Mortality and Attrition Rates within the First Year of Antiretroviral Therapy Initiation among People Living with HIV in Guangxi, China: An Observational Cohort Study

Evaluation of factors associated with high advanced HIV disease and mortality in Southwestern China: a retrospective cohort study, 2005-2020

OBJECTIVES

To assess the prevalence, all-cause mortality and determinants of advanced HIV disease (AHD) or severe immunosuppression (SIS) in the rural-urban communities of Southwestern China.

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study.

METHOD

Data on HIV/AIDS cases reported in 2005-20 were collected from Case Report System. A binary logistic regression model assessed the risk factors of AHD/SIS prevalence. Survival curves across rural-urban regions were compared using Kaplan-Meier estimates and log-rank tests. Determinants of all-cause mortality were identified using the Cox proportional hazard model.

RESULTS

Among 14,533 newly diagnosed HIV/AIDS patients, 7497 (51.6%) presented with AHD and 2564 (17.6%) with SIS. Compared with urban patients, rural patients had a higher prevalence of AHD (56.7% vs 40.7%) and SIS (20.1% vs 12.4%), all-cause mortality (AHD 12.3 vs 5.6, SIS 16.3 vs 5.5, per 100 person-years). Their 5-year survival probability (AHD 59.5% vs 77.1%; SIS 54.4% vs 76.3%) and mean survival time (AHD 106.5 vs 140.6 months, SIS 95.3 vs 144.2 months, p < 0.0001) were lower. Rural patients had an increased risk of SIS prevalence (adjusted odds ratios 1.45, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.28-1.64; p < 0.0001) and mortality of the total cohort (adjusted hazard ratios 1.41, 95% CI 1.29-1.55; p < 0.0001), AHD cohort (1.38, 1.24-1.54; p < 0.0001), and SIS cohort (1.49, 1.23-1.81; p < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

A high prevalence of AHD/SIS was a severe phenomenon that caused high mortality in rural areas. A regional point-of-care strategy targeting AHD/SIS detection and management is essential for reducing the mortality risk.

HIV transmission and associated factors under the scale-up of HIV antiretroviral therapy: a population-based longitudinal molecular network study

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the prevention efficacy of scaling up HIV/AIDS antiretroviral therapy (ART) on HIV transmission at the population level and determine associated factors of HIV secondary transmission.

METHODS

We used HIV longitudinal molecular networks to assess the genetic linkage between baseline and newly diagnosed cases. A generalized estimating equation was applied to determine the associations between demographic, clinical characteristics and HIV transmission.

RESULTS

Patients on ART had a 32% lower risk of HIV transmission than those not on ART. A 36% reduction in risk was also seen if ART-patients maintained their HIV viral load lower than 50 copies/mL. A 71% lower risk occurred when patients sustained ART for at least 3 years and kept HIV viral load less than 50 copies/mL. Patients who discontinued ART had a similar HIV transmission risk as those not on ART. Patients who were older, male, non-Han, not single, retired, infected via a heterosexual route of transmission and those who possessed higher CD4 counts had a higher risk of HIV transmission. HIV-1 subtype of CRF01_AE was less transmissible than other subtypes.

CONCLUSIONS

The efficacy of ART in a real-world setting was supported by this longitudinal molecular network study. Promoting adherence to ART is crucial to reduce HIV transmission.

The impact of attrition on the transmission of HIV and drug resistance

BACKGROUND

Attrition due to loss to follow-up or termination of antiretroviral therapy (ART) among HIV-infected patients in care may increase the risk of emergence and transmission of drug resistance (TDR), diminish benefit of treatment, and increase morbidity and mortality. Understanding the impact of attrition on the epidemic is essential to provide interventions for improving retention in care.

METHODS

We developed a comprehensive HIV transmission dynamics model by considering CD4 + cell count dependent diagnosis, treatment, and attrition involving TDR and acquired drug resistance. The model was calibrated by 11 groups HIV/AIDS surveillance data during 2008-2018 from Guangxi, China, and validated by the prevalence of TDR among diagnosed treatment-naive individuals. We aimed to investigate how attrition would affect the transmission of HIV and drug-resistance when expanding ART.

