Predictive Value of the Model of End-Stage Liver Disease in Cirrhotic Patients with and without Spontaneous Bacterial Peritonitis

Bacterial profile, drug resistance pattern, clinical and laboratory predictors of ascites infection in cirrhosis patients

Ascites is a pathological collection of free fluid in the peritoneal cavity, which is a common complication in patients with cirrhosis, an advanced liver disease. Bacterial infection increases the mortality rate of hospitalized patients with cirrhosis, irrespective of the severity of the liver disease. Around 60% of patients with compensated cirrhosis developed ascites within 10 years during the course of their disease. The in-hospital mortality rate due to spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) could exceed 90%, but with early diagnosis and prompt antibiotic therapy, this rate has been shown to decrease to 20%. Here, we enrolled adult (age ≥ 18) patients with liver disease with evidence of cirrhosis who developed ascites and assessed the presence of spontaneous ascites fluid infection (SAFI) in these patients. Of the total 218 patients, 22.9% (50/218) develop ascites infection. The liver organ function tests like alanine aminotransferase, aspartate aminotransferase, total bilirubin, and direct bilirubin were found to be significantly (P < 0.05) higher in patients with ascites fluid infection compared to patients with non-ascites fluid infection. Of the gram-negative bacteria, K. pneumonia and E. coli were isolated and found to be 100% resistant to amoxicillin and clavulanate. From the gram-positive bacterial isolates, S. aureus was only resistant to penicillin, whereas Str. viridans was resistant to ceftriaxone, cefotaxime, cefepime, and penicillin. On the other hand, clinical features such as a history of jaundice, low arterial blood pressure, and ultrasound results such as a shrunken liver and enlarged spleen were also independent predictors of spontaneous bacterial peritonitis. In conclusion, given the high probability of death following SAFI, early detection, and treatment, as well as knowledge of the microbial agent, resistance profile, and predictive markers in various contexts, are essential for the timely diagnosis and management of SAFI in these patients.

Clinical Significance of Ascitic Fluid Polymorphonuclear Leukocyte Percentage in Patients With Cirrhosis Without Spontaneous Bacterial Peritonitis

INTRODUCTION

Absolute polymorphonuclear leukocyte (PMN) count (PMN-C) ≥250 cells/mm 3 in ascites is the diagnostic hallmark of spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) and is associated with high morbidity and mortality. However, the clinical significance of ascitic PMN percentage (PMN-%) and PMN-C in the absence of SBP as additional biomarkers for mortality and future incidence of SBP has not been determined.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort included adults with cirrhosis undergoing first-recorded paracentesis with initial PMN-C < 250 cells/mm 3 at 2 tertiary medical centers between 2015 and 2020. Patients with prior SBP were excluded. Outcomes were death and SBP development. Cox regression estimated hazard ratios (HRs) for risk of death and SBP development and Akaike information criterion to compare model fit.

RESULTS

Three hundred eighty-four adults (73% male, median age 58 years, 67% with alcohol-associated cirrhosis, median PMN-C 14 cells/mm 3 [interquartile range 5-34], and median PMN-% 10% [interquartile range 4-20]) were included in this study. Univariate risk of death increased 10% per 25-unit increase in PMN-C (95% confidence interval 1.01-1.21, P = 0.03) and 19% per 10-unit increase in PMN-% (95% confidence interval 1.06-1.33, P = 0.003) with PMN-% demonstrating better model fit in assessing mortality risk (Akaike information criterion: 1,044 vs 1,048, respectively). In models adjusted for age, chronic hepatitis C virus infection, and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease-Sodium, PMN-% was associated with risk of death (PMN-% 10%-29%, HR 1.17, P = 0.50; PMN-% ≥ 30% group, HR 1.94, P = 0.03; vs PMN-% < 10%) and SBP development (PMN-% 10%-29%, HR 1.68, P = 0.07; PMN-% ≥ 30%, HR 3.48, P < 0.001; vs PMN-% < 10%).

