1
|
Lella KK, Jagadeesh MS, Alphonse PJA. Artificial intelligence-based framework to identify the abnormalities in the COVID-19 disease and other common respiratory diseases from digital stethoscope data using deep CNN. Health Inf Sci Syst 2024; 12:22. [PMID: 38469455 PMCID: PMC10924857 DOI: 10.1007/s13755-024-00283-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/24/2023] [Accepted: 02/21/2024] [Indexed: 03/13/2024] Open
Abstract
The utilization of lung sounds to diagnose lung diseases using respiratory sound features has significantly increased in the past few years. The Digital Stethoscope data has been examined extensively by medical researchers and technical scientists to diagnose the symptoms of respiratory diseases. Artificial intelligence-based approaches are applied in the real universe to distinguish respiratory disease signs from human pulmonary auscultation sounds. The Deep CNN model is implemented with combined multi-feature channels (Modified MFCC, Log Mel, and Soft Mel) to obtain the sound parameters from lung-based Digital Stethoscope data. The model analysis is observed with max-pooling and without max-pool operations using multi-feature channels on respiratory digital stethoscope data. In addition, COVID-19 sound data and enriched data, which are recently acquired data to enhance model performance using a combination of L2 regularization to overcome the risk of overfitting because of less respiratory sound data, are included in the work. The suggested DCNN with Max-Pooling on the improved dataset demonstrates cutting-edge performance employing a multi-feature channels spectrogram. The model has been developed with different convolutional filter sizes (1 × 12 , 1 × 24 , 1 × 36 , 1 × 48 , and 1 × 60 ) that helped to test the proposed neural network. According to the experimental findings, the suggested DCNN architecture with a max-pooling function performs better to identify respiratory disease symptoms than DCNN without max-pooling. In order to demonstrate the model's effectiveness in categorization, it is trained and tested with the DCNN model that extract several modalities of respiratory sound data.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Kranthi Kumar Lella
- School of Computer Science and Engineering, VIT-AP University, Vijayawada, Guntur, Andhra Pradesh 522237 India
| | - M. S. Jagadeesh
- School of Computer Science and Engineering, VIT-AP University, Vijayawada, Guntur, Andhra Pradesh 522237 India
| | - P. J. A. Alphonse
- Department of Computer Applications, NIT Tiruchirappalli, Tiruchirappalli, Guntur, Tamil Nadu 620015 India
| |
Collapse
|
2
|
Alvarado E, Grágeda N, Luzanto A, Mahu R, Wuth J, Mendoza L, Stern RM, Yoma NB. Automatic Detection of Dyspnea in Real Human-Robot Interaction Scenarios. SENSORS (BASEL, SWITZERLAND) 2023; 23:7590. [PMID: 37688044 PMCID: PMC10490721 DOI: 10.3390/s23177590] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/18/2023] [Revised: 08/20/2023] [Accepted: 08/25/2023] [Indexed: 09/10/2023]
Abstract
A respiratory distress estimation technique for telephony previously proposed by the authors is adapted and evaluated in real static and dynamic HRI scenarios. The system is evaluated with a telephone dataset re-recorded using the robotic platform designed and implemented for this study. In addition, the original telephone training data are modified using an environmental model that incorporates natural robot-generated and external noise sources and reverberant effects using room impulse responses (RIRs). The results indicate that the average accuracy and AUC are just 0.4% less than those obtained with matched training/testing conditions with simulated data. Quite surprisingly, there is not much difference in accuracy and AUC between static and dynamic HRI conditions. Moreover, the beamforming methods delay-and-sum and MVDR lead to average improvement in accuracy and AUC equal to 8% and 2%, respectively, when applied to training and testing data. Regarding the complementarity of time-dependent and time-independent features, the combination of both types of classifiers provides the best joint accuracy and AUC score.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Eduardo Alvarado
- Speech Processing and Transmission Laboratory, Electrical Engineering Department, University of Chile, Santiago 8370451, Chile; (E.A.); (N.G.); (A.L.); (R.M.); (J.W.)
