Prevalence and incidence of multiple sclerosis in western Greece: a 23-year survey

Multiple sclerosis incidence temporal trend in the Northeast of Iran: Using the Empirical Bayesian method

BACKGROUND

In recent years dramatic changes in multiple sclerosis (MS) incidence have been reported in different provinces in Iran. This study was conducted to assess MS incidence temporal trends from March 21, 2005, to March 20, 2020, and provide a forecast until the end of 2025 in Shahroud county.

METHODS

This longitudinal study was carried out based on the data obtained from the MS registration system in Shahroud county. First, the annual incidence rates were calculated based on the year of diagnosis and smoothed using the Empirical Bayesian Method. Then temporal trends and annual percent change (APC) of MS incidence were analyzed using Joinpoint (JP) regression. Finally, the univariate time series model analysis was used to estimate the MS incidence trend until the end of 2025.

RESULTS

A total of 234 newly diagnosed cases (60 [25.64%] males and 174 [74.36.4%] females) were examined in this study. The mean age of patients at the time of diagnosis was 31.40 ± 3.78. It was 32.01 ± 6.35 and 30.66 ± 4.27 years for males and females, respectively (P<0.22). The mean annual MS incidence was 5.99 ± 1.46, 3.03 ± 0.21, and 8.98 ± 2.79 per 100,000 in overall, males and females respectively. The MS incidence increased significantly from 5.67 (95% CI: 3.63-7.99) in 2005 to 7.58 (95% CI: 5.17-10.28) in 2020 with an APC of 4.5 (2.8 - 6.1). The MS incidence had a non-linear time trend in the study period and the best time trend fitted to the annual MS incidence trend was the non-linear quadratic curve. Based on this model, the annual MS incidence is expected to increase until the end of 2025.

CONCLUSION

Shahroud county is one of the high-risk areas for MS and the increasing trend of MS incidence in it is similar to regional and global changes. This study, also, showed that MS incidence in Shahroud county will be increasing in the coming years.

Systematic literature review and meta-analysis of the prevalence of secondary progressive multiple sclerosis in the USA, Europe, Canada, Australia, and Brazil

Background

Secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (SPMS) is a subtype of multiple sclerosis (MS), which is a chronic neurological disease, characterised by inflammation of the central nervous system. Most of MS patients eventually progress to SPMS. This study estimates the prevalence of SPMS in the United States of America, Europe, Canada, Australia, and Brazil.

Methods

A systematic literature search of the Medline and Embase databases was performed using the OVID™ SP platform to identify MS epidemiological studies published in English from database inception to September 22, 2020. Studies reporting the prevalence of MS and proportion of SPMS patients in the included population were selected. The pooled prevalence of SPMS was calculated based on the proportion of SPMS patients. The Loney quality assessment checklist was used for quality grading. A meta-analysis of the proportions was conducted in RStudio.

Results

A total of 4754 articles were retrieved, and prevalence was calculated from 97 relevant studies. Overall, 86 medium- and high-quality studies were included in the meta-analysis. Most studies were conducted in European countries (84 studies). The estimated pooled prevalence of SPMS was 22.42 (99% confidence interval: 18.30, 26.95)/100,000. The prevalence of SPMS was more in the North European countries, highest in Sweden and lowest in Brazil. A decline in SPMS prevalence was observed since the availability of oral disease-modifying therapies. We also observed a regional variation of higher SPMS prevalence in urban areas compared with rural areas.

Conclusion

High variability was observed in the estimated SPMS prevalence, and the quality of the studies conducted. The influence of latitude and other factors known to affect overall MS prevalence did not fully explain the wide range of inter-country and intra-country variability identified in the results.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12883-022-02820-0.

Apparent changes in the epidemiology and severity of multiple sclerosis

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is an immunological disease that causes acute inflammatory lesions and chronic inflammation in the CNS, leading to tissue damage and disability. As awareness of MS has increased and options for therapy have come into use, a large amount of epidemiological data have been collected, enabling studies of changes in incidence and disease course over time. Overall, these data seem to indicate that the incidence of MS has increased, but the course of the disease has become milder, particularly in the 25 years since the first disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) became available. A clear understanding of these trends and the reasons for them is important for understanding the factors that influence the development and progression of MS, and for clinical management with respect to prevention and treatment decisions. In this Review, we consider the evidence for changes in the epidemiology of MS, focusing on trends in the incidence of the disease over time and trends in the disease severity. In addition, we discuss the factors influencing these trends, including refinement of diagnostic criteria and improvements in health-care systems that have increased diagnosis in people with mild disease, and the introduction and improvement of DMT.

18-year temporal trend of multiple sclerosis in southern Iran

BACKGROUND

Multiple Sclerosis (MS) imposes significant burdens on patients, their families, and national healthcare systems particularly when there is a resource constraint. Proper prioritization and resource allocation are therefore essential for any effective disease management. Accordingly, we sought to assess the temporal profile of MS incidence over the past two decades in southeast Iran.

METHODS

A longitudinal design was employed using data from the Iranian multiple sclerosis registry system from March 2001 to March 2019 (n=6034). Annual age-standardized incidence rates of MS (cases of clinically isolated syndrome were also included) were calculated and the trend of incidence from 2001 to 2018 was analyzed.

RESULTS

The age-adjusted incidence rate of MS raised from 1.72/100,000 in 2001 to 11.29/100,000 in 2018 (average of 18-year incidence rate was 6.30/100,000), indicating a notable rise in the incidence of MS (P-Value<0.001). However, the female to male ratio of 3.62 remained relatively stable during the study period.