DISCUSSION

Our results suggest PMN-% at first paracentesis represents a better biomarker compared with PMN-C for assessing risk of death and future SBP development in patients with PMN-C < 250 cells/mm 3 .

Proton Pump Inhibitor Therapy Increases the Risk of Spontaneous Bacterial Peritonitis in Patients with HBV-Related Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure

INTRODUCTION

Spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) is a common infection in patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). SBP significantly increases the mortality rate and medical costs. The association between proton pump inhibitor (PPI) use and SBP remains unclear. We conducted a retrospective study to investigate the association between PPI use and SBP in patients with HBV-related ACLF and to explore the risk factors for SBP.

METHODS

We compared the SBP incidence between the PPI and non-PPI groups before and after propensity score matching and explored the association between the duration and type of PPI and SBP occurrence. Risk factors for SBP occurrence were determined by univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS

The SBP incidence was higher in the PPI group than in the non-PPI group before and after propensity score matching. The SBP incidence increased for elevated MELD scores in PPI users. There was a similar SBP incidence in both different types and durations of PPI users. MELD score, old age, male sex, and high WBC count were significant independent risk factors for SBP in PPI users with HBV-related ACLF in the hospital.

CONCLUSIONS

PPI therapy increases the risk of SBP development in patients with HBV-related ACLF. MELD score, old age, male sex, and high WBC count could serve as predictors of SBP in PPI users. Caution should be taken regarding PPI use, especially for patients with MELD scores > 30.

An Epidemiological Meta-Analysis on the Worldwide Prevalence, Resistance, and Outcomes of Spontaneous Bacterial Peritonitis in Cirrhosis

Background and Aims: Spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) is a common and potentially fatal complication of liver cirrhosis. This study aims to analyze the prevalence of SBP among liver cirrhotic patients according to geographical location and income level, and risk factors and outcomes of SBP. Methods: A systematic search for articles describing prevalence, risk factors and outcomes of SBP was conducted. A single-arm meta-analysis was performed using generalized linear mix model (GLMM) with Clopper-Pearson intervals. Results: Ninety-Nine articles, comprising a total of 5,861,142 individuals with cirrhosis were included. Pooled prevalence of SBP was found to be 17.12% globally (CI: 13.63-21.30%), highest in Africa (68.20%; CI: 12.17-97.08%), and lowest in North America (10.81%; CI: 5.32-20.73%). Prevalence of community-acquired SBP was 6.05% (CI: 4.32-8.40%), and 11.11% (CI: 5.84-20.11%,) for healthcare-associated SBP. Antibiotic-resistant microorganisms were found in 11.77% (CI: 7.63-17.73%) of SBP patients. Of which, methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus was most common (6.23%; CI: 3.83-9.97%), followed by extended-spectrum beta-lactamase producing organisms (6.19%; CI: 3.32-11.26%), and lastly vancomycin-resistant enterococci (1.91%; CI: 0.41-8.46%). Subgroup analysis comparing prevalence, antibiotic resistance, and outcomes between income groups was conducted to explore a link between socioeconomic status and SBP, which revealed decreased risk of SBP and negative outcomes in high-income countries. Conclusion: SBP remains a frequent complication of liver cirrhosis worldwide. The drawn link between income level and SBP in liver cirrhosis may enable further insight on actions necessary to tackle the disease on a global scale.

Predictors of spontaneous bacterial peritonitis in Romanian adults with liver cirrhosis: Focus on the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio

Spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) is a severe complication of liver cirrhosis whose diagnosis is based on a polymorphonuclear leukocyte (PMN) value >250 mm³, yet this PMN value cannot identify all existing types. The aim of our study was to determine the clinical and biological factors that were associated with SBP and predict its occurrence, focusing on the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) as one of them. Our retrospective study included 216 patients with liver cirrhosis who were hospitalized between December 2019 and January 2010 at the Emergency County Clinical Hospital of 'St. Apostle Andrew' in Constanta, Romania. Demographic, clinical, and laboratory data were collected from patient observation sheets. The patients were divided into two groups: One group of patients with SBP and the other without SBP. The diagnosis of SBP was made when patients presented with PMN >250 mm³ and other causes of secondary bacterial peritonitis were excluded. The mean age of the patients was 61.25±10.67 years, and the alcoholic etiology of liver cirrhosis was most common (44%). Univariate logistic regression analysis showed that there was an association between biological parameters, such as serum white blood cells, total platelet count, total bilirubin, serum albumin, international normalized ratio, creatinine, erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR), serum sodium, alkaline reserve, and NLR, and clinical parameters, such us upper gastrointestinal bleeding and cardiac comorbidities in the occurrence of SBP. Multivariate analysis identified ESR and NLR as predictive factors in the occurrence of SBP. The area under the curve (AUC) was 0.916 [P<0.001, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.870-0.949] for ESR and AUC was 0.963 (P<0.001, 95% CI 0.928-0.984) for NLR, respectively. In conclusion, the combination of these 2 biological parameters is useful in identifying or excluding SBP.

Chronic Alcoholic Liver Disease and Mortality Risk in Spontaneous Bacterial Peritonitis: Analysis of 6,530 Hospitalizations

Objective

Our study aimed to assess the risk of in-hospital mortality due to chronic alcoholic liver disease (CALD) and other comorbidities in spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) inpatients.

Methods

We conducted a cross-sectional study using the Nationwide Inpatient Sample (NIS, 2012 to 2014) from the United States and included 6,530 patients (age 18-50 years) with a primary diagnosis of SBP. Logistic regression was used to evaluate the odds ratio (OR) for in-hospital mortality in SBP by comorbidities.

Results

The prevalence of CALD in SBP patients is 43.6%, and a higher proportion were males (68.8%) and whites (67%). Middle-aged adults (OR 2.8, 95% CI 1.74-4.45) had higher odds of in-hospital mortality in SBP patients. Race and sex were non-significant predictors for mortality risk. Patients with comorbid coagulopathy (OR 1.9, 95% CI 1.45-2.48) and heart failure (OR 3.9, 95% CI 2.46-6.36) have increased mortality in SBP inpatients. After controlling confounders, CALD was significantly associated with increased in-hospital mortality (OR 1.5, 95% CI 1.12-1.94) in SBP inpatients.

Conclusion

CALD is an independent factor in increasing the risk of in-hospital mortality in SBP patients by 48%. Alcohol use screening, and alcohol abstinence and supportive therapy need to be implemented at an earlier stage to improve health-related quality of life and reduce in-hospital mortality in SBP patients.

Lymphocyte-To-Monocyte Ratio as the Best Simple Predictor of Bacterial Infection in Patients with Liver Cirrhosis

Background and aim: The aim of this study was to assess the diagnostic performance of new morphology-related indices and Child–Turcotte–Pugh (CTP) and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) scores during hospitalization in predicting the onset of bacterial infection in patients with liver cirrhosis. Material and methods: A total of 171 patients (56.9% males; median age 59 years; total number of hospitalizations 209) with liver cirrhosis were included in this observational study. The diagnosis of cirrhosis was made on the basis of clinical, biochemical, ultrasonic, histological, and endoscopic findings. The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR), modified aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI), aspartate aminotransferase-to-alanine aminotransferase ratio (AAR), Fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), neutrophil-to-monocyte ratio (NMR), and CTP and MELD scores were calculated for the cases of patients with cirrhosis. Results: Bacterial infection was diagnosed in 60 of the 209 (28.7%) hospitalizations of patients with cirrhosis. The most common infections were urinary tract infection (UTI), followed by pneumonia and sepsis. The more severe the liver failure, the greater the bacterial infection prevalence and mortality. Patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis were infected more often than subjects with compensated cirrhosis (50.0% vs. 12.9%, p = 0.003). The calculated MELD score, CTP, NLR, LMR, AAR, monocyte count, and C-reactive protein (CRP) concentration were also related to the bacterial infection prevalence, and mortality areas under the curve (AUC) were 0.629, 0.687, 0.606, 0.715, 0.610, 0.648, and 0.685, respectively. The combined model with two variables (LMR and CTP) had the best AUC of 0.757. The most common bacteria isolated from patients with UTI were Escherichia coli, Enterococcus faecalis, and Klebsiella pneumonia. Gram-negative bacteria were also responsible for spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP), and together with gram-positive streptococci and staphylococci, these microorganisms were isolated from blood cultures of patients with sepsis. Significant differences were found between CTP classification, MELD score, NLR, LMR, AAR, CRP, and PLR in patients with cirrhosis with, or without, bacterial infection. Conclusions: Bacterial infection prevalence is relatively high in patients with liver cirrhosis. Although all analyzed scores, including the LMR, NLR, aspartate aminotransferase (AST)/alanine aminotransferase (ALT), CRP, CTP, and MELD, allowed the prediction of bacterial occurrence, the LMR had the highest clinical utility, according to the area under the curve (AUC) and odds ratio (OR).

