Evaluation of P53 protein overexpression, Ki67 proliferative activity and mitotic index as markers of tumour recurrence in superficial transitional cell carcinoma of the bladder

Proliferation and immunohistochemistry for p53, CD25 and CK20 in predicting prognosis of non-muscle invasive papillary urothelial carcinomas

Non-muscle invasive papillary urothelial carcinoma is a prevalent disease with a high recurrence tendency. Good prognostic and reproducible biomarkers for tumor recurrence and disease progression are lacking. Currently, WHO grade and tumor stage are essential in risk stratification and treatment decision-making. Here we present the prognostic value of proliferation markers (Ki67, mitotic activity index (MAI) and PPH3) together with p53, CD25 and CK20 immunohistochemistry (IHC). In this population-based retrospective study, 349 primary non-muscle invasive bladder cancers (NMIBC) were available. MAI and PPH3 were calculated manually according to highly standardized previously described methods, Ki-67 by the semi-automated QPRODIT quantification system, p53 and CD25 by the fully automated digital image analysis program Visipharm® and CK20 with the help of the semi-quantitative immunoreactive score (IRS). Survival analyses with log rank test, as well as univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed for all investigated variables. Age and multifocality were the only significant variables for tumor recurrence. All investigated variables, except gender, were significantly associated with stage progression. In multivariate analysis, MAI was the only prognostic variable for stage progression (p<0.001).

Tissue biomarkers in nonmuscle-invasive bladder cancer: any role in clinical practice?

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

To summarize recent findings on tissue biomarkers for nonmuscle-invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC) with an emphasis on their prognostic and predictive role.

RECENT FINDINGS

Accurate risk stratification is essential and the major driver in patient counseling regarding surveillance and decision making relative to therapeutic strategies. In NMIBC, there is an unmet need for improving the accuracy of current prognostic and predictive models, which rely only on clinicopathologic features and do not reflect the biological heterogeneity of the cancer in each individual. Studies continuously shed novel light on some processes involved in cancerogenesis, host response and interactions in the tumor's own microenvironment, which may be considered as potential biomarkers and targets for future directed therapies.

SUMMARY

Biomarkers are necessary to transform bladder cancer management and usher in the age of personalized medicine. The clinical use is, however, still limited because of heterogeneity in study design, staining methods and an overall lacking adherence to a structured biomarker testing process.

Association of Cyclooxygenase-2 Immunoreactivity with Tumor Recurrence and Disease Progression in Superficial Urothelial Bladder Cancer

Aims and Background

The main characteristic of urothelial bladder cancer is a clear predisposition to recurrence and disease progression. The aim of this study was to assess the possible relationship between cyclooxygenase-2 (COX-2) immunoreactivity in superficial urothelial bladder carcinoma and tumor grade, stage, number of recurrences and clinical disease progression.

Methods

In this prospective study 70 consecutive patients who underwent transurethral resection for superficial urothelial bladder cancer were included. Tumor slides were immuno-histochemically stained for COX-2, and COX-2 immunoreactivity in tumor and inflammatory stromal cells was categorized as negative or mildly, moderately or strongly positive. Patients were followed up for 2 years, and during this period the possible association of COX-2 immunoreactivity with tumor stage and grade, number of recurrences and progression of disease was evaluated.

Results

COX-2 immunoreactivity in tumor cells was found in 57 (81.4%) patients and did not correlate with tumor grade, stage of disease, number of recurrences, and progression of disease. COX-2 immunoreactivity in inflammatory cells was found in 16 of the 57 patients with COX-2 positive tumors, and was significantly related to the number of recurrences, time to appearance of the first recurrence, and disease progression.

Conclusions

COX-2 immunoreactivity in inflammatory stromal cells adjacent to the COX-2-positive tumor might be useful in clinical practice for selection of patients with a high risk of tumor recurrence and disease progression.

Predictive Value of Maspin and Ki-67 Expression in Transurethral Resection Specimens in Patients with T1 Bladder Cancer

Aims and background

To evaluate the clinical significance of maspin and Ki-67 expression in patients with newly diagnosed T1 bladder cancer.

Methods and study design

Maspin and Ki-67 expression was investigated by immunohistochemistry from paraffin-embedded tissues of 68 patients undergoing transurethral resection for bladder cancer. Clinicopathological data were retrospectively reviewed from available charts and pathological reports. Maspin and Ki-67 expression levels were classified according to the staining percentage. Cases in which at least 5% of the tumor cells stained for maspin were scored as positive. Ki-67 labeling index was considered to be positive when samples demonstrated >10% reactivity.

Results

Maspin expression was found as an independent predictor of recurrence and progression (P <0.05). Patients with negative maspin expression were 2.191 times more likely to relapse than patients with positive maspin expression. Patients with negative maspin expression were 4.345 times more likely to progress than patients with positive maspin expression. Furthermore, the maspin-negative group was found to have shorter recurrence and progression-free survival (P <0.05). No significant association was found between maspin subcellular localization pattern and recurrence-free, progression-free or overall survival (P >0.05). There was no correlation between Ki-67 expression and tumor recurrence, progression or tumor-related death (P >0.05). Chi-square tests showed a significant relationship between Ki-67 expression and tumor size and tumor grade (P <0.05).

Conclusions

Our findings suggested that the evaluation of maspin expression in stage T1 bladder tumors is a useful prognostic marker for predicting the tumor behavior.

Impact of the Ki-67 labeling index and p53 expression status on disease-free survival in pT1 urothelial carcinoma of the bladder

Background

The identification of protein biomarkers to guide treatment decisions regarding adjuvant therapies for high-risk non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC) has been of increasing interest. Evidence of the impact of tumor suppressor gene product p53 and cell proliferation marker Ki-67 on oncologic outcomes in bladder cancer patients at highest risk of recurrence and progression is partially contradictory. We sought to mirror contemporary expression patterns of p53 and Ki-67 in a select cohort of patients with pT1 bladder cancer.

Methods

Patients from four Northern German institutions with a primary diagnosis of pT1 bladder cancer between 2009 and 2016 and complete data regarding p53 or Ki-67 expression status were included for final analyses. Baseline patient characteristics (age, gender, age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index) and tumor characteristics [diagnostic sequence, tumor focality, concomitant carcinoma in situ, 1973 World Health Organization (WHO) grading, lymphovascular invasion, adjuvant instillation therapy] were abstracted by retrospective chart review. Immunohistochemistry for detection of p53 and Ki-67 expression was performed according to standardized protocols. Microscopic analyses were performed by central pathologic review. First, we compared patients with positive vs. negative p53 expression and Ki-67 labeling index [>40% vs. ≤40%; cutoffs based on best discriminative ability in univariable Cox regression analysis with disease-free survival (DFS) as endpoint] with regard to baseline and tumor characteristics. Second, we evaluated the effect of biomarker positivity on DFS by plotting univariable Kaplan-Meier curves and performing uni- and multivariable Cox regression analyses.

