Survival benefit of sequential curative treatment for TACE suitable BCLC stage B HCC patients

To clarify the survival benefit of sequential curative treatment post transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) for Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage B hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), we retrospectively analyzed HCC patients at a hospital. From July 2017 to July 2020, 787 treatment-naïve HCC patients underwent initial treatment; 77 (9.8%) meeting inclusion criteria were enrolled. Their initial treatments were TACE only (n = 68, 88.3%) or TACE with other treatments (n = 9, 11.7%). Median survival of the TACE-only group was 30 months. Treatment response was evaluated after 2 or 3 consecutive TACEs for patients (54/68, 79.4%) with available pre-/post-TACE computerized tomography (CT) or magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). Treatment responses was divided into 4 groups: complete (n = 14, 26%, group (Gr) 1), incomplete without new tumor growth (n = 28, 52.0%, Gr2), incomplete with new growth (n = 6, 11%, Gr3), and progression (n = 6, 11%, Gr4). Of Gr2, further treatment after TACE were had radiofrequency ablation (n = 13, Gr2a), TACE (n = 9, Gr2b), other modalities (n = 6, Gr2c. Gr2a's median survival was longer than Gr2b's (> 60 vs. 20 months, p = 0.007). Nine patients in Gr2a (69%, 9/13) achieved a complete response, but none in Gr2b (p = 0.001). Conclusively, in TACE-suitable BCLC stage B HCC patients, a partial response without new tumor growth can serve as an indicator of treatment effectiveness following initial TACE treatment. This can facilitate the selection of appropriate candidates to receive RFA, potentially resulting in improved patient survival.

Diagnostic value of serum inflammatory markers in predicting early refractoriness of transarterial chemoembolization in patients with Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer Stage 0, A, and B hepatocellular carcinoma

Transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) is an established therapeutic strategy for intermediate stage Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, patients who are early refractory to TACE may not benefit from repeated TACE treatment. Our primary objective was to assess the diagnostic value of inflammatory markers in identifying early TACE refractory for patients with early (BCLC 0 and A) or intermediate (BCLC B) stage HCC. We retrospectively reviewed the HCC patients who underwent TACE as the initial treatment in two hospitals. Patients with early TACE refractoriness had significantly poorer median overall survival (OS) (16 vs 40 months, P<0.001) and progression-free survival (PFS) (7 vs 23 months, P<0.001) compared to TACE non-refractory patients. In the multivariate regression analysis, tumor size (P<0.001), bilobular invasion (P=0.007), high aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI) (P=0.007), and high alpha fetoprotein (AFP) level (P=0.035) were independent risk factors for early TACE refractoriness. The predictive model showcasing these factors exhibited high ability proficiency, with an area under curve (AUC) of 0.833 (95%CI=0.774-0.892) in the training cohort, 0.750 (95%CI: 0.640-0.861) in the internal-validation cohort, and 0.733 (95%CI: 0.594-0.872) in the external-validation cohort. Calibration curve analysis revealed good agreement between the actual and predicted probabilities of early TACE refractoriness. Our preliminary study estimated the potential value of inflammatory markers in predicting early TACE refractoriness and provides a predictive model to assist in identifying patients who may not benefit from repeat TACE treatment.

Machine learning-based decision support model for selecting intra-arterial therapies for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma: A national real-world evidence-based study

IMPORTANCE

Intra-arterial therapies(IATs) are promising options for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma(HCC). Stratifying the prognostic risk before administering IAT is important for clinical decision-making and for designing future clinical trials.

OBJECTIVE

To develop and validate a machine learning(ML)-based decision support model(MLDSM) for recommending IAT modalities for unresectable HCC.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

Between October 2014 and October 2022, a total of 2,959 patients with HCC who underwent initial IATs were enroled retrospectively from 13 tertiary hospitals. These patients were divided into the training cohort (n = 1700), validation cohort (n = 428), and test cohort (n = 200).

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Thirty-two clinical variables were input, and five supervised ML algorithms, including eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), Categorical Gradient Boosting (CatBoost), Gradient Boosting Decision Tree (GBDT), Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LGBM) and Random Forest (RF), were compared using the areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) with the DeLong test.

RESULTS

A total of 1856 patients were assigned to the IAT alone Group(I-A), and 1103 patients were assigned to the IAT combination Group(I-C). The 12-month death rates were 31.9% (352/1103) in the I-A group and 50.4% (936/1856) in the I-C group. For the test cohort, in the I-C group, the CatBoost model achieved the best discrimination when 30 variables were input, with an AUC of 0.776 (95% confidence intervals [CI], 0.833-0.868). In the I-A group, the LGBM model achieved the best discrimination when 24 variables were input, with an AUC of 0.776 (95% CI, 0.833-0.868). According to the decision trees, BCLC grade, local therapy, and diameter as top three variables were used to guide clinical decisions between IAT modalities.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

The MLDSM can accurately stratify prognostic risk for HCC patients who received IATs, thus helping physicians to make decisions about IAT and providing guidance for surveillance strategies in clinical practice.

Prognosis prediction and risk stratification of transarterial chemoembolization or intraarterial chemotherapy for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma based on machine learning

OBJECTIVE

To develop and validate a risk scoring scale model (RSSM) for stratifying prognostic risk after intra-arterial therapies (IATs) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

Between February 2014 and October 2022, 2338 patients with HCC who underwent initial IATs were consecutively enrolled. These patients were divided into training datasets (TD, n = 1700), internal validation datasets (ITD, n = 428), and external validation datasets (ETD, n = 200). Five-years death was used to predict outcome. Thirty-four clinical information were input and five supervised machine learning (ML) algorithms, including eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), Categorical Gradient Boosting (CatBoost), Gradient Boosting Decision Tree (GBDT), Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LGBT), and Random Forest (RF), were compared using the areas under the receiver operating characteristic (AUC) with DeLong test. The variables with top important ML scores were used to build the RSSM by stepwise Cox regression.

