Seasonal variation in hospitalization and case fatality of subarachnoid hemorrhage - a nationwide danish study on 9,367 patients

Subarachnoid Haemorrhage Incidence Pattern Analysis with Circular Statistics

Knowledge about biological rhythms of diseases may not only help in understanding the pathophysiology of diseases but can also help health service policy makers and emergency department directors to allocate resources efficiently. Aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage (SAH) has high rates of morbidity and mortality. The incidence of SAH has been attributed to patient-related factors such as characteristics of aneurysms, smoking, and hypertension. There are studies showing that the incidence of aneurysmal SAH appears to behave in periodic fashions over long time periods. However, there are inconsistencies in the literature regarding the impact of chronobiological factors such as circadian, seasonal, and lunar cycle factors on the occurrence of SAH. In this study, we focused on the analysis of a temporal pattern of SAH (infradian rhythms) with a novel approach using circular statistical methods. We aimed to see whether there is a circular pattern for the occurrence of SAH at all and if so, whether it can be related to known temporal patterns based on available literature. Our study did not support the notion that aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhages occur on any specific day in a cycle with specific lengths up to 365 days including specific weekdays, full moon, equinoxes, and solstices. Hence, we found no relationship between SAH incidence and timing. Study in larger populations using similar circular statistical methods is suggested.

Association between El Niño-Southern Oscillation events and stroke: a case-crossover study in Kaunas city, Lithuania, 2000-2015

The aim of this study was to determine the association between the daily number of cases of ischemic stroke (IS) and hemorrhagic stroke (HS) in patients aged 25-64 years and the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events during 2000-2015. As an indicator of the effect of the ENSO, the monthly NIÑO 3.4 index (Equatorial Pacific Sea Surface Temperature) was used. During the 5844-day study period, 5600 cases of stroke (3170 (56.61%) in men and 2430 (43.39%) in women) were analyzed. Of these, 4354 (77.8%) cases were IS, and 1041 (18.6%) cases were HS. In 3496 (62.2%) cases, stroke occurred in the age group of 55-64 years. In the analysis, we used the following categories of the ENSO events: strong La Niña, moderate La Niña, moderate El Niño, and strong El Niño. The effect of the ENSO was examined by using the multivariate Poisson regression adjusting for weather variables. The highest risk of both strokes (BS) was observed on days of strong and moderate La Niña (rate ratio (RR) 1.27, 95% CI 1.13-1.42) and RR = 1.15 (1.07-1.23), respectively), while the risk for IS was the highest on days of moderate El Niño (RR = 1.11(1.02-1.20)). A lower risk for BS was found on days of strong El Niño (RR = 0.77(0.62-0.97)). We found that ENSO events affected the occurrence of BS and IS in all age groups, and the strongest effect was observed among females. The results of this study provide new evidence that ENSO events may affect the risk of stroke, especially the risk of IS.

Clinical Outcomes of Primary Subarachnoid Hemorrhage: An Exploratory Cohort Study from Sudan

Background

Although Subarachnoid Hemorrhage (SAH) is an emergency condition, its epidemiology and prognosis remain poorly understood in Africa. We aim to explore the clinical presentations, outcomes, and potential mortality predictors of primary SAH patients within 3 weeks of hospitalization in a tertiary hospital in Sudan.

Methods

We prospectively studied 40 SAH patients over 5 months, with 3 weeks of follow-up for the symptomatology, signs, Glasgow coma scale (GCS), CT scan findings, and outcomes. The fatal outcome group was defined as dying within 3 weeks.

Results

The mean age was 53.5 years (SD, 6.9; range, 41–65), and 62.5% were women. One-third (30.0%) were smokers, 37.5% were hypertensive, two-thirds (62.5%) had elevated blood pressure on admission, 37.5% had >24 hours delayed presentation, and 15% had missed SAH diagnosis. The most common presenting symptoms were headache and neck pain/stiffness, while seizures were reported in 12.5%. Approximately one-quarter of patients (22.5%) had large-sized Computed Tomography scan hemorrhage, and 40.0% had moderate size. In-hospital mortality rate was 40.0% (16/40); and 87.5% of them passed away within the first week. Compared to survivors, fatal outcome patients had significantly higher rates of smoking (50.0%), hypertension (68.8%), elevated presenting blood pressure (93.8%), delayed diagnosis (56.2%), large hemorrhage (56.2%), lower GCS scores at presentation, and cerebral rebleeding ( P < 0.05 for each). The primary causes of death were the direct effect of the primary hemorrhage (43.8%), rebleeding (31.3%), and delayed cerebral infarction (12.5%).

