Predictive factors for impaired renal function following nephroureterectomy in upper urinary tract urothelial cell carcinoma

Development and Validation of a Multivariable Nomogram Predictive of Post-Nephroureterectomy Renal Function

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

The timing of perioperative nephrotoxic chemotherapy for upper tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC) remains controversial and strongly depends on predicted platinum eligibility after radical nephroureterectomy (RNU). The study objective was to develop and validate a multivariable nomogram to predict estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) following RNU.

METHODS

This was a multi-institutional retrospective study of patients with UTUC treated with RNU from 2000 to 2020 at seven high-volume referral centers. Use of adjuvant chemotherapy was risk-stratified. Patients were retrospectively randomly allocated 2:1 to discovery and validation cohorts. Discovery data were used to identify independent factors associated with GFR at 1-3 mo after RNU on linear regression, and backward selection was applied for model construction. Accuracy was defined as the percentage of predicted eGFR results within 30% of the corresponding observed eGFR.

KEY FINDINGS AND LIMITATIONS

We included 1100 patients, of whom 733 were in the discovery and 367 were in the validation cohort. Multivariable predictors of postoperative eGFR decline included advanced age (odds ratio [OR] -0.18, 95% confidence interval [CI] -0.28 to -0.08), diabetes (OR -2.38, 95% CI -4.64 to -0.11), and hypertension (OR -2.24, 95% CI -4.16 to -0.32). Factors associated with favorable postoperative eGFR included larger tumor size (OR 10.57, 95% CI 7.4-13.74 for tumors >5 cm vs ≤2 cm) and preoperative eGFR (OR 0.44, 95% CI 0.39-0.49). A composite nomogram predicted postoperative eGFR with good accuracy in both the discovery (80.5%) and validation (78.6%) cohorts. Limitations include exclusion of patients who received neoadjuvant chemotherapy.

CONCLUSIONS

A nomogram that incorporates ubiquitous preoperative clinical variables can predict post-RNU eGFR and was validated with an independent cohort.

PATIENT SUMMARY

We developed a tool that uses patient data to predict eligibility for chemotherapy after surgery to remove the kidney and ureter in patients with cancer in the upper urinary tract.

Simultaneous radical cystectomy and nephroureterectomy in the treatment of panurothelial carcinoma: a systematic review and single-arm meta-analysis

Background

Panurothelial carcinoma is a rare and aggressive malignancy that requires effective treatment strategies to enhance patient outcomes.

Methods

We conducted a systematic search of English publications in databases including PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, and Web of Science up to May 2023. The quality of the literature was assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS) and the Methodological Quality and Synthesis of Case Series and Case Reports tool. Data statistics and analysis were performed using Stata 15.1 software (StataSE, USA).

Results

Six studies involving 339 patients were included in the analysis. Meta-analysis revealed that Simultaneous Radical Cystectomy and Nephroureterectomy had 2-year and 5-year overall survival rates of 68% (95% CI 60%-76%, I2 = 12.4%, P < 0.001) and 44% (95% CI 36%-53%, I2 = 0, P < 0.001), respectively. The 2-year and 5-year progression-free survival rates were 91% (95% CI 86%-95%, I2 = 95%, P < 0.001) and 65% (95% CI 58%-73%, I2 = 91.5%, P < 0.001), respectively. The 2-year and 5-year cancer-specific survival rates were 73% (95% CI 66%-81%, I2 = 16.7%, P < 0.001) and 57% (95% CI 49%-66%, I2 = 0, P < 0.001), respectively. Additionally, the incidence of minor complications was 19% (95% CI 15%-23%, P < 0.01), major complications was 49% (95% CI 34%-63%, P < 0.01), and the intraoperative blood transfusion rate was 53% (95% CI 44%-61%, P < 0.01).

Conclusions

Simultaneous radical cystectomy and nephroureterectomy represent feasible approaches for the treatment of Panurothelial carcinoma. Nonetheless, a comprehensive assessment of the surgical risks and benefits is imperative, and larger-scale prospective cohort studies are required to validate therapeutic efficacy.