Results

Of 102 patients with complete information on p53 status, 44 (43.1%) were p53 positive, and they more often harbored concomitant carcinoma in situ (50.0% vs. 27.6%; P=0.032) and 1973 WHO grade 3 (97.7% vs. 69.0%; P=0.001) compared to their p53 negative counterparts. Of 79 patients with complete information on Ki-67 expression status, 30 (38.0%) had a labeling index >40%. Mean Ki-67 labeling index was higher in WHO grade 3 vs. grade 2 tumors (45.8 vs. 29.7; P=0.004). At a median follow-up of 51.0 months, 31/91 patients with complete follow-up information (34.1%) suffered from disease recurrence or progression. In univariable Kaplan-Meier analyses, no difference regarding DFS was found in p53 positive vs. negative (P=0.8) or Ki-67 labeling index >40% vs. ≤40% (P=0.078) patients. In multivariable analyses, Ki-67 labeling index >40% remained an independent predictor of DFS [hazard ratio (HR), 2.66; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.02–6.95; P=0.046], after adjusting for p53 expression and lymphovascular invasion. However, p53 status was not associated with our endpoint (P=0.8).

Conclusions

While we found an association of a Ki-67 labeling index >40% and shorter DFS in pT1 bladder cancer patients, this did not hold true for p53 positivity. Future research is needed to identify additional microscopic and molecular risk factors and biomarker panels to improve risk stratification and guide adjuvant therapies in those patients.

Increased Proliferation as Independent Predictor of Disease Recurrence in Initial Stage pTa Urothelial Bladder Cancer

Objectives:

To investigate the predictive impact of the proliferation biomarker Ki-67 on the clinical course of patients with initial stage pTa urothelial carcinoma of the bladder (UCB).

Methods:

We retrospectively analyzed all patients treated by transurethral resection of bladder tumors (TUR-B) for UCB between 1992–2004 in a single-center. Disease recurrence (≥pTa UCB) and absent tumor in histopathology, assessed by TUR-B with a non-malignant result for endoscopic suspect bladder lesion displayed endpoints. Immunohistochemical (IHC) analysis of formalin-fixed and paraffin-embedded tissue blocks was performed with an immunostainer using a primary antibody for Ki-67. Semiquantitative evaluation of Ki-67 was performed by three reviewers. Increased proliferation was defined with a cut-off value of ≥50%. Uni- and multivariable binary regression analyses were applied to address prediction of disease recurrence.

Results:

215 patients (84% male, median age 69 years at first diagnosis) were evaluable and included to the study. 89 patients stayed disease-free (41%), 126 patients showed recurrence (59%). Recurrence rates of patients with Ki-67 expression <10%, 10–24%, 25–49% and ≥50% were 14.8% vs. 30.8% vs. 63.9% and 80.7%, respectively (p < 0.001). In Kaplan-Meier analysis patients with increased proliferation ≥50% showed a statistically significant worse 10-year recurrence-free survival (19% vs. 57%, p < 0.001). Multivariable regression analysis revealed instillation treatment (p = 0.001) and high proliferation of Ki-67 (p < 0.001) to be independent predictors of recurrence in stage pTa UCB.

Conclusions:

High proliferation with Ki-67 expression ≥50% was strongly associated with worse recurrence-free survival in patients with initial stage pTa UCB. Stage pTa UCB patients with increased Ki-67 expression should undergo a strictly follow-up regime comparable to stage pT1 bladder carcinoma, while at least patients with Ki-67 expression <10% might be feasible for more liberate follow-up regime after evaluation of our data in randomized, prospective and multicenter studies.

An analysis of the polymorphisms of the GLUT1 gene in urothelial cell carcinomas of the bladder and its correlation with p53, Ki67 and GLUT1 expressions

Frequencies of two glucose transporter 1 (GLUT1) single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) (XbaI G>T and HaeIII T>C) were studied with urothelial cell carcinomas of the bladder (UCC) and 204 normal persons. And the expression of the p53, Ki67 and GLUT1 was assayed by immunohistochemistry. The frequency of the TT genotype and T allele of the XbaI G>T SNP was decreased in the patients with UCC. The frequency of the CC genotype and C allele of the HaeIII T>C SNP was decreased in the patients with UCC. The GLUT1 XbaI genotype GG was more frequent in higher tumor stage and higher tumor grade patients. In the XbaI G>T SNP, the GG genotype was significantly related to higher Remmele immunoreactive score (IRS) of Ki67 and higher IRS of GLUT1. In conclusion, the TT genotype in XbaI G>T SNP and CC genotype of HaeIII T>C SNP may have protective effect in the carcinogenesis process of UCC. In the XbaI G>T SNP, the GG genotype of was positively related to tumor proliferation, glucose metabolism, tumor grade and stage. Therefore, the variant might become a possible proliferation-related prognostic factor for UCC.

p53 Status correlates with the risk of recurrence in non-muscle invasive bladder cancers treated with Bacillus Calmette-Guérin: a meta-analysis

Objective

Published studies have yielded inconsistent results on the relationship between p53 status and the prognosis of non-muscle invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC) treated with Bacillus Calmette–Guérin (BCG) intravesical therapy. Therefore, we performed a meta-analysis to evaluate the prognostic value of p53 in NMIBC treated with BCG.

Methods

We systematically searched for relevant literature in PubMed, EMBASE, CNKI, and Chinese Wanfang databases. Hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were combined as the effect size (ES) across studies for recurrence-free survival (RFS) and progression-free survival (PFS).

Results

A total of 11 studies, consisting of 1,049 participants, met the criteria. Overall, there was no clear relationship between p53 status and RFS or PFS for NMIBC patients treated with BCG (HR: 1.40, 95% CI: 0.91-2.16; HR: 1.37, 95% CI: 0.90-2.09, respectively). Obvious heterogeneity was observed across the studies (I² = 69.5%, P = 0.001; I² = 44.7%, P = 0.081, respectively). In stratified analysis by region, p53 overexpression was a predictor of poor RFS in Asian populations (HR: 1.57, 95% CI: 1.08-2.27). In addition, after excluding the studies that possibly contributed to the heterogeneity by the Galbraith plot, the overall association for RFS became statistically significant (HR: 1.38 95% CI: 1.08-1.77) without evidence of heterogeneity (I² = 0.0%, P = 0.499).

Conclusion

This meta-analysis suggests that p53 overexpression in NMIBC patients treated with BCG may be associated with RFS, especially in Asian populations. Because of the heterogeneity and other limitations, further studies with rigid criteria and large populations are still warranted to confirm our findings.