CONCLUSION

Our study suggests that, in Fars province, the incidence of MS has been remarkably rising over the past two decades. We recommend further studies to better understand the determinants of this pattern. Implementing effective policies in lowering the burden of MS is another important step in this regard.

Geography of hospital admissions for multiple sclerosis in Greece

BACKGROUND

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is the 2^nd most common, disability causing neurological disorder in young adults, known for its differences in prevalence according to geographical position. Data on MS epidemiology is lacking in Greece. In this study, we aimed to examine the pattern of MS related hospital admissions in Greece and analyze their spatial distribution. Data for hospital admissions due to MS was obtained from the Hellenic Statistical Authority (ELSTAT) database and they were available from 1999 to 2012.

METHODS

We used the proportional hospitalization ratio (PHR) which was age and sex adjusted according to hospitalizations of Greek population, in order to calculate the ratio between hospitalizations in each regional unit (RU) and hospitalizations of national population. PHR was calculated for each RU, which is categorized as level 3 based on the Nomenclature of Territorial Units for Statistics (NUTS level 3). The classification of MS was based on International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision (ICD-9), code 340. Descriptive analysis was conducted to understand the epidemiological characteristics and time series analysis was used to investigate the trend of annual PHR's values during the study period. Global spatial autocorrelation analysis was conducted to assess spatial homogeneity of MS across the country. Moreover, local spatial autocorrelation analysis was performed using the LISA statistic to detect any potential clusters of similar values. Finally, multiple linear regression was conducted to examine correlations between PHR and latitude.

RESULTS

Over the 14-year period the number of hospitalizations increased while the proportion of hospitalizations remained higher for females compared to males, as well as for the 25-44 year age group. RUs that appeared to be most affected included Evros with a sex- and age- adjusted PHR of 2.00 (95%CI: 1.89-2.10), Larisa with a PHR of 1.74 (95%CI: 1.67-1.81) and Chios with a PHR of 1.77 (95%CI: 1.60-1.95). The least affected RU was Arkadia with a PHR of 0.29 (95%CI: 0.24-0.36).

CONCLUSION

In this study we present a rise in hospital admissions related to MS over a 14-year period, possibly indicating a parallel rise in incidence. A combinational analysis of the number of hospitalizations along with incidence studies could be further performed to be used to design public health interventions.

The Administrative Prevalence of Multiple Sclerosis in Greece on the Basis of a Nationwide Prescription Database

Objective: To estimate current prevalence of multiple sclerosis (MS) in Greece using administrative data from the nationwide medicine prescription database.

Methods: Prescription records of a 24-month period (June 2017–May 2019) were analyzed in order to identify cases of MS. Sex, age, and place of residence were recorded for each identified case. Prevalence of MS was calculated based on the updated records of the Greek population according to Hellenic Statistical Authority.

Results: The 2-year cumulative period prevalence of MS was estimated to 197.8 per 100,000 (95% CI 197.6–198.0). In total, 21,218 patients (65.8% female) were identified. During this period, the prevalence of MS was 138.7 per 100,000 (95% CI 138.4–139.0) in men and 253.6 per 100,000 (95% CI 253.3–254.1) in women. Prevalence was higher in the 45–49 age group in both sexes. Analysis of the place of residence revealed higher prevalence in the Attica region and Western Greece while lower prevalence was observed in Northern Greece. No north–south latitude gradient was detected. Point prevalence on 1 January 2019 was calculated to 188.9 per 100,000 (95% CI 188.7–189.1). Regarding treatment, 73.1% of the identified cases received at least once a Disease Modifying Drug.

Conclusions: According to this national-level study conducted in Greece, estimated prevalence of MS was found to be similar to those of other European countries. Heterogeneity of MS prevalence across the country was observed and needs further investigation.

[Registry-based comparison of multiple sclerosis epidemiology trend data in 1999 and 2019: the case of Yaroslavl]

OBJECTIVE

To compare the epidemiological indicators of multiple sclerosis (MS) in Yaroslavl when comparing the 1999 and 2019 registers to study the pathomorphism of the disease in this territory.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

During the work, the data of the 1999 and 2019 registers were used, including the age of the debut, the date of diagnosis, the form of the disease, clinical characteristics, the treatment received and its duration. In 1999, 257 patients living in the city of Yaroslavl (155 women and 102 men) were included in the MS registry with a reliable diagnosis of MS according to Poser's criteria with confirmation according to neuroimaging data. In 2019, 479 people living in the territory of Yaroslavl (342 women and 137 men) were included in the register with a diagnosis of MS based on the criteria of MacDonald 2005, 2010, 2017. As of 01.01.19, 970 patients (530 women and 440 men) were included in the patient register of the Yaroslavl region.

RESULTS AND CONCLUSION

Clinical and epidemiological review of Yaroslavl MS Registry data in 1999 and 2019 showed significant changes in disease pattern. The prevalence rate increased from 42.6 to 78.5 cases per 100,000 people. The morbidity rate rose from 1.58 to 3.28 cases per 100,000 people. The reasons for the increase are improvement in the diagnostic quality, new diagnostic criteria and the true growth of prevalence and morbidity. The use of disease modifying drugs (DMDs) has extended «the time to EDSS 3,0» by 4 years, «the time to EDSS 6,0» by 5-8 years.