RESULTS

The CatBoost model achieved the best discrimination when 12 top variables were input, with the AUC of 0.851 (95% confidence intervals (CI), 0.833-0.868) for TD, 0.817 (95%CI, 0.759-0.857) for ITD, and 0.791 (95%CI, 0.748-0.834) for ETD. The RSSM was developed based on the immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI) (hazard ratios (HR), 0.678; 95%CI 0.549, 0.837), tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKI) (HR, 0.702; 95%CI 0.605, 0.814), local therapy (HR, 0.104; 95%CI 0.014, 0.747), response to the first IAT (HR, 4.221; 95%CI 2.229, 7.994), tumor size (HR, 1.054; 95%CI 1.038, 1.070), and BCLC grade (HR, 2.375; 95%CI 1.950, 2.894). Kaplan-Meier analysis confirmed the role of RSSM in risk stratification (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The RSSM can stratify accurately prognostic risk for HCC patients received IAT. On the basis, an online calculator permits easy implementation of this model.

CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT

The risk scoring scale model could be easily implemented for physicians to stratify risk and predict prognosis quickly and accurately, thereby serving as a more favorable tool to strengthen individualized intra-arterial therapies and management in patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma.

KEY POINTS

• The Categorical Gradient Boosting (CatBoost) algorithm achieved the optimal and robust predictive ability (AUC, 0.851 (95%CI, 0.833-0.868) in training datasets, 0.817 (95%CI, 0.759-0.857) in internal validation datasets, and 0.791 (95%CI, 0.748-0.834) in external validation datasets) for prediction of 5-years death of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after intra-arterial therapies (IATs) among five machine learning models. • We used the SHapley Additive exPlanations algorithms to explain the CatBoost model so as to resolve the black boxes of machine learning principles. • A simpler restricted variable, risk scoring scale model (RSSM), derived by stepwise Cox regression for risk stratification after intra-arterial therapies for hepatocellular carcinoma, provides the potential forewarning to adopt combination strategies for high-risk patients.

Expanding the Boundaries for Liver Transplantation for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common type of primary liver cancer, which was the third most common cause of cancer death worldwide in 2020. Transplantation remains the preferred treatment for cure in otherwise unresectable HCC. There are several areas of active research that have led to expansion of eligibility criteria for transplantation including local-regional therapy for downstaging patients presenting outside of the Milan criteria and identification of tumor biomarkers aiding in the early diagnosis, determining prognosis and likelihood of recurrence after transplantation for HCC. New neoadjuvant therapies and post-transplant immunosuppression regimens may also result in expansion of transplant eligibility criteria for HCC.

Predictive value of PIVKA-II and AFP for the non-objective response of HBV-associated hepatocellular carcinoma after transarterial chemoembolization: a prospective study

BACKGROUND

To determine the predictive value of serum abnormal prothrombin (PIVKA-II) and alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) for the non-objective response of HBV-associated hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after transarterial chemoembolization (TACE).

METHODS

This prospective study included HBV-associated HCC patients who underwent TACE at the Fourth People's Hospital of Qinghai Province between December 2021 and July 2022. According to contrast-enhanced ultrasound and upper abdomen contrast-enhanced MRI, the patients were divided into the objective response group and the non-objective response group 3 months after TACE.

RESULTS

There were 54 patients, of whom 31 experienced non-objective responses. The PIVKA-II levels in the objective response group were significantly lower than in the non-objective response group at 1 month [352.00 (142.16-722.54) vs. 528.58(241.32-1681.23) mAU/ml, P = 0.005] and 3 months [28.96 (20.01-42.49) vs. 2082.55 (52.63-10 057.30) mAU/ml, P = 0.016] after TACE. The Spearman rank correlation analysis showed no significant correlation between PIVKA-II and AFP (r = 0.315, P > 0.05). The areas under the curve (AUCs) of AFP and PIVKA-II before TACE were 0.632 and 0.529. One month after TACE, the AUC of PIVKA-II combined with AFP (AUC = 0.787) was higher than for PIVKA-II (AUC = 0.658) and AFP (AUC = 0.749).

CONCLUSION

PIVKA-II does not outperform AFP in predicting non-objective response after TACE in HCC patients. The combination of PIVKA-II and AFP might improve the diagnosis of HCC non-objective response after TACE.

Usefulness of Tumor Marker Score for Predicting the Prognosis of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients Treated with Atezolizumab Plus Bevacizumab: A Multicenter Retrospective Study

AIM

This study aimed to evaluate the ability of a previously reported tumor marker (TM) score involving alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), fucosylated AFP (AFP-L3), and des gamma-carboxy prothrombin (DCP) as TMs in predicting the prognosis and therapeutic efficacy in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients administered atezolizumab plus bevacizumab (Atez/Bev) as first-line treatment.

MATERIALS/METHODS

The study period covered September 2020 to December 2022 and involved 371 HCC patients treated with Atez/Bev. The values of the TMs AFP, AFP-L3, and DCP were measured upon introducing Atez/Bev. Elevations in the values of AFP (≥100 ng/mL), AFP-L3 (≥10%), and DCP (≥100 mAU/mL) were considered to indicate a positive TM. The number of positive TMs was summed up and used as the TM score, as previously proposed. Hepatic reserve function was assessed using the modified albumin-bilirubin grade (mALBI). Predictive values for prognosis were evaluated retrospectively.

