Prognostic value of the Charlson comorbidity index in pulmonary embolism

Categorization of Patients With Pulmonary Embolism by Charlson Comorbidity Index

BACKGROUND

Short-term outcomes of pulmonary embolism are closely related to right ventricular dysfunction and patient's hemodynamic status, but also to individual comorbidity profile. However, the impact of patients' comorbidities on survival during pulmonary embolism might be underrated. Although the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) is the most extensively studied comorbidity index for detecting comorbidity burden, studies analyzing the impact of CCI on pulmonary embolism patients' survival are limited.

METHODS

We used the German nationwide inpatient sample to analyze all hospitalized patients with pulmonary embolism in Germany 2005-2020 and calculated CCI for each patient, compared the CCI classes (very low: CCI = 0 points, mild: CCI = 1-2 points, moderate: CCI = 3-4, high severity: CCI >4 points) and impact of CCI class on outcomes.

RESULTS

Overall, 1,373,145 hospitalizations of patients with acute pulmonary embolism (53.0% females, 55.9% aged ≥70 years) were recorded in Germany between 2005 and 2020; the CCI class stratified them. Among these, 100,156 (7.3%) were categorized as very low; 221,545 (16.1%) as mild; 394,965 (28.8%) as moderate; and 656,479 (47.8%) as patients with a high comorbidity burden according to CCI class. In-hospital case fatality increased depending on the CCI class: 3.6% in very low, 6.5% in mild, 12.1% in moderate, and 22.1% in high CCI class (P < .001). CCI class was associated with increased in-hospital case fatality (odds ratio 2.014; 95% confidence interval, 2.000-2.027; P < .001).

CONCLUSION

Our study results may help practitioners to better understand and measure the association between an aggravated comorbidity profile and increased in-hospital case fatality in patients with pulmonary embolism.

Charlson and Elixhauser Comorbidity Indices for Prediction of Mortality and Hospital Readmission in Patients With Acute Pulmonary Embolism

Several risk stratification systems aid clinicians in classifying pulmonary embolism (PE) severity and prognosis. We compared 2 clinical PE scoring systems, the PESI and sPESI scores, with 2 comorbidity indices, the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) and the val Walraven Elixhauser Comorbidity Index (ECI), to determine the utility of each in predicting mortality and hospital readmission. Information was collected from 436 patients presenting with PE via retrospective chart review. The PESI, sPESI, CCI, and ECI scores were calculated for each patient. Multivariate analysis was used to determine each system's ability to predict in-hospital mortality, 90-day mortality, overall mortality, and all-cause hospital readmission. The impact of various demographic and clinical characteristics of each patient on these outcomes was also assessed. The PESI score was found to be an independent predictor of in-hospital mortality and 90-day mortality. The PESI score and the CCI were able to independently predict overall mortality. None of the 4 risk scores independently predicted hospital readmission. Other factors including hypoalbuminemia, serum BNP, coagulopathy, anemia, and diabetes were associated with increased mortality and readmission at various endpoints. The PESI score was the best tool for predicting mortality at any endpoint. The CCI may have utility in predicting long-term outcomes. Further work is needed to better determine the roles of the CCI and ECI in predicting patient outcomes in PE. The potential prognostic implications of low serum albumin and anemia at the time of PE also warrant further investigation.

Comparison of clinical scoring to predict mortality risk in mild-to-moderate idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis

BACKGROUND

During the last decade, a number of clinical scores, such as Gender-Age-Physiology (GAP) Index, TORVAN Score and Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI), have been separately used to measure comorbidity burden in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). However, no previous study compared the prognostic value of these scores to assess mortality risk stratification in IPF patients with mild-to-moderate disease.

METHODS

All consecutive patients with mild-to-moderate IPF who underwent high-resolution computed tomography, spirometry, transthoracic echocardiography and carotid ultrasonography at our Institution, between January 2016 and December 2018, were retrospectively analyzed. GAP Index, TORVAN Score and CCI were calculated in all patients. Primary endpoint was all-cause mortality, whereas secondary endpoint was the composite of all-cause mortality and rehospitalizations for all-causes, over medium-term follow-up.

RESULTS

Seventy IPF patients (70.2±7.4 yrs, 74.3% males) were examined. At baseline, GAP Index, TORVAN Score and CCI were 3.4±1.1, 14.7±4.1 and 5.3±2.4, respectively. A strong correlation between coronary artery calcification (CAC) and common carotid artery (CCA) intima-media thickness (IMT) (r=0.88), CCI and CAC (r=0.80), CCI and CCA-IMT (r=0.81), was demonstrated in the study group. Follow-up period was 3.5±1.2 years. During follow-up, 19 patients died and 32 rehospitalizations were detected. CCI (HR 2.39, 95% CI: 1.31-4.35) and heart rate (HR 1.10, 95% CI: 1.04-1.17) were independently associated with primary endpoint. CCI (HR 1.54, 95% CI: 1.15-2.06) predicted secondary endpoint, also. A CCI ≥6 was the optimal cut-off for predicting both outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

Due to the increased atherosclerotic and comorbidity burden, IPF patients with CCI ≥6 at an early-stage disease have poor outcome over medium-term follow-up.

Prognostic value of the Charlson index in mortality in patients with pulmonary embolism associated with cancer versus non-tumour pulmonary embolism

INTRODUCTION

The aim of this study is to analyse comorbidity, survival, and mortality from pulmonary embolism (PE) in people with cancer and without cancer. And to determine whether the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) predicts mortality in the short and long term in this population.

METHODS

A retrospective observational study on survival in patients hospitalized in the Hospital Central de la Defensa from 1-01-2009 to 15-03-2018, stratifying into tumour PE group (EPT) and non-tumour PE group (EPnT), all of whom were classified according to age adjusted CCI.