Ki67 and TP53 expressions predict recurrence of non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer

Tumor markers Ki67, TP53, and TP63 are common labels in the diagnosis of bladder cancer (BCa) around the world. The combination of those biomarkers may have advantages in predicting BCa prognosis and non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC) postoperative recurrence. We investigated the immunohistochemical profiles of 313 bladder cancer samples classified under the WHO/ISUP (2004) grading scale and the UICC-TNM (2002) classification. Then we investigated their predictive value in the tumor recurrence of 270 NMIBC patients after TURBT. Expression of Ki67 correlates with grade, stage, tumor size, and tumor numbers. Semiquantitative evaluation of TP53 correlates with grade and invasive conditions. The positive expression rate of TP63 correlated with tumor grade and stage. The combined effect of TP53 and Ki67 revealed a predictive value in NMIBC recurrence. However, the positive TP63 expression did not show any protective effect in NMIBC recurrence. The expression of TP53 and Ki67 could be used to predict the risk of NMIBC recurrence postoperatively.

Molecular markers in transitional cell carcinoma of the bladder: New insights into mechanisms and prognosis

Urothelial carcinoma is potentially life-threatening and expensive to treat since for many patients, the diagnosis entails a lifetime of surveillance to detect recurrent disease. Advancements in technology have provided an understanding of the molecular mechanisms of carcinogenesis and defined distinct pathways in tumorigenesis and progression. At the molecular level, urothelial carcinoma is being seen as a disease with distinct pathways of carcinogenesis and progression and thus markers of these processes should be used as both diagnostics and predictors of progression and patient outcome. Herein we present a selective overview of the molecular underpinning of urothelial carcinogenesis and progression and discuss the potential for proteins involved in these processes to serve as biomarkers. The discovery of biomarkers has enabled the elucidation of targets for novel therapeutic agents to disrupt the deregulation underlying the development and progression of urothelial carcinogenesis.

National Academy of Clinical Biochemistry Laboratory Medicine Practice Guidelines for use of tumor markers in liver, bladder, cervical, and gastric cancers

BACKGROUND

Updated National Academy of Clinical Biochemistry Laboratory Medicine Practice Guidelines for the use of tumor markers in the clinic have been developed.

METHODS

Published reports relevant to use of tumor markers for 4 cancer sites--liver, bladder, cervical, and gastric--were critically reviewed.

RESULTS

Alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) may be used in conjunction with abdominal ultrasound for early detection of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with chronic hepatitis or cirrhosis associated with hepatitis B or C virus infection. AFP concentrations >200 microg/L in cirrhotic patients with typical hypervascular lesions >2 cm in size are consistent with HCC. After a diagnosis of HCC, posttreatment monitoring with AFP is recommended as an adjunct to imaging, especially in the absence of measurable disease. Although several urine markers have been proposed for bladder cancer, none at present can replace routine cystoscopy and cytology in the management of patients with this malignancy. Some may, however, be used as complementary adjuncts to direct more effective use of clinical procedures. Although carcinoembryonic antigen and CA 19-9 have been proposed for use gastric cancer and squamous cell carcinoma antigen for use in cervical cancer, none of these markers can currently be recommended for routine clinical use.

CONCLUSIONS

Implementation of these recommendations should encourage optimal use of tumor markers for patients with liver, bladder, cervical, or gastric cancers.

Molecular determinants of tumor recurrence in the urinary bladder

Tumor recurrence is a major clinical concern for patients with urothelial carcinoma of the urinary bladder. Traditional morphological analysis is of limited utility for identifying cases in which recurrence will occur. However, molecular and genetic analyses offer new perspectives on the prediction of bladder tumor recurrence. Recent studies have suggested that urothelial carcinogenesis occurs as a 'field effect' that can involve any number of sites in the bladder mucosa. Accumulating evidence supports the notion that resident urothelial stem cells in the affected field are transformed into cancer stem cells by acquiring genetic alterations that lead to tumor formation through clonal expansion. Both initial and recurrent tumors are derived from cancer stem cells in the affected field via two distinct molecular pathways. These provide a genetic framework for understanding urothelial carcinogenesis, tumor recurrence and progression: the FGFR3-associated pathway and the TP53-associated pathway. These two pathways are characterized by different genomic, epigenetic and gene-expression alterations. Their outcomes correlate with the markedly different clinical and pathologic features of both relatively indolent low-grade cancers and the aggressive high-grade cancers. As such, these molecular findings are potentially useful for counseling patients and for assessing risk of recurrence or biological aggressiveness of the patient's tumor. The molecular changes may additionally prove useful for developing preventive and therapeutic strategies for urothelial bladder cancer. A unifying model of urothelial carcinogenesis, tumor recurrence and progression is proposed in this review.

Evaluation of p53 Nuclear Accumulation in Low- and High-Grade (WHO/ISUP Classification) Transitional Papillary Carcinomas of the Bladder for Tumor Recurrence and Progression

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the association of p53 nuclear accumulation with recurrence and progression in transitional cell carcinomas of the bladder and to examine the distribution of p53 in low-grade and high-grade transitional cell carcinomas according to the World Health Organization/International Society of Urological Pathology classification.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Nuclear accumulations of p53 were examined in a total of 99 patients with transitional cell carcinoma between May 1995 and October 1999. The mean age was 64 years. There were 94 (95%) men and 5 (5%) women. Following resection, surgical specimens were examined, and p53 accumulation with a 20% cutoff value was accepted as positive staining. Of the 99 patients, 52 (53%) had histologically superficial bladder tumors, and 47 (47%) had invasive tumors. Data concerning grade, stage, number of recurrences, and disease progression were available for each patient.

RESULTS

The median follow-up period was 55 months. 60 of the 99 patients (61%) had p53 overexpression. The difference for p53 overexpression between low-grade and high-grade tumors was significant (p < 0.05). In low- and high-grade tumors, there was no significant relationship for recurrence between p53-positive and p53-negative groups. But there was a statistically significant relationship between progression and histological grade of the tumors. p53 had no significant relationship with tumor recurrences (p > 0.05), but its relationship with progression was statistically significant (p < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

We did not find a correlation between tumor recurrence and p53 overexpression, but p53 overexpression has a predictive value in determining tumor progression. High-grade tumors had higher p53-positive values than low-grade tumors. This group of patients should be considered for radical therapies on the basis of other prognostic parameters.