The epidemiology of multiple sclerosis in the entre Douro e Vouga region of northern Portugal: a multisource population-based study

BACKGROUND

The prevalence of Multiple Sclerosis (MS) has been increasing worldwide and the north-south gradient of prevalence may be disappearing in the Northern hemisphere. The few previous prevalence studies performed in Portugal have reported a lower prevalence than the average for Western Europe. The aim of this study is to estimate the prevalence of MS in the Entre Douro e Vouga region, in Northern Portugal.

METHODS

Multiple overlapping sources were used to ascertain all cases from the reference population: records from hospitals in the region and neighbouring regions; diagnostic databases of primary care physicians; and applications for disability benefits. The prevalence date was set at 1 January 2014. The reference population was 274,859 inhabitants. Patients' neurologists were contacted to retrieve clinical information and confirm the diagnosis based.

RESULTS

A total of 177 patients were identified after eliminating duplicates from different sources. The female to male ratio was 1.9 and the mean age at disease onset was 33.5 (standard deviation: 10.3). Clinically isolated syndrome accounted for 9.0% of patients, relapsing remitting for 58.8%, secondary progressive for 20.3% and primary progressive for 11.8%. The prevalence was estimated in 64.4 patients per 100,000 (95% confidence interval: 54.9;73.9).

CONCLUSIONS

In this study we report a higher point prevalence of MS than had been previously described in Portugal, but still far from the higher values recently reported in other Southern European countries.

Incidence of multiple sclerosis in Iran: a nationwide, population-based study

OBJECTIVES

The incidence of multiple sclerosis (MS) is not well known in Iran. This study was conducted to estimate the trends in annual MS incidence in Iran from March 21, 2010, to March 20, 2016.

STUDY DESIGN

Longitudinal study.

METHODS

In this longitudinal study, data for all MS patients fulfilling McDonald criteria were obtained from a national registry, coordinated by the Ministry of Health (MOH). In Iran, all MS patients are eligible to receive public care and treatment services based on their records in this registry, and thus nearly all MS patients are registered in this database. The annual incidence rates were calculated based on year of diagnosis and were standardized using the World Health Organization (2000-2025) population as a standard.

RESULTS

In this registry, 36,287 (8202 [22.6%] males and 28,085 [77.4%] females) confirmed MS cases were registered by the MOH between 2010 and 2016. The female-to-male ratio was 3.11. The mean age of patients was 31.6 ± 0.9 years at the time of diagnosis. It was 31.3 ± 0.8 and 32.3 ± 0.9 for females and males, respectively. Overall incidence rate was 6.7/100,000 population (95% confidence interval [CI]: 6.2-7.2); 10.5 and 3.0 in females and males, respectively. The age-adjusted incidence rates increased significantly from 4.4 (95% CI: 4.3-4.6) in 2010 to 5.8 (95% CI: 5.7-6.0) in 2016, with its peak at 6.5 (95% CI: 6.3-6.6) in 2014.

CONCLUSIONS

This study revealed that Iran is a high-risk area for MS disease and that MS incidence and female-to-male ratio are more or less comparable with the dominant patterns in developed countries. Also, this study showed that the incidence trend of MS in Iran is similar to regional and global observed patterns.

X linked Charcot-Marie-Tooth disease and multiple sclerosis: emerging evidence for an association

OBJECTIVE

X linked Charcot-Marie-Tooth disease (CMTX) is a hereditary neuropathy caused by mutations in GJB1 coding for connexin-32, a gap junction protein expressed in Schwann cells, but also found in oligodendrocytes. Four patients with CMTX developing central nervous system (CNS) demyelination compatible with multiple sclerosis (MS) have been individually published. We presently sought to systematically investigate the relationship between CMTX and MS.

METHODS

Over 20 years, 70 consecutive patients (36 men) with GJB1 mutations were identified at our Neurogenetics Unit, Athens, Greece, and assessed for clinical features suggestive of MS. Additionally, 18 patients with CMTX without CNS symptoms and 18 matched controls underwent brain MRI to investigate incidental findings. Serum from patients with CMTX and MS was tested for CNS immunoreactivity.

RESULTS

We identified three patients with CMTX who developed clinical features suggestive of inflammatory CNS demyelination fulfilling MS diagnostic criteria. The resulting 20-year MS incidence (4.3%) differed significantly from the highest background 20-year MS incidence ever reported from Greece (p=0.00039). The search for incidental brain MRI findings identified two CMTX cases (11%) with lesions suggestive of focal demyelination compared with 0 control. Moreover, 10 cases in the CMTX cohort had hyperintensity in the splenium of the corpus callosum compared with 0 control (p=0.0002). No specific CNS-reactive humoral factors were identified in patients with CMTX and MS.

CONCLUSIONS

We have demonstrated a higher than expected frequency of MS in patients with CMTX and identified incidental focal demyelinating lesions on brain MRI in patients with CMTX without CNS symptoms. This provides circumstantial evidence for GJB1 mutations acting as a possible MS risk factor.

Multiple sclerosis prevalence study: The comparison of 3 coastal cities, located in the black sea and mediterranean regions of Turkey

The prevalence of multiple sclerosis (MS) has significantly increased all over the world. Recent studies have shown that Turkey has quite a high prevalence. The aim of this study is to estimate prevalence in the Mediterranean and Black Sea regions of Turkey and to compare the results.This study was designed as a door to door survey in 3 cities. One is located in the Mediterranean region (South), 2 are located in the Black Sea region (North). A previous validated form was used for screening in the field. The patients were examined first in the field, then in the regional health facility. McDonald criteria were used for the diagnosis.In total, 26 patients were diagnosed with MS. The prevalence was found to be 18.6/100,000 in Artvin (Black Sea region), 55.5/100,000 in Ordu, (Black Sea region), 52.00/100,000 in Gazipaşa (Mediterranean region). The female/male ratio was 2.25.This study is the first prevalence study which was conducted in the Mediterranean City (South) of Turkey. The prevalence rate was found to be higher than expected in the Mediterranean city of Gazipaşa. The results showed that the prevalence varies from region to region. Latitude difference was not observed.