RESULTS

A total of 368 patients were diagnosed with PE, 108 with associated cancer. The mean CCI in the EPT group was 7.2 and 4.5 in the EPnT group. Patients with PE and CCI>5 were 10.7 times more likely to die (95%CI 1.5-77.6) compared to CCI 0 (P=.019). The CCI of patients with EPT was 2.6 points higher (95%CI 1.9-33) than EPnT patients (P<.001). Cancer patients were 1.9 times more likely to die (95%CI 1.23-2.8) and had higher mortality at 30 days and at one year after the event, with a median survival of 8.98 years and 3.4 years, respectively (P<.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The CCI in EPT is an independent risk factor related to mortality. The CCI can predict higher mortality in the short and long term in patients with PE.

Anticoagulation quality and clinical outcomes in multimorbid elderly patients with acute venous thromboembolism

BACKGROUND

Multimorbid patients with acute venous thromboembolism (VTE) are often excluded from clinical trials and little is known about their prognosis.

OBJECTIVES

To examine whether multimorbidity is associated with adverse clinical outcomes and lower anticoagulation quality in older patients with VTE.

PATIENTS/METHODS

We studied 991 patients aged ≥65 years with acute VTE in a Swiss prospective multicenter cohort study. A modified Charlson Comorbidity Index was used to measure multimorbidity, which was defined as the presence ≥2 of 17 predefined comorbid conditions. We examined the association between multimorbidity and recurrent VTE and major bleeding, adjusting for confounders and periods of anticoagulation. We assessed whether the percentage of time spent in the therapeutic international normalized ratio (INR) range varied by the number of comorbidities present.

RESULTS

Overall, 708 (71%) patients were multimorbid. Multimorbid patients had a higher 3-year cumulative incidence of recurrent VTE (16.8 vs. 10.8%; P = 0.056) and major bleeding (18.7 vs. 9.0%; P = 0.001) than non-multimorbid patients. After adjustment, multimorbid patients had a significantly higher risk of recurrent VTE (sub-hazard ratio [SHR] 1.66, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.08-2.57) and a higher risk of major bleeding (SHR 1.55, 95% CI 0.96-2.50), although the latter failed to achieve statistical significance. With increasing numbers of comorbid conditions, patients spent less time in and more time above and below the therapeutic INR range.

CONCLUSIONS

Multimorbid patients with acute VTE have not only a lower anticoagulation quality but also more complications. Clinical trials should explicitly enroll multimorbid patients to determine the optimal anticoagulation strategy in such patients.

Prognostic models in acute pulmonary embolism: a systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

To review the evidence for existing prognostic models in acute pulmonary embolism (PE) and determine how valid and useful they are for predicting patient outcomes.

DESIGN

Systematic review and meta-analysis.

DATA SOURCES

OVID MEDLINE and EMBASE, and The Cochrane Library from inception to July 2014, and sources of grey literature.

ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA

Studies aiming at constructing, validating, updating or studying the impact of prognostic models to predict all-cause death, PE-related death or venous thromboembolic events up to a 3-month follow-up in patients with an acute symptomatic PE.

DATA EXTRACTION

Study characteristics and study quality using prognostic criteria. Studies were selected and data extracted by 2 reviewers.

DATA ANALYSIS

Summary estimates (95% CI) for proportion of risk groups and event rates within risk groups, and accuracy.

RESULTS

We included 71 studies (44,298 patients). Among them, 17 were model construction studies specific to PE prognosis. The most validated models were the PE Severity Index (PESI) and its simplified version (sPESI). The overall 30-day mortality rate was 2.3% (1.7% to 2.9%) in the low-risk group and 11.4% (9.9% to 13.1%) in the high-risk group for PESI (9 studies), and 1.5% (0.9% to 2.5%) in the low-risk group and 10.7% (8.8% to12.9%) in the high-risk group for sPESI (11 studies). PESI has proved clinically useful in an impact study. Shifting the cut-off or using novel and updated models specifically developed for normotensive PE improves the ability for identifying patients at lower risk for early death or adverse outcome (0.5-1%) and those at higher risk (up to 20-29% of event rate).

CONCLUSIONS

We provide evidence-based information about the validity and utility of the existing prognostic models in acute PE that may be helpful for identifying patients at low risk. Novel models seem attractive for the high-risk normotensive PE but need to be externally validated then be assessed in impact studies.

Trends in hospital admissions for pulmonary embolism in Spain from 2002 to 2011

The aim of our study was to analyse changes in the incidence, diagnostic procedures, comorbidity, length of hospital stay, costs and in-hospital mortality of patients hospitalised for pulmonary embolism in Spain over a 10-year period.

We included all patients who were hospitalised for pulmonary embolism (ICD-9-CM codes 415.11 and 415.19) as the primary diagnosis between 2002 and 2011. Data were collected from the National Hospital Discharge Database, covering the entire Spanish population.

115 671 patients were admitted. The overall crude incidence increased from 20.44 per 100 000 inhabitants in 2002 to 32.69 in 2011 (p<0.05). In 2002, 13.3% of patients had a Charlson comorbidity index >2, and in 2011 the prevalence increased to 20.8% (p<0.05). Mean length of hospital stay was 12.7 days in 2002 and decreased to 9.99 in 2011 (p<0.05). During the study period, mean cost per patient increased from €3915 to €4372 (p<0.05). In-hospital mortality decreased from 12.9% in 2002 to 8.32% in 2011 (p<0.05). The increase in the use of computed tomographic pulmonary angiography over time was associated with increased incidence and lower mortality.

Our results revealed an increase in the incidence of hospitalised pulmonary embolism patients from 2002 to 2011 with concomitant increase in comorbidities and cost. However, length of hospital stay and in-hospital mortality decreased.