RESULTS

In the base case with CD4 + cell count dependent per capita attrition rates 0.025∼0.15 and treatment rates 0.23∼0.42, we projected cumulative total new infections, new drug-resistant infections, and HIV-related deaths over 2022-2030 would be 145 391, 7637, and 51 965, respectively. Increasing treatment rates by 0.1∼0.2 can decrease the above total new infections (deaths) by 1.63∼2.93% (3.52∼6.16%). However, even 0.0114∼0.0220 (0.0352∼0.0695) increase in attrition rates would offset this benefit of decreasing infections (deaths). Increasing treatment rates (attrition rates) by 0.05∼0.1 would increase the above drug-resistant infections by 0.16∼0.30% (22.18∼41.15%).

CONCLUSION

A minor increase in attrition can offset the benefit of treatment expansion and increase the transmission of HIV drug resistance. Reducing attrition rates for patients already in treatment may be as important as expanding treatment for untreated patients.

Antiretroviral treatment interruption and resumption within 16 weeks among HIV-positive adults in Jinan, China: a retrospective cohort study

Background

Treatment interruption has been found to increase the risk of opportunistic infections and death among HIV-positive adults, posing a challenge to fully realizing antiretroviral therapy (ART). However, it has been observed that short-term interruption (<16 weeks) was not associated with significant increases in adverse clinical events. There remains a dearth of evidence concerning the interruption and resumption of ART after short-term discontinuation in China.

Methods

HIV-positive adults who initiated ART in Jinan between 2004 and 2020 were included in this study. We defined ART interruption as more than 30 consecutive days off ART and used Cox regression to identify predictors of interruption. ART resumption was defined as a return to ART care within 16 weeks following discontinuation, and logistic regression was used to identify barriers.

Results

A total of 2,506 participants were eligible. Most of them were male [2,382 (95%)] and homosexual [2,109 (84%)], with a median age of 31 (IQR: 26-40) years old. Of all participants, 312 (12.5%) experienced a treatment interruption, and the incidence rate of interruption was 3.2 (95% CI: 2.8-3.6) per 100 person-years. A higher risk of discontinuation was observed among unemployed individuals [adjusted hazard ratio (aHR): 1.45, 95% CI: 1.14-1.85], with a lower education level (aHR: 1.39, 95% CI: 1.06-1.82), those with delayed ART initiation (aHR: 1.43, 95% CI: 1.10-1.85), receiving Alafenamide Fumarate Tablets at ART initiation (aHR: 5.19, 95% CI: 3.29-8.21). About half of the interrupters resumed ART within 16 weeks, and participants who delayed ART initiation, missed the last CD4 test before the interruption and received the "LPV/r+NRTIs" regimen before the interruption were more likely to discontinue treatment for the long term.

Conclusion

Antiretroviral treatment interruption remains relatively prevalent among HIV-positive adults in Jinan, China, and assessing socioeconomic status at treatment initiation will help address this issue. While almost half of the interrupters returned to care within 16 weeks, further focused measures are necessary to reduce long-term interruptions and maximize the resumption of care as soon as possible to avoid adverse clinical events.

Game-based health education to improve ART adherence of newly diagnosed young people with HIV: protocol for a stepped-wedge design randomized controlled trial

BACKGROUND

Antiretroviral therapy (ART) is one of the most effective ways for HIV-infected to treat AIDS. However, it is difficult to start ART among young people those newly diagnosed HIV-infection in China, and their adherence to ART is poor. We have designed an AIDS educational game called AIDS Fighter · Health Defense, which could improve the AIDS-related knowledge and has the potential to improve AIDS prevention ability of young students. In this study, AIDS Fighter · Health Defense will be used with newly diagnosed young people with HIV to evaluate the education effect of the game in improving ART adherence.

DESIGN

A stepped-wedge design randomized controlled trial will be conducted to confirm the education effect of AIDS Fighter · Health Defense on improving ART adherence of newly diagnosed young people with HIV, and to verify when to start game-based health education could be more effective for newly diagnosed young people with HIV.

METHODS

Participants will receive AIDS education from health workers and start ART when diagnosed with HIV and assigned into four groups randomly. The first step group to the fourth step group will receive AIDS Fighter · Health Defense in turn at the star of ART, one week, one month and three months after the start of ART. The primary outcomes are medication adherence, CD4( +) T cell count, and HIV viral load. The secondary outcomes are ART-related knowledge, ART-related skills, psychological resilience, and self-discrimination. Assessments will be completed before the intervention and one week, first month, and third month of the intervention, and then a one-year follow-up evaluation will be conducted after the intervention.

DISCUSSION

AIDS Fighter · Health Defense may be an effective approach to help newly diagnosed young people with HIV to improve ART adherence. A stepped-wedge design randomized controlled trial of this study may find the optimal time of AIDS education to improve ART adherence of newly diagnosed young people with HIV.