Estimating Everyday Neuropsychological Functioning in Multiple Sclerosis: Reliability and Validity of the Greek Multiple Sclerosis Neuropsychological Questionnaire

The Multiple Sclerosis Neuropsychological Questionnaire is a brief screening questionnaire for the assessment of everyday neuropsychological competence of patients with Multiple Sclerosis. The aim of the present study was to examine psychometric properties of the Greek version of the instrument. One hundred and three MS patients and 60 informants participated in the present study and completed the questionnaire. From the initial patient sample, 51 participants completed broadly used neuropsychological tests and measures estimating cognitive failures and depression. Moreover, after a six-month interval the MSNQ was administered to 58 patients from the initial sample in order to explore test-retest reliability. Cronbach's α was 0.92 and 0.93 for patient and informant forms, respectively. The patient form was correlated significantly with measures of cognitive failures and depression. Low correlations were found between the informant form and performance on cognitive tests. In regard to the patient form, significant correlation was observed between repeated administrations and, psychometrically, the three-factor structure was preferable than the one-factor structure. The present study confirms the already established pattern of correlations among the two MSNQ forms, neuropsychological test performance and depression measurements. Additional research is needed in order to define a cut-off score for the MSNQ-I providing further information about the diagnostic interpretability of the instrument.

Cognitive and Language Deficits in Multiple Sclerosis: Comparison of Relapsing Remitting and Secondary Progressive Subtypes

Objective:

The objective of this study was to investigate the pattern and severity of cognitive and language impairment in Greek patients with Relapsing-remitting (RRMS) and Secondary Progressive Multiple Sclerosis (SPMS), relative to control participants.

Method:

A prospective study was conducted in 27 patients with multiple sclerosis (PwMS), (N= 15) with RRMS, (N= 12) with SPMS, and (N= 12) healthy controls. All participants were assessed with a flexible comprehensive neuropsychological – language battery of tests that have been standardized in Greece and validated in Greek MS patients. They were also assessed on measures of disability (Expanded Disability Status Scale; EDSS), fatigue (Fatigue Severity Scale; FSS) and depression (Beck Depression Inventory - fast screen; BDI-FS).

Results:

Our results revealed that groups were well matched on baseline demographic and clinical characteristics. The two clinical groups (RRMS; SPMS) did not differ on overall global cognitive impairment but differed in the initial encoding of verbal material, mental processing speed, response inhibition and set-shifting. RRMS patients differed from controls in the initial encoding of verbal material, learning curve, delayed recall of verbal information, processing speed, and response inhibition. SPMS patients differed in all utilized measures compared to controls. Moreover, we noted increased impairment frequency on individualized measures in the progressive SPMS group.

Conclusion:

We conclude that MS patients, irrespective of clinical subtype, have cognitive deficits compared to healthy participants, which become increasingly worse when they convert from RRMS to SPMS.On the contrary,the pattern of impairment remains relatively stable.

Prevalence of Multiple Sclerosis in the Middle Black Sea Region of Turkey and Demographic Characteristics of Patients

INTRODUCTION

Multiple sclerosis (MS), a demyelinating disease of the central nervous system, is increasing in prevalence worldwide. Other than small-scale studies, there is a scarcity of data on the prevalence of MS in Turkey. The present study aimed to elucidate the prevalence of MS in the Middle Black Sea Region and the demographic characteristics of patients.

METHODS

Patients living in the Middle Black Sea Region and who were diagnosed with MS were included. The study was designed based hospital of Turkey.

RESULTS

A total of 1,787 patients were interviewed, and a diagnosis of MS was confirmed in 1,584. The prevalence of MS was found to be 43.2/100,000 in the Middle Black Sea Region; this was calculated based on the total population and number of patients in the provinces and districts in this region. The mean age at the disease onset was 29.39±7.6 years. Among the patients, 1,299 (81.9%) had relapsing-remitting MS, 74 had secondary progressive MS, 77 had relapsing-progressive MS, 47 had primary progressive MS, and 87 had clinically isolated syndrome.

CONCLUSION

The Middle Black Sea Region was found to have a high risk for the prevalence of MS. This study is the most comprehensive epidemiologic study having the largest geographical distribution on the prevalence of MS in Turkey.

Epidemiology of Multiple Sclerosis

The epidemiology of multiple sclerosis (MS) includes a consideration of genetic and environmental factors. Comparative studies of different populations have revealed prevalence and incidence rates that vary with geography and ethnicity. With a prevalence ranging from 2 per 100,000 in Japan to greater than 100 per 100,000 in Northern Europe and North America, the burden of MS is similarly unevenly influenced by longevity and comorbid disorders. Well-powered genome-wide association studies have investigated the genetic substrate of MS, providing insight into autoimmune mechanisms involved in the etiopathogenesis of MS and elucidating possible avenues of biological treatment.