| | - Nicolás Grágeda
- Speech Processing and Transmission Laboratory, Electrical Engineering Department, University of Chile, Santiago 8370451, Chile; (E.A.); (N.G.); (A.L.); (R.M.); (J.W.)
| | - Alejandro Luzanto
- Speech Processing and Transmission Laboratory, Electrical Engineering Department, University of Chile, Santiago 8370451, Chile; (E.A.); (N.G.); (A.L.); (R.M.); (J.W.)
| | - Rodrigo Mahu
- Speech Processing and Transmission Laboratory, Electrical Engineering Department, University of Chile, Santiago 8370451, Chile; (E.A.); (N.G.); (A.L.); (R.M.); (J.W.)
| | - Jorge Wuth
- Speech Processing and Transmission Laboratory, Electrical Engineering Department, University of Chile, Santiago 8370451, Chile; (E.A.); (N.G.); (A.L.); (R.M.); (J.W.)
| | - Laura Mendoza
- Hospital Clínico Universidad de Chile, Santiago 8380420, Chile;
- Clínica Alemana, Santiago 7630000, Chile
| | - Richard M. Stern
- Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213, USA;
| | - Néstor Becerra Yoma
- Speech Processing and Transmission Laboratory, Electrical Engineering Department, University of Chile, Santiago 8370451, Chile; (E.A.); (N.G.); (A.L.); (R.M.); (J.W.)
| |
Collapse
|
3
|
Malla S, Kumar LK, Alphonse PJA. Novel fuzzy deep learning approach for automated detection of useful COVID-19 tweets. Artif Intell Med 2023; 143:102627. [PMID: 37673585 DOI: 10.1016/j.artmed.2023.102627] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/26/2022] [Revised: 07/13/2023] [Accepted: 07/13/2023] [Indexed: 09/08/2023]
Abstract
Coronavirus (COVID-19) is a newly discovered viral disease from the SARS-CoV-2 family. This has caused a moral panic resulting in the spread of informative and uninformative information about COVID-19 and its effects. Twitter is a popular social media platform used extensively during the current outbreak. This paper aims to predict informative tweets related to COVID-19 on Twitter using a novel set of fuzzy rules involving deep learning techniques. This study focuses on identifying informative tweets during the pandemic to provide the public with trustworthy information and forecast how quickly diseases could spread. In this case, we have implemented RoBERTa and CT-BERT models using the fuzzy methodology to identify COVID-19 patient tweets. The proposed architecture combines deep learning transformer models RoBERTa and CT-BERT with the fuzzy technique to categorize posts as INFORMATIVE or UNINFORMATIVE. We performed a comparative analysis of our method with machine learning models and deep learning approaches. The results show that our proposed model can classify informative and uninformative tweets with an accuracy of 91.40% and an F1-score of 91.94% using the COVID-19 English tweet dataset. The proposed model is accurate and ready for real-world application.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- SreeJagadeesh Malla
- School of Computer Science and Engineering, VIT-AP University, Amaravati, Andhra Pradesh, India.
| | - Lella Kranthi Kumar
- School of Computer Science and Engineering, VIT-AP University, Amaravati, Andhra Pradesh, India.
| | - P J A Alphonse
- Department of Computer Applications, National Institute of Technology, Tiruchirappalli, Tamil Nadu, India.