Systematic review registration

https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO, identifier CRD42023426401.

Minimally Invasive Radical Nephroureterectomy: 5-Year Update of Techniques and Outcomes

The gold standard treatment for non-metastatic upper tract urothelial cancer (UTUC) is represented by radical nephroureterectomy (RNU). The choice of surgical technique in performing UTUC surgery continues to depend on several factors, including the location and extent of the tumor, the patient's overall health, and very importantly, the surgeon's skill, experience, and preference. Although open and laparoscopic approaches are well-established treatments, evidence regarding robot-assisted radical nephroureterectomy (RANU) is growing. Aim of our study was to perform a critical review on the evidence of the last 5 years regarding surgical techniques and outcomes of minimally invasive RNU, mostly focusing on RANU. Reported oncological and function outcomes suggest that minimally invasive RNU is safe and effective, showing similar survival rates compared to the open approach.

Oncological and Renal Function Outcomes in Patients Who Underwent Simultaneous Radical Cystectomy and Nephroureterectomy for Synchronous or Metachronous Panurothelial Carcinoma

OBJECTIVE

To assess clinical outcomes of patients who underwent simultaneous radical cystectomy (RC) and radical nephroureterectomy (RNU) for panurothelial carcinoma (PanUC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A retrospective analysis of 67 patients who underwent simultaneous RC and unilateral RNU for PanUC, from 1996 to 2017. Kaplan-Meier estimates for remnant urothelium recurrence-free survival, metastasis-free survival, overall survival (OS), and cancer-specific survival (CSS) were performed. Cox multivariate models were constructed.

RESULTS

The median follow-up was 38 months, 29.8% of patients had a recurrence, 34.3% had metastasis, 67.2% of patients died from any cause, and 37.3% died from urothelial carcinoma. Overall survival and CSS rates at 5 years were 44% and 61%, respectively. In multivariate analysis, progression to muscle-invasive bladder cancer before surgery, presence of muscle-invasive stages at RC and/or RNU, and prostatic urethra involvement were predictors for worse metastasis-free survival and CSS. Forty-one patients (61.2%) had an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) <60 mL/min before surgery and the number rose to 56 (83.5%) after surgery; 29.8% patients needed renal function replacement therapy after surgery (16 haemodialysis and 4 renal transplant).

CONCLUSION

Patients with PanUC who undergo simultaneous surgery have adverse oncological (only 4 out of every 10 remain alive at 5 years) and functional outcomes (1 out of 3 will need renal function replacement therapy after surgery). Up to a third of the patients had a recurrence (urethra or contralateral kidney) within 18 months, justifying close surveillance or considering prophylactic urethrectomy. These data should help in counsel on morbidity and life expectancy.

Changes in renal function after nephroureterectomy for upper urinary tract carcinoma: analysis of a large multicenter cohort (Radical Nephroureterectomy Outcomes (RaNeO) Research Consortium)

PURPOSE

To investigate prevalence and predictors of renal function variation in a multicenter cohort treated with radical nephroureterectomy (RNU) for upper tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC).

METHODS

Patients from 17 tertiary centers were included. Renal function variation was evaluated at postoperative day (POD)-1, 6 and 12 months. Timepoints differences were Δ1 = POD-1 eGFR - baseline eGFR; Δ2 = 6 months eGFR - POD-1 eGFR; Δ3 = 12 months eGFR - 6 months eGFR. We defined POD-1 acute kidney injury (AKI) as an increase in serum creatinine by ≥ 0.3 mg/dl or a 1.5 1.9-fold from baseline. Additionally, a cutoff of 60 ml/min in eGFR was considered to define renal function decline at 6 and 12 months. Logistic regression (LR) and linear mixed (LM) models were used to evaluate the association between clinical factors and eGFR decline and their interaction with follow-up.

