Albumin-Bilirubin Grade as a Novel Predictor of Survival in Advanced Extrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma

A novel nomogram based on inflammatory-nutritional biomarkers for gallbladder cancer after surgical resection

PURPOSE

Systemic inflammation and nutrition are vital for tumor progression. This study aimed to identify prognostic inflammation nutrition markers and develop a predictive nomogram for gallbladder cancer (GBC).

METHODS

A total of 123 patients with GBC who underwent surgical resection at the First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University and Suzhou Kowloon Hospital were included in our study. The final prognostic variables were identified using univariate and multivariate analyses. A nomogram model was then established, and the consistency index (C-index), calibration curves, and Kaplan-Meier analysis were performed to evaluate the accuracy and discrimination of the nomogram. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and decision curve analysis (DCA) suggested that our nomogram had better predictive ability and clinical feasibility than a published model.

RESULTS

The cox regression analysis showed that carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) > 4.580, albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) > -2.091, geriatric nutritional risk index (GNRI) < 90.83, T3-T4, and N2 are independent prognostic factors. A predictive nomogram was constructed with a C-index of 0.793. In the calibration curves, the nomogram-predicted 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival matched well with the actual survival. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that the high-risk group had worse survival than the low-risk group (P < 0.001). Finally, our nomogram achieved better 1-, 3- and 5-year AUCs than an established model (0.871, 0.844, and 0.781 vs. 0.753, 0.750, and 0.693). DCA also confirmed that our model outperformed the established model.

CONCLUSIONS

In conclusion, our study revealed that CEA > 4.580, GNRI < 90.83, ALBI > -2.091, T3-T4 stage, and N2 were related to clinical outcomes of patients with GBC after surgical resection. The constructed nomogram has superior predictive ability and clinical practicality.

Clinical outcomes and risk stratification in unresectable biliary tract cancers undergoing radiation therapy

BACKGROUND

Biliary tract cancers (BTC) are rare and aggressive malignancies originating from intrahepatic and extrahepatic bile ducts and the gallbladder. Surgery is the only curative option, but due to late-stage diagnosis, is frequently not feasible, leaving chemotherapy as the primary treatment. Radiotherapy (RT) can be an effective alternative for patients with unresectable, non-metastatic BTC despite the generally poor prognosis and significant variability. To help manage patients with unresectable BTC who receive RT, we aimed to identify prognostic markers that could aid in predicting overall survival (OS).

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study was conducted at the University of Pennsylvania, involving seventy-eight patients with unresectable BTC treated with definitive intent RT. Comprehensive demographic, clinical, and treatment-related data were extracted from the electronic medical records. Univariate and multivariate Cox regressions were employed to identify predictors of OS after RT. A biomarker model was developed for refined survival prediction.

RESULTS

The cohort primarily comprised patients with good performance status without significant hepatic dysfunction at presentation. The predominant treatment approach involved hypofractionated RT or concurrent 5FU-based chemoRT. Median OS after RT was 12.3 months, and 20 patients (15.6%) experienced local progression with a median time of 30.1 months. Univariate and multivariate analyses identified CA19-9 (above median) and higher albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grades at presentation as significant predictors of poor OS. Median OS after RT was 24 months for patients with no risk factors and 6.3 months for those with both.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study demonstrates generally poor but significantly heterogeneous OS in patients with unresectable BTC treated with RT. We have developed a biomarker model based on CA19-9 and ALBI grade at presentation that can distinguish sub-populations with markedly diverse prognoses. This model can aid the clinical management of this challenging disease.

