UK perspective on the changing landscape of non-invasive cardiac testing

European Society of Cardiology: the 2023 Atlas of Cardiovascular Disease Statistics

This report from the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) Atlas Project updates and expands upon the 2021 report in presenting cardiovascular disease (CVD) statistics for the ESC member countries. This paper examines inequalities in cardiovascular healthcare and outcomes in ESC member countries utilizing mortality and risk factor data from the World Health Organization and the Global Burden of Disease study with additional economic data from the World Bank. Cardiovascular healthcare data were collected by questionnaire circulated to the national cardiac societies of ESC member countries. Statistics pertaining to 2022, or latest available year, are presented. New material in this report includes contemporary estimates of the economic burden of CVD and mortality statistics for a range of CVD phenotypes. CVD accounts for 11% of the EU's total healthcare expenditure. It remains the most common cause of death in ESC member countries with over 3 million deaths per year. Proportionately more deaths from CVD occur in middle-income compared with high-income countries in both females (53% vs. 34%) and males (46% vs. 30%). Between 1990 and 2021, median age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs) for CVD decreased by median >50% in high-income ESC member countries but in middle-income countries the median decrease was <12%. These inequalities between middle- and high-income ESC member countries likely reflect heterogeneous exposures to a range of environmental, socioeconomic, and clinical risk factors. The 2023 survey suggests that treatment factors may also contribute with middle-income countries reporting lower rates per million of percutaneous coronary intervention (1355 vs. 2330), transcatheter aortic valve implantation (4.0 vs. 153.4) and pacemaker implantation (147.0 vs. 831.9) compared with high-income countries. The ESC Atlas 2023 report shows continuing inequalities in the epidemiology and management of CVD between middle-income and high-income ESC member countries. These inequalities are exemplified by the changes in CVD ASMRs during the last 30 years. In the high-income ESC member countries, ASMRs have been in steep decline during this period but in the middle-income countries declines have been very small. There is now an important need for targeted action to reduce the burden of CVD, particularly in those countries where the burden is greatest.

Cardiac coronary tomography angiography (CCTA) use across geographical regions in the USA and the UK: a cross-sectional study

Objective

Increased use of CT imaging has been identified as a key component of unsustainable rising healthcare costs in the USA and globally. Understanding evidence and its relation to imaging coverage policies can help identify patterns of variation to better inform high value care initiatives. This cross-sectional study evaluates regional differences in US utilisation of cardiac coronary tomography angiography (CCTA) and compares use in the USA and England.

Design

We determined differences in CCTA order rates by US Medicare region and compared order rates in the US and England, compared CT scanner prevalence in the USA and UK, and reviewed the CCTA coverage policies for each region.

Setting

The US and the UK.

Participants

Medicare Coverage Database; Medicare 2018 Part B data; National Health Services 2018 data.

Interventions

CCTA orders, CT scanner prevalence.

Main outcome measures

CCTA orders per beneficiary, CT scanner prevalence, CCTA policy variation.

Results

We found that CCTA coverage policies are more permissive in the UK compared with the USA. However, CT scanner prevalence per beneficiary is four times greater in the USA than the UK. There was significant variation in number of CCTA ordered per 100 000 beneficiaries between regions in England and the USA, ranging from 74 to 313 in the US and 57-317 in England.

Conclusions

There is significant geographical variation in use of CCTA in both the USA and England, although overall use does not differ significantly between both countries. Similarities in order rates, despite a much higher CT scanner density in the USA, may be related to more permissive guidelines around use of CCTA in the UK. Variation in both countries may also reflect the lack of high-quality clinical outcomes data for use of CCTA, underscoring opportunities for more evidence and evidence-based policy to promote appropriate use of CCTA imaging.

Real world hospital costs following stress echocardiography in the UK: a costing study from the EVAREST/BSE-NSTEP multi-entre study

BACKGROUND

Stress echocardiography is widely used to detect coronary artery disease, but little evidence on downstream hospital costs in real-world practice is available. We examined how stress echocardiography accuracy and downstream hospital costs vary across NHS hospitals and identified key factors that affect costs to help inform future clinical planning and guidelines.

