Different Contributions of Dyslipidemia and Obesity to the Natural History of Type 2 Diabetes: 3-Year Cohort Study in China

Cost-effectiveness of two screening strategies based on Chinese diabetes risk score for pre-diabetes in China

Objective

Studies have shown that screening for pre-diabetes mellitus (pre-DM) is essential to prevent type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). This study evaluates the cost-effectiveness of two screening strategies that apply the Chinese Diabetes Risk Score (CDRS) to screen for pre-DM in China.

Methods

A Markov microsimulation model was conducted from a social perspective, and the input parameters were obtained from published literature or publicly available data. Two screening strategies for pre-DM based on CDRS were built and compared with the control group to determine the cost-effective strategy. The screening strategy of the control group was screening for pre-DM by fasting plasma glucose (FPG) test in adults undergoing annual health examination and no screening in adults without an annual health examination (status quo). Two screening strategies were strategy 1: screening for pre-DM using CDRS in all adults (including with or without an annual health examination); and strategy 2: supplemental self-screening for pre-DM using CDRS in adults without an annual health examination, based on the status quo. We focus on the cumulative prevalence of T2DM and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio which signifies the cost per case of T2DM prevented. We also evaluated the cost-effectiveness from the health system perspective. One-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were conducted to verify the robustness of the results.

Results

The costs a case of T2DM prevented for strategy 1 compared with the control group and strategy 2 were $299.67 (95% CI 298.88, 300.46) and $385.89 (95% CI 381.58, 390.20), respectively. In addition, compared with the control group, the cost of strategy 2 to prevent a case of T2DM was $272.23 (95% CI 271.50, 272.96).

Conclusions

Screening for pre-DM using CDRS in all adults was the most cost-effective health policy. We suggest that medical institutions replace FPG with CDRS for pre-DM screening; at the same time, self-screening for pre-DM using CDRS is widely promoted among adults without an annual health examination. There were still some disputes about how CDRS is included in the health examination projects, so strategy 2 should be considered as an alternative screening strategy. Findings provide a reference for the application of the CDRS in pre-DM screening and contribute to T2DM prevention.

Association of weight status and the risks of diabetes in adults: a systematic review and meta-analysis of prospective cohort studies

Obesity is a known risk factor for type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM); however, the associations between underweight and T2DM and between weight status and prediabetes have not been systematically reviewed. We aimed to estimate the relative risks (RRs) of prediabetes/T2DM in underweight/overweight/obesity relative to normal weight. PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and Cochrane Library were searched from inception to December 8, 2021. Prospective cohort studies with a minimum 12-month follow-up period reporting the association between baseline body mass index (BMI) categories and risk of prediabetes/T2DM in adults were included. Study quality was assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale. The main analyses of T2DM risk were performed using the ethnic-specific (Asian/non-Asian) BMI classification and additional analyses of prediabetes/T2DM risk by including all eligible studies. Random-effects models with inverse variance weighting were used. Subgroup analyses and meta-regression were conducted to explore the potential effects of pre-specified modifiers. The study protocol was registered with PROSPERO (CRD42020215957). Eighty-four articles involving over 2.69 million participants from 20 countries were included. The pooled RR of prediabetes risk was 1.24 (95% CI: 1.19-1.28, I² = 9.7%, n = 5 studies) for overweight/obesity vs. normal weight. The pooled RRs of T2DM based on the ethnic-specific BMI categories were 0.93 (95% CI: 0.75-1.15, I² = 55.5%, n = 12) for underweight, 2.24 (95% CI: 1.95-2.56, I² = 92.0%, n = 47) for overweight, 4.56 (95% CI: 3.69-5.64, I² = 96%, n = 43) for obesity, and 22.97 (95% CI: 13.58-38.86, I² = 92.1%, n = 6) for severe obesity vs. normal weight. Subgroup analyses indicated that underweight is a protective factor against T2DM in non-Asians (RR = 0.68, 95% CI: 0.40-0.99, I² = 56.1%, n = 6). The magnitude of the RR of T2DM in overweight/obesity decreased with age and varied by region and the assessment methods for weight and T2DM. Overweight/obesity was associated with an increased prediabetes/T2DM risk. Further studies are required to confirm the association between underweight and prediabetes/T2DM, particularly in Asian populations.