Prognostic significance of pretreatment albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade and platelet-albumin-bilirubin (PALBI) grade in patients with small cell lung cancer

Small cell lung cancer (SCLC) is a common cancer among the world's lung cancers. Despite advances in diagnosis and treatment, the prognosis is still poor. There is no effective biomarker other than stage in daily practice. However, in daily practice, patients may have different features and survival times even though they have the same stage. Previously, albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade, platelet-albumin-bilirubin (PALBI) grade were used to determine the prognosis of acute-chronic liver failure and acute upper gastrointestinal bleeding in liver cirrhosis. In subsequent studies, they were found to be associated with prognosis in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and other solid cancers. However, the prognostic relationship between ALBI grade, PALBI grade, and SCLC is unknown. Therefore, we conducted this study to examine the relationship between ALBI grade and PALBI grade and prognosis in SCLC patients. Data of 138 patients with advanced SCLC at diagnosis between 2009 and 2020 were analyzed retrospectively. The results of the multivariate analysis were as follows: ALBI grade 1 vs 2, hazard ratio (HR) = 1.608, p = 0.002 for OS and HR = 1.575, p = 0.002 for PFS; ALBI grade 1 vs 3, HR = 2.035, p < 0.001 for OS and HR = 2.675, p < 0.001 for PFS; PALBI grade 1 vs 2, HR = 1.302, p = 0.006 for OS and HR = 1.674, p = 0.002 for PFS; and PALBI grade 1 vs 3, HR = 1.725, p < 0.001 for OS and HR = 2.675, p < 0.001 for PFS. In conclusion, the ALBI and PALBI grades were determined to be associated with the prognosis of SCLC, and they can be used as easy, inexpensive, and practical markers in determining the follow-up treatment and prognosis of SCLC patients.

Predictive value of preoperative albumin-bilirubin score and other risk factors for short-term outcomes after open pancreatoduodenectomy

BACKGROUND

Pancreatoduodenectomy represents a complex procedure involving extensive organ resection and multiple alimentary reconstructions. It is still associated with high morbidity, even in high-volume centres. Prediction tools including preoperative patient-related factors to preoperatively identify patients at high risk for postoperative complications could enable tailored perioperative management and improve patient outcomes.

AIM

To evaluate the clinical significance of preoperative albumin-bilirubin score and other risk factors in relation to short-term postoperative outcomes in patients after open pancreatoduodenectomy.

METHODS

This retrospective study included all patients who underwent open pancreatic head resection (pylorus-preserving pancreatoduodenectomy or Whipple resection) for various pathologies during a five-year period (2017-2021) in a tertiary care setting at University Medical Centre Ljubljana, Slovenia and Cattinara Hospital, Trieste, Italy. Short-term postoperative outcomes, namely, postoperative complications, postoperative pancreatic fistula, reoperation, and mortality, were evaluated in association with albumin-bilirubin score and other risk factors. Multiple logistic regression models were built to identify risk factors associated with these short-term postoperative outcomes.

RESULTS

Data from 347 patients were collected. Postoperative complications, major postoperative complications, postoperative pancreatic fistula, reoperation, and mortality were observed in 52.7%, 22.2%, 23.9%, 21.3%, and 5.2% of patients, respectively. There was no statistically significant association between the albumin-bilirubin score and any of these short-term postoperative complications based on univariate analysis. When controlling for other predictor variables in a logistic regression model, soft pancreatic texture was statistically significantly associated with postoperative complications [odds ratio (OR): 2.09; 95% confidence interval (95%CI): 1.19-3.67]; male gender (OR: 2.12; 95%CI: 1.15-3.93), soft pancreatic texture (OR: 3.06; 95%CI: 1.56-5.97), and blood loss (OR: 1.07; 95%CI: 1.00-1.14) were statistically significantly associated with major postoperative complications; soft pancreatic texture was statistically significantly associated with the development of postoperative pancreatic fistula (OR: 5.11; 95%CI: 2.38-10.95); male gender (OR: 1.97; 95%CI: 1.01-3.83), soft pancreatic texture (OR: 2.95; 95%CI: 1.42-6.11), blood loss (OR: 1.08; 95%CI: 1.01-1.16), and resection due to duodenal carcinoma (OR: 6.58; 95%CI: 1.20-36.15) were statistically significantly associated with reoperation.