Conclusions

SAH is associated with a high in-hospital mortality rate in this cohort of Sudanese SAH patients due to modifiable factors such as delayed diagnosis, hypertension, and smoking. Strategies toward minimizing these factors are recommended.

The Validity of Intracerebral Hemorrhage Diagnoses in the Danish Patient Registry and the Danish Stroke Registry

Purpose

To establish the validity of intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) diagnoses in the Danish Stroke Registry (DSR) and the Danish National Patient Registry (DNPR).

Patients and Methods

Based on discharge summaries and brain imaging reports, we estimated the positive predictive value (PPV) of a first-ever diagnosis code for ICH (ICD-10, code I61) for all patients in the Region of Southern Denmark (1.2 million) during 2009-2017 according to either DNPR or DSR. We estimated PPVs for any non-traumatic ICH (a-ICH) and spontaneous ICH (s-ICH) alone (ie, without underlying structural cause). We also calculated the sensitivity of these diagnoses in each of the registers. Finally, we classified the location of verified s-ICH.

Results

A total of 3,956 patients with ICH diagnosis codes were studied (DSR only: 87; DNPR only: 1,513; both registries: 2,356). In the DSR, the PPVs were 86.5% (95% CI=85.1-87.8) for a-ICH and 81.8% (95% CI=80.2-83.3) for s-ICH. The PPVs in DNPR (discharge code, primary diagnostic position) were 76.2% (95% CI=74.7-77.6) for a-ICH and 70.2% (95% CI=68.6-71.8) for s-ICH. Sensitivity for a-ICH and s-ICH was 76.4% (95% CI=74.8-78.0) and 78.7% (95% CI=77.1-80.2) in DSR, and 87.3% (95% CI=86.0-88.5) and 87.7% (95% CI=86.3-88.9) in DNPR. The location of verified s-ICH was lobar (39%), deep (33.6%), infratentorial (13.2%), large unclassifiable (11%), isolated intraventricular (1.9%), or unclassifiable due to insufficient information (1.3%).

Conclusion

The validity of a-ICH diagnoses is high in both registries. For s-ICH, PPV was higher in DSR, while sensitivity was higher in DNPR. The location of s-ICH was similar to distributions seen in other populations.

Weather Fluctuations May Have an Impact on Stroke Occurrence in a Society: A Population-Based Cohort Study

Background

Stroke has been found to have a seasonally varying incidence; blood pressure, one of its risk factors, is influenced by humidity and temperature. The relationship between the incidence of stroke and meteorological parameters remains controversial.

Objective

We investigated whether meteorological conditions are significant risk factors for stroke, focusing on the fluctuation of weather elements that triggers the onset of stroke.

Methods

We collected ambulance transportation data recorded by emergency personnel from Gifu Prefecture. We included cases where the cause of the transportation was stroke and excluded cases of trauma. We combined these data with meteorological data as well as data on average temperature, average air pressure, and humidity provided publicly by the Japan Meteorological Agency. Our target period was from January 2012 to December 2016.

Results

In the 5-year target period, there were 5,501 occurrences of ambulance transportation due to stroke. A seasonal tendency was confirmed, since ambulance transportation for stroke occurred more frequently at low temperatures (p < 0.001). Temperature (odds ratio: 0.91; p < 0.001) and humidity change (odds ratio: 1.50; p = 0.016) were identified as risk factors for ambulance transportation due to stroke. An increase in temperature incurs a lower risk than a decrease (odds ratio: 0.58; p = 0.09), although there is no statistically significant difference.

Conclusions

Meteorological effects on the frequency of ambulance transportation due to stroke were studied. A lower temperature and radical humidity change were identified as risk factors for ambulance transportation due to stroke, and a decrease in temperature was also associated. We speculate on the possibilities of using meteorological data to optimize the assignment of limited medical resources in medical economics.

Lack of seasonality in occurrence of pericarditis, myocarditis, and endocarditis

PURPOSE

The etiology of pericarditis, myocarditis, and endocarditis is predominantly infectious, and infections often show seasonal variation. Little is known, however, about seasonal patterns in these cardiopathies.

METHODS

Using Danish health care registries, we identified all patients with a first-time hospital-based diagnosis of pericarditis, myocarditis, or endocarditis between 1994 and 2016. We estimated peak-to-trough ratios from fitted sine curves to measure the intensity of seasonal variation in occurrence during the study period. Because randomness will lead to small apparent seasonal patterns, we also conducted a plasmode simulation to assess the degree of seasonality that randomness would produce.