METHODS

Data on 7636 patients recruited from 31 NHS hospitals within the UK between 2014 and 2020 as part of EVAREST/BSE-NSTEP clinical study, were used. Data included all diagnostic tests, procedures, and hospital admissions for 12 months after a stress echocardiogram and were costed using the NHS national unit costs. A decision tree was built to illustrate the clinical pathway and estimate average downstream hospital costs. Multi-level regression analysis was performed to identify variation in accuracy and costs at both patient, procedural, and hospital level. Linear regression and extrapolation were used to estimate annual hospital cost-savings associated with increasing predictive accuracy at hospital and national level.

RESULTS

Stress echocardiography accuracy varied with patient, hospital and operator characteristics. Hypertension, presence of wall motion abnormalities and higher number of hospital cardiology outpatient attendances annually reduced accuracy, adjusted odds ratio of 0.78 (95% CI 0.65 to 0.93), 0.27 (95% CI 0.15 to 0.48), 0.99 (95% CI 0.98 to 0.99) respectively, whereas a prior myocardial infarction, angiotensin receptor blocker medication, and greater operator experience increased accuracy, adjusted odds ratio of 1.77 (95% CI 1.34 to 2.33), 1.64 (95% CI 1.22 to 2.22), and 1.06 (95% CI 1.02 to 1.09) respectively. Average downstream costs were £646 per patient (SD 1796) with significant variation across hospitals. The average downstream costs between the 31 hospitals varied from £384-1730 per patient. False positive and false negative tests were associated with average downstream costs of £1446 (SD £601) and £4192 (SD 3332) respectively, driven by increased non-elective hospital admissions, adjusted odds ratio 2.48 (95% CI 1.08 to 5.66), 21.06 (95% CI 10.41 to 42.59) respectively. We estimated that an increase in accuracy by 1 percentage point could save the NHS in the UK £3.2 million annually.

CONCLUSION

This study provides real-world evidence of downstream costs associated with stress echocardiography practice in the UK and estimates how improvements in accuracy could impact healthcare expenditure in the NHS. A real-world downstream costing approach could be adopted more widely in evaluation of imaging tests and interventions to reflect actual value for money and support realistic planning.

CT angiography compared to invasive angiography for stable coronary disease as predictors of major adverse cardiovascular events- A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Computational tomography coronary angiography (CTCA) is increasingly the diagnostic test of choice for investigating patients with stable anginal symptoms.

OBJECTIVES

We sought to conduct a systematic review and meta-analysis comparing CTCA with invasive coronary angiography (ICA) with regards to major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), procedural complications and rates of revascularisation.

METHODS

We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis in line with the PRISMA statement. A literature search was conducted using PubMed, MEDLINE Ovid and Embase, with three studies included in meta-analysis. Statistical analysis was undertaken using Review Manager 5.3 for MacOS software and outcomes expressed as odds ratio, with 95% confidence intervals and sensitivity analysis was conducted.

RESULTS

A total of 5662 patients were included in this study level meta-analysis. There was no difference in MACE between CT and angiography [2.97% v 3.45%, fixed-effect model, OR: 0.84 (0.62-1.14), p = 0.26, I² 0%] and no difference found in rates of myocardial infarction, death or stroke. CTCA was associated with a reduced rate of revascularisation [12.6% v 18.3%, fixed-effects model, OR: 0.64 (0.55-0.75), p<0.00001, I² =0%]. However, CTCA was not associated with a significantly lower complication rate [0.5% v 1.72%, random effects model, OR: 0.52 (0.06-4.38), p = 0.55, I² 52%].

CONCLUSION

CTCA is a safe strategy for investigating patients with stable angina with no associated increase in MACE but a reduction in revascularisation rates.

National Trends in Coronary Artery Disease Imaging: Associations With Health Care Outcomes and Costs

BACKGROUND

In 2016, the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence Clinical Guideline Number 95 ("Chest pain of recent onset") (CG95) recommended coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) as the first-line test for possible angina.

OBJECTIVES

The purpose of this study was to determine the impact of temporal trends in imaging use on outcomes for coronary artery disease (CAD) following the CG95 recommendations.