RESULTS

A TM score of 0 was shown in 81 HCC patients (21.8%), 1 in 110 (29.6%), 2 in 112 (29.9%), and 3 in 68 (18.3%). The median overall survival (OS) times for TM scores 0, 1, 2, and 3 were not applicable [NA] (95% CI NA-NA), 24.0 months (95% CI 17.8-NA), 16.7 months (95% CI 17.8-NA), and NA (95% CI 8.3-NA), respectively (p < 0.001). The median progression-free survival (PFS) times for TM scores 0, 1, 2, and 3 were 16.5 months (95% CI 8.0-not applicable [NA]), 13.8 months (95% CI 10.6-21.3), 7.7 months (95% CI 5.3-8.9), and 5.8 months (95% CI 3.0-7.6), respectively (p < 0.001). OS was well stratified in mALBI 1/2a and mALBI 2a/2b. PFS was well stratified in mALBI 2a/2b, but not in mALBI 1/2a.

CONCLUSIONS

The TM score involving AFP, AFP-L3, and DCP as TMs was useful in predicting the prognosis and therapeutic efficacy in terms of OS and PFS in HCC patients administered Atez/Bev as first-line treatment.

Prognostic value of des-γ-carboxyprothrombin in patients with AFP-negative HCC treated with TACE

In patients with AFP-negative hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), des-γ-carboxyprothrombin (DCP) is an important prognostic indicator for the preoperative assessment of transarterial chemoembolization (TACE). However, the association between the serum DCP levels and the degree of progression and prognosis of patients with AFP-negative HCC treated with TACE has not been thoroughly investigated to date, and the molecular mechanism is also unclear. The present study retrospectively analyzed the clinical data of 107 patients with AFP-negative HCC treated with TACE and divided them into two groups based on the median serum DCP levels. The association between DCP and the clinical characteristics of the patients was analyzed, and the survival data were analyzed using Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox regression models. The results demonstrated that the median follow-up time was 755 days (range, 64-1,556 days), and patients in the low-DCP group (n=11; 20.8%) had a lower mortality rate than those in the high-DCP group (n=20; 37.0%). Cox multivariate regression analysis suggested that preoperative lymph node metastasis [hazard ratio (HR), 3.903; 95% CI, 1.778-8.519; P=0.001] and DCP group (HR, 2.465; 95% CI, 1.038-5.854; P=0.041) were independent risk factors. Furthermore, the Gene Expression Omnibus database was utilized to screen differentially expressed mRNAs. Enrichment analyses were then performed, and a protein-protein interaction (PPI) network was constructed to identify hub genes. A total of 169 differentially expressed genes were screened. Enrichment analyses revealed that cancer-related and ribosomal pathways were significantly enriched. Furthermore, 10 hub genes were identified in the PPI network by counting the number of gene interactions, the majority of which belonged to the ribosomal protein (RPS) family, and the top three significant genes were RPS23, RPS11 and RPS3A. In patients with AFP-negative HCC, higher serum DCP levels were associated with poor prognosis after TACE. This may be associated with genes such as those belonging to the RPS family, which may contribute to future personalized therapy for this disease.

Transarterial chemoembolization failure/refractoriness: A scientific concept or pseudo-proposition

Multi-session transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) is usually needed for the treatment of intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), but it may not always have a positive influence on prognosis due to high heterogeneity of HCC. To avoid ineffective repeated TACE, the concept of TACE failure/refractoriness has been proposed by several organizations and is being addressed using tyrosine kinase inhibitors. The concept of TACE failure/refractoriness is controversial due to ambiguous definitions and low evidence-based data. To date, only a few studies have examined the rationality concerning the definition of TACE failure/refractoriness, although the concept has been introduced and applied in many TACE-related clinical trials. This review focuses on some of the issues related to different versions of TACE failure/refractoriness, the rationality of related definitions, and the feasibility of continuing TACE after so-called failure/refractoriness based on published evidence. A suggestion to re-define TAEC failure/refractoriness is also put forward.

Clinical utility of serum fucosylated fraction of alpha-fetoprotein in the diagnostic of hepatocellular carcinoma: a comprehensive analysis with large sample size

We conducted a comprehensive meta-analysis of the utility of AFP-L3 for the diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma, to provide a more accurate estimation for the clinical utility of AFP-L3. We performed online searches in five databases (PubMed, China National Knowledge Infrastructure, Wanfang, Web of Science, and Embase), from inception to December 31, 2021. Pooled sensitivity, specificity, and area under the curve (AUC) with the matching 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) were calculated to estimate the diagnostic value of AFP-L3. Thirty-four studies were included in the meta-analysis. The pooled sensitivity was 0.70 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.63-0.77], and the specificity was 0.91 (95% CI: 0.88-0.94). The estimated area under the curve (AUC) was 0.90 (95% CI: 0.87-0.92). The positive likelihood ratio and negative likelihood ratio were 7.78 (95% CI: 5.7-10.7) and 0.33 (95% CI: 0.26-0.41), respectively. The diagnostic odds ratio was 24 (95% CI: 16-37). The subgroup analysis indicated moderate sensitivity (0.79) and high specificity (0.89) for the Asian population (AUC = 0.89), and similar specificity (0.95) but lower sensitivity (0.35) for Caucasians (AUC = 0.80). Deeks' funnel plot asymmetry test detected no publication bias (P = 0.460). The sensitivity analysis showed that the pooled results were stable. Taken together, our results indicated that AFP-L3 demonstrates high diagnostic ability for HCC, especially among Asian populations. AFP-L3 is a useful means for high-volume screening, which can help doctors optimize diagnosis workflow, reduce workload, and improve detection sensitivity. The combination of multiple biomarkers may provide more accurate diagnostic tools for HCC in the future.

Clinical evaluation of Elecsys PIVKA-II for patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma

Background

Prothrombin induced by vitamin K absence-II (PIVKA-II) was reported as a diagnosis and prognosis marker for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Although the development of systemic therapies for advanced HCC has been remarkable, the role of PIVKA-II is unclear. This prospective study aimed to verify Elecsys PIVKA-II compared with Lumipulse PIVKA-II in a cohort with advanced HCC undergoing systemic therapy.