RESULTS

Crude peak-to-trough ratios of monthly frequencies summarized over a year were small. We estimated a peak-to-trough ratio of 1.10 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.05-1.14) for pericarditis, 1.11 (95% CI, 1.02-1.21) for myocarditis, and 1.01 (95% CI, 1.00-1.07) for endocarditis. The simulated mean peak-to-trough ratios found after randomly reassigning the monthly frequencies within each year were 1.04 (95% CI, 1.00-1.09) for pericarditis, 1.04 (95% CI, 1.00-1.13) for myocarditis, and 1.04 (95% CI, 1.00-1.10), for endocarditis.

CONCLUSION

The data indicate no important seasonal variation in the occurrence of pericarditis, myocarditis, and endocarditis in Denmark between 1994 and 2016.

Matrix metalloproteinase-9 gene polymorphisms and their interaction with environment on subarachnoid hemorrhage risk

The current study aimed to investigate the relations of three single nucleotide polymorphisms of matrix metalloproteinase-9 gene, and single nucleotide polymorphisms-smoking interaction to subarachnoid hemorrhage risk. The optimal pattern of the interaction among single nucleotide polymorphisms and smoking was selected by generalized multifactor dimensionality reduction. The association between the three single nucleotide polymorphisms within the matrix metalloproteinase-9 gene was analyzed by logistic regression test. As well as genetic risk of subarachnoid hemorrhage interactions with smoking, the risk of subarachnoid hemorrhage in carriers with the rs3918242 (T) was significantly higher than in carriers carrying CC (genotype: CT + TT vs. CC), adjusted OR (95% CI) = 1.58 (1.25-2.03), and in carriers carrying rs17576- (genotype: AG + GG vs. AA), adjust OR (95% CI) = 1.62 (1.19-2.13). However, after adjusting for covariates, we did not find any direct association between rs17577 and subarachnoid hemorrhage risk. The generalized multifactor dimensionality reduction model shows a potential relation between rs3918242 and smoking risk for subarachnoid hemorrhage ( P = 0.0010). After covariates adjustment, current smokers with rs3918242-CT or TT genotype, compared to never-smokers with rs3918242-CC genotype, OR (95% CI) = 2.57 (1.74-3.46), have a higher subarachnoid hemorrhage risk. Our study showed that the rs3918242 (T) and rs17576 (G), the cross reaction between rs3918242 and smoking increased the risk of subarachnoid hemorrhage. Impact statement Matrix metalloproteinase-9 ( MMP-9) is a possible candidate gene for some diseases, including metabolic syndrome, stroke, coronary artery disease (CAD). But to date, limited data focused on the relationship between MMP-9 gene SNPs and SAH susceptibility. The purpose of this study was to evaluate SNPs of MMP-9 gene and their interaction with environmental factors with SAH risk based on a Chinese population.

Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage

BACKGROUND

Aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) is associated with a mortality of more than 30%. Only about 30% of patients with SAB recover sufficiently to return to independent living.

METHODS

This article is based on a selective review of pertinent literature retrieved by a PubMed search.

RESULTS

Acute, severe headache, typically described as the worst headache of the patient's life, and meningismus are the characteristic manifestations of SAH. Computed tomog raphy (CT) reveals blood in the basal cisterns in the first 12 hours after SAH with approximately 95% sensitivity and specificity. If no blood is seen on CT, a lumbar puncture must be performed to confirm or rule out the diagnosis of SAH. All patients need intensive care so that rebleeding can be avoided and the sequelae of the initial bleed can be minimized. The immediate transfer of patients with acute SAH to a specialized center is crucially important for their outcome. In such centers, cerebral aneurysms can be excluded from the circulation either with an interventional endovascular procedure (coiling) or by microneurosurgery (clipping).

CONCLUSION

SAH is a life-threatening condition that requires immediate diagnosis, transfer to a neurovascular center, and treatment without delay.

Factors associated with clinical and radiological status on admission in patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage

Grading scales yield objective measure of the severity of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage and serve as to guide treatment decisions and for prognostication. The purpose of this cohort study was to determine what factors govern a patient's disease-specific admission scores in a representative Central European cohort. The Swiss Study of Subarachnoid Hemorrhage includes anonymized data from all tertiary referral centers serving subarachnoid hemorrhage patients in Switzerland. The 2009-2014 dataset was used to evaluate the impact of patient and aneurysm characteristics on the patients' status at admission using descriptive and multivariate regression analysis. The primary/co-primary endpoints were the GCS and the WFNS grade. The secondary endpoints were the Fisher grade, the presence of a thick cisternal or ventricular clot, the presence of a new focal neurological deficit or cranial nerve palsy, and the patient's intubation status. In our cohort of 1787 consecutive patients, increasing patient age by 10 years and low pre-ictal functional status (mRS 3-5) were inversely correlated with "high" GCS score (GCS ≥ 13) (OR 0.91, 95% CI 0.84-0.97 and OR 0.67, 95% CI 0.31-1.46), "low" WFNS grade (grade VI-V) (OR 1.21, 95% CI 1.04-1.20 and OR 1.47, 95% CI 0.66-3.27), and high Fisher grade (grade III-IV) (OR 1.08, 95% CI 1.00-1.17 and OR 1.54, 95% CI 0.55-4.32). Other independent predictors for the patients' clinical and radiological condition at admission were the ruptured aneurysms' location and its size. In sum, chronological age and pre-ictal functional status, as well as the ruptured aneurysm's location and size, determine the patients' clinical and radiological condition at admission to the tertiary referral hospital.

Atmospheric Pressure Variation is a Delayed Trigger for Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage

OBJECTIVE

There is an ongoing search for conditions that induce spontaneous subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH). The seasonal pattern of SAH is shown in a large meta-analysis of the literature, but its explanation remains undecided. There is a clear need for sound meteorologic data to further elucidate the seasonal influence on SAH. Because of the stable and densely monitored atmospheric situation in the north of the Netherlands, we reviewed our unique cohort on the seasonal incidence of SAH and the association between SAH and local atmospheric changes.

METHODS

Our observational cohort study included 1535 patients with spontaneous SAH admitted to our neurovascular center in the north of the Netherlands between 2000 and 2015. Meteorologic data could be linked to the day of the ictus. To compare SAH incidences over the year and to test the association with meteorologic conditions, incidence rate ratios (IRRs) with corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were used, calculated by Poisson regression analyses.

RESULTS

Atmospheric pressure variations were significantly associated with aneurysmal SAH. In particular, the pressure change on the second and third day before the ictus was independently correlated to a higher incidence of aneurysmal SAH (IRR, 1.11; 95% CI, 1.00-1.23). The IRR for aneurysmal SAH in July was calculated 0.67 (95% CI, 0.49-0.92) after adjustment for temperature and atmospheric pressure changes.

CONCLUSIONS

Atmospheric pressure variations are a delayed trigger for aneurysmal SAH. Also, a significantly decreased incidence of aneurysmal SAH was noted in July.

Monthly variations in aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage incidence and mortality: Correlation with weather and pollution

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Although the effect of weather and air pollution on the occurrence of subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) has been investigated, results have remained inconsistent. The present study aimed to determine the seasonality of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage occurrence and mortality.

METHODS

We used the National Inpatient Sample database to evaluate the effect of meteorological factors and air pollutants on patients with subarachnoid hemorrhage in Korea between 2011 and 2014. Monthly variations in SAH occurrence and mortality were analyzed using locally weighted scatter plot smoothing curves. Multivariate Poisson generalized linear regression models were used to evaluate potential independent meteorological and pollutant variables associated with SAH occurrence and mortality.

RESULTS

In total, 21,407 patients who underwent clip or coil treatment owing to aneurysmal SAH in Korea from January 1, 2011, to December 31, 2014, were included. The crude incidence rate of SAH in Korea was 10.5 per 100,000 people per year. An approximately 0.5% lower risk of SAH was observed per 1°C increase in mean monthly temperature (relative risk, 0.995; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.992-0.997; p < 0.001), while an approximately 2.3% higher risk of SAH was observed per 1°C increase in mean monthly diurnal temperature.

CONCLUSIONS

We showed distinct patterns of seasonal and monthly variation in the occurrence and mortality of SAH. Our findings suggest that meteorological factors may play an important role in monthly variations in the occurrence of aneurysmal SAH.

Oceanic Meteorological Conditions Influence Incidence of Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage

OBJECTIVE

Publications concerning the weather pattern of occurrence of the subarachnoid hemorrhage have produced controversial results. We chose to study subarachnoid hemorrhage occurring in oceanic climate with deep variations focusing on partial oxygen volume (pO₂) and patient history.

METHODS

Seventy-one patients had been successively recruited from a single center 45 km from the Atlantic shore. Climate conditions had been analyzed from 72 hours before subarachnoid hemorrhage to 24 hours after. According to Dalton's law, climate conditions influence pO_2, recalculated with Dupré's formula, and patient history analyzed and scored according to the induced oxidative stress.

