Recent surgery or invasive procedures and the risk of stroke

A New Predictive Model for In-Hospital Major Adverse Cardiac and Cerebrovascular Events in Chinese Patients After Major Noncardiac Surgery

Prediction tools focused on cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events after noncardiac surgery are lacking, particularly for Chinese patients. We developed and validated what we believe is a new predictive tool for postoperative major cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCEs) in Chinese patients in this study. Overall, 401 variables derived from 598 patients who received noncardiac surgery at our center were retrospectively analyzed to develop and validate the new predictive model for MACCEs during hospitalization. The 7 strongest predictors for MACCEs in the development cohort were chronic heart failure, age, atrial fibrillation, general anesthesia, history of coronary heart disease, high-risk procedures, and lymphocyte count. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.698 (95% confidence interval 0.616 to 0.780) for the new predictive tool with the validation cohort. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis showed the new predictive tool had better performance than the Revised Cardiac Risk Index and the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program scores. This new predictive tool is effective for the prediction of postoperative MACCEs in patients who undergo noncardiac surgery.

Changes in nationwide in-hospital stroke care during the first four waves of COVID-19 in Germany

INTRODUCTION

In the early stages of the global COVID-19 pandemic hospital admissions for acute ischemic stroke (AIS) decreased substantially. As health systems have become more experienced in dealing with the pandemic, and as the proportion of the population vaccinated rises, it is of interest to determine whether the prevalence of AIS hospitalization and outcomes from hospitalization have returned to normal.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

In this observational, retrospective cohort study, we compared the prevalence and outcomes of AIS during the first four waves of the pandemic to corresponding pre-pandemic periods in 2019 using administrative data collected from a nationwide network of 76 hospitals that manages 7% of all in-hospital cases in Germany.

RESULTS

We included 25,821 AIS cases in the study period (2020/2021) and used 26,295 AIS cases as controls (2019). Compared to pre-pandemic numbers, mean daily AIS admissions decreased only during wave 1 (from 39.6 to 34.1; p < 0.01) and wave 2 (from 39.9 to 38.3; p = 0.03) and returned to normal levels during waves 3 and 4. AIS case fatality increased in wave 1 only (from 6.0% to 7.6%; p = 0.03). We observed a consistent decrease in the prevalences of arterial hypertension, diabetes, and obesity among AIS cases throughout the pandemic and no changes in rates of systemic thrombolysis, mechanical thrombectomy, or decompressive craniectomy. The rate of transfer to stroke units increased only during waves 2 (by 4.6%; p < 0.01) and 3 (by 3.0%; p < 0.01). The proportion of patients with coinciding SARS-CoV-2 and AIS was low, peaking at 3.4% in wave 2 and subsequently decreasing to 0.4% in wave 4.

CONCLUSION

In Germany, the COVID-19 pandemic seems to have had a larger effect on nationwide in-hospital AIS care during the early pandemic stages, in which AIS case numbers decreased and case fatality rose. This may reflect a nationwide "learning curve" within health care systems in providing AIS care in times of a pandemic.

Clinical Implications of Preoperative Nonvalvular Atrial Fibrillation with Respect to Postoperative Cardiovascular Outcomes in Patients Undergoing Non-Cardiac Surgery

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with a higher long-term risk of major cardiovascular events. However, its clinical implications with respect to peri-operative cardiovascular outcomes in patients undergoing non-cardiac surgery is unclear. We tried to examine the association between pre-operative AF and peri-operative cardiovascular outcomes.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed data from 26,501 consecutive patients who underwent comprehensive preoperative cardiac evaluations for risk stratification prior to receiving non-cardiac surgery at our center. Preoperative AF was diagnosed in 1,098 patients (4.1%), and their cardiovascular outcomes were compared with those of patients without AF. The primary outcome was the rate of major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCE) during immediate post-surgery period (<30 days).

RESULTS

Patients with AF were older and had higher proportion of male sex, higher rate of extra-cardiac comorbidities, higher CHA₂DS2-VASc score, and higher revised cardiac risk index (RCRI) compared with those without AF. The rate of MACCE was significantly higher in AF patients compared to non-AF patients (4.6% vs. 1.2%, p<0.001). Preoperative AF was associated with higher risk of MACCE, even after multivariable adjustment (odds ratio, 2.97; 95% confidence interval, 2.13-4.07, p<0.001). The relative contribution of AF to MACCE was larger in patients with lower RCRI (p for interaction=0.010). The discriminating performance of RCRI was significantly enhanced by addition of AF.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients undergoing non-cardiac surgery, preoperative AF was associated with a higher risk of peri-operative cardiovascular outcomes.

Risk of ischemic stroke after discharge from inpatient surgery: Does the type of surgery matter?

OBJECTIVE

Stroke is a well-known and devastating complication during the perioperative period. However, detailed stroke risk profiles within 90 days in patients discharged without stroke after inpatient surgery are not fully understood. Using the case-crossover design, we aimed to evaluate the risk of ischemic stroke in these patients.