Methods

A total of 62 HCC patients who were treated with atezolizumab and bevacizumab (ATZ+BEV) and molecular targeted agents (MTAs) were prospectively enrolled at Musashino Red Cross Hospital from January 2020 to December 2020. A total of 208 serum samples from 52 patients were tested using Elecsys PIVKA-II and Lumipulse PIVKA-II assays. Furthermore, the relationship of Elecsys PIVKA-II and progression-free survival (PFS) was investigated with 48 patients (24 ATZ+BEV and 24 MTAs) whose Lumipulse PIVKA-II levels were >40 mAU/mL.

Results

In the test accuracy analysis, the Elecsys assay has a correlation coefficient (R) of 0.92 compared with that of the Lumipulse assay (ATZ+BEV, 0.95; MTAs, 0.91). In the PFS analysis, the number of patients who received ATZ+BEV and MTAs as first- and late-line therapy were 9 and 13, and 15 and 11, respectively. The PIVKA-II response was defined for patients who had a reduction in the Elecsys PIVKA-II level on the first month of treatment evaluation. The PFS of patients with Elecsys PIVKA-II response was significantly longer than that of nonresponse patients (5.8 months vs 3.8 months, p = 0.0205).

Conclusion

The Elecsys PIVKA-II was not only as useful as the Lumipulse PIVKA-II but also for stratifying the PFS of patients with advanced HCC.

Research Progress in Alpha-Fetoprotein-Induced Immunosuppression of Liver Cancer

Abstract:

Liver cancer is one of the most common malignant tumors, with limited treatment and 8.2% high mortality. Liver cancer is the fourth leading cause of cancer-related deaths, which seriously endangers human life and health. Approximately 70% of liver cancer patients show increased serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) levels. AFP is the main diagnostic and prognostic indicator of liver cancer. AFP, a key marker of liver cancer, plays a crucial role in regulating the proliferation of tumor cells, apoptosis, and induction of cellular immune escape. High levels of AFP during embryonic development protect the embryos from maternal immune attack. AFP also promotes immune escape of liver cancer cells by inhibiting tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs), natural killer cells (NK), dendritic cells (DC), and macrophages; thus, it is also used as a target antigen in immunotherapy for liver cancer. AFP is highly expressed in liver cancer cells. In addition to being used in the diagnosis of liver cancer, it has become a target of immunotherapy for liver cancer as a tumor-associated antigen. In immunotherapy, it was also confirmed that early AFP response was positively correlated with the efficacy of immunotherapy. Early AFP responders had longer PFS and OS than non-responders. At present, the methods of immunotherapy for liver cancer mainly include Adoptive Cell Transfer Therapy (ACT), tumor vaccine therapy, immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) therapy and so on. A large number of studies have shown that AFP mainly plays a role in ACT and liver cancer vaccines. This review presents the research progress of AFP and immunosuppression of liver cancer.

Reductions in AFP and PIVKA-II can predict the efficiency of anti-PD-1 immunotherapy in HCC patients

BACKGROUND

Few biomarkers can predict the efficiency of PD-1 blockade in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This study aimed to investigate the prognostic role of AFP and PIVKA-II in HCC patients receiving anti-PD-1 immunotherapy.

METHODS

A total of 235 HCC patients treated with PD-1 blockade were enrolled. Serum AFP and PIVKA-II levels were collected before and after treatments. The patients were divided into groups based on the reduction in AFP and PIVKA-II: AFP reduction ≤50% vs AFP reduction > 50% and PIVKA-II reduction ≤50% vs PIVKA-II reduction > 50%. The primary endpoints included objective response rate (ORR), progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). Binary logistic regression analyses were used to explore the related factors of ORR. A Cox proportional hazards model was employed to identify the potential prognostic factors of PFS and OS.

RESULTS

Among all the patients, 34.9% (82/235) achieved a complete or partial response. There was a positive correlation between AFP reduction > 50% or PIVKA-II reduction> 50% and the ORR of PD-1 blockade (P < 0.001 and = 0.003). PFS was significantly improved in patients with AFP reduction > 50% and PIVKA-II reduction > 50% (p < 0.001 and = 0.021). In addition, AFP reduction > 50% and PIVKA-II reduction> 50% were positively correlated with longer OS (p = 0.003 and 0.006).

CONCLUSION

Early reductions in AFP and PIVKA-II can be predictors of the efficacy of PD-1 blockade in HCC patients.

Development of TACE Refractoriness Scores in Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Purpose: To identify the independent risk factors for transarterial embolization (TACE) refractoriness and to develop a novel TACE refractoriness score and nomogram for predicting TACE refractoriness in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

Methods: Between March 2006 and March 2016, HCC patients who underwent TACE monotherapy as initial treatment at two hospitals formed the study cohort and validation cohort. The criteria of TACE refractoriness followed the Japan Society of Hepatology 2014 version of TACE refractoriness. In the study cohort, the independent risk factors for TACE refractoriness were identified, and TACE refractoriness score and nomogram were then developed. The accuracy of the systems was validated externally in the validation cohort.