Relationship of Ki67, TP53, MDM-2 and BCL-2 expressions with WHO 1973 and WHO/ISUP grades, tumor category and overall patient survival in urothelial tumors of the bladder

Using the 1998 World Health Organization/International Society of Urological Pathology (WHO/ISUP) (2004 WHO), 1999 WHO/ISUP, and 1973 WHO classifications, we examined Ki67, BCL-2, TP53, and MDM-2 expressions in invasive and noninvasive urothelial neoplasias of the bladder of 72 patients, and compared the results regarding tumor category and grade with clinical outcome to determine the clinicopathological relevance of these classifications. Ki67 and TP53 expressions were correlated with tumor grades of the 1973 WHO classification, and they also distinguished "papillary urothelial neoplasm with low malignant potential" from other WHO/ISUP grades (p < 0.05). No difference was observed for Ki67 and TP53 expressions between the other WHO/ISUP grades (p > 0.05). Neither tumor grade nor tumor category correlated with MDM-2 or BCL-2 expressions (p > 0.05). WHO/ISUP classifications are obviously not superior to the 1973 WHO classification for grading urothelial neoplasia of the bladder. However, if the "papillary urothelial neoplasm with low malignant potential" is distinguished from grade 1 tumors of the 1973 WHO classification, more precise prognostic information may be obtained.

Diagnostic algorithm for papillary urothelial tumors in the urinary bladder

Papillary urothelial neoplasms with deceptively bland cytology cannot be easily classified. We aimed to design a new algorithm that could differentiate between these neoplasms based on a scoring system. We proposed a new scoring system that enables to reproducibly diagnose non-invasive papillary urothelial tumors. In this system, each lesion was given individual scores from 0 to 3 for mitosis and cellular thickness, from 0 to 2 for cellular atypia, and an additional score for papillary fusion. These scores were combined to form a summed score allowing the tumors to be ranked as follows: 0–1 = UP, 2–4 = low malignant potential (LMP), 5–7 = low-grade transitional cell carcinoma (TCC), and 8–9 = high-grade TCC. In addition to the scoring system, ancillary studies of MIB and p53 indexes with CK20 expression pattern analyses were compared together with clinical parameters. The MIB index was strongly correlated with disease progression. Four of the 22 LMP patients (18.2%) had late recurrences, two of these four (9.1%) had progression to low-grade carcinoma. The MIB index for LMP patients was strongly associated with recurrence (recurrence vs. non-recurrence, 16.5 vs. 8.1, p < 0.001). The proposed scoring system could enhance the reproducibility to distinguish papillary urothelial neoplasms.

Survivin nuclear labeling index: a superior biomarker in superficial urothelial carcinoma of human urinary bladder

The caspase family proteases are key proapoptotic proteins while the inhibitor of apoptosis proteins (IAP) prevent apoptosis by antagonizing the caspases or other key proapoptotic proteins. Limited studies of IAPs suggested their deregulation contributed to urothelial neoplasia. However, the expression status and biologic or prognostic significance of the caspase and IAP family proteins in urothelial neoplasms is not clear. In the present study, we first systematically evaluated the expression profile of the major apoptosis regulators, including caspases (CASP3, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, and 14), IAPs (survivin/BIRC5, CIAP1, CIAP2, XIAP, and LIVIN), APAF1, SMAC, and BCL2, as well as proliferation markers Ki67 and PHH3, in Ta/T1 human urinary bladder urothelial carcinomas and normal urothelium samples by immunohistochemistry. The analysis showed that survivin/BIRC5 nuclear labeling index (BIRC5-N), but not cytoplasmic staining, was the only apoptotic marker which correlated significantly with tumor grade, stage, and patient outcome. We further analyzed the prognostic value of BIRC5-N in 101 Ta/T1 urinary bladder urothelial carcinomas by univariate analysis, which showed that BIRC5-N as well as the more classical prognosticators (stage, grade, and Ki67 index) were of prognostic significance. However, multivariate analysis by Cox proportional hazard regression demonstrated BIRC5-N was a stronger prognosticator than tumor grade, stage, and Ki67 labeling index. BIRC5-N index of 8% or more predicted unfavorable disease-specific survival (relative risk (RR)=6.6, 95% confidence interval=1.6-26.7, P=0.0080) as well as progression-free survival (RR=4.4, 95% confidence interval=1.3-14.6, P=0.0151). We conclude that BIRC5-N is a superior biologic and prognostic marker for Ta/T1 urothelial carcinomas of urinary bladder.

Correlation between sigma2 receptor protein expression and histopathologic grade in human bladder cancer

Sigma2 (sigma2) receptor proteins are overexpressed in several tissues and tumour cell lines. Although the biomolecular mechanism of this overexpression must be elucidated, sigma2 receptor was considered a potential biomarker for monitoring solid tumour proliferation. In this study, we verified first sigma2 receptor overexpression by saturation analysis with radioligand in six human bladder cancer specimens, then if a possible correlation could be established between sigma2 overexpression and tumour tissue stage and grade. The results displayed that sigma2 receptor protein was normally expressed in human bladder and overexpressed in the case of high-grade transitional cell carcinomas. Moreover, these receptors were undetected in a low-grade squamous cell carcinoma and in a very rare form of anaplastic, large cells plasmacytoid cancer.

Bladder cancer diagnosis and recurrence prognosis: Comparison of markers with emphasis on survivin

Expression of the anti-apoptotic protein survivin is hardly detectable or even absent in many differentiated adult tissues, but is upregulated in almost any type of cancer. Furthermore, high survivin mRNA or protein expression generally correlates with an adverse disease course. Both these important features of survivin expression have been investigated for diagnostic and prognostic purposes in many human cancers, including bladder cancer. In this review, the role of survivin in the detection of bladder tumors and the prediction of tumor recurrence in patients with superficial bladder cancer will be discussed and compared to that of other markers/tests. The most promising marker(s) will be outlined. Also, important requirements for a successful implementation of such markers in a hospital setting are discussed. Finally, future directions for the discovery of new diagnostic or prognostic candidate markers will be mentioned.

Molecular and immunohistochemical analysis of the prognostic value of cell-cycle regulators in urothelial neoplasms of the bladder

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the prognostic and predictive value of molecular and immunohistochemical markers related to cell-cycle control in terms of recurrence, progression, and survival in urothelial neoplasms of the bladder (UNB).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Clinical and pathological findings of 84 patients with UNB were assessed. Homozygous deletion (HD) and promoter methylation of p14ARF, p15INK4B, p16INK4A, loss of heterozygosity of the locus 9p21, p53 mutations, and immunohistochemical expression of p53, p16, p14, p21, p27, pRb, Ki67, MDM2, and cyclin D1 proteins were evaluated in relation to overall survival (OS), recurrence-free survival (RFS), and progression-free survival (PFS).