RESULTS

A total of 576 were included, of these 409(71.0%) and 403(70.0%) had an eGFR < 60 ml/min at 6 and 12 months, respectively, and 239(41.5%) developed POD-1 AKI. In multivariable LR analysis, age (Odds Ratio, OR 1.05, p < 0.001), male gender (OR 0.44, p = 0.003), POD-1 AKI (OR 2.88, p < 0.001) and preoperative eGFR < 60 ml/min (OR 7.58, p < 0.001) were predictors of renal function decline at 6 months. Age (OR 1.06, p < 0.001), coronary artery disease (OR 2.68, p = 0.007), POD-1 AKI (OR 1.83, p = 0.02), and preoperative eGFR < 60 ml/min (OR 7.80, p < 0.001) were predictors of renal function decline at 12 months. In LM models, age (p = 0.019), hydronephrosis (p < 0.001), POD-1 AKI (p < 0.001) and pT-stage (p = 0.001) influenced renal function variation (ß 9.2 ± 0.7, p < 0.001) during follow-up.

CONCLUSION

Age, preoperative eGFR and POD-1 AKI are independent predictors of 6 and 12 months renal function decline after RNU for UTUC.

A Preoperative Nomogram to Predict Renal Function Insufficiency for Cisplatin-based Adjuvant Chemotherapy Following Minimally Invasive Radical Nephroureterectomy (ROBUUST Collaborative Group)

BACKGROUND

Postoperative renal function impairment represents a main limitation for delivering adjuvant chemotherapy after radical nephroureterectomy (RNU).

OBJECTIVE

To create a model predicting renal function decline after minimally invasive RNU.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

A total of 490 patients with nonmetastatic UTUC who underwent minimally invasive RNU were identified from a collaborative database including 17 institutions worldwide (February 2006 to March 2020). Renal function insufficiency for cisplatin-based regimen was defined as estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) <50 ml/min/1.73 m² at 3 mo after RNU. Patients with baseline eGFR >50 ml/min/1.73 m² (n = 361) were geographically divided into a training set (n = 226) and an independent external validation set (n = 135) for further analysis.

OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

Using transparent reporting of a multivariable prediction model for individual prognosis or diagnosis (TRIPOD) guidelines, a nomogram to predict postoperative eGFR <50 ml/min/1.73 m² was built based on the coefficients of the least absolute shrinkage and selection operation (LASSO) logistic regression. The discrimination, calibration, and clinical use of the nomogram were investigated.

RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS

The model that incorporated age, body mass index, preoperative eGFR, and hydroureteronephrosis was developed with an area under the curve of 0.771, which was confirmed to be 0.773 in the external validation set. The calibration curve demonstrated good agreement. Besides, the model was converted into a risk score with a cutoff value of 0.583, and the difference between the low- and high-risk groups both in overall death risk (hazard ratio [HR]: 4.59, p < 0.001) and cancer-specific death risk (HR: 5.19, p < 0.001) was statistically significant. The limitation mainly lies in its retrospective design.

CONCLUSIONS

A nomogram incorporating immediately available clinical variables can accurately predict renal insufficiency for cisplatin-based adjuvant chemotherapy after minimally invasive RNU and may serve as a tool facilitating patient selection.

PATIENT SUMMARY

We have developed a model for the prediction of renal function loss after radical nephroureterectomy to facilitate patient selection for perioperative chemotherapy.

Impact of Surgical Wait Time on Survival in Patients With Upper Urinary Tract Urothelial Carcinoma With Hydronephrosis

Background and Objectives

Due to the inevitability of waiting time for surgery, this problem seems to have become more pronounced since the outbreak of COVID-19, and due to the high incidence of preoperative hydronephrosis in upper urinary tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC) patients, it is particularly important to explore the impact of preoperative waiting time and hydronephrosis on upper urinary urothelial carcinoma.