Results: In total, 113 patients from hospital A formed the study cohort and 122 patients from hospital B formed the validation cohort. In the study cohort, 82.3% of the patients (n = 93) developed TACE refractoriness with a median overall survival (OS) of 540 days (95% CI, 400.8–679.1), and the remaining 20 patients in the TACE-non-refractory group had a median OS of 1,257 days (95% CI, 338.8–2,175.2) (p = 0.019). The median time for developing TACE refractoriness was 207 days (95% CI, 134.8–279.2), and a median number of two TACE procedures were performed after refractoriness developed. The independent risk factors for TACE refractoriness were the number of tumors and bilobular invasion of HCC. TACE refractoriness scores <3.5 indicated a lower incidence of TACE refractoriness, whereas scores >3.5 points indicated a higher incidence (p < 0.001). In the validation cohort, 77.9% of the patients (n = 95) developed TACE refractoriness with a median OS of 568 days (95% CI, 416.3–719.7), and a median OS of 1,324 days was observed in the TACE-non-refractory group (n = 27; 95% CI, 183.5–2,464.5).

Conclusions: TACE refractoriness impairs the OS of HCC patients. The number of tumors and bilobular invasion status were independent risk factors for TACE refractoriness. The TACE refractoriness score can be an effective tool and easy approach to predict the risk of TACE refractoriness status.

Value of AFP and PIVKA-II in diagnosis of HBV-related hepatocellular carcinoma and prediction of vascular invasion and tumor differentiation

Background

To explore the value of alpha fetoprotein (AFP) and protein induced by vitamin K absence or antagonist-II (PIVKA-II) in diagnosis of HBV-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and their relationship with vascular invasion, tumor differentiation and size.

Methods

A total of 433 participants were enrolled in this study including 266 cases with HBV-related HCC, 87 cases with HBV DNA positive benign liver disease and 80 healthy individuals. Then we explored the correlation between AFP, PIVKA-II serum level and several pathological features such as vascular invasion, tumor differentiation and size. The value of these two markers used singly or jointly in diagnosing HBV-related HCC was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. The ROC curve was also plotted to identify AFP, PIVKA-II serum cut-off values that would best distinguish HBV-related HCC patients with and without vascular invasion.

Results

The level of AFP and PIVKA-II in HBV-related HCC group was significantly higher (Z was 7.428, 11.243 respectively, all P < 0.01). When AFP and PIVKA-II were used as the individual tumor marker, the areas under the ROC curve (AUC) of HBV-related HCC diagnosis were 0.765 (95% CI, 0.713 ~ 0.8170) for AFP, 0.901 (95% CI, 0.868 ~ 0.935) for PIVKA-II, and 0.917 (95% CI, 0.886 ~ 0.948) for AFP and PIVKA-II simultaneously. The serum levels of AFP and PIVKA-II were positively correlated with tumor differentiation and size. High AFP and PIVKA-II expression was significantly associated with the presence of vascular invasion (P was 0.007 and 0.014 respectively). The AFP level > 64.4 ng/ml or PIVKA-II level > 957.61mAU/ml was the best critical value to predict the presence of vascular invasion.

Conclusion

Our results validate that AFP and PIVKA-II play a significant role in the diagnosis of HBV-related HCC. The diagnostic value of AFP and PIVKA-II combined detection or single assay of PIVKA-II is higher than that of separate assay of AFP. Moreover, their concentration has important clinical value in judging tumor size, tumor cell differentiation and vascular invasion.

Newly Proposed ALBI Grade and ALBI-T Score as Tools for Assessment of Hepatic Function and Prognosis in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients

BACKGROUND

Because of the rapid progression of antiviral treatment options and the increasing frequency of nonviral-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) due to the aging of society, the number of HCC patients with good hepatic function has been increasing and a more detailed method of assessment of hepatic function is needed. The Child-Pugh classification (CP) is used worldwide as an assessment tool for hepatic reserve function, even though it has some weaknesses. Recently, the albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade, calculated based on only albumin and total bilirubin, was proposed, and recent investigations have suggested that ALBI grade instead of CP can be used as an assessment tool for hepatic function as part of therapeutic strategies such as Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer staging and a practical guideline presented by the Japan Society of Hepatology as well for total staging scoring systems. There has been an increasing number of reports showing that it has better capability than CP for HCC patients who undergo not only curative but also palliative treatments. Transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) is a major palliative treatment used for unresectable HCC, and the idea of TACE-refractory status has been proposed to indicate the possibility of switching to a tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI). However, TKI administration requires a maintained hepatic reserve function, thus the importance of assessment of hepatic function in patients undergoing TACE treatments has increased. We consider that ALBI grade might also play a significant role as part of a detailed assessment of relative changes in hepatic function during treatment. In this review, we evaluate the practical usefulness of ALBI grade for assessing hepatic function and HCC prognosis.

KEY MESSAGE

A detailed assessment of hepatic function is required for recent HCC therapeutic strategies. ALBI grade may be a powerful tool to improve treatment options for affected patients.

Prediction of Prognosis of Intermediate-Stage HCC Patients: Validation of the Tumor Marker Score in a Nationwide Database in Japan

BACKGROUND/AIM

Adequate assessment of transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE)-refractory status has become more important for switching treatment in intermediate-stage (BCLC-B) hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients treated with TACE. The usefulness of a previously proposed tumor marker score for predicting prognosis of BCLC-B HCC patients treated with TACE was investigated.

METHODS

Using a nationwide database, we examined the records of 1,306 naïve BCLC-B HCC with Child-Pugh A who were treated from 2001 to 2007, after excluding those with missing data (hepatic function or tumor markers) or cases with a single large tumor. Alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) ≥100 ng/mL, fucosylated AFP (AFP-L3) ≥10%, and des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin ≥100 mAU/mL were markers used to define positive cases. The number of positive tumor markers was used as a prognostic score, and its predictive value was evaluated in a retrospective manner.

RESULTS

Median survival time became shorter along with increased score (0, 1, ≥2 = 4.8, 3.8, 3.2 years, respectively; p < 0.01). Tumor marker score (≥2; hazard ratio [HR] 1.675, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.372-2.044, p < 0.001), serum levels of albumin (≥3.5 g/dL; HR 0.726, 95% CI 0.528-0.997, p = 0.048), and up-to-7 criteria (HR 1.673, 95% CI 1.400-2.000, p < 0.001) were significant prognostic factors for death in the Cox hazard multivariate analysis.