METHODS

Investigations from 2012 to 2018 were extracted from a national database and linked-hospital admission and mortality registries. Growth rates were adjusted for population size, with image modality use, cardiovascular hospital admissions, and mortality compared using Kendall's rank correlation. The impact of CG95 was assessed using an interrupted time-series analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 1,909,314 investigations for CAD were performed, with an annualized per capita growth of 4.8%. Costs were £0.35 million/100,000 population/year with an increase of 2.8%/year mirroring inflation (2.5%/year). CG95 was associated with a rise in CCTA (exp[β]: 1.10; 95% CI: 1.03-1.18), no change in myocardial perfusion imaging, and a potential modest fall (exp[β]: 0.997; 95% CI: 0.993-1.00]) in invasive coronary angiography. There was an apparent trend between computed tomography angiography growth and invasive catheter angiography reduction across regions (Kendall Tau: -0.19; P = 0.08). CCTA growth was associated with a reduction in cardiovascular mortality (Kendall Tau: -0.21; P = 0.045), and ischemic heart disease deaths (Kendall Tau: -0.22; P = 0.042), with an apparent trend with reduced all-cause mortality (Kendall Tau: -0.19; P = 0.07).

CONCLUSIONS

Imaging investigations for CAD are increasing. Greater regional increases in CCTA were associated with fewer hospitalizations for myocardial infarction and a more rapid decline in CAD mortality.

Real-world performance and accuracy of stress echocardiography: the EVAREST observational multi-centre study

Aims

Stress echocardiography is widely used to identify obstructive coronary artery disease (CAD). High accuracy is reported in expert hands but is dependent on operator training and image quality. The EVAREST study provides UK-wide data to evaluate real-world performance and accuracy of stress echocardiography.

Methods and results

Participants undergoing stress echocardiography for CAD were recruited from 31 hospitals. Participants were followed up through health records which underwent expert adjudication. Cardiac outcome was defined as anatomically or functionally significant stenosis on angiography, revascularization, medical management of ischaemia, acute coronary syndrome, or cardiac-related death within 6 months. A total of 5131 patients (55% male) participated with a median age of 65 years (interquartile range 57–74). 72.9% of studies used dobutamine and 68.5% were contrast studies. Inducible ischaemia was present in 19.3% of scans. Sensitivity and specificity for prediction of a cardiac outcome were 95.4% and 96.0%, respectively, with an accuracy of 95.9%. Sub-group analysis revealed high levels of predictive accuracy across a wide range of patient and protocol sub-groups, with the presence of a resting regional wall motion abnormalitiy significantly reducing the performance of both dobutamine (P < 0.01) and exercise (P < 0.05) stress echocardiography. Overall accuracy remained consistently high across all participating hospitals.

Conclusion

Stress echocardiography has high accuracy across UK-based hospitals and thus indicates stress echocardiography is being delivered effectively in real-world practice, reinforcing its role as a first-line investigation in the assessment of patients with stable chest pain.

Sex-based inequalities in contemporary UK hospital management of stable chest pain

OBJECTIVE

We surveyed UK practice of National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) "Recent onset chest pain" guidance (CG95, 2016), stratified by sex. We looked for sex-related differences in referral to computed tomographic coronary angiography (CTCA) and subsequent functional imaging (FI), invasive coronary angiography (ICA) and revascularisation.

METHODS

This was a prospective analysis of CTCA practice in 8 UK centres between 2018 and 2020. Coronary artery disease (CAD) was recorded with the CAD-reporting and data system. Local electronic records/archiving/communication systems were used to collect data regarding subsequent FI, ICA and revascularisation.

RESULTS

2301 women, 2326 men underwent CTCA; women were older (58±11 vs 55±12 years, p<0.001) but more likely to have normal coronary arteries (46% (1047) vs 29% (685); p<0.001) and less likely to have severe stenosis (7% (169) vs 13% (307); p<0.001). FI was used less for 4% (93) women, 5% (108) men; ICA was also used less for women (8% (182) vs 14% (321)), as was revascularisation (4% (83) vs 8% (177), p<0.001 for all), including those with ≥moderate CTCA stenosis undergoing ICA (53% (79) vs 61% (166); p<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Women referred for a NICE CG95 (2016) CTCA are more likely to have normal coronary arteries and men more likely to have CAD. More men than women will then undergo ICA and revascularisation even after adjustments for CTCA disease severity. Raised awareness of these inequalities may improve contemporary chest pain care.