Prevalence and predictors for spontaneous bacterial peritonitis in cirrhotic patients with ascites admitted at medical block in Korle-Bu Teaching Hospital, Ghana

Introduction

Spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) is one of the most common and life-threatening complications of patients with cirrhotic ascites. Recognition and prompt treatment of this condition is essential to prevent serious morbidity and mortality. This study aimed to determine the prevalence of SBP among in-patients with cirrhotic ascites attending our facility and to determine the clinical and laboratory parameters associated with SBP.

Methods

A cross-sectional study was conducted involving one hundred and three (103) patients admitted at medical block in the Korle-Bu Teaching Hospital (KBTH) with cirrhotic ascites from 25^th March, 2016 to 25^th November, 2016. Demographic and clinical data were collected using a standardized questionnaire. Ascitic fluid culture and cell count were conducted. Positive ascitic fluid culture and/or ascitic polymorphonuclear leukocyte ≥ 250cells/mm³ were diagnostic for SBP.

Results

Of the 103 patients with cirrhotic ascites, the mean age was 43.5 ± 12.2 years. There were fifty eight (58) male patients. The prevalence of SBP was 25.24% (26/103). Majority, 5 (55.6%) of the bacteria isolated from ascitic fluid with SBP was Escherichia coli. Severe ascites and high INR were found to be independent predictors of SBP.

Conclusion

SBP is common among patients with cirrhotic ascites admitted at KBTH. Severe ascites and high INR were highly suggestive of SBP. Diagnostic paracentesis should be done immediately on admission to confirm the diagnosis irrespective of the clinical characteristics as part of baseline investigation.

Predictive power of Model for End-Stage Liver Disease and Child-Turcotte-Pugh score for mortality in cirrhotic patients

Aim of the study

To assess the performance of Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) scores' kinetics during hospitalization in predicting in-hospital mortality in patients with liver cirrhosis.

Material and methods

One hundred and seventy-four cases of hospitalized liver cirrhosis patients were selected. The diagnosis of cirrhosis was made based on clinical, biochemical, ultrasonic, histological, and endoscopic findings and results. CTP and MELD scores at admission and ΔCTP and ΔMELD were calculated. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression and receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis were performed. In the models, odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) was used to measure the accuracy. For the optimal cutoff point, sensitivity (SE), specificity (SP), positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) were calculated. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to construct survival curves, and the log-rank test was used to compare time to death, with respect to MELD and CTP categories.

Results

Among the assessed scores, the highest area under the ROC curve (AUC) in univariate logistic regression analysis was calculated for ΔMELD ≥ 1, followed by ΔCTP ≥ 1, CTP > 8, and MELD > 17. Based on the selected criteria, multivariate models were created that were characterized by an outstanding ability to predict the in-hospital mortality.

Conclusions

In-hospital mortality is relatively high in patients with liver cirrhosis. The combination of CTP and MELD scoring methods, combined with their kinetics, allows for the prediction of short-term mortality.