CONCLUSION

Tumor marker score had a useful predictive prognostic value in BCLC-B HCC treated with TACE. Especially in patients with a tumor marker score of 2 or greater, a poor therapeutic response should be expected, and appropriate judgement of TACE-refractory status is necessary.

Associated measurement of fucosylated levels of AFP, DCP, and GPC3 for early diagnosis in hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma is a serious health problem worldwide, especially in Asian countries, such as China. However, there are difficulties in diagnosing and treating hepatocellular carcinoma. The alteration of fucosylated proteins was closely associated with carcinogenesis. This study is designed to evaluate the early diagnostic value of associated detection of fucosylated alpha-fetoprotein (fuc-AFP), fucosylated des-γ-carboxy prothrombin (fuc-DCP), and fucosylated glypican 3 (fuc-GPC3) in hepatocellular carcinoma.

METHODS

All serum specimens collected from patients were diagnosed by complete clinicopathological examination and then subjected to the associated detection of fuc-AFP, fuc-DCP, and fuc-GPC3 by protein microarray. Canonical discriminant analysis was adopted to discriminate between the hepatocellular carcinoma group and the benign liver disease group.

RESULTS

A total of 51 patients with hepatocellular carcinoma and 47 patients in the benign liver disease group were included in this study. Fuc-AFP, fuc-DCP, and fuc-GPC3 were significantly higher in the hepatocellular carcinoma group than in the benign liver disease group. The sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy of canonical discriminant analysis classification were 80.4%, 97.9%, and 88.8%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Fuc-AFP, fuc-DCP, and fuc-GPC3 are effective and useful tumor biomarkers. Associated measurement of these biomarkers with canonical discriminant analysis classification is a promising method for the early diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma.

Serum long noncoding RNA LRB1 as a potential biomarker for predicting the diagnosis and prognosis of human hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a type of malignant tumor with a high mortality rate. Long non-coding RNAs (lncRNAs) serve important roles in cellular processes and gene regulation. Identifying novel prognostic biomarkers is important for the monitoring and treatment of HCC. However, only a limited number of biomarkers with high sensitivity and specificity have been determined and are used in clinical practice. The aim of the present study was to investigate the use of serum lncRNA uc007biz.1 (LRB1) expression levels as a novel non-invasive biomarker for the monitoring and diagnosis of HCC. The expression levels of LRB1 were detected in 326 patients with HCC and 73 healthy volunteers by using lncRNA expression microarrays and reverse transcription quantitative polymerase chain reaction analysis, and the associations between LRB1 expression and clinical parameters were analyzed. The results indicated that the serum LRB1 levels in patients with HCC were significantly increased compared with healthy volunteers. The serum LRB1 levels were positively associated with α-fetoprotein (AFP) expression, large tumor sizes, tumor stage (tumor-node metastasis or Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage) and venous invasion, and were negatively associated with overall survival. Additionally, the use of a combination of LRB1, AFP and des-γ-carboxy prothrombin (DCP) markers for the diagnosis of HCC, the diagnostic accuracy was increased compared with using LRB1 alone. LRB1 may act as an important regulator in the progression of HCC, and LRB1 may be considered as a novel biomarker for diagnosis and prediction of prognosis of HCC, additionally complementing the accuracy of AFP and DCP.

Up-to-seven criteria as a useful predictor for tumor downstaging to within Milan criteria and Child-Pugh grade deterioration after initial conventional transarterial chemoembolization

AIM

Intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma varies widely in tumor burden and liver function. This study aimed to clarify the importance of subclassification by the up-to-seven criteria in both clinical course and liver function deterioration in such patients.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed 224 patients with Child-Pugh grade A who underwent initial transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) for hepatocellular carcinoma. Tumor downstaging to within the Milan criteria within 1 year and liver function worsening as Child-Pugh grade deterioration from A to B were analyzed.

RESULTS

The median survival time was 35.8 months. Forty-five patients had no recurrence within 1 year after initial TACE. Of the 179 patients with at least one recurrence within a year, 44 (25%) achieved tumor downstaging to within the Milan criteria and showed significantly longer survival than non-downstaged ones (P = 0.02). Logistic regression univariate analysis revealed that up-to-seven criteria fulfillment was associated with tumor downstaging to within the Milan criteria (odds ratio 2.6; P = 0.007). The median deterioration time was 26.7 months. Multivariate analysis revealed that beyond the up-to-seven criteria (hazard ratio [HR] 1.9; P = 0.005) was an independent factor associated with Child-Pugh grade deterioration, along with serum albumin (HR 1.54; P = 0.01), serum bilirubin (HR 1.49; P = 0.02), and prothrombin time (HR 1.54; P = 0.04).

CONCLUSIONS

The up-to-seven criteria had prognostic value and could predict non-critical recurrence and maintenance of Child-Pugh grade in patients who underwent initial conventional TACE.

Effectiveness of PIVKA-II in the detection of hepatocellular carcinoma based on real-world clinical data

Background

Protein Induced by Vitamin K Absence or Antagonist-II (PIVKA-II) is an efficient biomarker specific for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Some researchers have proved that levels of PIVKA-II reflect HCC oncogenesis and progression. However, the effectiveness of PIVKA-II based on real-world clnical data has barely been studied.

Methods

A total of 14,861 samples were tested in Southwest Hospital in over 2 years’ time. Among them, 4073 samples were PIVKA-II positive. Finally, a total of 2070 patients with at least two image examinations were enrolled in this study. Levels of AFP and PIVKA-II were measured by chemiluminescence enzyme immunoassay (CLEIA) and chemiluminescent microparticle Immunoassay (CMIA), respectively.

