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Mahmoudi S, Pourakbari B, Jafari E, Eshaghi H, Movahedi Z, Heydari H, Mohammadian M, Rahmati MB, Tariverdi M, Shalchi Z, Navaeian A, Mamishi S. Predictive factors for COVID-19 severity and mortality in hospitalized children. BMC Infect Dis 2024; 24:757. [PMID: 39085793 PMCID: PMC11290188 DOI: 10.1186/s12879-024-09675-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/09/2024] [Accepted: 07/26/2024] [Indexed: 08/02/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Understanding the factors influencing disease progression and severity in pediatric COVID-19 cases is essential for effective management and intervention strategies. This study aimed to evaluate the discriminative ability of clinical and laboratory parameters to identify predictors of COVID-19 severity and mortality in hospitalized children. METHODS In this multicenter retrospective cohort study, we included 468 pediatric patients with COVID-19. We developed a predictive model using their demographic, clinical, and laboratory data. The performance of the model was assessed using various metrics including sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value rates, and receiver operating characteristics (ROC). RESULTS Our findings demonstrated strong discriminatory power, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.818 for severity and 0.873 for mortality prediction. Key risk factors for severe COVID-19 in children include low albumin levels, elevated C-reactive protein (CRP), lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), and underlying medical conditions. Furthermore, ROC curve analysis highlights the predictive value of CRP, LDH, and albumin, with AUC values of 0.789, 0.752, and 0.758, respectively. CONCLUSION Our study indicates that laboratory values are valuable in predicting COVID-19 severity in children. Various factors, including CRP, LDH, and albumin levels, demonstrated statistically significant differences between patient groups, suggesting their potential as predictive markers for disease severity. Implementing predictive analyses based on these markers could aid clinicians in making informed decisions regarding patient management.
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Affiliation(s)
- Shima Mahmoudi
- Biotechnology Centre, Silesian University of Technology, Gliwice, 44-100, Poland
- Pediatric Infectious Disease Research Center, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Babak Pourakbari
- Pediatric Infectious Disease Research Center, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
| | - Erfaneh Jafari
- Pediatric Infectious Disease Research Center, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Hamid Eshaghi
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Pediatrics Center of Excellence, Children's Medical Center, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Zahra Movahedi
- Pediatric Medicine Research Center, Qom University of Medical Sciences, Qom, Iran
| | - Hosein Heydari
- Pediatric Medicine Research Center, Qom University of Medical Sciences, Qom, Iran
| | - Maryam Mohammadian
- Department of Pediatric, Clinical Research Development Center of Children Hospital, Hormozgan University of Medical Sciences, Bandar Abbas, Iran
| | - Mohammad Bagher Rahmati
- Department of Pediatric, Clinical Research Development Center of Children Hospital, Hormozgan University of Medical Sciences, Bandar Abbas, Iran
| | - Marjan Tariverdi
- Department of Pediatric, Clinical Research Development Center of Children Hospital, Hormozgan University of Medical Sciences, Bandar Abbas, Iran
| | - Zohreh Shalchi
- Department of Pediatric, Faculty of Medicine, Hamadan University of Medical Sciences, Hamadan, Iran
| | - Amene Navaeian
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Pediatrics Center of Excellence, Children's Medical Center, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Setareh Mamishi
- Pediatric Infectious Disease Research Center, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Pediatrics Center of Excellence, Children's Medical Center, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
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Mahmoudi S, Pourakbari B, Shahbabaie MA, Sotoudeh M, Jafari E, Hosseinpour Sadeghi R, Mamishi S. Post-discharge follow-up of pediatric COVID-19 patients: insights into serological dynamics. Front Microbiol 2024; 15:1427327. [PMID: 39044945 PMCID: PMC11263187 DOI: 10.3389/fmicb.2024.1427327] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/03/2024] [Accepted: 06/25/2024] [Indexed: 07/25/2024] Open
Abstract
Introduction Limited data are available regarding SARS-CoV-2 serological response dynamics in pediatric patients with COVID-19, contributing to gaps in our understanding of the immune response in this population. This study aimed to investigate SARS-CoV-2 IgG seropositivity in patients diagnosed with COVID-19 during hospitalization and 2-4 weeks after discharge. Methods A cohort of patients, consisting of 31 individuals with confirmed acute COVID-19 infection and 27 diagnosed with Multisystem Inflammatory Syndrome in Children (MIS-C), was enrolled in the study. Follow-up clinic appointments were scheduled for 2-4 weeks post-discharge. During admission and follow-up, blood samples were collected from each patient for laboratory analysis. Anti-nucleoprotein SARS-CoV-2 IgG levels were determined using the Enzyme-Linked Immunosorbent Assay (ELISA) method. Results In this study, a cohort of 58 patients was examined. At admission, 52% (n = 14) of MIS-C patients and 10% (n = 3) of acute COVID-19 patients had positive SARS-CoV-2 IgG test. Only 48 cases were referred to the hospital, and follow-up data was