CONCLUSION

The albumin-bilirubin score failed to predict short-term postoperative outcomes in patients undergoing pancreatoduodenectomy. However, other risk factors seem to influence postoperative outcomes, including male sex, soft pancreatic texture, blood loss, and resection due to duodenal carcinoma.

Development and validation of a gene expression-based nomogram to predict the prognosis of patients with cholangiocarcinoma

AIM

To establish and validate a prognostic nomogram of cholangiocarcinoma (CCA) using independent clinicopathological and genetic mutation factors.

METHODS

213 patients with CCA (training cohort n = 151, validation cohort n = 62) diagnosed from 2012 to 2018 were included from multi-centers. Deep sequencing targeting 450 cancer genes was performed. Independent prognostic factors were selected by univariate and multivariate Cox analyses. The clinicopathological factors combined with (A)/without (B) the gene risk were used to establish nomograms for predicting overall survival (OS). The discriminative ability and calibration of the nomograms were assessed using C-index values, integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), decision curve analysis (DCA), and calibration plots.

RESULTS

The clinical baseline information and gene mutations in the training and validation cohorts were similar. SMAD4, BRCA2, KRAS, NF1, and TERT were found to be related with CCA prognosis. Patients were divided into low-, median-, and high-risk groups according to the gene mutation, the OS of which was 42.7 ± 2.7 ms (95% CI 37.5-48.0), 27.5 ± 2.1 ms (95% CI 23.3-31.7), and 19.8 ± 4.0 ms (95% CI 11.8-27.8) (p < 0.001), respectively. The systemic chemotherapy improved the OS in high and median risk groups, but not in the low-risk group. The C-indexes of the nomogram A and B were 0.779 (95% CI 0.693-0.865) and 0.725 (95% CI 0.619-0.831), p < 0.01, respectively. The IDI was 0.079. The DCA showed a good performance and the prognostic accuracy was validated in the external cohort.

CONCLUSION

Gene risk has the potential to guide treatment decision for patients at different risks. The nomogram combined with gene risk showed a better accuracy in predicting OS of CCA than not.

Albumin-Bilirubin Grade and Tumor Burden Score Predict Outcomes Among Patients with Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma After Hepatic Resection: a Multi-Institutional Analysis

BACKGROUND

The prognostic role of tumor burden score (TBS) relative to albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade among patients undergoing curative-intent resection of ICC has not been examined.

METHODS

We identified patients who underwent curative-intent resection for ICC between 1990 and 2017 from a multi-institutional database. Multivariable analysis was performed to assess the effect of TBS relative to ALBI grade on both short- and long-term outcomes.

RESULTS

Among 724 patients, 360 (49.7%) patients had low TBS and low ALBI grade, 142 (19.6%) patients had low TBS and high ALBI grade, 138 (19.1%) patients had high TBS and low ALBI grade, and 84 patients (11.6%) had high TBS and high ALBI grade. Decreased tumor burden was associated with better long-term outcomes among patients with both low (5-year OS; low TBS vs. high TBS: 52.4% vs 21.4%; p < 0.001) and high ALBI grade (5-year OS; low TBS vs. high TBS: 40.7% vs 12.0%; p < 0.001). On multivariable analysis, higher ALBI grade was associated with greater odds of an extended hospital LOS (> 10 days) (OR 2.80, 95%CI 1.62-4.82; p < 0.001), perioperative transfusion (OR 2.04, 95%CI 1.25-3.36; p = 0.005), 90-day mortality (OR 2.56, 95%CI 1.12-5.81; p = 0.025), as well as a major complication (OR 1.99, 95%CI 1.13-3.49; p = 0.016) among patients with similar tumor burden. Of note, patients with high TBS and high ALBI grade had markedly worse overall survival compared with patients who had low TBS and low ALBI grade disease (HR 2.27; 95%CI 1.44-3.59; p < 0.001). Importantly, high TBS and high ALBI grade were strongly associated with both early recurrence (88.1%%) and 5-year risk of death (96.4%).