RESULTS

Subarachnoid hemorrhage risk is highest during spring and autumn, lowest between midnight and 6:00 a.m. Risk is highest after a period of atmospheric pressure higher than 1010 hPa (83%) and high pO₂ and lowest for atmospheric pressure lower than 990 hPa and pO₂ lower than 20.6_. According to the medical history, 2 groups of patients could be identified: patients without history (22%), women (62%), high atmospheric pressure, and relatively lower pO₂; and patients with a medical history, relatively lower atmospheric pressure, and higher pO₂. Atmospheric pressure decreased significantly before disruption (994 hPa) but with a constant pO₂. Subarachnoid hemorrhages during high atmospheric pressure were preceded by a decrease of pO₂ despite a highly stable period of high atmospheric pressure.

DISCUSSION

Atmospheric O₂ changes and the subsequent oxidative stress could be the local ultimate trigger of subarachnoid hemorrhage that could result in the "ideal" fit of patient's health conditions with the meteorological environment.

Increased incidence of subarachnoid hemorrhage during cold temperatures and influenza epidemics

OBJECTIVE

This study investigated whether the increased incidence of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) in winter is related to temperature or increased incidence of influenza. Such relationships may elucidate the pathogenesis of intracranial aneurysm rupture.

METHODS

A nationwide sample of 18,714 patients with SAH was linked with weekly temperature and influenza-like illness consultation data. Poisson regression analyses were used to calculate incidence density ratios (IDRs) with corresponding 95% CIs for the association of SAH incidence with temperature and influenza epidemics; IDRs were adjusted for study year (aIDR). In addition, SAH incidence data from 30 European population-based studies were linked with daily temperature data from the European Climate Assessment.

RESULTS

The aIDR for SAH during influenza epidemics was 1.061 (95% CI 1.022–1.101) in the univariable and 1.030 (95% CI 0.989–1.074) in the multivariable analysis. This association declined gradually during the weeks after epidemics. Per 1°C temperature drop, the aIDR was 1.005 (95% CI 1.003–1.008) in the univariable and 1.004 (95% CI 1.002–1.007) in the multivariable analysis. In the European population-based studies, the IDR was 1.143 (95% CI 1.129–1.157) per 1°C temperature drop.

CONCLUSIONS

The incidence of SAH is increased during cold temperatures and epidemic influenza. Future studies with individual patient data are needed to investigate causality between temperature or influenza and SAH.

Elevated relative risk of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage with colder weather in the mid-Atlantic region

We have previously reported an increase of 0.6% in the relative risk of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) in response to every 1°F decrease in the maximum daily temperature (Tmax) in colder seasons from patients presenting to our regional tertiary care center. We hypothesized that this relationship would also be observed in the warmer summer months with ambient temperatures greater than 70°F. From prospectively collected incidence data for aSAH patients, we investigated absolute Tmax, average daily temperatures, intraday temperature ranges, and the variation of daily Tmax relative to 70°F to assess associations with aSAH incidence for patients admitted to our institution between 1991 and 2009 during the hottest months and days on which Tmax>70°F. For all days treated as a group, the mean Tmax (± standard deviation) was lower when aSAH occurred than when it did not (64.4±18.2°F versus 65.8±18.3°F; p=0.016). During summer months, the odds ratio (OR) of aSAH incidence increased with lower mean Tmax (OR 1.019; 95% confidence interval 1.001-1.037; p=0.043). The proportion of days with aSAH admissions was lower on hotter days than the proportion of days with no aSAH (96% versus 98%; p=0.006). aSAH were more likely to occur during the summer and on days with a temperature fluctuation less than 10°F (8% versus 4%; p=0.002). During the hottest months of the year in the mid-Atlantic region, colder maximum daily temperatures, a smaller heat burden above 70°F, and smaller intraday temperature fluctuations are associated with increased aSAH admissions in a similar manner to colder months. These findings support the hypothesis that aSAH incidence is more likely with drops in temperature, even in the warmer months.

Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage

Aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) is a worldwide health burden with high fatality and permanent disability rates. The overall prognosis depends on the volume of the initial bleed, rebleeding, and degree of delayed cerebral ischemia (DCI). Cardiac manifestations and neurogenic pulmonary edema indicate the severity of SAH. The International Subarachnoid Aneurysm Trial (ISAT) reported a favorable neurological outcome with the endovascular coiling procedure compared with surgical clipping at the end of 1 year. The ISAT trial recruits were primarily neurologically good grade patients with smaller anterior circulation aneurysms, and therefore the results cannot be reliably extrapolated to larger aneurysms, posterior circulation aneurysms, patients presenting with complex aneurysm morphology, and poor neurological grades. The role of hypothermia is not proven to be neuroprotective according to a large randomized controlled trial, Intraoperative Hypothermia for Aneurysms Surgery Trial (IHAST II), which recruited patients with good neurological grades. Patients in this trial were subjected to slow cooling and inadequate cooling time and were rewarmed rapidly. This methodology would have reduced the beneficial effects of hypothermia. Adenosine is found to be beneficial for transient induced hypotension in 2 retrospective analyses, without increasing the risk for cardiac and neurological morbidity. The neurological benefit of pharmacological neuroprotection and neuromonitoring is not proven in patients undergoing clipping of aneurysms. DCI is an important cause of morbidity and mortality following SAH, and the pathophysiology is likely multifactorial and not yet understood. At present, oral nimodipine has an established role in the management of DCI, along with maintenance of euvolemia and induced hypertension. Following SAH, hypernatremia, although less common than hyponatremia, is a predictor of poor neurological outcome.

Aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage: relationship to solar activity in the United States, 1988-2010

Aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) is a common condition treated by neurosurgeons. The inherent variability in the incidence and presentation of ruptured cerebral aneurysms has been investigated in association with seasonality, circadian rhythm, lunar cycle, and climate factors. We aimed to identify an association between solar activity (solar flux and sunspots) and the incidence of aneurysmal SAH, all of which appear to behave in periodic fashions over long time periods. The Nationwide Inpatient Sample (NIS) provided longitudinal, retrospective data on patients hospitalized with SAH in the United States, from 1988 to 2010, who underwent aneurysmal clipping or coiling. Solar activity and SAH incidence data were modeled with the cosinor methodology and a 10-year periodic cycle length. The NIS database contained 32,281 matching hospitalizations from 1988 to 2010. The acrophase (time point in the cycle of highest amplitude) for solar flux and for sunspots were coincident. The acrophase for aneurysmal SAH incidence was out of phase with solar activity determined by non-overlapping 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Aneurysmal SAH incidence peaks appear to be delayed behind solar activity peaks by 64 months (95% CI; 56-73 months) when using a modeled 10-year periodic cycle. Solar activity (solar flux and sunspots) appears to be associated with the incidence of aneurysmal SAH. As solar activity reaches a relative maximum, the incidence of aneurysmal SAH reaches a relative minimum. These observations may help identify future trends in aneurysmal SAH on a population basis.

Meteorological influences on the incidence of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage - a single center study of 511 patients

OBJECTIVE

To assess the potential meteorological influence on the incidence of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH). Previous studies used inhomogeneous patient groups, insufficient study periods or inappropriate statistics.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We analyzed 511 SAH admissions between 2004 and 2012 for which aneurysmal rupture occurred within the Zurich region. The hourly meteorological parameters considered are: surface pressure, 2-m temperature, relative humidity and wind gusts, sunshine, and precipitation. For all parameters we investigate three complementary statistical measures: i) the time evolution from 5 days before to 5 days after the SAH occurrence; ii) the deviation from the 10-year monthly mean; and iii) the change relative to the parameter's value two days before SAH occurrence. The statistical significance of the results is determined using a Monte Carlo simulation combined with a re-sampling technique (1000×).

RESULTS

Regarding the meteorological parameters considered, no statistically significant signal could be found. The distributions of deviations relative to the climatology and of the changes during the two days prior to SAH events agree with the distributions for the randomly chosen days. The analysis was repeated separately for winter and summer to exclude compensating effects between the seasons.

CONCLUSION

By using high-quality meteorological data analyzed with a sophisticated and robust statistical method no clearly identifiable meteorological influence for the SAH events considered can be found. Further studies on the influence of the investigated parameters on SAH incidence seem redundant.

Impact of the moon on cerebral aneurysm rupture

BACKGROUND

Several external and internal risk factors for cerebral aneurysm rupture have been identified to date. Recently, it has been reported that moon phases correlate with the incidence of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH), however, another author found no such association. Therefore, the present study investigates the influence of the lunar cycle on the incidence of aneurysmal rupture, the initial clinical presentation, and the amount of subarachnoid blood.

METHODS

Lunar phase and the particular day of the lunar cycle were correlated to the date of aneurysm rupture, aneurysm location, initial clinical presentation, and amount of subarachnoid blood assessed from CT scans of all patients treated for basal SAH in our department from 2003 to 2010.

RESULTS

We found no correlation between incidence of aneurysmal SAH, location of the aneurysm, initial clinical presentation, or amount of subarachnoid blood and the lunar cycle.

CONCLUSIONS

The moon influences neither the incidence of aneurysmal SAH nor the grade of initial neurological deterioration or amount of subarachnoid blood.