| |
Collapse
|
4
|
Choi Y, Lee H. Interpretation of lung disease classification with light attention connected module. Biomed Signal Process Control 2023; 84:104695. [PMID: 36879856 PMCID: PMC9978539 DOI: 10.1016/j.bspc.2023.104695] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/05/2022] [Revised: 12/21/2022] [Accepted: 02/11/2023] [Indexed: 03/06/2023]
Abstract
Lung diseases lead to complications from obstructive diseases, and the COVID-19 pandemic has increased lung disease-related deaths. Medical practitioners use stethoscopes to diagnose lung disease. However, an artificial intelligence model capable of objective judgment is required since the experience and diagnosis of respiratory sounds differ. Therefore, in this study, we propose a lung disease classification model that uses an attention module and deep learning. Respiratory sounds were extracted using log-Mel spectrogram MFCC. Normal and five types of adventitious sounds were effectively classified by improving VGGish and adding a light attention connected module to which the efficient channel attention module (ECA-Net) was applied. The performance of the model was evaluated for accuracy, precision, sensitivity, specificity, f1-score, and balanced accuracy, which were 92.56%, 92.81%, 92.22%, 98.50%, 92.29%, and 95.4%, respectively. We confirmed high performance according to the attention effect. The classification causes of lung diseases were analyzed using gradient-weighted class activation mapping (Grad-CAM), and the performances of their models were compared using open lung sounds measured using a Littmann 3200 stethoscope. The experts' opinions were also included. Our results will contribute to the early diagnosis and interpretation of diseases in patients with lung disease by utilizing algorithms in smart medical stethoscopes.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Youngjin Choi
- School of Industrial Management Engineering, Korea University, 145 Anam-ro, Seongbuk-gu, Seoul 02841, Republic of Korea
| | - Hongchul Lee
- School of Industrial Management Engineering, Korea University, 145 Anam-ro, Seongbuk-gu, Seoul 02841, Republic of Korea
| |
Collapse
|
5
|
Bhattacharya D, Sharma NK, Dutta D, Chetupalli SR, Mote P, Ganapathy S, Chandrakiran C, Nori S, Suhail KK, Gonuguntla S, Alagesan M. Coswara: A respiratory sounds and symptoms dataset for remote screening of SARS-CoV-2 infection. Sci Data 2023; 10:397. [PMID: 37349364 PMCID: PMC10287715 DOI: 10.1038/s41597-023-02266-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/20/2022] [Accepted: 05/25/2023] [Indexed: 06/24/2023] Open
Abstract
This paper presents the Coswara dataset, a dataset containing diverse set of respiratory sounds and rich meta-data, recorded between April-2020 and February-2022 from 2635 individuals (1819 SARS-CoV-2 negative, 674 positive, and 142 recovered subjects). The respiratory sounds contained nine sound categories associated with variants of breathing, cough and speech. The rich metadata contained demographic information associated with age, gender and geographic location, as well as the health information relating to the symptoms, pre-existing respiratory ailments, comorbidity and SARS-CoV-2 test status. Our study is the first of its kind to manually annotate the audio quality of the entire dataset (amounting to 65 hours) through manual listening. The paper summarizes the data collection procedure, demographic, symptoms and audio data information. A COVID-19 classifier based on bi-directional long short-term (BLSTM) architecture, is trained and evaluated on the different population sub-groups contained in the dataset to understand the bias/fairness of the model. This enabled the analysis of the impact of gender, geographic location, date of recording, and language proficiency on the COVID-19 detection performance.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
| | - Neeraj Kumar Sharma
- Mehta Family School of Data Science and Artificial Intelligence, Indian Institute of Technology Guwahati, Guwahati, India
| | - Debottam Dutta
- Department of Electrical Engineering, Indian Institute of Science, Bangalore, India
| | | | - Pravin Mote
- Department of Electrical Engineering, Indian Institute of Science, Bangalore, India
| | - Sriram Ganapathy
- Department of Electrical Engineering, Indian Institute of Science, Bangalore, India.