Methods

316 patients with UTUC who underwent radical surgery at a high-volume center in China between January 2008 and December 2019 were included in this study. We retrospectively collected the clinicopathologic data from the medical records, including age, sex, smoking history, ECOG performance status (ECOG PS), body mass index (BMI), tumor location and size, number of lesions, T stage, N stage, surgical approach and occurrence of hydronephrosis, lymph node invasion, lymph node dissection, surgical margin, tumor necrosis, infiltrative tumor architecture, lymphovascular invasion and concomitant bladder cancer. Surgical wait time was defined as the interval between initial imaging diagnosis and radical surgery of UTUC. Hydronephrosis was defined as abnormal dilation of the renal pelvis and calyces due to obstruction of the urinary system. Firstly, all patients were divided into short-wait (<31 days), intermediate-wait (31-90 days) and long-wait (>90 days) groups according to the surgical wait time. The clinicopathological characteristics of each group were evaluated and the survival was compared. For patients with hydronephrosis, we subsequently divided them into two groups: short-wait (≤60 days) and long-wait (>60 days) groups according to the surgical wait time. Univariate and multivariate COX regression analysis were performed to evaluate the prognostic risk factor for patients with hydronephrosis.

Results

A total of 316 patients with UTUC were included in this study with a median surgical wait time of 22 days (IQR 11-71 days). Of the 316 patients, 173 were classified into the short-wait group (54.7%), 69 into the intermediate-wait group (21.8%) and 74 into the long-wait group (23.5%). The median follow-up time for all patients was 43 months (IQR 28-67months). The median surgical wait times of the short-wait, intermediate-wait and long-wait group were12 days (IQR 8-17days), 42days (IQR 37-65days) and 191days (IQR 129-372days), respectively. The 5-year overall survival (OS) of all patients was 54.3%. The 5-year OS of short-wait, intermediate-wait and long-wait groups were 56.4%, 59.3% and 35.1%, respectively (P=0.045). The 5-year cancer-specific survival (CSS) of short-wait, intermediate-wait and long-wait groups were 65.8%, 70.9% and 39.6%, respectively (P=0.032). In the subgroup analysis, we divided 158 UTUC patients with hydronephrosis into short-wait group (≤60 days) and long-wait group (> 60 days), 120 patients were included in the short-wait group and 38 patients in the long-wait group. The median surgical wait times of the short-wait and long-wait group were 14days (IQR 8-28days) and 174days (IQR 100-369days), respectively. The 5-year OS of long-wait group was significantly lower than the OS of short-wait group (44.2% vs. 55.1%, P =0.023). The 5-year CSS of long-wait and short-wait group were 49.1% and 61.7%, respectively (P=0.041). In multivariate Cox regression analysis of UTUC patients with hydronephrosis, surgical wait time, tumor grade, pathological T stage, and tumor size were independent risk factors for OS and CSS. Lymph node involvement was also a prognostic factor for CSS.

Conclusion

For patients with UTUC, the surgical wait time should be limited to less than 3 months. For UTUC patients with hydronephrosis, the OS and CSS of patients with surgical wait time of more than 60 days were relatively shorted than those of patients with surgical wait time of less than 60 days.

Perioperative chemotherapy in the management of high risk upper tract urothelial cancers

Radical nephroureterectomy (RNU) remains the gold-standard in the treatment of invasive urothelial cancers of the upper tract (>pT2). However, there are stage-related, postoperative recurrence and cancer-specific death rates that are unacceptably high. Multimodality treatment regimens including neoadjuvant and adjuvant cisplatin-based systemic chemotherapy have been studied. While there is a paucity of Level 1 evidence to support either regimen, both have advantages and disadvantages. The provision of chemotherapy in the neoadjuvant setting is supported by extensive bladder cancer literature, but randomized controlled trials in the upper tract have not been completed. Neoadjuvant chemotherapy also risks overtreatment of patients due to the lack of accurate pre-operative staging modalities. On the other hand, adjuvant chemotherapy is supported by the findings of one prospective randomized trial, and eliminates the need for patient selection based on imperfect pre-operative modalities. However, the rigors of surgery and the renal function loss related to nephrectomy, may preclude the provision of adjuvant chemotherapy in a significant subset of patients. One may conclude that multimodal therapy is desirable for oncologic control, but the best means of providing such therapy requires further study.

Renal function recovery after radical nephroureterectomy for upper tract urothelial carcinoma

PURPOSE

To understand the longitudinal renal function trends in patients undergoing radical nephroureterectomy (RNU) and identify clinicopathologic characteristics associated with estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) recovery.