RESULTS

In the univariate analysis, RFS was shorter in cases with p14ARF (p=0.006), p15INK4B (p=0.003), p16INK4A (p=0.03) HD, low p14 immunoreactivity index (IRI) (p=0.01) and high Ki67 IRI (p=0.04); HD of the 9p21 locus genes and p14 IRI remained as independent prognostic factors for early UNB recurrence (p=0.006) whereas tumour stage (p=0.00001) and cyclin D1 IRI (p=0.049) were related to worse PFS in the multivariate analysis. In the univariate analysis, IRI for Ki67 (p=0.002), cyclin D1 (p=0.06), p53 (p=0.00008), p16 (p=0.02), p27 (p=0.0005) MDM2 (p=0.01) and p53 mutations (p=0.03) were related to poor OS, and only the Ki67 IRI retained their independent value in the multivariate analysis.

CONCLUSION

9p21 HD and p14 IRI constitute independent predictive factors for UNB recurrence and cyclin D1 IRI and tumour stage for progression. In addition, Ki67 IRI and tumour stage are independent prognostic factors for overall survival in UNB.

Cadherina E, Catenina Beta, Antígeno Ki-67 y proteína p53 en el pronóstico de la recidiva tumoral en los tumores superficiales de vejiga T1

INTRODUCTION

The natural history of the superficial carcinoma of bladder is characterized by his high rate of recurrence and by the aptitude to progress to higher stages. We are going to investigate the capacity of prediction for tumor recurrence of protein p53, antigen Ki-67, E Cadherin and Beta Catenin

MATERIAL AND METHOD

88 T1 tumors with a median of free time of disease of 36 months. 58% of the serie has received prophylactic treatment with BCG 81 mg. weekly for six weeks. Cut-oof level for For P53 and Ki-67 is 10 % of stained cells. For E Cadherin and Beta Catenin we have established two groups: one with the values 0-4 (negative), and other one with the values 5-8 (positive).

RESULTS

Recurrence rate 31%, stage progression 3%. Ki-67 expression is correlated with grade (p .002) and lymphatic permeation (p .028). Multiplicity is correlated with lack( of Cadherin and Catenin's expression. Only Ki-67 expression (p .049) and lack of Beta Catenin expression (p .039) reach statistical significance. In multivariant study only lack of Beta Catenin's expression shows independent recurrence value (p .049; O.R: 2,4-6,9)

CONCLUSIONS

The most useful prognmostic markers are Ki-67 and Catenina Beta Only Beta Catenin Beta shows independent value for tumour recurrence. Tumors wich lack expression for Catenin B or Cadherin E have lower recurrence free time.

Prognostic markers for bladder cancer: International Consensus Panel on bladder tumor markers

The International Consensus Panel on cytology and bladder tumor markers evaluated markers that have the ability to predict tumor recurrence, progression, development of metastases, or response to therapy or patient survival. This article summarizes those findings. The panel mainly reviewed articles listed in PubMed on various prognostic indicators for bladder cancer. Based on these studies, most of which were case-control retrospective studies, various prognostic indicators were classified into 6 groups: (1) microsatellite-associated markers, (2) proto-oncogenes/oncogenes, (3) tumor suppressor genes, (4) cell cycle regulators, (5) angiogenesis-related factors, and (6) extracellular matrix adhesion molecules. The panel concluded that although certain markers, such as Ki-67 and p53, appear to be promising in predicting recurrence and progression of bladder cancer, the data are still heterogeneous. The panel recommends that identifying definitive criteria for test positivity, a clearly defined patient population, standardization of techniques used to evaluate markers, and clearly specified endpoints and statistical methods will help to bring accurate independent prognostic indicators into the clinical management of patients with bladder cancer.

p53 immunodetection of liquid-based processed urinary samples helps to identify bladder tumours with a higher risk of progression

p53 could help identify bladder tumour cases with a risk of progression from superficial to invasive disease. Semiautomatic, liquid-based cytology (LBC) techniques offer an opportunity to standardise molecular techniques. The aim of our study was to investigate whether LBC could improve p53 immunolabelling, and to assess whether urinary p53 could have a prognostic value. Immunoreactivity for p53 was studied in 198 urine samples after treatment with the Cytyc Thinprep® processor. After antigen retrieval, cells were labelled with a monoclonal antibody that recognises both wild-type and mutant form of the p53 protein (Clone DO-7, Dako), 1/1000. Positivity for p53 was assessed in 17.2% of the cases. High-grade (G3) tumours were positive in 74.1% of the cases. Comparatively, low-grade (G1–2) urothelial carcinomas were positive in 23.5% of the cases. During a median follow-up period of 26 months, recurrence was observed in 52.9% of the cases with p53 overexpression, and in only 10.9% of negative cases (P<0.001). The progression rate was 35.3% of p53-positive cases vs 5.5% of p53-negative cases (P<0.001). Progression-free survival was significantly shorter in patients with p53 accumulation (P=0.007). In a multivariate analysis stratified on grade and stage, p53 was an independent predictor of overall survival (P=0.042). The results show that using Thinprep® LBC, p53 immunolabelling of voided urothelial cells allows most high-grade tumours to be detected and may help identify cases with a higher risk of recurrence and progression.

Evaluation of hypoxia-inducible factor 1alpha overexpression as a predictor of tumour recurrence and progression in superficial urothelial bladder carcinoma

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the possible role of hypoxia-inducible factor 1alpha (HIF-1alpha, a transcription factor important in regulating O(2) homeostasis and physiological responses to oxygen deprivation) in the recurrence and progression of superficial urothelial bladder cancer, and to examine its expression in relation to proliferation status, apoptotic activity and intratumoral angiogenesis.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Paraffin wax-embedded tissue from 140 patients with superficial primary urothelial bladder carcinoma was immunostained for HIF-1alpha, Ki-67, single-stranded DNA antibody for apoptotic cells, p53, bcl-2, vascular endothelial growth factor and CD31 antigen. We calculated the proliferative rate, the apoptotic index and the microvessel density (MVD). The mean (sem) follow-up was 46 (3.5) months, within which 86 patients relapsed while 18 progressed to a higher tumour stage and/or grade.

RESULTS

HIF-1alpha expression was more common in high-grade superficial urothelial carcinomas. The positivity was related to increased proliferative activity (P = 0.012), apoptotic rate (P = 0.006) and MVD (P < 0.001). HIF-1alpha overexpression had a marginal adverse influence on progression-free survival (P = 0.058; univariate analysis), but when combined with p53 overexpression, the unfavourable impact was statistically important (P = 0.028). In multivariate analysis, only grade and the high Ki-67 labelling index were significant predictors of recurrence-free survival, while T-stage and the HIF-1alpha+/p53+ phenotype emerged as the only independent variables of adverse prognostic significance for time to progression.

CONCLUSIONS

HIF-1alpha overexpression combined with aberrant mutant p53 nuclear protein accumulation seem to indicate an aggressive phenotype, suggesting a potential biological model predictive of future risk of disease progression in patients with superficial urothelial bladder carcinoma. These indicators may be helpful in clinical practice to discriminate superficial bladder cancer worth a more intensive follow-up, or more aggressive treatment.