The possible effects of the solar and geomagnetic activity on multiple sclerosis

OBJECTIVES

Increasing observational evidence on the biological effects of Space Weather suggests that geomagnetic disturbances may be an environmental risk factor for multiple sclerosis (MS) relapses. In the present study, we aim to investigate the possible effect of geomagnetic disturbances on MS activity.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

MS patient admittance rates were correlated with the solar and geophysical data covering an eleven-year period (1996-2006, 23rd solar cycle). We also examined the relationship of patterns of the solar flares, the coronal mass ejections (CMEs) and the solar wind with the recorded MS admission numbers.

RESULTS

The rate of MS patient admittance due to acute relapses was found to be associated with the solar and geomagnetic events. There was a "primary" peak in MS admittance rates shortly after intense geomagnetic storms followed by a "secondary" peak 7-8 months later.

CONCLUSION

We conclude that the geomagnetic and solar activity may represent an environmental health risk factor for multiple sclerosis and we discuss the possible mechanisms underlying this association. More data from larger case series are needed to confirm these preliminary results and to explore the possible influence of Space Weather on the biological and radiological markers of the disease.

Onset-adjusted incidence of multiple sclerosis in the Girona province (Spain): Evidence of increasing risk in the south of Europe

BACKGROUND

Recent studies show an increasing incidence of multiple sclerosis (MS) in southern Europe. Although by its geographical location and genetic characteristics Spain is expected to be similar to other southern European regions, data on incidence are scarce. The aim of this study was to determine the onset-adjusted incidence of MS in the Girona province in Catalonia (Spain).

METHODS

A prospective incidence study pooling data from the population-based Catalonia MS Registry was performed. Incident cases were defined as patients who had the onset of symptoms compatible with a clinically isolated syndrome (CIS) suggestive of MS in 2009 and fulfilled McDonald-2005 criteria during follow-up. Age- and sex-specific incidence rates were obtained.

RESULTS

The Registry included 182 patients residing in Girona that presented a CIS from January 2009 to December 2013. Fifty one patients had the onset of symptoms in 2009, of whom 27 patients fulfilled the diagnostic criteria, giving an incidence of 3.6 per 100,000 (CI 95% 2.4-5.3) inhabitants; 4.3 (CI 95% 2.5-7.1) for women and 2.9 (CI 95% 1.4-5.2) for men. The age-adjusted incidence rate for the European population was 3.29 (CI 95% 3.2-3.3).

CONCLUSION

The incidence estimation derived in this study is consistent with recent epidemiological data of MS in southern Europe suggesting an increase in incidence in this region.

Is it time for a new global classification of multiple sclerosis?

BACKGROUND

The geographic distribution of multiple sclerosis (MS) is classically divided into three zones based on frequency that were established by Kurtzke in the early 1970s. In recent years, an increasing number of epidemiological studies have shown significantly higher MS prevalence and incidence rates.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to review and update the geographic distribution of MS using incidence, prevalence and disease duration from the latest epidemiology surveys.

METHODS

We conducted a systematic review of articles on MS epidemiology published between January 1, 1990 and December 31, 2012.

RESULTS

MS studies were grouped by continent: the Americas, Europe, Asia, Australia/New Zealand, and Africa. A total of 101 studies were identified according to the inclusion criteria, and 58 reported incidence estimates. Globally, the median estimated incidence of MS was 5.2 (range: 0.5-20.6) per 100,000 p-yrs, the median estimated prevalence of MS was 112.0 (with a range of 5.2-335) per 100,000 p-yrs, and the average disease duration was 20.2 years (range: 7.6-36.2).

CONCLUSION

In the past few decades, the global prevalence and incidence patterns of MS have changed dramatically. Regardless of the reason of increasing prevalence and incidence rate, we suggest the need for a novel classification system based on global MS disease burden. Adopting such a system would improve economic efficiency and prioritization in health policy planning for MS.

Epidemiology and clinical record of multiple sclerosis in selected countries: a systematic review

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a chronic inflammatory autoimmune disease of the central nervous system mainly affecting young adults. The aim of this paper is to review the literature concentrating the main national MS registries in selected countries of the world. We performed a systematic review to determine the MS epidemiology reported on prevalence, incidence, environmental factors, treatment, social consequences of MS and neurological disability or progression among MS-affected people. We got the information on the high-MS prevalence in Sardinia, Sweden or Sicily and on the effects of MS treatment in United States of America, Italy or Germany. We emphasized environmental factors taking into account as MS risk factors. We concluded that there were many descriptions of MS status in particular countries, but they were often insufficiently detailed and not uniform enough to compare it. The paper indicated an importance of the MS epidemiology in the light of the healthcare or quality of life of the MS patients, but further research is needed to optimize this issue.

Incidence and prevalence of multiple sclerosis in Europe: a systematic review

BACKGROUND

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is the most common cause of neurological disability in young adults worldwide and approximately half of those affected are in Europe. The assessment of differential incidence and prevalence across populations can reveal spatial, temporal and demographic patterns which are important for identifying genetic and environmental factors contributing to MS. However, study methodologies vary and the quality of the methods can influence the estimates. This study aimed to systematically review European studies of incidence and prevalence of MS and to provide a quantitative assessment of their methodological quality.

METHODS

A comprehensive literature search was performed to obtain all original population-based studies of MS incidence and prevalence in European populations conducted and published between January 1985 and January 2011. Only peer-reviewed full-text articles published in English or French were included. All abstracts were screened for eligibility and two trained reviewers abstracted the data and graded the quality of each study using a tool specifically designed for this study.