available for 20 cases with MIS-C and 28 cases with acute COVID-19. All patients (n = 15) who initially tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 IgG at admission remained positive serology during follow-up (100%). Among the 33 patients who initially tested negative, 12 (37.5%) showed a positive serology result during follow-up, while 21 (62.5%) remained negative. Within this subgroup, 11 cases (44%) were diagnosed with acute COVID-19, and one patient (12.5%) presented with MIS-C. Fourteen cases with acute COVID-19 infection (56%) and seven cases with MIS-C (87.5%) consistently showed negative serology results throughout the study. During follow-up, the median lymphocyte count demonstrated a significant difference, with 0.96 × 109 cells per L (IQR: 0.75-3.0 × 109 cells per L) in the SARS-CoV-2 IgG-negative group and 2.9 × 109 cells per L (IQR = 1.33-7.22 × 109 cells per L) in the SARS-CoV-2 IgG-positive group (p-value = 0.03). Patients who demonstrated seropositivity during the follow-up were associated with a notably severe disease (p-value = 0.028). Conclusion Our study highlights the dynamic nature of SARS-CoV-2 IgG antibody responses in pediatric patients with COVID-19 infection. We observed a notable increase in seropositivity rates during follow-up. Furthermore, patients who were seropositive at follow-up demonstrated a severe disease course and lower lymphocyte counts compared to those with persistently negative serology. Our findings underscore the importance of longitudinal serological monitoring in understanding disease progression and immune response dynamics in pediatric COVID-19 cases.
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Affiliation(s)
- Shima Mahmoudi
- Biotechnology Centre, Silesian University of Technology, Gliwice, Poland
- Pediatric Infectious Disease Research Center, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Babak Pourakbari
- Pediatric Infectious Disease Research Center, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Mohammad Ali Shahbabaie
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Pediatrics Center of Excellence, Children’s Medical Center, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Maryam Sotoudeh
- Molecular Pathology and Cytogenetics Division, Pathology Department, Children’s Medical Center, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Erfaneh Jafari
- Pediatric Infectious Disease Research Center, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | | | - Setareh Mamishi
- Pediatric Infectious Disease Research Center, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
- Molecular Pathology and Cytogenetics Division, Pathology Department, Children’s Medical Center, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
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Waili BA, Yazidi LA, Hashami HA, Gheilani MA, Muharrami FA, Jadder RA, Hashami GA, Alawi FB, Maamari KA, Mamari AA, Khatri HA, Alhinai Z. A comparative study of SARS-CoV-2 and common human coronavirus infections among children presenting to tertiary care in Oman. Int J Infect Dis 2024; 139:195-201. [PMID: 37567551 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijid.2023.08.006] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/10/2023] [Revised: 07/31/2023] [Accepted: 08/07/2023] [Indexed: 08/13/2023] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES To compare clinical manifestations, laboratory characteristics, and outcomes of children presenting to tertiary care with SARS-CoV-2 or common human coronavirus (HCoV) infection. METHODS Children 13 years of age or younger presenting in 2020 with SARS-CoV-2 and those presenting with HCoV between 2017 and 2019 were included. Clinical and laboratory features were compared using appropriate statistical tests. The study was conducted at the two main tertiary hospitals in Muscat, Oman. RESULTS The study included 255 cases (131 SARS-CoV-2 and 124 HCoV). Median age was 1.7 years (interquartile range 0.5-5.6), and 140 patients (55%) were males. Among children with HCoV infection, diarrhea was less common compared to children with SARS-CoV-2 (4% vs 23%, P <0.001), while respiratory symptoms such as cough were more common (74% vs 31%, P <0.001). Intensive care admission was more frequent with SARS-CoV-2 infection compared to HCoV (22% vs 11%, P = 0.039). Three virus-related deaths were recorded, all of which occurred among patients with SARS-CoV-2 and multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children. CONCLUSION Lower respiratory tract disease is more frequent among children with HCoV infection compared to SARS-CoV-2, while gastrointestinal symptoms are more frequent with SARS-CoV-2. Critical illness is more likely with SARS-CoV-2 infection, driven mostly by multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Laila Al Yazidi
- Department of Child Health, Sultan Qaboos University Hospital, Muscat, Oman
| | | | - Maryam Al Gheilani
- Pediatric Residency Training Program, Oman Medical Specialty Board, Muscat, Oman
| | | | - Rafal Al Jadder
- Internship Training Program, Ministry of Health, Muscat, Oman
| | - Gulnar Al Hashami
- Department of Child Health, Sultan Qaboos University Hospital, Muscat, Oman
| | - Fatma Ba Alawi
- Department of Microbiology and Immunology, Sultan Qaboos University Hospital, Muscat, Oman
| | - Khuloud Al Maamari
- Department of Microbiology and Immunology, Sultan Qaboos University Hospital, Muscat, Oman
| | - Ahmed Al Mamari
- Central Public Health Laboratory, Ministry of Health, Muscat, Oman.
| | - Hanan Al Khatri
- College of Medicine and Health Sciences, Sultan Qaboos University, Muscat, Oman
| | - Zaid Alhinai
- College of Medicine and Health Sciences, Sultan Qaboos University, Muscat, Oman.
