliveto Citra) to 431.499 (Controne). Salerno prevalence rate is 70.9697 (57.41-86.583); standardized = 72.02. Incidence rate ranges from 2.38585 (1.6-3.39) (1991-95) to 4.31997 (3.24-5.6) (2001-05). Our data can be underestimated because some patients could have skipped the local center. This emphasizes that the results, except for Sardinia, are comparable to Italian literature data. They confirm that this territory is a high risk area for MS. There is also an indirect indication against a latitude gradient for MS.

Analysis of nociception, sex and peripheral nerve innervation in the TMEV animal model of multiple sclerosis

Although pain was previously not considered an important element of multiple sclerosis (MS), recent evidence indicates that over 50% of MS patients suffer from chronic pain. In the present study, we utilized the Theiler's murine encephalomyelitis virus (TMEV) model of MS to examine whether changes in nociception occur during disease progression and to investigate whether sex influences the development of nociception or disease-associated neurological symptoms. Using the rotarod assay, TMEV infected male mice displayed increased neurological deficits when compared to TMEV infected female mice, which mimics what is observed in human MS. While both male and female TMEV infected mice exhibited thermal hyperalgesia and mechanical allodynia, female mice developed mechanical allodynia at a faster rate and displayed significantly more mechanical allodynia than male mice. Since neuropathic symptoms have been described in MS patients, we quantified sensory nerve fibers in the epidermis of TMEV-infected and non-infected mice to determine if there were alterations in epidermal nerve density. There was a significantly higher density of PGP9.5 and CGRP-immunoreactive axons in the epidermis of TMEV-infected mice versus controls. Collectively these results indicate that the TMEV model is well suited to study the mechanisms of MS-induced nociception and suggest that alterations in peripheral nerve innervation may contribute to MS pain.

The epidemiology of multiple sclerosis in Europe

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a chronic and potentially highly disabling disorder with considerable social impact and economic consequences. It is the major cause of non-traumatic disability in young adults. The social costs associated with MS are high because of its long duration, the early loss of productivity, the need for assistance in activities of daily living and the use of immunomodulatory treatments and multidisciplinary health care. Available MS epidemiological estimates are aimed at providing a measure of the disease burden in Europe. The total estimated prevalence rate of MS for the past three decades is 83 per 100,000 with higher rates in northern countries and a female:male ratio around 2.0. Prevalence rates are higher for women for all countries considered. The highest prevalence rates have been estimated for the age group 35-64 years for both sexes and for all countries. The estimated European mean annual MS incidence rate is 4.3 cases per 100,000. The mean distribution by disease course and by disability is also reported. Despite the wealth of epidemiological data on MS, comparing epidemiological indices among European countries is a hard task and often leads only to approximate estimates. This represents a major methodological concern when evaluating the MS burden in Europe and when implementing specific cost-of-illness studies.

The prevalence of multiple sclerosis in the District of Santarém, Portugal

The prevalence of multiple sclerosis (MS) in Portugal is still unknown. Recent studies conducted in southern European countries showed higher than expected rates of MS prevalence. In an attempt to evaluate the MS prevalence in Santarém--a district with 62621 inhabitants (1991 census) located in the centre of Portugal--we have conducted a population survey in this district for five years. The crude prevalence rate found was 46.3/100,000. This figure is not different from findings recently reported in studies conducted at similar latitudes in neighbour southern European countries. This was the first population survey conducted in Portugal, and it is the first accurate contribution to the knowledge of the MS prevalence in this country.

The prevalence of multiple sclerosis in the north?west Italian province of Genoa

The objective of this study was to assess the prevalence of multiple sclerosis (MS), calculated as point prevalence on 31 December 1997, in the province of Genoa, North-western Italy.

METHODS

The province of Genoa is located in North-western Italy, an area of 1,835 km(2). On the point prevalence day the population consisted of 913,218 inhabitants. MS cases were identified by analysing archives of the hospitals with neurological or rehabilitation wards, neurologists serving the community, files of local chapters of the Italian MS society, all requests for oligoclonal bands analysis on CSF in the studied area. Patients included in the study were MS cases diagnosed before 31 December 1997 according to the Poser criteria resident in the province under study.