RESULTS

There were 123 studies that met the inclusion criteria. The study estimates were highly heterogeneous, even within regions or countries. Quality was generally higher in the more recent studies, which also tended to use current diagnostic criteria. Prevalence and incidence estimates tended to be higher in the more recent studies and were higher in the Nordic countries and in northern regions of the British Isles. With rare exceptions, prevalence and incidence estimates were higher in women with ratios as high as 3:1. Few studies examined ethnicity. Epidemiological data at the national level was uncommon and there were marked geographical disparities in available data, with large areas of Europe unrepresented and other regions well-represented in the literature. Only 37% of the studies provided standardized estimates.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite the breadth of the literature on the epidemiology of MS in Europe, inter-study comparisons are hampered by the lack of standardization. Further research should focus on regions not yet studied and the evaluation of ethnic differences in MS prevalence and incidence. National-level studies using current diagnostic criteria, validated case definitions and similar age- and sex-standardization would allow better geographical comparisons.

Incidence of multiple sclerosis among European Economic Area populations, 1985-2009: the framework for monitoring

Background

A debate surrounding multiple sclerosis epidemiology has centred on time-related incidence increases and the need of monitoring. The purpose of this study is to reassess multiple sclerosis incidence in the European Economic Area.

Methods

We conducted a systematic review of literature from 1965 onwards and integrated elements of original research, including requested or completed data by surveys authors and specific analyses.

Results

The review of 5323 documents yielded ten studies for age- and sex-specific analyses, and 21 studies for time-trend analysis of single data sets. After 1985, the incidence of multiple sclerosis ranged from 1.12 to 6.96 per 100,000 population, was higher in females, tripled with latitude, and doubled with study midpoint year. The north registered increasing trends from the 1960s and 1970s, with a historic drop in the Faroe Islands, and fairly stable data in the period 1980-2000; incidence rose in Italian and French populations in the period 1970-2000, in Evros (Greece) in the 1980s, and in the French West Indies in around 2000.

Conclusions

We conclude that the increase in multiple sclerosis incidence is only apparent, and that it is not specific to women. Monitoring of multiple sclerosis incidence might be appropriate for the European Economic Area.

National estimate of multiple sclerosis incidence in France (2001–2007)

Background:

In France, the incidence of multiple sclerosis (MS) is not well known, and MS is one of the 30 long-term illnesses for which patients are covered for 100% of their health care costs.

Objective:

To estimate the incidence of MS in France and its geographic variations.

Methods:

We estimated the national rate for notification of MS to the main French health insurance system, and its confidence interval (CI), between November 2000 and October 2007, which covers 87% of the population. We analysed geographic variations using a Bayesian approach.

Results:

Between November 2000 and October 2007, among a covered population of 52,449,871, some 28,682 individuals were registered as having MS. After age standardization according to the European population, the notification rate for MS was 6.8 per 100,000 (6.7–6.9), 9.8 (9.7–10.0) in women and 3.7 (3.6–3.8) in men. When the under-notification rate (11.5% and 29%) was taken into account, the notification rate per 100,000 inhabitants was estimated between 7.6 and 8.8. The notification rate was higher in north-eastern France, and lower on the Atlantic coast and in the Alps as well as on both sides of the Rhône River.

Conclusions:

This study, conducted on a representative French population, provides for the first time national estimates of MS incidence between November 2000 and October 2007.

A 10-year serological follow-up of celiac disease in an Estonian population

BACKGROUND

Celiac disease (CD) is induced by wheat gluten and related prolamines. Its prevalence may be underestimated in many geographic regions and populations, and has recently increased in several countries. In 1998 and 1999, a random sample of Estonian schoolchildren was screened with IgA-type tissue transglutaminase antibodies (IgA-tTG) for CD. The results revealed a CD prevalence of 0.34%, which is lower compared with many other European countries.

OBJECTIVE

We rescreened the same population for CD using IgA-tTG after a 10-year interval.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 891 patients from the initial sample were rescreened using the IgA-tTG assay for a participation rate of 76.8% (median age, 24.3 years). As in the initial study, the IgA-tTG results were evaluated by ImmunoCAP EliA Celikey using an IgG-tTG and deamidated gliadin antibody assay for IgA-deficient cases.

RESULTS

No new cases of CD were found in this follow-up study. Of note, 75% of patients with initial IgA-tTG-positive results and biopsy-proven CD remained seropositive. One patient with a negative seroconversion at the time of rescreening followed a strict gluten-free diet during the follow-up years.

CONCLUSION

In a 10-year follow-up period, no new cases of CD were found in this Estonian population of school-children and young adults. Therefore, we presume no increase in CD during the last decade among this age group in Estonia. Additional studies are needed to determine whether similar results would be obtained in other age groups, because of differences in the CD prevalence between Estonian and other European populations.

Prevalence of multiple sclerosis: door-to-door survey in three rural areas of coastal Black Sea regions of Turkey

BACKGROUND

Little information exists on multiple sclerosis (MS) in Turkey. With a door-to-door survey in an urban part of Istanbul, we recently reported a prevalence rate of 101/100,000 population. We therefore investigated three rural areas of Turkey at the same latitude.

METHODS

The same survey methods were used for total populations of two rural areas (Kandıra and Geyve) near Istanbul, and for half the population of Erbaa, all near 40° north latitude on the Black Sea coast.

RESULTS

In Kandıra, 5 of 8 suspects were diagnosed as having MS among 8,171 screened, resulting in a prevalence rate of 61/100,000. Geyve with 7 MS cases in 17,016 screened had a prevalence of 41/100,000, and Erbaa with 15 MS cases in 28,177 screened one of 53/100,000. Together they showed a prevalence of 51/100,000. Of the 27 patients, 20 were women; 25 had definite and 2 possible MS, the former all with abnormal laboratory findings. Average ages were 30.5 years at onset and 39.1 years at diagnosis. Clinical features and course were typical of European MS.