| | | | - Sahiti Nori
- Ramaiah Medical College Hospital, Bangalore, India
| | - K K Suhail
- Ramaiah Medical College Hospital, Bangalore, India
| | | | - Murali Alagesan
- PSG Institute of Medical Sciences and Research, Coimbatore, India
| |
Collapse
|
6
|
Gürsoy E, Kaya Y. An overview of deep learning techniques for COVID-19 detection: methods, challenges, and future works. MULTIMEDIA SYSTEMS 2023; 29:1603-1627. [PMID: 37261262 PMCID: PMC10039775 DOI: 10.1007/s00530-023-01083-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/16/2022] [Accepted: 03/20/2023] [Indexed: 06/02/2023]
Abstract
The World Health Organization (WHO) declared a pandemic in response to the coronavirus COVID-19 in 2020, which resulted in numerous deaths worldwide. Although the disease appears to have lost its impact, millions of people have been affected by this virus, and new infections still occur. Identifying COVID-19 requires a reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction test (RT-PCR) or analysis of medical data. Due to the high cost and time required to scan and analyze medical data, researchers are focusing on using automated computer-aided methods. This review examines the applications of deep learning (DL) and machine learning (ML) in detecting COVID-19 using medical data such as CT scans, X-rays, cough sounds, MRIs, ultrasound, and clinical markers. First, the data preprocessing, the features used, and the current COVID-19 detection methods are divided into two subsections, and the studies are discussed. Second, the reported publicly available datasets, their characteristics, and the potential comparison materials mentioned in the literature are presented. Third, a comprehensive comparison is made by contrasting the similar and different aspects of the studies. Finally, the results, gaps, and limitations are summarized to stimulate the improvement of COVID-19 detection methods, and the study concludes by listing some future research directions for COVID-19 classification.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Ercan Gürsoy
- Department of Computer Engineering, Adana Alparslan Turkes Science and Technology University, 01250 Adana, Turkey
| | - Yasin Kaya
- Department of Computer Engineering, Adana Alparslan Turkes Science and Technology University, 01250 Adana, Turkey
| |
Collapse
|
7
|
Alvarado E, Grágeda N, Luzanto A, Mahu R, Wuth J, Mendoza L, Yoma NB. Dyspnea Severity Assessment Based on Vocalization Behavior with Deep Learning on the Telephone. SENSORS (BASEL, SWITZERLAND) 2023; 23:2441. [PMID: 36904646 PMCID: PMC10007248 DOI: 10.3390/s23052441] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/13/2022] [Revised: 02/08/2023] [Accepted: 02/17/2023] [Indexed: 06/18/2023]
Abstract
In this paper, a system to assess dyspnea with the mMRC scale, on the phone, via deep learning, is proposed. The method is based on modeling the spontaneous behavior of subjects while pronouncing controlled phonetization. These vocalizations were designed, or chosen, to deal with the stationary noise suppression of cellular handsets, to provoke different rates of exhaled air, and to stimulate different levels of fluency. Time-independent and time-dependent engineered features were proposed and selected, and a k-fold scheme with double validation was adopted to select the models with the greatest potential for generalization. Moreover, score fusion methods were also investigated to optimize the complementarity of the controlled phonetizations and features that were engineered and selected. The results reported here were obtained from 104 participants, where 34 corresponded to healthy individuals and 70 were patients with respiratory conditions. The subjects' vocalizations were recorded with a telephone call (i.e., with an IVR server). The system provided an accuracy of 59% (i.e., estimating the correct mMRC), a root mean square error equal to 0.98, false positive rate of 6%, false negative rate of 11%, and an area under the ROC curve equal to 0.97. Finally, a prototype was developed and implemented, with an ASR-based automatic segmentation scheme, to estimate dyspnea on line.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Eduardo Alvarado
- Speech Processing and Transmission Laboratory, Electrical Engineering Department, University of Chile, Santiago 8370451, Chile
| | - Nicolás Grágeda
- Speech Processing and Transmission Laboratory, Electrical Engineering Department, University of Chile, Santiago 8370451, Chile
| | - Alejandro Luzanto
- Speech Processing and Transmission Laboratory, Electrical Engineering Department, University of Chile, Santiago 8370451, Chile
| | - Rodrigo Mahu
- Speech Processing and Transmission Laboratory, Electrical Engineering Department, University of Chile, Santiago 8370451, Chile
| | - Jorge Wuth
- Speech Processing and Transmission Laboratory, Electrical Engineering Department, University of Chile, Santiago 8370451, Chile
| | - Laura Mendoza
- Clinical Hospital, University of Chile, Santiago 8380420, Chile
| | - Néstor Becerra Yoma
- Speech Processing and Transmission Laboratory, Electrical Engineering Department, University of Chile, Santiago 8370451, Chile
