Estimating Population-Based Recurrence Rates of Colorectal Cancer over Time in the United States

Impact of breast-, gastrointestinal-, and lung cancer on prognosis in patients with first-time pulmonary embolism: A Danish nationwide cohort study

BACKGROUND

Pulmonary embolism (PE) is described as a prognostic factor in patients with cancer however, the prognostic impact of PE remains unknown. This study investigated, the 1-year prognosis following PE in patients with breast-, gastrointestinal-, or lung cancer stratified by cancer status.

METHODS

All Danish patients with first-time PE from 2008 to 2018 were included. Cancer status was categorized as no cancer, history of cancer, non-active cancer and active cancer. Unadjusted and age-stratified 1-year risk of death was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier estimator. Cause of death was reported using the Aalen-Johansen method.

RESULTS

Of 35,679 patients with PE, 18% had a breast-, gastrointestinal-, or lung cancer. Patients with cancer were older compared with no cancer (69.8 years [IQR: 56.2-79.8]). One-year risk of death (95% confidence interval) for active breast-, gastrointestinal-, and lung cancer was 49.5% (44.0%-54.9%), 75.0% (72.5%-77.4%) and 80.1% (78.0%-82.3%) respectively, compared with 18.9% (18.4%-19.3%) for no cancer. Age-stratified analysis revealed no association with increasing age in non-active lung cancer and all active cancers. Further, non-cardiovascular death accounted for an increasing proportion by cancer status (no cancer < history of cancer < non-active cancer < active cancer).

CONCLUSIONS

One-year risk of death was dependent on both cancer type and status; no association with age was found for patients with active cancers. Non-cardiovascular death was leading in non-active and active cancers. Thus, the occurrence of first-time PE could be regarded as a marker of cancer severity for patients with breast-, gastrointestinal-, and lung cancer.

The Expression Patterns of Immune Checkpoint Molecules in Colorectal Cancer: An Analysis Based on Microsatellite Status

Recently, immunotherapy has arisen as a novel treatment approach for patients with colorectal cancer (CRC), but the effectiveness of immunotherapy varies in these patients. We hypothesized that immune checkpoint molecules (ICMs), which are the targets of immunotherapy, are often exhibited concomitantly. Our objective was to investigate the patterns of ICM expression in patients with CRC and the differences in ICM expression based on microsatellite instability status. The immunohistochemical expression of programmed cell death protein 1 (PD-1), programmed cell death ligand 1 (PD-L1), T cell immunoglobulin and mucin-domain containing-3 (TIM-3), and lymphocyte-activation gene 3 (LAG-3) in the tumor center and periphery was assessed in patients with non-metastatic colorectal cancer. We enrolled 83 patients with CRC: a total of 40 microsatellite-stable (MSS) and 43 microsatellite-instability-high (MSI-H) cancer patients. PD-L1 was more frequently expressed in the tumor center in the MSI-H patients with than that in the MSS patients (18 [41.9%] vs. 3 [7.5%], respectively; p < 0.001), and the same trend was observed for TIM-3 expression (30 [69.8%] vs. 19 [47.5%], respectively; p = 0.047). The concomitant expression of two or more ICMs was more frequently observed than no expression or the expression of a single molecule in both the MSS and MSI-H groups; a total of 34 (79.7%) patients with MSI-H cancer and 23 (57.5%) with MSS cancer showed ICM expression at the tumor center, whereas 34 (79.7%) patients with MSI-H cancer and 22 (55%) with MSS cancer showed expression at the tumor periphery. Patients with the genetic characteristics of MSI-H cancer showed higher expression levels of ICMs than those in patients with MSS cancer, and predominantly, two or more ICMs were concurrently expressed. Our findings highlight the potential efficacy of the dual-blockade approach in immunotherapy, particularly in patients with MSI-H CRC.

Modulating Gut Microbiota Prevents Anastomotic Leak to Reduce Local Implantation and Dissemination of Colorectal Cancer Cells after Surgery

PURPOSE

Anastomotic leak (AL) is a major complication in colorectal cancer surgery and consists of the leakage of intestinal content through a poorly healed colonic wound. Colorectal cancer recurrence after surgery is a major determinant of survival. We hypothesize that AL may allow cancer cells to escape the gut and lead to cancer recurrence and that improving anastomotic healing may prevent local implantation and metastatic dissemination of cancer cells.

EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN

We investigated the association between AL and postoperative outcomes in patients with colorectal cancer. Using mouse models of poor anastomotic healing, we assessed the processes of local implantation and dissemination of cancer cells. The effect of dietary supplementation with inulin and 5-aminosalicylate (5-ASA), which activate PPAR-γ in the gut, on local anastomotic tumors was assessed in mice undergoing colonic surgery. Inulin and 5-ASA were also assessed in a mouse model of liver metastasis.