Results

A total of 1016 patients with HCC were detected by PIVKA-II in a real-world application. In all these cases, 88.7% cases primarily occurred and patients with advanced HCC covered 61.3%. Levels of PIVKA-II were significantly higher in advanced group (4650.0 mAU/ml, 667.0–33,438.0 mAU/ml) than early-stage group (104.5 mAU/ml, 61.0–348.8 mAU/ml; P < 0.001). Levels of PIVKA-II elevated significantly in recurrence and residual group than recovery group (P < 0.001). A total of 1054 PIVKA-II positive patients were non-HCC cases. Among them, cirrhosis took the largest part (46.3%), followed by hepatitis (20.6%) and benign nodules (15.3%). High-levels of PIVKA-II in at-risk patients is an indicator of HCC development in two-year time.

Conclusions

Our data showed that PIVKA-II effectively increases the detection rate of HCC was a valid complement to AFP and image examination in HCC surveillance.

Clinical multi-omics strategies for the effective cancer management

Cancer is a global health issue as a multi-factorial complex disease, and early detection and novel therapeutic strategies are required for more effective cancer management. With the development of systemic analytical -omics strategies, the therapeutic approach and study of the molecular mechanisms of carcinogenesis and cancer progression have moved from hypothesis-driven targeted investigations to data-driven untargeted investigations focusing on the integrated diagnosis, treatment, and prevention of cancer in individual patients. Predictive, preventive, and personalized medicine (PPPM) is a promising new approach to reduce the burden of cancer and facilitate more accurate prognosis, diagnosis, as well as effective treatment. Here we review the fundamentals of, and new developments in, -omics technologies, together with the key role of a variety of practical -omics strategies in PPPM for cancer treatment and diagnosis.

BIOLOGICAL SIGNIFICANCE

In this review, a comprehensive and critical overview of the systematic strategy for predictive, preventive, and personalized medicine (PPPM) for cancer disease was described in a view of cancer prognostic prediction, diagnostics, and prevention as well as cancer therapy and drug responses. We have discussed multi-dimensional data obtained from various resources and integration of multisciplinary -omics strategies with computational method which could contribute the more effective PPPM for cancer. This review has provided the novel insights of the current applications of each and combined -omics technologies, which showed their powerful potential for the establishment of PPPM for cancer.

Recurrence After Liver Transplantation for Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A New MORAL to the Story

OBJECTIVE

We sought to develop a "Model Of Recurrence After Liver transplant" (MORAL) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

BACKGROUND

The Milan criteria are used to allocate livers to patients with HCC requiring liver transplantation (LT) but do not include objective measures of tumor biology. Biological markers including the neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) have been associated with recurrence risk.

METHODS

Prospective cohort study of adults undergoing LT for HCC between January 2001 and December 2012.

RESULTS

A total of 339 patients were included. On multivariable Cox regression analysis, 3 preoperatively available factors were independent predictors of worse recurrence-free survival (RFS), namely, an NLR ≥ 5 (P < 0.0001, hazard ratio, HR: 6.2), AFP > 200 (P < 0.0001, HR: 3.8), and Size >3 cm (P < 0.001, HR: 3.2). The Pre-MORAL score was constructed from the hazard ratios and assigning patients points in an additive fashion, with a minimum of 0 points (no factors) and a maximum of 13 points (all 3 factors). The highest risk patients in the Pre-MORAL had a 5-year RFS of 17.9% compared with 98.6% for the low risk group (P < 0.0001). The post-MORAL was constructed similarly using the 4 postoperatively available independent predictors of worse RFS, grade 4 HCC's (P < 0.0001, HR: 5.6), vascular invasion (P = 0.019, HR: 2.0), size >3 cm (P < 0.0001, HR: 3.2) and number >3 (P = 0.048, HR: 1.8). The pre- and post-MORAL were superior to Milan at predicting recurrence with c-statistics of 0.82 and 0.87, compared with 0.63, respectively. We then combined the scores to produce a combo-MORAL, with a c-statistic of 0.91 for predicting recurrence.

CONCLUSIONS

The MORAL score provides a simple, highly accurate tool for predicting recurrence and risk-stratification pre- and postoperatively.

Biomarkers in hepatocellular carcinoma: an overview

Current methods for HCC diagnosis have not an optimal diagnostic accuracy. The detection of more than one biomarker seems to improve their individual performance and provide an accurate HCC diagnosis approach. Individual gene expression seems to influence whether or not the treatment is successful, since several molecules have interfere with cancer associated pathways and have been related to poor prognosis which condition the lack of effective treatment options. Areas covered: Novel biomarkers have been proposed as a useful tool in each patient prognosis. This article aims to review the recent evidence based on HCC biomarkers which seems to have a regulative role according to tumor cell development leading to a specific biological response. Epigenetic regulation, miRNAs, and genome sequencing analysis propose molecular expression signatures as novel biomarkers which allowed achieve the major goal for the use of biomarkers in clinical practice. Moreover, a deeper analysis for determine the diagnostic accuracy of biomarkers has been made. Expert commentary: To improve of methodological designs and sample sizes are needed in order to support the role of biomarkers in HCC. Furthermore, is necessary to consider HCC etiologies and all clinic disease context to carried out clinical phase studies to thrust biomarkers application.

Muscle volume loss as a prognostic marker in hepatocellular carcinoma patients treated with sorafenib

AIM

To elucidate the clinical significance of muscle wasting in regard to survival of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients undergoing sorafenib treatment, we evaluated prognostic factors including muscle wasting at the start of sorafenib treatment.