CONCLUSION

These findings indicate that Turkey is a high-risk MS area, similar to most regions of Mediterranean Europe, where all recent increases are likely due to (undefined) environmental factors.

Cost of disorders of the brain in Europe 2010

BACKGROUND

The spectrum of disorders of the brain is large, covering hundreds of disorders that are listed in either the mental or neurological disorder chapters of the established international diagnostic classification systems. These disorders have a high prevalence as well as short- and long-term impairments and disabilities. Therefore they are an emotional, financial and social burden to the patients, their families and their social network. In a 2005 landmark study, we estimated for the first time the annual cost of 12 major groups of disorders of the brain in Europe and gave a conservative estimate of €386 billion for the year 2004. This estimate was limited in scope and conservative due to the lack of sufficiently comprehensive epidemiological and/or economic data on several important diagnostic groups. We are now in a position to substantially improve and revise the 2004 estimates. In the present report we cover 19 major groups of disorders, 7 more than previously, of an increased range of age groups and more cost items. We therefore present much improved cost estimates. Our revised estimates also now include the new EU member states, and hence a population of 514 million people.

AIMS

To estimate the number of persons with defined disorders of the brain in Europe in 2010, the total cost per person related to each disease in terms of direct and indirect costs, and an estimate of the total cost per disorder and country.

METHODS

The best available estimates of the prevalence and cost per person for 19 groups of disorders of the brain (covering well over 100 specific disorders) were identified via a systematic review of the published literature. Together with the twelve disorders included in 2004, the following range of mental and neurologic groups of disorders is covered: addictive disorders, affective disorders, anxiety disorders, brain tumor, childhood and adolescent disorders (developmental disorders), dementia, eating disorders, epilepsy, mental retardation, migraine, multiple sclerosis, neuromuscular disorders, Parkinson's disease, personality disorders, psychotic disorders, sleep disorders, somatoform disorders, stroke, and traumatic brain injury. Epidemiologic panels were charged to complete the literature review for each disorder in order to estimate the 12-month prevalence, and health economic panels were charged to estimate best cost-estimates. A cost model was developed to combine the epidemiologic and economic data and estimate the total cost of each disorder in each of 30 European countries (EU27+Iceland, Norway and Switzerland). The cost model was populated with national statistics from Eurostat to adjust all costs to 2010 values, converting all local currencies to Euro, imputing costs for countries where no data were available, and aggregating country estimates to purchasing power parity adjusted estimates for the total cost of disorders of the brain in Europe 2010.

RESULTS

The total cost of disorders of the brain was estimated at €798 billion in 2010. Direct costs constitute the majority of costs (37% direct healthcare costs and 23% direct non-medical costs) whereas the remaining 40% were indirect costs associated with patients' production losses. On average, the estimated cost per person with a disorder of the brain in Europe ranged between €285 for headache and €30,000 for neuromuscular disorders. The European per capita cost of disorders of the brain was €1550 on average but varied by country. The cost (in billion €PPP 2010) of the disorders of the brain included in this study was as follows: addiction: €65.7; anxiety disorders: €74.4; brain tumor: €5.2; child/adolescent disorders: €21.3; dementia: €105.2; eating disorders: €0.8; epilepsy: €13.8; headache: €43.5; mental retardation: €43.3; mood disorders: €113.4; multiple sclerosis: €14.6; neuromuscular disorders: €7.7; Parkinson's disease: €13.9; personality disorders: €27.3; psychotic disorders: €93.9; sleep disorders: €35.4; somatoform disorder: €21.2; stroke: €64.1; traumatic brain injury: €33.0. It should be noted that the revised estimate of those disorders included in the previous 2004 report constituted €477 billion, by and large confirming our previous study results after considering the inflation and population increase since 2004. Further, our results were consistent with administrative data on the health care expenditure in Europe, and comparable to previous studies on the cost of specific disorders in Europe. Our estimates were lower than comparable estimates from the US.

DISCUSSION

This study was based on the best currently available data in Europe and our model enabled extrapolation to countries where no data could be found. Still, the scarcity of data is an important source of uncertainty in our estimates and may imply over- or underestimations in some disorders and countries. Even though this review included many disorders, diagnoses, age groups and cost items that were omitted in 2004, there are still remaining disorders that could not be included due to limitations in the available data. We therefore consider our estimate of the total cost of the disorders of the brain in Europe to be conservative. In terms of the health economic burden outlined in this report, disorders of the brain likely constitute the number one economic challenge for European health care, now and in the future. Data presented in this report should be considered by all stakeholder groups, including policy makers, industry and patient advocacy groups, to reconsider the current science, research and public health agenda and define a coordinated plan of action of various levels to address the associated challenges.

RECOMMENDATIONS

Political action is required in light of the present high cost of disorders of the brain. Funding of brain research must be increased; care for patients with brain disorders as well as teaching at medical schools and other health related educations must be quantitatively and qualitatively improved, including psychological treatments. The current move of the pharmaceutical industry away from brain related indications must be halted and reversed. Continued research into the cost of the many disorders not included in the present study is warranted. It is essential that not only the EU but also the national governments forcefully support these initiatives.