Prognostic impact of peritonitis in hemodialysis patients: A national-wide longitudinal study in Taiwan

Background

Peritonitis has been independently associated with increased morbidity and mortality in peritoneal dialysis patients. However, there are few reports on peritonitis in hemodialysis patients. We aim at investigating both the risk profiles and prognostic impact of peritonitis in hemodialysis patients.

Methods

This nation-wide longitudinal study uses claims data obtained from the Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database. A total of 80,733 incident hemodialysis patients of age ≥ 20 years without a history of peritonitis were identified between January 1, 1998 and December 31, 2009. Predictors of peritonitis events were estimated using Cox proportional hazard models. Time-dependent Cox proportional hazard models were used to estimate hazard ratio for mortality attributed to peritonitis exposure.

Results

Of 80,733 incident hemodialysis patients over a 13-year study period, peritonitis was diagnosed in 935 (1.16%), yielding an incidence rate of 2.91 per 1000 person-years. Female gender, liver cirrhosis and polycystic kidney disease were three of the most significant factors for peritonitis in both non-diabetic and diabetic hemodialysis patients. The cumulative survival rate of patients with peritonitis was 38.8% at 1 year and 10.1% at 5 years. A time-dependent Cox multivariate analysis showed that peritonitis had significantly increased hazard ratio for all cause mortality. Additionally, the risk of mortality remained significantly higher for non-diabetic hemodialysis patients that experienced peritonitis.

Conclusions

The risk of peritonitis in hemodialysis patients is higher in female gender, liver cirrhosis and polycystic kidney disease. Although peritonitis is a rare condition, it is associated with significantly poorer outcome in hemodialysis patients.

Clinical and laboratorial features of spontaneous bacterial peritonitis in southern Brazil

CONTEXT AND OBJECTIVE

Spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) is a severe complication that occurs in 8-27% of hospitalized patients with liver cirrhosis and ascites, with high mortality rates. This study aimed to identify the clinical characteristics associated with SBP.

DESIGN AND SETTING

Cross-sectional study, conducted in a public university.

METHODS

The study consecutively included individuals with liver cirrhosis and ascites between September 2009 and March 2012. Forty-five patients were included: mean age 53.2 ± 12.3 years, 82.2% male, 73.8% Caucasian, mean Model of End-stage Liver Disease (MELD) score of 19.5 ± 7.2, and 33.3% with SBP. The subjects were divided into two groups: SBP and controls.

RESULTS

Comparison between individuals with SBP and controls showed that those with SBP had lower mean prothrombin activity time (36.1 ± 16.0% versus 47.1 ± 17.2%; P = 0.044) and lower median serum-ascites albumin gradient (SAAG) (1.2 versus 1.7, P = 0.045). There was a tendency towards higher mean MELD in the SBP group, not significant (22.2 ± 7.6 versus 17.9 ± 6.7; P = 0.067). There was a strong positive correlation between the neutrophil count in ascitic fluid and serum leukocyte count (r = 0.501; P = 0.001) and a negative correlation between the neutrophil count in ascitic fluid with prothrombin activity time (r = -0.385; P = 0.011).

CONCLUSION

A few characteristics are associated with the presence of SBP, especially liver dysfunction, SAAG and peripheral leukocytosis.

Model for End-stage Liver Disease

Model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score, initially developed to predict survival following transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt was subsequently found to be accurate predictor of mortality amongst patents with end-stage liver disease. Since 2002, MELD score using 3 objective variables (serum bilirubin, serum creatinine, and institutional normalized ratio) has been used worldwide for listing and transplanting patients with end-stage liver disease allowing transplanting sicker patients first irrespective of the wait time on the list. MELD score has also been shown to be accurate predictor of survival amongst patients with alcoholic hepatitis, following variceal hemorrhage, infections in cirrhosis, after surgery in patients with cirrhosis including liver resection, trauma, and hepatorenal syndrome (HRS). Although, MELD score is closest to the ideal score, there are some limitations including its inaccuracy in predicting survival in 15-20% cases. Over the last decade, many efforts have been made to further improve and refine MELD score. Until, a better score is developed, liver allocation would continue based on the currently used MELD score.