Variant Effect Prediction in the Age of Machine Learning

Over the years, many computational methods have been created for the analysis of the impact of single amino acid substitutions resulting from single-nucleotide variants in genome coding regions. Historically, all methods have been supervised and thus limited by the inadequate sizes of experimentally curated data sets and by the lack of a standardized definition of variant effect. The emergence of unsupervised, deep learning (DL)-based methods raised an important question: Can machines learn the language of life from the unannotated protein sequence data well enough to identify significant errors in the protein "sentences"? Our analysis suggests that some unsupervised methods perform as well or better than existing supervised methods. Unsupervised methods are also faster and can, thus, be useful in large-scale variant evaluations. For all other methods, however, their performance varies by both evaluation metrics and by the type of variant effect being predicted. We also note that the evaluation of method performance is still lacking on less-studied, nonhuman proteins where unsupervised methods hold the most promise.

Toward Identification of Functional Sequences and Variants in Noncoding DNA

Understanding the noncoding part of the genome, which encodes gene regulation, is necessary to identify genetic mechanisms of disease and translate findings from genome-wide association studies into actionable results for treatments and personalized care. Here we provide an overview of the computational analysis of noncoding regions, starting from gene-regulatory mechanisms and their representation in data. Deep learning methods, when applied to these data, highlight important regulatory sequence elements and predict the functional effects of genetic variants. These and other algorithms are used to predict damaging sequence variants. Finally, we introduce rare-variant association tests that incorporate functional annotations and predictions in order to increase interpretability and statistical power.

Prediction of protein stability changes upon single-point variant using 3D structure profile

Identifying protein thermodynamic stability changes upon single-point variants is crucial for studying mutation-induced alterations in protein biophysics, genomic variants, and mutation-related diseases. In the last decade, various computational methods have been developed to predict the effects of single-point variants, but the prediction accuracy is still far from satisfactory for practical applications. Herein, we review approaches and tools for predicting stability changes upon the single-point variant. Most of these methods require tertiary protein structure as input to achieve reliable predictions. However, the availability of protein structures limits the immediate application of these tools. To improve the performance of a computational prediction from a protein sequence without experimental structural information, we introduce a new computational framework: MU3DSP. This method assesses the effects of single-point variants on protein thermodynamic stability based on point mutated protein 3D structure profile. Given a protein sequence with a single variant as input, MU3DSP integrates both sequence-level features and averaged features of 3D structures obtained from sequence alignment to PDB to assess the change of thermodynamic stability induced by the substitution. MU3DSP outperforms existing methods on various benchmarks, making it a reliable tool to assess both somatic and germline substitution variants and assist in protein design. MU3DSP is available as an open-source tool at https://github.com/hurraygong/MU3DSP.

Integration of Protein Structure and Population-Scale DNA Sequence Data for Disease Gene Discovery and Variant Interpretation

The experimental and computational techniques for capturing information about protein structures and genetic variation within the human genome have advanced dramatically in the past 20 years, generating extensive new data resources. In this review, we discuss these advances, along with new approaches for determining the impact a genetic variant has on protein function. We focus on the potential of new methods that integrate human genetic variation into protein structures to discover relationships to disease, including the discovery of mutational hotspots in cancer-related proteins, the localization of protein-altering variants within protein regions for common complex diseases, and the assessment of variants of unknown significance for Mendelian traits. We expect that approaches that integrate these data sources will play increasingly important roles in disease gene discovery and variant interpretation. Expected final online publication date for the Annual Review of Biomedical Data Science, Volume 5 is August 2022. Please see http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates for revised estimates.

Decoding the effects of synonymous variants

Synonymous single nucleotide variants (sSNVs) are common in the human genome but are often overlooked. However, sSNVs can have significant biological impact and may lead to disease. Existing computational methods for evaluating the effect of sSNVs suffer from the lack of gold-standard training/evaluation data and exhibit over-reliance on sequence conservation signals. We developed synVep (synonymous Variant effect predictor), a machine learning-based method that overcomes both of these limitations. Our training data was a combination of variants reported by gnomAD (observed) and those unreported, but possible in the human genome (generated). We used positive-unlabeled learning to purify the generated variant set of any likely unobservable variants. We then trained two sequential extreme gradient boosting models to identify subsets of the remaining variants putatively enriched and depleted in effect. Our method attained 90% precision/recall on a previously unseen set of variants. Furthermore, although synVep does not explicitly use conservation, its scores correlated with evolutionary distances between orthologs in cross-species variation analysis. synVep was also able to differentiate pathogenic vs. benign variants, as well as splice-site disrupting variants (SDV) vs. non-SDVs. Thus, synVep provides an important improvement in annotation of sSNVs, allowing users to focus on variants that most likely harbor effects.