P16 immunoreactivity is an independent predictor of tumor progression in minimally invasive urothelial bladder carcinoma

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the prognostic impact of p16 immunoreactivity in minimally invasive transitional cell bladder carcinomas (stage T1).

METHODS

Multi-tissue-arrays containing 73 samples of T1 bladder carcinomas were stained immunohistochemically for p16. Additionally, p53 and Ki-67 antigen expression were examined. A multivariate analysis including other prognostically relevant factors like tumor grade and sub-stage was performed.

RESULTS

Loss of p16 expression occurred in 54% of cases and was significantly associated with reduced progression-free (p=0.018 by univariate analysis), but not with recurrence-free survival (p=0.341). Median Ki-67 antigen and p53 index were 51% (range, 1-93%) and 10% (range, 0-100%), respectively. Both indices correlated significantly (p=0.041 and p=0.024, respectively) with recurrence-free, but not with progression-free survival. Also tumor grade was significantly associated with tumor recurrence (p=0.006). By multivariate analysis, tumor grade (p=0.008) was identified as an independent predictor of tumor recurrence, whereas p16 expression (p=0.009) was identified as an independent predictor of tumor progression.

CONCLUSION

According to our data, there is a significant correlation between loss of p16 expression and tumor progression in patients with minimally-invasive bladder cancer. Immunohistochemical p16 staining may therefore represent a useful tool of providing additional information on the clinical outcome of these patients.

[The role of tumor markers in prognosing transitional bladder cancer]

PURPOSE

Review the literature on tumor markers used for prognosis of transitional bladder cancer. The existing problems regarding grading and local staging of these tumors are also discussed.

METHODS

The published literature on transitional bladder cancer markers was identified using a Medline search and critically analysed.

RESULTS

There are significant interobserver differences in grading. There is a new grading system. There are also problems in local staging and low correlation between clinic stage and pathologic stage. Major tumor markers studied for prognosis of transitional bladder cancer are: flow cytometry, kariocytometric study, oncogenes (p53, bcl-2, Her2/Neu or c-erbB2), chromosomic alterations (chromosomes 9, 7 and 17), proliferation markers (Ki-67, MIB-1), cyclin-dependent kinases and its inhibitors (cyclin D1, cyclin E, p21Wafl, p27Kipl), vascular endothelial growth factor, other growth factors (fibroblastic, epidermal, hepatocyte, platelet-derived), metalloproteinases, cell adhesion molecules, and others.

CONCLUSIONS

At present, there are no prognostic markers for bladder cancer that are superior to conventional grading and staging, despite its imperfections. Standarization of assay methods in bladder tumor markers is needed to permit more conclusive and reproducible results and become a clinic tool. Controversy resulting from several studies make the meaning of some putative prognostic markers in transitional bladder cancer questionable.

Ki-67 index enhances the prognostic accuracy of the urothelial superficial bladder carcinoma risk group classification

Approximately 80% of bladder tumors are urothelial superficial papillary carcinomas (USPC). Despite a generally good prognosis, these tumors have a strong propensity to recur and about 1/3 of them compared to disease progression. Histological assessment of these superficial tumors is not sufficiently discriminator in predicting prognosis; therefore, we decided to evaluate the prognostic significance of p53 and Ki-67 immunoexpression in low-grade (GI-II) USPC in order to predict the potential outcome of these tumors. P53 and Ki-67 immunoexpression were studied in function of recurrence-free and progression-free survival in 159 primary superficial bladder tumors. A prognostic risk model based on grade, stage and multifocality was also evaluated. P53 accumulation was significantly related to tumor progression (p=0.006). High Ki-67 index (>/=18%) and multifocality were significantly related to recurrence (both p=0.0001) and progression-free survival (both p=0.0001) and were independent prognostic factors in the multivariate analysis. The prognostic risk model based on grade, stage and multifocality was not an efficient discriminator of outcome. Adding the Ki-67 index into the risk model, single pTa/T1-GI Ki-67 positive tumors, usually classified as low risk, were reclassified as of intermediate risk. After this reclassification, the risk group model identified a subgroup of pTa/T1-G1 with a high risk of recurrence and progression. Ki-67 index is a reliable prognostic marker in urothelial superficial bladder carcinoma and, when included into a risk profile classification of the low-grade USPC, the accuracy of the prognostic discrimination is enhanced.

Proliferation markers and DNA content analysis in urinary bladder TaT1 urothelial cell carcinomas: identification of subgroups with low and high stage progression risks

AIMS

To evaluate whether in situ biomarkers Ki67, mitotic activity index (MAI), p53, mean area of the 10 largest nuclei (MNA10), and whole genome DNA ploidy by flow and image cytometry (FCM and ICM, respectively) have independent prognostic value in urinary bladder urothelial cell carcinomas (UCs).

METHODS

Ki67 and p53 immunoquantitation was performed in TaT1 consensus diagnosis UCs. MAI and MNA10 were also determined. Single cell suspensions were stained (DAPI for FCM; Feulgen for ICM). There was enough material for all measurements in 171 cases. Kaplan-Meier curves and multivariate survival analysis (Cox) were used to assess the prognostic value of all features (including classic clinicopathological risk factors, such as stage, grade, multicentricity, carcinoma in situ).

RESULTS

Thirteen (7.6%) patients progressed. Of the classic factors, grade was strongly prognostic in univariate analysis, as were all the biomarkers. In multivariate analysis, the strongest independent combinations for progression were MNA10 (threshold (T) = 170.0 micro m(2)) plus MAI (T = 30), or MNA10 (T = 170.0 micro m(2)) plus Ki67(T = 25.0%). p53 (T = 35.2%) plus Ki67 (T = 25.0%) also predicted progression well, with high hazard ratios, but p53 measurements were not as reproducible as the other features. The prognostic value of the quantitative biomarkers exceeded that of the classic risk factors and DNA ploidy. The sensitivity, specificity, positive, and negative predictive values of MNA10/MAI or MNA10/Ki67 at the thresholds mentioned were 100%, 79%, 57%, and 100%, respectively. These feature combinations were also strongest prognostically in the high risk treatment subgroup.

CONCLUSIONS

The combined biomarkers MNA10/Ki67 or MNA10/MAI are more accurate and reproducible predictors of stage progression in TaT1 UCs than classic prognostic risk factors and DNA ploidy.