METHODS

147 patients were available for analysis. Longitudinal eGFR trends were assessed by plotting each patient's eGFR measurements over time. The patient population was dichotomized using eGFR < 60 ml/min/1.73 m² versus ≥ 60 ml/min/1.73 m². Cumulative incidence and competing risk regression analysis were used to estimate recovery of postoperative eGFR to the preoperative level and identify clinicopathologic characteristics associated with eGFR recovery.

RESULTS

Median age was 68.7 years and median preoperative eGFR was 55.9 ml/min/1.73 m². 63.6% were male and 95.8% were white. The cumulative incidence of eGFR recovery was significantly higher in patients with baseline eGFR < 60 ml/min/1.73 m² compared to those with baseline eGFR ≥ 60 ml/min/1.73 m² (p = 0.01), with recovery rates at 2 years of 56.6% vs. 27.7%, respectively. Multivariable analysis revealed that preoperative hydronephrosis (HR 1.80) and preoperative eGFR < 60 ml/min/1.73 m² (HR 1.87) were associated with increased chance of eGFR recovery.

CONCLUSION

Over half of patients with preoperative eGFR < 60 ml/min/1.73 m² achieved eGFR recovery within the first 3 years after RNU, and hydronephrosis was a significant predictor of recovery. These findings should be considered when counseling patients regarding chronic kidney disease progression after RNU and timing of perioperative chemotherapy for high risk tumors.

The effect of contralateral kidney volume on renal function after radical nephroureterectomy: Implications for eligibility for neoadjuvant chemotherapy for upper tract urothelial cancer

PURPOSE

We investigated the effect of preoperative contralateral kidney (CK) volume on renal function after radical nephroureterectomy (RNU).

METHODS

We reviewed 630 patients who underwent RNU between September 1994 and December 2013. Of these 630 patients, 135 patients with advanced upper tract urothelial cancer were ultimately included. Preoperative CK volume was measured from computed tomography images of the venous phase using a specialized volumetric program. Glomerular filtration rate (GFR) was calculated using the Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) equations and checked preoperatively, 7 days, 1, 3, and 12 months postoperatively.

RESULTS

The mean age at surgery was 62.1 (10.1) years and the mean CKD-EPI GFR was 73.8 (75.5) ml/min/1.73m². After RNU, new-onset CKD was identified in 69 (51.1%) patients. On multivariate logistic regression analysis, high body mass index (95% CI: 1.08-1.51, P = 0.005), low preoperative CKD-EPI GFR (95% CI: 0.92-0.98, P = 0.037), and low CK volume (95% CI: 0.96-0.99, P<0.001) were associated with new-onset CKD at 1 month after RNU. There was a positive correlation between CK volume and CKD-EPI GFR at 1 month after RNU (Spearman ρ = 0.495, P<0.001). When stratified according to CK volume, CK volume less than 150ml was significantly associated with new-onset CKD after RNU (95% CI: 2.49-26.29, P = 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

High body mass index, low preoperative CKD-EPI GFR, and low CK volume are significantly associated with new-onset CKD. Therefore, they could be used to identify patients eligible for neoadjuvant chemotherapy in upper tract urothelial cancer.

A systematic review and meta-analysis of oncological and renal function outcomes obtained after segmental ureterectomy versus radical nephroureterectomy for upper tract urothelial carcinoma

OBJECTIVE

To perform a systematic review and meta-analysis of the comparative studies reporting oncological and renal function outcomes of segmental ureterectomy (SU) versus radical nephroureterectomy (RNU) for upper tract urothelial carcinomas (UTUC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A literature search on Pubmed, Embase, and the Cochrane library was conducted according to the PRISMA guidelines, and a meta-analysis was performed to assess cancer-specific survival (CSS), overall survival (OS), recurrence-free survival (RFS), intravesical recurrence free survival (IVRFS) and surgery-related variations in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR).