Nuclear cardiology: state of the art

Radionuclide imaging remains an essential component of modern cardiology. There is overlap with the information from other imaging techniques, but no technique is static and new developments have expanded its role. This review focuses on ischaemic heart disease, heart failure, infection and inflammation. Radiopharmaceutical development includes the wider availability of positron emission tomography (PET) tracers such as rubidium-82, which allows myocardial perfusion to be quantified in absolute terms. Compared with alternative techniques, myocardial perfusion scintigraphy PET and single photon emission computed tomography (SPECT) have the advantages of being widely applicable using exercise or pharmacological stress, full coverage of the myocardium and a measure of ischaemic burden, which helps to triage patients between medical therapy and revascularisation. Disadvantages include the availability of expertise in some cardiac centres and the lack of simple SPECT quantification, meaning that global abnormalities can be underestimated. In patients with heart failure, despite the findings of the STICH (Surgical Treatment for Ischemic Heart Failure) trial, there are still data to support the assessment of myocardial hibernation in predicting when abolition of ischaemia might lead to improvement in ventricular function. Imaging of sympathetic innervation is well validated, but simpler markers of prognosis mean that it has not been widely adopted. There are insufficient data to support its use in predicting the need for implanted devices, but non-randomised studies are promising. Other areas where radionuclide imaging is uniquely valuable are detection and monitoring of endocarditis, device infection, myocardial inflammation in sarcoidosis, myocarditis and so on, and reliable detection of deposition in suspected transthyretin-related amyloidosis.

Regional variation in cardiovascular magnetic resonance service delivery across the UK

OBJECTIVES

To examine service provision in cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) in the UK. Equitable access to diagnostic imaging is important in healthcare. CMR is widely available in the UK, but there may be regional variations.

METHODS

An electronic survey was sent by the British Society of CMR to the service leads of all CMR units in the UK in 2019 requesting data from 2017 and 2018. Responses were analysed by region and interpreted alongside population statistics.

RESULTS

The survey response rate was 100% (82 units). 100 386 clinical scans were performed in 2017 and 114 967 in 2018 (15% 1-year increase; 5-fold 10-year increase compared with 2008 data). In 2018, there were 1731 CMR scans/million population overall, with significant regional variation, for example, 4256 scans/million in London vs 396 scans/million in Wales. Median number of clinical scans per unit was 780, IQR 373-1951, range 98-10 000, with wide variation in mean waiting times (median 41 days, IQR 30-49, range 5-180); median 25 days in London vs 180 days in Northern Ireland). Twenty-five units (30%) reported mean elective waiting times in excess of 6 weeks, and 8 (10%) ≥3 months. There were 351 consultants reporting CMR, of whom 230 (66%) were cardiologists and 121 (34%) radiologists; 81% of units offered a CMR service for patients with pacemakers and defibrillators.

CONCLUSIONS

This survey provides a unique, contemporary insight into national CMR delivery with 100% centre engagement. The 10-year growth in CMR usage at fivefold has been remarkable but heterogeneous across the UK, with some regions still reporting low usage or long waiting times which may be of clinical concern.

Impact of COVID-19 on UK stress echocardiography practice: insights from the EVAREST sites

Introduction

Healthcare delivery is being transformed by COVID-19 to reduce transmission risk but continued delivery of routine clinical tests is essential. Stress echocardiography is one of the most widely used cardiac tests in the NHS. We assessed the impact of the first (W1) and second (W2) waves of the pandemic on the ability to deliver stress echocardiography.

Methods

Clinical echocardiography teams in 31 NHS hospitals participating in the EVAREST study were asked to complete a survey on the structure and delivery of stress echocardiography as well as its impact on patients and staff in July and November 2020. Results were compared to stress echocardiography activity in the same centre during January 2020.

Results

24 completed the survey in July, and 19 NHS hospitals completed the survey in November. A 55% reduction in the number of studies performed was reported in W1, recovering to exceed pre-COVID rates in W2. The major change was in the mode of stress delivery. 70% of sites stopped their exercise stress service in W1, compared to 19% in W2. In those still using exercise during W1, 50% were wearing FFP3/N95 masks, falling to 38% in W2. There was also significant variability in patient screening practices with 7 different pre-screening questionnaires used in W1 and 6 in W2.

Conclusion

Stress echocardiography delivery restarted effectively after COVID-19 with adaptations to reduce transmission that means activity has been able to continue, and exceed, pre-COVID-19 levels during the second wave. Further standardization of protocols for patient screening and PPE may help further improve consistency of practice within the United Kingdom.

Downstream testing after CT coronary angiography: time for a rethink?

OBJECTIVE

We surveyed UK practice and compliance with the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) 'recent-onset chest pain' guidance (Clinical Guideline 95, 2016) as a service quality initiative. We aimed to evaluate the diagnostic utility and efficacy of CT coronary angiography (CTCA), NICE-guided investigation compliance, invasive coronary angiography (ICA) use and revascularisation.