CONCLUSION

Both TBS (i.e., tumor morphology) and ALBI grade (i.e., hepatic function reserve) were strong predictors of outcomes among patients undergoing ICC resection. There was an interplay between TBS and ALBI grade relative to patient prognosis after hepatic resection of ICC with high ALBI grade predicting worse outcomes among ICC patients with different TBS.

The ALBI score: From liver function in patients with HCC to a general measure of liver function

The (albumin-bilirubin) ‘ALBI’ score is an index of ‘liver function’ that was recently developed to assess prognosis in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma, irrespective of the degree of underlying liver fibrosis. Other measures of liver function, such as model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) and Child-Pugh score, which were introduced for specific clinical scenarios, have seen their use extended to other areas of hepatology. In the case of ALBI, its application has been increasingly extended to chronic liver disease in general and in some instances to non-liver diseases where it has proven remarkably accurate in terms of prognosis. With respect to chronic liver disease, numerous publications have shown that ALBI is highly prognostic in patients with all types and stages of chronic liver disease. Outside of liver disease, ALBI has been reported as being of prognostic value in conditions ranging from chronic heart failure to brain tumours. Whilst in several of these reports, explanations for the relationship of liver function to a clinical condition have been proposed, it has to be acknowledged that the specificity of ALBI for liver function has not been clearly demonstrated. Nonetheless, and similar to the MELD and Child-Pugh scores, the lack of any mechanistic basis for ALBI’s clinical utility does not preclude it from being clinically useful in certain situations. Why albumin and bilirubin levels, or a combination thereof, are prognostic in so many different diseases should be studied in the future.

S184: preoperative sarcopenia is associated with worse short-term outcomes following transanal total mesorectal excision (TaTME) for rectal cancer

INTRODUCTION

Malnutrition and deconditioning impact postoperative morbidity and mortality. Computed tomography (CT) body composition variables are used as markers of nutritional status and sarcopenia. The objective of this study is to evaluate the impact of sarcopenia, using CT variables, on postoperative outcomes following transanal total mesorectal excision (TaTME) for rectal cancer.

METHODS

This was an institutional retrospective cohort analysis of consecutive rectal cancer patients who underwent TaTME between April 2014 and May 2020. Psoas muscle index (PMI) was calculated from diagnostic CT scans. Based on previous studies, patients in the lowest PMI tertile by gender were considered sarcopenic. Fisher's exact and Mann-Whitney U test were used to compare categorical and continuous variables, respectively. Readmission rates and postoperative complications were compared between groups. Backward stepwise logistic regression was used to determine the association between sarcopenia and 30-day postoperative complications.

RESULTS

85 patients were analyzed, of which 63% were male, with a median age of 59 (IQR: 51-65), and median BMI of 28 (IQR: 24-32). Of the entire cohort, 34% (n = 29) were sarcopenic (median PMI 5.39 IQR: 4.49-6.71). No significant difference in baseline characteristics between sarcopenic and nonsarcopenic patients were observed. 55% of sarcopenic patients experienced a complication within 30 days compared to 24% of nonsarcopenic patients (p = 0.01). 41% of sarcopenic patients required hospital readmission within 30 days compared to 17% of their nonsarcopenic counterparts (p = 0.014). Sarcopenic patients also experienced significantly higher rates of post-operative small bowel obstruction (10% vs. 0%, p = 0.04). Multivariable analyses identified that sarcopenic patients have a fourfold increase in odds of experiencing a 30-day postoperative complication (OR: 4.44, 95%CI: 1.6-12.4, p < 0.05) after adjusting for gender.

CONCLUSION

Preoperative sarcopenia is associated with increased 30-day postoperative complications following TaTME for rectal cancer. Postoperative complications can have serious oncologic implications by delaying adjuvant chemotherapy. Therefore, preoperative recognition of sarcopenia prior to undergoing TaTME for rectal cancer may provide an opportunity for early intervention with prehabilitation programs.