Seasonal variation in the incidence of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage associated with age and gender: 20-year results from the Yamaguchi cerebral aneurysm registry

BACKGROUND

This study was a cerebral aneurysm registry study conducted in a region with few climatic differences. Based on data collected for over 20 years, seasonal variations and characteristics of subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) due to ruptured aneurysms were analyzed.

METHODS

This study included 5,007 patients in the Yamaguchi Prefecture with aneurysmal SAH between 1986 and 2005. Incidence rates by month, sex, age, severity, and aneurysm site were analyzed.

RESULTS

In women, seasonal variation was observed, in particular among those aged ≥50 years. Among those aged 50-69 years, the highest incidence was in October, and the nadir was in June (peak-to-trough ratio = 1.72). At age ≥70 years, this was slightly different, with the highest incidence in December and the nadir in July (peak-to-trough ratio = 1.48). However, there was no seasonal variation in men overall; it was limited to elderly men at age ≥70 years, with the highest incidence in January and the nadir in July (peak-to-trough ratio = 2.9). Aneurysm site and severity showed no relationship with seasonal variation.

CONCLUSION

The present study shows seasonal variations in the onset of SAH. Seasonal variations in SAH differed depending on age and sex.

Methods to assess seasonal effects in epidemiological studies of infectious diseases--exemplified by application to the occurrence of meningococcal disease

Seasonal variation in occurrence is a common feature of many diseases, especially those of infectious origin. Studies of seasonal variation contribute to healthcare planning and to the understanding of the aetiology of infections. In this article, we provide an overview of statistical methods for the assessment and quantification of seasonality of infectious diseases, as exemplified by their application to meningococcal disease in Denmark in 1995-2011. Additionally, we discuss the conditions under which seasonality should be considered as a covariate in studies of infectious diseases. The methods considered range from the simplest comparison of disease occurrence between the extremes of summer and winter, through modelling of the intensity of seasonal patterns by use of a sine curve, to more advanced generalized linear models. All three classes of method have advantages and disadvantages. The choice among analytical approaches should ideally reflect the research question of interest. Simple methods are compelling, but may overlook important seasonal peaks that would have been identified if more advanced methods had been applied. For most studies, we suggest the use of methods that allow estimation of the magnitude and timing of seasonal peaks and valleys, ideally with a measure of the intensity of seasonality, such as the peak-to-low ratio. Seasonality may be a confounder in studies of infectious disease occurrence when it fulfils the three primary criteria for being a confounder, i.e. when both the disease occurrence and the exposure vary seasonally without seasonality being a step in the causal pathway. In these situations, confounding by seasonality should be controlled as for any confounder.

Increased incidence of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage on Sundays and Mondays in 1,862 patients from Eastern Finland

BACKGROUND

Temporal patterns of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) from saccular intracranial aneurysm (sIA) were studied in a consecutive series of 1,862 patients.

METHODS

Neurosurgery of Kuopio University Hospital (KUH) solely serves a defined catchment population in Eastern Finland. Kuopio's sIA database contains 1,596 sporadic and 266 familial patients admitted to KUH within 72 h from the onset of aSAH between 1980 and 2007. The distributions by the weekday of the onset of aSAH, admission to KUH, and occlusive therapy of the ruptured sIA were analyzed. Logistic regression was used to search for clinical variables (patients, sIA disease, clinical condition) that would independently correlate with each distribution.

RESULTS

The onset of aSAH occurred significantly most often (p < 0.001) on Sundays (n = 330) and Mondays (n = 309) and least frequently on Saturdays (n = 231). None of the clinical variables tested associated significantly and independently with the Sunday and Monday peaks. The admissions to KUH after aSAH were most frequent (p < 0.001) on Mondays (n = 331) and least frequent on Thursdays (n = 221) and Saturdays (n = 221). Overall, 1,655 patients underwent occlusive therapy, most frequently on Mondays (n = 318) and least frequently on Saturdays (n = 189) and Sundays (n = 197).

CONCLUSIONS

Sundays and Mondays were the most frequent and Saturdays the least frequent days of aSAH in a defined Eastern Finnish population. We could not identify any etiology to this temporal pattern. Binge drinking is frequent in Finland, especially among young males, but age and gender did not correlate with the Sunday and Monday peaks.

A temporal pattern in the occurrence of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage in the Province of Vojvodina, Serbia

BACKGROUND

Numerous studies with conflicting results have tried to prove the influence of seasonal variations or different meteorological factors on the occurrence of aneurysmal subarachnoidal hemorrhage (SAH). The aim of this study was to establish a mathematical model of a series of aneurysmal rupture dates in different patients and verify a temporal pattern in the occurrence of SAH.