| |
Collapse
|
8
|
Porn streamer audio recognition based on deep learning and random Forest. APPL INTELL 2023. [DOI: 10.1007/s10489-023-04491-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/15/2023]
|
9
|
Banerjee S. Dynamics of the COVID-19 pandemic: nonlinear approaches on the modelling, prediction and control. THE EUROPEAN PHYSICAL JOURNAL. SPECIAL TOPICS 2022; 231:3275-3280. [PMID: 36475056 PMCID: PMC9716540 DOI: 10.1140/epjs/s11734-022-00724-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/17/2023]
Abstract
This special issue contains 35 regular articles on the analysis and dynamics of COVID-19 with several applications. Some analyses are on the construction of mathematical models representing the dynamics of COVID-19, and some are on the estimations and predictions of the disease, a few with possible applications. The various contributions report important, timely, and promising results, such as the effects of several waves, deep learning-based COVID-19 classifications, and multivariate time series with applications.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Santo Banerjee
- Department of Mathematical Sciences, Politecnico di Torino, Turin, Italy
| |
Collapse
|
10
|
Kumar S, Mallik A. COVID-19 Detection from Chest X-rays Using Trained Output Based Transfer Learning Approach. Neural Process Lett 2022; 55:1-24. [PMID: 36339644 PMCID: PMC9616430 DOI: 10.1007/s11063-022-11060-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 10/16/2022] [Indexed: 10/31/2022]
Abstract
The recent Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), which started in 2019, has spread across the globe and become a global pandemic. The efficient and effective COVID-19 detection using chest X-rays helps in early detection and curtailing the spread of the disease. In this paper, we propose a novel Trained Output-based Transfer Learning (TOTL) approach for COVID-19 detection from chest X-rays. We start by preprocessing the Chest X-rays of the patients with techniques like denoising, contrasting, segmentation. These processed images are then fed to several pre-trained transfer learning models like InceptionV3, InceptionResNetV2, Xception, MobileNet, ResNet50, ResNet50V2, VGG16, and VGG19. We fine-tune these models on the processed chest X-rays. Then we further train the outputs of these models using a deep neural network architecture to achieve enhanced performance and aggregate the capabilities of each of them. The proposed model has been tested on four recent COVID-19 chest X-rays datasets by computing several popular evaluation metrics. The performance of our model has also been compared with various deep transfer learning models and several contemporary COVID-19 detection methods. The obtained results demonstrate the efficiency and efficacy of our proposed model.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Sanjay Kumar
- Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Delhi Technological University, New Delhi, 110042 India
| | - Abhishek Mallik
- Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Delhi Technological University, New Delhi, 110042 India
| |
Collapse
|
11
|
Challenges and Opportunities of Deep Learning for Cough-Based COVID-19 Diagnosis: A Scoping Review. Diagnostics (Basel) 2022; 12:diagnostics12092142. [PMID: 36140543 PMCID: PMC9498071 DOI: 10.3390/diagnostics12092142] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/08/2022] [Revised: 08/26/2022] [Accepted: 08/31/2022] [Indexed: 11/16/2022] Open
Abstract
In the past two years, medical researchers and data scientists worldwide have focused their efforts on containing the pandemic of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). Deep learning models have been proven to be capable of efficient medical diagnosis and prognosis in cancer, common lung diseases, and COVID-19. On the other hand, artificial neural networks have demonstrated their potential in pattern recognition and classification in various domains, including healthcare. This literature review aims to report the state of research on developing neural network models to diagnose COVID-19 from cough sounds to create a cost-efficient and accessible testing tool in the fight against the pandemic. A total of 35 papers were included in this review following a screening of the 161 outputs of the literature search. We extracted information from articles on data resources, model structures, and evaluation metrics and then explored the scope of experimental studies and methodologies and analyzed their outcomes and limitations. We found that cough is a biomarker, and its associated information can determine an individual’s health status. Convolutional neural networks were predominantly used, suggesting they are particularly suitable for feature extraction and classification. The reported accuracy values ranged from 73.1% to 98.5%. Moreover, the dataset sizes ranged from 16 to over 30,000 cough audio samples. Although deep learning is a promising prospect in identifying COVID-19, we identified a gap in the literature on research conducted over large and diversified data sets.