RESULTS

Patients experiencing AL displayed lower overall and oncologic survival than non-AL patients. Poor anastomotic healing in mice led to larger anastomotic and peritoneal tumors. The microbiota of patients with AL displays a lower capacity to activate the antineoplastic PPAR-γ in the gut. Modulation of gut microbiota using dietary inulin and 5-ASA reinforced the gut barrier and prevented anastomotic tumors and metastatic spread in mice.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings reinforce the hypothesis that preventing AL is paramount to improving oncologic outcomes after colorectal cancer surgery. Furthermore, they pave the way toward dietary targeting of PPAR-γ as a novel way to enhance healing and diminish cancer recurrence.

RAS Mutations Predict Recurrence-Free Survival and Recurrence Patterns in Colon Cancer: A Unicenter Study in Morocco

PURPOSE

To date, only a few studies have investigated the role of molecular alterations in cancer recurrence. This exploratory study aimed to evaluate the impact of molecular alterations on the time and site of recurrence in patients with stage I-IV CRC and to identify the risk factors predicting recurrence-free survival in colon cancer.

METHODS

A total of 270 patients were retrospectively included. We assessed the full RAS status using Sanger and pyrosequencing. MSI status was determined by immunohistochemical analysis. Molecular alterations were correlated with recurrence timing (early or late), recurrence patterns, and recurrence-free survival. Statistical analysis was performed using the Kaplan-Meier method and the log-rank test.

RESULTS

Of the 270 patients, 85 (31%) experienced recurrence, among whom 53% had mutant full RAS status, 48% had KRAS mutations, and 31.4% had KRAS p. G12V mutation subtype. Compared with those with late recurrence, patients with early recurrence were significantly older (P = 0.02) and more likely to have poorly differentiated tumors, a higher rate of positive lymph nodes, KRAS mutations, and especially KRAS p. G12V mutation variant. RAS mutation status, KRAS mutations, and rare mutations are more common in patients with lung cancer recurrence. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that differentiation, perineural invasion, full RAS mutation status, and KRAS codon 13 mutations were independent factors for recurrence-free survival in colon cancer.

CONCLUSION

In this cohort, the timing and patterns of recurrence appeared to be associated with the patient's molecular profile. KRAS codon 12 mutations were the worst predictors of recurrence-free survival at all stages in our population.

Diagnostic value of methylated branched chain amino acid transaminase 1/IKAROS family zinc finger 1 for colorectal cancer

BACKGROUND

The diagnostic value of combined methylated branched chain amino acid transaminase 1 (BCAT1)/IKAROS family zinc finger 1 (IKZF1) in plasma for colorectal cancer (CRC) has been explored since 2015. Recently, several related studies have published their results and showed its diagnostic efficacy.

AIM

To analyze the diagnostic value of methylated BCAT1/IKZF1 in plasma for screening and postoperative follow-up of CRC.

METHODS

The candidate studies were identified by searching the PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, CNKI, and Wanfang databases from May 31, 2003 to June 1, 2023. Sensitivity, specificity, and diagnostic accuracy were calculated by merging ratios or means.

RESULTS

Twelve eligible studies were included in the analysis, involving 6561 participants. The sensitivity of methylated BCAT1/IKZF1 in plasma for CRC diagnosis was 60% [95% confidence interval (CI) 53-67] and specificity was 92% (95%CI: 90-94). The positive and negative likelihood ratios were 8.0 (95%CI: 5.8-11.0) and 0.43 (95%CI: 0.36-0.52), respectively. Diagnostic odds ratio was 19 (95%CI: 11-30) and area under the curve was 0.88 (95%CI: 0.85-0.91). The sensitivity and specificity for CRC screening were 64% (95%CI: 59-69) and 92% (95%CI: 91-93), respectively. The sensitivity and specificity for recurrence detection during follow-up were 54% (95%CI: 42-67) and 93% (95%CI: 88-96), respectively.

CONCLUSION

The detection of methylated BCAT1/IKZF1 in plasma, as a non-invasive detection method of circulating tumor DNA, has potential CRC diagnosis, but the clinical application prospect needs to be further explored.

Immunotherapy: Recent Advances and Its Future as a Neoadjuvant, Adjuvant, and Primary Treatment in Colorectal Cancer

Immunotherapy in colorectal cancer (CRC) has made great strides within the past decade. Immune checkpoint inhibitors are a class of immunotherapy and have been shown to greatly improve patient outcomes in mismatch repair-deficient (dMMR) CRC. Now, they are part of the standard of care for this subset of CRC. Because of this, there has been a growing interest in the efficacy and timing of immunotherapy for other subsets of CRC, including locally advanced, metastatic, and microsatellite stable (MSS). In this review, we aim to examine the three main classes of immunotherapy for CRC-immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs), adoptive cell transfer therapy (ACT), and tumor vaccines-and discuss the most recent advances and future directions for each.

