Braithwaite RS, Fridsma D, Roberts MS. The cost-effectiveness of strategies to reduce mortality from an intentional release of aerosolized anthrax spores.
Med Decis Making 2007;
26:182-93. [PMID:
16525172 DOI:
10.1177/0272989x06286794]
[Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/15/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND
Intentional exposures to aerosolized Bacillus anthracis spores have caused fatalities.
OBJECTIVE
To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of strategies to reduce mortality from future inhalational anthrax exposures.
METHODS
Computer cohort simulation of a 100,000-person single-site exposure (worst-case scenario) and a 100-person multiple-site exposure (resembling the recent US attack). For each scenario, universal vaccination and an emergency surveillance and response (ESR) system were compared with a default strategy that assumed eventual discovery of the exposure.
RESULTS
If an exposure was unlikely to occur or was small in scale, neither vaccination nor an ESR system was cost-effective. If an exposure was certain and large in scale, an ESR system was more cost-effective than vaccination ($73 v. $29,600 per life-year saved), and a rapid response saved more lives than improved surveillance.
CONCLUSIONS
Strategies to reduce deaths from anthrax attacks are cost-effective only if large exposures are certain. A faster response is more beneficial than enhanced surveillance.
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