Prediction Efficacy of Prognostic Nutritional Index and Albumin-Bilirubin Grade in Patients With Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma After Radical Resection: A Multi-Institutional Analysis of 535 Patients

Background

The preoperative nutritional status and the immunological status have been reported to be independent prognostic factors of patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC). This study aimed to investigate whether prognostic nutritional index (PNI) + albumin–bilirubin (ALBI) could be a better predictor than PNI and ALBI alone in patients with ICC after radical resection.

Methods

The prognostic prediction evaluation of the PNI, ALBI, and the PNI+ALBI grade was performed in 373 patients with ICC who underwent radical resection between 2010 and 2018 at six Chinese tertiary hospitals, and external validation was conducted in 162 patients at four other Chinese tertiary hospitals. Overall survival (OS) and relapse-free survival (RFS) were estimated using the Kaplan–Meier method. Multivariate analysis was conducted to identify independent prognostic factors. A time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and a nomogram prediction model were further constructed to assess the predictive ability of PNI, ALBI, and the PNI+ALBI grade. The C-index and a calibration plot were used to assess the performance of the nomogram models.

Results

Univariate analysis showed that PNI, ALBI, and the PNI+ALBI grade were prognostic factors for the OS and RFS of patients with ICC after radical resection in the training and testing sets (p < 0.001). Multivariate analysis showed that the PNI+ALBI grade was an independent risk factor for OS and RFS in the training and testing sets (p < 0.001). Analysis of the relationship between the PNI+ALBI grade and clinicopathological characteristics showed that the PNI+ALBI grade correlated with obstructive jaundice, alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), cancer antigen 19-9 (CA19-9), cancer antigen 125 (CA125), PNI, ALBI, Child–Pugh grade, type of resection, tumor size, major vascular invasion, microvascular invasion, T stage, and N stage (p < 0.05). The time-dependent ROC curves showed that the PNI+ALBI grade had better prognostic predictive ability than the PNI, ALBI, and the Child–Pugh grade in the training and testing sets.

Conclusion

Preoperative PNI+ALBI grade is an effective and practical predictor for the OS and RFS of patients with ICC after radical resection.

Percutaneous biliary stent with intraluminal brachytherapy versus palliative surgery in the management of extrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

To compare the efficacy and outcomes of self-expandable metallic stent combined with catheter-loaded iodine-125 seeds (SEMS-CL-¹²⁵I) brachytherapy versus conventional palliative surgery (PS) in advanced extrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (EHCC).

METHODS

The retrospective analysis consisted of 101 advanced EHCC patients who received SEMS-CL-¹²⁵I (n = 67) or underwent PS (n = 34). The clinical characteristics, postoperative complications and overall survival (OS) were compared between the two groups.

RESULTS

Serum levels of bilirubin, transaminase, and albumin (ALB) were significantly improved at 1 month, 3 months, and 6 months postoperatively in both groups (all P < 0.05). At 1 month after operation, the level of ALB in SEMS-CL-¹²⁵I group was significantly higher than that in PS group (39.07 ± 3.83 vs. 36.60 ± 5.58 g/L, P = 0.015). No statistically significant difference was found in postoperative overall complications between the two groups (P = 0.052). Length of hospital stay was significantly shorter (P < 0.001), hospital costs were significantly less (P < 0.001), and OS was significantly better (P = 0.029) in SEMS-CL-¹²⁵I group compared to PS group. Multivariate analysis further identified PS (HR = 2.90, 95% CI 1.71-4.93, P < 0.001) and higher level of carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (HR = 2.67, 95% CI 1.36-3.79, P = 0.002) as independent predictors of worse OS.

CONCLUSION

SEMS-CL-¹²⁵I significantly improves outcomes compared with PS and could be a safe and effective treatment for advanced EHCC.

Photodynamic therapy of cancer of large duodenal papilla and extrahepatic bile ducts

The problem of treating patients with malignant neoplasms of the extrahepatic bile ducts and the large duodenal papilla remains relevant due to the growing incidence, high mortality, and a pronounced decrease in the quality of life of patients, despite the radical surgery. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the effectiveness of photodynamic therapy (PDT) in inoperable patients with malignant tumors of these localizations.