REGISTRATION NUMBER

Chinese Clinical Trial Registry: ChiCTR2200059766, registered 11 May 2022. http://www.chictr.org.cn/showproj.aspx?proj=169420.

Genetic network analysis of human immunodeficiency virus sexual transmission in rural Southwest China after the expansion of antiretroviral therapy: A population-based study

Background

This study is used to analyze the genetic network of HIV sexual transmission in rural areas of Southwest China after expanding antiretroviral therapy (ART) and to investigate the factors associated with HIV sexual transmission through the genetic network.

Materials and methods

This was a longitudinal genetic network study in Guangxi, China. The baseline survey and follow-up study were conducted among patients with HIV in 2015, and among those newly diagnosed from 2016 to 2018, respectively. A generalized estimating equation model was employed to explore the factors associated with HIV transmission through the genetic linkage between newly diagnosed patients with HIV (2016-2018) and those at baseline (2015-2017), respectively.

Results

Of 3,259 identified HIV patient sequences, 2,714 patients were at baseline, and 545 were newly diagnosed patients with HIV at follow-up. A total of 8,691 baseline objectives were observed by repeated measurement analysis. The prevention efficacy in HIV transmission for treated HIV patients was 33% [adjusted odds ratio (AOR): 0.67, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.48-0.93]. Stratified analyses indicated the prevention efficacy in HIV transmission for treated HIV patients with a viral load (VL) of <50 copies/ml and those treated for 4 years with a VL of <50 copies/ml to be 41 [AOR: 0.59, 95% CI: 0.43-0.82] and 65% [AOR: 0.35, 95% CI: 0.24-0.50], respectively. No significant reduction in HIV transmission occurred among treated HIV patients with VL missing or treated HIV patients on dropout. Some factors were associated with HIV transmission, including over 50 years old, men, Zhuang and other nationalities, with less than secondary schooling, working as a farmer, and heterosexual transmission.

Conclusion

This study reveals the role of ART in reducing HIV transmission, and those older male farmers with less than secondary schooling are at high risk of HIV infection at a population level. Improvements to ART efficacy for patients with HIV and precision intervention on high-risk individuals during the expansion of ART are urgently required.

Treatment Outcomes of HIV Infected Children After Initiation of Antiretroviral Therapy in Southwest China: An Observational Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

The number of HIV infected children receiving antiviral treatment in Guangxi is increasing. Understanding factors and trends of mortality and attrition in HIV-infected children under antiretroviral therapy (ART) was an urgent need to improve treatment outcomes. This study aimed to estimate mortality and attrition rates and identify factors that were associated with mortality and attrition after ART initiation among children with HIV in Guangxi, China between 2004 and 2018.

METHODS

Cohort study data were extracted from the National Free Antiretroviral Treatment Program (NFATP) database, which has standard guidelines for core treatment indicators and other data at all HIV/AIDS treatment facilities in Guangxi. A total of 901 HIV-infected children who have started ART were included in the study. The study collected the following data: age, gender, WHO clinic stages before ART, CD4 cell count before ART, Cotrimoxazole prophylaxis (CTX) use before ART, initial ART regimen, malnutrition before ART, abnormal liver function before ART, abnormal kidney function before ART, severe anemia before ART, and the time lag between an HIV diagnosis and ART initiation.

RESULTS

HIV-infected children under ART had a mortality rate of 0.87 per 100 person-years [95% Confidence Interval (CI) 0.63-1.11], and an attrition rate of 3.02 per 100 person-years (95% CI 2.57-3.47). Mortality was lower among children with a CD4 count between 200 and 500 copies/ml [Adjusted Hazard Ratio (AHR) 0.22, 95% CI 0.09-0.55], and CD4 count ≥500 copies/ml (AHR 0.10, 95% CI 0.03-0.29); but higher among children with late ART initiation at 1-3 months (AHR 2.30, 95% CI 1.07-4.94), and at ≥3 months (AHR 2.22, 95% CI 1.04-4.74). Attrition was lower among children with a CD4 count ≥500 copies/ml (AHR 0.62, 95% CI 0.41-0.95), but higher among children with late ART initiation at 1-3 months (AHR 1.55, 95% CI 1.05-2.30).

CONCLUSION

Supportive programs are needed to educate children's families and parents on early ART, link HIV-infected children to care and retain them in care among other programs that treat and manage the medical conditions of HIV-infected children before ART initiation.