Histopathologic and biologic characteristics of a transitional cell carcinoma with inverted papilloma-like endophytic growth pattern

To evaluate histopathologic and biologic characteristics in a patient with transitional cell carcinoma (TCC) with an endophytic growth pattern similar to that seen in an inverted papilloma. Although the tumor surface was mostly covered with normal-looking urothelium, the covering layer was thicker in parts than in those of benign papillomas. The widths of the trabeculae were irregular, and cytologic atypia with remarkable mitosis was seen. High expression of p53, Ki67, and cytoplasmic cyclin D1 was demonstrated by immunohistochemical staining. To clarify the biologic activities of tumors with inverted papilloma-like growth pattern, even when it appears as benign lesions by routine pathologic examination, analyses of immunoreactivity for proliferation markers might be critical.

Molecular pathology of non-invasive urothelial carcinomas (part I)

An international consultation on the diagnosis of non-invasive urothelial neoplasms was held in Ancona, Italy in May 2001. Besides histology and problems of classification, one group of experts (Committee no. 3) discussed the molecular pathology and cytometry of non-invasive urothelial carcinomas. In the following first part, special immunohistochemical and molecular markers for stratifications in bladder cancer were discussed including different cytokeratins (clone 34betaE12, CK 20), cell proliferation markers (Ki67/MIB-1, PCNA, AgNOR, DNA-cytometry), tumor suppressor genes and oncogenes (p53, p21, erb-B2, bcl-2), different receptor expressions of epidermal growth factor and vascular endothelial growth factor and others. These molecular markers were analyzed in diagnosis of urothelial carcinomas, recurrences, progression and response to treatment.

Expression of cell-cycle regulatory proteins and their prognostic value in superficial low-grade urothelial cell carcinoma of the bladder

AIMS

Cell-cycle regulatory proteins are important indicators in determining progression trough the cell-cycle and progression to invasive cancer in patients presenting with superficial bladder cancer. We performed an immunohistochemical study in order to evaluate the prognostic value of the expression of p16, p27, pRb, p53 and Ki-67 in superficial grade I and II papillary urothelial cell carcinoma of the bladder.

METHODS

p16, p27, p53, pRb and Ki-67 immunoexpression was studied in 14 pTa, 35 pT1a and 7 pT1b bladder tumours at presentation and at recurrence of their tumours. The recurrence-free survival and the progression-free survival were analysed according to these regulatory cell-cycle proteins expression.

RESULTS

For survival in univariate analysis a high Ki-67 labelling index was a poor prognostic factor for recurrence-free and progression-free survival (P=0.0014 and P=0.012, respectively). Ki-67 labelling index was also an independent recurrence-free survival prognostic factor (P=0.0005). The p16, p27, p53 and pRb immunoreactivity was not significantly associated with recurrence or progression rate in this group of bladder carcinomas.

CONCLUSIONS

These data suggest that the Ki-67 labelling index can be a reliable marker in predicting recurrence and/or progression in superficial low-grade bladder carcinomas and may be relevant in planning adjuvant therapy.

[Multivariate analysis of recurrence and progression in stage T1 transitional-cell carcinoma of the bladder. Prognostic value of p53 and Ki67]

OBJECTIVE

To establish prognostic factors of recurrence and progression in stage T1 transitional cell bladder carcinoma, paying special attention to prognostic value of p53 and ki67.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

175 patients with incident bladder tumour at T1 category. The immunohistochemical study was performed using the monoclonal antibodies DO-7, for p53 and MIB-1, for ki67. Kaplan-Meier methodology was used, and a multivariate analysis using Cox's proportional hazards model was carried out in order to determine the variables associated with recurrence and progression. ROC curves were also drawn up.

RESULTS

The average follow up period was 8.55 years. 5 and 12-year recurrence-free survival rates were 57.98% and 48.47%. The independent variables for recurrence were histological grade, tumour multifocality, tumour size > 3 cm, presence of carcinoma in situ and ki67 expression. 5 and 12-year progression-free survival rates were 83.12% and 75.63%. The independent variables for progression were age, tumour multifocality, solid microscopic morphology, p53 expression and ki67 expression.

CONCLUSIONS

Solid microscopic pattern and p53 expression are the variables which best predict progression. A positive relationship was observed between p53 and progression: the greater the expression of p53, the greater the progression. Tumour multifocality and ki67 expression > 27% are the main prognostic factors for recurrence.

Prognostic value of MCM2 immunoreactivity in stage T1 transitional cell carcinoma of the bladder

OBJECTIVE

Due to the heterogeneous biologic behavior of stage T1 bladder carcinomas, there is a need for new markers allowing to assess the prognosis more accurately. To our knowledge, there are no reports on studies investigating minichromosome maintenance protein 2 (MCM2) expression in bladder carcinomas. Thus, we investigated the prognostic value of MCM2 immunoreactivity in stage T1 bladder tumors.

METHODS

Fifty-four tumors were analyzed using Biochip microarrays. Also p53 and Ki67 antigen expression were examined. Immunohistochemical scores were compared with the clinical outcome.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 43 months, tumor recurrence was registered in 43 and progression to stage T2 in 19 patients. Kaplan-Meier curves demonstrated that high-level MCM2 expression was significantly associated with early tumor recurrence when using a cutoff of 60% (p=0.0035 by log-rank test), and with early tumor progression when using a cutoff of 20% (p=0.0454). There was no relationship (p=0.604) between MCM2 and p53, but a tendentious relationship (p=0.082) between MCM2 and Ki67 antigen expression. MCM2 (p=0.006), Ki67 antigen (p=0.035) and p53 expression (p=0.049) as well as tumor grade (p=0.026) and age (p=0.025) were found significantly associated with recurrence-free survival by univariate Cox regression analysis, among which only Ki67 antigen expression (p=0.015) and age (p=0.019) proved to be of independent predictive value by multivariate analysis. Concerning tumor progression, MCM2 expression was identified as the only predictive parameter by log-rank test, but it was not of independent predictive value by multivariate analysis (p=0.101).

CONCLUSION

Our data suggest that MCM2 expression may bear some prognostic relevance in stage T1 bladder carcinomas.

Proliferative activity is the most significant predictor of recurrence in noninvasive papillary urothelial neoplasms of low malignant potential and grade 1 papillary carcinomas of the bladder

BACKGROUND

Recurrence of transitional cell carcinoma of the bladder cannot be predicted accurately by traditional criteria alone. This study examined the value of cell proliferative activity, morphometry, and expression of p53, c-erbB-2, and bcl-2 oncogenes in predicting recurrence of superficial papillary urothelial neoplasms of low malignant potential (LMP) and Grade 1 (G1) papillary carcinomas of the bladder.

METHODS

Sixty-two patients (mean age, 62 years) with newly diagnosed superficial pTa bladder tumors (19 LMP, and 43 G1) were analyzed retrospectively. All patients underwent transurethral resection (TUR). Median follow-up was 69 months. Serial sections from formalin-fixed, paraffin-embedded material at initial TUR were stained with monoclonal antibodies (MoAbs) DO7, CB11, and bcl-2-124. Cell proliferation was assessed by MIB-1 MoAb, the quantity of argyrophilic nucleolar organizer region-associated proteins (AgNORs), and mitotic count.