METHODS

A prospective analysis was conducted in nine UK centres between January 2018 and March 2020. The reporter decided whether the CTCA was diagnostic. Coronary artery disease was recorded with the Coronary Artery Disease-Reporting and Data System (CAD-RADS). Local electronic records and picture archiving/communication systems were used to collect data regarding functional testing, ICA and revascularisation. Duplication of coronary angiography without revascularisation was taken as a surrogate for ICA overuse.

RESULTS

5293 patients (mean age, 57±12 years; body mass index, 29±6 kg/m²; 50% men) underwent CTCA, with a 96% diagnostic scan rate. 618 (12%) underwent ICA, of which 48% (298/618) did not receive revascularisation. 3886 (73%) had CAD-RADS 0-2, with 1% (35/3886) undergoing ICA, of which 94% (33/35) received ICA as a second-line test. 547 (10%) had CAD-RADS 3, with 23% (125/547) undergoing ICA, of which 88% (110/125) chose ICA as a second-line test, with 26% (33/125) leading to revascularisation. For 552 (10%) CAD-RADS 4 and 91 (2%) CAD-RADS 5 patients, ICA revascularisation rates were 64% (221/345) and 74% (46/62), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

While CTCA for recent-onset chest pain assessment has been shown to be a robust test, which negates the need for further investigation in three-quarters of patients, subsequent ICA overuse remains with almost half of these procedures not leading to revascularisation.

Recent Trends and Potential Drivers of Non-invasive Cardiovascular Imaging Use in the United States of America and England

Background: Non-invasive Cardiovascular imaging (NICI), including cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) imaging provides important information to guide the management of patients with cardiovascular conditions. Current rates of NICI use and potential policy determinants in the United States of America (US) and England remain unexplored. Methods: We compared NICI activity in the US (Medicare fee-for-service, 2011-2015) and England (National Health Service, 2012-2016). We reviewed recommendations related to CMR from Clinical Practice Guidelines, Appropriate Use Criteria (AUC), and Choosing Wisely. We then categorized recommendations according to whether CMR was the only recommended NICI technique (substitutable indications). Reimbursement policies in both settings were systematically collated and reviewed using publicly available information. Results: The 2015 rate of NICI activity in the US was 3.1 times higher than in England (31,055 vs. 9,916 per 100,000 beneficiaries). The proportion of CMR of all NICI was small in both jurisdictions, but nuclear cardiac imaging was more frequent in the US in absolute and relative terms. American and European CPGs were similar, both in terms of number of recommendations and proportions of indications where CMR was not the only recommended NICI technique (substitutable indications). Reimbursement schemes for NICI activity differed for physicians and hospitals between the two settings. Conclusions: Fee-for-service physician compensation in the US for NICI may contribute to higher NICI activity compared to England where physicians are salaried. Reimbursement arrangements for the performance of the test may contribute to the higher proportion of nuclear cardiac imaging out of the total NICI activity. Differences in CPG recommendations appear not to explain the variation in NICI activity between the US and England.

The value of non-invasive computed tomography coronary angiography in imaging patients with coronary artery bypass grafts

INTRODUCTION

Invasive coronary angiography (ICA) is associated with higher complication rates in patients following coronary artery bypass surgery (CABG). CT coronary angiography (CTCA) has emerged as an attractive alternative. We assessed the impact of CTCA on subsequent ICA.

METHODS

We identified 213 CABG patients undergoing CTCA between 2015 and 2018. In 151 the indication was suspected recurrence of angina. We then identified patients undergoing ICA within 1 year of CTCA.

RESULTS

CTCA obviated the need for ICA in 115 cases (76%). CTCA was better at identifying targets for percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) to saphenous vein grafts (SVG's) than to native vessels (89% vs 47%). 7 out of 10 lesions of "probable" significance by CTCA proved flow-limiting, and 4 out of 13 "indeterminate" lesions. CTCA concordance was 97% for left internal mammary (LIMA) grafts.

CONCLUSION

CTCA directed management in a majority of patients without ICA. It identified a cohort of patients likely to be candidates for SVG PCI, but was less effective in identifying PCI targets in the native vessels. CTCA renders invasive LIMA cannulation redundant unless a target lesion is suspected.