RESULTS

A total of 857 subjects were alive and residing in the province of Genoa on the prevalence day. The overall crude prevalence rate was 94 per 100,000 (95% CI 88-100); 291 were males (34%) with a crude prevalence of 67 per 100,000 (95 % CI 60-76) and 566 were females (66%) with a prevalence of 118 per 100,000 (95% CI 108-128). The female/male ratio was 1.9. When age and sex were adjusted to the Italian standard population of 1991 prevalence was 85 per 100,000. Five hundred and thirty two out of the 857 patients agreed to be interviewed. The interviewed sample was representative of the prevalence sample: sex and gender distributions were identical in the two samples. The overall mean age was 48 (+/-13) years (48 +/-12 years in males; 48+/-14 years in females). Mean disease duration was 15 (+/-10) years for males and 16 (+/-11) years for females. Two hundred and ninety one (55 %) subjects had a relapsing remitting (RR) clinical course, 150 (28%) were secondary progressive (SP) and 91 (17%) were primary progressive (PP). Mean EDSS score was 5 (+/- 2; median 5). The mean age at time of onset was 33 (+/-10) years for males and 32 (+/- 11) years for females. The disease onset was monosymptomatic in 76% (n=407) patients and polysymptomatic in 24% (n=125). The mean length of time between clinical onset and diagnosis was 5 (+/- 6) years.

CONCLUSION

We confirmed that the province of Genoa is a very high risk area for MS. We found a high rate of patients with a PP course; also the proportion of patients with high disability scores is greater compared to previous studies.

Multiple sclerosis in twins from continental Italy and Sardinia: A nationwide study

Knowledge about the balance between heritable and nonheritable risk in multiple sclerosis (MS) is based on twin studies in high-prevalence areas. In a study that avoided ascertainment limitations and directly compared continental Italy (medium-prevalence) and Sardinia (high-prevalence), we ascertained 216 pairs from 34,549 patients. This gives a twinning rate of 0.62% among MS patients, significantly less than that of the general population. In continental Italy, probandwise concordance was 14.5% (95% confidence interval, 5.1-23.8) for monozygotic and 4.0% (95% confidence interval, 0.8-7.1) for dizygotic twins. Results in Sardinia resemble those in northern populations but in limited numbers. Monozygotic concordance was 22.2% (95% confidence interval, 0-49.3) probandwise, but no concordant dizygotic pairs were identified. A questionnaire on 80 items possibly related to disease cause was administered to 70 twin pairs, 135 sporadic patients, and 135 healthy volunteers. Variables positively (7) or negatively (2) associated with predisposition and concordance in twins largely overlapped and were mainly linked to infection. If compared with previous studies, our data demonstrate that penetrance in twins appears to correlate with MS prevalence. They highlight the relevance of nonheritable variables in Mediterranean areas. The apparent underrepresentation of MS among Italian twins draws attention to protective factors, shared by twins, that may influence susceptibility.

European validation of a standardized clinical description of multiple sclerosis

OBJECTIVES

The EDMUS system is a clinical database specifically tailored to the description of multiple sclerosis (MS). The EVALUED (Evaluation of the EDMUS system) study is an European project with two objectives: 1) to assess the inter-examiner reliability of the whole EDMUS system; 2) to validate the EDMUS-Grading Scale (EGS),which is a simplified version of the Kurtzke Disability Status Scale (DSS).

METHODS

The protocol included 12 neurologists working in pairs within six European centres (Bari, Basel, Florence, London, Lyon, Würzburg). They assessed independently 30 MS patients in their centre, filling in the EDMUS forms. The reliability of the system was assessed on selected key items in the history of the MS onset, the clinical course and the disease course classification. The clinical examination of the patients permitted an assessment of the Kurtzke Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) and the EGS. Level of agreement was measured in terms of kappa and weighted kappa indexes whenever appropriate.

RESULTS

The study included 180 patients with definite or probable MS of whom 37% were males. Age was 35.8+/-9.6 years (mean +/- SD), disease duration 7.8+/-5.7 years, and mean EDSS score 4.1+/-2.2. The disease course was relapsing-remitting in 67%, secondary progressive in 22%, and progressive from disease onset in 11%. For key items of the history, the inter-examiner reliability level ranged from moderate to excellent. Concerning the disability scales, perfect agreement was reached in 59 % for EDSS and 78% for EGS. The close correlation and linear association (r=0.94, p<0.0001) between both scales demonstrated EGS's construct validity.