Collapse
|
12
|
Kranthi Kumar L, Alphonse PJA. COVID-19: respiratory disease diagnosis with regularized deep convolutional neural network using human respiratory sounds. THE EUROPEAN PHYSICAL JOURNAL. SPECIAL TOPICS 2022; 231:3673-3696. [PMID: 35966369 PMCID: PMC9363874 DOI: 10.1140/epjs/s11734-022-00649-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/14/2022] [Accepted: 07/26/2022] [Indexed: 06/15/2023]
Abstract
Human respiratory sound auscultation (HRSA) parameters have been the real choice for detecting human respiratory diseases in the last few years. It is a challenging task to extract the respiratory sound features from the breath, voice, and cough sounds. The existing methods failed to extract the sound features to diagnose respiratory diseases. We proposed and evaluated a new regularized deep convolutional neural network (RDCNN) architecture to accept COVID-19 sound data and essential sound features. The proposed architecture is trained with the COVID-19 sound data sets and gives a better learning curve than any other state-of-the-art model. We examine the performance of RDCNN with Max-Pooling (Model-1) and without Max-Pooling (Model-2) functions. In this work, we observed that RDCNN model performance with three sound feature extraction methods [Soft-Mel frequency channel, Log-Mel frequency spectrum, and Modified Mel-frequency Cepstral Coefficient (MMFCC) spectrum] for COVID-19 sound data sets (KDD-data, ComParE2021-CCS-CSS-Data, and NeurlPs2021-data). To amplify the models' performance, we applied the augmentation technique along with regularization. We have also carried out this work to estimate the mutation of SARS-CoV-2 in the five waves using prognostic models (fractal-based). The proposed model achieves state-of-the-art performance on the COVID-19 sound data set to identify COVID-19 disease symptoms. The model's learnable parameter gradients have vanished in the intermediate layers while optimizing the prediction error which is addressed with our proposed RDCNN model. Our experiments suggested that 3 × 3 kernel size for regularized deep CNN (without max-pooling) shows 2-3% better classification accuracy compared to RDCNN with max-pooling. The experimental results suggest that this new approach may achieve the finest results on respiratory diseases.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Lella Kranthi Kumar
- Department of Computer Applications, NIT Tiruchirappalli, Tiruchirappalli, Tamil Nadu 620015 India
| | - P. J. A. Alphonse
- Department of Computer Applications, NIT Tiruchirappalli, Tiruchirappalli, Tamil Nadu 620015 India
| |
Collapse
|
13
|
Pei L, Hu Y. Long-term prediction of the sporadic COVID-19 epidemics induced by δ -virus in China based on a novel non-autonomous delayed SIR model. THE EUROPEAN PHYSICAL JOURNAL. SPECIAL TOPICS 2022; 231:3649-3662. [PMID: 35813987 PMCID: PMC9252558 DOI: 10.1140/epjs/s11734-022-00622-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/03/2022] [Accepted: 05/23/2022] [Indexed: 06/15/2023]
Abstract
With the outbreaks of the COVID-19 epidemics in several provinces of China, government takes prevention and control measures to contain the epidemics. It is more difficult to make the long-term prediction of the sporadic COVID-19 epidemics than widespread ones in that the former cannot obey the laws of the infectious disease well like the latter. In this paper, we make long-term predictions including end time and final size, peak and peak time of current confirmed cases and the number of accumulative removed cases of the sporadic COVID-19 epidemics in different regions of China by a novel non-autonomous delayed SIR compartment model (S-susceptible, I-infected, R-removed). The key contribution of this paper is that under the rigorous containments, we find transmission rate β ( t ) is approximately an exponential decreasing function with respect to time t, rather than a fixed constant. In addition, the removed rate γ ( t ) is approximately a piecewise linear increasing function instead of a linear increasing function which is (at + b)heaviside (t-14). First, according to the few data in the early stage, i.e., roughly the first 7 days, issued by the National Health Commission of China and local