METHODS

We enrolled 93 patients with unresectable HCC (68.3 ± 9.4 years old, 81 men, 12 women, Child-Pugh score 5:6:7 = 69:22:2) who were treated with sorafenib. Muscle wasting was evaluated based on psoas muscle area index (psoas muscle area at level of middle of third lumbar vertebra [cm² ] / height [m]² ) calculated from computed tomography findings. Previously reported cut-off values for muscle wasting in men and women (4.24 and 2.50 cm² /m² , respectively) were used. Patients were divided into those with (muscle-atrophy group, n = 20) and without (non-atrophy group, n = 73) muscle wasting.

RESULTS

There were no significant differences in regard to etiology, Child-Pugh classification, and tumor-node-metastasis stage between the groups. In contrast, body mass index in the muscle-atrophy group was lower (20.9 ± 2.4 vs. 23.5 ± 3.4, P = 0.003). Although time to progression was not different (median 2.1 vs. 2.8 months, P = 0.242), the 6-, 12-, and 18-month survival rates were worse in the muscle-atrophy group (62.7%, 32.3%, and 32.3% vs. 78.3%, 64.7% and 48.1%, respectively, P = 0.042). In multivariate Cox hazard analysis, des-γ-carboxy prothrombin level (≥100 mAU/mL) (hazard ratio, 2.540; P = 0.018) and positive for muscle wasting (hazard ratio, 2.158; P = 0.032) were significant prognostic factors at the start of sorafenib treatment.

CONCLUSION

Muscle wasting is an important prognostic factor in patients treated with sorafenib.

Clinical application of protein induced by vitamin K antagonist-II as a biomarker in hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the third leading cause of cancer deaths worldwide. Early diagnosis improves the prognosis. Protein induced by vitamin K antagonist-II (PIVKA-II) is an effective serum biomarker for HCC diagnosis and prognosis. Combined with another serum biomarker α-fetoprotein (AFP), the sensitivity and specificity of HCC diagnosis can be improved to a maximum of 94 and 98.5 %, respectively. PIVKA-II alone or in combination with AFP and/or AFP-L3 was effective in predicting the treatment response and clinical outcome of curative hepatic resection, chemotherapy, targeted therapy, radiotherapy, and liver transplantation. Japanese clinical guidelines recommend the combined use of PIVKA-II and AFP for the diagnosis of HCC, management of high-risk population, and prognosis of anticancer treatment. Further, PIVKA-II as a functional target promoted HCC cell proliferation, invasion, and metastasis by activating c-Met and other signal transduction pathways. Inhibition of PIVKA-II may provide a selective and effective therapy for HCC.

Proposed New Sub-Grouping for Intermediate-Stage Hepatocellular Carcinoma Using Albumin-Bilirubin Grade

AIM

We retrospectively evaluated the efficacy of albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade, which has been proposed as a new classification for hepatic function, for evaluation of the prognosis of intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer criteria stage B, BCLC-B).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We enrolled 754 naïve BCLC-B patients (multiple tumors) and retrospectively analyzed their clinical features [surgical resection (hepatectomy), n = 170; radiofrequency ablation (RFA), n = 110; percutaneous ethanol injection, n = 7; transcatheter arterial chemoembolization, n = 396; others, n = 25; best supportive care, n = 46]. Four sub-groups were defined for the Modified Intermediate Stage of Liver Cancer (MICAN) criteria as follows: B1 (ALBI-1/within up-to-7 criteria), B2 (ALBI-2/within up-to-7 criteria), B3 (ALBI-1 and ALBI-2/multiple and beyond up-to-7 criteria), and B4 (ALBI-3/any).

RESULTS

The median survival time of patients classified as B1 (n = 94), B2 (n = 175), B3 (n = 452), and B4 (n = 33) was 65.1, 48.1, 29.6, and 14.6 months, respectively (p < 0.01 for each). Those in B1 treated with hepatectomy and RFA comprised 67.0%, while that ratio was 51.4% in B2, 28.3% in B3, and 12.1% in B4.

CONCLUSION

The MICAN criteria based on ALBI grade are simple and useful for prediction of prognosis and therapy decision-making in the heterogeneous population of BCLC-B patients.

Usefulness of albumin-bilirubin grade for evaluation of prognosis of 2584 Japanese patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND AND AIM

The Child-Pugh classification has some non-objective factors, with chronic hepatitis indistinguishable from early liver cirrhosis in Child-Pugh A. We retrospectively evaluated the efficacy of albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade, which has been proposed as a new classification for hepatic function, for grading hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients based on hepatic function and predicting their prognosis.

METHOD

From 2000 to 2014, 2584 naïve HCC [69.0 ± 9.8 years old, 1850 men, 734 female, Child-Pugh class A:B:C = 1871:558:155] were enrolled. TNM staging was determined using the classification of the Liver Cancer Study Group of Japan and ALBI grade, instead of Child-Pugh classification (ALBI with TNM score: ALBI-T score) (Table 1), and is similar to the Japan Integrated Staging (JIS) score. We retrospectively compared ALBI-T and JIS scores in these patients.

RESULTS

Of patients classified as Child-Pugh A (n = 1871), 1285 with 5 points were divided into 858 with ALBI grade 1 and 427 with grade 2, while 586 with 6 points were divided into 53 with grade 1 and 533 with grade 2. The ratio of ALBI grade 2 patients with a Child-Pugh score of 6 points (91.0%) was similar to that of those with 7 points (91.8%). Patients with a lower ALBI-T score (0-5 points) showed a better median survival time than those with a corresponding lower JIS score [137.7:83.2:53.4:27.4:5.0:1.4 vs 97.6:74.9:39.7:15.0:4.0:1.0 months].

CONCLUSION

Albumin-bilirubin grade was found to be superior for distinguishing patients with better hepatic function. ALBI-T scoring may be a better total prognostic scoring system for predicting survival of Japanese patients with HCC.