CONCLUSION

The EDMUS system allows a consistent clinical description of MS using a common language. This standardized follow-up of MS patients is valuable especially in studies requiring a critical mass of informative patients.

Prevalence of multiple sclerosis in Asahikawa, a city in northern Japan

Twenty-two years after the first survey, a follow-up study was performed on the prevalence of multiple sclerosis (MS) in Asahikawa, a city in northern Japan. The crude prevalence of MS rose from 2.5/100,000 (in 1975) to 10.2/100,000 (in 2002). The clinical diagnosis was established using the Poser diagnostic criteria, and the degree of physical disability was determined using the Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS). The distribution of patients according to the clinical form of MS was 65% with relapsing-remitting MS, 19% with secondary chronic progressive MS and 16% with the primary chronic progressive forms of MS. Symptoms at onset in the present study less often affected optic nerves (3%) than previously reported in Japan and was more like that seen in western MS series. Although prevalence of MS increase four-fold in Japan over the last two decades, it remains uncertain whether this apparent increase is real or reflects better ascertainment.

More severe neurologic deficits in SJL/J male than female mice following Theiler's virus-induced CNS demyelination

Although multiple sclerosis (MS) is more prevalent in women than men, male MS patients develop more severe clinical symptoms and deteriorate faster than female patients. We investigated the differences in CNS demyelinating disease between SJL/J male and female mice following Theiler's murine encephalomyelitis virus (TMEV) infection. Infected female mice had consistently higher serum levels of virus-specific IgG at 14 and 21 days and and 7 months postinfection, which resulted in less infectious virus in CNS. All male mice infected for 6 to 7 months developed paralysis, with 50% displaying bilateral posterior limb paralysis, whereas 77% of age-matched female mice were paralyzed, all displaying unilateral posterior limb paralysis. Male mice infected for 6 to 7 months performed up to threefold fewer spontaneous horizontal and vertical movements (activity box test) compared to infected age-matched females. In addition, infected male mice performed the coordination and balance (Rotarod) test at 27 +/- 4% of the expected level (expressed as a percentage of that of uninfected age-matched mice), whereas infected female mice performed at 41 +/- 5% of the expected level. Male mice had a small increase in the extent of spinal cord white matter demyelination analyzed at both 45 days and between 6 and 7 months postinfection. For individual male and female mice, the extent of demyelination had a negative linear relationship with the neurologic performances. The emergence of a disease paradigm similar to MS supports using the TMEV model to investigate molecular and genetic factors responsible for the gender dimorphism in MS and other autoimmune diseases.

Prevalence of multiple sclerosis in Belgrade, Yugoslavia

OBJECTIVES

To estimate the distribution of multiple sclerosis in the Belgrade population.

METHODS

All persons who were affected and/or died from multiple sclerosis (Poser's criteria), with residence in the Belgrade region had been collected from January 1, 1985 to December 31, 1996. Prevalence was adjusted by direct method, using world population.

RESULTS

From 1985 to 1996, 823 patients were suffering from multiple sclerosis. Sex ratio was 1:1.9. The mean age at onset was 32.2 +/- 9.8 years. A relapsing-remitting course of multiple sclerosis was reported in 50.7% patients, secondary progressive in 36.4%, patients, and primary progressive in 12.9% patients. On December 31, 1996, age-adjusted prevalence of multiple sclerosis in Belgrade was 41.5/100,000, 28.2/100,000 for males, and 54.1/100,000 for females. During the period studied, statistically highly significant increasing trend of multiple sclerosis prevalence was observed (P = 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

According to findings presented in this study, Belgrade is an area with high prevalence of multiple sclerosis.

A genome screen for multiple sclerosis in Italian families

We have screened the whole genome for linkage in 40 Italian multiplex families with multiple sclerosis using 322 markers. The GENEHUNTER-PLUS program was used to analyse these data and revealed eight regions of potential linkage where the lod score exceeds the nominal 5% significance level (0.7). No region of linkage with genome-wide significance was identified and none of the markers showed evidence of statistically significant transmission disequilibrium. Overall these results have refined the linkage data relating to this disease in Italians modestly supporting some previously identified areas of interest and helping to exclude others.