Health Commissions, we can accurately estimate these parameters, i.e., transmission and removed rates of the model. Then, by them, we accurately predict the evolution of the COVID-19 there. On the basis of them to predict Category A of the sporadic COVID-19 epidemics since July 20th, 2021 in this summer. The results agree very well to the actual ones. It is also adopted to predict Category B - - - the tour group epidemics since October 17th, 2021 and Category C - - - other sporadic epidemics since October 27th, 2021. The results show that although our method is simple and the needed data are very few, the long-term prediction of the sporadic COVID-19 epidemics in China is quite effective. We can use this novel non-autonomous delayed SIR model to accurately predict its end time and final size, peak and peak time of current confirmed cases and the number of accumulative removed cases in China. This work can help governments and policy-makers make optimal prevention and control policies for all cities and provinces to contain the COVID-19 epidemics, and prepare well for the resumption of work, production and classes in advance to reduce the economic and social losses.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Lijun Pei
- School of Mathematics and Statistics, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, 450001 Henan People’s Republic of China
| | - Yanhong Hu
- School of Mathematics and Statistics, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, 450001 Henan People’s Republic of China
| |
Collapse
|
14
|
Hong W, Lu X, Wu L, Pu X. Analysis of factors influencing public attention to masks during the COVID-19 epidemic-Data from Sina Weibo. MATHEMATICAL BIOSCIENCES AND ENGINEERING : MBE 2022; 19:6469-6488. [PMID: 35730267 DOI: 10.3934/mbe.2022304] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/15/2023]
Abstract
As we all know, vaccination still does not protect people from novel coronavirus infections, and wearing masks remains essential. Research on mask attention is helpful to understand the public's cognition and willingness to wear masks, but there are few studies on mask attention in the existing literature. The health belief model used to study disease prevention behaviors is rarely applied to the research on mask attention, and the research on health belief models basically entails the use of a questionnaire survey. This study was purposed to establish a health belief model affecting mask attention to explore the relationship between perceived susceptibility, perceived severity, self-efficacy, perceived impairment, action cues and mask attention. On the basis of the establishment of the hypothesis model, the Baidu index of epidemic and mask attention, the number of likes and comments on Weibo, and the historical weather temperature data were retrieved by using software. Keyword extraction and manual screening were carried out for Weibo comments, and then the independent variables and dependent variables were coded. Finally, through binomial logistic regression analysis, it was concluded that perceived susceptibility, perceived severity and action cues have significant influences on mask attention, and that the accuracy rate for predicting low attention is 93.4%, and the global accuracy is 84.3%. These conclusions can also help suppliers make production decisions.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Wei Hong
- Food Safety Research Base of Jiangsu Province, Jiangnan University, Wuxi 214122, China
- School of Business, Jiangnan University, Wuxi 214122, China
- Institute for Food Safety Risk Management, Jiangnan University, Wuxi 214122, China
| | - Xinhang Lu
- School of Business, Jiangnan University, Wuxi 214122, China
| | - Linhai Wu
- Food Safety Research Base of Jiangsu Province, Jiangnan University, Wuxi 214122, China
- School of Business, Jiangnan University, Wuxi 214122, China
- Institute for Food Safety Risk Management, Jiangnan University, Wuxi 214122, China
| | - Xujin Pu
- Food Safety Research Base of Jiangsu Province, Jiangnan University, Wuxi 214122, China
- School of Business, Jiangnan University, Wuxi 214122, China
- Institute for Food Safety Risk Management, Jiangnan University, Wuxi 214122, China
| |
Collapse
|