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Soti Khiabani M, Mohammadi MS, Ashrafi MR, Haider SB, Haider SI, Mahmoudi S, Mamishi S. Evaluation of patients presenting with febrile seizures in an Iranian referral hospital: emphasis on the frequency of meningitis and co-infections. BMC Pediatr 2023; 23:316. [PMID: 37349740 PMCID: PMC10288671 DOI: 10.1186/s12887-023-04120-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/20/2022] [Accepted: 06/08/2023] [Indexed: 06/24/2023] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Febrile seizures are one of the most common diseases that physicians encounter in pediatric emergency departments. Two important aspects of managing patients presenting with a febrile seizure are meningitis exclusion and co-infection investigation. This study was designed to determine any infection that occurs concomitantly with a febrile seizure episode and also to assess the frequency of meningitis among children presenting with febrile seizures. METHODS This retrospective cross-sectional study was conducted at the Children's Medical Center, an Iranian pediatric referral hospital. All patients aged 6 months to 5 years presenting with febrile seizures from 2020 to 2021 were included. Patients' data were collected from the medical report files. The presence of respiratory, gastrointestinal, and urinary infections was evaluated. Moreover, the detection of SARS-CoV-2 using reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) was performed for suspicious cases. The results of urine and stool analysis, as well as blood, urine, and stool cultures were checked. The frequency of lumbar puncture (LP) performance and its results were studied. The relationship between white blood cells (WBC), erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR), and C-reactive protein in meningitis was evaluated. RESULTS A total of 290 patients were referred to the Children's Medical Center, Tehran, Iran, due to fever and seizures. The mean age of the patients was 21.5 ± 13.0 months, and 134 (46.2%) were female. Out of 290 patients, 17% presented with respiratory infections. Nasopharyngeal SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR was requested for 50 patients (17%), of which nine (3%) were reported positive and two patients had multi-inflammatory syndrome in children (MIS-C). Fever without local signs, gastroenteritis, and urinary tract infections were found in 40%, 19%, and 14% of the patients, respectively. LP was requested for 97 participants (33.4%) to evaluate central nervous system infection, of which 22 cases were suggestive of aseptic meningitis. Among laboratory tests, leukocytosis was significantly related to aseptic meningitis (odds ratio = 11.1, 95% CI = 3.0- 41.5). The blood culture testing result was positive in seven patients; all of them were due to skin contamination. CONCLUSION Evaluation of patients for possible meningitis is necessary for febrile seizure management. Although the prevalence of bacterial meningitis in these patients is not high, according to this study and other studies conducted in Iran, aseptic meningitis, especially after Measles, Mumps, and Rubella (MMR) vaccination should be considered. Leukocytosis and increased CRP can predict the occurrence of aseptic meningitis in these patients. However, further studies with a larger sample size are highly recommended. Moreover, during the COVID-19 pandemic, it is recommended to pay attention to an acute COVID-19 infection or evidence of MIS-C in children with fever and seizure.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mahsa Soti Khiabani
- Children's Medical Center, Pediatrics Center of Excellence, Tehran, Iran
- Pediatric Emergency Department, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Mahya Sadat Mohammadi
- Children's Medical Center, Pediatrics Center of Excellence, Tehran, Iran
- Pediatric Emergency Department, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | - Mahmoud Reza Ashrafi
- Children's Medical Center, Pediatrics Center of Excellence, Tehran, Iran
- Pediatric Neurology Department, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | | | | | - Shima Mahmoudi
- Children's Medical Center, Pediatrics Center of Excellence, Tehran, Iran.
- Pediatric Infectious Disease Research Center, Tehran University of Medical Science, , Children's Medical Center Hospital, Dr. Gharib Street, Keshavarz Boulevard, I.R, Tehran, Iran.
- Biotechnology Centre, Silesian University of Technology, Gliwice, 44-100, Poland.
| | - Setareh Mamishi
- Pediatric Infectious Disease Research Center, Tehran University of Medical Science, , Children's Medical Center Hospital, Dr. Gharib Street, Keshavarz Boulevard, I.R, Tehran, Iran.
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Pediatrics Center of Excellence, Children's Medical Center, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
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