Utilizing Artificial Intelligence to Manage COVID-19 Scientific Evidence Torrent with Risklick AI: A Critical Tool for Pharmacology and Therapy Development

Artificial intelligence and illusions of understanding in scientific research

Scientists are enthusiastically imagining ways in which artificial intelligence (AI) tools might improve research. Why are AI tools so attractive and what are the risks of implementing them across the research pipeline? Here we develop a taxonomy of scientists' visions for AI, observing that their appeal comes from promises to improve productivity and objectivity by overcoming human shortcomings. But proposed AI solutions can also exploit our cognitive limitations, making us vulnerable to illusions of understanding in which we believe we understand more about the world than we actually do. Such illusions obscure the scientific community's ability to see the formation of scientific monocultures, in which some types of methods, questions and viewpoints come to dominate alternative approaches, making science less innovative and more vulnerable to errors. The proliferation of AI tools in science risks introducing a phase of scientific enquiry in which we produce more but understand less. By analysing the appeal of these tools, we provide a framework for advancing discussions of responsible knowledge production in the age of AI.

Classifying literature mentions of biological pathogens as experimentally studied using natural language processing

BACKGROUND

Information pertaining to mechanisms, management and treatment of disease-causing pathogens including viruses and bacteria is readily available from research publications indexed in MEDLINE. However, identifying the literature that specifically characterises these pathogens and their properties based on experimental research, important for understanding of the molecular basis of diseases caused by these agents, requires sifting through a large number of articles to exclude incidental mentions of the pathogens, or references to pathogens in other non-experimental contexts such as public health.

OBJECTIVE

In this work, we lay the foundations for the development of automatic methods for characterising mentions of pathogens in scientific literature, focusing on the task of identifying research that involves the experimental study of a pathogen in an experimental context. There are no manually annotated pathogen corpora available for this purpose, while such resources are necessary to support the development of machine learning-based models. We therefore aim to fill this gap, producing a large data set automatically from MEDLINE under some simplifying assumptions for the task definition, and using it to explore automatic methods that specifically support the detection of experimentally studied pathogen mentions in research publications.

METHODS

We developed a pathogen mention characterisation literature data set -READBiomed-Pathogens- automatically using NCBI resources, which we make available. Resources such as the NCBI Taxonomy, MeSH and GenBank can be used effectively to identify relevant literature about experimentally researched pathogens, more specifically using MeSH to link to MEDLINE citations including titles and abstracts with experimentally researched pathogens. We experiment with several machine learning-based natural language processing (NLP) algorithms leveraging this data set as training data, to model the task of detecting papers that specifically describe experimental study of a pathogen.

RESULTS

We show that our data set READBiomed-Pathogens can be used to explore natural language processing configurations for experimental pathogen mention characterisation. READBiomed-Pathogens includes citations related to organisms including bacteria, viruses, and a small number of toxins and other disease-causing agents.

CONCLUSIONS

We studied the characterisation of experimentally studied pathogens in scientific literature, developing several natural language processing methods supported by an automatically developed data set. As a core contribution of the work, we presented a methodology to automatically construct a data set for pathogen identification using existing biomedical resources. The data set and the annotation code are made publicly available. Performance of the pathogen mention identification and characterisation algorithms were additionally evaluated on a small manually annotated data set shows that the data set that we have generated allows characterising pathogens of interest.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

N/A.

Vaccine Development in the Time of COVID-19: The Relevance of the Risklick AI to Assist in Risk Assessment and Optimize Performance

The 2019 coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic revealed the urgent need for the acceleration of vaccine development worldwide. Rapid vaccine development poses numerous risks for each category of vaccine technology. By using the Risklick artificial intelligence (AI), we estimated the risks associated with all types of COVID-19 vaccine during the early phase of vaccine development. We then performed a postmortem analysis of the probability and the impact matrix calculations by comparing the 2020 prognosis to the contemporary situation. We used the Risklick AI to evaluate the risks and their incidence associated with vaccine development in the early stage of the COVID-19 pandemic. Our analysis revealed the diversity of risks among vaccine technologies currently used by pharmaceutical companies providing vaccines. This analysis highlighted the current and future potential pitfalls connected to vaccine production during the COVID-19 pandemic. Hence, the Risklick AI appears as an essential tool in vaccine development for the treatment of COVID-19 in order to formally anticipate the risks, and increases the overall performance from the production to the distribution of the vaccines. The Risklick AI could, therefore, be extended to other fields of research and development and represent a novel opportunity in the calculation of production-associated risks.

Information retrieval in an infodemic: the case of COVID-19 publications

Background

The COVID-19 global health crisis has led to an exponential surge in published scientific literature. In an attempt to tackle the pandemic, extremely large COVID-19–related corpora are being created, sometimes with inaccurate information, which is no longer at scale of human analyses.

Objective

In the context of searching for scientific evidence in the deluge of COVID-19–related literature, we present an information retrieval methodology for effective identification of relevant sources to answer biomedical queries posed using natural language.

Methods

Our multistage retrieval methodology combines probabilistic weighting models and reranking algorithms based on deep neural architectures to boost the ranking of relevant documents. Similarity of COVID-19 queries is compared to documents, and a series of postprocessing methods is applied to the initial ranking list to improve the match between the query and the biomedical information source and boost the position of relevant documents.

Results

The methodology was evaluated in the context of the TREC-COVID challenge, achieving competitive results with the top-ranking teams participating in the competition. Particularly, the combination of bag-of-words and deep neural language models significantly outperformed an Okapi Best Match 25–based baseline, retrieving on average, 83% of relevant documents in the top 20.

Conclusions

These results indicate that multistage retrieval supported by deep learning could enhance identification of literature for COVID-19–related questions posed using natural language.