RESULTS

A total of 11 retrospective studies with 3963 patients who underwent either SU (n = 983; 24.8%) or RNU (n = 2980; 75.2%) were included. Although patients treated with SU were more likely to be diagnosed with favorable pathological features, the meta-analysis of unadjusted data revealed no significant difference between both groups in terms of CSS (HR 0.90, p = 0.33) and OS (HR 0.98, p = 0.93). Accordingly, the meta-analysis of adjusted data confirmed equivalent CSS (HR = 0.90, p = 0.47) between SU and RNU. Similarly, no significant difference was found in terms of RFS (HR 1.06, p = 0.72) and IVRFS (HR 1.35, p = 0.39). However, a significant decreased risk of impaired renal function was observed after SU when compared to RNU (mean eGFR difference = 9.32 ml/1.73 m², p = 0.007).

CONCLUSION

Although adverse patient and tumor characteristics were not equally balanced between treatment arms, our systematic review and meta-analysis supports similar oncological outcomes between SU and RNU, with better preservation of renal function after SU. As such, SU should be preferably used as the first-line treatment for low-risk ureter tumors, while considered for selected cases of high-risk disease.

Clinical and prognostic value of preoperative hydronephrosis in upper tract urothelial carcinoma: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background. Epidemiological studies have reported various results relating preoperative hydronephrosis to upper tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC). However, the clinical significance and prognostic value of preoperative hydronephrosis in UTUC remains controversial. The aim of this study was to provide a comprehensive meta-analysis of the extent of the possible association between preoperative hydronephrosis and the risk of UTUC.

Methods. We searched PubMed, ISI Web of Knowledge, and Embase to identify eligible studies written in English. Summary odds ratios (ORs) or hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated using fixed-effects or random-effects models.

Results. Nineteen relevant studies, which had a total of 5,782 UTUC patients enrolled, were selected for statistical analysis. The clinicopathological and prognostic relevance of preoperative hydronephrosis was evaluated in the UTUC patients. The results showed that all tumor stages, lymph node status and tumor location, as well as the risk of cancer-specific survival (CSS), overall survival (OS), recurrence-free survival (RFS) and metastasis-free survival (MFS) were significantly different between UTUC patients with elevated preoperative hydronephrosis and those with low preoperative hydronephrosis. High preoperative hydronephrosis indicated a poor prognosis. Additionally, significant correlations between preoperative hydronephrosis and tumor grade (high grade vs. low grade) were observed in UTUC patients; however, no significant difference was observed for tumor grading (G1 vs. G2 + G3 and G1 + G2 vs. G3). In contrast, no such correlations were evident for recurrence status or gender in UTUC patients.

Conclusions. The results of this meta-analysis suggest that preoperative hydronephrosis is associated with increased risk and poor survival in UTUC patients. The presence of preoperative hydronephrosis plays an important role in the carcinogenesis and prognosis of UTUC.

Prediction of renal function after nephroureterectomy in patients with upper tract urothelial carcinoma

OBJECTIVE

The estimated glomerular filtration rate is significantly decreased after nephroureterectomy. Deteriorating renal function likely affects the eligibility for cisplatin-based chemotherapy in patients with upper tract urothelial carcinoma. The present study was undertaken to identify preoperative factors for the prediction of postoperative renal function and develop a prediction model.

METHODS

Between June 1996 and January 2014, 110 patients who underwent radical nephroureterectomy at our institution were analyzed in this study. The estimated glomerular filtration rate was calculated using the Modification of Diet in Renal Disease study equation. Univariate linear regression analyses were performed to investigate the correlation between postoperative estimated glomerular filtration rate and preoperative variables. A stepwise multivariate linear regression analysis was performed to identify independent predictors of postoperative estimated glomerular filtration rate.

RESULTS

Comparison of preoperative and postoperative estimated glomerular filtration rate for each patient showed a median difference of 13.1 ml/min/1.73 m(2). The postoperative estimated glomerular filtration rate was significantly lower than the preoperative estimated glomerular filtration rate (P < 0.001). On univariate analysis, age and preoperative estimated glomerular filtration rate were significantly correlated with postoperative estimated glomerular filtration rate. On multivariate analysis, age, preoperative estimated glomerular filtration rate and the presence of hydronephrosis were independent predictive factors of postoperative estimated glomerular filtration rate. The predicted postoperative estimated glomerular filtration rate, which was calculated using these independent factors, showed a significant correlation with the observed postoperative estimated glomerular filtration rate (correlation coefficient = 0.7533).