Evidence From a Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis: Classical Impaired Glucose Tolerance Should Be Divided Into Subgroups of Isolated Impaired Glucose Tolerance and Impaired Glucose Tolerance Combined With Impaired Fasting Glucose, According to the Risk of Progression to Diabetes

BACKGROUND

The American Diabetes Association (ADA) 2003 diagnostic criteria divide impaired glucose tolerance (IGT) into isolated impaired glucose tolerance with normal fasting glucose (I-IGT, IGT+NFG) and impaired glucose tolerance combined with impaired fasting glucose (IGT+IFG), while the World Health Organization (WHO) 1999 criteria do not. The aim of this meta-analysis was to evaluate whether IGT should be divided into I-IGT (IGT+NFG) or IGT+IFG according to their risk of progression to type 2 diabetes.

METHODS

The MEDLINE and EMBASE were searched to identify prospective cohort studies published in English prior to April 18, 2020. Review Manager 5.3 was used to calculate the pooled risk ratios (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) as summary statistics for each included study.

RESULTS

Sixteen eligible studies (n = 147,006) were included in the analysis. The subsequent incidence of type 2 diabetes was lower in the I-IGT (IGT+NFG) group than in the IGT+IFG group (0.45 [95% CI 0.37, 0.55] according to WHO 1999 criteria and 0.59 [95% CI 0.54, 0.66] according to ADA 2003 criteria). It was higher in the I-IFG, I-IGT (IGT+NFG), and IGT+IFG groups than in the normoglycemic group (95% CI of 5.53 [3.78, 8.08], 5.21 [3.70, 7.34], and 11.87 [7.33, 19.20] according to the WHO 1999 criteria and 95% CI of 2.66 [2.00, 3.54], 3.34 [2.81, 3.97], and 6.10 [4.72, 7.88] according to the ADA 2003 criteria). In general, the incidence of diabetes in the IGT+IFG group was the highest in the prediabetic population.

CONCLUSIONS

The present meta-analysis suggested that the established WHO diagnostic criteria for IGT should be revised to separately identify individuals with IGT+NFG or IGT+IFG.

Associations of visit-to-visit variabilities and trajectories of serum lipids with the future probability of type 2 diabetes mellitus

Background

Serum lipid abnormalities are generally considered as a major risk factor for type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). However, evidence for the effect of long-term serum lipid fluctuations on future T2DM probability remains limited.

Methods

A total of 4475 nondiabetic participants who underwent annual health examinations between 2010 and 2013 were followed for the subsequent 5-year risk of T2DM. The Cox proportional hazards model was performed to evaluate the associations of visit-to-visit variabilities and trajectories of triglycerides (TG), total cholesterol (TC), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-c) and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-c) with T2DM probability.

Results

During the five-year follow-up, 223 newly developed T2DM cases were identified. Compared with the “Low” TG trajectory, “Moderate” and “Moderate-High” TG trajectories were significantly associated with T2DM incidence, with adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95 % confidence intervals (CIs) of 1.51 (1.12-2.03) and 2.55 (1.62-4.03), respectively. Additionally, participants in the third and fourth quartiles of TG/standard deviation (SD) were associated with increased T2DM probability when compared with those in the lowest quartile. After excluding individuals with prediabetes, participants with “Moderate-High” TG trajectory still had a 2.43-fold greater risk of T2DM compared with those with “Low” TG trajectory (95 % CI: 1.28-4.63). In addition, compared with participants in “Low” HDL-c trajectory, the future T2DM probability was significantly reduced in those with “Moderate” and “High” HDL-c trajectories, with HR (95 % CI) of 0.52 (0.37-0.72) and 0.38 (0.18-0.80), respectively. After excluding individuals with prediabetes, the “Moderate” HDL-c trajectory remained associated with decreased T2DM probability when compared with “Low” HDL-c trajectory (HR: 0.55, 95 % CI: 0.35-0.88). However, the incidence of T2DM was not associated with the long-term fluctuations of TC and LDL-c.