Large Bowel Perforation in Patients with Colorectal Cancer: A South African Perspective

Introduction

Large bowel perforation (LBP) occurs in up to 10% of colorectal cancer (CRC) patients and is a potential surgical emergency. Data on LBP in CRC patients from resource-limited countries are required to improve the management of this condition in these settings. Our study aimed to describe LBP amongst CRC patients in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa.

Materials and Methods

This was a descriptive sub-analysis of LBP data from an ongoing CRC registry. This study explores free and contained perforations and describes LBP characteristics, surgical management, histological findings, overall survival, and CRC recurrence.

Results

Ninety-four out of 2523 CRC patients had LBP (3.7%). The median age was 53.0 years (interquartile range: 43.0-64.0). The male-to-female ratio was 1.4:1. Thirty-three patients (35.1%) had a coexisting bowel obstruction. Tumor site perforations occurred in 87 patients (92.6%) and were mostly in the sigmoid colon (36.2%). Perforations were contained in 77 patients (81.9%). Eighty-nine patients (94.7%) underwent resection (elective resection: 76/89 patients, 85.4%). The post-operative inpatient mortality rate was 2.2%. Most patients had Stage III CRC (46 patients, 48.9%) and moderately differentiated tumors (77 patients, 81.9%). Overall survival at 12 months following CRC diagnosis was 55.4%. The early recurrence rate for CRC disease was 5.4%.

Conclusion

Tumor site perforations predominated, and most were contained. Patients were younger when compared with the international literature. We reaffirm that diastatic-free and contained perforations are two distinct clinical entities.

Case report: Efficacy and safety of regorafenib plus fluorouracil combination therapy in the treatment of refractory metastatic colorectal cancer

Background

More than half of patients with colorectal cancer (CRC) present with metastatic disease or develop recurrent disease on first-line and second-line options. Treatment beyond the second line remains an area of unmet need for patients with progressive or recurrent disease.

Methods

We retrospectively reviewed data of adult (>18 years old) patients with mCRC who received regorafenib + 5FU combination therapy at Houston Methodist Hospital with outcomes of interest including response rate, discontinuation due to side effects, and overall survival.

Results

Seven patients received regorafenib + 5FU combination therapy for mCRC after receiving at least two other lines of therapy (including at least one fluorouracil-based therapy). Four patients (57%) achieved disease control in 7-12 weeks after therapy initiation while three patients developed recurrent disease. In patients who achieved disease control, no new adverse events were reported among patients with this combination.

Conclusion

Regorafenib and Fluorouracil combination could be considered an option beyond the second line for patients with treatment-refractory metastatic colorectal cancer. Further studies, including a prospective trial, are needed to investigate the efficacy and safety of regorafenib plus 5FU therapy compared to other limited available therapies.

Detection of methylated BCAT1 and IKZF1 after curative-intent treatment as a prognostic indicator for colorectal cancer recurrence

BACKGROUND

The risk of recurrence after completion of curative-intent treatment of colorectal cancer (CRC) is hard to predict. Post-treatment assaying for circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) is an encouraging approach for stratifying patients for therapy, but the prognostic value of this approach is less explored. This study aimed to determine if detection of methylated BCAT1 and IKZF1 following completion of initial treatment identified patients with a poorer recurrence-free survival (RFS).

METHODS

142 CRC stage I-III cases with at least 2 years of follow up (unless recurrence was evident sooner) and a methylated BCAT1/IKZF1 test result between 2 weeks and 12 months after completion of initial treatment were eligible for study inclusion. The association between BCAT1/IKZF1 and RFS was assessed by the log-rank (Mantel-Cox) method. Cox proportional hazard regression analysis was used for multivariable survival analysis.

RESULTS

Thirty-three (23.2%) had recurrence at a median 1.6y (interquartile range: 0.8-2.4). Methylated BCAT1/IKZF1 was detected in 19 of the 142 patients (13.4%) and was associated with a significant risk of recurrence (hazard ratio [HR] 5.7, 95%CI: 1.9-17.3, p = 0.002). Three-year RFS for patients with or without detectable methylated BCAT1/IKZF1 was 56.5% and 83.3%, respectively. Multivariable analysis showed that detection of methylated BCAT1/IKZF1 (HR = 2.6, p = 0.049) and site of the primary tumor (HR = 4.2, p = 0.002) were the only significant prognostic indicators of poor RFS.

CONCLUSIONS

BCAT1/IKZF1 methylation testing after curative-intent treatment is an independent prognostic indicator for RFS and identifies a subgroup at high risk. Personalized surveillance is warranted for patients with these ctDNA biomarkers detectable after curative-intent treatment.