RESULTS

Of the 62 patients, 42 (67.7%) had one or more recurrences. Recurrence rates were higher in MIB-1 (P < 0.0001) and p53 immunopositive cases (P = 0.02), when the mitotic count was greater than 5 (P = 0.004), and in G1 carcinomas (P = 0.04). In univariate analysis, the disease-free period was shorter for MIB-1 (P < 0.0001) and p53 immunopositive (P = 0.0001) cases, for cases with high AgNOR quantity (P = 0.04), mitotic count greater than 5 (P = 0.01), and in G1 carcinomas (P = 0.002). In multivariate analysis, only MIB-1 immunoreactivity retained independent prognostic significance.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite the small cohort, the results confirm the prognostic value of cell proliferation and p53 expression in patients with bladder neoplasms. The results also indicate that MIB-1 immunopositivity is the most significant predictor of recurrence and disease-free survival in superficial LMP and G1 papillary bladder carcinomas.

p53 immunohistochemical scoring: an independent prognostic marker for patients after hepatocellular carcinoma resection

AIM: To confirm if p53 mutation could be a routine predictive marker for the prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients.

METHODS: Two hundreds and forty-four formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded tumor samples of the patients with HCC receiving liver resection were detected for nuclear accumulation of p53. The percent of p53 immunoreactive tumor cells was scored as 0 to 3 + in p53 positive region (< 10% -, 10%-30% +, 31%-50% ++, > 50% +++). Proliferating cell nuclear antigen (PCNA) and some clinicopathological characteristics, including patients’ sex, preoperative serum AFP level, tumor size, capsule, vascular invasion (both visual and microscopic), and Edmondson grade were also evaluated.

RESULTS: In univariate COX harzard regression model analysis, tumor size, capsule status, vascular invasion, and p53 expression were independent factors that were closely related to the overall survival (OS) rates of HCC patients. The survival rates of patients with 3+ for p53 expression were much lower than those with 2+ or + for p53 expression. Only vascular invasion (P < 0.05) and capsule (P < 0.01) were closely related to the disease-free survival (DFS) of HCC patients. In multivariate analysis, p53 overexpression (RI 0.5456, P < 0.01) was the most significant factor associated with the OS rates of patients after HCC resection, while tumor size (RI 0.5209, P < 0.01), vascular invasion (RI 0.5271, P < 0.01) and capsule (RI 0.8691, P < 0.01) were also related to the OS. However, only tumor capsular status was an independent predictive factor (P < 0.05) for the DFS. No significant prognostic value was found in PCNA-LI, Edmondson’s grade, patients’ sex and preoperative serum AFP level.

CONCLUSION: Accumulation of p53 expression, as well as tumor size, capsule and vascular invasion, could be valuable markers for predicting the prognosis of HCC patients after resection. The quantitative immunohistochemical scoring for p53 nuclear accumulation might be more valuable for predicting prognosis of patients after HCC resection than the common qualitative analysis.

p53 and ki67 expression as prognostic factors for cancer-related survival in stage T1 transitional cell bladder carcinoma

OBJECTIVE

To determine prognostic factors for survival in bladder transitional cell carcinoma (TCC), and the prognostic value of p53 and ki67.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

A study was made of patients with stage T1 primary bladder TCC (n = 175). The immunohistochemical study was carried out using DO7 and MIB-1 monoclonal antibodies, for p53 and ki67, respectively. Kaplan-Meier methodology was used for the survival analysis, and the log-rank test was applied in order to determine accumulated probability rates of survival. Moreover, Cox's multivariate regression analysis was also used to establish the variables associated with survival. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were also drawn, with the aim of determining the prognostic capacity of p53 and ki67.

RESULTS

The average follow-up period was 7.3 years. Cancer-related survival rates at 5 and 10 years were 89.51 and 80.68%, respectively. The increase in p53 and ki67 expressions paralleled the histological grade, both markers showing significant inter-group differences (P = 0.0000). The variables which modified cancer-related survival significantly in the univariate analysis were the following: tumour multifocality, solid microscopic morphology, large cell nucleus and a high expression of p53 and ki67. Independent cancer-related survival variables were: age, tumour size of >3 cm, a solid microscopic growth pattern and expression of p53.

CONCLUSIONS

The expression of p53, increase in age, tumour size of >3 cm and microscopic growth pattern are independent predictors for cancer-related survival. A positive correlation was observed, indicating that, the higher the expression of p53, the greater the probability of death.

Molecular aspects of bladder cancer III. Prognostic markers of bladder cancer

The current pathological and clinical parameters provide important prognostic information, yet still have limited ability to predict the true malignant potential of most bladder tumors. In the last years, investigation of the basic mechanisms involved in carcinogenesis and tumor progression by molecular biology has provided a host of markers which are of potential diagnostic or prognostic value for bladder carcinoma. These markers may serve as tools for early and accurate prediction of tumor recurrence, progression and development of metastases and for prediction of response to therapy. The precise prediction of tumor biological behavior would facilitate treatment selection for patients who may benefit from radical surgical treatment or adjuvant therapy. We provide a current, comprehensive review of the literature on bladder tumor markers with a special emphasis on their prognostic potential. The literature suggests that currently no single marker is able to accurately predict the clinical course of bladder tumors and thus would serve as a reliable prognosticator. A combination of prognostic markers could predict which superficial tumors need an aggressive form of therapy and which invasive tumors require adjuvant therapy. Altogether, the most promising markers are, at this point, Ki-67 and p53 expression as well as matrixmetalloproteinase complex and angiogenesis.

Recent clinical trials in superficial bladder cancer

The present review addresses literature regarding the management of superficial bladder cancer published since March 2000. There is no definitive winner among urinary markers of bladder cancer, because they lack specificity or are insufficiently tested. Pathologists continue in their efforts to improve prediction of evolution of superficial bladder cancer to recurrent or infiltrative disease. A few studies have confirmed the value of previously described prognostic factors for recurrence and progression, and have added some refinements. Transurethral resection is not as complete as was believed. Fluorescence detection of flat bladder carcinoma has been demonstrated to improve diagnosis and treatment. The necessity to perform a repeat transurethral resection in high-grade superficial bladder cancer became evident. Identification of the working mechanisms of bacille Calmette-Guérin on superficial bladder cancer remains an important objective, and may help to improve treatment schedules and avoid the morbidity associated with bacille Calmette-Guérin administration. Patients who are at high risk may benefit from long-term maintenance bacille Calmette-Guérin therapy. Valrubicin and keyhole limpet haemocyanin appear to be promising agents in the treatment of superficial bladder cancer.