CONCLUSIONS

Age, preoperative estimated glomerular filtration rate and the presence of hydronephrosis were independent predictors of postoperative estimated glomerular filtration rate in patients with upper tract urothelial carcinoma treated with radical nephroureterectomy. The predicted postoperative estimated glomerular filtration rate based on these factors may be useful for choosing alternative management strategies such as neoadjuvant chemotherapy for patients with upper tract urothelial carcinoma.

Nomogram predicting renal insufficiency after nephroureterectomy for upper tract urothelial carcinoma in the Chinese population: exclusion of ineligible candidates for adjuvant chemotherapy

OBJECTIVES

To report the decline of renal function after radical nephroureterectomy (RNU) in upper tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC) patients and to develop a nomogram to predict ineligibility for cisplatin-based adjuvant chemotherapy (AC).

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed 606 consecutive Chinese UTUC patients treated by RNU from 2000 to 2010. We chose an eGFR of 60 and 45 ml/min/1.73 m(2) as cut-offs for full-dose and reduced-dose AC eligibility.

RESULTS

Median eGFR for all patients before and after surgery was 64 and 49 ml/min/1.73 m(2) (P < 0.001). The proportion of patients ineligible to receive full-dose and reduced-dose AC changed from 42% to 74% and from 20% to 38.1%. Older age (OR = 1.007), preoperative eGFR (OR = 0.993), absence of hydronephrosis (OR = 0.801), smaller tumor size (OR = 0.962), and tumor without multifocality (OR = 0.876) were predictive for ineligibility for full-dose AC. Preoperative eGFR (OR = 0.991), absence of hydronephrosis (OR = 0.881), tumor located in renal pelvis (OR = 1.164), and smaller tumor size (OR = 0.969) could predict ineligibility for reduced-dose AC. The c-index of the two models was 0.757 and 0.836. Postoperative renal function was not associated with worse survival.

CONCLUSIONS

Older age, lower preoperative eGFR, smaller tumor size, tumor located in renal pelvis, and absence of hydronephrosis or multifocality were predictors of postoperative renal insufficiency.

Identifying predictors of a difficult thyroidectomy

BACKGROUND

A Thyroidectomy Difficulty Scale (TDS) was previously developed that identified more difficult operations, which correlated with longer operative times and higher complication rates. The purpose of this study was to identify preoperative variables predictive of a more difficult thyroidectomy using the TDS.

METHODS

A four item, 20-point TDS, was used to score the difficulty of thyroid operations. Patient and disease factors were recorded for each patient. Difficult thyroidectomy and non-difficult thyroidectomy (NDT) patients were compared. A final multivariate logistic regression model was constructed with significant (P<0.05) variables from a univariate analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 189 patients were scored using TDS. Of them, 69 (36.5%) suffered from hyperthyroidism, 42 (22.2%) from Hashimotos, 34 (18.0%) from thyroid cancer, and 36 (19.0%) from multinodular goiter. Among hyperthyroid patients, the DT group had a greater number preoperatively treated with Lugols potassium iodide (81.6% DT versus 58.1% NDT, P=0.032), presence of ophthalmopathy (31.6% DT versus 9.7% NDT, P=0.028), and presence of (>4 IU/mL) antithyroglobulin antibodies (34.2% DT versus 12.9% NDT, P=0.05). Using multivariate analysis, hyperthyroidism (odds ratio [OR], 4.35, 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.23-15.36, P=0.02), presence of antithyroglobulin antibody (OR, 3.51, 95% CI, 1.28-9.66, P=0.015), and high (>150 ng/mL) thyroglobulin (OR, 2.61, 95% CI, 1.06-6.42, P=0.037) were independently associated with DT.

CONCLUSIONS

Using TDS, we demonstrated that a diagnosis of hyperthyroidism, preoperative elevation of serum thyroglobulin, and antithyroglobulin antibodies are associated with DT. This tool can assist surgeons in counseling patients regarding personalized operative risk and improve OR scheduling.