Conclusions

Long-term visit-to-visit variability of TG, and the change trajectories of TG and HDL-c were significantly associated with future T2DM probability. Moreover, these associations were not affected after excluding individuals with prediabetes.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12944-021-01592-9.

Gender differences of relationship between serum lipid indices and type 2 diabetes mellitus: a cross-sectional survey in Chinese elderly adults

Background

To investigate the gender differences of the relationships between clinical serum lipid indices and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) in Chinese elderly adults.

Methods

Between 2014 and 2016, participants selected from three communities in an urban district of Shanghai were measured for serum lipid indices of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-c), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-c), total cholesterol (TC), and triglyceride (TG). Age and multivariate adjusted logistic regression models were utilized to estimate the odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of serum lipid indices on T2DM prevalence.

Results

In total, 4,023 male and 3,862 female participants were included in this study, with the T2DM prevalence proportions of 13.03% and 11.73%, respectively. In association analysis, the serum levels of LDL-c, HDL-c, TC were significant between non-T2DM individuals and T2DM patients in men, but the HDL-c and TG in women. LDL-c/HDL-c, TG/HDL-c, and TC/HDL-c ratios were associated with the T2DM prevalence only in women. In the multivariate analysis, a higher serum LDL-c level was positively associated with a reduced risk of T2DM prevalence in men with OR (95% CI) of 0.57 (0.39–0.85) (P=0.006). Higher ratios of LDL-c/HDL-c, TG/HDL-c, and TC/HDL-c were all more likely associated with the decreased risks of T2DM prevalence with the ORs ranging from 0.45 to 0.62 in men (all P<0.05), but not in women.

Conclusions

High LDL-c concentration was significantly associated with a lower T2DM prevalence in men. A gender difference of the associations between the lipid ratios and T2DM prevalence was observed for LDL-c/HDL-c and TC/HDL-c ratios, which might be validated in female T2DM prevalence in the future.

Differential risk factors and morbidity/mortality pattern in type 2 diabetes: A study among two Mendelian populations with different ancestry (India)

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Association studies of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) with risk factors have shown variable results. Moreover, population-specific comparative investigations are negligible. Therefore, the present study aimed to evaluate the association of dyslipidemia and obesity with impaired fasting glucose (IFG) and T2DM among two ethnically, geographically and culturally different populations in India.

METHODS

This was a cross-sectional study among Jats and Meiteis, each inhabiting a separate geographical region. A total of 2371 individuals, age ≥30 years were recruited through household survey. Obesity variables were captured using anthropometric measurements while fasting blood (2.5 mL) was drawn to measure lipid and glucose levels using enzymatic assay by spectrophotometer. Participants were categorized under normal, IFG and T2DM groups, indicative of diabetes progression stages. Statistical analysis was performed using SPSS 16.0 version.

RESULTS

Significant differential distribution of lipid and obesity variables among IFG and T2DM in both populations were observed. Odds ratio revealed high TC and all obesity variables except BMI posed significant increased risk for T2DM among Jats. Abnormal TG, VLDL, WC, and WHtR posed significant increased risk for T2DM among Meiteis. Age-cohort wise prevalence of T2DM showed increasing trend at ≥60 years among Jats and decreasing trend at ≥60 years among Meiteis, suggesting a potential higher morbidity in the former and mortality in latter because of T2DM.

CONCLUSIONS

The present study observed a differential association of risk factors for T2DM among Jats and Meiteis. This study emphasize the need to implement community-specific intervention programs for prevention, treatment and management of T2DM.