Epidemiology of multiple sclerosis in south-western Sardinia

BACKGROUND

Sardinia is a known high-risk area for multiple sclerosis (MS), but no data for south-western Sardinia (SWS) are available. SWS has a genetically homogeneous population, apart from St Peter Island, and represents a peculiar environment related to the industrial, mineralogical and military economy.

OBJECTIVE

To estimate prevalence and incidence and to evaluate temporal trends and geographical distribution of MS in SWS.

METHODS

MS prevalence was evaluated on 31 December 2007 and crude mean annual incidence rate was defined between 2003 and 2007. Temporal trend in MS incidence was assessed using the Armitage test. To identify MS clusters, Standard Morbidity Ratio (SMR) was calculated for each village and geographical distribution prevalence by means of a Bayesian hierarchical model.

RESULTS

Total crude prevalence rate was 210.4 (95% CI 186.3-234.5): 280.3 (95% CI 241.4-319.3) for females, 138 (95% CI 110.1-165.8) for males. The crude mean annual incidence rate was 9.7/100,000 (95% CI 3.4-13.2): 4.7/100,000 (95% CI 2.4-17.0) and 14.6/100,000 (95% CI 11.8-34.8) for males and females respectively. MS incidence has increased over the last 50 years. Cluster analysis showed an SMR of 0.2 (95% CI 0.05-0.68, p = 0.002) on the island of San Pietro, and 2.0 (95% CI 1.35-2.95, p = 0.001) in Domusnovas. Spatial distribution of MS was confirmed by Bayesian geographical analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

Our data confirm Sardinia as a high-risk area for MS and support the relevance of genetic factors in MS, as evidenced in St Peter Island. However, we found an unexpectedly high MS prevalence in one village, in particular in males, suggesting an environmental influence on MS occurrence.

Epidemiology of multiple sclerosis in Europe: a review

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a progressive demyelinating and degenerative disease of the CNS with symptoms dependent on the type of the disease and the site of lesions. During the progression of the disease, symptoms become more permanent and progressive disability ensues. MS is a disease characterized by wide variations between patients, thus making categorization difficult. The aim of the current study was to review the existing epidemiological data of MS in Europe published during the last decade (2000-2009), using PubMed. Findings revealed an increasing incidence of MS during the last decade. Recent data indicate that latitude does not play a key role in determining the onset of the disease. MS has a significant impact on the quality of life for most patients over many years. The disease is twice as common in women than in men, and is at its peak in the most economically productive years of life. Pregnancy, postpartum status and vaccines may influence the onset and the course of the disease. Only one of the reviewed papers provides a view of progression from onset to death.

The changing demographic pattern of multiple sclerosis epidemiology

The uneven distribution of multiple sclerosis (MS) across populations can be attributed to differences in genes and the environment and their interaction. Prevalence and incidence surveys could be affected by inaccuracy of diagnosis and ascertainment, and prevalence also depends on survival. These sources of error might play a part in the geographical and temporal variations. Our literature search and meta-regression analyses indicated an almost universal increase in prevalence and incidence of MS over time; they challenge the well accepted theory of a latitudinal gradient of incidence of MS in Europe and North America, while this gradient is still apparent for Australia and New Zealand; and suggest a general, although not ubiquitous, increase in incidence of MS in females. The latter observation should prompt epidemiological studies to focus on changes in lifestyle in females. New insights into gene-environment and gene-gene interactions complicate interpretations of demographic epidemiology and have made obsolete the idea of simple causative associations between genes or the environment and MS.

Recent insights in the epidemiology of autoimmune diseases: improved prevalence estimates and understanding of clustering of diseases

Previous studies have estimated a prevalence of a broad grouping of autoimmune diseases of 3.2%, based on literature review of studies published between 1965 and 1995, and 5.3%, based on national hospitalization registry data in Denmark. We examine more recent studies pertaining to the prevalence of 29 autoimmune diseases, and use these data to correct for the underascertainment of some diseases in the hospitalization registry data. This analysis results in an estimated prevalence of 7.6-9.4%, depending on the size of the correction factor used. The rates for most diseases for which data are available from many geographic regions span overlapping ranges. We also review studies of the co-occurrence of diseases within individuals and within families, focusing on specific pairs of diseases to better distinguish patterns that may result in insights pertaining to shared etiological pathways. Overall, data support a tendency for autoimmune diseases to co-occur at greater than expected rates within proband patients and their families, but this does not appear to be a uniform phenomenon across all diseases. Multiple sclerosis and rheumatoid arthritis is one disease pair that appears to have a decreased chance of coexistence.

High prevalence of multiple sclerosis in the Swedish county of Värmland

Previous epidemiological studies have indicated that the county of Värmland in western Sweden may be a high-risk zone for multiple sclerosis (MS). The objective of this study was to determine the prevalence in the area. Hospital and general practice medical files were scrutinized. The diagnostic criteria of Poser were used, with 31 December 2002 as prevalence day. The prevalence was 170.07 per 100,000 inhabitants. The average annual incidence was 6.39 to 6.46 per 100,000 (1991—1995, 1996—2000). Multiple sclerosis was 2.3 times more common among women than men. There was a variation in prevalence among the 16 municipalities, however it was not statistically significant. The rates seemed highest in the southwestern part of the county, roughly similar in location to findings some 70 years earlier. When the prevalence ratios by geographical units for the county in 1933 were applied to the current prevalence, the distribution from these estimated cases differed from homogeneity with very high significance (p < 0.00001 ). In conclusion, this study supports previous reports indicating that Värmland continues to be a high-risk zone for MS and shares in the diffusion of the disease at the county level which we had presented for the country as a whole.