Family history of colorectal cancer is not associated with colorectal cancer survival regardless of microsatellite instability status

The long-term survival characteristics of a cohort of colorectal cancer patients and baseline variables associated with survival outcomes with or without time-varying effects

BACKGROUND

Colorectal cancer is the third most common cancer in the world. In this study, we assessed the long-term survival characteristics and prognostic associations and potential time-varying effects of clinico-demographic variables and two molecular markers (microsatellite instability (MSI) and BRAF Val600Glu mutation) in a population-based patient cohort followed up to ~ 19 years.

METHODS

The patient cohort included 738 incident cases diagnosed between 1999 and 2003. Cox models were used to analyze the association between the variables and a set of survival outcome measures (overall survival (OS), disease-specific survival (DSS), recurrence-free survival (RFS), metastasis-free survival (MFS), recurrence/metastasis-free survival (RMFS), and event-free survival (EFS)). Cox proportional hazard (PH) assumption was tested for all variables, and Cox models with time-varying effects were used if any departure from the PH assumption was detected.

RESULTS

During the follow-up, ~ 61% patients died from any cause, ~ 26% died from colorectal cancer, and ~ 10% and ~ 20% experienced recurrences and distant metastases, respectively. Stage IV disease and post-diagnostic recurrence or metastasis were strongly linked to risk of death from colorectal cancer. If a patient had survived the first 6 years without any disease-related event (i.e., recurrence, metastasis, or death from colorectal cancer), their risks became very minimal after this time period. Distinct sets of markers were associated with different outcome measures. In some cases, the effects by variables were constant throughout the follow-up. For example, MSI-high tumor phenotype and older age at diagnosis predicted longer MFS times consistently over the follow-up. However, in some other cases, the effects of the variables varied with time. For example, adjuvant radiotherapy treatment was associated with increased risk of metastasis in patients who received this treatment after 5.5 years post-diagnosis, but not before that.

CONCLUSIONS

This study describes the long-term survival characteristics of a prospective cohort of colorectal cancer patients, relationships between baseline variables and a detailed set of patient outcomes over a long time, and time-varying effects of a group of variables. The results presented advance our understanding of the long-term prognostic characteristics in colorectal cancer and are expected to inspire future studies and clinical care strategies.

Association of Family History With Cancer Recurrence, Survival, and the Incidence of Colorectal Adenoma in Patients With Colorectal Cancer

Background

The influence of family history (FH) on cancer recurrence and survival among patients with established colorectal cancer (CRC) remains uncertain. This study aimed to evaluate the association of FH with cancer recurrence, survival, and the incidence of colorectal adenomas in patients with CRC.

Methods

Consecutive patients with stage III CRC diagnosed between 2004 and 2009 and followed-up in Severance Hospital were retrospectively enrolled and followed until December 2014. Overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) according to FH of CRC or colorectal neoplasm were evaluated using Cox proportional hazards regression and Kaplan-Meier curve.

Results

Among analyzed 979 patients, 69 (7.0%) was identified as having a FH of CRC in a first-degree relative. During a median follow-up of 9.6 years, mortality occurred in 14 of 69 patients (20.3%) with a FH of CRC and 348 of 910 patients (38.2%) without a FH. Compared with patients without a FH, a first-degree FH of CRC, first or second-degree FH of CRC, and first-degree FH of colorectal neoplasm (CRC or polyps) were associated with a significant reduction in the risk of overall mortality, with adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) of 0.52 (95% CI, 0.29-0.92), 0.51 (95% CI, 0.30-0.88), and 0.48 (95% CI, 0.28-0.82), respectively. However, DFS improvement was significant only when the definition of FH was FH of colorectal neoplasm (adjusted HR 0.57; 95% CI, 0.36-0.89). The incidence of adenoma and advanced adenoma was not different according to the FH.

Conclusions

Among patients with stage III CRC receiving curative surgery, a FH of colorectal neoplasm was associated with a reduction in cancer recurrence and mortality. The larger scaled studies are needed.

Association of family history and survival in patients with colorectal cancer: a pooled analysis of eight epidemiologic studies

A family history of colorectal cancer (CRC) in first‐degree relatives (FDRs) increases the risk of CRC. However, the influence of family history on survival among CRC patients remains unclear. We conducted a pooled analysis of survival in 5010 incident CRC cases. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate the association of family history with overall survival (OS) and CRC‐specific survival (CSS). We also assessed the impact of the number of affected FDRs and age at CRC diagnosis in the affected FDRs on survival. Among CRC cases, 819 (16%) patients reported a family history of CRC. There were 1580 total deaths over a median follow‐up of 4.6 years, of which 1046 (66%) deaths were due to CRC. Having a family history of CRC was not associated with OS [hazard ratio (HR), 1.03; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.89–1.19] or CSS (HR, 1.13; 95% CI, 0.95–1.36)]. There were no associations between the number of affected relatives or age at CRC diagnosis of the affected relative with survival (all P_trend > 0.05). However, a family history of CRC did confer worse CSS in patients diagnosed with distal colon cancer (HR, 1.45, 95% CI, 1.03–2.04). A family history of CRC was generally not associated with survival after CRC diagnosis. However, having a family history of CRC was associated with worse CRC prognosis in individuals with distal colon cancer, suggesting a possible genetic predisposition with distinct pathogenic mechanism that may lead to worse survival in this group.