Histone deacetylase inhibition by MS-275 potentiates glucose-stimulated insulin secretion without affecting glucose oxidation

AIMS

The preservation of pancreatic beta-cell function is crucial for the treatment of type 2 diabetes. Inhibition of class I histone deacetylase (HDAC) has been proved to protect beta-cells from palmitate- or cytokine-induced apoptosis and increase insulin secretion. However, the underlying molecular mechanism is unclear.

MAIN METHODS

Rat islets were isolated for insulin secretion, real-time PCR, RNA- sequencing, ChIP-PCR, and oxygen consumption rate analysis after treated with the HDAC1 and HDAC3 inhibitor MS-275.

KEY FINDINGS

MS-275 pretreatment significantly potentiated insulin secretion from rat islets. RNA-sequencing revealed that multiple signaling pathways were involved in MS-275-regulated islet function. Cacna1g and Adcy1 in calcium and cAMP signaling pathways were up-regulated in MS-275-treated islets, which was validated by real-time PCR. The expressions of the two genes displayed a similar increase in islets isolated from mice treated with MS-275. Knockdown of HDAC1 elevated Cacna1g and Adcy1 expressions in islets. ChIP-sequencing analysis showed that the pan-HDAC inhibitor sodium butyrate increased H3K27 acetylation level in the upstream region of Adcy1 and the promoter region of Cacna1g. ChIP-PCR revealed a similar result in MS-275-treated rat islets. However, MS-275 had minor effect on glucose-induced oxygen consumption rate in rat islets. Unlike glucose, MS-275 did not alter the expressions of glucose-sensitive genes such as Glut2 and Gck, but elevated intracellular Ca²⁺ concentration in beta-cells.

SIGNIFICANCE

Our findings support the notion that MS-275-potentiated insulin secretion is involved in calcium and cAMP signaling-mediated gene expressions independent of glucose oxidation. Therefore, HDAC inhibition may serve as a therapeutic strategy for type 2 diabetes.

Prevalence of Diabetes, Prediabetes, and Associated Factors in an Adult Chinese Population: Baseline of a Prediabetes Cohort Study

PURPOSE

To report baseline information of a prediabetes mellitus (PDM) cohort with the aim of exploring related factors for the progression of PDM and its complications.

METHODS

This study is an exploratory and cross-sectional analysis of the baseline data from a cohort study. Residents aged 18 to 70 years from Houtang Village, Nanyue Town, Yueqing City, Zhejiang Province, China, were invited to participate between October 1, 2018 and July 1, 2019. Blood samples were collected for analysis, and questionnaire interviews were conducted to assess behavioral characteristics. The study participants were divided into DM, PDM, and normal groups for comparisons based on their blood work, and multiple multinomial logistic regression analyses were used to assess the risk factors for DM and PDM.

RESULTS

Data from 406 participants were used in the baseline analysis, with a mean age of 51.2 ± 11.0 years and 160 (33.0%) males. The number of participants in the DM, PDM, and normal group was 58 (14.3%), 166 (40.9%), and 182 (44.8%), respectively. The prevalence of DM was 14.3%, and the prevalence of PDM was 40.9%. The regression analysis showed that older age (relative risk ratio (RRR) = 1.06; 95% CI, 1.01-1.11, P = 0.018), higher systolic blood pressure (RRR = 1.04; 95% CI, 1.004-1.08, P = 0.030), higher BMI (RRR = 1.20; 95% CI, 1.06-3.06, P = 0.004), higher TG (RRR = 1.80; 95% CI, 1.06-3.06, P = 0.029), and higher WBC count (RRR = 1.32; 95% CI, 1.07-1.64, P = 0.010) were significantly associated with a higher risk of DM. Meanwhile, higher systolic blood pressure (RRR = 1.03; 95% CI, 1.004-1.06, P = 0.025) was the only factor significantly associated with a higher risk of PDM.

CONCLUSION

The prevalence of DM and PDM is relatively high in this wealthy East China village population. Many modifiable risk factors exist for DM and PDM, which will be closely monitored during our longitudinal observation.