MicroRNA Expression Profiling Predicts Nodal Status and Disease Recurrence in Patients Treated with Curative Intent for Colorectal Cancer

Background: Approximately one-third of colorectal cancer (CRC) patients will suffer recurrence. MiRNAs are small non-coding RNAs that play important roles in gene expression. We aimed to correlate miRNA expression with aggressive clinicopathological characteristics and survival outcomes in CRC. Methods: Tumour samples were extracted from 74 CRC patients. MiRNAs were quantified using real-time reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction. Descriptive statistics and Cox regression analyses were performed to correlate miRNA targets with clinicopathological and outcome data. Results: Aberrant miR-21 and miR-135b expression correlate with increased nodal stage (p = 0.039, p = 0.022). Using univariable Cox regression analyses, reduced miR-135b (β-coefficient −1.126, hazard ratio 0.324, standard error (SE) 0.4698, p = 0.017) and increased miR-195 (β-coefficient 1.442, hazard ratio 4.229, SE 0.446, p = 0.001) predicted time to disease recurrence. Survival regression trees analysis illustrated a relative cut-off of ≤0.488 for miR-195 and a relative cut-off of >−0.218 for miR-135b; both were associated with improved disease recurrence (p < 0.001, p = 0.015). Using multivariable analysis with all targets as predictors, miR-195 (β-coefficient 3.187, SE 1.419, p = 0.025) was the sole significant independent predictor of recurrence. Conclusion: MiR-195 has strong value in predicting time to recurrence in CRC patients. Additionally, miR-21 and miR-135b predict the degree nodal burden. Future studies may include these findings to personalize therapeutic and surgical decision making.

CDX2 Biomarker Testing and Adjuvant Therapy for Stage II Colon Cancer: An Exploratory Cost-Effectiveness Analysis

OBJECTIVES

Adjuvant chemotherapy is not recommended for patients with average-risk stage II (T3N0) colon cancer. Nevertheless, a subgroup of these patients who are CDX2-negative might benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy. We evaluated the cost-effectiveness of testing for the absence of CDX2 expression followed by adjuvant chemotherapy (fluorouracil combined with oxaliplatin [FOLFOX]) for patients with stage II colon cancer.

METHODS

We developed a decision model to simulate a hypothetical cohort of 65-year-old patients with average-risk stage II colon cancer with 7.2% of these patients being CDX2-negative under 2 different interventions: (1) test for the absence of CDX2 expression followed by adjuvant chemotherapy for CDX2-negative patients and (2) no CDX2 testing and no adjuvant chemotherapy for any patient. We derived disease progression parameters, adjuvant chemotherapy effectiveness and utilities from published analyses, and cancer care costs from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER)-Medicare data. Sensitivity analyses were conducted.

RESULTS

Testing for CDX2 followed by FOLFOX for CDX2-negative patients had an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $5500/quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) compared with no CDX2 testing and no FOLFOX (6.874 vs 6.838 discounted QALYs and $89 991 vs $89 797 discounted US dollar lifetime costs). In sensitivity analyses, considering a cost-effectiveness threshold of $100 000/QALY, testing for CDX2 followed by FOLFOX on CDX2-negative patients remains cost-effective for hazard ratios of <0.975 of the effectiveness of FOLFOX in CDX2-negative patients in reducing the rate of developing a metastatic recurrence.

CONCLUSIONS

Testing tumors of patients with stage II colon cancer for CDX2 and administration of adjuvant treatment to the subgroup found CDX2-negative is a cost-effective and high-value management strategy across a broad range of plausible assumptions.

Resectable Colorectal Cancer: Current Perceptions on the Correlation of Recurrence Risk, Microbiota and Detection of Genetic Mutations in Liquid Biopsies

Metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) remains a highly lethal malignancy, although considerable progress has resulted from molecular alterations in guiding optimal use of available treatments. CRC recurrence remains a great barrier in the disease management. Hence, the spotlight turns to newly mapped fields concerning recurrence risk factors in patients with resectable CRC with a focus on genetic mutations, microbiota remodeling and liquid biopsies. There is an urgent need for novel biomarkers to address disease recurrence since specific genetic signatures can identify a higher or lower recurrence risk (RR) and, thus, be used both as biomarkers and treatment targets. To a large extent, CRC is mediated by the immune and inflammatory interplay of microbiota, through intestinal dysbiosis. Clarification of these mechanisms will yield new opportunities, leading not only to the appropriate stratification policies, but also to more precise, personalized monitoring and treatment navigation. Under this perspective, early detection of post-operative CRC recurrence is of utmost importance. Ongoing trials, focusing on circulating tumor cells (CTCs) and, even more, circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA), seem to pave the way to a promising, minimally invasive but accurate and life-saving monitoring, not only supporting personalized treatment but favoring patients' quality of life, as well.