The study is based on the treatment of 79 patients with adenocarcinoma of large duodenal papilla and extrahepatic bile ducts. 29 patients received palliative bile drainage operations with PDT. 50 patients in the control group only had palliative bile drainage operations. Patients in the study group received from 1 to 3 PDT courses in a year. In total, 29 patients received 52 PDT courses. The tolerance to the method and the life expectancy of patients were evaluated. The median survival of patients who underwent PDT was 18 months (11–60 months); in the control group – 11.5 months. PDT, in combination with bile drainage operation, is an effective method for the treatment of inoperable patients with malignant neoplasms of the extrahepatic bile ducts and the large duodenal papilla in the absence of severe complications and with easy tolerance to therapy by patients. For the treatment and prolongation of life of patients whose radical surgical treatment is associated with a high risk of death, PDT seems to be the best treatment option. Results of PDT treatment for cancer of this localization are comparable with the results of radical surgeries and exceed those for palliative surgeries.

Risk Stratification in Advanced Biliary Tract Cancer: Validation of the A.L.A.N. Score

Background

In addition to the clinical parameters, immune-inflammatory markers have emerged as prognostic factors in patients with advanced biliary tract cancer (ABC). The recently proposed A.L.A.N. score combines both in an easily applicable manner. The aim of this study was to perform the first external evaluation of this score.

Methods

All patients from our clinical registry unit who had unresectable ABC underwent first-line chemotherapy from 2006 to 2018 and met the inclusion criteria of the original study were included (n =  74). The A.L.A.N. score comprises the following parameters: actual neutrophil count, lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio, albumin, and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (A.L.A.N.). Univariate and multivariate hazard regression analyses were performed to evaluate the score's parameters regarding overall survival (OS). The concordance index (C-index) and integrated Brier score (IBS) were calculated to evaluate the score's predictive performance.

Results

Low, intermediate, and high A.L.A.N. scores corresponded to median OS of 21.9, 11.4, and 4.3 months, respectively, resulting in a significant risk stratification (log-rank p=0.017). In multivariate analysis, a high-risk A.L.A.N. score remained an independent predictor of poor survival (p=0.016). Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio was not a significant factor for poor OS in the analyses in the cohort. The score's ability to predict individual patient survival was only moderate with a C-index of 0.63.

Conclusions

The A.L.A.N. score can be used to identify risk groups with a poor prognosis prior to the start of chemotherapy. However, the ability of the score to predict individual patient outcome was only moderate; thus, it may only serve as a minor component in the complex interdisciplinary discussion.

The Prognostic Significance Of Pretreatment Albumin/alkaline Phosphatase Ratio In Patients With Stage IB-IIA Cervical Cancer

Background

Pretreatment albumin/alkaline phosphatase ratio (AAPR) has been discussed about its prognostic value in several malignancies, whereas its role in cervical cancer remains unclear. In this study, we attempt to explore the prognostic significance of the AAPR in stage IB-IIA cervical cancer patients who underwent a radical hysterectomy.

Patients and methods

A total of 230 cervical cancer patients were enrolled in this retrospective study. The threshold value of AAPR was determined by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and multivariate analysis were performed to identify independent prognostic predictors of disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS).

Results

The optimal cut-off value of the preoperative AAPR was 0.68. Patients with AAPR<0.68 showed obviously inferior OS and DFS than those with AAPR>0.68 according to Kaplan-Meier curves (DFS: P = 0.011; OS: P = 0.017). In multivariate analysis, the preoperative AAPR showed to be an independent predictive factor for disease-free survival (DFS: P = 0.015) and overall survival (OS: P = 0.019). Moreover, subgroup analysis revealed that the lower AAPR was correlated with worse prognosis in patients with histologic grade I-II; but in those with histologic grade III, there was no significant difference between the two groups.

Conclusion

Preoperative AAPR was a potentially valuable prognostic index in stage IB-IIA cervical cancer patients. Further prospective studies are required to validate its prognostic value.