METHODS

We included adult patients with the first hospitalization for ischemic stroke between 2011 and 2012 from 23 million enrollees in the National Health Insurance Research Database. Admission date of the hospitalization was defined as the case day and exactly 365 days before the admission date as the control day. The exposure was the last hospitalization for surgery within 1-30, 31-60, or 61-90 days (case period) before the case day or similar time intervals (control period) before the control day. Surgical types were grouped based on the International Classification of Diseases procedure codes. We performed conditional logistic regression adjusting for time-varying variables to determine the relationship between surgery and subsequent stroke, and case-time-control analyses to examine whether the results were confounded by the time-trend in surgery.

RESULTS

A total of 56596 adult patients (41% female, mean age 69 years) comprised the study population. After adjustment was made for confounding variables, an association between stroke and prior inpatient surgery within 30 days was observed (adjusted odds ratio 1.44; 95% confidence interval 1.29-1.61). Cardiothoracic, vascular, digestive surgery, and musculoskeletal surgery within 30 days independently predicted ischemic stroke in the case-crossover analysis. In the case-time-control analysis, inpatient surgery remained an independent risk factor for ischemic stroke, whereas only cardiothoracic, vascular, and digestive surgery independently predicted ischemic stroke.

CONCLUSIONS

Surgery as a whole independently increased the risk of ischemic stroke within 30 days. Among various types of surgery, cardiothoracic, vascular, and digestive surgery significantly increased the risk of ischemic stroke.

Risk of Ischemic Stroke and Transient Ischemic Attack Is Increased up to 90 Days after Non-Carotid and Non-Cardiac Surgery

Background: The risk of stroke after cardiac and carotid surgery is well established. In contrast, stroke risk in association with non-cardiac and non-carotid surgery and its time course are insufficiently known. We investigated the prevalence of recent and planned surgery among patients with stroke and transient ischemic attack (TIA), time dependency of stroke risk, stroke etiology, and interruption of antithrombotic medication in association with surgery. Methods: Data on type and date of surgery and similar interventions within the last year or planned for the next 2 weeks were anonymously collected together with demographic data, vascular risk factors, stroke severity, handicap before stroke and stroke etiology within a state-wide, mandatory, hospital-based acute stroke care quality monitoring project (Rhineland-Palatinate, Germany) for 1 year (2010). Results: Non-carotid and non-cardiothoracic surgery was reported as performed within 1 year before the index event or as planned for the next 2 weeks thereafter in 532 out of 12,120 patients with ischemic stroke/TIA (4.4%). Compared to 91-365 days before stroke/TIA as reference period, risk of cerebral ischemia (per day analysis) was increased for surgery within 61-90 days before ischemia (rate ratio 2.0, 95% CI 1.5-2.8) and continuously increased along shorter intervals between stroke and surgery (31-60 days: rate ratio 3.6, 95% CI 2.9-4.5; 15-30 days: rate ratio 8.2, 95% CI 6.7-10.1; 8-14 days: rate ratio 13.2, 95% CI 10.3-16.8; 4-7 days: rate ratio 16.5, 95% CI 12.2-22.1) peaking at an interval of 1-3 days before ischemia (rate ratio 34.0, 95% CI 26.9-42.8). On the day of surgery, rate ratio was 14.8 (95% CI 7.8-27.9) and for planned surgery it was 2.7 (95% CI 1.8-4.0). Results were similar for first-ever and for recurrent ischemic stroke. Perioperative stroke/TIA was positively associated with atrial fibrillation and cardioembolic stroke etiology, higher mortality, more severe neurological deficits at discharge, and longer hospital stay; and it was inversely associated with microangiopathic etiology and discharge at home. In 34.5% of patients with recent/planned surgery, prior antithrombotic or anticoagulant medication had been interrupted. Conclusions: Recent or planned surgery imposes a considerable short-term stroke risk particularly by cardioembolism with cessation of medication as an important contributor. Stroke after surgery is associated with poor outcome and high mortality. Better strategies to reduce the burden of perioperative stroke are urgently required.

Increased Risk of Hemorrhagic and Ischemic Strokes in Patients With Splenic Injury and Splenectomy: A Nationwide Cohort Study

The spleen is a crucial organ in humans. Little is known about the association between stroke and splenic injury or splenectomy. The aim of this study was to determine the risk of stroke in patients with splenic injury and splenectomy.A nationwide cohort study was conducted by analyzing the National Health Insurance Research Database in Taiwan. For comparison, control patients were selected and matched with splenic injury patients in a ratio of 4:1 according to age, sex, and the year of hospitalization. We analyzed the risks of stroke using a Cox proportional-hazards regression analysis.A total of 11,273 splenic injury patients, including 5294 splenectomized and 5979 nonsplenectomized patients, and 45,092 control patients were included in this study. The incidence rates of stroke were 8.05, 6.53, and 4.25 per 1000 person-years in splenic injury patients with splenectomy, those without splenectomy, and the control cohort, respectively. Compared with the control cohort, splenic injury patients with splenectomy exhibited a 2.05-fold increased risk of stroke (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.8-2.34), whereas those without splenectomy exhibited a 1.74-fold increased risk (95% CI 1.51-2). Splenectomy entailed an additional 1.21-fold increased risk of stroke compared with nonsplenectomy in patients with splenic injury.This study revealed that splenic injury and splenectomy were significantly associated with an increased risk of hemorrhagic and ischemic strokes. The results of this study may alert physicians and patients to the complications of splenic injury and splenectomy.