Correlations between microsatellite instability, ERCC1/XRCC1 polymorphism and clinical characteristics, and FOLFOX adjuvant chemotherapy effect of colorectal cancer patients

Patients with MSI colorectal tumor have good prognosis and cannot benefit from 5-fluorouracil (5-Fu)-based chemotherapy reported by previous studies. While, single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNP) of ERCC1 and XRCC1 have be proved to influence clinical outcome of colorectal cancer patients treated with oxaliplatin-based chemotherapy. We aim to study the correlation between molecular status and clinical- pathological features, and their effect on CRC patients' clinical outcome treated with mFOLFOX6 adjuvant chemotherapy. In this study, MSI status was determined in tumors and paired normal tissues from 101 colorectal cancer (CRC) patients. We also examined SNP of ERCC1 (c. C354T) and XRCC1 (c.G1196A) in 83 and 85 patients' blood. MSI was found to be significantly correlated with well/moderate histopathological differentiation (p = 0.038) and CRC family history (p = 0.003). CEA and CA19-9 levels was positive correlated significantly by Spearman correlation analysis (Pearson's r = 0.823, p < 0.0001). No significant correlation was found between MSI status and ERCC1/XRCC1 polymorphisms. We found greater drop of CEA level in mFOLFOX6 sensitive group than low sensitive group after mFOLFOX6 adjuvant chemotherapy according to MSI status, ERCC1 and XRCC1 SNP. MSI was significantly correlated with well/moderate histopathological differentiation (p = 0.038) and CRC family history (p = 0.003). The MSI status, ERCC1 and XRCC1 polymorphisms may influence the clinical outcome of colorectal cancer patients treated with mFOLFOX6 adjuvant chemotherapy.

Proceedings of the third international molecular pathological epidemiology (MPE) meeting

Molecular pathological epidemiology (MPE) is a transdisciplinary and relatively new scientific discipline that integrates theory, methods, and resources from epidemiology, pathology, biostatistics, bioinformatics, and computational biology. The underlying objective of MPE research is to better understand the etiology and progression of complex and heterogeneous human diseases with the goal of informing prevention and treatment efforts in population health and clinical medicine. Although MPE research has been commonly applied to investigating breast, lung, and colorectal cancers, its methodology can be used to study most diseases. Recent successes in MPE studies include: (1) the development of new statistical methods to address etiologic heterogeneity; (2) the enhancement of causal inference; (3) the identification of previously unknown exposure-subtype disease associations; and (4) better understanding of the role of lifestyle/behavioral factors on modifying prognosis according to disease subtype. Central challenges to MPE include the relative lack of transdisciplinary experts, educational programs, and forums to discuss issues related to the advancement of the field. To address these challenges, highlight recent successes in the field, and identify new opportunities, a series of MPE meetings have been held at the Dana-Farber Cancer Institute in Boston, MA. Herein, we share the proceedings of the Third International MPE Meeting, held in May 2016 and attended by 150 scientists from 17 countries. Special topics included integration of MPE with immunology and health disparity research. This meeting series will continue to provide an impetus to foster further transdisciplinary integration of divergent scientific fields.

Survival in familial colorectal cancer: a Danish cohort study

The monogenic Lynch syndrome (LS) is associated with better survival in colorectal cancer (CRC) patients. Whether family history of CRC affects CRC prognosis in general remains unclear. We evaluated overall mortality in a Danish cohort of CRC patients comparing patients with a family history (FHpos) to those without (FHneg) with focus on patients from non-syndromic families, thus FHpos patients were further divided into a non-syndromic group (FHNS) and a HNPCC/LS group (FHHNPCC). We included CRC patients diagnosed 1995-1998. First degree relatives were identified using Danish population registries and family history was obtained by linkage to Danish medical registries. 1- and 5-year mortality were evaluated using the Kaplan-Meier method and Cox regression, with adjustment for age, sex, cancer site, cancer stage, and comorbidity. 1196 CRC patients were included in the study, 219 FHpos patients of whom 197 were FHNS patients. 1- and 5-year adjusted Mortality Rate Ratios comparing FHpos patients to FHneg patients were 0.99 (95% CI 0.69, 1.42) and 1.07 (95% CI 0.87, 1.32), respectively. For FHNS patients, the corresponding MRRs were 1.01 (95% CI 0.69, 1.47) and 1.15 (95% CI 0.93, 1.43). For the FHHNPCC patients MRRs were 0.84 (95% CI 0.29, 2.44) and 0.66 (95% CI 0.33, 1.31), respectively. In contrast to the lower mortality in LS patients, other types of familial CRC do not seem to affect the survival after CRC diagnosis.