METHODS

We analyzed a group of 563 patients with the exact aneurysm rupture dates, hospitalized at the Clinic of Neurosurgery, Clinical Center of Vojvodina, Novi Sad, Serbia, between January 1, 1998 and December 31, 2009. After the monthly distributions, we evaluated the period between two subsequent rupture dates.

RESULTS

The absolute number of SAH per month varied between 0 and 10. The monthly seasonal indices show a fluctuation of the time series (with the peak in March and nadir in September), but the median values of the number of aneurysm ruptures in a particular month did not differ significantly. The time scale of the aneurysm rupture dates shows that the most frequent interval between subsequent ruptures was 1 day (in 75 cases or 13.34%). Following this period, the number of days between ruptures showed a gradually decreasing pattern that could be approximated by exponential distribution.

CONCLUSIONS

The results are a clear confirmation that SAH patients do indeed present in clusters in a restricted population area. This exact clustering in our series is not particularly connected to month or season, yet strongly supports the existence of a temporal pattern in SAH occurrence.

Dependence of subarachnoid hemorrhage on climate conditions: a systematic meteorological analysis from the dusseldorf metropolitan area

OBJECTIVE

A number of publications suggest that there are seasonal influences on the incidence of subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH). Most series agree on a peak incidence during springtime. Meteorological influences have been assumed to be obvious explanations for seasonal variations. Furthermore, the perceived clustering of the incidence of subarachnoid hemorrhage is also intuitively related to meteorological influences. The present study was initiated to determine whether specific meteorological conditions are related to the occurrence of SAH in the mild climatic zone of North Rhine Westphalia.

METHODS

We retrospectively examined 183 patients (107 women and 76 men) treated at our department between January 2003 and June 2005 for SAH that had occurred within the Düsseldorf metropolitan area. We correlated the date of SAH (Day 0) and of the week preceding the incident (Days -1, -3, -5, and -7) with the meteorological key parameters from Düsseldorf International Airport. Parameters analyzed were mean daily temperature (7C), relative humidity (%), barometric pressure (hPa), and weather condition (divided into 6 groups: clear, cloudy, rain, thunderstorms, snow, and not available).

RESULTS

A relative peak incidence of SAH was found for the month of April. In addition, a diurnal rhythm with two peaks during morning and in the evening, and a statistically significant nadir during forenoon and midday was evident (P <0.002). None of the average meteorological key parameters of the day of SAH differed from the annual average, and no general trends during the days preceding hemorrhage could be identified. Apparent clustering of the occurrence of SAH could not be related to short-term meteorological trends.

CONCLUSION

The results of the present study demonstrate a trend toward a seasonal distribution in the incidence of SAH with a peak during spring in the metropolitan area of Düsseldorf. Furthermore, weather variables, such as temperature, barometric pressure, and humidity, were shown to be without influence on aneurysm rupture within the patient population. Therefore, the result indicates the need to validate further parameters in detail to isolate risk circumstances to achieve a risk pattern for patients with SAH.

Healing of Intracranial Aneurysms with Bioactive Coils

Inadequate healing is an important mechanism for aneurysm development and recanalization after embolization. Matrix coils have been shown by experimental studies to enhance vascular repair and fibrosis, thus reducing the risk of recanalization. The clinical application of Matrix coils represents the transition from pure mechanical occlusion to adjunct biologic healing of aneurysms. Our preliminary clinical experience reveals evidence of a healing response in aneurysms treated with Matrix coils. This technology can be further improved through the incorporation of new knowledge on the molecular pathogenesis of aneurysms and the cellular and molecular mechanisms of healing.

Epidemiology of traumatic brain injury and subarachnoid hemorrhage

Incidence rates of traumatic brain injury are high in both industrialized and non-industrialized countries and have been estimated variously to be between 150-250 cases per 100,000 population per year. The estimated incidence rates for subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) are between 10 to 25 cases per 100,000 population per year. Seasonal variation in the occurrence of subarachnoid hemorrhage has been reported in studies from different countries, with significant seasonal variations and peak periods for aneurysmal SAH differing widely. A differential racial distribution for SAH has been found as well as a higher mortality rate for women than for men. The cognitive and behavioral consequences of TBI and SAH are significant and affect the quality of life of patients and their families. Recent publications have informed of hypopituitary deficits in patients sustaining TBI or SAH. It is not clear whether the cognitive deficits found in these patients are due to the consequences of the brain injury itself or are related to the hypopituitary deficits. There is a need for research distinguishing the differential cognitive and behavioral effects of the brain injury and the endocrinological deficits in these patients, and for developing adequate treatment.